5/14/24-Baseball Betting Show

Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:00):
Breaking down every game every day in Major League Baseball.
This is the Baseball Betting Show. Here is your host,
Greg Peterson.

Speaker 2 (00:09):
Welcome a love with Las Vegas for the Baseball Betting
Show with myself Greg Peterson, now part of the Beason
Family Podcast. We've got an excellent podcast for you as
joining me in segment number two, we are going to
be joined by one of our good friends, Stander Kerr,
who does amazing work over our draftings. We're going to
be discussing what he's all noticed from the baseball front
thus far this season. We'll dive into some Tuesday games
as well, so always fun to be able to get

(00:31):
Tanner aboard. We're going to be joined by him in
a few minutes. In the final segment, can you get
you guys picks and analysis on every game on the
betting board for this Baseball Tuesday as we touch them all.
If you do have a question, comment, sig of an idea,
what I have you for this podcast? You do have
fun of tways we have for those. In first one
it's my Twitter slash checksimeline at you to nunder forty one.
Keep in mind learns up Thamy does on matters so
as presul please you send us into the timeline other

(00:53):
ways find an Apple podcast review. If you rate this
podcast five starts, it is very much appreciated. From there,
you're able to fire in whatever you'd like. You're on
this podcast that five star VIW did not get in
any Twitter Sashex questions today. But we had a fun
day of baseball on Monday. Let's take a look back
at it, trying to find some friends and try to
get to know these seems a little bit better.

Speaker 3 (01:09):
Games for yesterday is Greg buzzing about. Here is the
rowdy recap, the top.

Speaker 2 (01:14):
Over team and all Baseball plays another over. The Milwaukee
Bers do lose to the Pittsburgh Pirates backcount of eight
to six, which grand to the Pirates. They've been able
to wake up a little bit more on offense here recently,
and this was not what they were hoping for out
of young mister Colin Ray said hipp Hop boo tot
taking the loss. Though he didn't really pitch bad. It
was a bullpen behind him and I really ACKed this

(01:34):
one up.

Speaker 4 (01:34):
Diego Vieira.

Speaker 2 (01:35):
He gives up two runs in a third of ending.
From there, you have one in two thirds innings from
Mitch White, who's getting passed around right now like a
basket of bread six, gives up two runs incluing home run,
and then Joe Piomps gives up his home run of
his own, where the Pittsburgh Priates going deep off of White,
he has money grandall second home run season, Jacks Winisky
will go deep off of Ray for Hip Hop Ray
his third home run season, and Brian Reynolds his fifth

(01:57):
home run season off of Joel Piomps. And for Mitch Keller,
he was tremendous in this one. He goes for six
scorel of settings and then Josh Flemingo really tried to
act this one away, gives up six runs, five of
which were earned between the seventh and the eighth innings,
says Jake Bauers takes them beat deep for his fourth
home run season. From there one Hunter Strand and David
Bennar put out the fire. They both supply squirrels, saying

(02:19):
for the Pirates to be able to get that one
to the window. Unfortunately, our DK now we're goright. A
pick was lost by Airs had the under and astros
versus the Oakland A's had seven runs up on the
board going into the bottom of the eighth. You have
the third era of the game committed by the Oakland
A's and that's all. This thunder goes over nine to two.
The finalists Houston Astros were able to get to the
bullpen in this one. Mitch Spence gives up two runs

(02:40):
in two thirds of ning, as had Alex Bregman get
home runs number two and three of the season. He
was as cold as an igloo going into this game,
and of course he goes heap the other home run.
Now it's off of Ross triplingu goes three runs, two
of which will earned over the course of five innings
in pitch bad but again all those airs out there
in the field did not help them. T J. McFarland
squirrel setting four and then Easton Lucas he did not

(03:02):
pitch well at all, four runs, three of which were earned,
given up in one and third innings. Again deserved a
little bit better fielding. And for the Easton Aswer Spencer
Arraghetty wasn't a thing of beauty, but gives up two
runs over the course of five innings before an ANSWER's
bullpen that struggled was able to pick it up. Rafel Monteto,
Ryan Presley, Taylor Scott, Brian Bray. I'll lend a squirrel
of signing. You saw the Cleveland Guardians get a seven

(03:23):
to zero win over the Texas Rangers, And for the
Rangers it has been a little bit of an up
and down season for this offense. As for the Cleveland Guardians,
how about Danner Bibe going out there for five and
third inning squirrels from there? Hunter Gaddis sim Heron, Emanuel Class,
I'll lend a squirrel signing, Nick Sandlin, pair of bouts
of the bullpens. Squirrel ascent for the Guardians. No home runs,
but they go five to twelve men in scoring position.

(03:44):
Michael Lorenzo Nit his part, he gives up one end
and seven squirrel signings he did walk for but on
on all it was solid. This Rangers bullpen completely ACKed
this one away though ose Le Clerk three runs are
undered in a third of nan Owen White gives up
three runs at an nang. Jordan Lantz gives up a
run in two thirds of an end. Bullpen explosions, implosions.
I should say that was really the theme of what

(04:05):
we saw on Monday, as you got a feel for
Ose Soriano and the La Angels. The Angels lose by
a count of a ten to five, and that was
not the fault at all of mister Soriano. Five and
a third ending score is with six strikeouts. From there,
Adam Simber gives up three runs in two thirds of
an an He allows a home run as cranking him
deep Nolan Aernado's third home run season, and then you
have four runs given up in a third of n

(04:26):
by Matt Moore. Bluis Garcia gives up a run in
two thirds of and Han and Ose Swarez two hundred
runs surrendered in his two innings. All four bullpen pieces
that came in for the Angels left with an e
array of at least four and he saw Kevin Polargo
deep off of Matthew Liberatory is fourth ro run season.
Liberatory he gets lit up, four runs are undering in
three and the third DS bullpen from there was really
good though Ryan Fernandez he gives up a run without

(04:48):
getting it out out of the bullpen.

Speaker 4 (04:50):
But Guy Lady two and two.

Speaker 2 (04:51):
Thirds nd Squirrels, Andrew Kitchener, Shaun king Think combined for
two squirrels settings and Nick Robertson was able to lend
a scorel setting as well. The Cincinnati Writs let one
get away against the Arizona Diamondback. Says Kevin Newman, he
gets a game winning single to be able to help
the Arizona Diamondbacks get a six to five win. Grant
Ashcraft not long for this game. Gives up three runs
in four innings, but it's lucky that the damage wasn't worse,

(05:13):
as he did allow pair off home runs along the way,
Jack Peterson his fifth home run season, Gabrielle Moreno his first.
From there, the bullpen was doing a solid job, as
he did have Amelia Pagambrn suited both London squirrel setting,
but Fernando Cruz walks three, gives up a run along
the way justin Wilson. Lucas simms they can by it
for a squirrel setting, and then Alexis ts he has
been miserable out of the bullpen this season, gives up
two runs in a third e end, giving up that

(05:35):
walkoff hit to Kevin Newman. Meanwhile, for the Reds, they
exceed the four run plat Joe for the second time
all month, as they do get to Jordan Montgomery, Mncovery
gives up three runs in five and a third innings,
and then Kevin Ginkle gives up two runs at ending,
but Joe mantiply on Justin Martinez. They both supply a
squirrel setting, and Ryan Thompson gives you a paarabouts the
bullpen scoreless as well. Your top run line team in

(05:55):
all of baseball right now, that would be the Washington Nationals,
and they got postponed. They got washed out against the
Chicago White Sox, so unable to extend that. But you're
a worst team in turns of the run line. Well, oll,
they're the gift that keeps on giving. The Miami Marlins
they did actually cover the run line in this one,
but they had a lead going into the bottom of
the eighth inning and they completely yacked it away. They

(06:16):
were up five to three, and then they give up
a three spot in the eighth, the Detroit Tigers getting
six to five win.

Speaker 4 (06:21):
By the way, the Miami.

Speaker 2 (06:22):
Marland's second best overteam in all baseball twenty six overs
seventeen hunders, not really because of their great offense. So
they didn't get things going here as you were able
to have home run number three of the season for
One mister Otto Lopez who he's able to go deep
off of Alex Faido. For Detroit Matt Manning no relation.
Peyton gives up three runs over the course of five
to two thirds ends Fido. He gives up those two
runs in two and a third innings, including that home

(06:44):
run Jason Folly though a squirrel setting it. Spencer Torkleson
off of Anthony Mouldonado one man on second home run
season and his second home run in the last three days.
As Muldonado gives up three runs to two thirds of
an Enning six. Oh. Sanchez just can't catch a break
at this point. Parafers out there in the field really
hurt him. He gives up three runs in four and
two thirds sendings, none of which will earn Andrew Nardi.

(07:05):
He goes for one in the third nine scorel as
Kevin Fauchet a squirrel setting and a j puck. He's
back in the bullpen. He threw one pitch out of
the bullpen and got it out, So congratulations there. But
the bayam Me Merlins just Gadeen has slipped further and
further downward. And for the Blue Jays, Ha's been a
rough season for them as well, but they get it
done in ten innings against the Baltimore Oriials three to
two the finals osee Bios. He gives up two Solome runs,

(07:26):
but they were solo bombs over the course of seven innings,
says he had Atonlie Rushman taken deep twice, seventh and
eighth home runs of the season. That's all you give
up as Eamgers, he is scirrel setting Jor Romano two squirrels,
saying for the Blue Jays go to two of eleven
men in scoring position, but it's just enough to be
able to get the job done a lot. Dalton barshow
going deep off of Unior Cano. Don't you know that's
home run number seven of the season and it spoils

(07:47):
what was a nice start from Corbyn Burns, who gives
up just one run over the course of six innings.
From there, you were able to have a squirrels setting
out of Craig Kimberl's honestly not been horrible for the
Baltimore Orials. Not saying he's been great, but has been
completely horrible. You near Cano gives up that home run
in his third e ending Danny Kloom pairboutside of the bullpen,
and then Jacob Webb. He does give up a run
and one and a third innings before Keegan Akan comes

(08:09):
in he gets a pairabouts out of the bullpen of
his own. He saw the Philadelphia Phillies best the New
York Mets at ten innings, five to four. Of the
final line for the Mets, they've got the legs worst
slugging percentage at home thus far the season. He goes
three to sixteen with Bennet scoring position spoils a good
start from Sean Maney, who gives up one run or
if the course of six innings from there, Edwin Diaz
of all guys, blows to save. He gives up two runs,

(08:31):
including a home run in the ninth inning, as it
was out of all guys Bryson Stutt who gets his
fourth home run of the season. You did have also
one A Lopez give up a run in the third
venning at a Bonavino got five outside of the bullpens
qurels and then Jean ree Fully gives up an under
and run in the tenth inning that allowed of the
Phillies to be able to get it done and for
the Philadelphia Phillies. Christopher Sanchez not the world's greatest or

(08:52):
gives up three runs in five or two thirds dings
a bullpen of the Phillies. I continue to say they're
gonna improve. They showed off in this one. Ose Ordeon
ker King along with Osea Alvarado online of squirrel setting,
Greg Risoto paarabouts out the bullpen squirrels, and Sarantey Devegez
did allow a run, but it was an under run
in two thirds of an endings showta in Mianaga once
again was pretty solid for the Cubs brom Mos. The

(09:13):
Cubs provided zero run support two to zero. The Atlanta
Braves get the win as Raybanaga he goes five squirrel signings,
did jack up his pitch count along the way, and
he did give up seven INITs, but Hayden Wzski from
there gives up two runs to three innings and for
the Atlanta Braves Rinaldo Lopez not necessarily a long start,
but a good one. Five squirrel settings, Ray Curve from
their two squirrel settings to Lee aj Minter both supply

(09:35):
a squirrel of setting and in terms of unders if
the Atlanta Braves are right now, your top under team
playing sixty four percent of their games the under thus
far this season. Your second best under team that would
actually be the Baltimore Orioles says they were unable to
get a lot of offense against the Tampa Bay Rays.
Raised win by a count of five to three. For
the Tampa Bay Rays as Zach Eflin not b Efflin great,

(09:56):
not bfflynofo gives up three runs over the course of
five innings and cleaning a horm to Tyler O'Neal tenth
home run in the season. But a Raised bullpen that
has been pretty tough and awful, well, they were able
to be good in this one. Garrett Clevenger Jason Adam
both won a squirrel setting and Kevin Kelly two squirrel
of settings. And for the Tampa Bay Rays they go
three of ten with men in scoring position as cutter
Crawford allows four runs over the course of six innings.

(10:16):
Creig Reiser from there comes in for two innings, gives
up a run, and Chase Anderson squirrel setting. But for
the Boston Red Sox, not the start that they were
hoping for out of mister Crawford. This was not the
start that the Padres were hoping for either, but lots
of airs were very constantly in this one. Five to
four the Coyrad Rockies they take down the San Diego Padres,
says Dakota Hudson, all lots three runs in five and

(10:37):
two thirds ends, including a pair of home runs going
deep for the San Diego Padres, he had driks and
profar get at seventh holm run season and Sander Bogarts
is fourth. A little bit later on the game, you
get home run number three of the season for Jackson
Merrill off of Jake Bird who gave the byrd, giving
up a Solme run in a third of ending, but
justin Lawrence two squirrel settings. Jill and Beaks a squirrels
setting as well, and for the San Diego Patres, Manny

(10:59):
Machado had plenty of opportunities with benn and scoring position
and game out of empty as Randy Vasquez five runs
surrendered in three and two third settings, doesn't give up
any home runs and was hurt by a trio veris
out there in the field. But from there Audrey Morro
homee three and a third ending scorels to Jurremia a
Strata Yuki Matsue. They both under score is setting a piece,
But for the Padres damage had already been done, and

(11:19):
for the li Dodgers they just find ways to win
games by multiple runs. This game goes to the tenth
inning and they still win six to four.

Speaker 4 (11:27):
The final.

Speaker 2 (11:27):
They have won I believe now two hundred and thirty
nine games since the beginning of the twenty twenty two season,
all but thirty six by multiple runs and for the Dodgers,
pair of home runs in this one. Key k rnandez
off of Eric Miller's second home Round season Mookie Betts,
he has the bets around. He takes Joe Nicksty for
a seventh Holm Round season Franks. He gives up two
runs off the course of five innings, so he's continued
to be solid. Miller gives up that home run and

(11:48):
his enning of work. Luke Jackson also gives up a
run and a ning, but Tyler Rodgers gamelet of all,
they both und a scorel setting before Taylor Rodgers gives
up two runs, one of which was earned in that
tenth thenning end. For the Giants, they strand five men
on me to go two of nine with men in
scoring position, as they were able to get home run
number one of the season off the bat of Luis
Matos that comes off of Yashiobo Yamamoto for yam mamoto

(12:10):
worst starts since the Soul South Korea start. Gives up
four runs at five and two thirds endings bullpen at
his back, though Michael Grove, Danny Hudson, Blake trying JP
fire Eyes, and all under squirrel sending in Alex Vessia
gets it out out of the bullpen. So the Dodgers
continue to win games by multiple runs and the Seattle
Mariners are all of a sudden playing a bunch of overs.
As for the Mariners, eight out of their last ten

(12:30):
have gone over six to two. They take down the
Kansay Royals. Brady Singer was singing the Blues. He gives
up four runs over the course of five innings, including
home run going deep for Seattle Minster Luke Raley his
second home run season. Then he had Chris Trant and
give up a home run to JP France his third
home run season. It's not a tie, it's a win
for Frances. For Strat, he gives up two runs over
the course at an ending on al Zerpa Tay Duffy.

(12:53):
They both end the scure setting in for Seattle relatively
gets stardier from George Kirby. He did have two hit
by pitches don't officially count as walks. Personally, I think
a hit by pitch is the same as a walk.
Different discussion for a different day, But for Kirby, seven
scoreles settings from there. Brian Sanik gives up two runs
in two thirds of nighting, but Andre's Munjos a four
out saved to be able to get the Seattle Mariners

(13:14):
to the window as well. And if you're taking a
look at this great game of baseball right now, it
has been a little bit of an underwhelming season thus far.
This season, though we're starting to see a few more
overs come through. If you're looking over all for the campaign,
favorites are eating at about fifty eight a percent on
the money line three sixty and two fifty five there. Meanwhile,
the unders are going at fifty two percent. There are
nine unders to two hundred and eighty five overs. You

(13:36):
did see quite a few overs on Monday, by the way,
he has saw nine overs, four unders, had one game
bit washed out, and had a pair of teams that
were on vacation in the Yankees and the Minnesota Twins.
But if you look at the last seven days, fifty
one over so forty one under, So that's a little
bit over a fifty five percent rate to the over end.
In the science fan favorites have gone fifty four and

(13:58):
forty one over the last seven days. That's about five
on the money line. That's what we're seeing in baseball
right now, and that's what we all got on Monday. Now,
let's take a look at Tuesday's games and what has
been standing out to Danner Kurnel DraftKings as far this season.
That's up next, right, you're on the Baseball Betting Show
with myself Greg Peterson. Now apart Vson Family Podcasts. For
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Speaker 1 (16:04):
Breaking down every game, every day in Major League Baseball.
Greg Peterson.

Speaker 2 (16:13):
No but right here, love you Las Vegas for the
Baseball Betting Shoe with myself, Greg Peterson. Now part of
the Vison family of podcasts, and it is always great
to be joined by this man. As Sander Kern. He
does an absolutely tremendous job over at DraftKings taking a
look at so many different things day in and day out.
He's doing an amazing job taking a look at the
baseball card. That said, he's also doing an amazing job
right now with regards to all the playoff action out

(16:35):
there in the NHL, the NBA. I know that he's
getting set for some football with the NFL schedule coming
out in the next few days, and is one half
of the Ride the Line podcast as well. I'm with
one of our other friends in Grant Mitchell, so he
does all sorts of different things that does so also
well here, but follow on Twitter slash checks at Tanner
kernis versus last name, then an underscore after that and

(16:55):
Tanner always a pleasure, my friend, Thank you.

Speaker 4 (16:57):
Thanks for having me. Greg.

Speaker 5 (16:58):
Anytime I get to join the Baseball podc it's always
a pleasure.

Speaker 2 (17:01):
And anytime we get you aboard, we're always winners because
you do a great job takeing a look at this game.
And now we're about six and a half weeks through
the season. It has been a fun and exciting just
start to the season. And just want to ask you,
in terms of your betting, what have been a few
things that have been working out for you, whether that
be a pitcher that you've been looking to bed, whether
that be a team, or just a general trend.

Speaker 5 (17:22):
So Nurfe's have been very hot to start the season,
extremely profitable. I think pitching really good starting pitching is
up offense. While we have seen some power from certain
teams right there's a lot of strikeouts going on in
Major League Baseball and we've definitely been capitalizing on that.
From a Nerfy perspective, really happy with what I've seen
from the Baltimore Oorials so far. They've been fun to
bet on, no surprise based on what they did last

(17:42):
season coming into this year, and they they definitely make
a run in the Al East. I think New York
is going to find a way to fall apart down
the stretches we've seen over the years. But my favorite
team to bet on Greg is the Cleveland Guardians this season.
They have just been a huge surprise, not only because
they're twenty five and sixteen and really good on the
road this season as well, which is another profitable spot
that I found with them, but they're hitting the baseball

(18:04):
really well forty five homers a three zero six OVP.
This is not a team that is supposed to hit
the long ball, not a team that's supposed to generate
a lot of power, and while they're not the biggest
home run hitting team in the world, they find ways
to move runners around the bases and get them in
and they've done that pretty consistently the season.

Speaker 2 (18:19):
Yeah, it's been really awesome to take a look at
what the Baltimore Orioles have been able to do in
a season where the home run ball has been down.
Each of the top eight players in terms of total
iight pats for the Baltimore Orioles all these five home
runs as far this season and doing a really good
job of being able to move line. And in terms
of the hierarchy of the American League, would you put
them at the top as of right now? Because I

(18:40):
do think that that AO East race it is going
to be addressing between they and the New York Yankees.
But when I take a look at the Baltimore Oriols
with them getting John Means back, with them getting Kyle
bradish back, I really do think that as of right now,
and things obviously get change. It's a one erro and
sixty two game baseball season. But if I were to
take a look at the American League East right now
and pro ranked the teams, I would have Baltimore at

(19:01):
the top of my rankings.

Speaker 4 (19:02):
I would as well.

Speaker 5 (19:03):
Now I think I still have Baltimore Orioles bias and
I don't know if you can agree with this, but
I'm still used to thinking about the Orioles as the
bottom of the American League East, and that's not the
case by any means. But based on what they did
last year and they came out of nowhere last year,
they were expected to be good this year. But they
came out of know where last year and they didn't
do anything in the playoffs. Obviously it was a very
early exit. So I think I still have that Baltimore

(19:24):
bias in my head until further notice. Yes, as far
as talent, as far as how they're playing right now,
definitely should be at the top of the American League.
But it's hard if I'm doing a power ranking to
put them there because I definitely have a little reserve
knowing that this is a team that still hasn't done
anything in the playoffs in a very long time.

Speaker 2 (19:41):
Yeah, if it certainly is interesting to take a look
at the Baltimore Oriols and really that entire AoE sis
right now, they're playing the team as at the bottom
of the American League East right now, and that'd be
the Toronto Blue Jays right now. With Baltimore, they're between
a bout a minus one fifty two to a minus
one sixty two favor with it being Kyle Bradish against
Chris Bassett of the Blue Jays. Total, Now any sort
of a lean on this game for one and two.

(20:03):
We just spoke very glowingly about the Orioles. But with
the amount of you say you have to lay on
the Orioles going up and up and up, do you
think that we're getting to a point where it might
be a little bit less profitable moving forward to bet.

Speaker 4 (20:13):
On the Orioles.

Speaker 5 (20:14):
Yes, No, you got to get things early, right, they're
minus one fifty five on the money line. That's like
kind of the peak of where I'm willing to play
on money line in Major League Baseball. But if you
want to get stuff, get it overnight. Obviously recording this
the day before, so jump on BET's early. Bradish has
been really good this season one eight SIXTYRA, one two
four whip going against Chris Basst. Can't say the same
thing about him. I mean, forty six hits allout in

(20:36):
forty two innings, average strikeout pitcher giving up six home
runs as well in forty two innings. Not really a pitcher.

Speaker 4 (20:41):
I want to bet on.

Speaker 5 (20:42):
I'd be willing to play minus one fifty five here
because in baseball well run lines can be profitable. It's
very hard to win by two runs, no matter the
difference in talent on each team. So I'd probably be
willing to play Baltimore minus one fifty hot five here,
but would stay away if it got up to minus
one sixty five minus one seventy.

Speaker 2 (20:58):
But I think that that's a good way of going
about it, and sometimes if you really do like those
home teams, I'm a little bit skittish to play run
lines with teams at home, but a team like the
Baltimorials I do feel a little bit more comfortable with,
and I do think that that's always something interesting to
dive in on. As we are being enjoyed by Tanner Gurn,
who does great workover right DraftKings, join me on the
Baseball Bettings Show, because when it comes to taking a

(21:20):
look at teams on the run line, there are some
teams where it takes a ton for me to be
able to get there, like these teams are lower scoring.
For example, a team going up against the Oakland A's,
I've been very unwilling to lay the run line against
the A's recently because they're bullpen has been so good
that even though they don't have a five hundred record,
they've lost a lot of games by one run. Meanwhile,
the team that I always reference in terms of a

(21:41):
team that I am going to look a lot more
at the run line on it's a team like the
Li Dodgers, who it just feels like you're in Europe.
They always either win these games by multiple runs or
they lose these games outright if they don't win by
multiple runs. How do you take a look at these
run lines and how do you just take a look
at some of these teams in general, because I do
think that a team like the Dodgers might offer a
little bit more value on that run line than a

(22:02):
team like say a team that doesn't score as much
like the Toronto Blue Jays when they've been a favorite.

Speaker 5 (22:08):
Well, the Dodgers, you almost have no choice if you
want to bet on them in many cases, like they
were priced at minus one thirty some points this season
minus one twenty, but you're rarely getting that as they
start to heat up, So run line is definitely a
play for them, just because the money line is always
so juice. But for me, and I don't know who
told me this, but when I first got into sports betting,
I was always told that you should never bet a
home team run lines. You kind of attested to there.

(22:29):
For me, I need for a run line. I want
a team on the road because they're guaranteed the nine
at bats with the pitching matchup advantage to start and
a bullpen advantage. Those are the two biggest things for me,
and then those guaranteed nine at bats as well. So
I usually look to money lines up to minus one
fifty five, minus one sixties kind of pushing it. But
if I can't find a good money line play, I
tend to stay away from the run line unless I

(22:50):
get the road team with the pitching advantage for the
bullpenny and the starter.

Speaker 2 (22:54):
Yep, absolutely, I do think that is always interesting to
take a look at some of these teams as well.
Like we all remember last year the Miami Marlins, that
was not a team that you wanted to lay the
run line with because they won thirty three games by
approximately one run. Meanwhile, the team that I was alluding to,
the Dodgers, They've won thirty six total one run games
since the beginning of the twenty twenty two season across

(23:14):
the north of two hundred and thirty wins as well,
So that is always something that you want to be
taking a look at that team, my team in my opinion,
and when it comes to what we've got for Tuesday,
we do have ourselves a doubleheader. Now it does look
like in terms of won these games we should be
getting Mitchell Parker versus Eric Fetty still looks like that
pitching matchup should still be intact. What we get for
Game one probably would expect the same pitching matchup that

(23:38):
we were supposed to see from Monday with Chris flex
and most likely going for the Chicago White Sox and
then on the side of the Washington National Tarpt Williams,
But that is still a little bit up in the
air and TBD to this point. But how do you
play some of these double headers because they're very tricky
in terms of the bullpen. For one and two, I've
always found this with regards betting them, you might want
to go a little bit more pitcher dependent because you

(23:59):
never know when a team is going to give you
some tomfoolery and the guy that's supposed to go in
Game one actually goes in game two, and you don't
want to be stuck betting on a pitcher that you
didn't want to bet on.

Speaker 5 (24:09):
Yeah, I tend to stay away from double headers, but
when I am betting them, I will wait until as
close to the first pitch as possible to play. I
don't care about the number. I'm gonna wait to see
what the market does to the number. I'm not gonna
lock something in overnight for a double header because the
pitching matchups always change, the bullpen strategy always changes. So
I wait till as close as I can to play it.
And usually I look at game one, and then after

(24:29):
game one, if I feel like betting game two, I'll
make that decision after the fact. But really, when I'm
betting double headers, I look to game one. I found
that teams more so, you know, over the years betting
double headers, they focus on that first game. Obviously, like
bullpen wise, they're gonna let it hang out in the
first game. When it comes to the second game, they
kind of figure out what they have and then they
go from there, but they're mainly focused on winning that

(24:50):
first game. I find that that's more of a standard
kind of game you know, a single game day, and
then when you get to game two, obviously it comes
down to what happened in Game one.

Speaker 2 (24:58):
Yeah, there is always a lot of intrigued when it
comes to these doubleheaders. I still remember a few years ago.
It was in twenty eighteen, there was just this massive
trend every single time a team lost in game one,
you just wanted to take them big game two because
it felt like every doubleheader that year was a split,
no matter how big the favorite, no matter how big
the underdogs. So there are always some interesting trends. We

(25:19):
shall see if we get a little bit more of
that moving forward here in twenty twenty four. But these
double headers, they certainly can be a little bit tricky.
And it certainly does get to be a little bit
tricky as well with the White Sox team as every
two point nine runs per game as far this season,
that's been a little bit less than tremendous. But what
has actually been the best overteam in all baseball is
the Milwaukee Burs And they're gonna be playing against a

(25:40):
buckos bunch that they have been one of the worst
teams that putting up runs. It's gonna be Joe Ross
against Quinn Price here with the Burs being between about
a minus one fifty to a minus one fifty five
favorite and Tanner you know me by now, I'm a
man from the great Say in wiscons Since I did
have to throw this one at you, how do you
take a look at both this game for the Milwaukee
Burs and then moving forward, Because as I feel like

(26:00):
we're at that time of the year where we're able
to make the conclusion that this is not going to
be a Brewers team that we were expecting to be
like one of the worst offenses in all baseball, I
think we're past that point. And at the same time,
I think that is very reasonable to think that this
Brewers team initting north of sixty percent to the over
for the rest of the season, much like they've done
so far, there should be a little bit of regression

(26:21):
to that as well.

Speaker 3 (26:21):
Well.

Speaker 5 (26:22):
The National League Central right now looks like a two
horse race between the Brewers and the Cubs. I would
ultimately lean Brewers if they can continue to hit like
they are, So that's a good news for you, Greg
as a Brewers fan. You got my approval there, But
when you look at this game in general, I'd probably
jump on Milwaukee minus one fifty five right now. This
is one of those games where it's bound to go
up in price. You're going to pay more if you wait,

(26:42):
and at that point it's probably not even worth playing,
even against the Pittsburgh Pirates. So we jump on Milwaukee
right now. I mean, the Brewers are hitting two fifty
four as a team compared to Pittsburgh at two twenty two.
They've scored over fifty more runs than their opponent. That's
huge right there. I'm not going to play the run line.
I wouldn't necessarily recommend playing the run line just because
they are at home here, but if the spots were flipped,
it would be a good run line spot just because

(27:03):
you're getting that advantage. And then when it comes to
the pitching matchup Joe Ross, when Pryster been Barry even,
they've been both very similar. The one thing about Ross
that that can lean on a little bit is the
fact that he does have some more innings on the mound.
He is a better strikeout pitcher, a much better strikeout
pitcher too, So that's one thing to look at as well.

Speaker 2 (27:19):
Yep, absolutely, and Joe Ross just a little bit more
of a veteran to generalized. For Pricer still trying to
figure it out a little bit at the big league level,
and for the Pirates have been a little bit disshopped
by how the bullpen has been thus far the season
as well. Was expecting a little bit more out of
a rold As Chapman and all starring David Bennar just
has not been able to get the job done as well,
So certainly something to dive in on. And Tanner, We've

(27:40):
actually got sixteen games on the card for Tuesday, was
supposed to be fifteen, but with that double dip that
we're going to be having out there in Chicago, we
get an extra game. But is there anything else that
you're going to be taking a look at, whether that's
going to be a bet that you're going to be placing,
or just a team where a pitcher in general that
maybe you're a little bit jury's out on that you
want to see a little bit more from.

Speaker 5 (27:59):
Yeah, I think there's one bet that I'm looking at
is the under of eight and a half in the
Athletics versus Astros game. Renel Blanco already has no hitter
under his belt this season. He's got a two to
one four ERA at home, and he's going against an
Athletics offense. Greg We've talked about this. They can hit
the long ball. They're one of the best home run
hitting teams in baseball, but it tends to be with
no runners on base. They're usually solo shots. If anything,

(28:19):
they're two run shots, right, So those don't necessarily kill you,
especially going against a guy like Blanco who's just been
fantastic at home. JP sears the road ERA has not
been as good. It's a four oh seven, But the
fact of the matter is he's still pitching very well
this season. He's got a one to one one whip,
he's keeping runners off the bases, and the Athletics have
won with pitching. I mean, their pitching staff has stepped
up all season long. So I would be looking at

(28:40):
the under in that game. As far as another one
that I'm looking at a potential money line here, I
hate to do it, but I would go with the
Tampa Bay Rays against the Boston Red Sox. I would
fade my own team here. Looking at the Boston Red Sox.
The home stats have not been very well, just nine
to ten at home this season, and the Rays haven't
played great baseball, but I do trust the Rays overall
a lot more to make the plays, make the team
plays in the field that they're going to make. And

(29:02):
the fact of the matter is Nick Covetta just got
lit up by the Atlanta Braves after he came off
the injured list. I'm not super high on Paveta right now.
I need to see him deliver, so I don't think
he builds off the bad start that he hasn't turns
it around.

Speaker 2 (29:13):
Yeah, And with Nick Bavetta, it's so unfortunate because coming
into the season back half of twenty twenty three, he
looked rock solid. That like first starter or two that
he had, he was looking pretty good. Then gets injured
and coming off of injury, you just never know someone's
going to be coming in off the injury list. Now,
good news for him is that the Tampa Bay Rays
have just been out of starts in general, and that
has been a bullpend that has been a little bit

(29:35):
less than terrific as well. So I do think that
that is going to be very much a fun game
to take a look at for Tuesday. And Tanner, I
know you're dialed in on a little bit of everything
you do an amazing job take a look at this
great game of baseball. But on top of that, all
the playoff action that we're getting out there in the NBA,
in the NHL and so much more, you're doing a
great job on that front as well, So love to
get people at them know it's all on to that

(29:55):
for you. And now people can fall on on social
b ed to other platforms yep.

Speaker 5 (29:59):
So you can follow me at Twitter at tanner Current Underscore,
more active on TikTok at Tanner Kerr hosting daily sports
betting videos, and you can also see me on the
Draftking Sportsbook social media pages every day talking about bets
and trends and all that good stuff as well. So
those will be the best places to get the content.

Speaker 2 (30:14):
Absolutely, and Tanner does an amazing job taking a look
on so many different fronts every single time he joins
the show.

Speaker 4 (30:21):
I do feel like we.

Speaker 2 (30:22):
Get just a little bit smarter as well, So big
thanks to Tanner for joining me on the Baseball Betting
Show now part of the Visa Family Podcasts and coming
next it is that time of the podcast I give
you picks and analysis on.

Speaker 4 (30:31):
Every game on the betting board. For this baseball teamsday,
as we got your mom.

Speaker 1 (30:39):
Breaking down every game every day in Major League Baseball.
Greg Peterson.

Speaker 2 (30:48):
I'm a regular, Love me Las Vegas with Baseball betting
shoe with myself, Greg Peterson now part of the Visa
Family podcast. Always great to be joined by Tanner Kern.
He does such great work taking a look at this
great game of baseball over at drafts. Couple with that
he does a tremendous job on the front of the
NBA and NHL playoffs. I know that he's getting ready
for some football with the schedule release coming out in

(31:09):
the next few days and so much more so, big
thanks to him for joining me in the last segment.
Now it is that time the podcast. They give you
picks and analysis on every game on the betting board
for this Baseball Tuesday, as we touch them All.

Speaker 3 (31:20):
If a game is listed on the betting board, Greg
has a side and a total on it, so it
is time to touch them all.

Speaker 2 (31:25):
Do you note that, as for usual, any changes that
are made to these plays will be listed up on
my Twitter slash x feed. At you and unders forty one,
We're going to be going in the last excitation or
this is where we go with the Nationalague games first,
the American League games after that, and he entered league games,
those are going to be at the bottom. That'll keep
things all nice, neat, clean and easy. The wone exception
is when we have that double hundred between the White

(31:46):
Sox and the Nationals. We'll do those both together. So
how about if we get things started with time fifty
one fifty two on the card. The Philadelphia Philiates are
on the road. They're facing off against the New York Mets.
Mose Buto is on the bump for the Mets. Aaron
Nola is on the bump for Philadelphia. Philadelphia minus one
thirty to minus one forty two favorites between plus one eighteen.
The plus one twenty five is your number on the Mets.

(32:08):
Seven a half is e total overs between minus one
ten too a minus one twenty eight unders between even
a minus one ten. And we've seen the juice on
the over get steamed up a little bit, and I
do agree with it. I set my total moreroun at
eight point two. I do like the over for Aaronola.
He's got a career era more ron about a three
twenty five at home compared to a four p forty
down the road. And if I'm judging the starting pitchers

(32:30):
for the Phillies right now, he's been one of the
most shaky. He's given up about one point three home
runs per nine innings. His walks per nine rate is
a little bit up there. It's more round about two
point seven two point eight for his standards sets a
little bit high. He has given up three plust runs
and two out the last three starts. Now strikeout numbers
are up. He's been able to get seven plus punch
outs and for the last five starts. But I did
think that oj Buto is gonna be able to do

(32:51):
a good job of dueling against him. Now for butto
the area of three fielding and pendant a little bit
north of four, so to have a little bit of
trepidation there. He's been good up being able to get
strike CAATs with nine strike cuts per nine and nnings,
but needs to get the walks under control. We're on
about four point six walks per nine and nnings. And
in a circumstance where we had a next r ending
game yesterday that is going to be testing both of

(33:12):
these bullpens, as Edwin Dia is not going to be
available in this one. Through thirty pitches yesterday blew the save,
so that's a little bit less than ideal. But if
you got quite a few guys that could still come
in hold down the fort ree. Garrett has been able
to give you a sub to era. Ade Montavino was
used limitedly yesterday, so he should.

Speaker 4 (33:27):
Be good to go here.

Speaker 2 (33:28):
You've been able to get some good production as well,
even out of someone like Sean Reid.

Speaker 4 (33:31):
Fully.

Speaker 2 (33:32):
Meanwhile, for the Philadelphia Phillies, this team does rank in
the bottom meet in the Big leagues with regards to
bullpenning Aray Well, the Mets, they're a top six team
with this regard, And for the Phillies, I do think
that this bullpen is going to start to pick it
up a little bit. We have seen Sir Anthony Demingez
Gregory Soto really struggle with north of six eras. But
you've been able to get the guys like Matt Strom,
Odion ker King, these guys that really didn't pitch yesterday,

(33:53):
These three guys along with Jeff Hoffman, with a sub
to era, you're gonna be able to get them going in.
For the Philadelphia Phillies, this is clearly the better line up,
as Alec Bohm has been tremendous with a three ninety
five on base applying a little bit of power. But
Bryce Harper among Kyle Schwarber, these are you remain power bats.
They've both been able to give you nine home runs
a piece. With Harper he's up to about a three
eighty in terms of his on base price and Sod

(34:15):
has moved the line hitting for about a three to
seventy terms of his on base as well. And for
the New York Mets, it's been really interesting to look
at their home and road splits. At home, they've been
about as miserable as it get, says andreid in Monday.
Dead lasts in the big leagues with regards so home
slugging percentngine there in the top five on the road.
I do think that this is going to reverse itself. JD.
Martinez has really gotten going, got his first home run

(34:36):
on Saturday at a three eight game yesterday, Pete Alonso,
he continues to move the line for you, hitting about
a two thirty eight plus home runs out of him.
But Francisco Lindor along time as Nedo. Really, the entirety
of the catcher spot not being able to move the
line and get on base has been a little bit tough.
Thatt Jeff mcgeil only about a two thirty and Brett
eighty hitting about a two thirty five. So you need
a little bit more out of these guys. Charlo Marte

(34:57):
has been all over the place as far this season.
But I do you think that the bets with having
a little bit of better bullpend and with the way
that Aaron Nola struggled, they're gonna be able to get
a little bit more online with reguards their bets. So
did something doll at eight point two. I'd like the
over end being able to get this plus number on
the Mets. I need at least a plus one twelve.
Getting a plus one twenty or higher gonna be looking
at this BET's money line to go along with the
over nine fifty three nine fifty four on the betting board.

(35:18):
The Chicat Cubs at the red face off against the
Nliner Braves. Chris Sale goes for the Bravos. In Jamison
tai On is on the bump for the Cubs. Cubs
who find themselves as a sizeble underdog. Any between plus
one sixty two to two eight plus one seventy seven. Meanwhile,
and between minus one ninety two a minus one ninety
eight is your number. On Atlanta eight two seven a
half of the total. On the seven and a half,

(35:39):
the over is minus one twenty d unders even On
the eighth the under is minus one fifteen and the
over is minus one o five and I semi.

Speaker 4 (35:45):
Donal at nine point two. I do like the over.

Speaker 2 (35:47):
I do think that the Braves are going to be
able to rupt with the bets sooner rather than later.
It's been a little bit strange to watch his Brave
team just have their struggles recently. If you take a
look at what they've done here in the month of May,
they've only been able to exceed the four round plateau,
I believe, just twice. So I do think that they're
gonna be able to work their way back. You've got
Marcelo Zona, who's been really leading the National League in

(36:07):
home runs with twelve, it's been able to provide a
four to fifteen on base. Then you've got a lot
of guys that they're finding way on. Orlando Arcia, Austin
Riley Ronald Lucuney Junior lying between about a two forty
five to two fifty five, with the Cooney Junior still
giving you about a three sixty five on base. This
is not going to last forever. I do think that
you're gonna be able to see these guys really come
to the forefront starting a little bit better. For the

(36:28):
Atlanta Brays, it's been really equal against both right he's
and lefties. They but just been down with their power
with the guys like Matt Olson and company struggling. But
this is a Chicago Cubs lineup that I do think
it's going to be able to bust out here as well.
You've got Christopher Morel who's been able to supply nine
home runs as far this season. He had a little
bit of a rough go but and looks like he
got a little bit of a knee injury yesterday, So
that's something that you do want to be mindful of

(36:50):
because he had supplied like three home runs in the
last eight games that he had played in. So that's
going to be a little bit of a loss for
the seamen Pase Chicago Cubs. They're facing off against Chris Sale,
a lefty and they've been able at this season in
two eighty three with the guards are average three sixty
seven terms are on base against lefties. So I do
think that that's pretty powerful. You've got ca a Suzuki
back the fold. He's already got multiple home runs against lefties.

(37:11):
Cody Bellinger has been able to do a nice job
move the line ever since he's gotten off the injured list,
and he's sitting at three seventy nine against lefties as well.
And when it comes to Chris Sale, he's been able
to put together a very nice season thus far two
ninety five yar and they look at the fielding and
depend and it backs it up. Eleven straight cuts for
nine and then he's giving up what's an home run
for nine, he's only giving up about one point seven
to one point eight walks per nine and nnings. But

(37:33):
you're just waiting for the bottom to fall out a
little bit there, and certainly I'm waiting for the bottom
to follow up on James Totai, and I just do
not think that he's as good as a one to
one three era would seem to indicate. Now, I'm not
saying that he's going to go back to being like
the Great Pumpkin or anything like that. I said, he's
got a three fifty one fielding depend that's about triple
A Zra as he's been pitching to a lot of contact,
getting only about six strike cuts per nine and nnings.

(37:54):
Fortunately for him, he's only give it up to home runs.
That's far this season. And for the Atlanta Braves, they
are going to have the upper hand in terms of
this bullpen. For the Inlanta Braves, you've had Jesse Chavez
to be a really nice long guy for this team,
Joey menez, Leban Dylan Lee. They're supplying a sub three era.
Ostio Glacis has been a little bit wishy washy as
a closer, but the team is in the top ten
in terms of bullpenny Ray. Meanwhile, for these Chicago Cubs,

(38:15):
the team ranks currently in the bottom ten in terms
of their bullpenny Right, it's been relatively rough. The Getosa
cross back to the fold too. As relatively said last season,
this season has been a big giant disappointment. Julian Marray
Weather being out of the fold. That's certainly hurt this team.
But I do think the moving forward, you're gonna be
able to get a little bit more out of the
likes of Vector there as Golton Brewer a company, and
I do think that this summer has got a little
bit too far. At a plus one seventy or higher,

(38:36):
I was, well and take the Cubs on the money line.
They've done a great job against Leftist and I think
that they're going to do so here, so being able
to eat the plus one seventy seven times seeing I
like the Cubs on the money line some by till
at nine point two, so I also like the over
nine fifty five nine fifty six on the bank board.
The Pittsburgh Pirates are on the road facing up against
the Milwaukee Brewers. Joe Ross goes for the Crew and
Quinn Prester is on the bump for Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh is

(38:56):
an underdog between plus one thirty plus one forty. Meanwhile,
any between minus one forty eight two minus one fifty
five is that number on the ber crew. Eight and
a half is the total overs between minus one ten
to minus one twenty five, the unders any between minus
one ten to a plus one oh five, And for
the Brewers, I made them a minus one fifty three favorite.
If you're looking to layer run half here, you're finding

(39:16):
that in the neighbor about a plus one thirty two,
A plus one thirty five, need at least a plus
one thirty I see a minimal value on both the
Brewers money line and the run line. I'm gonna take
a shot on the plus money just because I am
all about fading Quinn Priser. Right now, he's got a
three eighty six CRA. But if you look at the
advanced numbers, this guy's not getting any strikeouts whatsoever. His

(39:37):
home runs per nine rate since he's come up to
the big league level it's right around about two. I
recognize he's used a few different pitchers. He's been working
on the curve ball a little bit. Was able to
do a solid job of that at the minor league level.
As a translated to the major league level, and he's
got a six eighty five field independent that is three
points higher than the er. All the metrics are saying
that he is doing for a lot of regression and

(39:59):
has the face off against Brewers lineup that has been
one of the biggest upstarts in all baseball. Now, I
did think that there's gonna be a little bit of
regression when it comes to some of these younger editors.
For the Brewers, has got Bryce Ryan give you a
three sixty on base right now, South Freelick has not
give you any power, but he's been to move the line.
And we have seen Jackson, Tario, Blake Perkins outing below
a two thirty. But William catres four thirty three on

(40:20):
base with five home runs. He has been amazing. Got
Christian Yellich back. The fold has yet to have omran
since he's return, but in sixteen games this season he's
providing about a four to twenty on base. He has
consistently been able to get on for the same with
William Thomas picking it up as well with about a
three forty on base after he had a tough time
getting on last season. That's big as well. And then
for Joe Ross, it's pending a case where I feel
like he's pitched a little bit better than the one

(40:41):
and four record would indicate three D six field in
compending compared to a four seventy five yari given up
let's an home run for nine innings. Does need to
reduce on the walk says it's given up three and
a half blocks for nine innings. It is a Brewers
bullpen that is dealing with a few injuries. Elvis Paguero
being able to fold along Devid Williams that ERPs, but
Joe Piams, Hobi Moelner. These are guys that had a
sub three years a season. Goo, You've been able to

(41:01):
get good production on Brian Hudson, all On Trevor McGill
as well, so three year as out of both of them.
For the Pirates, this is a slightly belowly gaverage bullpen
as of right now. Just have not been able to
get your two main guys and David Benner a long
with the role as Chapman going. Both of these guys
posting up north of a four to sixty ERA. Hunters
Ranton has been a little bit up and down. Who
has really been able to do a nice job for
the team With Colin Holderman, he's been able to supply

(41:23):
a sub one era. But for the Pirates, this team
is in the bottom three in the National League in
terms of runs per game. They were able to get
it going yesterday and o'neo Cruz up to seven home runs.
It feels like he's starting to find his footing a
little bit, but got many guys that they just need
to give you a little bit more. The likes of
a Jared Truello throwing there, Andrew McCutcheon, Jacks Winisky, rowdy

(41:44):
tellez He's are all guys they'reing a two zho five
or lower, Notnessy doing a great job of pumping out
the deep balls and pirates on the bottom five in
that aspect as well, I do think that the Birds
are going to be able to get the price here.
I do think that they're gonna put up plenty of runs,
and I do think the Pittsburgh gonna pick it up
a little bit more with the guards of offense. So
I did somebody tell it anyo point seven? I like
the over, but getting north of a plus one thirty
one to lay that run half with the Brewers nine

(42:04):
to fifty seven, nine to fifty eight on the big board,
he said, say, Reds, Yes, we are onto Cincinnati.

Speaker 4 (42:08):
They're under the road.

Speaker 2 (42:09):
They're facing off against the Years and a Diamondbacks. Slade
Sisoni is on the bump for Arizona and Putter Greening
is on the bum for Cincinnati. The Reds find themselves
between minus one of five to even money between minus
one ten too on minus one eighteen is that number
one Arizona Infenze total overs between minus one ten to
a mince one twenty d unders between minus one ten
to even money. I was willing to go up to
a minus one nineteen with the years and a namondbacks

(42:30):
on the money line. Really like what I've seen out
of Slate Cesony and the command less than two walks
for nine innings says getting called up to the big
league level a season ago, it's not a little bit
unlucky on ballistam playing. He has given up four on
runs in twenty one and two thirds ins. That's a
little bit of an issue. But he gets to go
up against a since a Reds lineup that up until
yesterday they had exceeded the four run plateau in just
one game here in the month of May. And it's

(42:52):
just a really top heavy Reds lineup right now. Ellie
da la Cruz has been able to do an amazing job.
He's may have supply eight plus home runs. He's given
you about a three seventy on base and then for
Spencers here thinking about it two fifty. But now the
percentage more around about a three to six seed. Jake
Frayley has done a solid job move the line, but
got so many guys like Stuart Fairchild Woe. Benson Santiago
has been Mike Ford. You're able to go down the

(43:13):
list of guys can get two hundred or lower. Jonathan
India has a three thirty five on base but not
dating for a lot of average. And for Arizona this
has been a top seventeen with reguards to runs per
game in Arizona. I don't know if they're like opening
up the roof a little bit more or something like that,
but this has become a little bit more of a
Ors ballpark as far this season as you've had Christian
Walker and get Al Marte really be the beneficiaries of it.

(43:34):
Both of these guys I've done a rock solid job
giving you a three forty plus on base percentage.

Speaker 4 (43:38):
Both of these guys on plus home runs.

Speaker 2 (43:40):
As a matter of fact, out there in the National
League only the Phillies and the Dodgers, I'm doing more
runs per game at home than the Airs and a
Diamondbacks says. You've also been able to get just really
good on base percentages on guys like Blace Alexander or
out of someone like it, Jake McCarthy, Jack Peterson, these
guys I've done a nice job finding a way on
now for the years and a Diamondbacks, they do need
to clean up the woble planet a little bit. And
I do think that Paul Seawold coming back in the

(44:01):
fold that's gonna be big.

Speaker 4 (44:02):
That's their main.

Speaker 2 (44:03):
Closer, and guys like a Bryce Jarvis who's been a
relatively nice long guy, Ryan Thompson has a sub to era.
Having Louis free S Miguel Caster out of the fold,
I think that that's a big thing for the Seam
and for the cincari Reds. They entered in this series
right around about eighteenth of the big leagues. In terms
of bullpen era. They had Sam Mole for like two
weeks who was doing a relatively solid job, but he's
landed himself back on the injured list. Lexus cs is

(44:24):
better than his five sixty five yarra, but he's really
had some struggles as far as the season. Nick Martinez
is a long guy's on SA a guy that have
a lot of faith, and so I do think that
Arizona finds a way to be able to get the
job done in this rodeo, and I do think that
they find a way to be able to get to
Hunter Green, despite the fact that Green actually throughout his
MOB career, is that a better era when he's been
away from home rather than when he has been at home.

(44:44):
Green looks to be a little bit of a different
pitcher this year, as just has not given up the
home runs the way they used to. Three home runs
give it up in forty five and a third innings,
still getting about ten and a half strikecouts for nine innings.
But in his last start he did issue four plus
walks with this very same lineup, and I do think
that that could be a little bit of an issue
moving forward and Texas at Bullpen. So I'm gonna be
taking a look at the Diamondbacks on the money line
sometime out of minus one nineteen and at the eight

(45:05):
and a half five like the over semi total of
eight point eight nine to fifty nine nine to sixty
on the bank board the San Diego Pottery's playoffs to
Colride Rockies. Cala Quadrille is on the bump for the Rockies.
Dyln't cease goes for San Diego, San Diego between him
minus two fifty two minus two seventy favorite between plus
two of fifteen to plus two thirty two is Entinbron Colorado.
Seven is a total overs between minus one ten two

(45:26):
and minus one eighteen the unders between minus one and
two two eighty minus one ten. I needed at least
a plus two twenty nine to take a shot on
the Rockies, and we are getting there. I'm gonna be
willing to take this plus number for Dylan Seas. He
has been tremendous for the San Diego potteries. This is
not so much a fate of it Dylan cease, but
rather just the entire hole of the San Diego pottery.
It's not warranting to be this big of a favorite

(45:48):
for Cease two nineteen e RA. His walks are down,
He's sound to about three walks per nine and nnis
ball still being able to get those arnth of eleven
straight cuts er nine and NEC's been mass fall at home,
he's been mass full on the road. And for cut Quantrell,
I do think that we are going to see some
regression with him. He is getting still only about six
straightcouts for nine innings and he's doing this all well,
giving up about three and a half walks for nina innings.

(46:09):
But he has been very good recently. How about one
run or fewer surrendered in four of the last five
starts for Cala quantrill And has won six plus innings
in all four of those starts in which he's given
up zero or one run. So that's big, especially when
you've got Rockies bullpen that well, it's rocky there in
the bottom in the Big league's in terms of bullpen here,
Victor Bodnick has actually done a relative We saw a
job of lan Jalen Beeks. But when you're trusting guys

(46:31):
like oh, I don't know, justin Lawrence Anthony Molina in company,
that's not necessarily a place where you want to be in.
For the San Diego Patters, I did like the pickups
that they had.

Speaker 4 (46:39):
In the offseason.

Speaker 2 (46:40):
Yuki Matsui has been pretty solid since coming over from
the NIPO and Baseball League. Andyene Los Santos was very
solid for the Cleveland Guardians. You'll bring in Wandi Perolta,
these guys, I've been able to do a nice job
on that front end for the San Diego Patters. It's
say bullpen that I do think that they will improve
moving forward. About sixteenth in the league currently in terms
of VRA, they've done a nice job against righty's for

(47:00):
the Padres, and Calcauantro has a righty darning about a
two seventy three.

Speaker 4 (47:03):
As a collective that starts the top of the lake.

Speaker 2 (47:05):
Fernando Tatis Junior already has seven home runs against right
ANDed pitching. I believe that he's got eight in total,
so that has been something that has been big for him.
Now outside of Tattees Junior, a lot more of the
power numbers have actually come against lefties, but they're doing
a much better job of fitting for average against the righties,
as fag Crona Worth be able to give you about
a three fifty or so on base, Benny Machado, Hassan Kim,

(47:25):
Dreks and Profar along Corona Worth all between five and
seven zero runs at Profar give me a four hundred
base that's been pretty rock solid, but Hawsome Kim has
seen a little bit of regression at the plate as well.
And for the Colrad Rockies, this is still a relatively
ghastly line up. To say the least, but they will
bust out a little bit more with the bat. They've
been able to score four plus runs and now all
but two out of their last six games, you are

(47:46):
getting guys on base now. If you look at the
Baseball Savon numbers, they've actually been one of the luckiest
teams at the plate that's far the season, despite being
one of the teams with one of the lower batting
averages in all Baseball. But Brenton Doyle, Ryan mcbhn eliasias
one hundred in the series and at least to two
eighty five. Not a lot of power on this lineup
right now. You've got Ryan McMahon leaning the way with
five home runs and then tied for second in terms

(48:07):
of home runs as Michael Toglia. He hasn't taken at
a bad since April twenty first, so that's been a
little bit of an issue for the Colrad Rockies. But
I do think that Cal Quantrill gonna be able to
keep it going with this being at peck Go. It's
a very pitcher friendly ballpark that bodes well for a
pitcher contact guy like cal Quantrell. I did some my
toll at some point for I feel like we went
just a little bit too low on this total. Is
I do think that both of these starters see a

(48:28):
little bit of regression, So we're gonna be over and
anything north of a plus two twenty nine gonna be
able to take the Rockies on the money line nine
sixty one, nine sixty two on the bagy board. The
La Dodgers are on the road. They're facing off against
the San Francisco Giants. Says Keaton Winn goes for the
Giants and Gavin Stone goes for the Dodgers. Currently, Circa
is the only book with a number up on this game.
The Dodgers are minus one sixty five plus one fifty

(48:50):
on the Giants with a total of eight, the overs
at minus one fifteen, the unders at minus one oh five,
And if you're looking to lay a run half with
the Dodgers, you're gonna be laying minus one oh five
and needed a lease a plus one forty to take
a shot on the Giants. Seeing a plus one fifty,
I'm certainly gonna be one take it for Keaton Winn.
He's not a guy that's gonna go out there and
just completely gas facy or anything like that. He's not

(49:10):
a high strikeout guy, but has been able to do
a relatively solid job in terms of command two point
eight walks through six point eight strake cuts for nine
ninety's five sixty three eres unsightly, but a four to
fifteen fielding dependent to go along with it. On the
road against a Philiates and the Colrad Rock, he's got
absolutely land based and he's won these pitchers that just
throughout his career going back to when he made his
MLB debut in twenty twenty three, has been so much

(49:32):
more comfortable when he's been in San Francisco rather than
on the road. His ERA is dropped by a full
point seven points overall for his career in San Francisco,
and you just take a look at the twenty twenty
four numbers, it has been all the more demonstrative as
at home thus far the season of three RA seven
ninety seven when he's been away from home going against
another young gun and Gavin Stone, that he's been able
to look a little bit better recently, but I still

(49:54):
have my trepidations with him. He's got a three to
fifty five raa fielding and Pennant more around about a
three seventy seven eights. He's another pitch of contact guy
success right out to about three walks for nine nineties.
Has done a nice job keeping the ball in the yard.
But I do think that there are some question marks
that we had really with both of these pitchers. For
the ELI Dodgers, you know that this set star lineup
is going to give them a nice ed chess. You've
been able to have Showyotani just be absolutely incredible this

(50:17):
far this season. He's up to eleven plus home runs.
Give you a four to twenty five on base. Mookie
Betts is up to a four to forty in terms
of his on base. As a matter of fact, you
just take a look at one through four in the lineup,
all giving you at least a two ninety three average.
All these guys, including Freddy Freeman Will Smith could take
your yard at any moment. Now the bottom of the fold,
the likes of James Outman, Gavin Lux may have been
a little bit rough, but one through seven has been

(50:38):
absolutely incredible with Tasker and and is out to a
double figure a mount of homers. But for the San
Francisco Giants, you've been able to find this lineup getting
a little bit more online. La Mottway Junior has given
you a four to seventy on base. You've been able
to see if you guys be able to rise up
and just give you a little bit more in terms
of an average. Elliott Ramos along with mister Fitzgerald, these
guys have been able to do a solid job there

(50:59):
ethereos out of sitting about it two fifty though on
these percent just don't really been there. Matt Edmond Orace
Celea both at five plus home runs. It's far the season,
but need them to be able to get on a
little bit more consistently. But Brett Sable along with Patrick
Bailey at the catcher spot, I've actually been very good
and I do think that the Giants are going to
be able to improve terms their bullpen. They enter into
the series and the bottom eight in the big leagues

(51:19):
in terms of bullpenning area by getting Luke Jackson back
in the fold as big Bat Taylor and Tather Rodgers,
who have both been relatively reliable for this bunch. Cameleon
devall is one of the better closers in the big leagues.
On the Dodgers are currently missing their closer and Evan Phillips.
On top of that, you've been able to have Ryan Brazier,
who was so good in twenty twenty three, just not
be able to deliver that in twenty twenty four.

Speaker 4 (51:39):
Joe Kelly was absolutely awful. They got him out of there,
and that's actually a good thing for the scene.

Speaker 2 (51:44):
But JP fire Eysen looking to just really remake his
career in general after he was so good a few
seasons ago. With the race, they do get like trying
back in the full, but to have a few question
marks with him just coming off the end of the list.
I do think that this is going to be a
higher scoring affair. I did something I told at eight
point seven, so and at eight and a half or less,
I do like the over and at the plus one
fifteen number nine s I'm gonna be won't think the

(52:04):
Giants on the money line nine sixty thirty nine sixty
four on the betting board, the Baltimoreols playoffs to the
Toronto Blue Jays. Chris Basset as yok line and Sinker
for the JS file. Bradish Is on the bump for
the Orioles. Orioles find themselves as pretty good sized favorites.
We're going to be getting them between minus one fifty
four to a minus one sixty two, between plus one
thirty six to oh plus one forty five set number
on Toronto eight and a half a se total over

(52:26):
and under anywhere between minus one five to one minus
one fifteen set the Oriols at a minus one sixty
on the money line. But if you're looking to lay
a run and a half, you're gonna be able to
get that plus price more roun a plus one thirty.
I know Danner likes the money line here, I'm gonna
go with the run line personally, just because with this
Blue Jays bullpen, they're currently dead last in the big
leagues in terms of VRA. They pulled out the win yesterday,
but soil do have my question marks with regards to

(52:48):
this Blue Jays team. Now, I will say this as
well about the blue Jays bullpen. They started out with
Eric Swanson Jordan Romano both being on the injur list.
I think that they're better than bullpen numbers thirty in
the big leagues, especially after they were a top five
a season ago, though part of that with Zoo two
acquisitions had at the trade deadline and said, I do
think that sac Pop is going to be able to
help them out a little bit, but they're still relatively

(53:09):
rough disab the least. And for Chris Passet, ever since
he has gotten to Toronto, he just has not been
the same pitcher when he's been away from home rather
than when he's been at home at home. For Chris
Passet's given up a sub three five era, he's given
up less and home run for nine nings. That era
jumps by very nearly two points when he is away
from Omey. He just hasn't been himself ever since he
left the Mets, the Oakland A's and all those other

(53:30):
stuffs that he's had. As he has given up now
at least three runs in three out of his last
four starts. He's posting up in the era that is
hovering more in the neighborhood of about a five oh six,
and it's fielding independent very much looks it. Meanwhile, with
Kyle Bradish, he's only made a few starts since coming
off the injury list, but all in all he's been
able to do a pretty rock solid job for the
Seam and I think that he's going to be able
to continue to do some moving forward. When he went

(53:52):
on the injured list last season, he was really one
the aces of this staff, and he's backed up by
a bullpen that is in the top twelve in the
big leagues. In turns of era, Vanier can have a
little bit of our off go but yesterday, but the
lakes of a Danny Koloom have benber very rock solid.
Jacob Webb has given you a sub three to five
yar A just spent nine to two thirds ends across
two starts four bradish as far, but already fourteen strikeouts.

Speaker 4 (54:12):
Has given up four walks.

Speaker 2 (54:13):
That's a little bit of a concern, but it is
a little bit less concerning when you've got a Baltimore
Orioles team that among their top eight players in terms
of total at beats, so everyone with at least eighty
five at pats that's far the season. Every one of
them has cranked out at least six home runs thus
far the season. Gunn Anderson is right now leading the
way with twelve, and all but two of these players
are also at least a two to sixty with regards.

(54:33):
They're batting average as well. So I've got Alee Rushman
moving the line, hitting at three hundred lone. Jordan Westsburg
to be all about with that, got so much stuff
that you're able to really platoon for rightis and lefties.

Speaker 4 (54:43):
So that's absolutely massive.

Speaker 2 (54:45):
And you've got a Blue Jay team that they rank
in the bottom ten the Big Leagues with regards runs
per game. Bliger Junior trew his credit. He's starting to
pick it up about a three seventy five on base,
but he's stuck on four home runs thus far the
season and flight alone. David Schneider, we're the only two
guys in the line of pst with north of a
three twenty on base. You got the likes of Cavan Biggio,
Daniel Vogo back, the currently injured George Springer, Aleander Kirk,

(55:07):
Dalton VARs show all these guys and get two twenty
or lower. Boba Schett, He's up to about it two
eighteen in terms of his average with not a lot
of power. Stuff been pretty miserable for them. I do
think that for the Blue Jays it's gonna be another
rough go of it here. And I do think that
Chris pass said continues to give up runs on the road.
I did something I total, I had an eight point
six year at the eight and a half. I do
like the over and for the Blue Jays, want to
lay a run half at that plus number on the

(55:27):
run line nine sixty five, nine sixty six on the
bank board. The Tampa Bay Rays, you throw at the
face off against the Boston Red Sox. Nick Bovetta is
on the bump for Boston. Parent's a ball. He's on
the bump for Tampa Bay. Tampa Bay is an underdog
of any Virginia plus one o two to plus one ten. Meanwhile,
you have dream minus one eighteen to a minus one
twenty five is that number on Boston and after nine
is the total on the nine under is minus one fifteen,
the overs minus one to five on the e and

(55:49):
a f overs minus one twenty and the under is
even set the Red Sox out of minus one thirty seven.
I'm gonna be willing to roll with them on the
bank line. For the Tampa Bay Rays, it's just been
very strange to see them in the bottom eight in
the Big Leagus terms of a Pete Fairbanks was just
an absolute calamity for them at the beginning part of
the season and being injured and that's been a little
bit touch and go. We shall see if he is
able to return to four or if he continues to

(56:11):
be the guy that he was prior to getting relegated
to the minor league slash being a little bit injured
in general. But you've got Phil maytom Manuel Rodriguez that
just have really not been able to do the job
as well in the bullpen. These guys I'm north of
a five are I do like what Gerrik Clevenger Jason
Adam urray A will give you. But the Boston Red
Sox do back up Nick Povetta with by far the
better bullpen. They rank in the top ten with his
regard finding guys like Brendan Bernardino throwing their Justin Slayton

(56:34):
will have been very good with sub three eras. Greg
Wisert has been tremendous as well. Kinley Jansen has been
very reliable in close spots as well. And then for
the Boston Red Sox, the young guns in this lineup,
they've been able to step up a little bit. Now
you do need to get more. A lot of guys
like Pablo Reyes, Sadine Raphaela von Grisham. These are guys
they're anting a two twenty five or lower, but Whyler

(56:55):
Prey has been abed for about a three d two
on base. Jaron Durham, he's saying about a two sixty
five at the top of the fold, and about Connord
Wong five plus home runs three seventy five on base
three forty four average. Then offs on Tyler O'Neal it's
up to ten home runs. He's hitting for about a
three eighty on base. Rufiele Deveres has been a little
bit down in terms of power numbers, but he's been
able to do an amazing top of getting on base.
And for the Tampa Bay Rays, it's a touch and

(57:15):
go lineup. You've got plenty of guys getting on base.
Josh Lowe along with Amed Rosario, Harold Ramirez, Johnny de Luca,
these are all guys hitting at least at two sixty
five and yds back up dating about a two sixty.
But Randy Rose Arena that has seven home runs. He's
currently inning about a buck fifty nine. It's really been
Eashak Parades who's had to carry the mail for the
seam and for parades. He got a little bit of

(57:37):
an a arrest yesterday so I have to wonder what's
going on there For the Boston Red Sox. I do
think that Nick Povetta gonna be able to get back
at a little bit more into form. After he got
lit up in his last start, he was on the
injured list for a little bit north of a month,
so you always figured that that first start coming back
is going to be a little bit brutal against the
Atlanta Brays. Gives up five runs to four innings, But
from the back half of last season all Star Break

(57:58):
on until the beginning part of this season was posting
up about ten a half straightcouts for nine ninetys with
a sub three fifty earra. I do think that he's
gonna find a little bit more of that, and so
I Spectro Alotov well against the Rays as well. Meanwhile,
for Aaron Savali, it is giving up about one point
seven home runs per nine innings. I feel like he's
pitched a little bit better than the five eighty eight
ERA would indicate. The startcount numbers are up to about
nine and a half straightcouts for nine ninetys, but has

(58:20):
just been getting absolutely shelt three plus runs surrendered four
of his last five serves one exception coming against the
Chicago White Sox. I do think that the Red Sox
are able to get to safal here and they're able
to provide enough support for Nick Poveda to be able
to get the job done some by total at eight
point eight personally, all the nines are out there on
the East Coast. I would rather have an eight and
a FF anyway, so A andF. I'm looking at the
over animal in a lay up to a minus one

(58:40):
thirty six on this Red Sox money line nine sixty
seven nine to sixty eight on the big board of
the New York Yankees on the road facing off against
the Minnesota Twins. Chris Paddock is on the bump for
the Twins. Carlos ho hoad On is on the bump
for the Yankees. It is a total over and under
both of the Mins one ten. With the Yankees, they're
between minus one thirty five to minus one forty favorites
in between plus one fourteen the puls one twenty five
is that number Minnesota. I'm gonna be one to think

(59:01):
the plus price with the Twins set them at a
plus one oh six. For Chris Paddock, he's been one
of the more unlucky pitchers in the big leagues over
the last few years for one as well, with just
so many injuries since getting the Minnesota about two plus
seasons ago. And while he's been with the Minnesota Twins,
his ERA has been a little bit north of four,
but his field the compendant, is a full point better
since joining the Twins, and he started the twenty twenty

(59:22):
two campaign has given up about a home run Berni
and Nnings with one half walks of nine straightcouts Berni
and Ennings, he certainly deserves a little bit of better
faith than what he's gotten now. Good news for the
Minnesota Twins, the bats are starting to rupt. Carlos Santana,
Ryan Jeffers, Eduard Julien all with at least seven zero
runs as far this season. Santana has been not doing
the world's greatest job but being able to get on base.
But Julian and Ryan Jeffers are both up to a

(59:43):
north of a three forty on base. They get Carlos
career back at the fold end. He's starting to look
like the man of a few years ago, hitting about
a two seventy five. I know that a lot of
teams in signed him last offseason due to his X race.
I think that he was probably dealing with some MAC
issues and now he's looking much better. Could still use
Royce in the full But all told, for the Twins,
things are looking up and they go up against a

(01:00:04):
guy and Carlos Hoddan who is now getting about nine
straightcussern and nnies. But that's not the Carlos Hoddan that
we all know. Love that he's been giving up about
three walks per Nin and Nnies nearly a home run
and a half. Berni and nunnis three fifty six e
Ra fielding the Pennant about points seventy five points higher
than that now for Carlos Hoddan. Fortunately for him, he
is backed up by a bullpen that has been absolutely
incredible Ian Hamilton, Ronnen Bananaccio. These guys have been able

(01:00:25):
to give you sub three ara like what I'm seeing
out of Victor Gunsalz in that bullpen as well. Clay
Holmes has been absolutely massiveul at the closers spot, where
the Yankees are currently number two in the Big Leagues
terms of bullpenny range. For the Twins, we've seen a
little bit of regression with them. They're down to about
thirteenth of the big leagues with regards to their Bullpenny Aray,
but it's not some relatively reliable arms out there, yawned
it on. I feel like he should be closing out
every single game. I don't know why they haven't been

(01:00:47):
putting him so much in the closer spot. But got
the lakes of Griffin Jacks alone with Brocks twur At,
these guys have been able to give you sub three
five era. Steven Okurt has been a little bit touching go.
I know that he's been deal with a few injuries
as well, and we've seen Cole Sands start to give
up a few runs. But on all I do think
that Chris Pattick is going to be able to get
some good support against the Yankees team that has been
able to erupt a little bit more recently. In the

(01:01:08):
last game, they put up a nice ten spot against
the Tampa Bay Rays. As Aaron judge, he's up to
ten home runs, He's up to about a three seventy
on base still not dating for a lot of average.
On Carlosan he's been able to give you a lot
of power as well, even though he's hitting just a
two thirty as well. But it's been the young guys
like in Anthony Volpe as well too Corbrera that have
really been able to help out this team. Couple that
with the fact that Anthony Rizzo a little bit of

(01:01:28):
a good man for the team. It's been able to
give you functional power about a three forty on base
as well. And then Wan Soto has obviously been won.
Soto providing good power can be about a four to
fifteen on base. Yankees pretty solid, but against both the
lefties and rightys. But this is very much a pitchers
ballpark out here. That said, still do like the over.
Did somebody tell at eight point three and at a
plus one or seven or higher, I'm gonna be willing
to take shot on the Twins on the money line

(01:01:49):
nine sixty nine, nine seventy on the bank board. The
Texas Rangers two playoffs to the Cleveland Guardians. Ben Lively
goes for the Guardians and Jack Later is on the
bump for the Rangers. Rangers are in a relative game.
They're between minus one of five to minus one twelve. Meanwhile,
between minus one oh five minus one eight is your
number on Cleveland. Nine is a totally over his minus
one twenty. The under his even did set Jack Lighter

(01:02:10):
out of minus one twenty. I'm gonna be one to
lay this fall number first he starts for Jack Lighter.
If not, as he been so tremendous, I hearken back
to what he was able to do over at Vanderbilt,
where he was able to build himself up into being
a top five pick. And at the minor league level,
he clearly has been able to show that great stuff
just hasn't translated in his first two starts. Now the
Fielding Independent it's a six fourteen, which I mean that's

(01:02:32):
six points lower than the cra of at twelve ninety one,
which means that he's been really, really bad on the
surface numbers. He's only been absolutely terrible with regards the
Fielding Independent. But I do think that he's gonna be
able to rise up here. When he was at the
minor league level this season, he was getting thirteen strikeouts
bernine and and he's expacked to by a bullpen that
it's been, shall we say, a little bit untrustworthy. We've
seen ose laclerk just give up a run upon run,

(01:02:54):
but Kirby Yates David Arbertson. These guys have been relatively said,
and they do have to go up against the Guardian
and see him that they are number one of the
big leagues in terms of bullpenning area. They did have
to use up quite a few guys yesterday, but vandam
Manuel Classe just be an absolutely tremendous closer for this team.

Speaker 4 (01:03:08):
You've got the likes of Hunter Gaddis.

Speaker 2 (01:03:09):
Tim Aaron, Kate Smith, Nick Sandlin, I'll give you a
top three five yarra. And for Ben Lively, he's been
very lively in terms of giving good innings. He has
given up to two home runs and twenty seven and
a third innings two sixty three arra. If you look
at that fielding independent though, I do think that this
is going to be going a little bit more sideways
from moving forward, as he has been missing a few
more barrels that needed a season ago. But he still

(01:03:31):
does give up some relatively art contact and is now
given up about three bucks er nine ennings. And for Cleveland,
they've had a tough time being able to move the
line ever since Stephen Kwan has been out of the
full dist It's been very much ose Ramirez Josh s.
Naylor probably providing the deep at a comfined twenty one
runs between these two. For Ramirez hitting for just a
two ninety four on base, but certainly has been aating
for power. Josh Naylor up to about a three fifty

(01:03:51):
inches of his on base, but need a little bit
more from some of these guys like a Bow Naylor,
Tyler Freeman as Stevan Forrell.

Speaker 4 (01:03:59):
These are guys.

Speaker 2 (01:04:00):
Hitting a two of five or lower with really not
a lot of power. Raman Loreano has been great in
the field, has not been so great at the plate
and then on the flip side for the Texas Rangers
may be dealing with quite a few injuries. White Length
for being out of the fold not so ideal. And
Josh Young that injury has been really killer for the
seam as well. You can tell that when he was
in the fold and out of the fold last season
that really affected this. See but Marksim and Dolas Garcia,

(01:04:22):
I'm buying fifteen home runs. This has been solid for them.
Garcia is starting to sink in terms of the average,
but Simmey is sitting about it two eighty five. Corey
Seeker is starting to look a little bit better, but
Silaj's forum runs sitting at two thirty five. He needs
to work his way out of this rut. But like
stuff a Josh Smith, long Ayoti Temveris, Travis Shankowski only
at least a two forty five has been big. Joona

(01:04:42):
him has done a nice job being able to move
the line as well. And I do think that for
the Rangers, they are going to be able to get
just enough out of Jack Lighter to find a way
to be able to get this one done. And I
do think that Ben likely starts to see some regression,
so did Semi tota nine point one. I do like
the over end for the Rangers. I'm gonna be willing
to take them up to a minus one nineteen on
this money line nine seventy one, nine seventy two on
the bank board. The Oakland A's at the road to
face off against the Houston aswers run. Alo Blanco is

(01:05:04):
on the bump for the Astros. Jpziars goes for Oakland.
Oakland is an underdog any between plus one sixty four
to a plus one seventy seven. Meanwhile, minus one ninety
two minus two five that number on Houston eight two,
eight and a half in total. On the eight and
a half, the over set minus one fifteen and the
unders at minus one oh five. Meanwhile, in the eight
the overs between minus one twenty two of minus one

(01:05:25):
twenty five unders any between even a plus one oh
five and circumstance where I'm going to be taking a
look at an eight and a half under, I did
semi toal at an eight point three with jp SIIs
he does give up the deepalt quite a bit. Since
the beginning of the twenty and twenty three season, he's
been allowing in terms of home runs per nine and
he's more around about one point seven home runs, so
that's something that you do have to encounter with them,

(01:05:45):
but only about two and a half blocks per nine innings.
Does pitch quite a bit of contact, giving up only
about six point eight strike cups per nine and innings. Meanwhile,
for Ronal Blanco, he's got a two twenty three ra
thus far this season, but I am very much waiting
for the bottom to fall out on him. Ronel Blanco
has been a little bit more of a picture contact guy.
I'm not gonna say that he doesn't get any strikeouts whatsoever,

(01:06:06):
but that said, he's been posting up any strikeouts per
nine rate of about eight thus far this season well,
giving up four walks per nine fielding independent is a
full two points higher than his r right now. I
don't think that the day that he sees regression is
necessarily going to be today, because for the Oakland A's,
this team is in the bottom five in the Big
Leagues with regards to runs per game. They actually have

(01:06:26):
been towards the top of the majors in terms of
home runs per game when they've been away from home,
but just don't have a lot of guys you are
able to move the line to general for this team
Seth Brown, Lawrence Butler, Brett Harris Caesar, all guys hanging
below the middlest line of two hundred. Now, you've been
able to get a lot out of Brent Rookers hitting
a three hundred. He's been able to supply nine plus
home runs, Jay Bangs, Jay Langlaires nine plus home runs

(01:06:47):
as well, but he's also someone hanging right around two hundred.
Abraham Toro, along with Tyler Sodemstrom, looks to have a
little bit of promise, but on all the he's played
approach it's not been too tremendous. Meanwhile, for Uston, this
has been one of the best thay teams at home
thus far the season. We sell them put up the
nine runs yesterday. Your top three Kyle Tucker, Jordan Alvarez,
Jose al Tuovey. All three of these guys have been

(01:07:08):
able to provide at least seven zero runs as far
as this season. In the case of L two B
and Tucker both the way with north of a three
seventy five bass. Jeremy Payne is back in full force.
He's saving about a three forty in really sands. Jose Abray,
who's no longer seen it pass for the team, pretty
much everyone in the lineup, aside from Alex Bregman, who
has a multi home run game yesterday, has done a
solid job finding away on bees moving the line. What

(01:07:29):
has been the issue for the Astros has at their
bullpen ranks in the bottom ten in terms of VRA. Now,
I do expect some positivity if you look at Ryan Presley,
Avon Josh Shader. Both of these guys currently have well
north of four eras, but their fielding independence are more
than two points lower than their era. Brian Obray who
after a rough search of the season, he's being able
to pick it up a little bit as well. He
sounded to about a three to sixty terms of his era,
guy that they utilized yesterday. And Taylor Scott has been

(01:07:51):
relatively solid and for the eights going into the series,
they were in the top ten in the Big Leagues
terms of bullpen erae. Needles say Easton Lewis is not
a guy they trusted too much, as he toasted the
DK iworked right up under from yesterday. But that said,
you've been able to have likes of Kyle Mueller, Austin Adams,
Mason Miller your main closer, I'll be able to give
you a sub three three era, been able to get
some good innings just across the board. Danny men Is

(01:08:13):
being on the injured list does hurt the see him
a little bit. But I do think that for Ronald Blanco,
even the regression is probably on the wall a little bit.
I do think that he so does a solid job
be able to revide here. But I do think that
at a north of a plus one seventy, got a
little bit of value on the Oakland A's with the
way that they have been able to hit those solom
runs and with the way that JP series, I think
is going to do a nice job holding down the

(01:08:33):
ford end, just being able to keep the ball in
the yard. So I'm going to be taking a look
at this eight and a half under, and I do
like the Oakland A's on the money line nine seventy three,
nine seventy four on the bank board. The Seattle Mariners
playos Cancer Royals Michael Waka and if he gets lit up,
it's the dying pack man voice of Michael Waka. Waca
Loca Laca Locka goes for the Royals, and Logan Gilbert
is on the bump for Seattle. The Seattle Mariners are

(01:08:55):
home favorites. Somebody minus one forty eight two minus one
fifty five. Meanwhile between plus one thirty and plus one
forty four is the number on the Royals and seven
and se total over its between minus one fifteen to
a minus one twenty five hundreds between minus one oh
five to one plus one oh five. And when it
comes to the Royals, I need at least a plus
one forty seven to be able to take a shot
here for looking at lay a run half with Seattle.

(01:09:16):
You're getting that Andy, We're tween about a plus one
forty two al plus one fifty and if I'm be
able to get anything Garth with plus one forty five,
I'm gonna be one layer run half. For Michael, Waukee's
been a little bit up and down thus far this season.
Last few seasons he's had a fielding compendant that has
been way higher than his cra We've seen a little
bit of reversal of that thus far this season five
to one five. Yarra has pitch much better than that.

(01:09:36):
He's given up plus an home run per nine and
he's three walks per nine. He does give up a
little bit too much contact as selling, getting about seven
point six right cuts per nine nings, but all in
all is up and bad and he's backed up. I
can't say Royals bullpen that to begin the year with
very rock solid. We're starting to see some of these
guys like James macarthuring company start to fall back to
earth and Chris dry and now along with Will Smith

(01:09:57):
just have never really been trustworthy bullpen pieces of Royals
four teams in the league. Terms of opening area, the
Seattle Mariners are sick and though they are without Tyler Cacado.
They still have a lot of guys that they have
just on Earth that were just less known guys that
they've been able to make in the nice relievers Trent
Thornton and Cody Bolton, Gabe Spire, these guys have all
been rock solid, a lot andres Munjos. Now for the
Seattle Manners, they just have not been able to generate

(01:10:19):
a lot of offense at home, and sneakily, this is
one of the best pitchers ballparks they're going to find
in all baseballs. For the Seattle Manners entering into the series,
everything just three point four to five runs per game
at home. That is second worst along with the Chicago
White Sox out there in the American League. But Cal
Rawley has been able to give you ten home runs. Now,
the issues that you do have with the Seattle Mariners
as well, they are leading the leg in terms of

(01:10:40):
strikecouts per at bet they are hitting about it two
twenty three as whole as Rawley. I just mentioned the
injured off and on JP Crawford or a Polanco, Mitch Hanneger,
all these guys are gutting it two twenty four or
lower and other than Rawley. You're not getting a lot
of power out of any of these guys. Le Rodriguez,
it's been ablay at two fifty five, but just to
one runs as far as he needed a little bit

(01:11:01):
more there. Josh Ross has really been the long guy
moving the line. He's sitting for about a four hundred
on base, but that pitching has just been so gosh
during good and but you can't say Royals the team
has not been the same offense when they've been away
from home rather than when they've been at home. For
the Royal Star everything about five runs per contest at home.
On the road it's more around about four point one
five runs per game. Though you do have Salvador Perez
Bobby Wood Jr. Being able to combine for thirteen home

(01:11:22):
runs both ending above three inner pass that you do
need more guys that just get on base consistently. Adam Frazier, MJ. Melendez,
Hunter Renfro these guys below the Modad's line of a
two hundred. You've had Binny Pascantino picking up. He's given
you about a three thirty three on base, But so
do you have your concerns there? And then for Logan Gilbert.
He has been nothing short of incredible as far as
the season sub three year as giving up about one

(01:11:42):
home run per nine ennings. His walks per nine eight
has been slashed right around about two point seven while
getting north of nine stright cass per nine. And he's
coming off of aortable start where he gave up eight
runs against the Minnesota Twins. But I mean in all
of his other starts he has given up a grind
total of nine runs over the course of forty eight innings.
That he's going to be able to get back into
that good form. I think we've went a little bit

(01:12:03):
too low with this total. Did somebody toell some point six?
Especially with the Royals Bullpen s Earner regrets a little bit.
I do like the over, and I do like the
Mariners laying a run half on the run line nine
seventy five, nine seventy six on the bank board the
Miaey Marlins. They are on the road facing off against
the Detroit Tigers. Reesulsen goes for Detroit, Ryan Weathers goes
for the Miami Marlins, and with the Marlins going to
be fine, the many between plus one fifty to a

(01:12:25):
plus one sixty three hunderdog and between minus one seventy
two to minus one ninety said number on Detroit eight
and a half is the total under his minus one
fifteen the over his mines one to five. If you're
looking to lay a run half, getting between plus one
fifteen to plus one twenty on Detroit and for the Tigers,
I was wanting to go pretty much even money or
better on that run line set them or on minus
twenty six on the money line, I'm going to be
one to lay that run half. This Miami Marlins bullpen

(01:12:47):
has just been absolutely horrible. They're in the bottom six
in the big leagues in terms of VRA. They completely
blew the game yesterday. And just take a look at
these guys like Andrew Nrdi and also George Shouriano that
were so good season ago and they have been awful.
They put a j punk back into the bullpen, and well,
that's something I don't know if it's gonna payoff or not.
They have been able to get some good endings out

(01:13:08):
of Calvin Fouche a long with Brian Hoying, but if
you look at individual pitchers in terms of actual EI
versus expected era, Wing is right now the biggest regression
candidate pretty much in the National League, and for the
Miami Marlands, you're just not getting any offense as well.
If you got the likes of a Christian Bethin Corps,
Josh Bell, Jake Berger Ale adding a two to fifteen
or lower, not getting a lot of power outside Brian

(01:13:30):
Dayla Cruz, who's they will give you about a three
fifteen on base he'supplying seven home runs and Jee schi
ISLELM has hit a few home runs as well. But
on all this Miyaming Marlands team, they just have not
been able to generate offense. They don't have a lot
of pitching and they go up against the Tigers lineup
that it's been rough for them to begin the season.
The likes of Hobby Bias, Cole Keith, Spencer, Tourklsin able

(01:13:50):
to throw in their Carson Kelly, all these guys getting
a two twenty five or lower has been a little
bit rough. But now they've found when Seal Perez's giving
you a functional power, he's been able to two ninety
five for total. Though it's been a bad season, two
home runs in the last four games should be able
to get him going. Riley Green Marcanna both give you
a north of a three fifty on base, with Green
being able to fly nine home runs, and unlike the
Miami Marlins and Tigers bullpen, they rank in the top

(01:14:11):
eight in the Big leagues in terms of bullpenny Ray.
You've noticed Andrew Chafin along wil Vest being a little
bit up and down. But the likes of Alex Laying,
Alex Fayoto, Jason Foley, these guys I've been able to
do a very rock solid job, and I do think
that you're going to be able to get a nice
start of ree Olsen. Reece Olsen doesn't necessarily do one
thing great, but he has yet to give up a
home run this far as the season. I don't think
that'll be long lasting. But he gets about of the

(01:14:32):
stray cuts for nine, and he's his walks have been
a little bit up beasly given up more like three
and a half walks for nine, and he's not as
great as his two fifty two era would indicate. But
going up against the Miami Marland seem that is now
dealing with a VCO guard see being out of the fold.
Bryan Hoying might be hitting the injured list as well,
and that's a little bit rough as well. So circumstances
where I'm gonna be willing to take a shot on
the run line of the Detroit Tigers, and with reguards

(01:14:53):
to total, I do think that for the Miami Marlins
are just not gonna be able to hit mister Rolsen.
Some mighty told it at eight point three, so you're
at the eight. I'd like the undergo along with that
run line. With Ryan Weathers having a little bit of
a better season thus far four fifty four ERA, but
still has his walk issues as well, with north of
three and a half walks per nine ings, I think
that that leads to a lot of olepen use as well.

Speaker 4 (01:15:12):
So we're gonna have be.

Speaker 2 (01:15:13):
Under and looking at the run line of the Detroit
Tigers signed seventy seven, nine to seventy eight and nine
eighty one, nine eighty two are going to be in conjecture.
This is our double letter between the Chicago White Sox
and the Washington Nationals. Game one is actually going to
be nine eighty one, nine eighty two. This is the
early game, so we'll go with the first. Trevor Williams
goes for Washington. Chris Flexen is on the bump for
the White Sox when there's one's taking off the board.

(01:15:33):
The Washington Nationals where about a minus one twenty favorite
now that's been reposted, it's but tween about a minus
one ten to a minus one twenty and between even
money to minus one ten on the White Sox and
totals between eight and a half and nine on the
nine the unders lines one fifteen, the overs mines one
oh five and on the eight and a half over
his minus one fifteen to minus one twenty understanding between
even minus one of five, so like flatively close to

(01:15:54):
the numbers that we had yesterday, and and said, this
is going to be a spot where once again I'm
gonna be taking a look at the Nationals on the
money line and the under. For Trevor Williams, he has
been nothing short of rock solid for the team. Bucket
ninety sixty are fielding independent is a little bit higher,
but as he had to give up a home run
in thirty six and two thirds, sayings, so then give
it up about three bucks per nine and ennis, so
he missed up not never going to be there, getting
only about seven a half straight cuts ber nine ninings.

(01:16:15):
But for Chris flex In five twenty ninety Arra fielding
the Independent, that's north of five. He's been giving up
three point three walks per nine and then he says
a pitcher contact guy that only gets about six half
straight cuts bur nine nings going up against the Nationals lineup,
that's about nineteenth in the Big leagues. With regards to
runs per game, they haven't been ripping the cover off
the ball.

Speaker 4 (01:16:31):
But you do have c. J.

Speaker 2 (01:16:32):
Abrams, who's been able to give you seven er runs
as far this season. If he had Lewis garciad to
do a night shop finding way to be able to
get on base about a three forty five on base,
while Jesse Winker gives you about a three to fifty
on base. Eddie Rosario has hit a few home runs,
but he Layne Thomas, Key bar Luiz, he currently injured
Joy Gallo. All hitting below a buck eighty has been
less than ideal for this team. And then for the
White Sox, you know it's very much less than ideal.

(01:16:54):
Aftering two point nine runs per game, that is dead
last in the Big leagues. And for this Chicago White Sox,
they've gotten a little bit more recently out of Tommy
fam a long, Corey Lee. Both of these guys and
north of a two seventy, so that's been nice. But
no Mancatta being out of the fold. That has been
absolutely terrible for this team, as that leaves them in
terms of guys that have had at least forty at

(01:17:14):
bats as far as the season with two guys are
current leading north of a two forty, so that's not
necessarily too tremendous to The team has said last in
the Big Leagues with regards home runs per game, though
I will say for the White Sox the bullpen hasn't
been terrible. I'm not saying it's great, but they're about
seventeenth in the league in terms of bullpenny area. Fjared
Schuster might be utilized in this double dip. He's a
nice long guy that's been able to do at a

(01:17:36):
nice job holding down the fourth. Jordan Leisure has given
you some good angings a long John Brebia as well.
Michael Kopek sometimes gives up bombs, but all on all
you could be a relatively solid reliever. And the national
team is in the top twelve with regards to their
Bullpenny area as well. Kyle Finnegan is doing for a
big time regression, but he's been good thus far this season.
Jordan Weams has been a little bit up and down,
but the likes of Derek Law, you're able to throw
in their down floor. These guys have done a nice

(01:17:57):
job holding down the fort. Chaco Parnes and someone I
like as well, and when he comes to Chris Flexen,
I just don't have any faith in him whatsoever. Though.

Speaker 4 (01:18:05):
Both of these offenses have.

Speaker 2 (01:18:06):
Been having a rough time of being able to get
anything going. So circumstance where I did something Nationals out
of minus one, three four, I do like the money
line and it did something I told at any point two,
so I do like the under end our d gat
network Ryde pick is actually gonna come on game two,
which is nine seventy seven, nine to seventy eight. The
big preface with this, make sure Eric Fetti is one
of your starting pitchers. Eric Fetti goes for the White
Sox the Nationals they throw out their Mitchell Parker and

(01:18:27):
right now this is pretty much pick up game minus
one of five and minus one ten totals eight and
a half with the under at of minus one fifteen
the overhead of minus one o five. Again, this is
a case where if Eric Fetti gets switched to game one,
I would go at that game one under. I just
want the under in the Eric Fetti game. So that's
pretty much a way that I'm looking at it.

Speaker 5 (01:18:46):
There is.

Speaker 2 (01:18:46):
Eric Fetti is a former Washington National and when he
was with the Nationals, he was awful. He posted up
north of five era. He was kidding about six hams,
stracous and arns, the three walks Bernie, and then he's
he gave up a lot of home runs. Ever since
he's gotten to Chicago has been much better. He played
for the NC Dynas last season and the KDO posted
up a twenty and six record. Worked on at straightcout
stuff in South Korea, I got ten and a half

(01:19:07):
strikeouts for nine nunnings. That has translated to the big
leagues eight point eight strikecouts to two point eight walks
ber nine innings.

Speaker 4 (01:19:12):
He's allowed two runs for fear and four out of.

Speaker 2 (01:19:14):
His last five starts, and he's backed up by that
deplorable lineup that I mentioned everything about two point nine
runs per game and for Mitchell Parker, three runs are
fear surrendered in all five of his shirts as far
as the season, and Parker is not one up against schlumps.
He had one start against Miami Marlins, but other than that,
he's faced off against the Houston Astros, the LA Dodgers,
the Baltimoorials, and the Texas Rangers. This rookie has been really,

(01:19:35):
really good thus far. He's not getting a ton of strikeouts.
He's getting about seven straight cuts for nine and nnings,
but Man has been there less than two balks for nine.
Ninnis has given up just two home runs as far
as the season. With both of these bullpens being rock
solid and both of these offenses and as I just
alluded to not being so great, my right up pick
is on the under. I set my toe at some
point six and in the spot between Parker and Fetti,

(01:19:55):
looking at a minus one ten or lower for the
Washington National, set them as a minus one eleven favorite.
So right up is going to be on the under.
Make sure Eric Fetty is starting nine seventy nine, nine
eighty on the betting board. Is how we wrap it up.
They say, those Cardinals on the road facing off against
the LA Angels, Reed Denvers goes for the Alos. Sonny
Gray is on the bump for the Cardinals. Cardinals are
a favorite off any between minus one thirty five minus

(01:20:17):
one forty two between plus one eighteen plus one twenty five.
That number on Los Angeles State is the total. The
Unders mines one twenty and they overs even. I threw
out there a tweet on Twitter slash x being like, man,
Cardinals are getting nothing going, had no runs of the
first I believe it, with six hettings of the game yesterday,
and then they put up a ten spot. So of
course that's the way that it always goes with the

(01:20:38):
old Twitter slash x. Chinxes do not exists, but ironies too,
and that certainly was one of them. But that said,
I'm gonna be willing to trusted Read Devers against a
Cardinals lineup that is still in the bottom three in
the big leagues with reguards runs per game, at the
very least in the National I guess Paul Goldschmid just
has not really been able to get going this far
this season. He's sitting right around the middle of line
two hundred entered in YESDA with runs. Good News says

(01:21:01):
they got a home run out of Nolan Arnatto. He's
up to only about three thus far this season, so
they need to get them going because the average has
been there. He's been went north with two seventy five
for the team, but it's really been the young guys.
They've been laying them down. It's been so bad that
they've had to drop back to the minor leagues, guys
like Victor Scott Alon Jordan Walker. Meanwhile, got Brendan Donovan
who's also a two fifteen or lower. Joan Carlson still

(01:21:23):
doesn't have a hit this season. Lars newpar Is hitting
about a two hundred so and it's been rough. Nolan
Gorman has been able to give you five plus home runs,
but he's hitting about a two hundred as well. They're
lying upon Matt Carpenter for good at bats and for
the ll Angels, they've shown a little bit of life
ever since they had Mike Trout goaud Folk. Kevin Pillar
is sitting north of two seventy five in a multi
home run game about a week or so ago. For
the sponge Logan Hoppy has been able to give you

(01:21:44):
north with a three twenty five on bass. Jodell has
been able to be five plus home runs. He's doing
a good job moving the line as well. Could use
a little bit more of guys like no Hanal Zachnetto,
but it's starting to come around a little bit more
for the team and then for the l angels man.
They need to get the boat been figured it out.
They're relying upon a bunch of old guys like Amir
Garrett along with Hunter Strickland, Adam Simber and after they

(01:22:05):
were having signs of regression, but we're pitching relatively decent.
They completely yacked up the game yesterday. You need Matt Moore,
Carlos the seventh, in the eighth and ninth. I need
to be able to step up as well. But I
think that reed Dever is going to be able to
give you a nice started year. He's got a four
ninety sixty arra. You take a look at the fielding
depends though, it's more around a four to eleven. Second
straight year in which he's been pretty unlucky with this regard.
Ten stray cats, about three walks, Bernie Kinks. He has

(01:22:26):
given up about one point four home runs Berni and inks.
But going up against a Cardinals sign up that just
has been tremendous in general, and for Sonny Gray, he
has been very good over the.

Speaker 4 (01:22:35):
Last few seasons.

Speaker 2 (01:22:36):
Over the last two seasons, he has made a grand
total of thirty eight starts, has given up three runs
or fewer.

Speaker 4 (01:22:41):
In all but I believe five of them.

Speaker 2 (01:22:43):
But that said, he is coming off of getting lit
up by the Milwaukee Bards, gave up three home runs
and that start. I do think that he's going to
be able to pick it up a little bit more here.
And he's been great this season eleven point two Straightcats
at one point five walks. Bernie and Nnings has been
still pretty rocks all and on the road despite the
fact that and that little bit of a blow up
against the Brewers and I say Cardinals bullpen that has
about lake average. You've had Andrew Kittridge be able to

(01:23:05):
step up since coming over from the Tampa Bay Race
has been a case where Ryan Helsley has really stepped
up in the closers role whenever they've needed him. Jojo Romero,
Ryan Fernandez, these guys have been relatively okay, but some
of the likes of Ryan to Barron Company that you
really don't trust them too much. I do think though
that Reed Dever's gonna be able to give you a
relatively night start, and I do think that the same
those Cardinals are going to fall back to Earth in
terms of offense. And I do think that the Angels

(01:23:26):
gonna have a tough time getting to Sonny Gray as well.
So I did something I told some point three. I
like the under end I plus one twenty four or higher.
We'll take a shot on the Angels on the money line.
And that'll wrap things up for the Tuesday edition of
The Baseball Betting Show, now part of the VS and
Family Podcasts. A big thanks to Tanner Current of DraftKings
for joining me in the last segment. If you do
like fearing from the Time podcast Baseball Betting Show, you're
able to subscribe wherever your podcasts have a podcasts, Google Play, Spotify,

(01:23:47):
situr and tune in. If you have a question, comment, segment, idea,
whatever you for this podcast. You have one of two
ways weel far those in. First one is my Twitter
slash x simeline at GENA under forty one. Keep in
mind learns them they mean does on mandersized perty usual
Please send these into the timeline. Other ways finding an
Apple podcast review. If you rate this podcast side starts
and is very much apreciated from their arable fire and
whatever you'd like, you're on this podcast five that five
star review coming at you guys every single day throughout

(01:24:09):
the baseball season, so I'll be back with you once
get him up.

Speaker 3 (01:24:11):
Thank you,

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