4/23/24-Baseball Betting Show

Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:00):
Breaking down every game, every day in Major League Baseball.
This is the Baseball Betting Show. Here is your host,
Greg Peterson.

Speaker 2 (00:08):
Good welcome and lovely Las Vegas for the Baseball Betting
Shoe with myself Greg Peterson now part of the VS
and Family and Podcasts. We've got an excellent podcast for us.
We're gonna be joined in segment number two by Christian
He does great workover at USA Today Sports along Wtop.
We're gonna be chatting with him about what he's all
noticed from the first month or so of the season.
A few teamsday's a little bit bullish slash parishion. We're

(00:31):
gonna be diving in on the Tuesday card as well
with him, so you're gonna have a good time on
that front. In the final segment, can it get you
guys picks in analysis on every game on the betting
board for this Baseball Tuesday as we touch them all.
If you do have a question comments segment idea what
I be for this podcast? You do have one of
two ways be far those in. First one is my
Twitter slash ex simeline I get under forty one and
keep in mind learnsm they mean does on atter size

(00:52):
for usual, Please you send these into the timeline and
the other ways. Find an Apple podcast review. If you
rate this podcast five stars, it is very much appreciate it.
From there, you're able to fire and whatever you'd like
here on this podcast. By that five star review really
didn't get in any of those Twitter slideesheks questions today.
But it's a little bit of a low scoring day
out there in baseball on Monday, but it was a
fun one. Let's take a look back at it, try

(01:12):
to find some trends and try to get to know
these scenes a little bit better.

Speaker 3 (01:15):
Games for yesterday is Greg buzzing about. Here is the
rowdy recap.

Speaker 2 (01:19):
The surprize of many right now your top overteam in
all Baseball's right now the Cleveland Guardians so shocked that
the Ali Dodgers are there as well. But the top
overteam that was in action on Monday was the Baltimore Orioles.
Are DK network great to pick was the Orioles on
the money line, and though the offense wasn't as prolific
as it has been here recently, they get the job
done four to two. Baltimore say a wile to get

(01:40):
a win. They are now fifteen and seven on the
season and for Baltimore pair of home runs you had
going off for Reed Deptmers Colton Kowser six home run season.
Then James McCann gets his first home run of the
campaign for Deptmers, gives up four runs over the course
of seven dings, including those two home runs. From there,
yetoz A, Sporrez, Hunter Serchland both on the score setting.
But for the l angelsy strand nine men on base,

(02:01):
Jodelle did set fire to Lari and he goes seep
off of Michael Bauman his second on round the campaign
for Bawman gives up all of the runs that the
Angels score two in total, one getting just one out
of the bullpen. But from there you did see you
near cano be able to fill five outs out of
the bullpen scrolls. Jacob Webb gets it out out of
the bullpen, and then Craig kimberl nice score is setting us.
Albert Swarez, the international Man of Mystery who is pitching

(02:23):
in the KBO Knee Poem baseball Leg a little bit
of like Mexican Winner League. He's been in like every
single leg on the face of planet Earth five and
two thirds sinning scorers. So the Orioles, they keep it rolling.
They're able to get the job done. Also being able
to get the job done. How about the San Francisco
Giants five to two they take down the New York Mets.
Mets were getting super duper hot. I believe that they

(02:44):
were on a run of like twelve and three in
their previous fifteen games, but now they have lost back
to back games as beat Alonzo lone form of offense
in this game gets a seventh run season off of
Keaton win win Wasaul gives up that home run over
the course of six innings. Did see Commulitiat of all
give up a run in an nning as well, but
Ryan Walker along with one half of Rogers Squared did
and Tyler Rodgers were both able to supply his square

(03:06):
is setting in. Michael Conforto continuing his siice season the
film run season that's off of Ose Kitana, And for Kitana,
he was very solid at his bitch of contact guy
last season, starting to act up a little bit this season.
Gives up that home run five runs a total overly
course of five innings. From there, Orde Lopez, you also
saw Sean reied Fully and Josh Walker all supplied score setting.
But Giants get a nice win to be able to

(03:27):
help themselves up, but not helping themselves out. The Colorader Rockies,
who have now scored one or two runs in each
of their last four home games, and they have scored
two runs for fewer in six out of their last
seven overall, they lose to the San Diego Pottery serie
to one.

Speaker 3 (03:42):
And how you.

Speaker 2 (03:43):
Scored two runs for fewer four straight games at course
is beyond me. But for the San Diego potteris they
didn't have a lot going on themselves. A strand Naemen
on base, but Dylan Seas was tremendous. Here's the biggest
set no walks. He gives up one ed in seven nineings,
sad to allow a run along the way, but Andel
de Losantos on the Roberts, where as they had his back.
They both supplied the squirrel setting. It for Austin Gomber

(04:04):
they wasted. The Rocky said it relatively gets started out
of him, gives up one hundred and five innings at
of course you'll take that Ty Blockett squirrel setting. Nick
Mierzo gives up two runs. It is setting and work,
and Victor Vadne continues to be very good out of
the bullpen. Two squirrel settings, but Rocky's now five and
eighteen thus far this season. Only thing that they've got
going for them, they aren't the Chicago White Sox. As
a White Sox get lascid seven to zero against the

(04:27):
minuteset of twins, they're averaging. The White Sox are two
point one runs per game and they're currently eight and
fourteen on the run line. This has just been miserable
for them. As for Chicago, you had young Jonathan Cannon, well,
he was lit up like a cannon. Six runs surrendered
in three and two third settings. Bopen from there actually
wasn't bad. Chris Flexen allows to so him running two

(04:48):
and a third innings as Edward Julienne gets his fifth
home run the campaign, but he had tim I'll Stephen
Wilson's supply a squirrel setting. But for the White Sox
they strand nine men on base. They could not get
to Chris Pattock, who he punches out ten and seven
squirrels settings, and they got two squirrels settings out of one.
A Ronnie her Nique once hopefully I said that correctly.
He's able to come in out down the Ford and

(05:08):
the Twins. They continue the demise of the Chicago White Sox.
The Atlanta Braves were able to keep it scoreless. On Monday,
they take down the Miami Marlins by count of three
to zero. As Ryan Weathers says, it has been a
tough lock. Guy gives up three runs of five to
two thirds innings on the road against Atlanta. That's not
too bad. Travis Arnog gets his fifth home run of
the campaign. From there, you saw Bert Smith give you
one a third nine scoreless, and then you saw one

(05:29):
in the third ning scrolls from Daklon Cronin as well.
But for Miami, they just cannot do anything with men
and scoring position. They strand six men on base. Bryce
Elder first start of the year. He gives up eight hits,
but goes six and two thirds an scoreless. He mitigates
the damage. Aj Minter rossi Oglesias both send a squirrel
of setting in there and at Pierce Johnson give you
not out of the bullpen as well. And a team

(05:49):
that's five hundred that's really not playing like their five hundred.
That would be the Tampa Bay Rays, as they fall
to the Detroit Tigers by count of seven to one. Tigers,
by the way, now four plus runs in five out
their last sixty says Mark Kenna, Yes he canna go
deep off exact Little his fourth home run season and
perkometows go see Pufful Little as well his second. For Little,
he came up very very little in this one, giving

(06:09):
up six runs side who earned over the course of
his six innings. Chris Devinski from there gives up one
run and two innings at Kevin Kelly squirrel setting, but
long form of offense for the Tampa Bay Rays, Jared
Calibray was able to go deep. He gets home run
number two of the campaign that comes off of Shelby Miller,
who gives up that home run, and his ending and
work will vest Joey Wentz. They both supply a squirrel
setting intrigues Google it needed to be great. Six squirrels settings,

(06:31):
punches out nine. So the Tigers are now thirteen and
ten and they're really rocking and rolling. If you're looking
at the best team on the run line in baseball
this far the season, that would be the Cleveland Guardians,
and they have been absolutely tremendous. But that said, in
terms of teams that actually played on Monday, it would
be the Milwaukee Brewers at twelve to nine on the
run line, but they were unable to cover this one
as they lose to the Pittsburgh Priors by kind of

(06:53):
ninety four. Brewers have actually been very good to the
over as well, thirteen overs at eight unders, but not
a lot to him for them. On offense, Jared Jones
was very good for the Pirates, made one mistake though
he did allow res Hoskins to go deep off of him.
That's on run the campaign, but for Jones gives up
that home run in his six innings of work seven
straight cuts in total, or Elso Chatman walked three and
gave up a run with getting just one out of

(07:13):
the bullpen. Bug. Everyone else had his back, got a
hundred straight and get a pairbounts out of the bullpen. Squirrels.
David Bennar, Colin Holderman, they're both give you a squirrel
sending in Andrew McCutchen more like Andrew mcclutch in his
second home run the campaign that comes off with Joe Ross.
Ross gives up that home run two runs, one of
which was earning five and a third ning, so not
bad there, but Hoby Milner was hurt by a Jake
Bauers throwing area. He gives up two hundred runs over

(07:35):
the course of a third of an ning, and then
you had some long relief two and a third ning
squirrels from Thigo Vieira to be able to stem the
tide there and also being able to sim the tide.
How about the Oakland A's who as an underdog, they
have been very good on the run line this year
two to zero. You didn't even need the run line here.
They're able to win out right on the money line.
And for the Oakland A's as far this season, if

(07:56):
you've taken the plus running half with them when they've
been an underdog, you've Hobnoestly went eleven ten and for
the Oakland A's JP Sears was dealing six squirrel settings
out of him seven strike cuts. Lucas SERTs edge two
squirrel settings, and the Mason Miller he's able lock things down.
He gets three strikeouts for a squirrel of setting in
the nine. Meanwhile, Zach Galoff provided the offense he need
to be able to get the job done here. Game
was zero and zero going in the n eighth enny,

(08:17):
he goes zipoff and Victor guns Alz third home runs
campaign as squandered. Was a very good start from one
Carlinos rod On gives up just one in and seven
squirrel of settings. Ian Hamilton a squirrel setting, but then
Victor Gonzalez gives up that two run shot. He gives
up two runs without getting a single out before run
Medinacchio holds down the four freight squirrel of setting and
also going scoreless. Was he Cincinnati reads seven to zero,

(08:39):
the Philadelphia Phillies able to get the win here, as
Rangers swore as very good in this one. He has
been solid all season long. Seven squirrel settings out of
him punching up five Gregory Soto Jeff Hoffman from there
will supply a squirrel of setting in for the Philadelphia Phillies.
He had Cody Clemens god for his first arm round
the campaign. Then that comes off of Casey Lugamina. He
gave up that home run three runs, two of which

(09:01):
will earned in the course of two innings at front
of Green. Just as all he said his struggles at home.
He's got a lower career roadier rather than a Homieerra
gives up four runs over the course of seven innings,
but even if he gave up one run, that would
have been too many, as the Cincinnati Red's only able
to get two hits on the board in this one
end zero runs. The Blue Jay sevens struggling with their
offense as well. They've been a relatively good under team

(09:21):
thus far this season, but they find enough offense to
be able to get the job done here against He
can't see Royals this by a kind of five to three,
as the Royals eight over his fourteen hundreds and a push,
so they've been a nice under team as well. Same
goes for the New York Yankees eight over his fourteen
hundreds in a push for them as well. But for Toronto,
he did have Dalton Varshow go deep off of Brady Singer,
who was singing the Blues after this one sixth home
round the campaign for Singer gives up all five runs

(09:44):
over the course of six inings. He did have the
deaf man Tyler Duffy be able to supply two squirrel
satings and then Nick Anderson squirrel setting, but for the Royals,
just a little bit too little, too late. Joorn Romano
does give up a home run to kyleo Isabelle second
home run season, and Mikael Garcia was able to go
deep a little bit earlier on in this game off
of u S. Kikuchi his fourth home run season, but
Kikuchi overall relatively Solidztart gives up two runs over the

(10:06):
course of six inningscling that home run, Eric Swanson, Yimi
Garcia be able supply a squirrel second. Then Jordanmano gives
up that solo run in his ending of work, and
then you did see the Saint Louis Cardinals finally get
online with their offense and been in an eight game
slide without a single home run. Well they get too
here five to three, they're able to take down the
Arizona Diamondbacks. Says for the Diamondbacks, they just left a

(10:28):
bunch of men on base. They honestly go three of
eight with men in scoring position, but they's trained ten
men on base. Brandon Fott he gives up two runs
over the course of five and a third innings, so
fot Er. But Scott McGough gives up a solo run
over the course of his one and a third innings
going d for the Saint Louis Cardinals. Off of him
Paul Goldschman, who has really struggled, second home round the campaign.
Then Nolan Gorman a little bit later on off of

(10:48):
Kyle Nelson walk off home run in the ninth his
fourth Rome run in the campaign for Nelson, he's been
pretty reliable this year, but gives up that sole running
and heard it a runner from Ryan Thompson who he
gets charged with a run in an ending of work.
Joe Man to ply and out on the bullpen of
his own end for the Saint Los Cardinals. He ad
Lanceline give up three runs over the course of five innings,
but kept the ball in the already got into a

(11:08):
little bit of a hairy spot. We would be able
to wiggle out of it from there. The bullpen did
their part. Ryan Elslie, Ryan Fernandez will supply squirrel saying,
and then Andrew Kittrich alone Jojo Romero. They both supply
a pair of squirrel sendings a piece. And if you're
taking a look at Major League Baseball right now, I
was mentioning it very underwhelming day on Monday. We saw
just one over in the day on Monday, so that

(11:31):
was interesting to say the LEAs said, overall for the season,
you now have unders in the lead on overs one
are and sixty seven hundreds of one an sixty two
overs this baseball season. Meanwhile, road teams continue to be
very dominant on the money line one seventy nine and
one sixty two. Meanwhile, if you're taking a look at
favorites there we had about fifty nine point one percent
ninety nine and one thirty eight on the money line.
And if you're looking at the last seven days in

(11:52):
Major League Baseball, it has been very much laiden with
a bunch of favorites. Says favorites have gone fifty six
to thirty four sixty two point two percent. So that's
what we're seeing baseball right now, and that's what we
all got on Monday. Now, let's turn it forward to
Tuesday and just get some takeaways from the first month
or so of the season. For Christian, who does great
workover at wtop Sports along with USA Today, joins me
next right here on the Baseball Betting Show for myself,

(12:14):
Greg Peterson, now about a recent family.

Speaker 1 (12:16):
Podcast breaking down every game every day in Major League Baseball.
Greg Peterson.

Speaker 2 (12:29):
EVERGNA love Las Vegas the Baseball Betting Show with myself
Greg Peterson now part of the Vsent Family podcast, and
it is always great to be joined by This man
is Christian. He does great work over at Wtop Sports.
I know that he's also doing an excellent job over
at USA today doing some write ups on both the
MLB and the NHL front as the NHL playoffs has

(12:50):
gotten rocking and rolling. I know that for Chris, he
does a great job day in and day out of taking
a look at this great sport that we all know.
Love a baseball as well. And here we'll follow on
Twitter side chicks at Big Chief show that is spelled
c chee on CHIEV show and Chris always great to
get to your board.

Speaker 3 (13:06):
Thank you, Greg, thank you so much for having me.
Yes this past weekend watching a thriller in New York.
If you like a pitching matchup as Tyler Alexander had
himself a nice little start. You know this Rayse organization,
they really do know how to mend some of these arms.

(13:27):
Like I thought this guy was essentially a for a
player in Detroit. Now he's throwing these back door cutters
and sliders and fooling these Yankees hitters and route to
a Rays win on Saturday. Those two teams plus the
Orioles now making a move with the Al East. It's
heating up already, Greg, And it's only April. It is
certainly heating up.

Speaker 2 (13:47):
And I'm so glad that you bring up the Tampa
Bay Rays because when it comes to the sample size
like we have right now, we are just under a
month through the season, what do you make out of
something like the Tampa Bay Rays being a team that
starts the bottom of the big in terms of bullpen
eer What do we make out of these teams like
the Milwaukee Brewers have been so stunning with their bads
as far, because through the first month of the season

(14:09):
we have seen a few surprises. And I don't think
that we should like completely discount at all. But at
the same time, I certainly do think that something like
the Tampa Bay Rays I'm struggling in the bullpen. I
do think that that'll turn around sooner rather than later. Yeah,
certainly you would think so, right.

Speaker 3 (14:24):
I mean, Pete Fairbanks has not had a great start
to the season by any means. Com Pochet has been
in some high danger situations and not been outstanding. But
when I look at this race team, you know, you
got the starting pitching. Eflyn just had himself another stellar
outing there. You're gonna get him performing well more oftentimes
than not. You know that they're lacking a ton of

(14:47):
depth when it comes to a rotation that's lacking McClanahan
and bos and they're making the best of it. I mean,
the problem with the Rays ultimately is they need more
production from their lineup. Here Randy A. Rose Arena and
Yondi Diez. These were guys that were the run scoring
leaders for this team last year and Yondy needed a

(15:09):
day off last week because he was just having such
a difficult time at the plate. And Yondi Diaz he
exactly hasn't been all that great. He went seven for
fifty six. I mean, this was a guy who was
like their leadoff hitter, you know, guy who needs to
be getting on base more oftentimes and not so for me,
this is a raised team. Curtis Mead is not somebody
who is like sustainable in the middle of that infield,

(15:30):
Harold Ramirez needs to do a better job of laying
off some pitches. I've watched him chase quite a bit here,
and the Rays do have a bit of a tendency
to do that. They're just not the strongest hitting team,
let's just say that. And you know you don't have
Brandon Low in that line up there. I have not
been impressed with him for about a year and a half,

(15:50):
but he does provide that pop. So they're in a
situation if they're gonna play a team like the Orioles,
they're really gonna need that bullpen to come about because
they cannot outslawug a team like Baltimore. The Yankees they
hung in there with. I mean, we saw Judge and
how much he's been struggling, and I mean I think
he was maybe even catching a couple of boo birds
at Yankee Stadium, which I could not believe my years.

(16:11):
I know that's what I'm saying. I don't even know
if I heard it right or correctly, but yeah, it's
been really interesting in this East so far. Rays are
gonna hang in there. What's gonna happen with the Blue Jays?
Are they gonna hang in there? Just we'll find out.
They still don't really impress me offensively enough. They're all right,
but to hang in there with the Yanks, et cetera.

Speaker 2 (16:28):
I don't know, yeah, And I always think back to
that old commercial with Peyton Manning. They're not saying boo,
they're saying moves, but as they were hearing some boo birds.
It has been a little bit of rough year for
Aaron Judge and the New York Yankees sands what we've
been getting out of one Soto, So it's gonna be
interesting to see what we get on that front. Though
Pittrick has been absolutely outstanding for the New York Yankees.

(16:51):
Was it on them that they lost on Monday? To say, Lisa,
as we do have Christian does great work over at
WTUP Sports, and you said today showed me right here
on the Baseball Betting Show. And but else I think
so interesting is just taking a look at some of
these bottom feet or teams like you've got it going on.
On Tuesday, once again, the Chicago White Sox are catching
between about plus two ten plus two twenty against the

(17:11):
Minnesota Twins, with Eric Fetty, who hasn't pitched horribly going
for the Chicago White Sox against Pablo Lopez of the
Minnesota Twins, and if Eric Fenny was on like any
other team and catching this sort of number, I would
be more than happy to take that plus price. But
even if Eric Feenny goes out there, there's like six innings,
gives up one to two runs. I just can't bake

(17:32):
on the White Sox providing one to two runs to
be able to help them out. I don't know what
you make out about this White Sox team and the
series as a whole, but I take a look at
the White Sox and this appears to be a historically
bad offense.

Speaker 3 (17:44):
Historically bad offense. I guess if I was maybe gonna
trust any part of this team at the moment, what
do they have less than the amount of fingers you
have on your hands as far as wins this season.
But Michael Kopak hasn't been that bad out of the
bullpen if you want to have a bright spot with
the White Sox. But to me, you know you're looking
at a twins bunch. Carlos Correa. I know the Astros

(18:06):
have been and it's a couple of years now down
the road, but the Astros may have made the right
decision letting him go just based on now he's got
the oblique Strain. I don't think he's a game changer
at this point, and there was at one point and
still might be the case that there were like what
two hitters Alex Carrolov and Ryan Jeffers who were actually
hitting above two hundred. Here Iron Buxton and how he

(18:29):
has struggled so much, and even a guy like Max Kepler,
you know, who can get hot, just not doing enough
for this Twins team here, you know, might be missing
a guy like Jorge Polanco at this point. So and plus, yeah,
the Twins they don't really generate much traffic on the
base pass whatsoever. They're not really getting a good line
drive percentage, especially against Lieutenant pitching. They're not hitting infielders

(18:51):
that well. So yeah, this is a bunch where it's
tough to back the White Sox just based on what
you said about offense. I totally agree, But you know,
the Twins aren't really necessarily either, So maybe an underspot
is the way to look here.

Speaker 2 (19:02):
Yeah, with the White Sox you're probably gonna be able
to get a lot of unders in except for those
times where they themselves pretty much allowed the over by
all by themselves. It has been really rough to look
at this team, to say the least, But it has
not been so rough to be able to take a
look at this team. The Baltimo Orioles have been so
hot and it's gonna be Grayson Rodriguez on the pump
for them for Tuesday against Griffin Canning of the La Angels. Now,

(19:25):
it is a road spot for the Baltimore Orioles and
they're laying a pretty big number minus one forty five,
minus one fifty five. But how do you take a
look at this matchup with Rodriguez doing an amazing job
on the mound, But couple with that, the Orioles enter
into the series with the Angels number one of the
big leagues with home runs that just one through nine.
I've been incredibly impressed by this lineup.

Speaker 3 (19:46):
Yeah, absolutely. Then Grayson Rodriguez already did shut down this
Angels lineup, allowing a run six innings pitched. Taylor Ward
hit the home run, and maybe you and I were
talking and I was pretty dismissive of that. But Taylor
Ward's had him a nice start to the year here.
But yeah, whether we're talking about Santan Dare, who is
not exactly hitting for average, but they've got guys who

(20:07):
were doing so. Gunner Henderson is one of the most
feared hitters as far as shortstops in the American League,
right up there with Corey Seeger. And you know, Adlee
and Gunner were six Sober Slugger finalists last year. You
have Gunner just being able to call a great game
as always. Mountcastle is a solid hitter first Baseman O'Hearn
And yeah, I think when you and I talked a

(20:29):
week or so ago, I was mentioning Heston Kerstad tearing
it up in the minor leagues, but just not really
being able to get a shot up at the next
level because you still got to try to get Jackson
Holliday going here and get him some at bats and
get comfortable. And you have Colton Kowser and who's got
to be like hitting eighth on Monday. I saw in
La so he gets bumped down. Jordan Westberg is a

(20:50):
solid player for this team as well too. They're just
so deep they can certainly be mentioned as a World
Series contender. Just imagine if they had Felix bout Tis
to shutting down the nine thing. I mean, you neyor Cano.
I will trust him more oftentimes than not same thing
can be said about Danny Klum. Dean Kramer is probably
the one outlier right now that you would be like,

(21:12):
all right, He's a guy that this organization loves, fans
like to they want to see him, probably pitch better.
He got yanked too early in his last start, but yeah,
he's somebody that they'd like to see performing than Kyle Bradish.
They're hoping to have back here soon as he is
revving up, I guess, and it's not as serious his
arm injury is was anticipated a couple of months ago.

(21:34):
So yeah, Oriols in certainly a good spot here to
make a run.

Speaker 2 (21:37):
Yep. I do think that they're in a tremendous spot.
As well as joining me on the show, we do
have one of our good friends of Bord Christian. He
does great work over at wtop Sports, jowing me right
here on the Baseball Betty Show. And I do think
that we've got ourselves a really nice board for Tuesday.
We've got all thirty teams at action. A few games
that are currently off the board, But are there a
few games in particular that you have your eye on?

(21:59):
We highlighted a big ones. We did certainly take a
look at the American League East. But anythink that's standing
out to you really for the season.

Speaker 3 (22:06):
I will be writing about the A's Yankees game for
USA today, so I've dug into that one already. What
I'm finding out is that Paul Blackburn is like that.
I mean, what is concerning is he had five walks
in his last start against Saint Louis. Albeit they do
get a win, but that was the most exacting start
since June twenty twenty two against the Yankees. Blackburn has

(22:30):
had himself a nice career. I mean, only three starts,
but four and runs in fifteen and a third innings.
Faced them last June and he were in the wins.
So yeah, I mean, but Marcus Stroman's a picture. I'm
looking at his numbers and his career ERA. I mean,
this is a guy that has never gone above four
since twenty eighteen with Toronto, and you know he has

(22:53):
been able to limit damage so far this year. He's
got himself a two four to two ERA fifth Star
no decision against Toronto. In that last one, he was
bailed out by the Yankees bats late. And so this
is a situation where if I'm getting sometimes I don't
like to lay a ton of even like a dollar
twenty juice on the run line with but the A's

(23:14):
run line cash is so frequently. It's one of those
situations you have to expect. Look at the Yankees their home.
They can the Bronx Bombers, they got Judge, they got
Soto who leaves the league and walks. I mean, they
can blow this game open nine to nothing. But like
with Blackburn, I don't anticipate that, so I'd rather take
the run line, and I would take a shot on

(23:34):
the money line too with a half unit. I mean,
this is a A's team that is not going to
compete with the Yankees as far as the bats go.
But they would need Blackburn to really step up into me.
He's a picture that if he doesn't get behind in
the count, he can control this game and keep the
A's in it.

Speaker 2 (23:51):
Yep. And it has been so interesting to take a
look at the Oakland A's because they have now covered
eleven out of their last fifteen games on the run
line when they've been an underdog, and point Paul Blackburn
has been just absolutely tremendous. And how much do you
want to take a look at some of those spots
because the just overall read, the overall perception of the
A's is that this is just an absolutely terrible team.

(24:12):
But oftentime, it's fine that some of the most profitable
pitchers out there in all baseball are some of these
pitchers that are.

Speaker 3 (24:19):
On some of these lesser teams.

Speaker 2 (24:20):
These guys that they don't necessarily have the world's great
at cra or anything like that, but they just do
a solid job getting out's. Maybe they're not getting a
lot of strikeouts, but you know what, they're pitching to contact,
they're going deep into games. And Paul Blackburn just reads
as a guy that could be very profitable because oftentimes
when you're betting Paul Blackburn, you're not having to like
lay some bonder number, but rather you're getting a nice
plus price. Yeah.

Speaker 3 (24:41):
Absolutely, And I look too at a pitcher who might
have bloated stats from time to time this year, like
a Ryan Pepio, for example, who's going to be taking
the mound on Tuesday against the Tigers. This is a
guy that if you look at some of his underlying
stats and how he's been able to generate a ton

(25:01):
of swings and misses, I think he generated like seventeen
of them in his last start. Those are the kind
of things you want to pay attention to and target
some of these bad lineups. I mean, the Tigers are
a team against I know, at least right handed pitching.
They have like the second or worst hard contact percentage.

(25:21):
And I guess I'm like talking myself even more so
into the Tampa Bay Rays because especially with Kenta my
Ada being a pitcher that has allowed the most home
runs in the American League and maybe the entire league
starting at least this week. But you know, when we're
talking about a Paul Blackburn or any of maybe these
Oakland A's pitchers, and when we're looking at Mason Miller

(25:42):
and how he was throwing one oh three, it's fun
to watch him just striking out Soto and judge from
just a pure baseball standpoint, the era we live in
with the velocity and whether that's you know, causing these
arm injuries and the Tommy John surgeris that have become
so prevalent these days. But watching Mason Miller in that

(26:02):
moment on Monday was certainly electrifying stuff. And it appears,
you know, the A's have a record of nine to fourteen.
Now they're hanging in these games, and if they're covering
eleven of fifteen run lines as you mentioned, yeah, I'm
gonna take my spots more often times than not, especially
against teams again that are going to be not so
much of a threat offensively. I want to find the

(26:23):
right game environment, maybe a Seattle type situation where at
night you point the saddle lot there's not a ton
of run score a lot of times. So I would
look at them in a lot of spots this.

Speaker 2 (26:32):
Year, absolutely, And I do think that that's such a
good way of going about it. And not all these
underdogs are created equally. Like with the Oakland A's, you've
been able to get a relatively good and on his
effort out of them, and then you take a look
at the Chicago White Sox, not such a good and
honest effort out of them as well. So the plus
two dollars underdogs area will find from time to time

(26:53):
on the board. You want to be picking your spots
carefully because some yield a lot of value, some do not.
But a man that always yields tremendous value, he's on
this podcast, man that does a great job. We're getting
at this game you, Chris, you do an amazing job
over at USA Today. You do great work over at
WTOP as well, so I love to get people on
them now. It's all on that for you and how
people can follow on on social media and other platforms.

Speaker 3 (27:14):
I will be providing two playoff previews on this Tuesday.
We will have the Lightning taking on the Florida Panthers
as well as the Rangers Capitals. I'll be previewing both
of those for USA Today, so certainly looking forward to
that and for WTP continuing these big gi baseball bets

(27:36):
of the day. So that's been a lot of fun too, Greg,
and it has been great talking baseball with you. I
always say it, You're such a great mind with this
sport and such a resource for me. I'm gonna be
mowing the long Tuesday for three hours. I'm gonna be
listening back to you previewing this game is getting set
up for the slate, so thank you so much for
having me.

Speaker 2 (27:54):
We are getting into the time of year where we
can mow the lawn again. If you're out there in
the Northeast slash the just east coast part of the
nation where you're bowl the lawn without snow, so yay,
verily there and Chris, he does such a good job
taking a look at this great game of baseball. It
is now baseball season and he's doing a great job
on that front. And every single time he joins this

(28:15):
show won some great insights. So big thanks Chris for
joining me on The Baseball Betting Show now part of
the Vson Family Podcasts and coming next it is that
time of the podcast. I give you picks at analysis
on every game on the betting board for this Baseball
Tuesday as we to.

Speaker 1 (28:27):
Tamal breaking down every game every day in Major League Baseball.
Greg Peterson.

Speaker 2 (28:41):
Everyone, rank youer love you Las Vegas for the Baseball
Betting Show with myself Greg Peterson, now part of the
vcent Family Podcasts. It is always great to be able
to get Chris ch in a board. He does such
good workover at wtop Sports taking a look at this
great game of baseball that we all know and love.
I know that he's doing an amazing job on this front.
But couple with that, for those that are getting involved

(29:01):
in the NHL playoffs, he does incredible work with his
write ups over there at USA Today on that front end.
Always a pleasure to be able to get him on
the show. So big thanks to Chrisopher joining me in
the last segment. Now it is that time the podcast
to give you picks and analysis and every game on
the betting board for this Baseball Tuesday as we touch
them all.

Speaker 3 (29:18):
If a game is listed on the betting board, Greg
has a side and the total on it, so it
is time to touch them all.

Speaker 2 (29:24):
Do you note that, as per usual, any changes are
made to these plays, we'll be listed up on my
Twitter slash x feed at gen n Underscorty one and
you're going to be going in last segssertation order. This
is where we go to the National League games first,
then the American League games. We've only got one interleague
game that is between the Cubs and the Astros. That
game is going to be at the bottom. So how
about if we do start things off with my dkn

(29:45):
Now we're grey to pick. This is nine one, nine
to two on the betting board, the Philadelphia Phillies that
throw at the three seat off against the Cincinnati Rids. Yes,
we are on the Cincinnati and they're onto one and
Rabbit getting the serf for them and Chris the first.
Sanchez is on the bump for the Phillies. Phillies are
between minus one et minus one twenty five favorites between
plus even money plus one hundred to plus one twelve

(30:06):
is your number on the Cincinnati Reds in half is
a total over is minus one fifteen. The under is
minus one of five. I do like this total rice
that might total at a nine point three I think
that guys with a sub three era right now are
going to see some regression, but right up here is
going to be on the Reds money line. Biggest reason
why isay, you've got two comparable pictures in terms of
VRA and if you do take a look at the

(30:26):
fielding independent, Sanchez has been in better form for the
Philadelphia Phillies two fifty three RA, but bluck ninety nine
fielding dependent. I do have a little bit concern though,
that the walks have really jumped. He went from one
point four walks ber nine innings a season go to
three point four walks ber nine innings this season. He
actually gave up as many walks his home runs last season,
but as he had to give up a bomb thus
far as this campaign, I do take a look at

(30:48):
sort of the sample size playing against the Pittsburgh priorcy
CINCINNTI reads, and I do think that prev that has
been able to help him out a little bit Washington National,
so I do think that that's a little bit of
a matter of circumstances and Frader Rabbit, It's right, numbers
have been a little bit down from what they were
a season ago. Last year was getting closer to the
tenth strike cuts for nine innings. But even though he's
dropped to more like six point six strike cuts for

(31:08):
nine nings, has cut down on the walk so about
two points seven walks per nine innings. So I do
like what I'm seeing on that front as well. In
Frand to Rabbit, throughout his career, he's got in the
area about point seventy five points lower when he's at
home rather than away from home. But it's really about
the supporting cast, which is why I do like the
Reds on the money line. The Philadelphi Phillies enter into
the series dead last in the big league terms of
Bullpenny Ray. I've said it on this show quite a bit,

(31:30):
and I'll say it again I have no idea what
it is, but the Philadelphi Phillies just always struggling in
the bullpen their first month of the season. Right now,
you've got Ricardo Pinto, Sir Anthony Dominguez, Greg Risoto. I
wan't say Alvarado all posting up north of a five era,
and I do think that the likes of Alvarado, Dominguez
the company are gonna be able to pick it up.
But question is when or Ryan Kerking has really been

(31:51):
your best reliever for the seamen. For the Reds, they're
about league average with their Bullpenny Ray about fourteenth in
the league. They're not lighting the world on fire. But
Amilio Pagan, Lucas sim these guys are giving you a
good endings. Fernando Cruz, whose seas has got his up
to era, he's been solid. Alexiss has been a little
bit shaky as the close here, but I do think
that he's gonna be able to step it up a
little bit. But a couple with that, you've got a
Philadelphi Phillies seem that they go powerless when they're away

(32:13):
from home. When they were entering into this series, they
are ing a half a home run per game away
from one, Gibert at one point four to four home
runs per game at home seeing a fall off about
one point four runs per game away from home rather
than at home entering into the series with about three
point three to three runs per game away from up
all the Reds are putting up about five and a
half runs per game when they're at home, and we
have seen Ellie Day La Cruz Spencer's year be relatively consistent.

(32:36):
That's far this season, both guys hovering around to three
hundred batting average with a four hundred on these Spencer's
year has been able to supply you with three home
runs six bomps already for Elie Day La Cruiz. Now
a little bit of a touch and goat lineup, as
you've got the likes of Christian Arcardossio and Strand Tyler Stevenson.
These sort of guys need to pick it up with
the guards their average, but on all it's been rock solid.
And for the Philadelphia Phillies you just haven't been able

(32:56):
to get Bryce Harper going. He was out of the
fold yesterday. In terms that starting lineup, Trey Jurner has
done a great job of the line He's given nearly
a four arm base, well above a threatner batting average,
but coleeg Warber has had issues getting on base really
the last few seasons. The Cassianos, Price and Scott, these
guys at the bottom of the fold have been having
a little bit of issue as well. And I do
think that the Reds overall supporting cast is going to

(33:17):
be better than that of the Philadelphia Phillies. I think
that Christopher Sanchez has very much benefited from starting against
let's call it what it is, some lesser competition, and
I do think that the Reds find a way to
be able to get the job done. My write a
pick here is going to be on that Reds bundy line.
I set them out of mis one twenty four so
game plus money one that I've been there and did
something total nine point three, so I like the over
My right up is going to be on that Reds
money line nine oh three, nine oh four. On the

(33:39):
betting board, it is the Milwaukee Brewers they hit the road,
are facing off against the Pittsburgh Pirates. We know that
it's going to be Bailey Falter for the Pirates. It
was supposed to be Wade Miley having a party out
there in Pittsburgh for the Brewers, but that is to
be determined. He hit the injured list. As of the
time of this recording, we don't know who the starter
is going to be, So this is going to be
off the board with the Brewers. You have to figure
that it's to be a poo poo plider of pitchers.

(34:01):
They've already done this once this year. That was a
case where you saw Bryce Wilson essentially get like three
innings as sort of like an opener. Plus he wasn't
sly a full on starter, but he wasn't like quite
an opener as well. And the Birds did make a
move to bring up Tobias Myers, who I do think
is going to be at the very minimum seeing some innings.
I don't know if he's going to be necessarily getting

(34:22):
the full on start, though he has been at the
minor league Lebble a little bit of a starter if
you take a look at what he's done at the
minor league Leuble. He was honestly quite decent with Nashville,
and as he starts as far as the season four
overall appearance, it's posing up a buck sixty two you're
in this guy. Throughout his career at the minor league,
Bubble has been able to get some swings and misses.
At Double A last season, he was someone that was

(34:43):
able to do a really nice job, being able to
generate about eleven punchouts per nine and ennings with Biloxi.
This season he's been getting about twelve strike cuts, about
four walks per nin and nings. So he's starting to
come along. Have to think that perhaps he and Bryce
Wilson piggyback off of one another, and if that's the case,
we'll be saying the Pirates out of minus one twenty
five on the money line. So when he at least
a plus one twenty five to take a shot on
the Birds, just because there is a little bit of

(35:05):
shall we say, unfamiliarity, there's a little bit of question
mark with this Burgers seem even though they do have
one of the best bullpens in the big leagues. Elvis Piguero,
Joel Piums, Hoby Milner, he's the guys that I'll give
you sub three five era. He sees a guy like
Brian Hudson as well. But it is a Pirates team
that even though they don't as they have the world's
greatest eri out there in the bullpen. I like Eorldest Chapman,
David Bennar. They'd deal with an injury to Ryan Baruki.

(35:27):
But that said, Hunter Strand is someone that I think
can be able to hold down the fourth for the Birds.
I do expect a little bit of regression with this lineup.
They entered into the series acting more than six runs
per game with regards the Vats, but you've got Christian
Yelich currently on the injured list, and then you've got
entering into Monday, Bryce ter Ring, Blake Perkins, William Contreres
all aitting north of eight three thirty three. This is

(35:48):
just not sustainable in my opinion. I think that we
underrated the Bers coming into the season. At the same time,
I don't want to be going overly overboard with them.
And for the Pittsburgh Priors, they had like one or
two really good series to start the season against Bayami
Marl It's been a nose tie from there. But you
do have Brian Reynolds Cabrian as both Brian and north
of a three fifty on BIS, Mike lay Taylor, so
letting for a relatively good average. You just need more

(36:09):
consistency of these guys like o'yell, Cruz Andrew McCutcheon is
a little bit long in the truth. He has ansa've
been able to produce a like a lot, But I
do think that if you get a guy in Bryce Wilson,
it's been a little bit more of a bitch of
contact guy throughout his career has been a little bit
lucky on balls and play that you should be able
to get some runs up on the board end. For
Bailey Felter, he certainly has been living up to his
name in recent years as well. This is another guy

(36:30):
that does a solid job of not giving up a
lot of walks and his track onund numbers in recent
years haven't been amazing, but you know what, they've been
going on the incline a little bit more. When he
got to the Pirates last year, he was able to
get up to about seven streakehouts for nine ennings. Thus
far this season just ten strakecouts to twenty innings, so
he certainly has been allowing team to him and then
I'm pretty hard he's been giving up about home run
and at for nine innings, So if it is indeed,

(36:51):
sort of like what we're seeing with Wilson slash Myers.
As a one to two combo for the Burgers against Bailey,
Felter would be willing to lay up to MIAs one
twenty three is plus one twenty five or higher looking
at the career in the nine or luss looking at
the over nine and a half or higher the under
nine to five nine h six on the bank board
the LA Dodgers, they have to throw their facing off
against the Washington Nationals, says Patrick Corbin goes for the
Nats and James Paxson is on the bump where the

(37:13):
Dodgers sign and a half is a total over his
mins one fifteen the under his minus one of five
for the Dodgers. There between minus one ninety minus two
zero five favorites seting between plus one sixty four h
plus one seventy five. That is your number on the
Washington Nationals and what I need ITLA is plus two
twenty five to take a shot on Patrick Corbin and company.
If you're looking at this LI Dodgers run line currently,
it is off the board. You don't get these run

(37:34):
lines typically until later on in the day. But that said,
if I were to decipher, I think that we should
be well in my range. I'm a little lay up
till minus one forty five in terms of this run line.
I'd be very very shocked if we don't have a
run line of minus one forty five or greater. I
should be able to get much better than that. As
a matter of fact, I'm right now seeing like a
minus one thirty or so, So I'd be willing to

(37:54):
dive in there. With James Packson, he's been a little
bit up and down in terms of the walks. He's
been giving up fourteen walks in sixteen innings. I do
think that he's gonna round in and for him a
little bit more as eight of those walks game in
that last start against the San Diego Patters, which was
very very strange, to say the least. But he's still
able to give you some swings and misses out there.
He's a little bit up there in years, has been
dealing with his back issues. But got to Washington Nationals

(38:16):
unit that they don't necessarily draw a lot of walks themselves.
They are very much just looking to put the ball
in play. They don't necessarily generate a whole bunch of
hard contact either, even though you do have CJ. Abrams,
who's been able to give you six home runs, providing
it three to sixty on base. Thus far this season,
you've seen quite a few guys regrets for the team.
Kei ber Luiz has been a little bit banged up,
but he Layne Thomas. These are two guys hitting below

(38:37):
the midose line of two hundred. Last year you had
Joy Manessa's doing some good work. He's hitting just a
two thirty five with the home runs entering into the series.
Do like what I've seen out Jesse Winker about a
four to forty on base. He has been rock solid
in for the Dodgers. You've got a top five in
the lineup that might be as fearsome as any and
all baseball, but you do have a little bit of
top heaviness, the likes of Gavin Lux, James Oltman, Chris Taylor,

(38:59):
Key Ky or dan As. They just have not been
able to produce at the plate. But you'll look at
these top guys Saskar And and az Mookie bet Choi
Otani all entering in this series with five plus home runs.
Betts and Otani north of a four to thirty on
basip piece north of a three fifty batting average a
piece entering into the series. Will Smith has gotten jiggy
with it. He's hitting up three to forty five entering
into the series as well. Freddy Freeman has not provided

(39:19):
a lot of power, just one home run, but he's
given you up four on rmbs. These guys have been solid,
but with the Dodgers they have been about twentieth in
the big League in terms of bullpenny right. Evan Phillips
has been a relatively good closer, but that said, you
need a little bit more out of Guys like Ryan
Brazi or Alex Vessio have shown some signs of brightness
for this team in recent years too, like what Danie
Hiltson is able to provide as well. And if Paxston

(39:40):
does continue to provide a lot of walks, that means
that you're gonna get a little bit of taxation with
reguards a bullpen. But for Patrick Corbin, he just has
not been great this far this season. If you look
at his numbers last year where the Nationals actually won
fifteen and seventeen in his SERTs, he was actually very
profitable for you last season, but actually pitched worse this
past season in twenty twenty three. Now he did in

(40:00):
twenty twenty two when he was biggest fade of fades.
But he has given up four plus runs at each
out of his four starts as far this season. He's
given up about four walks per nine ennings himself. He's
not getting a whole lot of swings and missus and
I have signed me. Faced off against the Dodgers, he
gave up five runs and six and a third innings.
I think that we're gonna see much of the same here,
and he's backed up by a bullpen that isn't terrible,
but it isn't necessarily amazing. I like what Jordan Weiens

(40:22):
is able to bring to the table for the team.
Hunter RV is able to give you a few solid innings,
But even though he's er isn't back. Kyle Finnegan is
just a guy that I really don't trust in as well.
Derek Blasban a little bit up and down. So I
do think that the Dodgers are gonna be able to
tattoo our good friend and mister Corbin. I do think
that James Paxson gonna settle down with the walks a
little bit more as well against a little bit of
a free swinging Washington national team looking to create contact.
So so my toe a nine point three, I like

(40:43):
the under of nine tons, and I'm gonna be willing
to lay the Dodgers up to a minus one forty
five on this run line nine seven, nine to eight
on the bank board. The Miami Marlins hit the red
face off against the Atlanta Braves. Max Freed is on
the bump for the Bravos and Trevor Rodgers is in
the neighborhood for the Miami Marlins. Nine is a total
over his minds one fifteen the unders minus one of five.
Between minus two fifty two minus two sixty five is

(41:03):
your number on the Atlanta Braves. Between plus two ten
and plus two twenty five that number on the Miami Marlins. Said,
for the Marlins, I need at least a plus two
to twenty two to take a shot. I'm starting to
see some plus two twenty twos. I'm starting to see
some plus two twenty five. That's enough for me to
be able to take a shot on the Miami Marlin.
So it's a growedy play but when Trevor Rodgers was

(41:23):
less healthy during the twenty twenty two campaign, he actually
strangely had a better ERA when he was on the
road rather than that at home, and has manifested itself
as far the season four to two OMIRA three sixty
Roady Right now, it's a very very small sample side,
so I don't want to be making too much out
of it. But for Trevor Rodgers, he's getting about nine
strikecous for nine oneties. Command has always been an issue
for m He's given up four walks per nine unnies,
but he's been able to reduce on the herd contact

(41:45):
because he had to give up home run and his
four starts as far the season, and Max Free just
flat out isn't a good form seventy one era. He
was all sorts of banged up last season and he's
given up three plus runs and three out of his
four starts as far as the season. The walks are up,
he's given up nine walks and sixteen and a third innings.
And for the Miami Marlins, the overall power is just
not there. You currently have Jake Berger dealing with a

(42:05):
few injuries, so that's honestly two tremendous, but you've had
Brian daila Cruz being able to give you five home runs,
and if you look at the Baseball Savot numbers, there
should be some positivity that's coming through. For the Miami Marlins.
There expected betting average as far this season is the
biggest deferential pretty much in the league. They're expected to
be hitting at two forty one. Entering into the series,
they were hitting just at two twenty. They put the
ball in play. Tim Anderson is sitting about a two fifty.

(42:27):
Luise Rice, he's backed up hitting about a two seventy five.
I do expect guys like Acy Sanchez, who had a
nice hank shot against the Chicago Cubs on Sunday, to
be able to pick it up. And then with the
Atlanta Raves, this is a death star lineup. They have
been to deal with a few injuries, but a lot
of these guys are back in the fold. You've got
Mattilson back just for real runs as far this season.
You know that he's going to be able to pick
it up, but you've got so many guys just find

(42:48):
a way to be able to move the line. Or
Lando Rco, Marcelo Zuna Jered Keelnick, Michael Harris all entering
into the series and at least a two ninety five
long throntal with Cooney Junior. Cooney Junior at just one
home run in his first seventy seven at pass, you
know that that's going to be ticking up. Marcel Zoona
has been so hot with his home run power though
to be able to make up with a nine home
runs entering into the series, and for the Atlanta Braves,
it's a slightly above average bullpen. You'd like to see

(43:09):
the other bands that get back online. He has not
been tremendous since deal with injury pretty much all of
last season. But like some AJ minter Joey Menez, Roussio Gleasias,
these guys are able to lock down at Jesse Chavez
is a nice long guy. But for the Miami Marlins,
even though this has been with the lesser bullpens in
the big leagues as far this season, I expect some
positivity for guys like Andrew and Ardi, Ta Tanner Scott
who he sees to go. Both of these guys were

(43:31):
able to supply you with a sub three to five ERA.
They've had a little bit of a off COVID thus
far the season, Brian Hoying has actually been really good
on the bullpen thus far. Anthony Bender, he's been posting
up a north of adra. I do think that he's
going to be able to get back on kilter as well.
For the Atlanta Braves, I certainly think that they're gonna
be able to get their runs off of Trevor Rodgers.
But I do see some positivity coming for this Miyami
Marlins team as well. So I did something total a

(43:52):
nine point six, I'm gonna be looking at the over.
I don't like the form of Max Freed and being
able to get anything north of plus two twenty two.
I'm gonna be looking at that Marlind's money line to
go along with the over nine nine nine ten on
the betting board. It is the Arizona Diamondbacks hit the road.
They're facing off against the Saint Louis Cardinals. Steven mask
goes for the Cardinals. Tommy Andry is on the bump
for the Diamondbacks. This game is off the board. Tommy

(44:13):
Henry was not known as he started until after the
game on Monday, so that's why we currently have no
numbers up on this game, but on the way up
to minus one fifty three with the Cardinals plus one
fifty five or ire could be taking a look at
the Diamondbacks and then I semi told to wear an
eight and a half or less. I'm gonna be taking
a look at the over a nine or higher. I'm
gonna be taking a look at the under. Who had
a Saint Louis team that has been quite miserable at

(44:34):
the plate recently, but Tommy Henry just has not been
in very good form whatsoever. And I take a look
at Tommy Andry getting the start, and it does have
to have you have some trepidation, to say the least,
with his arison a Diamondbacks team and for the Saint
Louis Cardinals, finally they were able to bust here a
little bit with their offense on Monday, and I do
think that we're gonna see a little bit more of
that moving forward. Paul gold Schmid, He's had a brutal

(44:57):
starch of the season, hitting right around the Mendoz line
of about a two hundred, but he was able to
go deep yesterday. He saw Nolan Gorman get his fourth
home run season. That was big because they had not
homered in any of their last eight games, and still
off guys that have been able to move the line
for the Seam Nolan Ernado and Silating about a two ninety.
Wilson Gaturis has been able to give you four hundred
one base as well, and you do have to figure
that some of these guys like gold Schmidt, like Brandon Donovan,

(45:19):
these guys are gonna be able to pick it up
a little bit. Meanwhile, for the years in the Nineanbacks
offense has honestly been fined, despite the fact that Corbyn
Carroll is off to a terrible start to the season.
Give you just a three twenty five on base, But
the guys that have picked it up Canel Marte of
the Marte Barte, a long lordis Grayel, both of these
guys inning north of the two eighty, both of these
guys supplying you with five home runs. Christian Walker has
also been able to do a nice job being able

(45:41):
to give the Seama trio bombs. He's been able to
provide about a three to seventy on base. Jack Peterson
north of four to sixty on base as well. But
for the Cardinals, the bullpen has been very from a
season ago. Last season they were about twenty second in
the big leagues in terms of bullpenny Ray. Theyre bringing
Andrew Kittrich to go along with Ryan Helsley. It was
pretty much a lone returning player that at a sub

(46:01):
three five ERA in the bullpen a season goo, But
you've been able to get some rock solid endings out
of more of these guys that are a little bit
more shall we say unknown. Ryan Fernandez has been said,
Jojo Romeiro has been able to give you a little
bit of a spark as well. And then for the
years in the nine in the backs, it's a bullpen
that's not great, not terrible about some teeth in the lake.
There's their era they currently are without Luis Friz. You're
gonna be probably utilizing Logan Allen as a little bit

(46:23):
of a long guy as well. If you can't get
a lot out of Tommy Henry, Ryan Thompson, Kyle Nelson,
these guys are ultiately okay, but it'scott to go and
he gave it up once again yesterday, so that's not
too tremendous. And for Tommy Henry actually had an era
that was significantly better more than two points better away
from him rather than at home this past season in
twenty twenty three. But just take a look at what

(46:43):
he's been able to do throughout his MLB career, giving
him north a three point eight walks ber Nian endings
his career eras right around a four to eighty four
in his field, the dependant has starn near a five.
Gives up quite a bit of our contact, doesn't necessarily
give you a lot of swings and misses. This season,
has been able to up the strike on numbers, but
still giving up a lot of walks, still giving up
just a lot of general contact as his whip is
a buck eighty. So this is the spot where I

(47:04):
did have to set the Sad Lois Cardinals as a
pretty sizable favorite, especially with Steven mass even though he
had one rough start a little bit earlier towards the
season since the All Star Game of twenty twenty three,
Smiles supplying some three to five year sent a nice
job not giving out a lot of walks. He's not
like some sort of strikeout artists or anything like that,
but as been able to do a nice job, I'll
be able to keep batters off balance as far as
the season just twelve to strikeouts in twenty innings, but

(47:26):
as been able to do a nice job keeping the
ball in the yard, giving up just one home run
thus farthest season, though I do think that he might
start to give up a little bit more harder contact
moving forward. If you look at the avance numbers but
want to lay up to a minus one fifty three
of the Cardinals, plus one fifty five or ihre looking
at the Diamondbacks and plus one thirty or higher, we'll
be willing to lay a run nine with the Cardinals
and then in after loss, looking at you over nine
or higher the under nine eleven nine to twelve on

(47:46):
the betting board. The San Diego Pottery set the red
face off against the Colrade Rockies. Ryan Faultner is on
the bump for the Rockies and Michael King hopes to
be the king for the potterys. Potteries between minus one
fifty seven to minus one sixty five favorites between plus
one thirty six to plus one fifty That bron Colorado
ten and a half is a total hundreds between mins
on ten to a mins with twenty overs any between

(48:07):
even and minus one ten.

Speaker 3 (48:08):
And I'm gonna be looking at the over.

Speaker 2 (48:10):
He did something toal at ten point seven, though, I
think you're gonna need to get the potteris to do
a lot of the offensive, just legwork. As you've got
a Colorado Rockies unit that as of right now, they
have scored two runs or fewer in six out of
their last seven games, including their last four at corrus Field. Like,
there's just no way they can continue this and call

(48:30):
themselves professionals. This is just absolutely embarrassing. They have went
teap sixteen times in twenty three games as far this season.
And you've got a few guys are moving the line.
Brenton Doyle, Elias des Ezekiel Tovar, Ryan McMahon. All these
guys are hitting a three hundred or better for this team.
But it's a divide between the halves and the have nots.
Charlie Blackman is in a little bit of a funk
right now. Nolan Jones, after a nice season last year,

(48:53):
he's currently hitting about forty three and for that matter,
he along with the currently injured Chris Bryan, Brandon Rodgers,
Miguel TOGLEA guys like this, they're all inning below them.
No sign two hundred. I think that called Michael Tokulia miguil,
but he probably deserves it at this point for him
inting a bucko six. And for the Corad Rockies, this
has been a very brutal bullpen as well. Bottom five
of the big leagues. With regards to you are a

(49:14):
Victor Vodnik has honestly been relatively solid for this team,
but you've got quite a few guys who are just
cutting it at this point. Noah Davis has become your
long guy, but now you've got out there a pair
of guys and Tyler Kinley Anthony Molina of a north
of eighty ra Justin Lawrence has been terrible throughout his career.
Jake Bird has honestly not been too bad but for

(49:34):
the Potters, even though this bullpen loses Josh Hader in
the offseason, at this point, Josh Chayner may not be
doing Aholock a lot better because I mean he has
not been putting it together with the Houston Astras. And
we've got a pair of guys in and Jodela Santos,
Alantwani Perolta who had sub three five years at their
previous stop last season. Both of these guys have been
great in this Pattery's bullpen. Ki Matsui comes over from

(49:55):
the knee pone Baseball League. He's been able to do
a slid job. Roberts Swartz has been pretty solid as well.
And for Michael King, he ever since getting those starts
in August and September with the New York Yankees has
posted up in the starters role a sub three era.
If you take out the long relief appearance that he
had out there in the Soul Series, He's been able
to do a nice job on this front. Has given
up a little bit more hard contact than you'd like,

(50:16):
as he did give up a home run in the
Soul Series. If you take that out, he's still give
it up five home runs in total over the course
of about twenty four and two thirds hangs as far
as the season, but has really been able to get
the strikeouts north of the nine strikeouts er Nia yangs
and you do think that with the Colrade rock he's
just flat on not hitting and the Patres still having
many much out to turn. Fernando Tatis Junior pair of
guys that have been able to combine for ten home runs.

(50:37):
Both of these guys north of two six. So you
having Jake Croninworth having a nice revitalized season, it's been
able to give you about a three thirty on base.
The country spot has been much better at the least
Campusano being able in about it two ninety. They don't
have some dramatic righty bluffy splits or anything like that
as well, that they should be able to get the
job done against the guy and Ryan Feldner that it
looked like he was turning the corner going into his
life start against the Philadelphia Phillies and then gets sagged

(50:59):
for six runs of five and the third innings he's
been gab will give you a lot of swings and
misses as far as the season north of eleven punchhoufs
Ber nine and Nunnings, but overall for his careers more
around eight straight cuts for nine. Nnings have to wonder
how much of that was just a matter of circumstance.
He had a nice start against the Tampa Bay Rays,
but past said, I just don't think that these swings
and misses are gonna be able to continue. And he's
still has given up at least two walks Eachi of

(51:20):
his four starts as far this season. So I do
think that the Potteries get to felt Urine. I think
the Rockies score more than two runs in this game.
So gonna be looking at the overseet my total at
ten point seven, and with the Potteries, I was willing
to lay up to a minus one thirty on the
minus one and a half runt line. Currently you'll find
that more around even money to minus one ten. So
when at that run line, and I'm gonna be looking
at the total over nine thirteen nine fourteen on the

(51:40):
bank board of the New York Mets, they get the
road to face off against the San Francisco Giants. Logan
Webb goes for the Giants. Luis Seventino is on the
bump for the Metropolitan. Seven a half is a total
over and under both at minus one ten and between
minus one forty six and minus one fifty five. That
number on San Francisco between plus one thirty and plus
one thirty eight. Your number on the Mets end circumstance
where I'm going to be one to back logan web

(52:02):
at home. If you're looking to lay a run a
half with the Mets, you're getting right around about plus
one thirty five plus one forty. Honestly, I would rather
lay a chalky or money line in the spot. I
need at least a plus one thirty two to take
shot on the run line, but money line. I was
willing to go up to a minus one fifty eight
with the Giants, and I do anticipate this being a
little bit of a lower scoring game. I'm gonna be
willing to take the seven and a half over, but

(52:23):
Semi told him more around at seven point nine. Logan
Web has just been so dominant at home throughout his career.
He's got an ERA that's more than a full point
better when he's at home rather than away from home
for his career and overall this season buck twenty nine
ERA at home, four thirty two ERA away for a moment,
his home runs per nine rate at home is about
a half a home run per nine. That is his
entire career going against the Mets lineup that has really

(52:45):
been able to revitalize itself. It's looked much better here
in recent weeks, but Man's too nice against the Dodgers,
and then game number one against the Giants has been
a little bit rough. Fan, I think that there's gonna
be a lot of touch and go with his Mets
team all season long. Pete Alonso has been able to
spy you with seven overrowns three thirty. Obbes's able to
do a nice job. And a lot of these guys
that started out the year Eltes it'll be rough have
been able to pick it up. Sands really, Francisco, Lindor Long,

(53:06):
Brandon Nimo, they're still fighting it a little bit, but
we've got the likes of a Harrison Bader hitting about
a two ninety five, Serling Martinez found a way to
be able move the line while being able to supply
four on runs and by the San Francisco Giants, it's
not necessarily the world's greatest lineup, but we've got a
lot of depth with it, as you've got Matt Chapman
along with Ray Celaire Michael Conforto all between four and
five on runs. As far the season, chairman is just

(53:27):
not doing a great job. We'll be able to get
on base. But if had Celaire hit about a two
to fifty, Conforto up to about a two seventy, and
love what I'm seeing a lat Way Junior four fifty
on base three to fifty eight batting average. It's a
giant team though that that's a massive fact that they're
both be has honestly not been tremendous. Getting Luke Jackson
off the injury list I think is going to be
very much of impact he last season was able to

(53:48):
be when they're better relievers. With a sum three era,
he joins both of the Rodgers brothers, Land and Rob.
These guys have been able to do a nice job.
And for the New York Mets, they're currently deal with
an injury to Brooks Raley as well. That has been
a little bit less and terrific as they're going to
be looking a lot to Adam out of Vino to
be able to set up for Edwin Diaz, which Edwin
Diaz is absolutely amazing, but getting the ball to him
as a little bit of a different circumstance. Meanwhile, for

(54:08):
the Louise sever Reno, just a nice renaissance. Thus far
this season, he has given up ten runs to twenty
one innx, but only five of which will earned. He
has given up zero or one in runs at each
out of his last three starts. Swinging his stuff has
been solid. It's honestly what it was when he was
at peak form with the Yankees or anything like that.
But nine straightcouts per nin and NINGX, he does need
to get down on the walks in north of four
walks for nine NINGX. I do think that there's going

(54:30):
to be a little bit of regression here for Louis Averno, though,
I do think that the Giants going to be able
to find a way on and find a way to
be able to generate enough offense to be able to
get the job done. So like the money line of
the Giants, don't really want to dive in on the
run line. To go along with this sotal over Sem
I told at some point nine nine to fifteen, nine
sixteen on the bank board, the Cleveland Guardians playoffs to
the Boston Red Sox. Heaner out goes for the Socks,
and Ben Lively is on the bump for Cleveland. Cleveland

(54:52):
is a underdog of any between minus one oh five
plus one to one anywhere between minus one o eight
to minus one fifteen that number one Boston f total
in some spots eight and others on the and a
half over and under both minus one ten on the
overs between minus one fifteen to minus one twenty five
hundreds between minus one and five and plus one of five.
Last time, ten Or Rouk took him out and it
was against these very Guardians and he was able to

(55:13):
throw a complete game, did so on under one hundred pitches.
Do you think we're gonna see a little bit reversal here?
We've been seeing the Cleveland Guardians really doing a nice
job of being a move line, and he did set
them as a slight favorite, So gonna be one to
diving on the money line. Though Danneruk was very economical
with his pitches last time out, he throughout his career
has been a little bit more of a strikeoup guy.
Career about nine and a half strikeouts bernine innings was
sneak bitten by some very bad luck season ago. Last

(55:36):
year you had take a look at the five vra
it was backed up by a fielding compendent more around
a four to forty five. And I do think that
you're starting to see a little bit about positivity moving forward.
That's why the season just twenty eight strikeouts to two walks.
It's been absolutely incredible through twenty six to two thirds endings,
and I do think that the walks are going to
creep up. I don't think he's really ever completed a
season which he's had fewer than two point seven walks

(55:56):
per nine innings. But for Ben Lively, he's a little
bit of a pitture of contact. I may just one
started this far the season against these very Red Sox
and wasn't bad. Gave up two runs at five innings
over there at Fenway, was able to strike out seven.
Last year he had a pump giving up the depauk,
giving up too the runs per nine ings, but got
about the strikeouts for nine innings. Only gave up about
two and a half walks per nine as well. And
for Boston, they're very much dealing with a whole bunch

(56:18):
of injuries. Say, should be able to get back Tyler
O'Neil for this one, and that's veg. He was on
the concussion seven daight injury list. He was providing seven
home runs, so getting him back as began, you've got
Triskassis providing about a three forty five mmies. He's been
able to supply six home runs as well, but they're
dealing with an injury to Raphael Evers. It's up been
great to say the least, and it comes down to
whatever you're gonna be able to get out of the

(56:39):
young guys. Wiler A Bray, you along Jaron Duran, both
of these guys saying north of the two to eighty.
But Pat said, you've got a lot of guys that
just have not been able to live up to their
billion Pablo Reyes along with David Hamilton, Sadine Rafaela, Emmanuel Valdes.
These are guys sitting below them. Notes signed two hundred
end for the Boston Red Sox. The bullpen hasn't been amazing,
but and it's been relatively sawid. Kelly Jansen, when you

(56:59):
get him into a not super duper pressure pack situation
typically comes through for you. Chris Martinet, it's up to
era a season ago. Brandon Burnardino as may have holed
down the fourth. This seems about thirteenth in the league
in terms of bullpenny A. Ray just doesn't hold the
candle though to this Cleveland Guardians team currently number two
in the Big leagues terms of bullpenny. Ray, You've got
so many guys are able to come out of this
penn Area will give you some very very good Unting says,

(57:20):
You've got a manual class A, no doubt about it.
It's one of the best closers out there in the
big leagues. But Peters starts a lucky Nick Sandlin, even
something like a kid Smith you by Morgan. These are
all guys providing a sub three thirty era and for
the lineup, they've got a bit more pop than they
did a season goo Last year they were by far
deadvice in the big leagues in terms of total home runs.
Not like they're necessarily lighting it up in terms of

(57:41):
home runs this year twenty two home runs in twenty
two games. But Naylor Square, Josh and Bonnaylor have been solid,
with Josh really being the main guy hitting a three
twenty five six home runs as far this season. But
got a lot of guys that they were just guys
that in general we're looking to make contact, find a
way on base last season, but they're doing no mets
better job of it this season. Andre Semenez, abrielle Urias
along with Stephen Kwan have all been able to at

(58:03):
least two ninety for this team. You need to get
a little bit more from some of these guys like
Will Brian and Brian Roschio. These are guys that aren't
giving you a lot of power. They're not necessarily doing
the world's great job of finding way on base. But
this has been a Cleveland Guardian team that has been
much better at the plate this season. They do have
lefties is significantly better than righty, so it's going to
be hurting them a little bit. In between an eight

(58:23):
and a half to an eight. I would personally rather
take the eight and a half under rather than the
eight over ice It's might toll it at eight point two,
and Cleveland is a very picture friendly ballpark. But I
do think that with Lively having this bullpen backing them
like he does, I do think that he does just
enough to be able to get the job done for Cleveland.
So looking at Cleveland on the money lines, out of
them as a minus one thirteen favorite, and gonna be
taking a look at this little under edit eight and
a halfs that might toll in a eight point two

(58:44):
nine seventeen ninety eighteen. On the bank board, the Detroit
Tigers sit throat their faceing gob against the Tampa Bay Rays.
Ryan Peppiote is on the bump for the Rais and
get to Beta is on the bump for Detroit. Detroit
is an underdog of any between plus one forty and
plus one forty seventeen and plus one fifty two, so
it's out there as well between minus one fifty five
to minus one sixty six. The number on the race
eight is the total hundreds between minus one ten two

(59:07):
a minus well fifteen overs between minus one five to
minus one ten and gonna be willing to back the
race did set them as a favorite of minus one
fifty one, so gonna be going in on the run
line by now seeing this between plus one thirty to
plus one thirty five to lay a run half. And
I'm very comfortable with that. With the way that Kent
Tomata has been absolutely terrible this far this season, He's
got an the ram north of a seven to sixty

(59:27):
and a fielding independent that's right around about in eight forty,
given up north of three home runs per nine innings,
has just been getting tattooed in every aspect of baseball.
It's given up seven walks in seventeen and two thirds ins.
He's not lending length, he's not keeping the ball in
the yard, he's not getting strikeouts. It's just been rough,
to say the least. And for Ryan Pepiot. He's got
a four to thirty seventy area, but a fielding independent
far lower than that, which is ironic because last year

(59:49):
with the Dodgers he had a sub two to fifty AARRA,
but a fielding independent has more round four. But he's
done a nice job this season. I'll being able to
get those swings and misses. Twenty seven strikeouts in twenty
two and two thirds ins. A's far the season six
most strikecouts in each of his last three starts. They
give up a pair of home runs when he faced
out against the San Francisco Giants at home a little
bit earlier in the season, but on all last three
starts it's given up a combined five runs, filled at

(01:00:11):
least five innings, and every won them. And he's backed
up by a Tampa Bay Rays bullpen that to this
point the season, they've been in the bottom meet in
the big leagues with ears a Bullpenny Ray. I do
think that you're going to be seeing them get back online.
We have seen p Fairbanks be just all out of sorts.
As far as the season Chris Vinski film at on
the former Asters have not been tremendous, but so have
the likes of Garrett Clevenger Jason Adam, who have been

(01:00:31):
able to do a solid job calling. Pouchet has been
a little bit up and down, and they do have
to face off against him. Tiger's bullpen that is in
the top three in the big leagues in terms of
their era. You don't nenicarily have that one guy that
necessarily seals the show, as Jason Folly has been the
primary closer and he has been tremendous. But and just
take a look at all these guys, Andrew chaf and
Shelby Miller, Wilves, Tyler Holton, They're all providing a sub

(01:00:52):
to fifty era. But you do have a Tiger's line
up that in general, it's been having a little bit
of more off COVID. To their credit, they've been able
to turn things around a little bit more. They've been
able to put up four plus runs and now six
out of their last seven games, but they're still not
necessarily supplying the deep balt They've got to combine fifteen
home runs over the course of twenty two games as
far as the season, and not a lot of guys
that in general do a great job of being able

(01:01:12):
to move the line. As a matter of fact, they
are a top three hitters in terms of total at
batts Ridley Green, Spencer, turkal Sin along with the rookie
in Keith Colt Keith. They're all leading a two thirty
one or lower. You've had Carry Carpenter hit above a
three hundred and three home runs. Markana, yes he can
to give you a four hundred on base four home
runs as well, but these guys like Jason Rodgers, it's
really the entirety of the catchers spot Parker Meadows. They

(01:01:33):
have been a little bit rough in due Orshell has
been your main consonant being able to find a way
on basin for the Tampa Bay Rays. You need the
NDDS Radio Rose Arena to pick it up. These guys
are at the top of the fold. In both of
these guys hitting a two to twenty two or lower,
they're not giving you a lot in terms of on
base and combined three home runs between the two of them,
that's been less than terrific. As e Zach Parades has
really had to carry the team in terms of your
power perspective, five home runs, three fifty five on base.

(01:01:56):
Amid Rosario has found a way on as well, hitting
north of a three fifty in like when I've seen
how Jerry Calbray as well, not gonna take a lot
of walks, but finds a way on. I do think
that the Tampa Bay Rays going up against get to Maida,
They're gonna be able to get this offense online. So
I'm gonna be taking a look at the race, laying
a run and a ff. I'm willing to take a
plus one thirty or higher there and this tell my
total at eight point three. I think the Pepiot is
going to give up a little bit of contact in

(01:02:16):
general to the Segre scene, but find a way to
be able to get the race to a nice milesie
run win. As I do think that the woes for
my ATA continue, So looking at the run line of
the race and the total over nine nineteen ninet twenty
on the bank board the Oakland A's they throw the
phrase up against the New York Yankees. Marcus Roman goes
for the Yankees and Paul Blackburn walks the plank for
Oakland and Oakland does find themselves as a big underdog
anywhere between plus one seventy five to plus one eighty

(01:02:38):
five between minus two dollars minus two twenty is your
number on the Yankees. Eight is a total over and
under between minus one of five to one minus one
fifteen and any think a plus one seven or higher
with willing to take a shot on the Oakland A's
You've seen Paul Blackburn give up a few walks as
far as the season, and after you got nearly nine
strike cuts for nine innings this season, go back to
being a little bit more of a picture contact guy.
Eighteen strike cuts in twenty five innings as far as

(01:02:59):
the season, and I think that last year was a
little bit an outlier in terms of the strikeout numbers,
but has done a nice job of be able to
induce soft contact in the last few seasons. Has been
a little bit of an underrated pitcher growing up against
a guy and Marcus Stroman that he's been relatively solid
thus far this season, but has said you always have
to have your trepidations with him. He's got a two
forty two ERA, but a fielding independent closer to FOURT.

(01:03:20):
He pitches quite a bit of contact is while getting
aout seven al stracats for nine and in ings. His
main specialty being able to get ground balls, as that
is what he's really looking to be able to do.
He has given up nearly three point six walks for
nine and endings as well, so that's a little bit
of concerning. He's backed up by a Yankees bullpen that
honestly is relatively online with the Oakland A's. Both of
these teams have top ten bullpens with regards to era.

(01:03:41):
You've been able to have some relatively solid endings for
this New York Yankee team out of the likes of
Ron Menanacchio over the last few seasons. I know that
they've been throwing out their Nick Berdy a little bit.
He's honestly been very good in Clay Holmes at the
closer spots he had to allow an earn run, so
he's done a nice job on that front. But the
guys that they picked up from the La dodd Is
more specifically Caleb Ferguson just have not necessarily been able

(01:04:03):
to pay dividends quite yet. Dennis Santana has been a
little bit up and down, and then for the Oakland A's,
this team is in the top eight the big leagues
in terms of opening right Mason Miller I believe should
still be a starter, but he has been tremendous in
that closer spot. You've got so many guys are right
now supplying you with a sub three ERA. Danny Menez
is right out of three ERA, but Lucas Hertsage, Austin Adams,
these guys have come in. They've really been able hole

(01:04:24):
down the fort and that's been big because of the
Oakland A's currently a bottom three team in the big
leagues with regards to run scoring, you do have a
pair of guys and shay Legliers Brett Rooker, who'll both
been able to give you four him runs, both of
these guys inning below the midos I end of a
two hundred. Not sure why Sterio Ruiz was ever sent
down to the minor league level, but was one of
the top acos in all baseball he season ago. He's
got two home runs and sixteen at bat so he's

(01:04:46):
been able to pay a lot of the dividends as well.
But you've got all but three players I've seen at
least one at beat this year hitting a two thirty
five or lower. So I do think that for the
Oakland A's that's going to be a little bit rough though,
if you do take a look at the Baseball Savant numbers,
not saying that the Oakland A's by the end of
the year are going to be hitting like Albert Bella
or anything like that, but that said, if you look
at the expected batting average, a Ben hitting about fourteen

(01:05:06):
points lower then that expected batting average. In for the
New York Yankies, Aaron Judge has just been miserable at
the plate this far this season. He has been able
to still supply three on runs but hitting just about
seventy four. Anthony Brizzo has not necessarily been himself as well.
He labor Torres John carlosin only a two thirty two
or lower, though sin has been to give you five
home runs spend one. So it has been really the
start that serves a drink for forty on baits five

(01:05:27):
home runs, He's gonna get paid in the offseason. And
Anthony Vope as welldo Cabrera. They're falling off a little
bit from their on starts of the season, but still
find a way to be able to move the line.
But I do think that this summer has just gone
a little bit too far. I feel like the reputation
of the Oakland A's is providing us a lot of
good value on them, and I'm gonna be won't take
that as money line once again. I'm gonna be taking
a look at Oakland being able to get a plus
one seventy year higher. And with regards to Soto, I

(01:05:48):
did some my total light at eight point two. I
have a love what I seen on my Chris Stroman
this far, and I do think that Blackburn, being a
picture contact guy, sees a little bit of regression as well.
So lenete over and the A's on the money line
twenty one twenty two on the bag board, the Toronto
Blue Jays at Thread they're facing off against He can't
say Royals Michael Waca and if he gets destroyed, he
becomes Michael Waka Loaca, Loaca, locka locka, dying pac Man

(01:06:09):
voice for mister Waka. He goes for the Royals. Kevin
Gosman is on the bump for Toronto. Toronto's between a
minus one seventeen to a minus one twenty favor between
even money and plus one to eight. That is your
number on Kansas City and half is the total the
unders between minus one ten to a mix with twenty
overs between even at mius one ten set the Blue
Jays at a minus one seventeen. I'm seeing one straight

(01:06:29):
minus one sixteen out there. This is a max. I'm
gonna be one to lay with the Blue Jays, but
I am going to be one to lay it with
Kevin Gosman. He was sealing some arm fatigue in spring
training and clearly has not been himself as far this
season north of an eighty ra. I do think that
he's gonna start to find it a little bit more.
And I thought that the start they had against the Yankees,
so he did walk three, and that's very uncharacteristic of him.

(01:06:50):
Typically he's given up only about like two to two
and a half walks per nine and nine, so I
do think that that's still a little bit of a concern.
But he looked a little bit better in that start.
He was able to get six strike, got some five innings.
The velocity was starting to climb back up, So that's
an encouraging sign. And for Michael Waka, he has spent
the last few seasons on just a different team every
single year. Spent a year with Padres, the Red Sox,

(01:07:10):
the Raise, the Royals, and he's been pretty rock solid
with all those teams. But if you take a look
at the era compared to his fielding independence as the
beginning part of the twenty twenty one season as a
fielding dependent about point six points higher than his era.
He's solid with regards to swings and missus. Not tremendous
about Eastery cosper nine nings's last few seasons, and has
done a nice job of locating just six walks in
twenty four innings as far as the season, but he

(01:07:31):
got tattooed last time out against the New York Mets.
He also faced out against the Chicago White Sox. And
if you can't handle the Chicago White Sox, not sure
what to tell you. So you take out the two
starts against the Chicago White Sox, he's giving up three
plus runs and the other two starts, so I do
think that's a little bit of a worre. He signed
and for the Royals, this has been a bullpen that
to date this season, they've honestly been sawid. They are

(01:07:52):
twelfth in the leg in terms of bullpenny area. I
just don't know how long lasting this is going to be.
Will Smith Chris Train. They come over from the Texas Rangers,
relatively untrustworthy guys. You've got Nick Anderson who just has
not been too tremendous for the seam at Jase MacArthur,
I just don't see a lot of upside there. And
for the Blue Jays, this has been one of the
worst bullpens in the big leagues as far this season.
But now you've got bag full Jordan Romano along with

(01:08:13):
Eric Swans and two of your most strustworthy guys from
the season go, and now they're getting reacclimated. The big
things for the Blue Jays that would be the bats.
You've got Dalton Varshow has been able to fight six
home runs. Nobody else has been able to give you
north of three, and it's been justin Turner. It's been
really a long consent in terms of being able to
blind north of the four hored base hitting three hundred,
he's been rock solid. And then you have Lager juniors
giving you a three fifty on base, but he's sitting

(01:08:35):
just a two thirty. We've seen George Springer hit right
around about a two hundred thus far of the season.
Aleander Kirk, David Scheider, Kevin Kiermier. These guys set the
bottom fold, haven't necessarily been able to find a lot
for the seam, and when you're not necessarily having great
power numbers, you're not doing a great job. I'll be
able to get on base. That is a little bit
of a concern, especially when you go up against Royal
team that they do have some thumpers in the lineup,
but this Royals lineup is very royally all or nothing.

(01:08:58):
You currently do have five different guys with these four
home runs. M Jam Melendez probably with Junior Salvador Perez,
Mikuel Garcia, Minnie Pascantino, though fer Garcia just a two
twenty four on basis for the season. M J. Melendez
only about a two thirty, but Babby with Junior Salvador Perez.
These guys have been very good at being able to
find a way on base, but there's a lot of
top heaviness the catcher spot. Other than Salvador repairs when

(01:09:19):
you have him out of the fold, that it's been
an issue. Kylo's Bell, Adam Frazier, Garrett Hampson. These are
guys that aren't necessarily giving you a ton, so it's
a very interesting spot. I do think that Kevin Gosman
starting to find himself once again. I do think that
he's going to do a solid job against this Royal team.
And I do think that regression going to start to
set in on Michael Walkin, especially with Cosman not necessarily
at one hundred percent right now? Could it be one
and taking a look the over so might total at

(01:09:39):
eighty point seven, but and a minus one seventeen or
less could be willing to take that blue Jay's money
line nine twenty three, nine twenty four on the bank
board the Chicago White Sox that throw at face off
against the Minnesota Twins. Bablu Lupez is on the bump
for the Twins and got Eric Fenni Wap on the
bump for the White Sox. Seven half is a total
unders any between minus onontendo minus well twenty five overs
any routeam plus one of five to minus one ten

(01:10:01):
for the minutes of twins, you're laying any between minus
two fifty to minus two sixty seven between plus two
ten and plus three twenty five that number on the
White Sox. And if you're looking at la run and
a half with the Twins, you're gonna be laying between
about minus one twenty two and minus one thirty ten.
This was a total that opened up at eight, by
the way, and I'm still willing to take a look
at the under semi toe at some point four. The
White Sox right now are averaging two point one runs

(01:10:24):
per contest. They were finally finding someone that was able
to put the ball in play in Baldy Young, and
now he's been dealing with a little bit of shall
we say, ups and downs as well. He's ouating about
a two thirty four. And you just take a look
at this White Sox lineup. They're everything about a half
home run per game at this point. They just can't
find guys be able to put the ball in play.
Gavin Cheetz is hitting about a two fifty four. He

(01:10:46):
is the only healthy player on the roster right now
that's hitting above a two forty three. And I'm not
even kidding when I say that, you've got so many guys,
I've just been a big giant pilot do doo right now.
The Andrews, and Andrew Vaughn, Andrew Bennett, ten d eloymn
Is Lennon so So, Kevin Palar, all these guys, they're
ending up Bucks seventy six or lower. Meanwhile, you've got

(01:11:08):
a Minnesota Twins team that really has happened a whole
lot cl lot better going into the series sitting as
a collective a buck ninety five. So that's a bit
of an issue. But player bucks and at the very
least has a track record of success still has as
many home runs as myself in a two to fifty
on base. He has been miserable, but als Kurloff has
been giving you about a three to twenty five on base.
Ryan Jefferson is finding a way to move the line.
He's got three home runs, and though he's not dating

(01:11:29):
for average, Edward Julien has been able to supply five
home runs as far this season. Both of these teams
have just been really rough at the play end. For
Eric Fetti, since coming back from the KBO, he's been
able to do a relatively solid job before it starts.
It's given up eight runs, seven of which are earned.
Now has been giving up a lot of heart contact.
He has given up five home runs and twenty and
third innings. His field independent far above that three teny
ra with the amount of heart contact that he's given

(01:11:51):
up and he has also given up nine walks in
this time span as well. But that said, he looks
much better than the pitcher that we saw with the
Washington Nationals. In for Pablo Lopez, he just year in
year out always has a field independent that's much better
than his era. He's been able to get a little
bit north of nine straight cuts Bernie and uns. He's
only given up four walks in north of twenty two innings.
But it just has been a little bit unlucky with

(01:12:12):
men in scoring position. He has given up our eight
three one runs as far this season. But I do
think that for Pablo Lopez, things are going to be
able to balance out from three ninety seventy arra thus
far a fielding dependent more around a three forty three
and basically off against the White Sox, that should be
able to really help him out. As both of these
bullpens as well have not been too bad. The White Sox,
they're honestly in the top half of the big leagues
with the guards Bullpennyer Jordan Leisure has leisurely been able

(01:12:34):
to do a solid draft. Michael Copek has not been terrible.
You get John Brebia back and fold. So, Hey, these
guys have all down the ford. And for the Minnesota Twins,
even with you on Dodan currently being on the fold,
they're a top six team with reguards of bullpennyery. He's like,
so Cody, Funderberg, Brock, Stewart, Steven, No, Kurt. They've done
a really nice job of holding down the fourth. So
I do think that you get a lower scoring game,
but I just don't know if the White Sox can

(01:12:54):
even get two runs for you in this spot. So
I'm gonna be one to lay the run line of
the Twins one to lay off dough mines one thirty
three on that run line, somebody total seven point four,
so also looking at the seven a half under nine
twenty five to nine twenty six on the baby board.
The Seattle Manners hit the road face off against the
Walker Texas Rangers is stained, Dunning looks to get her
dunning for Texas and Logan Gilbert is on the bump
for Seattle. Nine is a total unders minds one fifteen

(01:13:15):
the overs minus one on five and with Texas find
them anywhere between even money to minus one oh five.
Meanwhile between minus one of five to minus one fifteen
that number on Seattle and have been quite impressed by
Logan Gilbert thus far this season. But I do think
that the Rangers gonna be able to get a little
bit more online with their offense at home. I'm gonna
be willing to make the Rangers of minus one twenty
two favorites, so gonna be wanting to back them on

(01:13:36):
the money line. For Logan Gilbert thus far this season,
he's posting up a two thirty three ern. It's done
a nice job, but'll be able to get even more
swings and missus than ever before, nine and a half
punchouts at one point three walks per nine innings field
in Independent though three forty three compared to that two
thirty three. Era has been giving up a little bit
of her contact when the ball has been put in play.
Alra given up four home runs at his four starts
thus far the season, and for Texas, you notice this

(01:13:58):
with them last season as well. They were honestly the
worst home run teams when they were away from home
last season, but led the American Lague and home runs
when they were at how many season ago. And Adolas Garcia,
he has been absolutely raking. He and Marcus Simeon a
clined ten home runs, both of these guys providing at
least a three forty on base and in the case
of Garcia hitting at three twenty five. He was always
able aity for power. The average was always a little

(01:14:18):
bit of a question mark that is now there. Corey
Seeger has been uncharacteristically cool to begin the season, just
one home run, three forty five on base. I do
think that he's going to be able to find it
sooner rather than later. You've been able to see Josh
Schmith find a way to be able to move line
with about a four onner on base as well, So
I do think that the Rangers they're going to be
able to figure this out and they're going to be
able to get back on kilter. And for Dane Donning,
he has just been much more stunning when he's been

(01:14:39):
at home rather than away from home. Ever since he
joined the Texas Rangers, his ERA is about one point
seven points lower at home rather than away from home. Now,
last year we did see a little bit reversal on that,
but I do think that he's going to be able
to give you a relatively good start. He's been able
to up and swing him stuff from any season ago.
Last year it was only getting about seven strikeouts for
nine nings back up to about nine strikecouts per nine unnings.
So the walks are a bit of an issue, at

(01:15:00):
least two walks giving up in each of his fourth starts.
He has been posting up about a walks for nine
er eight of five. That was a little bit of
an issue towards being part of his career. And he
has given up five home runs thus far this season
in his fourth starts. But you'll look at the Seattle
Manners lineup and they just don't have a lot of
thumping power in the lineup. Fat Ori Polonko, Mitch Niger
both with three home runs. For Polanco hitting a miserable

(01:15:21):
bucks seventy three as he JP Crawford. You're able to
throw in there likes of Luke Rayley, Dlo Moore. These
are all guys hitting at two hundred or lower bud.
I've had Hanneger be able to give you about a
three forty five vas and get two seventy and Julio
Rodriguez sitting for average, He's sitting at two seventy five.
That's been fine. Zero home runs Thus far the season,
cal Rawley big dumper, has been able to give you
five home runs and honestly he's on a nice little

(01:15:42):
bit of a hot streak in general. But on it's
been at Seattle Marriers team has been pretty miserable at
the plate, that's far the season, and he've been playing
low scoring slogs as a result. You've got a lot
of reclamation projects in the Seattle Manners bullpen and they
become pretty much a West Coast version of the Raids.
They are able to just unearth these guys and turn
them into really good relievers. They pick up Ryan Sank,
Tyson Miller in the off season, but guys like Gabe Spier,

(01:16:03):
Trent Thorn, and Taylor's Tocado that were left for Net
they've been able to do a great job with them.
They did have Matt Brash go down with an injury.
By Andre's mood, Jo says they have a hold down
the fort en for Texas. They did upgrade their bullpen
in the offseason. They bring Kirby eight Saved Robertson. They've
been able to do a fine job. I like Jordan
Lats in the bullpen as well. Though you've been seeing
a little bit of a roll that ice with jose Leclerk,
But I do think that for Dane Dunny, he's gonna

(01:16:24):
be able to calm things down a little bit more.
And I do think that him being at home is
just so paramount in this start. So I'm gonna be
willing to back the Texas Rangers on the money line.
Did set them out of minus one twenty two, and
both of these seas have been a little bit on character,
becacistically cold to begin the season at the play, So
I did sell my till out an eight point seven
here at the nine, diving in on the under go
along with that Rangers money line nine twenty seven, nine
to twenty eight on the baking board, the built of

(01:16:45):
Orioles are on the road the facing golf against the
La Angels, says Griffin Cannon goes for the Angels, and
Grayson Rodriguez is on the bomb for the Orioles. Orioles
between minus one forty five to minus one fifty five
favorites between plus one thirty plus one thirty six at
number on the Angels, and the total overs between minus
four ten to a mins twenty d unders any between
even and minus one ten. They'll look at a layer
run half with the Orioles, you're only getting about a

(01:17:07):
plus one ten. I would rather take a chalk your
money line that we're willing to go any further than
about a minus one forty five. I set my number
out of minus one forty seven. But here at this summer,
I'm going to be able to lay it. Griffin Canning
has had a miserable start to the season eight oh
five era A given up five on runs in nineteen innings,
and it started against the Baltimor Orials. Gave up five
runs over the course of five innings. Did look better

(01:17:27):
in his last start, though, against the Tampa Bay Rays,
gives up two runs in five and a third innings
after giving up four plus runs each have his first
three starts, and the just overall strikeout numbers, they're down
from just sixteen strikeouts in nineteen ninnings as far this season.
That's been a big reason why he's had his struggles.
But I do think that's going to be going a
little bit northward end. Just throughout his career he's been
a little bit unlucky in general. But now he has

(01:17:48):
to go up against Grace and Rodriguez, he has given
up three on runs for free and each out of
his last sixteen regular season starts he has given up
just three on runs and twenty four innings, he's getting
ten strikeouts for nine nnings and that's a big thing
as well when he's re surface at the big league
level after being sent down to the minor leagues after
his first major league stint was not so great a
season ago. He was really not getting as many strikeouts

(01:18:09):
towards the back half of the twenty twenty three campaign,
but he learned to locate and he's been able to
do a solid job as far this season. Eight walks
in twenty four innings. That's a walksburn nine rate hovering
right around three. You'll take that if you're the Baltimore Oriols.
And for the Ools right now, they lead the league
at home runs thirty three bombs as so far this
season as if had. Anthony Santander, Jordan Westburg, along with
Cedric Mallins, Ryan O'Hearn, Gunner Henderson all provided lead four

(01:18:31):
home runs as far this season. Lam Kasso has been
a little bit cold with the home run ball, but
he Ealy Rushman, Jordan Westburg. They're all ining at least
a three h five gunner. Henderson is providing about a
three fifty on base. This Oriols team is so deep
that you're able to both tune for righty's and left
he so they have no real weak points. And for
the Orioles, they got a really nice sorry yesterday out
of Albert swaz so the bullpen is a little bit

(01:18:52):
more rested than expected. They did have to he's up
you and your canoe, Craig Kimberl yesterday. But o'doll's been
a Baltimore Oriols bullpen that's been about leg average, nothing great,
nothing terrible. Mike Bauman has been a guy that's may
hold down. The forty was used up yesterday, but i'd
like Deli Tate Jacob Webb being relatively good to go here.
Both of these guys have been nice as far as
the season, and for the ll Angels, this is a
bullpen that ranks in the bomb ten in terms of

(01:19:12):
ra A. This is why the fact that Matt Moore
Carlos's sevens are really nice. Eighth and ninth. Any duo
you've been able to get just no production whatsoever out
of some of these older guys like you've had Oja,
c Serno, Hunters, Stricklyn get lit Up. I do think
that Adam Simber has a little bit of potential, and
Carson Fomer has been relatively solid for this team as well.
But for the l Angels, the top heaviness of this
lineup is really killing them. You've had Mike Trout Taylor

(01:19:34):
Ward be tremendous as far the season, fourteen home runs
between the two of them, but they've got fourteen on
the team's twenty three home runs as far the season.
Then you've got guys like a Noah Chanal, Mickey Moniac,
Zach Netto. I here, Andreanza Mickey Moniac. Again, I'll mention
him because he's got a two h eight on base
all these guys hitting below of the middle line of

(01:19:56):
two hundred. Anthony Rendon, not that he's been like amazing
or anything like that, he goes on the injured list
as well. That hurts him even for further if I
had Logan o Api Miguel Sano both move the line
with about a three eighty on base But it's a
very top heavy Angels lineup in without drout ending home runs,
this team is just essentially doomed, and I think that
Rodriguez gonna be able to keep him on the art
did some my total to eight point eight. I do
think that three Oriols gonna be all rithm shots off

(01:20:17):
of Griffin, Canning and the bullpen. So do like this
sot over animal in lay up to a minus one
forty five with this Oriols money line, and we have
things up with nine twenty nine, nine thirty on the
billy board. The Uston aswer sit the road the facing
golf against the Chicago Cubs, as Jordan Wicks is on
the bump for the Cubs and JP France goes for US.
In us in between a minus one of seven to
a minus one fifteen favorite between minus one of three
to minus one of five is your number on the

(01:20:38):
chicag Cubs. Right now, only CIRCA has a number up
on the total because of the regular field win situation.
Total is ten over an under both I minus one
ten and as of right now, I'm going to be
willing to dive in on the under. Did somee my
total and a nine point eight because the wind is
going to be blowing out to begin the day and
most likely begin the game, but it might be blowing
in by the time this game wraps up. It's not

(01:20:59):
necessary warm day out there. Regularly it's going to be
in the load a mid fifties, so it's something to
watch out for. And Jordan Wicks, he is the embodiment
of Rick the wild Thing Vaughn. He's got the glasses
on and he's been giving him nearly five walks per
nine nnies but twelve and a half strikeouts ER nine
and Inks has done a nice job on that front end,
despite the fact that he's got an ERA hovering right
around five his Field the Independent starting near two points lower.

(01:21:20):
So I did set the cod Cups as a minus
one thirty favorite. I'm gonna be one to dive in
on the money line. JP Franz was very lucky a
season ago. He was able to post up in the
RA that was very very good, especially on the road.
On the road, he had his sub two fifty ARRA. Overall,
the ERA was a three eighty three, but Field the
Independent was more round a four fiftys. You only got
about six half strikecouts for nine ninnies. His strikecouts FORER
nine eight. That's where the season closer to about seven,

(01:21:42):
but he's given up four balks per nine. Ninnis. He's
been getting hit relatively hard, as he has given up
at least three runs in three out of his four
starts thus far as the season, and for the Astros,
they just don't pack him up with the same amount
of bullpend up that we've seen in past years. As
in past years, I know that Phil Mayton is not
the world's greatest guy, but he Ryanson, Ectoranrris, who's actually
now on the Cubs, they were relatively solid bullpen pieces.

(01:22:04):
You pick up Josh Hader in the offseason and well,
not to be a eterer, but he has not been
so great this far the season. He and Ryan Presley
that eighth the ninth ending dual has been far from terrific.
Taylor Scott has honestly been relatively okay. Brian Obrady as
a track record of success, but for the Astros, the
team is in the bottom five of the big leagues
right now in terms of bullpenny Ray. The Chicott Cubs
have not necesarly been amazing themselves, but you've been able
to have ectoran Aris, who comes over from the Houston answers.

(01:22:26):
He's able to hold down the fort hopefully Cross after
he was so good last season, he just has not
been terrific. But got guys like Luke Little Cody Bolton
who have been able to do a nice job of
getting into the ninth inning and being able to bring
in their Adbert also lay and for the Cubs, they
don't necessarily have the same lineup that the Askers you have,
but you've had Michael Bush be able to fly six
home runs. He was on a streak last week where

(01:22:47):
he had a home run in five straight games. Cody
Bellinger is starting to bust out as well. He had
a miserable start to the season, but he Christopher Morrell
combined seven home runs. Both of these guys have had
a little bit of a tough time with their average
bothtitting a two twenty five or lower, but Bellinger be
about a three twenty on Baes. Ian app has found
a way on despite the fact that the power has
up been there about a three fifty on Baes. Niko
Horner is certain to heat up as he Mike Tutman

(01:23:08):
are both giving you a north of a three seventy
on base and for the Askers, Jose Abray, who has
been absolutely awful since they signed up. He's hitting below
a book twenty five right now, but you near to
us at the cutcher spot. He's been to supply three
home runs, he get two ninety, Vetosel two Bay Jordan
over As, both of supplying north of eighty three seventy
on base VC guys along Kyle Tucker five home runs
a beast and Tuckers hitting about it two seventy five

(01:23:28):
all Jeremy Pinya, even though he hasn't so, he've been
able to provide a bunch of homers. He's hitting the
ball above a three hundred after last year was a
little bit of a down year from so I did
think that the asker is going to do a solid
b able to put back to the ball. But with
the win situation, I do think that that's gonna mute
the offense just a little bit. So you're at the
ten looking at the under. Now for the Cubs, I
think that they get the job done and continue the
Astros struggles set them out of minus one thirty. So

(01:23:48):
book the Cub's money line and at a ten or
higher under and that all rapt he's up for the
Tuesday edition of The Baseball Betting Show, now part of
the VS and Family podcasts. David Need like Feary from
this fine podcast Baseball Betting Show. You're able to subscribe
wherever your podcast up, podcast, google Play, Spotify, Situ Dune
and if you have a question coment's thinking ab an
idea what I'd be for this podcast. You have one
of two bays we will find those in. First one
is my Twitter slash ximeline. I done one undred and

(01:24:08):
forty one. Keep in mind there zum they mean? Does
that matter? So, as per usual, please to send these
into the timeline. By the way, it's buying an Apple
podcast review. If you're at this podcast five stars, it
is very much appreciate it. From there, you are able
fire in whatever you'd like to here on this podcast
VIAT five review. And I'm coming at you guys every
single day throughout the baseball season, and that means I'm
back with you once to get them out. Thank you
so much for shitting

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