4/25/24-Baseball Betting Show

Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:00):
Breaking down every game every day in Major League Baseball.
This is the Baseball Betting Show. Here is your host,
Greg Peterson.

Speaker 2 (00:08):
Hey warm, Welcome to Love Me Las Vegas for the
Baseball Betting Show with myself Greg Peterson, now part of
the Vson Family Podcasts. We've got an excellent podcast for
you as Joining me in segment number two one of
our good friends, Ben Wilson, who does amazing work here
at the network. He's gonna be joining me and we're
gonna be diving in on what we've all seen in
the NL Central as far this season. We're gonna be
taking a look at the Milwaukee Brewers. Kate your game

(00:31):
for Thursday? What is a lot Freddy parole to have success?
And take a look at a few games for Thursday.
And the final segment gonna get you guys picks in
analysis on every game on the betting board for this
Baseball Thursday as we touch them all. If you have
a question, come a segment idea. What have you for
this podcast? You have one of two ways bow farthos
in first one is my Twitter slash x simeline at
you and n under Scorty one keep in mind learns

(00:51):
you Namian does I'm atter sized per usual? Please you
send these into the timeline and the other ways. Find
an Apple podcast review. If you rate this podcast VI starts,
it is very much appreciating them. There. You are able
to fire in whatever you'd like here on this podcast.
By that five star review. Do not get in any
Twitter slash xx questions today. But we had a great
day of baseball on Wednesday. Let's take a look back
at it. I tried to find some trends in try
to get to know these teams a little bit better.

(01:13):
Games for yesterday is Greg buzzing about? Here is the
rowdy recap hitting Wolves for the Colrade or Rockies, just
continue on. They lose the San Diego Potters by a
count of five to two, as just another not so
great performance for them. Those and er boguards who has
been struggling for the San Diego Potters, who was able
to get three hits up on the board in this one.
But for the San Diego Potters, Matt Walder very nice

(01:36):
started here. One run surrendered over the course of six settings,
didn't allow a solo run to Ryan mcmanon third home
run season. Then Eliasias, who was able to Beatafolwanti Parolta's
second home round. The campaign for Pelton gives up that
Solome run and said in his ending of work, but
Uki Matsui ont of the roberts Warez are both able
to give you a squirrel of setting end. For Colorado,
Ti Block did not get the start that he was
hoping for. He gives up four runs at the first setting.

(01:57):
From there did settle down. He gives up at four
runs over the course of five innings, and then from
there you did actually have three score of sendings out
of Anthony Molina to lower his ZRA to a ten
to forty five. Victor Vaughnik gives up an under and
run in an ending as well. But my first inning
was backbreaker for the Colrad Rockies, so they end up following.
But ourd can New were gright to pick hits third

(02:17):
straight day in which we pick a money line underdog
winner three to two the Royals, but Royalty Takedown the
Toronto Blue Jaysuit just have not been able to generate
a lot of offense. Both of these teams have honestly
been really good to the under for the Royals sixteen unders,
eight overs and a push us far this season. Meanwhile,
for Toronto, fifteen unders to just ten overs thus far
this season, and George Bringer was pretty much the offense

(02:39):
in this one goes zep offense and al Zaetapa is
third home run the campaign is Aleck Marsh not long
for this one, four to a third innings. He doesn't
allow any runs. I believe he was lifted due to injury.
I was doing the Greg Peterson experience at the time,
so not quite sure, but I think they was lifted
due to injuries. Zartapa from there gives up two runs
in one and two thirds innings, including that home run,
But John Driver, Chris Raine, James MacArthur, they all land

(03:01):
a scorel of sending. Meanwhile, for the Toronto Blue Jays,
just a case where they didn't necessarily get the start
that they were desiring, as Yeriel Rodriguez gives up three
runs over the course of four innings. From there, Voden
Francis two squirrel of sennings, Genesis Cabrera, Trevor Richards. They
both supply a squirrels setting as well. But for Toronto
they go oh of seventh men and scoring position, so
that's a nice win for us well. It's always nice

(03:22):
to just fade the Chicago White Socks, and they fall
once again six to three in the final. Sadly, three
runs in this one is more than their season average,
as Joe Ryan did not have the world's greatest start year.
He does give up a home run to Corey Lee,
second home run the campaign, and Kevin Pillar is first
as the White Sox put up three runs in the
first five and then they go silent for Ryan gives
up those two home runs three runs a total of

(03:44):
course at six innings, but Matt Bowman, Griffith, Jacks, Brock
tow Arth, they all lend a squirrel of setting in
for the twins. They go three or fourteen with men
in scoring position. As Garrett Crochet, after a few nite starts,
he appears to be very much regressing in has been
getting figured out. Five runs surrendered over the course of
four ings, including a home run to Willie Castro, second
home run in the campaign from their Davy Garcia gives
up one run and one and two thirds hangs Tim

(04:04):
mill And out of the bullpen, and then Dominique Leone
John Rebia. They both supply a Squirrels signing Bud three
and twenty one are now the Chicago White Sox has
been just a giant pit of sadness for them. The
Baltimore Orioles, they have been anything but a pit of sadness.
If you did have the run line in this one,
though that was a little bit off as the Orioles
scout up six as yer are they only win by
one run, six to five the final. But now your

(04:25):
top over team in all baseball fifteen overs, seven hundreds,
two pushes Gunner Anderson he goes zep but once again
in this one his whole eighth home run of the season,
that off of Tyler Anderson, who gave up just two
runs over the course of five innings. And then Ose
Swade has let this game on fire. Four runs surrender
in two thirds of Finns from their ose Cserno, four
outside the bullpen, Squirales Carson former two Squirrels settings and

(04:46):
for the Angels. So you got a trio of home
runs as Zach Neetto was able to go deep off
of you near your canoe, don't you know that's his
first home run the campaign. And then Taylor Ward and
Mike Trout they currently have between the two of them
seventeen on the team's twenty six home runs as far
the season. Trout tenth home run of the year with
thirteen RBI that comes off of Dean Kramer and then
Jacob bud goes one up to award is seventh for

(05:07):
Web gives up this home run and it is ending
a working. Near Cano gives up his home run. It
is sending a work. Craig Kimbro gives up a run.
It is ending a work. While Danny Calum gets a
pairbouts out of the bullpen Squirrels and Dean Kramer not
a strikeout guy ten punch outs, gives up this home
run two runs a total over the course of five
and a third inning. So the Oriols find a way
to be able to get the job done there. And
for the Brewers, not a lot of runs scoring going on,

(05:29):
as they've now scored three runs for fewer and six
out of the last seven games, but they've been able
to have a winning record in this stretch. Three to two,
they take down the Pittsburgh Pirates. Says for the Brewers,
they strand ten men on base. They just weren't able
to get really into the scoring position too much. As
Bryce Wilson did his job four and a third innings,
gives up two runs along the way, including home run.
Grady for Pittsburgh had Brian Reynolds. He gets started arm

(05:49):
run the campaign and then from there the Brewers bullpen
went to work out of his spaguero Joe Piamps, Trevor mcgeil,
Alonda Squirrels setting in Brian Hudson. He gets five outs
out of the bullpen Squirrels. Meanwhile, for Pittsburgh, John Fleming,
the opener in this one, gives up two under and
runs and two and a third innings, hurt by a
fielding air by Rowdy Tells. From there, Lewis Ortiz gives
up a run in two and two thirds, ends hurt

(06:10):
by his own air and then roon see Cantreres Hunters
trand they both give you two scorelessetnings apiece. But Pirates
just could not get to that Brewers bullpen. So the
Brewers they get the job done once again. And there's
still won the better over teams in all of baseball,
but certainly that has been regressing recently. But something that
has been progressing is the New York Mets. After a
few rough days out there in Los Angeles say get

(06:30):
the job done here against the San Francisco Giants eight
to two of the final Francisco Lindor appears to be
getting out of his funk. Home runs number three and
four of the season goes deep off of Sean Hegela,
along with being able to supply a home run off
of Mitch White, formerly of the Dodgers and the Toronto
Blue Jays. As White and his debut for the San
Francisco Giants gives up that home run two runs a

(06:50):
total over the course of an ending and this was
a truest of true bullpen games. With Miike Snell going
on the injured list just hours before the game, Ryan
Walker was the opener. He Eric Miller, Luke Jagg along
with one of the two Rodgers and Taylor. Rodgers were
able to turn his Squirrel setting, but Hegel was supposed
to be the ball guy, gave up three runs and
two to two thirds innings. He gave up a pair
of home runs, while you did have three runs surrounder

(07:12):
while getting just four US out of land and Rop
as well. The other home run in this game that
came off the bat of Tyrone Taylor. His second home
run of the campaign, while Shaan and Aa not a
lot of lengthier for the Mets, gives up four walks
in four to two thirds ends, but keeps it clean
does not give up any runs. Reid Garrett does give
up this home run. It is two innings of work
as it was home run number one of the campaign
for Tyler Fitzgerald, but was able to mitigate things, Sarah,

(07:34):
you did have Edwin Diaz give up an under run
and his ending work, Kurt Briy, Pete Alonzo throwing air
and Ada Montavino four outsid of the bullpen scorales. So
the Mets able hold down the Forden and they're able
to get the job done. The Cardinals, they have been
having a very rough go of it on offense and
they become a really nice under team. Fifteen hunders, eight
overs and two pushes, but they find a way to
be able to get a win against the Ears and
a Diamondbacks five to one. The final Diamondbacks at most

(07:57):
of their starters in this one. You saw lords Garry yell,
cat Tell Marte if the Barte Partey not being the
starting lineup in this one, and they go oh of
eight with men in scoring position while Jorge Montgomery against
his former team, wasn't bad. Gives up three runs, two
of which were earned over the course of seven innings.
Was hurt by a blaze Alexander throwing air. But that said,
Ben Jarvis comes in from there, gives up two runs
to just a third of an inning, and then hit

(08:18):
a pair of outside of the bullpen from Andrew selfrank
as well. Meanwhile, for Saint Louis, this was a very
get start from Kyle Gibson. Starters or not he went
out there. He gave up just one run over the
course of six inings. From there, Jojo Romero, Andrew Kitschrich,
Ryan Elslie, they're all able to lend a squirrel, assigning
to be able to get that one to the window,
and the Reds they get to the window as well.
They're now fourteen and ten. They take down the Philadelphia

(08:39):
Phillies by account of seven to four. For the Phillies,
you're able to get a monicom of offense in this
one from just every one up and down. The bowl
of vard Isaahic Bohem goes four to four, but they
go to just four to sixteen with men in scoring
position at Spencer Turnbull not a bad start here, gives
up a solom run over the course of five innings,
waited for Cincinnati, Will Benson third home run the campaign,
and then the bullpen made a mess of things. Anthony

(09:00):
Dominguez he goes two thirds finang and he lost four runs,
all of which were iarn mats Terohn gets it out
of the bullpen, while Gary Risoto ose Alvarado. They both
give up a run and they're ending working for Cincinnati.
Nikoldolo only four strikeouts. He gives up three runs over
the course of five innings, but the bullpen at his
back as he had justin. Wilson Lucas sims goodbye for
a squirrel as sending. Emilia Pagan does give out an

(09:20):
out out of the bullpen, but gives up a run
as well, but Fernanda Cruz pairfouts out of the bullpen.
Squirrels brent Souter Alexis Sis scoreless eighth and ninth innings
to be able to get that one to the window
and also being able to get to the window on
the run line this far the season has been the
Cleveland Guardians. They have the best run line record in
the Big Leagues at seventeen and seven not the case
on Wednesday, eight to zero, the Boston Red Sox are

(09:42):
able to hold them down. As for the Red Sox,
three of home runs in this one, Connor Wong was
mister Rightolf of Carlos Cookie Carasco fourth and fifth home
runs of the season, or ralphield evers. He also takes
Carrasco for a ride. Third home run season for Carrasco,
five runs surrendered him five innings from their paed Ro
Viola in long relief gives up two runs over course
of three innings. Tyler Beatie gives up a run in
and his sending as well. And for the Cleveland Guardians,

(10:04):
just for us in this one, they went oh one
with men and scoring position. He had Zach Kelly come
in for a pair of scorel signings Julie Rodriguez pair
of squirrel of settings, said Cooper Criswell. Very good start,
gives up just three it's five squirrels settings for him.
So they were able to get that one done. And
for the Tampa Bay Rays, it's been a up and
down season for them, but they find some offense. They
take down the Detroit Tigers by account of seven to five.

(10:25):
As Captain Jack Flaherty was captain of the ss poopoo platter,
giving up four runs over the course of five innings,
including a home run as going deep off of film
ran Diodo Zarina his third home run season. Then had
a home run number one of the season for Curtis
Mead Mead go Ze Pafa Wolves Vessi gives up that
home run three runs atrol of course of an ending.
The Tigers have been really your best bullpen in the

(10:45):
big league, so a little bit uncharacteristic of down but
Shelby Miller Andrew Chafin, they both wind his score is
setting and for the Detroit Tigers, they've actually gotten very
hot with their bats. By the way, even though they
lose this one. For the Detroit Tigers, they've now been
able to put up at least five runs on the
board in six out of their last seven games. If
you want to go to a four runs, they've been
able to do so in eight out of their last nine.
As Sean Armstrong the opener, gives up a one run

(11:07):
over the course of his ending of work. But Tyler
Alexander the bolt Guy, former Detroit Tiger, nothing great, nothing terrible.
Two runs are under and over the course of four innings.
Krizzovinski does give up two runs in an inning and
the ray is still a bottom five team in terms
of their Bopenny Ray that's far this season. But Jason
Adam when they needed him, he was able to supply
two scuirrels settings and Garrett Clevenger comes in. He holds
down the four first score of setting of his own

(11:28):
for the Oakland A's. They've been quite good on the
run line as an underdog this season, but this is
not their night. On Wednesday seven to three, the New
York Yankees find a way to get the job done
as Joe Boyle Oh Boyle did not rule, giving up
two runs over the course of three innings, including home run.
Aaron Judge finally gets going fourth home run season that
off of Boyle. Meanwhile, Anthony Rizzo he was able to
take Michael Kelly for a ride third round season. Then

(11:50):
Danny Amenez gives one up to one, so to a
sixthilm run season for Amnaz gives up this home run
and his ending of work. Kelly gives up three runs
over the course of two innings and Ye had Kyle
Mueller come in for two innings, allowing a run along
the way in for the A's to actually lead the
big leagues in terms of home runs per game away
from home. Brent Rooker fifth home run season. That comes
off Clark Schmid, who gave up three runs in five
and a third innings, but Luke Weaver he's able to

(12:12):
come in for two and two thirds innings scoreless, and
Ian Hamilton closes the door. He's able to spply a
squirrel of setting as well. The Miami Marlins have been
more competitive recently, but this did not go their way
as well. They're now six and twenty on the season.
Four to three. The Nlander Brays find a way to
be able to get the job done at six of
Sanchez was pretty much an opener. Plus in this one,
three runs surroundered over the course of two and two

(12:32):
thirds innings. From there, the bullpen was actually really good.
This for a Miami Marlins team that has been terrible
in the bullpen as far the season. Govin po Shay,
along with Brian Hoying Ploso, applied two squirrels settings a piece,
Andrenardi a squirrel setting of his own. Per Smith gives
you far outside the bullpen scoreless and then Tanner Scott
in the tenth inning gives up the uneer and run
that starts on second basis Michael Arris the second in

(12:53):
RBI double that ends the game. Year and for the
Miami Marlins, they went one of thirteen with men in
scoring position. Was cause of them, as he did. At
Asu Sanchez go deep in this one, his second round
the campaign off of one. We know the Lopez who
had a good shirt. That's all. He gave up solo run,
one run allowed in seven innings. From there, Rossioglesius gives
up two runs, one of which was earned in the
ninth inning to four s x ras. So he blew

(13:14):
the save. But Joey Mann is aj Minter. They both
give you a scoreless sttings. So the Alanta Braves they
couldine to be rather impressive. Seventeen and six that's far
this season. And for the Walker Texas Rangers, they've been
up down all around this season, but they're able to
get a five to one win over the Seattle Manners.
For the Walker Texas Rangers, he did a nice job
getting to Bryce Miller for a pair of solo runs.
Opf of course for four innings a Doules Carts. He

(13:36):
has fourth home run season. Evan Carter is fourth. From there,
the bullpen was able to do relatively, said Taylor. Cicado
does give up a run in one and a third endings,
but Tyson Miller under and run surrendered in two thirds
of finnings. Awesome, both under and run surrendered in two innings,
So that was by his own fielding air. So I
feel like he should be responsible for that. But the
Seattle manners, they're responsible for trying to drive men in.

(13:56):
They went one of eleven with men in scoring position
as John Gray is not long for this game, gives
up sevens and four to two thirds inngs, but allow
is just one run. From there, the bullpen did their part.
You had David Robertson supply two squirrels sending scrant and
your senning squirrel setting, and then Jonathan Hernndez is able
to give you four outside of the bullpen scoreless and
the Houston Astroses continue to be terrible. Seven and eighteen

(14:17):
are the Houston Astros now this season. Four to three,
they fall to the Cups. As the Cups do all
their damage in the first innings, Spencer Arraghetti he goes
three and two thirds inks, allowing four runs, including a
home run going deep. For the cups, you had Dancy
Swanson get a third home run in the campaign, a
three run shot. From there, things come down for an
ANSWER's bullpen that has not been great this season. Sean
Duban two in a third inning, scoreless, Ralfia Monteto Ryan Presley,

(14:40):
they both wanted a squirrel is setting in Oseel Tva
is able to go deep off of Ector Harrison the
ninth inning, his sixth home run in the campaign to
make things interesting. But James to Don relatively could start
two runs, one of which was earned in five and
two thirds INNGS. Abert else Le muc Little both provide
a pair of outside of the bullpen scores. Mark Leder
Junior squirrels saying, and then ecternrs does allow that home
run but gives up nothing other than this home run

(15:01):
to be able to get the team to the window.
And if you're looking at Major League Baseball right now,
we have been seeing quite a few unders here in
recent days. Over the last seven days, forty eight unders
to thirty seven overs as unders overall for the season
lead overs, and we've been seeing the favorites having a
good time of things fifty five and thirty five on
the money line over the last seven days. If you're

(15:21):
looking over all for the season, favorite hitting more around
fifty nine point one percent, two seventeen and one to
fifty road teams still one eighty nine and one eighty
two on the money line. Meanwhile, the underrat is fifty
one a percent of Major League Baseball right now. One
are in eighty four unders learn seventy three overs. So
that's what we're seeing major League baseball right now, and
that's what we all got on Wednesday. Now it's turning
forward to Thursday, and let's take a look at the
NL Central with one of our good friends, Ben Wilson,

(15:43):
a fellow wisconsinight and a guy that does great work
here at v sent along with all of his play
by playwork. He joins me next right here on the
Baseball Betting Show with myself, Greg Peterson. No apart of
the Beats in family.

Speaker 1 (15:52):
Podcasts, breaking down every game every day in Major League
base this is the Baseball Betting Show.

Speaker 2 (16:02):
Here is your host, Greg Peterson. All night, Dear love you,
Las Vegas, for the Baseball Betting Shoe with myself, Greg
Peterson now part of the Beason Family podcast. Always great
to be joined by this man. As we are being
joined by Ben, we are being joined by Ben Wilson,
who does such great work here at the network. On
top of that, if there's something to be called, he's

(16:23):
probably doing it. Whether it's indoor football, whether it's college baseball,
whether it's college basketball, you name it, he does it.
I know that he's gotten it in on some Vegas
Golden Nights action this season as well, So he does
a tremendous job on that front. Goes as far as
to do a little bit of tennis to be all
to help us out as well. You're able to fall
him on Twitter slash checks at Ben underscore Wilson then

(16:43):
an underscore and the number one altogether and Ben, always
great to be able to get your board. Thank you.

Speaker 3 (16:48):
Always the best intros in a business, Greg, Although I
will say nothing brings me more joy and pleasure than
watching random NL Central baseball in April, which we didn't
get for the first couple of weeks of the year,
and now we're finally into the throes of tons of
divisional ball, which is fun to watch.

Speaker 4 (17:04):
Oh, it is fun.

Speaker 2 (17:04):
To watch, and it has been a fun season if
you've been a Milwaukee Burers fan thus far. And I
think that we're both noticing what we are both expecting.
We've seen a little bit of regression with these Birds
bats over the last few games. I believe that entering
into Wednesday they had scored three runs a fewer and
five out of their last six games. But how do
you take a look at this Burgers seam that entered

(17:25):
into Wednesday on top of the NL Central. But as
we know, they're now battling a little bit of injury
with Christian Gelich being out of the folds and now
I having at landa Way Miley on the injured list
as well.

Speaker 3 (17:36):
What's funny, Greg, is it kind of feels like everybody
within the NL Central and this is not something that
we would have said in your past, but every team
it seems like, has pretty significant issues in their lineup.
You go top to bottom, the Taylor's Cardinals are what one,
eight and four and first fives, with a lot of
that being because of Ane mc offense. Over their last
thirteen games, they just have no offense. I don't know

(17:57):
what's happening with Paul Goldtan right now, but he looks
like the plate and you go down the line, I mean,
Cody Bunger hits the aisle for the Cubs, and Ian
Happ's been banged up a little bit too, got off
to a hot start, and it's sort of like, where's
the consistency there with the Cubs, kind of feel like
with Pittsburgh. Unless it's own Heel Cruz and Brian Reynolds
in really good hot form along with Cabrian Hayes, there's

(18:18):
just not much to be scared about. So I think
you can really apply that everywhere across the division, which
makes us one of the more fascinating divisions in baseball.
And with Cincinnati, I'm also surprised, Like I was super
high on a Christian Acarnassi on strand taking a huge
leap in twenty twenty four and have pretty big shares
of him, you know, in fantasy and in other spots,
and he's been a very very popular prop guy to
beout on it. He just hasn't really shown up yet.

(18:40):
So I think there's a lot of question marks with
all these teams. And it's where as much greg as
we view Milwaukee as being relatively thin, as far as
depth and pitching. They've been able to get away with
it just because so many of these teams are facing
just don't have much cooking with the bats right now.

Speaker 2 (18:54):
For being honest, yeah, it has been interesting to be
taking a look at them recently. And just how much
do you think it is for the Milwaukee Brewers that
these guys are writing a little bit of shall we say,
a wall with these guys being in their first or
second year in the legue. And how about you think
that this is going to be a sign of things
moving forward where it might be a case where the
Brewers they hit just absolutely tremendously one week and then

(19:16):
the next week it goes down the toilet bowl, because
we notice that a lot with younger teams like the
Milwaukee Brewers.

Speaker 3 (19:22):
No doubt, and I think it's very telling when you
have a guy like say Ree Hoskins right who feels
like a focal point of the lineup. Sure he'll give
you stretches and there is a guy who can come
up with clutch hits every so often, but it's not
a guy you want to be relying on in the
part of your order to really be putting the offense
in a in a next level type of scenario. I

(19:42):
think he's down to now around two twenty hitting on
the season, and it kind of feels like a while
ago that Hoskins had the that first weekend where he
just exploded against the Mets and was doing so many
great things. But that's not really what they signed him
to do. He's a really solid power bat like he
and Gary Sanchez are veteran hitters who aren't going to
hit for a ton of beverage, but they certainly have pop.

(20:04):
It's just you need more than them in your lineup,
and I think that's kind of what the Bruis are
going through right now. I'm just looking for some of
that consistency, and I think it's telling that they've gotten
some of the younger guys to step up. And I've
been impressed with what Bryce Trang has done toward the
bottom of that lineup as one of the only over
three hundred guys in the lineup right now, and he's
been a huge pleasant surprise for them. It's just can
they get some other more consistent pieces to do that

(20:26):
along in the fold that they can kind of make
this offense a little bit more dynamic and powerful As
a result.

Speaker 2 (20:31):
Yeah, absolutely, I think that that's going to be so
key for them. As Ben Wilson, who does such amazing
work here at Viisen, has drawed me on the Baseball
Betting Show, and I'm very intrigued by this order that
we're going to be getting on Thursday in Freddie Peralta,
because right now he looks like he could be able
to put up some fringe sye young numbers, especially with
the way that everyone has been dropping like flies in

(20:52):
terms of these starting pitchers, with like said, Spencer Strider
and company hitting the injured list. But just what have
you noticed out of Freddie Perolta this because typically he's
a little bit of a slow starter. But I saw
it towards the back half of twenty twenty three posts
all star breaking was really good. It's very clear that
whatever form you was able to find towards back alf
of twenty twenty three, he has carried it and then

(21:14):
some into the start of the twenty twenty four campaign.

Speaker 4 (21:17):
Yeah, no doubt.

Speaker 3 (21:17):
I really think a lot of it is mental and
his willingness to say, hey, I'm the horse of the
staff now. I mean Corbyn Burns is no longer in
Milwaukee and Brandon Woodriff, who's injured out for the season.
And I've been impressed with the mental makeup of Profitave
because he's always been such an emotional pitcher and that
has been a strength rim at times, and it's also
been a weakness of his. There have been a lot
of starts you look at Greg over the past couple

(21:38):
of years where maybe the command isn't totally there and
he struggles to find that in game.

Speaker 4 (21:43):
You know.

Speaker 3 (21:43):
The one change to his arsenal that I think has
made really big dividends. He's always been known as right
fastball thread.

Speaker 4 (21:48):
He's throwing over.

Speaker 3 (21:50):
Half of his pitches still for strikes, but that's that
rate has come down a little bit. He's throwing more sliders,
which is a pretty good pitch for him. You know,
if you look at some of the advanced numbers on today,
I really like his slider. It's well above league average,
and you could argue, based on some of the Fangrafts
pitch values, is actually his best pitch.

Speaker 4 (22:06):
And to me, that's been a big adjustment for him.

Speaker 3 (22:09):
He's gone from using that about twenty one twenty two
percent of the time now it's over a quarter. And
when you already have a good basketball at the movement
that Peralta has, and you're just able to find that
secondary pitch that you can throw consistently. I think that's
always been the key for Peralta, is finding that next
part of his arsenal, and it's certainly been evident here
in a lot of the numbers and you look at

(22:30):
the baseline underlying stats, Greg, it's not like he's a
huge aggression candidate either, as much as you normally would say, okay,
guy who was one ninety era, he has to come
back to earth the numbers say, you know, Peralta for
the most part, he's really lived up to those stats.
Certainly you don't expect the sub too era all season,
but I think the slider adjustments have really been paaramount
for him and why we're seeing so much success out

(22:51):
of his game.

Speaker 2 (22:51):
Yeah, we have been seeing so much success for him,
and just a pitch Mike say you were alluding to,
I think that that has been so massive and him
just being able to cut on on those walks, because
that's always been a big issue for him throughout his career.
That has been absolutely massive, and it's been nice to
see and quite Frankly, if the Birds are going to
be able to win the NL Central slash to be
able to keep pace, they're going to need him to

(23:12):
be able to keep this up because with the NL
Central right now, only one team entered into Wednesday night
with a record below five hundred. That'd be the same
Lost Cardinals, who have been all sorts are rough with
the guards or offense as far as the season. I mean,
mad guys like Paul Golchman and company have aged very
very not suppossedly as far as the season. But how
do you take a look at this NL Central Because

(23:33):
just from my gauge, the team that the Birds are
playing right now, the Pittsburgh Prayers, I think that they
might be fading into the ABYSS a little bit. They
were probably the beneficiaries of playing the likes of the
Miami Marlin stwarts beginning part of the season. But I
look at those top three teams, the Rights, the Cubs,
and the Burs and I just get the feeling that
this is going to be a three horse race all
throughout the year, no doubt.

Speaker 3 (23:52):
I honestly look at Cincinnati and they've kind of grown
on me. To be honest, I think a lot of
it is they really haven't done much with the with
the so far, and yet you know, the pitching, I
think that was always the question for them was how
would they develop in that sense? And I realized there
continue to be some growing pains here for Hunter Green,
and he's gotten hit hard in some of his outings.
But you know, you look at some of the numbers

(24:14):
here Greg and there, they're twenty fifth and average twentieth,
and on base it's not an offense that is lighting
up the scoreboard like we're used to, but they're clearly
making strides in the right direction. I mean, this is
now a starting pitching staff that's gone from basically bottom
five in baseball to you know, like they're twelfth in
starting pitching whip, eleventh in case per nine. They've certainly

(24:35):
gotten a lot better. And you know, the bullpen also
has been really solid as well, even if it's not amazing. Again,
you're just trying to get to competent if you're Cincinnati,
and you figure, right the offense is going to come.
I certainly think it is going to heat up for
that group, and I expect an Ncarnassi on strand to
get better. So if there is a team i'd probably
be in any way in kind of a by low
mode right now in it is Cincinnati, just because you

(24:56):
figure at some point the bats are going to heat up.

Speaker 4 (24:58):
And I like the strides they've made on the pitching front.

Speaker 2 (25:00):
All they certainly have and getting back Nick Lodola and
him coming back right away and being rock solid. That
has been big for the since a red steam and
that bullpen. It's still a little bit touch and go,
but I do think that there's a little bit of
upside with those guys as well. Getting Sam Moll back
and fold, I think it's going to be able to
help fortify that back half a little bit. Alexis Diaz
it's been a little bit wobbly as well when he's

(25:22):
at his full so I think that he's going to
be able to supply some good endings as well towards
the back half of games. It's joining me on the show.
We do have Ben Wilson, who does amazing work over
yere at b SID. He's showing me right here on
the Baseball Bettings Show and Ben, we have talked all
about the NL Central thus far, but now we're about
a month through the season. I think that might not
be a time where we want to make end. I'll

(25:43):
be all assumptions about these teams, but just outside the
NL Central, has there been another team much like the Reds,
has grown on you, whether that be to the positive
or I think we've got plenty of examples of this
to the negative as well.

Speaker 4 (25:55):
Yeah, we certainly have a lot of negative examples, so
doubt well. I'll look.

Speaker 3 (26:00):
You know, it's funny you said the White Sox, but
remember two years ago, the White Sox were that classic
team that were very, very hyped in the preseason. A
lot of smart baseball people were all in on Chicago
and they came out of the blocks really slow, couldn't
put much together, and we said, okay, now this is
the Bilo point.

Speaker 4 (26:16):
And then we got to June and it was like, okay,
now maybe this.

Speaker 3 (26:18):
Is the pilot point, and it just never happened. And
I think there's a team every year that gets talked
highly about in the preseason. The year starts, they seem
off for whatever reason, and we as betters just tend
to have this kind of one track mindset of Okay,
it's got to be a Bilo point. There just has
to be, and you know, sometimes maybe we're just wrong.
Maybe there's the teams are just for whatever reason, they

(26:39):
just aren't any good.

Speaker 2 (26:40):
I don't know that.

Speaker 4 (26:41):
To say, Greg, I'm all the way there with.

Speaker 3 (26:42):
The Houston Astros, but I'm getting closer. I realized that
they've had injury. I realized Justin Verlander just came back
for them. But something just kind of feels off with
the Astros here. And can maybe attribute that to the
leadership and how great Dusty Baker was that and maybe
underrated is how good he was to keep that whole
group together despite the university they faced.

Speaker 4 (27:01):
But maybe that's the team.

Speaker 3 (27:02):
Like I've just been so unimpressed with everything they've had,
and you clearly the Josh Hader experiment that it seems
like he has certainly passed his peak value as a
closer with some of the struggles he's had early. I
just go into games night and night out, not really
fearing like when you talk about it betting day by day,
Like I'm not afraid of betting against the Extros anymore.

Speaker 4 (27:19):
I think like a lot of people were over the
last few years.

Speaker 3 (27:22):
So maybe that's the team that just turns into this
darling that people want to look to buy low on
and maybe that buy a low point just never happens
because they don't really turn it around.

Speaker 2 (27:30):
Yeah, that could be the case, and we find it
every single year, like the Saint Louis Cardinals. Last year
was a good example of that as well, because the
Saint Louis Cardinals were so miss price, and I adviles
Michael as he continues to be miss price this season.
He has been such a tremendous fade. So that has
been something that has been so incredible. And we just
fined one or two of those teams every year, and

(27:50):
then we always find one or two of those teams
as well that they don't get their respect, like we
saw with the Giants in twenty twenty one when they
were able to win the NLS. It felt like book
bankers just never really caught up to them because the
preseason notion was, oh, this is going to be a
team that at best is going to be five hundred,
and they just never truly regrets. So I am so
glad that you bringing that up. And in terms of

(28:12):
what we are going to be getting on Thursday, it's
not a bad slate. In terms of a getaway day term.
Typically we only get like five six games on a Thursday.
We've got ten that are currently on the board. Is
there anything that you are going to be taking a
look at in terms of Thursday, whether it be a
game that you're going to be looking to bed, or
perhaps it's just a game that you want to see
a little bit more from from a specific team or pitcher.

Speaker 3 (28:33):
Yeah, I'm looking to target one picture in particular, and
it's a guy I was really high on coming into
the year. We're in this era of you know, relatively speaking,
it's still small sample sizes, but Bailey ob Man, I
really thought he was based on the command numbers control,
I thought he was really poised to take the next
step there in Minnesota. And once you do, it comes
out first start against Kansas City and it gives up

(28:54):
eight earned an inning and a third and.

Speaker 4 (28:55):
Just looked awful. But a lot of that was just
leaving balls over the plate. Command.

Speaker 3 (29:00):
Sometimes when you are a command pitcher and you always
talk about wildness and missing out of the zone, well
sometimes you can have even more disastrous results when your
your bad command results and pitches in the zone. Because
he gave up three homers in that game, just looked terrible,
but since then, three starts, seventeen innings, I think it's
what three earned runs allowed, Greg, I mean, the guy's
been amazing and he clearly has shown that all that

(29:21):
optimism from the preseason it's definitely warranted. It was just
one bad outing you kind of throw out. So I
think a lot of people too maybe look at his
numbers and go, okay, four ninety one era not impressive,
but the context really matters this time of year. It's
four starts, three of them really crisp, really solid, one
horrible that you just kind of throw away, and he
gets as soft of a matchup as you could ask
for here in the Chicago White Sox. So I'm certainly

(29:43):
looking at all the angles here on Ober.

Speaker 4 (29:45):
You know.

Speaker 3 (29:45):
And again, when you're betting against the White Sox, you
got to pay into the attack. So whether that's a
you know, Ober to get the win prop like that
or the outs prop over stuff like that, That's how
I'm gonna look to attack Bailey over for Thursday. But
I've really been impressed without his command is growing and
how he bounced back after such a disastrous FIRS start.

Speaker 2 (30:03):
Yeah, with Bailey Ober, it's been interesting to gauge in
because he gets quite a few strikeouts. He doesn't walk
a lot of guys, but when he misses, he gives
up that hard contact. Good news for him. He's going
up against the Chicago White Sox, seemed as very clearly
dead last in the big leagues in terms of generating
our contact in terms of home runs. If you look

(30:23):
at the Baseball Savant numbers, that should get a little
bit better for the Chicago White Sox, but quite frankly,
it honestly can't get any worse. So no doubt that's
gonna be interesting to engauge moving forward and say total
seven and a half in that game, of which if
you're going to be able to get it over, I
think that the Minnesota Twins might need to score seven
runs out by themselves. So that's gonna be a yeah,
and that could very easily happen. Mike Soroka has been

(30:45):
absolutely horrible this year as well, So we've got a
lot to gauge for Thursday, and we've got a lot
to gauge just on the baseball front of the general
and Ben, I know you're doing a tremendous job of this.
You're on a little bit of everywhere you're broadcasting darn
near for every single sport on the facial planet Earth.
You did an amazing job with our weekend work here
at VSON, and hey, I know you've been doing some
work on VSON Tonightville last week or so as well.

(31:07):
So you're a man that is a five tool player.
So let the good people at home know it's all
and that for you and how people can follo along
on social media and other platforms.

Speaker 4 (31:14):
I do my best that Ben underscore Wilson underscore. One.
Got a business stretch right now. I got to read
the football in full force football never die, that seems.

Speaker 3 (31:22):
And then yes, between live bet Saturday and Sunday, and
then filling in a bunch of decent Tonight and Numbers
game here in Lombardi line up for the next few weeks.

Speaker 4 (31:28):
So you'll be seeing me a lot over on.

Speaker 2 (31:30):
VSON, yes, sir, And that makes us all the better
because Ben, he does a tremendous job on the baseball front.
He's been doing a nice job gauging the NFL Draft,
and I know every single year on VSA he does
a great job with regards to his college baseball picks.
He does a bit of tennis as well. He does
it all. He's much like in the NBA playoffs. He's
at statute suffer that's able to do a little bit

(31:50):
of everything and does so allso well. So big thanks
to Ben for joining me on the baseball bet he
showed now part of the Vson Family podcasts and coming
next in is that time of the podcast. I give
you pick something else's on every game on the betting
board for this Baseball Thursday, as we touch them.

Speaker 1 (32:03):
All, breaking down every game every day in Major League Baseball.
This is the Baseball Betting Show. Here is your host,
Greg Peterson.

Speaker 2 (32:17):
Ever beg You'll love you Las Vegas for the Baseball
Betting Shoe with myself Greg Peterson now bro the Vson
Family Podcast. It is always great to be able to
get Ben Wilson aboard. He does such good work here
at the network end. Really has a great play by
play voice. I know that some people have compared him
to Joe Davis of Fox Sports and the LA Dodgers,
and I think that it's so on point. He does

(32:38):
such a great job taking a look at the great
game of baseball for us over at Vson. I know
that he does coverage of indoor football. Dennis, you name
this board, he's doing it and every single time he
joins me, one's great insight. So big thanks to Ben
for joining me in la segment. Now it is that
time the podcast they give you picks and analysis on
every game on the betting board for this Baseball Thursday,

(32:58):
as we touch them all.

Speaker 3 (33:00):
If a game is listed on the betting board, Greg
has a side and a total on it, so it
is time to touch them all.

Speaker 2 (33:06):
Do note that, as per usual, any changes that are
made to these plays, we'll be listed up on my
Twitter slash x feed at GENA unders forty one going
to be going in las AIG dissertation order, which is
where we go with the national games first, then the
American League games and any inter league games is they're
going to be at the bottom. And there's one of those,
so that'll keep things all nice, kneat, clean and easy.
And we got one game turning after one oh five

(33:27):
pm Pacific time, so very top heavy card, so let's
dive in on nine oh one, nine oh two on
the card. And this is also the DK. Now we're
cry to pick the Milwaukee burs they're on the road,
their facing up against the Pittsburgh Pirates, Mitch Keller goes
for the Buckoes and Freddy Peralta is on the bump
for the Burs. Burs between minus one nineteen minus one
twenty five favorites and between plus one oh five plus

(33:48):
one twelve and stead number on Pittsburgh seven is the
total overs between minus one ten to a minus one
twenty the unders. Any between even a mius one ten
and right up is going to be on the over.
So my total at a seven point nine for Freddy Pearl.
He's had a few struggles on the road the last
few seasons. To date, it back to the start of
the twenty twenty three campaign, has about a three eighty
three ERA one point three on runs with three walks

(34:09):
allowed per ninon. Ennings Now has been absolutely dealing thus
far this season. He has given up three earned runs
or fewer in each out of his four starts. He's
got thirty three strike cuts in twenty three and two
thirds innings. So guy's been rocking and rolling in the
biggest part of it, the walks. Just four walks and
four starts. We were talking about that with our good
friend Ben. But that said, you take a look at
this Pittsburgh Priors team throwing out there Mitch Keller, and

(34:31):
he has not been in great form this far this season,
has given up at least four runs and three out
of his five starts. And for Keller, he was experiencing
a little bit of a loss he hip during spring training.
He just hasn't been able to find it all season long.
Last year he was getting north of nine strikecuts, about
two and a half walks per Ninon Ennings, north of
three walks per nine nings seven point five strikeouts per
Nyan Nnings as far this season so he hasn't been

(34:53):
the same pitcher for the Milwaukee Bards. They entered into
the day on Wednesday and a top five team in
the Big Leagues with regards or run scored per game
on the road. Now they've been in a little bit
of a rougher form three runs for fewer scored now
seven out of their last eight games. But I do
think that they're gonna be able to find it here
against Mitch Keller. Got a pair of guys Jackson Chario
William Contreres who've both been able to apply four home runs,

(35:13):
and Contreres he has been absolutely incredible he's been able
to give you a four to thirty nine on base.
And then you've got the likes of William Damas, Blake Perkins,
Bryce Terrang These are all guys supplying at least a
three to sixty five on base. They're all adding at
least at two eighty five as well. So that has
been massive flip side for the Pittsburgh Pirates. I think
that they're going to get their act together a little
bit more. Entered into yesterday, everything about four point twenty

(35:34):
five runs per contest, and you've got O'Neil cruzho's been
able to give you a trio of homers. He needs
to make their root team play a little bit more.
You do have a trio of guys and Connor, Joe Long,
Kabrian As, Brian Reynolds who have all been able to
do a solid job being able to move the line.
These three guys, they've all been able to give you
at least a three fifty five on Bay's power numbers
aren't necessarily there for the Pirates. They hitch a nineteen
home runs as far as the season. But I do

(35:56):
think that you're going to be able to get a
little bit more on the likes of Henry Davis Rowdy
who have been a bit rough. And speaking of rough,
that'd be the Pirates bullpen they entered into yesterday twenty
first in the Big Leagues turns of Bullpenny Ray been
dealing with the injury to Ryan Burrooki which has really
been hurting them. Colin Oderman isn't bad. I right like
a role as Chavan Alan David Bennar out there in
the bullpen in the eighth and ninth inning, but the
guys like Ryder, Ryan and company have not been so impressive.

(36:19):
And for the Brewers this has been a very good
bullpen to eighty five ra this far the season. But
with the injuries that they've suffered with having Wade Miley
landing on the injury list, having to throw out their
some last second starters like Tobias Myers, they have had
to rack up quite a few endings. So these guys
like Elvis Piero, Joe Piams, Edner Yuribe have all been
very rock solid this far this season. They have been

(36:39):
seeing a little bit more usage. You only got four
innings yesterday from Bryce Wilson as well so Brian Hudson
and to really hold down the Ford as well. So
I do take a look at this spot, and I
do think that Pearlton Gett to give up a few
runs on the road. But I do think that Mitch
Keller is just in bad form as well. I do
think that a Brewers offense that has been very good
on the road this season gets to him. I was
willing lay up to a mis one thirty with Brewers.
So the money line, am I right up? That is

(37:01):
going to be on the total over anything of a
seven and a half or less. Looking at the over
nine h three, nine to four on the baking board,
the Philadelphia Phillies sit the red face off against he
Cincindai Rits. Yes, we are into Cincinnati and they're on
a Nick Martinez getting the start for them, Zach Wheeland
and Eland Wheelers on the bump for the Phills. Eight
is a total over and under any between minus one
of five too minus one fifteen. Phillies are any between
minus one forty five to minus one fifty five favorites

(37:23):
plus one thirty to plus one thirty eight is a
number on the Cincinni Rids. They're looking at the run line,
you're only getting a plus one oh three year, I
would need a bit more of a plus number to
be able to lay the run line. But I'm going
to go up to mius one fifty four on the
Monny line. I'm gonna play it safe here. This Phillies bullpen,
it's been in the bottom five of the big leagues
in terms of VRA and it's been a case where
just have not been able to get right with the

(37:43):
like Sofose Alvarados, Sar Anthony Dominguez in company. It just
always feels like the Phillies the first month of the season.
They just have no idea how to pitch out the bullpen.
I have no idea what it is, but happens time
and time again. But Zach Wheelers right now in very
good form. He's been getting the north of ten stryke
cutsber nine innings, just seven walks a lot thirty one
third innings, allowing just two home runs. He has been tremendous.

(38:04):
He's got a new I believe it's splitter that it's
been really throwing these guys off. So that has been big.
And for Nick Martinez, he's been utilized out of the
bullpend mostly ever since coming back from the knee bone
Baseball League from a few seasons ago, and he's not
been great. He's not been terrible. It's given up just
two walks in seventeen innings. He's a little bit more
of a pitch of contact guy. Since resurfacing at the
big league level, he's been getting between about seven and

(38:25):
seven half straightcounts. Bernie Ennings backed up though by a
very good lineup l e Da La Cruz. It's been
will give you seven home runs. He along Spencer's here
have done a nice shot, being able to give you
north of a three seventy five on bas apiece, but
it's been a little bit of a hot and cold lineup.
Nick Martini has been able to fly three home runs,
but he along Johnathan India Christian and Karnassio on strand
Will Benson, they're all ending a two ten or lower,

(38:46):
so heavier issues there. Meanwhile, for the Philadelphia Phillies, it's
been touch and go with the lineup. Now you're getting
jtv Mito back the full the got a day of
restor two. You had Bryce Harper, who is on the
paternity list of congratulations to him and perhaps I'll reinvigorate him.
As for Harper, hitting just a two forty for the season,
had that three on run game, but pass that as
an s a Donalho lot. But Kyle Schwarber has been

(39:08):
able to give you power six home runs once again,
hitting about a two hundred, much like last season. So
that's been a little bit of a problem spot. But
Tray Turner has been able to find a way to
move line. He and out bowlm both fitting above a
three at twenty end. For the Reds, it's a modest bullpen.
They're not great, They're not terrible out there in the pen.
They're about league average with regards to their era. They
get Sam mooleback in the fold, which is going to
be able to help them out moving forward. And I'd

(39:30):
like Alexis as this closer. He's been a little bit
over the play so this season. Amelia Pagan wasn't necessary
my favorite pickup along with Justin Wilson, but I've been
able to get really good endings out of Fernando Cruz,
so it's an interesting spot here. I do think that
for Nick Martinez, he's going to be giving up a
few runs and I do think that the Phillies get
to him, and I do think that for the Reds
they find a little bit of production off of Wheeler
in the bullpen. But in the end, I think that

(39:51):
the Phillies get the job done in a very hit
or friendly ballpark. I said, I tot it at eight
point six. I like the over end. I'd like the
Phillies on the wing line, willing to lay up to
the mins one fifty three, five, nine to six. On
the betting board, it is the colrad Rocky's playing us
to the San Diego Patres, and then Neveasquez is on
the bump for the Bonds in Dakota, Hudson is on
the bump for Colorado. Colorado is an underdog of anywhere
between plus one twenty four plus one thirty five and

(40:13):
between minus one forty five to minus one fifty five.
Is that number on San Diego ten and a half
is a total over his minus one twenty the under
his even to my total end an eleven point six.
I like the over for Dakota. Hudson. I just don't
know what he's trying to be out there on the mound.
He just has always been very much a pitch of
contact guy who gives up a lot of walks like
his career strikeout to walk ratio is one point four

(40:33):
to five. That's not great, to say the least. He's
been able to keep the ball in the yardy over
the last four seasons. It's not a lot more than
a home run for nine endings. But that's the only
redeeming quality that you've got from five point one strikeouts
a four point six walks ber nine ennings. The ball
is in play quite a bit. He's giving up a
lot of free passes. Just not a guy that I
want to be trusting in. Meanwhile, for Randy Vasquez, I

(40:54):
believe that this is going to be his first career
start on there at Corus Field, and look at his
time between the Yankees and the San Diego Patters. Has
been quite fortunate that he's not giving up more than
he has in his career forty two and two thirds
innings seven point six strikeouts to four walks for nine innings.
Yet he's weaseled his way to a two to seventy
four ERA fielding independent of a five oh seven. His
fielding independent is about two to a point three points

(41:16):
higher that is ERA. That's a little bit of a
warning sign. And he has a tendency to get hit
rather hard as well. But the Coyrider Rocky's you know,
they have a lot of hitting right now for this team,
which is not terrific. They've got Chris Brian on the
injured Listen when he was out there, he was doing
absolutely nothing whatsoever. You do have three of guys so Brenon,
Doyle Ezekiel to var Ryan McMahon alling above a three
hundred liass is in that fold as well. These guys

(41:37):
been pretty rock solid. But may now your biggest power
bet is Michael Taglia. He's been able to supply four
home runs and he's currently inning at Buco six. Like
that's an issue for this sky Ride Rocky see. Meanwhile,
for the San Diego Potters, they've been dealing with Manny
Maachato being out the fold of the last few days.
But oh no, you sell have the lineup that I
think is formidable. It's not great, but Louise can't Pisano
has been a very clear upgrade at the catcher's pot

(41:59):
Combert to a season going. We've got a lot of
guys like Jake Crono, Worth, Hassun Kim throw in their
Manny Machado when he has been out there, you're able
to even put in their Tyler Wade as well. I'll
give you at least about a three to twenty five
on base. Xander Bogarts has been miserable at the play
this season, but had a three eight game yesterday. But
we've got Jackson Merril hitting above threere and Fernandra Tatis

(42:19):
Junior six home runs three fifty on base. He's been
rock soft fan Pottery seem that they always hit better
when they're away from home rather than at home, as
they play on one of the most pitcher friendly ballparks
out there in baseball. But I also do like this
Pattery's bullpen as well. I think that they provide Randy
Vasquez a good fighting shot with bringing in in the
off season on jod Del Santoswenti Peralta, Yuki Matsui. All
three of these guys have been able to give you

(42:39):
a sub three three ERA. Roberts Warez has been okay
at the catcher's pot The Pottery's bullpen has been about
league average with the guards to era. Meanwhile, free Cott
rad Rockies are back finding themselves towards the bottom of
the big leagues in terms of their bullpenning aray. This
despite the fact that Victor Vodnik has honestly been relatively
solid on that bullpen. He Alon Jayalen Beaks have been
able to give you a sub to fifty era. But
when you have out there the Gaskins like Justin Lawrence,

(43:02):
Anthony Molina, Tyler Kinley give you a well north of
the sixty era, and that's a big giant istion. And
I do think that the San Diego Patters is going
to be able to get to Dakota Hudson. I think
that they knife into this bullpen as well. So I
did some my total e one point six. I like
the over and for the potteris want to go up
to a minus one forty eight on the money line.
Don't necessarily want the run line, just because with the
run line you're only getting about even money. I would

(43:23):
need a little bit more plus money, so I'll stick
with the minus one forty five money line to go
along with the over nineers seven nine to eight on
the banking board. The li Dodgers that throw the face
off against the Washington Nationals, Mackenzie Gore goes for the Nets.
Yoshi Nobu Yamamoto is on the bump for the Dodgers.
Dodgers or any between minus one eighty five to minus
one eighty five favorites between plus one sixty and plus
one seventy, that is your number on Washington. Eight and

(43:44):
a half is the total. The over is anywhere between
minus one oh five to a minus one fifteen both ways,
and seeing one straight eight out there at circa the
overs minus twenty eight unders even I'm very willing to
take that eight over. I think that that's worth laying
the extra few cents of juic, says I did some
my total at nine point one for Washington. They surrendered
as a collective twenty. It's yesterday and its Dodgers team
can be a little bit hot and cold, but this

(44:06):
is still one of the best lineups in all of baseball.
You've got to ask Hernandez, Showy Otani, Mookie Bets all
being able to sply either five or six home runs,
with Otani and Bets both providing north of a four
to thirty on base Will Smith is hitting at three
point fifty. You just go down the list and it's
been incredible. Now, I will say the bottom three spots
have been an issue. Chris Taylor, James Ellman, Gavin lux

(44:26):
keyk Hernandez. These guys hitting at two to fifteen or
low has been a little bit of an issue, But
the Dodgers have so much at the top that it
really makes do for it. And for the Washington Nationals,
they tried to be able to bring in a little
bit more power in the offseason. They bring in Joey Yell.
They also bring in Eddie Rosario. Both of these guys
have been miserable to start the year, combining four home
runs at about one hundred and twenty at beats, both

(44:46):
ending a buck thirty five or low. Now c j
abrams three to sixty on base, six home runs. He
has been very good for the scene, but he had
guys like Leane Thomas, Joey Manesis, Keiperrowiz, guys like this
last season will be able to step up. Ruiz has
been the open injury. But I mean all three of
these guys, they've been inning below at two thirty thus far,
I haven't necessarily been able to apply a lot of power.

(45:07):
For the Washington Nationals, the bullpen has been relative. He's
alved this year. They're in the upper half of the
big leagues with regards to their era. Zom Flora got
used yesterday, but he's been able to give you us
up to era, been able to get some good endings
out the likes of Derek Law, Jordan Williams. Cal Finnigan
has always a little bit of a roll the ice,
but so far so get out of him. And for
the ELI Dodgers as has been a bullpen that has
been right around league average to slightly below average in

(45:27):
terms of their era. You've had Danny Hudson be able
to supply some very good innings and Nick Ramirez ever
since coming over has he had to give up a
run as well. But you have some obvious guys that
have not been so great this far this season, Ryan Brazier,
Joe Kelly. These are guys that are posing up north
of five era, so that does lead to a little
bit of issue. And for Yamamoto, he's been able to
get swings and missus thus far this season. He's been

(45:48):
able to give you about eleven straightcause Bernie nings, but
when he misses, he gets hit rather hard. He's already
given up three on runs as far as campaign and
has given up at least three runs at three out
of his first five starts of the season. His walks
are not at it all though five walks in twenty
two innings. I believe that Yamamoto has pitched much better
than his four fifty era would indicate, though I do
think that the Washington Nationals still find a way to
be able to weasel out a few runs in. For

(46:10):
Mackenzie Gore, He's really been able to take some strides
forward thus far this season, just one home run allowed
in twenty innings. It's been able to cut down on
the walks as well, used give it up fewer than
three walks ber Nia, and as well still getting twenty
seven strikeouts in twenty innings. But I do still have
some in trepidations with him. He has the beneficiary playing
against the Pirates and the Oakland A's beginning the season,
so that's been something that has been very much able
to help him out. And McKenzie Gore has really good

(46:32):
rows stuff. But it's also deal with the bullpen that
had a lot of taxation yesterday as well. So I
do think that the Dodgers they're going to be able
to find a way to be able to get to
Gore and I do think that Yamamoto probably gonna give
up right around about two or three runs in this one.
Both of these bullpens, I think you're going to be
doing for a little bit of regression. So it's my
total of nine point one. I like the overend for
the Ali Dodgers, was willing to lay up to a

(46:52):
mine twenty eight on the run line for the Dodgers.
I want to be looking runline just because out of
their two hundred and twenty six regular season wins seeking
back to the beginning of the twenty and twenty two campaign,
all but thirty five of them have been by multiple runs.
Right now, you're finding that run line between minus one
fifteen to minus one twenty two, I'm gonna be willing
to lay that would have need at least a plus
twenty seven to take shot in the Nationals to go
along with the over nine to nine nine ten on

(47:13):
the Benning board, it is the Boston Red Sox on
the road basically avagainst the Cleveland Guardians. Tristin McKenzie is
on the bump for Cleveland, Chase Anderson is on the
bone for Boston. Boston is a plus one thirty five
underdog only seeing a number currently up at HERCA. Meanwhile,
for Cleveland, there are minus one fifty four favorite and
a total on this game of seven and a half unders,
minus one twenty in the overs. Even I am not
quite sure why they have a seven and a half

(47:35):
on this game. I set my toll a little bit
north of eight and a half. I will certainly be
willing to take a look at the over for Chase Anderson.
He was miserable with the Colrade Rockies last season, and
in it's false ample size of thirteen innings, he hasn't
been awful. But this guy is thirty six years old.
He doesn't give you any swings and misses. To his credit,
has never really given up a lot of walks, and

(47:56):
he didn't last season. But I just don't understand what
they're expecting here. Probably gonna give you like four or
maybe five innings. I think they're gonna be presentable innings,
but I don't think they're going to be great innings.
You could conceivable perhaps through out there Josh Blenkowski to
piggyback off of him, but I think he's gonna be
getting a start in the next few days. So I
don't know if that's a possibility. The Boston Red Sox

(48:16):
bullpen has been presentable thus far. Brandon Burnadino has been
able to give you some good endings. Kenny Jansen, Chris Martin,
this is a great eight and ninth inning duo. But
that's said, I think that Chase Anderson is gonna be
giving up a lot of contact in general. Now, for
the Guardians, you do want to note that they have
really been any lefties right. He's They've had a little
bit of a tough time with it, and Chase Anderson
is alrighty. But the overall power numbers are up from

(48:37):
a season ago. You've been able to have Josh Naylor
supply six home runs, given you a north of eighty
three seventy on base. Jose Ramirez has yet to be
able to move line too much, but he's flying four
him runs, and you do have plenty of guys have
been able to find a way to be able to
get on base. I mentioned Naylor a little bit before,
but Stephen Kwan, Gabriel Yoias, both of these guys have
been able to give you about a three hundred average,
in the case of Kwan far more than that though

(48:58):
Yoias he's been deal with a little bit of injury,
So you do want to be noting that. Meanwhile on
the flip side for the Boston Red Sox being able
to get Tyler O'Neill back in the fold that it's massive.
Prior to him going on the concussion il, he was
supplying seven home runs as far as the season. But
how about what you've been able to get out of
mister Wong. Connor Wong is up to five home runs
this season. That's been big because one of these younger guys,

(49:18):
they just have been big giant disappointments. Bobby Dolbecks, a
d name, Rafaela, Emanuel Valdez, Pablo Reyes is hitting below
a two hundred, and Jaron Duran it's been able to
find a way to be able to line give you
a three twenty five on base getting back Rafile Deverson
himitting a home run yesterday. That's very encouraging for this offense.
But I do think that Tristan McKenzie is starting to
find it a little bit more. He really just needed
to get a good start under his belt. He was

(49:40):
able to do so against the Oakland A's. In his
last start, he gave up just one run over the
course of five innings. Walks have been an issue for
him all season long. He has given up fifteen walks
in eighteen innings, so you do have your trepidation there.
As a matter of fact, he has given up more
walks and he's got strikeouts, but he's backed up by
a bullpen that ranks in the top three in the
Big Leagues terms of VRA. Manuel Class has without question
been that I'm an encloser. But even without manual class,

(50:02):
you still have a lot of guys with Tim Aharon,
Kate Smith, Nick Sandlin, these guys, I'll give you sub
three three era on the bullpen, and I do think
that for the Guardians they're going to do a nice
job holding down the fort against the Boston Red Sox.
I think that McKenzie is starting to be able to
get back into that form two seasons ago when the
add that sub three era, so I am going to
be looking at you over. I did sell my total
and an eight point eighty even with McKenzie still find

(50:23):
that form. I don't think that the Red Sox going
to be completely shut out and don't necessarily have my
expectations for Jay Sanderson in this one, so going to
be looking at the Cleveland Guardians in this spot right now,
I'll be probably looking at a run line. I was
willing to take anything of a plus one twenty five
or higher seeing that nurse of a plus one thirty.
So when at that run line and the over nine
eleven nine to twelve on the betting board, it is
the Minnesota Twins a Playolsa's Chicago White Sox, says Mike

(50:45):
Soroka is on the bump with the White Sox. Babley
over goes for Minnesota. Minnesota, is any between ay minus
two forty four to min and two sixty favorite between
plus two dollars and plus two twenty is your number
on the White Sox. Seven and a half is a
total over his minds one fifteen under his mines one
of five. I am right there with our good friend Ben.
I'm going to be taking a look at Bailey Ober
in the spot. If you're looking to lay a run
and a half, you're gonna get between minus one ten

(51:06):
to a minus one fifteen, willing to go up to
about a minus one twenty year one want to go
too much further because with Bailey over he does have
a tendency to get lit up a little bit in
terms of the home run ball. He does a nice
job with his strikeouts. Since the beginning of last season,
he's been able to give you about nine strikeouts ber
nine and Ennis doesn't give up a lot of walks
as well, but o'nold has been able to do a
relatively solid job. Now I will say this as well,

(51:27):
I am currently seeing on ESPN Simeon Woods Richardson, who
might be getting to start there. I would still be
probably willing to lay about the minus one ten to
minus one fifteen that we are seeing on this run
line price. If it is Wood Richardson was able to
give a nice start against the Detroit Tigers in his
first go of it in the season, he gave up
one on over the course of six innings. Up and
coming prospect for the Twins, so handicap one't really change

(51:50):
too much if it is Woods Richardson that does get
the start here, and a lot of that is due
to the fact that the Minnesota Twins, if they do
throw out their Woods Richardson, they should be able to
get some relatively good length out of fen. But even
if they don't, there are number four in the big
leagues in terms of their bullpenny Ray, You've been able
to have so many guys be able to come in
and hold down the FOD. And keep in mind that
they're doing this with you and Donn currently being on
the injured list as well. Like so Michael Bowman, Cole

(52:12):
Sans Cody Funderberg, You've you've been able to get some
good innings as well out of Brock Stewart. All these
guys have been able to give you a sub three
five Yarra memo for the Chicago White Sox, the bullpen
might honestly be the best aspect of this team. And
this is a Chicago White Sox bullpen that it's like
nineteenth in the league in terms of bullpenny era. Like,
there's just really nothing to write home about for the
White Sox. If you look at their Baseball Savant numbers,

(52:34):
they should be doing for a little bit of positivity
in terms of their lineup, they're hinting about twenty five
points below their expected average. But that said, right now,
you've got in terms of healthy players, three guys that
are hitting above a two to four. Gavin Cheats, Corey Lee,
and Daniel Mendick and Mendick has seen thirteen at bats
as far this season, Like this is a poop stain
of a team right now. Twelve home runs at twenty

(52:56):
three innings, Like what are we doing here in twenty
three games? Not twenty three? So if they were playing
twenty three innings, so they got twelve home runs, you
know what, I would change my tune a little bit.
But and so it's going to take to me be
able to get these guys online like Ivomnez, Nicky Lopez,
you're able to throw their Andrew Ben attendee, Andrew Vaughan
just automatic out's up down left and right. And for

(53:16):
the Chicago White Sox, Mike Soroka has not been good,
to say the least, seven to fifty era north of
a six fielding independent. He's not getting swings and missus.
As a matter of fact, he's eting four and a
half strakecouts for nine and he's he's got more walks
and strikeouts. He's given up five home runs to twenty
four innings. Like this guy's getting tattooed. He's given up
four plus runs and four of his last five starts
going with guys the Twins lineup that has been struggling.

(53:37):
This team is in the Botuto five of the big
leagues with the Guards. They're matting average as well, but
Edward Julien not necessarily hitting for a lot of average,
but has been able to sply you five home runs
Byron bucks In it is updating about it two fifty
now and been able to get a little bit out
of Trevor Larnich as well. Ever since he's returned to
the fold, he's been able to give you a pair
of home runs. He's been solid. He and Austin Martin
have both been able to do a nice job, will
be able to move the line, and Ryan Jefferson's giving

(53:58):
you about a three to fifty five on beast. I
do think that the Twins are gonna be able to
get to Mike's Soroka and I do think that regardless
of whether it is Ober or Simeon Woods Richards, that
both of these guys probably gonna give up like two runs.
I think that the White Sox, who are currently everything
two point two runs per contest, they're a little bit
better than that. I see a little bit of positivity
so here at the total, I'm gonna be looking at
the overseem of I total at eight point three. But

(54:20):
even if it is Woods Richards would be willing to
lay up to a minus one twenty or so on
this run line to go along with the over nine
thirteen nine fourteen on the bank board. It is the
Toronto Blue Jays on the road facing up against the
can See Royals, says Cole Raagans goes for the Royals.
Ol Zabadiosa is on the move for Toronto. Toronto is
a underdog of if anywhere between even money and plus
one await. Meanwhile between minus one fifteen minus one twenty

(54:41):
s at number on Kids City seven a half days
is total on the seven and a half over his
minus one twenty, the unders even on the eight. The
under his minus one fifteen. The over is minus one
oh five, And for Cole Ragans, I set him as
a minus one fourteen favorite. I'm seeing one stray minus
one fourteen out there. That's where I'm gonna be leaning
as of right now. You're able to get like a
p seventy plus one seventy five if you want to

(55:02):
lay a run half. I would rather stick with the
money line here and with osebody else. He's been very
good thus far this season. I still do have a
little bit of trepidation with backing him on the road
over his career. This includes his sign with Minnesota as well.
He does have a career ERA that's about point five
points higher when he's on the road rather than at home. Now,

(55:23):
I will say in his first five starts, three of
them have been on the road and he's given up
a combined three runs. He has been able to do
a night job there. But I think the Cole Reagans
could we all bounce back after he had that rough
start against the Baltimoreals, gives up seven runs, gets just
five bouts. Prior to that, he had given up five
runs at his first four starts of the season, one
which was against Baltimore. And for Cole Reagans, ever, since
getting to Kansas City, he's got an ERA that is

(55:44):
below way two seventy five, a field independent that is
right on par with that. He's been able to get
ten plus strikeouts ber nine and I think that he's
going to be able to wheel a deal out there.
And for the Kansaity Royals, they're just in better form
with their offense as well. Each out of your top
five players in turns the total at Pats this season
have at least four homer I believe that they're the
only team that's able to say that, as you've got
Salvador Pariz, Bobby with Junior being able to fly those

(56:05):
home runs. Well, both of these guys are rainning north
of maybe three point fifteen. Vinnie Pascentino, now give me
a three fifty on base after a little bit of
a cold start to the season. Nelson Velasquez has done
a nice job being able to move line. He's been
able to give you a pair of home runs sitting
about it two forty five as well. Now the bottom
fow guys like En Frasier, Hunter Renfro these guys who
need to pick it up a little bit. But ONO
like what I've seen there. And for the Royals, this

(56:26):
bullpen has been a nice surprise. Or in the upper
half of the big leagues in terms of opening are
now on El's Arapa is probably going to be seeing
a little bit of regression long James MacArthur, but these
guys have been able to hold down the fort. John
Schreiber is someone that I've always liked. Now Will Smith,
that's a little bit of a different story, but on
all these guys have been able to piece me all
together and get the job done. And for the Blue Jays,
the team is still in the bottom ten the big
leagues with regards to ERA. It's going northward though You've

(56:48):
had Eric Swanson, You've got Jordan Romondo. These guys are
significant improvements for the bullpen ten Mays after a sub
to ERI last season, just has not been able to
find it in general. But bigger than that, the Blue
Jays just have not simply been able to put back
to ball this far this season. You've got Dolan Varshow
has been able to give you six home runs and
has been solid out there in the field. Nobody else
on the roster has more than three home runs, and
this is really the big issue. That you've got George Springer,

(57:10):
Boba Shied, Flagger, Junior Aleander Kirk, Kevin Kiermeyer, Davis Schneider,
all hitting at two point thirty two or lower. I
don't think any of these guys have much from the
north of a three twenty five on base. Justin Turner
has really had to be the catalyst of this offense.
Give me north of a four arm base it's been
able to fly a pair of home runs. He's been
rock solid thus far this season. But I do think
the Cole Wagan's gonna be able to go out there

(57:30):
turn the night start. Like I said right now, seeing
one straight minus one fourteen, wouldn't want to go pass in.
And I do think that a little bit of money
might come in on Toronto, much like he did on Wednesday.
So looking out of mining to this one fourteen or
less on this kin Serre Royals money line and did
something I tot a eyo point two. I do think
that Barty Jills is doing for a little bit of
regression we did see with Cole Wagan's he is human.
I do think that there might be a little bit
of positive a year for that Blue Jays lineup in

(57:52):
a ballpark that isn't necessarily super pitcher friendly. So looking
at the over and I'm going to be looking at
the Royals up to a minus one fourteen on that
money line nine fifty nine sixteen on the bank board.
The Walker, Texas Rangers playoffs to the Seattle Manners. Luis
Cassio is on the bump for Seattle, Andrewheeney is on
the bump for Texas, and Texas is back to being
a slight underdog, going to be getting them between plus
one and five to plus one to eight anywhere between

(58:13):
minus one seventeen minus one twenty five is your number
one Seattle nine is a total unders between minus one
fifteen to a mins twenty ye overs between even minus
one oh five. Meanwhile, I'm seeing an eight and a
half out there as well at over his minus one fifteen,
the under his minus one oh five. I did set
this total at nine point two. I'm looking at the
over for the Texas Rangers. It's fun, honestly a little
bit touching go in terms of their lineup thus far

(58:33):
this season, but they have very clearly been a much
better hitting team when they've been at home rather than
away from home thus far this season, as they've been
able to supply you with about four point seven runs
per game at home. They're actually, in terms of raw
runs per game, producing about the same amount at home
rather than away from home. It's a home run power
that has been really transformed when they're at home. You
even saw this last year. Last year they are at

(58:54):
bottom five team in the American League in terms of
home runs per game away from home number one when
they were at home and they go to go up
against a guy Andis Cassio has had his issues as
far as this season. He's got a four to forty
ERA has been certainly getting tattooed as far as this campaign.
If you do take a look at the field independent
has been a bit unlucky two fifty three fielding independent
as it's given up only about a home run for
nan Ennings and he's got a one point three strikeouts

(59:14):
at one point six walks. Bernie Ins just feels like
when he's missed, he's missed in the wrong spots. I
do think that he's going to be able to strain
things out a little bit. And for Andrewheney, it's been
rough for him, to say the least, six thirty five ERA.
He's a strikeout guy that is kidding about eight strikecouts
for nine and he's giving up four and a half
walks for nine and he's coming off of giving up
three home runs in his last three pitching appearances and

(59:34):
has yet to fill I think more than five innings
being backed up by a Texas Rangers bullpen that is
offering right around twentieth in the Leagaturs Bullpenny Ray. They
did a nice job picking up Kirby Yates. They also
picked up David Robertson in the offseason. There are a
few guys that have some upside in this bullpen. Meanwhile,
he's grand Anderson in this bullpen you've had or Jose
Lukfork really ACKed up as well. Both of these guys

(59:55):
well north of the sixthy Ara. I think that Jordan
Lantz has a little bit of upside, but that's been
a tab bit of an issue. But I do think
that for the Rangers, you're going to see more of
these batsby all wake up, as it's been really a
doulest guard. CM Marcus Simeon carrying the low Garcia seven
home runs and then well above a three underd with
regards to his average Simmy and more round about a
three twenty five on base, but he's been able to
fly you with four home runs as far this season.

(01:00:16):
Corey Seeger one home run. As far as this campaign,
he's been able to give you about a three fifty
on base. You just expect a little bit more there
why Langford has been able to give you about a
three forty on base, but once again, not a lot
of power there, as if only got for the Texas
Rangers twenty two home runs in their first twenty five
games of the campaign. Meanwhile, for the Seattle Manners, this
team last year was a top four team in the
American League in terms of runs per game. Away from home,

(01:00:37):
their offensive numbers very much get dwarfed and shall we
say minusculeize when they are at home. I don't know
if miniscule lize is a word, but they become more minuscule.
We'll go with that when they are at home because
it's a very pitcher friendly ballpark. But big Dumper cow
Rawley six home runs, about a three to fifty on
base and Lui Rodriguez is moving the line, not a
lot of power, but he's been a bit about a
two sixty five or so for the Seam Mitchanikers be

(01:01:00):
able to find a way on base. Now, you just
need to be able to get some of these guys
that they acquired in the offseason, Luke Rayley, Mitch Carver
or a Plonko, all these guys that he blow them
to those line two hundred Luisi ords. You need to
be able to get them going a little bit more.
For the Seattle Anders, I do think that the bullpen
is going to be able to put this game on lockdown.
You had a Mariner's bullpen that is once again in
the top eight in the big leagues in terms of
bullpenny right, and they just find these guys from out

(01:01:21):
of nowhere, like Tyson Miller is their latest recommendation project.
He Trent Thornton, Gabe Spier, Taylor Sacado. These are guys
that were very unheralded guys that have become good parts
of this bullpen. Andres Munos has been one of the
better closers in the big leagues as well, and they're
doing this without Matt Brash. So I do think that
for the Mariners, they're gonna be able to take to
Andrew Keeney and the Texas Rangers. I think that both
of these offenses do bust out a little bit more.

(01:01:43):
I did somebody to atal a nine point two Guessie,
I think see some positivity, But I do think that
he's going to be able to giving up a deep
ball or two to be able to help out with
the over. So like this over but with the Mariners
also did something out of minus one twenty six, So
gonna ride with that Mariners money line to go along
with the over nine seventeen ninet eighteen on the manning board,
it is the Oakland A's and the face gofkins in
the New York Yankees, says Nester. Cortes is on the

(01:02:03):
bump for the Yankees. Alex Wood is gonna be going
for the Oakland A's and yays you're finding anywhere between
a plus two oh five to a plus two twenty underdog. Meanwhile,
you're gonna be getting any between minus two forty two
to eight minus two sixty on the New York Yankees.
So all's game, you're gonna be finding it at an
eight over and under any between minus one of five
to eight minus one fifteen and needed at least a

(01:02:23):
plus two to fifteen to take a shot here on
the Oakland A's, But I am going to be one
to take that shot. I do think that for the
Oakland A's you're gonna be able to get just some
good production moving forward. This lineup that actually entered into
yesterday number one in the Big leagues with regards a
home runs hit away from home. Now, I don't know
if that's gonna be a mainstay or anything like that.

(01:02:43):
But for the Oakland A's, they've been able to do
a great job on that front. And I will say
to put the Kai baj a little bit more on that.
Even though they've been hitting the deep ball away from home,
it hasn't really resulted in just overall run production in general.
That's the Oakland A's. They lead the big leagues in
terms of obrus per game away from home, but only
the Chicago White Dogs are everyting fewer runs per game
away from home. As well. It's been a lot of

(01:03:04):
solo shots. You've got just mic rout two point zero
all across the map for the Oakland A's. But a
said Brent Rooker, he's been able to supply five home runs.
Shave Langlairs both with five home runs, and both guys
are below the Midows signed two hundreds, So Evan I
had a lot of guys being able to get on base,
as Saria Luiz has been an exception. He's been able
to give you north of at four hundred on base
and that is the big issue that you do have
with the Oakland A's. For the Oakland A's, among players

(01:03:26):
with at least fifty five at bats as far this season,
nobody has Narth with three O three on base. I
don't think any of these guys have a banning average
above a two to thirty five. As well. Abrahm Torro
has been able to give you a little bit of something.
But on it's been rough for guys like Zach Gloff
and company, and for the New York Yankees. It's not
like they've been an amazing form in terms of their
offense as well. This has been a unit that has
been very up and down, a topsy turvy in terms

(01:03:47):
of their offense, especially with the struggle self. Aaron Judge
hitting just a bluck ninety one, he has been able
to give you four home runs. He's been able to
bust out a little bit more here in this series,
but had said you do have to have your pause
with that. Juan Soto he has been the main catalysts.
Four thirty on base, six home runs. He has been tremendous.
And John carlosan it's not becoming a little bit of
on all or nothing player, only about a two to
ninety on bees, but as they supply five home runs,

(01:04:09):
you've got the likes of his wilder career. Anthony Volpeo
stepped up as young guys. But both of these guys
starting to experience a little bit of regression. But for
both of these bullpens, I do think that they're going
to be able to go out there and be able
to give you some good presentable performances. As the Oakland
A's have really been able to do a nice job
with their bullpen. They're currently ranked eighth in the Big
Leagues with reguards to bullpenny or eight. Danny am Mennez
has been absolutely tremendous. But some of these older guys

(01:04:30):
like Austin Adams, Michael Kelly, they've been able to give
you good presentable dings. Lucas Ursage, who used to be
a positioned player on the Brewers organization, has come over
and has been a very good reliever. Meanwhile, for the Yankees,
they're currently ranked number six in the Big Leagues with
regards to their bullpenny. Ray they get back Ron Benanacchio.
He and Ian Hamilton were both very good last season.
Hamilton sacked it up a little bit, but I don't know,
still doing a relatively solid job. You've got Victor Guns also,

(01:04:53):
who comes over from the Dodgers, he's been pretty rock solid.
Kilb Ferguson has had his ups and downs, but I'd
liked what I saw from him with the Dodgers last year,
so I do think that he's going to pick up
the slack. The big question is what are you going
to be able to get out of the starters, And
for Nesser Cortes, he has been able to post up
in the ARA about two points lower when he's been
at home rather than when he's been away from home
lant seasons, but just hasn't necessarily been in the world's
greatest of form. If you take a look at what

(01:05:15):
he's done thus far as the season. While he does
have a three forty one ERA, the strikecount numbers are down.
He's only getting about eight point seven strikecouts per nine
innings out to his credit, the command has been there
only about one point six walks per nine innings, giving
up about a home run per nine and folex Wood
even when he was over in San Francisco, he was
giving up a little bit more hard contact than what
you'd like, and that is the biggest piece of the
puzzle here for the open A's because he thus far

(01:05:37):
the season has been posting up in the era right
around about a seventy eighty nine five thirty three field independent,
so his fielding independence is two and a half points
lower than his era. It's not like he's pitched well
eight point three strikecouts, about four and a half walks
per nine and nine. He's giving up a lot of
general contact, but I do think that he's betting average
on balls in play is going to be a little
bit better moving forward. I actually don't think that this
ballpark is necessarily the world's worse for him being a lefty.

(01:05:58):
So it's a circumstance. I'm going to be willing to
ride with the Oakland A's at a plus two fifteen
or higher on the money line and gets some my
total at a point three. I think that the Yankees
get some runs off of Alex Woe, but I do
think that the A's they're going to have a little
bit more successful balls and play if you look at
their baseball savon numbers, should be seeing a little bit
of positivity on that front. So we when I had
the over and the A's on the money line, and
we wrap things up with ye nineteen nine to twenty

(01:06:19):
on the Benny board. It is the Chicago Cubs. They
play olc Use and Aswers j Justin Erlander goes for
the Shows. Avian Assad is on the buff for the Cubs.
By now, the total is seven a half over and
under both of minus one ten only circa as a
total up on this game. Everyone else waits to tell
the am with the regular field win situation. Meanwhile, for
the aswers or between minus one twenty two minus one
twenty five favorites between plus one five to plus one

(01:06:40):
ten is that number on the Cubs end. I'm gonna
be willing to back the Cubs on the Bundy line.
I did set them out of minus one oh three.
If you're looking at the win situation is going to
be blowing in ever so slightly towards the beginning of
the day. It's going to be more directional win with
a temperature of about fifty for this one. So it's
not great conditions, it's not terrible conditions. It's going to
be relatively neutral in my opinion. So I did souchil

(01:07:02):
at eight point seven. I do like the over for
the Easton Astros. This bullpen is now in the bottom
ten the big leagues. With regards to the erras you've had,
Josh Hater, Obon, Ryan Presley be absolutely terrible, and to
be able to get those guys, they had to give
up on guys like Bryan stanek Ector and Aris who
have been relatively solid bullpen pieces last few seasons. Brian
Ray who has been giving you nearly a five yara
as well. And for Justin Verlander in his first start,

(01:07:23):
looked relatively solid, gave up two runs over the course
of six innings, strike on numbers zero very much down.
And for Justin Firlander in his season in twenty twenty
three had a field independent that was about point six
points higher rather than his era, so I have to
figure that you might see a little bit of regression there.
And for Avierra Sad, ever, since he's become a starter
for the chicag Cubs, this guy's been absolutely amazing in

(01:07:43):
the role of starter. He's got a sub three er
dating back to the All Star break of the twenty
and twenty three season. And Favier Ara Sad he's looked
much better this year than he did a season goal
as well. Now I still expect a little bit of
regression last year, he had a field independent that was
four point two nine compared to a three off Ivy Ran.
It's doing a lot of the same this year two
eleven ERA three sixty seven fielding dependent, but his wings

(01:08:04):
and missis are up. Last year, it was getting about
seven half strikecouts for nine eights, getting about nine punch
outs per nine thus far the season, and keeping the
ball in the yard, giving up just zero point eight
home runs for nine ennis. He has been giving up
about three and a half walks per nine, but all
in all, he's been able to do a really nice
job give it up two runs for fear in each
of his four starts of the season. I do think
that there's gonna be a little bit of regression for this.
The Houston Astros lineup at the top has actually been

(01:08:25):
very good. Osel two, Vay, Kyle Tucker. You're not over
so you cannot blame the struggles on these guys. They've
all been able to ply at least five home runs.
All three of these guys at least a three fifty
on base and at least a two seventy three average.
They have done their part. Alex Bragman having eight classic
Alex Brigman start hitting two hundred was zero home runs,
so it's been about as useful as a poopy flavored lollipopa.
You nears has upgrade that catcher spot hitting in two

(01:08:45):
eighty five with some pop. Jose Obray who continues to
be just absolutely terrible for the scene, but all in
all the answers lineup, it's looked just fine. Meme off.
For the Chicago Cups, it's been a little bit touching
go for them, but they're averaging well north of five
and a half runs per contest when they have been
at home. You've had some struggling out there. Christopher Morel.
You just expect a little bit more than a two
ninety on base and three home runs at this point
of the season. But he've been able to find a

(01:09:06):
way to get Michael Busch going. He had that streak
of five home runs in five games, about a three
to fifty on base out of him, E and f
even though he signed anything for power, he c a Suzuki,
Mike Takman have all been able to give you at
least a three to fifty on base and for Talkman
it's actually a four on on base and for Cody Bellinger.
After a really rough start of the season, he's starting
to get into nice form three twenty on base. That said,

(01:09:27):
looks like he's probably gonna be landing on the injured
list after he got injured on Tuesday, So a little
bit less and terrific there. That does hurt this team
at table. So if Nico Horner is able to to
do a solid job, be able to move the line,
and this is a team with some relatively solid depth,
looks like they're going to dfa Gare Cooper as well.
So circumstances whar I'm going to be willing to back
the Cup just because even though their bullpen has been
a little bit shaky this year, they're dealing with an

(01:09:48):
injury to Julian Merriweather, it's still been better than that
of the Houston Astros. Colton Brewer has been able to
come in hold down the fourth. Give you some good endings,
Luke Little, Mark Vider Junior. These guys have been pretty
tremendous and I like Albert ells lay at the back
half of the bullpen. So so the comes out of
minus one of three, I do like them on the
money line did something total at any point seven, So
also looking at the over and that'll wrap things up
for the Thursday edition of The Baseball Betting Show, now

(01:10:09):
part of the Vson family of podcasts, and a big
thanks to Ben Wilson does amazing work here at the Number.
Ky joined me in the last segment. If you do
like fearing from this fine podcast Baseball Betting Show, you're
able to subscribe wherever your podcasts, Apple Podcasts, Google, Blay, Spotify,
cit tran tun it. If you have a question comment
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Keep in mind letters em they mean it does not matters,

(01:10:29):
so as per usual, please send these into the timeline
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