5/3/24-Baseball Betting Show

Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:00):
Breaking down every game every day in Major League Baseball.
This is the Baseball Betting Show. Here is your host,
Greg Peterson.

Speaker 2 (00:09):
Hey, welcome to Love Me, Las Vegas for the Baseball
Betting Show with myself, Greg Peterson, now part of the Vson
Family Podcasts. We've got an excellent podcast for you as
joining me. In segment number two, we are gonna have
John Bowman aboard. He does a tremendous shop taking a
look at this great game of baseball. I know that
he and Johnny Vanezia oftentimes team up on the Breaking
Bet podcast. He does Bowman on Baseball and so much more.

(00:32):
I know that we've seen him quite a bit on
CBS Sports Line as well. I know that he was
doing some great work over the last few years on
that front. And he's gonna be joining me. We're gonna
be discussing what we've seen here in the first five
or so weeks of the season, and I'm breaking down
some games for Friday, and then in the final segment,
gonna get you guys picks in analysis on every game
on the betting board for this Baseball Friday as we
touch them all. If you have a question, comment take

(00:54):
of an idea. What I have you for this podcast?
You have one of the two Aspo fredos in first
one is by Twitter slash x's timeline at you and
underscore one. Keep in mind letters GM they mean it's
on matter so as very usual, please you send these
into the timeline and the other ways. Sign an Apple
podcast review. If you rate this podcast five starts, it
is very much appreciated. Then from there you're able to
fire into whatever you'd like to here on this podcast
via that five star review. To not get in any

(01:14):
Twitter slash ex questions today. But we had a fun
day of baseball on Thursday, So let's take a look
back and I try to find some Johnson try to
get to know these teams a little bit better.

Speaker 1 (01:23):
Games for yesterday is Greg buzzing about.

Speaker 2 (01:26):
Here is the rowdy recap. The return to the big
leagues for Kyle Bradish was a pretty good one. As
the Baltimorials, they get it done by kind of seven
to two. And for those that rode the over, the
Orioles have been one of your best over teams in
all of baseball. Barely able to get there. So Orioles
are up to sixteen overs, twelve unders, and three pushes
as far this season, but for Bradish not necessarily the

(01:47):
world's longest start, but he was able to be relatively
effective four and two thirds innings, gives up two walks,
gives up one run. From there, you did have Keegan
Akin give up a run in one and a third innings,
but Dave Khloom, Jacob Webb you canby for two squirrels
sending cnl Perez is able to fly squirrels setting as well,
and Carlos ho Hoddan going into the day on Thursday,
the raw numbers look decent, the advanced numbers they were

(02:08):
not so great. And he got tattooed seven runs, six
of which arened, giving up in four innings, including three
home runs. Orde Mateo home run number one the season,
Ryan McKenna home run number one, Ryan Mountcastle his fifth
of the campaign as well. And then you have Michael
Tonkin two squirrels settings and Ron manonaccio. He provides two
scoreless as well, but Yankees got tattooed on that one,
so that was a little bit less in tremendous for them.

(02:30):
And this has been less and tremendous. If you've been
backing the corad Rockies that has been not good to
say least five to four the Rockies lose in ten innings.
As for Peter Lambert, he you pretty much gave it
up in this one. Four runs surrendered in three and
a third innings, including home run goingdy for Miami Josh
Bell home run number four of the season. Both been
from there honestly was good justin Lawrence two squirrel settings,

(02:51):
ty block and four innings of long relief. He was
saw and then Jalen Beeks gives up the under and
run in the tenth inning as a sus Sanchez it's
a game winning RBI. Seeing Jacob Stallings, the former Marlin
was able to go deep off of Edward Cabrera for
his first arm round season and Cabrera has been won
the few bright spots for the Miami Marlins, and he
got tagged four runs and four innings, but but has
been a really awful Miami Marlins bullpen stepped up in

(03:13):
this one as Anthony Bender Andrew Nardi Burch Smith along
with Anthony Baldonado at a squirrel setting in Calvin Fauchet
two squirrels setting, So yay for the Miami Marlins. Getting
his sweep over these said empathetic corad Rockies, who have
now lost five straight road games. And for the New
York Mets, after they got held scoreless on Wednesday in
controversial fashion, they win an eleven on Thursday, seven to six.

(03:36):
They're able to take down these Chicago Cubs, says Ben Brown.
Not a great start here as he gives up two
runs in four to two thirds ankings. That's not the
bad part. Bad part is five walks from there. Keigan
Thompson tried to lend some length, gave up three runs,
one of which was earned on his own fielding air,
so it should be credited to him. That's a discussion
for another day. Actor Naris Yancy Almonte plus fly squirrel
setting and Richard Lovelady won a third endings Squirrels before

(03:57):
Daniel Palencia in the eleventh two runs, one of which
earned Francisco Lindor, who was dealing with the flu. He
came up big in that one. And for the cups
four of nineteen with men in scoring position, you did
have Christopher Morel, who has been struggling to get a
home run in his fifth of the season off of Adrian.
Don't call him Douguiyaoser and he contain's a bitch like Douguiyawser.
Four runs surrendered to five innings. But their bullpen, which

(04:19):
has been really good for the Mets, was able to
step up here. Jake Dakman, re garruple supply and squirrel settings.
Daniel Nunez, he does give up a run at an
ending with Edwin. He has two squirrel settings before Danny
Young gives up an under and run in the eleventh,
but enough for the Mets to be able to get
the job done it. The Walker Texas Rangers have not
been the offensive force that we saw a season go,
but still they're sitting here with the seventeen and sixteen record.

(04:42):
They shout out the Washington Nationals by kind of six
a zero national team that has actually been quite profitable
for you. Let's start of the season. They're nineteen and
twelve on the run line, one of the best marks
in the Big leagues. But for Washington, Mitchell Parker saw
some regression here, gave up three runs in five and
a third innings, and then from there Matt Barnes does
give up three runs in a niting. You have Jordan Weaves,
give me a squirrels, Jacob Barnes a pair of bouts
along the way, but Nathan Valdi, he was on it

(05:04):
in this one five and a third inning, scoreless, eight strikeouts.
From there, Jordan Lance, David Robertson a piecemeal together four
outside the bullpen scores for each of them, and then
Jonathan Ernandez, A squirrel is signing to be able to
get that one to the window. The top era in
terms of a starting rotation right now that belongs to
Boston added two oh three. Sadly they were unable to

(05:24):
supply a whole lot of run production to be all
up out with that three to one the San Francisco Giants.
They get it done as Josh Unkowski, not long for
this game, gives up his home run in four to
third inning, says Mikey Strumsky. He's back where Carl you said,
a bunch of home runs since the third of the campaign.
And then from there Zach Kelly does give up two
runs to two thirds of ninning before you have Brendan Bernardino.
Supply Squore is saying, along Cam Boozer, and you get

(05:46):
two scrolls of signings out of hopefully I say this correctly.
Now U ki Alasawa. He was able to come in
and all down the four, but for Boston they go
oh six with men in scoring position. San Francisco was
able to get a nice start out of Kyle Arrison.
Seven bunch outs at five innings, so he did five
from there. A Giants bullpen that has been awful all
season long, they come up big as Eric Miller, Camellio Davall,

(06:06):
Tyler Rodgers along with Ryan Walker, they're all able to
supply a squirrel is saying, and then Ardy kan over
grid to pick that went down in a fiery heap. Unfortunately,
I had the Guardians on the money line. They get
up by account of two to zero and then they
give up a five spot in the seventh inning for
the Astros to prevail by account of eight to two.
By the way, two plays that were just not made
out there in center field really hurt the Cleveland Guardians

(06:29):
as Logan Allen gives up three runs, only two of
which will earned over the course of his five and
two thirds inngs. He did allow a home run in
this one to John Singleton, who was able to have
his second home run season. Then Tyler Beattie was just
flying out awful kept walking guys, gave up five runs
in a third of an egg. Nick Samily gets it
out out of the bullpen, and you did have one
and two thirds end scrolls out of pedro Ovula. But
for the Cleveland Guardians, not a lot doing with men

(06:51):
and scoring position as well as he had. Spencer Arraghetty,
who entered into this game with earth a tenny ra
by far as best start as a big leaguer five
and two thirds hangs. He lost two runs of them.
From there, Taylor's Scott froughts out the bullpen squirres Seth Martinez.
He piece meals together the eighth and nine things squirrels.
So the Guardians, so twenty two and nine on the
run line overall, that is the best mark in the
big league. Send for the East and aswers here are

(07:12):
actually just twelve and nineteen on the run line. Only
the Tampa Bay Race and Miami Marylands have a worse
run line record. And for the Guardians, think ad best
over eight in the big league seventeen overs, twelve hundreds
and two pushes. And thanks to that beady blow up,
you're able to get another over there. But we're not
seeing a lot of overs as far this season in
Major League Baseball overall for the campaign tour, thirty nine
unders to two hundred and eleven overs. That's a fifty
three point one percent hit rate to the under Meanwhile,

(07:34):
favorites they've been having a little bit of off COVID
as well, to seventy two and one ninety five on
the money line. That's a fifty eight point two percent
hit rate, though it was a little bit better in
terms of what we saw yesterday. Yesterday the favorites were
able to go five to one on the money line,
and if you're looking at the last seven days in
Major League Baseball, favorites still up against it, just forty
nine and forty one on the money line in the
last seven days, fifty unders to just thirty four overs.

(07:56):
That's a fifty nine and a half percent hit rate
to the unders. So that's what we're seeing baseball right now,
and that's what we all got on Thursday. Now, let's
take a look at Friday. Let's take a look at
just the observations of John Bowman, who does a tremendous
job taking a look at this great game of baseball,
not just on the pro side, by the way, also
on the college side. He joins me next right here
on the Baseball Betting Show with myself, Greg Peterson, now
apartment the Decent Family.

Speaker 3 (08:16):
Not.

Speaker 1 (08:20):
Breaking down every game every day in Major League Baseball.
Greg Peterson.

Speaker 2 (08:29):
Codik you love you Las Vegas for the Baseball Betting
Show with myself Greg Peterson, now part of the Visa
Family Podcast. It is always great to be joined by
this man as John Bowman. He does a tremendous job
taking a look at this great game of baseball. I
know that he's done some tremendous workover at CBS Sports.
I know that he's doing an absolutely incredible job with
his own show Baseball with Bowman, where he does a

(08:51):
great job taking a look at a little MLB, taking
a look at some college baseball as well. So I
know that he does a tremendous job on that front.
You're able to catch him on Twitter slash EXTC on
Bowlman eleven. That has felt b l L M A
N on that last same and then the numbers one
and one all together and John, it's great to have
you board.

Speaker 3 (09:08):
Thank you awesome, yeah man, thank you for having me
excited to talk some baseball.

Speaker 2 (09:11):
I'm excited as well as we are chatting. We're about
five weeks through the MOB season, so we're starting to
get that good sample size on some of these scenes
and just want to get your thoughts first. Sings first,
I see some of the surprises that we've seen, and
whether they be to the positive, to the negative, or
just something that maybe was a little bit unforeseen coming
into the season.

Speaker 3 (09:30):
Yeah, for sure. I think the biggest one's got to
be the Houston Astros, right, I mean, they've had an
awful start to the season. They've had multiple aspects. They've
just been brutal. They've had some injuries that have really
killed them too, and they've gotten off to this really,
really bad start. The good thing is nobody's really running
away with it in their division this early, if it's
possible to run away this early. But I think they

(09:51):
would be the biggest surprise to me this season. And
the Marlins are a big surprise to a lot of people.
I thought that they were going to be really bad
though you look at their team last year and yeah,
they I mean they made the playoffs, they were about
five hundred, but they had an incredible record in one
run games. I want to say is something like thirty
one and thirteen. And usually when that happens, you tend
to aggress back to your mean, and I mean, I

(10:12):
think we're saying closer to the Marlins mean this year.

Speaker 2 (10:14):
Yep, I agree with you. I think that was actually
thirty three or fourteen. And that's something that I was
taking a look at coming into the season as well,
and I do feel like that's something that we're able
to pinpoint in season as well. There are some teams
that have been charmed with regards to one wrong games,
and there have been a few teams that have gotten
the short end of the stake of one wrong games,
to say the leavest as well. I'm looking at you

(10:35):
the New York Mets, who had that rough game against
the Chicago Cubs about forty eight or so hours ago.
But how much do you take a look at those
sorts of things, because I do think that that's very
important to note, especially with the Astros who you mentioned,
they have been a big disappointment, but also I don't
foresee them going one and eight and one wrong games
like they were going into Thursday.

Speaker 3 (10:53):
Correct, Yeah, It's definitely something I look at. I would
say more so between seasons. Even like last year, we
knew that Marlins were winning a ton of one run games,
right like that was kind of their thing for whatever reason.
They would just keep winning one run games. And a
lot of that has to do with your bullpen, but
then a lot of it just has to do with
the type of team that you are. You know, if
you're a team that comes back late, if you walk
off a lot of teams. So it's definitely something to

(11:14):
keep in mind. I would definitely say that I do
it more so in between seasons though, But that is
a very good way in season to look at which
teams are going to regress and which teams are going
to get better, and which teams are gonna get worse.

Speaker 2 (11:25):
Absolutely, And I do think that it's important to out
these bullpens as well, because part of the Askers problem
has been their bullpen this far. And how do you
take a look at a lot of these seams and
their overall bullpen. Because I look at a team like
the Oakland A's that many people think are going to
regress and I sort of disagree with it because I
look at their overall depth in the bullpen, and it's

(11:45):
very very good. Meanwhile, Ken, the Astros get better in
the bullpen, Yes, but I think that there's a little
bit of a glass ceiling because you've got Bryan Presley,
you've got Josh Hader, and then you've got a whole
bunch of other guys. And when you've got depth of arms,
like a team like the Cleveland Guardians for example, I
think that that's just so critical when it comes to
a winner in sixty two game season.

Speaker 3 (12:04):
Yeah, exactly. I definitely take a look at those bullpens,
and I mean I look at bullpen eer, but then
I also want to look at each of the guys individually. Right,
So if you look at the Athletics, they've got like
five guys with a two something. I think Mason Miller
and Lucas Ersig have like a one something. I don't
even know if Mason Miller hasn't won something, it might
be lower than that, to be honest. But yeah, you
look at those types of bullpens and you know you've

(12:25):
got a lot of guys performing well. And then you
go to like the Astros and like you said, they
have a bunch of guys you know, Josh Hater, Ryan Presley, Rough, Eelmintaro,
Briyaner Brady, They've got a ton of options. They're just
all underperforming at the same exact time. A lot of
times when you go through a season with a bullpen,
you've got you know, one, maybe two guys struggling at
the same time. But the Astros have had all their

(12:45):
pitchers struggling at the same time, and that's obviously not
good for a bullpen. You don't have any confidence in
going to any of them.

Speaker 2 (12:51):
Yep, there's no question about it. It's been rough for them.
As John Bollman du does absolutely tremendous work taking a
look at this great game of baseball, and there's a
show Baseball and he is, you know, I mean right
here on the Baseball Betty Show with myself Greg Peterson,
and let's take a look at a few games that
we're going to be getting for Friday as well, because
I know that you've tweeted a lot about this team
and we were talking about depth and reinforcements are on

(13:14):
the way for the Baltimore Orioles. We saw Kyle Bradish
have his first start on Thursday. Sounds like John means
who I always like to call it John means business.
He's going to be coming back within the next few
days as well. And for Baltimore, it might be the
last art for cover and that we're.

Speaker 4 (13:28):
Going to be getting out of him on Friday's at
the road against the CINCINNTI reads, but I want to
get your thoughts both on this game with the Orioles
being right around about a minus one twenty and a
total nine and them overall, because I think it's remarkable
what the Orioles have done to start the season with
two top of the rotation guys being on the injured Listen,
the way that just their offense in general just has

(13:49):
something that we've been talking about so much depth.

Speaker 3 (13:51):
Yeah, an incredible amount of depth, to be honest, like
almost unprecedented. But you see guys like Cole Irvin Albert Suarez,
a guy who hadn't played in the majors, and I
want to say, since twenty seventeen was the last time
you see those two guys, you know, step up and
eat some innings. They both pitched really well this season.
But adding Kyle bradish back, he I mean, he was
their ace last year. I don't know if people remember that.

(14:12):
But way back in the day before they got Corbyn
Burns in that trade. Kyle Bradish was proved last year
he was a bona fide ace. And then John Means
even further back three years ago, four years ago kind
of proved that he was a bonafide ace. And he's
hit a bunch of tough injuries and he's kind of
regressed a little bit, hasn't been able to stay healthy.
But those are two massive additions to their rotation, as
if they needed any help right now. I mean, that

(14:33):
lineup is just so stacked they can platoon against everybody
and still keep the same quality. It's incredible. I mean
they had Jorge Mateo and Ryan McKenna hit home runs.
To say, if you're getting home runs out of Jorge
Mateo and Ryan McKenna, then it's going to be very
very hard for the Ools to lose.

Speaker 2 (14:49):
Yeah. Absolutely, I mean just the depth that they've got,
because they've got so many guys on that roster that
are so rock solid, they're able to platoon for righty's
and lefties, and I think that that makes them so
danger as well. And I do take a look at
this game and I think that This is a very
fascinating start to season as well. Something that surprised me
the Boston Red Sox right now the best starter er

(15:11):
in the big leagues. They're starting rotation about a two
oh three e er and Tanner ok, who's really been
one of those leaders. He's going to be getting the
ball for Boston Chris Paddock and the Minnesota Twins. With
this being a relative pick him game at a total
of eight and a half, how do you evaluate this
game with a Red Sox bunch at We all expected
them to be okay on offense. We thought the pitching
might have some issues, but this Boston team, in terms

(15:33):
of surprises to the season, the pitching has certainly been
one of the biggest for me.

Speaker 3 (15:37):
Yeah, one hundred percent. That starting rotation has kind of
come out of nowhere, and they're just feeding off each
other and you know, putting together good outing after good outing.
Some of that r is definitely because of the errors,
because that team makes so many errors that a lot
of the runs aren't earned. But at the same time,
I still think they would be you know, up there
in terms of uh, you know, just runs allowed. But yeah,
we look at their playing the Twins and I'm not

(15:59):
a big believer in this winning streak. They played the
White Sox, they swept them, They played the Angels and
swept them, and then they swept the White Sox again,
and I feel like it's just something that the Twins do.
They beat up on bad teams. But then Byron Buxton
is also likely going to be out after he left,
and I think that was the last game with an injury.
That being said, Joan Duran is also back for the
Twins and his stuff is up there with Mason Miller

(16:19):
and about as unhittable as it gets. So if the
Twins do have a lead late, then they're likely going
to finish it out. But I mean the Red Sox,
like you mentioned their starting pitchers, they haven't been giving
up leads. I think that's gonna be a good game.
I would probablylean the Red Sox there though, mainly because
of Buxton being out.

Speaker 2 (16:33):
Yeah, with the Minnesota Twins, this team is always so
different with regards to their bats. When Royce Lewis is
in slash out of the fold as well, and that
does put me a little bit on the under as well.
I don't know how you evaluate this Twins team but
I was looking at what we see in over the
last few series against the White Sox, and I'm right
there with you. I think that it artificially inflated them,
and it really artificially inflated their offense as well, because

(16:55):
prior to those series they just really were putting back
to ball and I do think that that offense as well,
it's going to regress out that they have to go
up against the Red Sox, team has pitched so well
this year.

Speaker 3 (17:05):
Yep, exactly. I completely agree with you. They weren't hitting much,
then they go into those three series face a lot
of bad pitchers, and then even the second time rounding
inst the White Sox, the bad pitchers that they've already
seen within the week. So it's definitely inflated there. Guy
like Carlos Santana is starting to hit now them as well.
That's definitely helped their lineup. But once again they lose
Byron Bucks and you mentioned it. They've been without royce
Lewis since like one of the first few games of

(17:27):
the season, and then Carlos Carrey has spent time on
the IL too. He's back now. But I mean that
Twins lineup is very thin in the first place. They
can't do with missing multiple key players.

Speaker 2 (17:37):
No, they certainly cannot. And when I take a look
at this series, I think that it is one of
fascination because the Mets have been a very up and
down team as at a difficult time recently, and with
Ben and scoring position against a raised bunch at we
always think good bullpen pitching. We think of eighteen that
does all the little things well with the Tampa Bay Rays,

(17:57):
but their bullpen this year has been brutal. They've got
Aaron Savai on the mound who's really been able to
up to strike out stuff going to Ozakitana with Rays
being right around about minus one thirty five, and I
do want to get your thoughts on this game just
because with the Rays, do I think that they can
pick it up. I think that they might be able to,
but until I see it, I'm not willing to lay
this sort of a number with them, just because I

(18:18):
do have trepidations right now with that bullpen.

Speaker 3 (18:20):
Yeah, I completely agree with you. If anything, if you
want to play raise, I would say go with the
first five just because of how bad that bullpen has
been and that's not very Rays like either. We know
the Rays to be you know, run prevention kings, and
they come out and their bullpen has been awful this year.
Their starting pitching hasn't been where they've wanted it to be.
They're not scoring right now. It's just kind of just
like nothing's really worked yet for the Rays. They're not

(18:42):
excelling in any aspect. Whears last year when they came
out and had that unreal run to start the season
that they had a lot of guys hitting. They've also
got some injuries, like Lows have been out, both of them.
Rand Euros Rain is hitting like one fifty's his ops
is like five hundred. They've got a lot of room
to improve. But I think my favorite play would be
the under. There, Like you mentioned, just neither team's hitting.
The Mets weren't hitting at home in that entire home

(19:04):
stand either, so I think my favorite play would be
the under.

Speaker 2 (19:07):
It is so interesting to take a look at this
race team because while the bullpen pitching has been rough,
the starters have been relatively presentable. And to your point,
man Randy or Rose Arena has not hit at all
this year and Andy Diaz has been relatively rough. So
these guys just have not been able to put it
together thus far. As Sean Bowman, who does a tremendous
job taking a look at this great game of baseball,
joined to me right here on the Baseball Bettings Show,

(19:28):
and I do want to get your thoughts on this
as well, because it is Patrick Corbin Day on Friday.
Everyone loves the fade Patrick Corbin. But if you bet
on the Nationals at every single one of Patrick Corbin
starts since the beginning part of the twenty twenty three season,
you've actually made money. So sometimes it pays two zag well,
everyone else eggs, so I'm not gonna say he's a

(19:48):
good pitcher or anything like that. And he goes up
against the Blue Jay team that you have a bit
of affinity for. I know that you've got some connections
over there with Toronto, and man, they are not able
to save their lives, but they've got Yusaki Kucci go
total of nine with the Blue Jays between minus one
seventy to minus one eighty. How do you evaluate both
this game and the Blue Jays in general? A bunch

(20:08):
that for years we've been waiting for that lineup to
really become a jugger on it and it just really
never happened.

Speaker 3 (20:14):
Yeah, No, I mean, this one's an interesting one because
you have the Blue Jays Nationals game. I think it's
a little bit heavy on the Blue Jays, But the
Blue Jays are better against lefties in terms of splits,
and the Nationals are a lot worse against lefties. So
in the Battle of South Paul's there, you kind of
have one team going against their better split and one
team going against their worst split. As you mentioned, the
Blue Jays also just aren't hitting right now the Nationals

(20:35):
are hitting. I'm sure you'll be able to get to
Kakuchi a little bit on the road a little bit more.
But yeah, I also am not terribly surprised with that
patching Corbin a stat that you would actually be profitable
if you pitched if you played him. Also, the Nationals
bullpen has been very good, so they don't necessarily need
six seven innings out of Corbin. They just need a
few innings. But yeah, in terms of the Blue Jays
in general, I mean they transformed. You know, in the

(20:56):
last few years, we thought that coming up with Bobaschet
Vladimir Gerra junior, they were going to get hitting team.
And when they first came up, they were a hitting
first team. They traded Guryell and Moreno Gabrielle Moreno for
Dn Varshow, who's mostly defensive guy. If all show has
had a solid season so far this season, I mean,
it's just not the same kind of firepower for the
Blue Jays. You've got George Springer on an awful contract,

(21:17):
he's been playing poorly. Bow and Vladdie have been playing
poorly all season. Yeah, you're not gonna win much of
you'r the Blue Jays and you've got those three guys
struggling to hit at the top of the lineup because
they don't have much in for the bottom of the lineup.

Speaker 2 (21:28):
Yeah, it's really been Justin Turner who's been carrying the
mail for this team. And when they assembled this roster
many years ago, you would think that Justin Turner would
be more of like an ancillary piece to accent the
lakes of Boba, chev Lager or Junior and said, he's
the guy that's carrying them right now. So that's not
honestly a place where they want to be, but a
place where we want to be is having you on
the show, John, I want to open it up to you,

(21:49):
is there anything that we have yet to talk about
for Friday that you're going to be taking a look at,
whether it's a bet you're going to be placing, whether
it's just a game in general, a pitcher in general
that you're intrigued to see a little bit more from.

Speaker 3 (22:00):
I looked at the slate very quick, and there are
two games that really popped out to me. The Phillies
at home against the Giants. The Phillies are minus one
fifty five. It's Aaron Nole against Jordan Hicks. I mean,
Jordan Hicks has been pitching so well that he's kind
of due for a bad outing, I would think. And
Aaron Nole has been pitching well too. But he's headed
back home and the Phillies are red hot. They're probably
the hottest team in the league right now. So I
know it's old juicy it minus one fifty five, but

(22:20):
I love them at home. And then the other game
that really popped out to me is the Marlins are
traveling all the way across the country after playing this
day game today and they're facing the Athletics on the road,
the red hot Athletics that is, and it's JP series
against Ryan weathers it's the worst split for the Marlin.
It's the worst split for both of them. Both the
Athletics and Marlins are worse against lefties. If we've watched
the Marlins, that bullpen has been miserable this season, whereas

(22:43):
we've already talked about the Athletics. I believe they're storing
second in the league in bullpenny ra So that's minus
one thirty five at home for the A's. I love
that one. And the Phillies on the money line.

Speaker 2 (22:51):
Yep, I like both of those plays. And here point man,
this Oakland A team has been absolutely tremendous as far
of the season. I absolutely to see then, and I
don't want to be fading them in this sort of
spot with the Pirates team that I feel like they
just got a little bit over hyped out for those
first two or three series of the season when we
didn't quite know how bout the Miami Marlins were truly

(23:12):
going to be. So I do like those looks that
I love. Getting you a board, John, you do an
amazing job on all fronts of baseball. Obviously you do
a great job on the MLB level. But that said,
I know that you're also doing a tremendous job with
regards to college baseball as well, So let me get
people at home. No, it's all on top for you
and how people are able to follow on on social
media and other platforms.

Speaker 3 (23:31):
Yeah, so on Twitter it's at John Bowman eleven, John
B O L L M A N eleven. Apparently there
are ten other John Bowman's before me, So John Bowman
eleven there on Twitter, and then on Instagram it's baseball
with Bowman Bowman spelled the same way obviously, So Baseball
with Bowman on Instagram, John Bowman eleven on Twitter.

Speaker 2 (23:49):
Yep. John does an absolutely tremendous job take a look
at this great game that we all know and love
on so many different levels. And I know that every
single time he joins the show he always lent some
really really good insights and get so once again today,
So big thanks to John for joining me right here
on the Baseball Betting Show now part of the Vson
Family Podcasts, and coming up next, it is that time
of the podcast they give you picks and analysis and

(24:09):
every game on the betting board for this Baseball Friday
as we touch them.

Speaker 1 (24:13):
Up, breaking down every game every day in Major League Baseball.
Greg Peterson.

Speaker 2 (24:25):
Ever bang to love Me bas Vegas with Baseball Betting
Show with myself Greg Peterson, now part of the Vson
Family podcast. Was great to be able to get John
Bowman aboard. I know that he's doing a tremendous job
with his show Baseball with Bowman and on tob that.
I know that he's been doing a little bit of
work with Road Ohio with one of our good friends,
Johnny Vanzie. You popped on with him on that Breaking
Bet podcast. He's all over the place do an amazing

(24:47):
job taking a look at this great game that we
all know and love of baseball. So big thanks to
John for joining me in the last segment. Now it
is that time the podcast. They give you picks in
analysis and every game on the betting board for this
Baseball Friday as we touch them all.

Speaker 3 (25:00):
If a game is listed on the betting board, Greg
has a side and the total on it, so it
is time to touch them all.

Speaker 2 (25:06):
Do you know? If that has per usual? Any changes
that are made to these plays will be listed up
on my Twitter slash x feed at gen forty one
going to be going in last existitation or this is
where we go with the Nation League games first, then
the American League games and any interro league games, so
that they're going to be at the bottom. That'll keep
things all nice, neat, clean and easy. So without further ado,
let's have it on this first game of nine to one.
I know two on the betting board. It is the

(25:27):
Milwaukee Brewers on the road facing up against the Chicago Cubs.
Says you've got Hayden was Nesky on the bump for
the Cubs and Joe ross Is on the bump for
the brus Brewers are anywhere between plus one ten to
plus one twenty underdogs for the Cubs. You're getting done
between minus one twenty two to minus one thirty to
this game, I'm seen at circus a seven and a
half over at minus one twenty v unders. Even all

(25:49):
their books have yet to post up a total that
is going to be based on the old Wrigley Field wind.
And at last set check, it looks like the wind
is going to be blowing in at about seven eight
or so much Les Prower, so it'll have a little
bit of an impact here at the seven and a half.
I'd be willing to take it over. I said my
total at some point seven. But in terms of the
side set the cups out of minus one twenty three,

(26:09):
I'm seeing a few straight minus one twenty twos out
there minus one twenty two or less. That is my
bypoint on the cups. For Wesnesky, he's been utilized as
like a opener plus starter slash, a long bulk guy.
He has made three appearances as far this season. Two
of them he went four innings, another one he went
to in a third end. For wesn Esky, he's always
been a relatively good command guy. He's never really been

(26:32):
able to get a lot of swings and missus and
that's been the case from this far this season. And
it's tenn plus innings, he's only gotten six strike cuts.
But I do like the way that he's able to
hold down the ford in general, and with the win
blowing in, I do think that that's going to play
very much to his game here. And if you do
take a look at Wesnsky when he was getting more
showey say, consistent starts last season, he was really giving
up the deepalt giving up about two home runs per

(26:54):
nine ennings. It seems like he's cleaned that up quite
a bit this year. Craig Council, he's been able to
have an impact there. And for Joe, he spent quite
a few years away from the big league level. He's
been able to reservice here with ers and he's been solid,
not amazing, but certainly better than the five forty era
would indicate. His fielding dependent is more around a three ninety.
He hasn't really been giving up a lot of the
depat The biggest thing that he does need to clean

(27:16):
up is the walks. He's been given up four point
three balks for nine nings. But going up against the
Cubs lineup that quite frankly is wounded, I think is
going to be able to help him out. Coldie Bellinger
ses Azuki currently on the injured list. He's been two
of you are better hitters over the last few years
for the team, and right now it's Michael Bush leaning
the way with six home runs, but he's went into
a little bit of a funk. He had then streak
where he had five home runs in five games, and

(27:38):
ever since then it's been a little bit rough for him.
Pete Crow arm Song apparently uses his home at two
being able to mark his territory on base. But he's
a little bit of a young gun that's been able
to do a solid job, be able to move the line.
And you still guys they're getting on base Eco Horner Bush,
who I mentioned a little bit before, Mike Takman. These
guys are able to find a way on but the
powers right now really lacking for the Cubs, and with
the wind blowing in, I don't think that there's good

(27:59):
to be a lot of firepower there. Meanwhile, you've got
a Milwaukee Brewers lineup that currently has been certainly fire
and all cylinders. But I do think that there's going
to be a little bit of regression here. You're starting
to see it with some of these young guys sale
Free like Jackson Tario. Both of these guys have had
some recent struggles. For Caio hitting now just a two
o six that's been a bit of an issue. You've
been able to have the likes of Blake Perkins, Bryce

(28:20):
Tray still be hot though both of these guys would
be able to supply north of a three to seventy
on base at William Catreras four to twenty on base
five home runs. He has been absolutely incredible. But his
teams still dealing with that injury currently to Christian yelich
At does hurt them a little bit. And for the
Brewers they do have the leg up in terms of bullpen,
but Edner yu Rebe got sent to the minor league
level after he was just in general a little bit ineffective.

(28:41):
Elvis Piuero, Hoby Miller, Joe Piomps, these guys have all
been good, and Brian Hudson has really been able to
do an incredible job for the team zero fifty two
here and to think they are going to be even
better when Devin Williams is back at the fall. But
I do think that there's gonna be some positivity as
well for this Cub's bullpen. Would not be surprised if
was Znsky his piggybacking with someone like it Keegan Thompson,
who's able to give you a little bit of longer relief,

(29:02):
and then from there you get into more of your
trustworthy guys, someone like an Hector Neris and where all's
ladies are guys that have been pretty rock solid. I
do think that going to wrag Leefield is going to
be a little bit tough for the Birds. And with
Joe Ross, I do think that those walks issues, those
are going to continue to linger wind blowing in or not,
He's still gonna have those command issues. And that's why
I do give the leg up to these Chicago Cubs
here at a seven a half, I think we've won

(29:24):
a little bit too low set my total at some
point seven, So it's the MAXI I'm willing to go
over on, But I'm willing to go over on a
seven a half and want to lay up to a
minus one twenty two with Cubs nine to three, nine
to four on the benning board. The Pittsburgh Pirates are
going to be playing out to the Colorado Rockies. Cala
Quantrille is on the bump for the Rockies, and yeah,
Martin Perez, who's gonna be going for the Buckos and
the Pirates to find themselves as between minus one seventy

(29:44):
five town minus one eighty favorites and between plus one
fifty four doll plus one sixty two is that number
on Colorado? It is the total overs between minus one
ten to one minus one twenty the unders any between
even a minus one ten seeing one straight eight and
a half undress minus one fifteen and the overs minus
one of five half is out there on the East Coast.
I do not have access to it. Out here in Loveige,
Las Vegas. All I have is eights, and I would

(30:05):
personally rather have an eight over rather than an eight
and a half under. I just really don't have a
lot of faith in either of these pitchers. And Becky
as that Martin Perez has not looked bad to start
the year, but I feel like we've seen this song
and dance before with Martin Perez, like the last three
or four years, he's had like one relatively solid month
and then turns into a great, big, giant pumpkin. He's
got a two eighty six RA thus far, but if

(30:27):
you look at the building independant, we're on about a
three twenty five. The walks are still there, with about
three and a half walks per nine an example. I
just don't know what what happens, but like the first month,
month and a half of the season, he gives up
no art contact whatsoever. And we've seen it the last
few years where that really starts to manifest itself. And
I do have a fear that that's going to be
starting moving forward, but I don't know if it's necessarily

(30:47):
gonna be this game against a Colrad Rockies team that
always sits forty points lower when they're away from home
rather than when they are at them. This has been
one of the worst offenses in all of baseball, and
they don't have a single guy that's given you north
A four home runs as far the season as that'd
be Michael McMahon, although Michael to Glia and Michael de
Glia is non seen in that bat since April twenty first,
so that's a little bit of an issue for the

(31:09):
seam do if guys are able to move the line.
I was mentioning McMahon, Elias he As, Brenton Doyle. These
are all guys hitting at least at two ninety, but
outside that, Nolan Jones has been a disappointment. He Charlie Blackman,
Eli Eddius Bonteto, they currently injured Chris Bryant. All these
guys are hitting a two to eighteen or lower that
has been a little bit less than savory. And then
on the Pittsburgh Pirate side of things, this team has

(31:29):
just went straight down the toilet Bowl with their offense
as well. They don't have a single guy but throw
with the four home runs Reynolds. Brian Renolds has been
able to give you four home runs as far as
this season. He along with Brian A's counter Joe, they're
all giving at least a three forty nine on base
So you've got a little bit more confidence here. With
O'Neal Cruz, you know that the upside is there. He
just has not been able to put it together. You've
got someone like Jacksonlenisky who's been miserable at the plate

(31:51):
as far as the season. So it's a good old
situation of something you got to give because with the
Colrad Rocky since has been one of the worst pitching
stats in all baseball. They threw out their guy Cal
Quantrill that very much pictures of contact. He had that
fairytale run towards the back half of twenty twenty two
into twenty twenty three, where the Cleveland Guardians went something
like twenty two and three in twenty five starts that

(32:13):
he had started, not necessarily because he was great. He
just kept on going like five to six outings, giving
up three runs and thanks very much into a tea
this year five strikeouts to three point nine walks for
nine ennings five ninety two field in dependent compared to
a five thirty four ERA, and the scottrad Rockey's bullpen
behind him is not great. You've got Victor Vodick, who
might be your best reliever on this team. You've got

(32:34):
Jake burd who's been relatively okay, but team obroll rings
twenty seventh in the big league. Terms of Bullpenny Ray,
You've got absolutely nothing whatsoever out of the likes of
Justin Lawrence, Anthony Molina mcmeers has been starting act up
for this seam. Tyler Kinley as a thirteen ERA, so
it's not great, to say the least. And for the
Pittsburgh Priorce, I expected way more out of this bullpen
as well their nineteenth in the league terms of Bullpenny Ray,

(32:56):
Ryan Brooki being out of the fullest hurt this scene,
but David Benner in a roles and have been miserable
with north of five yar. For both of those guys,
ben are being even worse. Kyle Nicholas has been able
to come in and he's been able to do a
solid job and'll be able to hold down the Ford
and Color and Holderman is something I do like. But
I just flat out think that Martin Perez is going
to be able to pitch a little bit better than
Cal Quantrell. I think that both of these guys give

(33:16):
up their fair share of runs, and I do think
that both teams with offensive set very much are as
struggling are gonna be able to bust through a little
bit more in this spot. In a batchup of bat
pitching in general, I did set the Pirates aware I'm
willing to lay up to a minus one oh eight
too late a run half. Right now, you're getting about
a plus one ten, So we're gonna be looking at that.
Pirates or Online would have need at least plus one
eighty nine to take a shot on the Rockies money

(33:38):
bline in gonna be going with this eight over semi
totaled to an eight point three nine oh five nine h
six on the bank where the San Francisco Giants sit
through it, they're facing up against the Philadelphia Phillies. Aaron
Nola goes for the Phills and jord Nick's is on
the bump for San Francisco. San Francisco between a plus
one twenty seven to a plus one thirty five underdog
between minus one thirty nine minus one fifty five is
your number on Philadelphia. Seven and a half to eight

(33:59):
is total on the seven and a half, the overs
minus one twelve, the unders minus one o eight on
the eighth, the unders between minus one fifteen to a
minus one thirty the overs anywhere between plus one ten
two a minus one oh five. I'm gonna be taking
a look at the over in this spot, did time
I tell it at eight point one. The San Francisco
Giants have had the worst bullpenning ray in the National
League this far this season, and I do think that

(34:20):
Jordan Nicksa is doing for a little bit of regression.
I have to give credit where credit is too. He
has been a career reliever. I think that there was
a time where the Cardinals tried him out as a
starter once before and they just did not go as plan.
This time around, it has been working out so much better.
As for mister Riggs, buck fifty ninety are but three
oa fielding independent he is. Strikeout numbers have fallen way

(34:42):
off the match seven strikeouts to about two and a
half walks for nine ninety. He's been thriving on being
able to keep the ball in the yard, but now
he has to go up against the Philadelphia Phillies seem
that even if they're not hitting home runs, they're able
to be oh so dangerous. Has got a pair of
guys and trade Turner down for what abant the Helics
Boem doing a great job moving line. Both of these
guys are unning north of a three thirty and in
the case of Bom he's been able to fly about

(35:02):
a four to thirty two on base. Bryce Harper all
of a sudden, has been able to find it ever
since coming off the paternity lists. He j t Re
moved to all Brandon marsh up between five and six
home runs a Collie forver once again hitting about a
two to eleven this year, but he's been able to
fly eight home runs, so he's been able to do
a pretty formidable job there. And then when it comes
to the San Francisco Giants lineup just feels like it's
a little bit all over the place. Been able to

(35:23):
get some good production in terms of moving the line
out of Lamontway Junior with a four to forty on
base and they got Wilmer Flores Patrick Bailey, these guys
providing about a three thirty two, a three forty on
base jungle Lee, I feel like it's hit better than
this two fifty average and two home runs would indicate.
But got mat Chadman, got Ori Sailaire that coming in
the offseason and combined nine home runs help out the power,

(35:43):
But both of these guys having a tough time getting
on base, both of these guys hating at two twenty
six or words with a three zero two on base
or worse. Just feels like it's very hit or missed,
to say the least for this team and then for
the San Francisco Giants. I was alluding to the bullpen
issues that you've got both of the Rodgers brothers and
Taylor and Tyler Rodgers have been able to do an
okay job of being able to hold down the forty
familia of all is a nice closer, But when you

(36:04):
get into the likes of Land and Rob Luke Jackson,
Eric Miller, these guys have just been a completed and
utter disaster. And for the Phillies, this team does rank
at the bottom ten in terms of bullpenning right as well.
But I've been saying this so much on the podcast,
and I think it's so true the Phillies always struggle
in the month of April with their bullpen, and then
they pick it up. I could fully see sar Antey
debingas Ose Alvarado being able to just find a way

(36:26):
to be able to get through it and now be
able to provide that upside that they've shown time and
time again throughout the past few seasons. I do think
that we should see an upturn with regards to the
way that they are going to be performing in. My
biggest fear here is actually Aaron Nola. He's actually been,
in my opinion, one of the worst starters for this team.
He along with Tiwon Walker, are two guys that I
really don't have a lot of faith in everyone else
in the Phillies organization. I do for Nola. He's given

(36:49):
up seven all runs at thirty nine and a third
innings across the six starts as far this season, and
he last time out against the San Diego Patters to
give up three runs when he was out there at
Petco Park. Now, granted he was going quite long because
they just wanted to save a little bit of the
bullpen and the command has so been relatively solid, but
its swinging miss stuff is down a little bit. I
do think that the Giants are gonna be able must
a few runs off of them, but I do think

(37:09):
their regression sets in for mister Jordan Nicks, and I
think that that bullpen does not hold up there under
the bargain. So I do like the overend this spot
in With the Philadelphia Phillies, you're able to lay a
run and half with them, you're able to get about
a plus one thirty five. I set my money line
more out of minus one fifty five, personally out of
minus one thirty nine. I would rather take a shot
on the money line with both of these bullpens being suspects.
So then at the money line and the over nine

(37:31):
to seven, nine to eight on the bay where the
San Diego Padres that throw their facing up against the
ears at the Diamondbacks slates and Sony is on the
bump for Arizona and Dylan ceases on the bump for
the Padres. Padres are a very slight underdog any between
minus one or two to minus one ten, between minus
one oh six seeing of minus one of five two
minus one fifteen that's your number on Arizona. Eight and
a half of the total overs between minus one tend

(37:51):
too and minus one twenty eight unders. Any between even
a minus one ten set the Diamondbacks out of minus
one seventeen gonna be one to lay. The small number
slates is Sony when he's gotten his opportunities, has actually
been very good at the big league bubble. If you
take a look at his starts between last year and
this year, he's done a nice job holding down the four.
He has given up a little bit of our contact,
is giving up about one point two home runs per

(38:12):
nine and nings. But overall for his career he's done
a good job of just not allowing a lot of
free passes. In general, his walks per nine rates covering
right around about one and a half, so he's done
a tremendous job on that front. He doesn't necessarily get
a ton of swings and misses, but he gets enough
of them about seven a half straight cuts per nine
and ennings. I do like his overall upside. Meanwhile, for Dylan,
see says, we know he's a power pitcher that's going

(38:33):
to get punch outs. He over the last two seasons
has been able to give you about ten and a
half straight cuts for nine and ennings and has done
a little bit of a better job in terms of
walks this season. Still a little bit higher than what
you'd like, but that said, he's given up and combined
three walks over his last two starts and is now
given up two walks for free and three out of
his last five. And that's big because he's been able
to fill six plus innings in each of his last
five starts. He has a Padre's bullpen behind him that

(38:56):
is good, but not great. They've been right around about
league average durns their era, and I'd like the guys
that they brought in the offseason Nye Perlta and del
Los Santosuki Matsui. They were all upgrades for the team.
They no longer have Josh Hader, but frankly Roberts Warrez
at the closer spot has been much better than Josh
Hater has been for the USID Astros as far this season,
so that helps them out quite a bit. And then
for Arizona, this team has been relatively league average in

(39:18):
terms of their bullpen thus far this season. You've got
a guy in Ben Jarvis who's able to fill some innings,
and Logan Allen has been there, a super long guy,
but you're relying a lot upon Justin Martinez, Ryan Thompson.
These guys been relatively solid, but guys like Scott McGill
in company it's been rough. You currently have to fold
someone like Luis free Us and for Arizona, I do
think that they're going to be able to get to
Dylan season a little bit. In this ordio, you've got

(39:39):
a pair of guys in Catell Marte, Lord of Scuriel,
both being able to hit five home runs as far
this season. But Marte has been dting well above a
three undred, and that's been big because Corbyn Carroll has
not been good one home run dating about a two
ninety nine in terms of Zombay's two hundred terms of
batting average, but Christian Walker supplies about a two ninety
average is on base percentage it is about one hundred
points higher than that. So these guys have been good.

(40:01):
Along with Blas Alexander Jock Peterson, this team has enough
depth of where they're able to platoon for righty's and
left He's even a guy like a Rando Critchard has
stepped up. He's been relatively solid for the seam and
for the San Diego Padres over the last few seasons,
they've averaged more runs when they've been away from him
rather than at home. That's because they play at one
of the best pitchers ballparks that you're able to find
in the big league's end. They've got balence power as

(40:22):
Hawsume kim Manny Bachado, j Croninworth, Jerks and Profar aut
between four and five home runs as far the season
as Profar has really been the guy has moved line,
hitting about a three forty four to thirty one on
base so love to see that. Luis Capisano has been
able to upgrade the team at the catcher spot. Last year,
Gary Sanchez gave you nothing. Burger not necessarily a power guy,
but he's been able to give you about a two
sixty five average. That's been a pleasant surprise. Jackson Merrill

(40:44):
finds way on base and for for anandratizing junior, he's
had a little bit of a tough time moving the line,
but he still has been able to spply those six
on runs and you know that he's going to be
able to turn it around sooner rather than later. This
is a patters team that against right handed pitching is
hitting at two seventy one as a collective, so I
do think that they are gonna be able to get
some runs upon the board. But I do think that's
lates to Sony is a guy that has a lot
of upside that we're sleeping on. And I do think

(41:06):
that Dylan Seas gives a good start as well. But
in the end, I do think that the Diamondbacks get
to Dylan see just enough in this start, and I
do think that the ceased walk issues do become a
little bit of a problem. So I'm gonna be willing
to lay with the years and a Diamondbacks up to
about a minus one fifteen and at the eight and
a half, I like the under nine nine nine ten
on the bank board of the Elliot Dodgers play'll se
Atlanta Braves as Charlie Morton goes for the provost. Kevin

(41:26):
Stone is on the bump for the Dodgers. Dodgers between
minus one ten to minus oney team favorites, and between
even money to minus one oh two. That number on
Atlanta nine to nine and a half is the total
mostly seeing in nine and a half with the underhet
of minus one twenty. The overhead even on the nine
overs minus one twenty, and the under is even. I
did some my total nine point six. Whether you've got
a nine to two nine and a half, I'm gonna
be taking a look at the over Both of these

(41:48):
teams were the top two hitting teams in the National
lega season going, and Atlanta had a little bit of
off series out there in Seattle, but that's the best
pitchers ballpark they're able to find in the big league
send For Kevin Stone, I just need to see a
little bit more before I'm able to believe it. He
had that one nice start against the Padres where that
was delayed by rain by about two hours, so things
were just a little bit wonky. In general, he's got

(42:10):
a four to sixty eighty are and at three sixty
six fielding independent for Stone, he's not giving you any
strikeouts whatsoever, but he's keeping the ball in the yard.
The four point three walks for nine innings, that's a
little bit of a concern as well as that means
that you're going to be taxing an LA Dodgers' bullpen
that isn't quite what it was a season ago. Victor
Gonzalez on Caleb Perguson being on the fold, that does
hurt them a little bit. Overall, for the Dodgers, they're

(42:30):
about eleventh in the Lake Interests Bullpenning right. The Atlanta
Bras just a hair better at number ten. But I
look at the guys they've got in this Brais Bullpen,
I feel like they're a little bit more trustworthy. Tyler
Madzick has had a little bit of a off govit
trying to return from injury. But that said, you've got
the likes of Aj Minter or Pierce Johnson, Dylan Lee.
These guys have been able to do a solid job,
though Minter did blowed that one game on Monday against

(42:51):
the Seattle Manners. But for the Atlanta Brays just topped
a bottom. This is a death star lineup. You've got
Marcello Zuna, who's supplying nine home runs, and though everyone
else is a little bit down in terms of the power,
Travis Durno is the only other player that has given
you a north of three home runs. You know that
these guys are going to be all bust out, and
you know that these guys are going to continue to
move the line. Darnault, Jered kelnick Azzi, Alby's throwing there,

(43:12):
Michael Harris, all these guys during at least a two
ninety Ron Cocuni Junior hitting just a two fifty with
one home run, you know that that's going to be
taking up board. Meanwhile, for the ELI Dodgers, the front
six of this lineup is really second to none in
the league in my opinion. You've got Joey Otani, Mookie Betts,
Sask Gernandez, all with between six and seven home runs
with the Rnandez sitting about a two to fifty five.

(43:33):
Bets and Otani both in north of a three thirty
five and in the case of Bookie Bets a four
eighty one on base, and then you've got Freddy Freeman
Will Smith both in the ronth of a three ninety
five on base. Max Bunsey has been able to put
it together five home runs, three fifty on base. The
problem has been the bottom of the fold. The guys
like Gavin Blocks, James Outman, keyk Hernandez has been a
little bit rough, though, Key k Hernandez starting to pick
it up. And then you've got a young gun in

(43:55):
the outfield, and Andy Pages, who's been seeing more at
pass who's been able to do a solid job as well.
But I do think that for the Atlanta Bras, they
get a little bit of a better start a year
from Charlie Mortineu over the last two seasons has done
a little bit of a better job of controlling the
deep ball. It's giving up just two and runs and
thirty innings as far this season. Has had his issues
on the road the last few seasons, but I mean
even at his advanced age of forty, he's still been
able to give you Darney or nines right cuts for

(44:16):
nine and heast will allow his walks. But even with
that two walks or fears under in four of his
last five starts, they just need five quality innings out
of him, and I do think that he provides that
to be able to get it done for the Atlanta race.
I set the braves out of minus one too eight,
so gonna be one to take them on this rather
pick them line at even money and you're at a
total of between nine and nine and a half. I
like the overset. I total of nine point six nine eleven,

(44:37):
nine twelve on the Benning board the Detroit Tigers that
throw it the face off against the New York Yankees.
Marcus Romanan is on the bump for the Yankees, Reese
Olsen is on the bump for Detroit. Detroit finds themselves
as underdogs any between plus one thirty seven to plus
one forty seven. Meanwhile, with the Yankees, you're going to
be getting them between minus one fifty two to a
minus one sixty two with eight being the total. The
unders between minus one ten too a minus well twenty

(44:57):
overs any between even a minus one ten, And with
the New York Yankees, I set them out of minus
one fifty eight. So it's all about money line or
run line. If you're looking at lay a run half
with the Yankees, that's a plus one thirty and I'm
gonna be willing to roll with that. With the Yankees,
they've had Marcus Stroman be a little bit up and
down thus far this season, and Marcus Stroman does have
a field independent north of a four fifty. But you
fill the Detroit Tigers, they've been able to do an

(45:19):
okay job of being consistent with their lineup. They have
been able to get to at least the four run
plateau and now eleven out of their last fourteen games.
There's just really not a lot to love about this
Detroit lineup. You've been able to have Riley Green go
out for seven home runs. He and Marcanna are both
give you north of a three eighty three on base
but Spencer Turkleson is sitting two twenty with home runs.
Cole Key if the Parker Meadows, Hove, Baiaz, Jake Rogers,

(45:43):
Carson Kelly, all these guys are inning below two hundred. Now,
I do like their young guy out there in the
outfield when Ceo Perez is starting to get more at bats,
and this guy is a real deal. Three home runs
in like forty five or so at bats, he's been
hitting nearly a three er. He's been able to do
a solid job. But on ou it's at Detroit Tigers
lineup that has been a little bit touch and going.
For the Yankees, I just still believe that Aaron Judge

(46:03):
is going to be all bust out. It's gonna happen
sooner rather than later. He's hitting just about ninety seven.
It's not six on runs, by the way, He's still
getting a home run every about twenty or sot Pats,
but it's been won Soto. He has been carrying the
mail in the meantime for forty one base eight home runs.
Anthony Rizzo has done a solid job move the line,
and that we've seen Anthony Volpe along with as Waldo
Cabrera come back death a little bit. Both of these guys,
if somebody move the line, they're combining it for about

(46:25):
seven home runs as far the season, and the Yankees
are won the few teams in the league that can
outgun the Detroit Tigers. In the bullpen, you get back
with Ron Benninaccio. He and he and Hamilton were very
solid for this bullpen last year. But you've been able
to pick up someone in Victor Gonzalez who's given you
a sup to fifty arright. Caleb Ferguson had a little
bit of a off search of the season. He's starting
to pick it up. Luke Weaver is a guy that
I think is gonna regress, but he's been solid as

(46:46):
a long guy thus far. And for the Detroit Tigers,
pretty much everyone in this bullpen, other than perhaps someone
like a Will Vest, they've been all able to do
a relatively solid job as the likes of Joey Wentz,
Andrew Chafin, Alex Lang. These guys are all give me
a sub three era. I will say Tyler holding that
a little bit of are off Govid over the last
week or so, but on all these guys have been
able to do a nice Jeff. And then you've got

(47:07):
Rie Soulson, who he's not a super power pitcher. He
gives you about eight point three strike us for nine
and he's but it's been pretty solid in general. I'll
be able to hold down the forty. He does give
up a little bit north of three walks for nine nineys.
So one thing that he's done a sterling job of
is he has yet to give up home run in
his five starts as far as the season. But he
has a idea that's pitching out there at Yankee Stadium
at short porch. I do think could be a little

(47:28):
bit costly here. And I do think that the Yankees
are gonna be able to put Bata ball. I do
think that you're going to see a few Sole home
runs to be able to help out with this Sodal.
So I did something I tole it at any point two.
I do like the overend I do think that for
the Yankees, they do a solid job against the Tigers
team that they've just been consistently getting those three to
four runs. I think that that's going to be the
case here. But I do think the Yankees still provide
enough to be able to get the job done. So

(47:49):
we'll take a plus one twenty or higher on this
Yankees run line, laying a run a half and it's
by tole it at eight point two. So like the
Yankees run line and the over nine thirteen nine fourteen
on the banking board, the ll Angels that throw at
the facing up against the Cleveland guard Tanner Biby is
on the bump for the Guardians. Ose Sodiano is on
the bump for the Angels. No numbers up on this
game as right now, I'm seeing one far away plays
posting up minus one eighty two on Cleveland plus one

(48:11):
sixty six on the Angels. Solon's game is eight over
his minus one fifteen, the under his minus one oh five.
And if we get those numbers, as long as the
Guardians are laying less than really a minus one away
on the run line, we'll be looking there and looking
at the over Rose Soriano. He's being thrown out there
in the bullpen to begin the season. They've tried to
convert him as a starter, and the with rate is

(48:32):
very good. He's been able to get twenty three strike
cuts in twenty two and two thirds innings. He just
doesn't look ready to be a starter though. Is he's
given up the five walks per nin and nings. He's
not being economical with his pitches. He's went past the
fifth inning just once as far, and he's given up
at least three walks in each out of his last
three starts. That's a big giant issue. Meanwhile, for Tanner Biby,
I love what I've seen out of him as far

(48:53):
this season. He's given up a little bit over a
home run per nine. Then he's a walk rate is
a little bit high for him as well. But because
the Guardians decide to not up out the DKA, now
we're right to pick, and they decided to throw old
Tyler Beattie out there in the bullpen, You've got more
of your trustworthy guys who are going to be available
in this game. For the Guardians, you have to figure
that these likes of Emmanuel Klauss a Tim Herron, Kate Smith.

(49:16):
These are gonna be guys that are available. Hunter Gadis
they use them like three times in three days. He
might not be but on all this is the Guardian's
bullpen that entered into the day on Thursday. Top five
team with regards to Bullpenny Ray. The Angels meanwhile, they're
in the bottom five in the Big leagues in terms
of Bullpenny Ray. They're kicking the tires on a Mirre Garrett,
Adam Simber, under Strickland, like every single bad old reliever

(49:36):
that you can name is currently in the bullpen. And
if you could get to Matt More Carlos as seven
as you're looking at something. But with this lineup now
not having Mike Trout now now now having Anthony Rendon,
it's a big giant issue for the team. I like
Taylor Ward seven on Ronzi's sitting about it two seventy five.
But other than that, you've got Logan o Happy who
has been able to move the line a little bit.

(49:56):
But you got the likes of Mickey Moniac, Brandon Drury,
the mud the line, Aaron Hicks sitting below the mids.
I have two hundred sec Mettow has never really been
able to put it together. Noah Chanal, I've got my
questch marks with them. He's given you two home runs,
let's sen a three hundred on base. Meanwhile, for the
Cleveland Guardians, they've done a very solid job of being
able to improve their offense. This is a top seven
team in the Big Leagues with regards of runs per game.

(50:17):
Now it's a little bit more of a pitcher's ballpark
out there in Cleveland, and this is still not like
some superpower inning team or anything like that. But Josh
Nayler three forty five on base, seven home runs, he's
been able to do a nice job. You've had Jose
Ramirez not necessarily give you as much on bass as
you've seen in past years, but he's still supplying five
home runs. Steven Kawant has really been the guy to
be able to move line four hundred on base for
the team, and with the Guardians pitching the way that

(50:39):
they are out of the bullpen, I do think that
they should be able to dominate this one. At a
minus one eight or less unwilling to lay the run
line of the Guardians and an eight and a half
or less I'm going to be taking a look at
you over as well, nine fifteen, nine to sixteen on
the bank board the Kent City Royals A playoffs see
Walker Texas Rangers says Michael Lorenzi is on the bump
for the Rangers and Brady Singer ropes half the Rangers
singing the blues for kin City. Kana City. Is any

(51:00):
between a minus one ten to a minus one twenty
favorite between minus one oho two to plus one oh
five is your number on Texas nine is at under
his minus one twenty and the overs even I did
set the Royals out of minus one thirty seven. I'm
going to be one to roll with them, just not
in on Michael Lorenzen in general has never really been
a guy that gets a lot of strikeouts or anything
like that. He's been giving up quite a few walks.

(51:21):
In his last start, he got completely tattooed as well,
so it's not like he's coming in in the world's
greatest for him that start against he since I reads
he really did give it up late. And for Michael
Lorenzen currently a four to twenty four year a but
a four ninety six fielding independent, I take a look
on the flipside for Brady Singer, a guy that had
a fielding independent that was like a full point lower

(51:42):
than his era last season, which points out that he
was getting incredibly unlucky last season, and I think that
he's going to be able to keep this resurgence going.
He does have a three ninety eight field independent this year,
much of that due to the fact that he's been
given up about three and a half bloks forer nine innings.
He needs to clean that up because when he truly
had success, when it came to like the two tenty
twenty two campaign that year where he was really able

(52:02):
to put it together, he was only giving up about
two point one walks per nine and nings. So the
command is going to be very key. But he's been
able to do a nice job being able to keep
the ball in the yard thus far this season, and
he's backed up by a bullpen that has been surprisingly good,
as James McArthur has come out of the woodwork as
a relatively good reliever after being a failure of a starter.
Now Chris Strant and Will Smith are not necessarily guys

(52:23):
have too much faith in, but oh no, guys like
Matt Seller guys have come out of a little bit
of nowhere. I've been able to do a nice job
holding down the four for a Royal team that currently
ranks ninth in the Big Leagues terms of Bullpenny Ray
Rangers meanwhile they ranked fourteenth. They did a nice job.
I think some nice pieces in the offseason. Kirby Yates
David Robertson, two former closers, have done a nice job
coming in holding it down. Jonathan Ornandez has been able

(52:46):
to give you some good anks throughout the past few seasons.
He was injured to begin the season. Now he's back
in the fold. I'll say, look at Ark has been
a little bit miserable, but oh no, it's a Rangers
bullpen that's a little bit improved. And it's also a
Rangers team that you know that they're going to be
able to buster eventually with the bats. But even last
year they didn't hit a lot of home runs on
the road. They hit pretty much all of them at home.
And that's far the season. The Rangers have been a

(53:07):
relatively mediocre home run team. They've been able at thirty
four runs in thirty two games. He just expect a
little bit more of them. ADULSCRCI has really been carrying them.
He's been able to supply eight home runs. He's given
you about a three fifty on base. Meanwhile, White, Langford, Evan, Carter, Corey, Seeger,
these are all the guys hitting it two thirty or lower.
I'll give you a little bit north of a three
rm base, but other than Carter, you're really not getting

(53:27):
a lot of pop out of these guys either. Markismien
has been relatively okay. I do think that the Rangers
should see some positivity with their lineup, but the question
is when I do think that in this case you're
going to see both of these bullpens regrets a little
bit more. But I do think that the Royals also
are able to get to Michael Lorenz and the Royals
at home, I have been averaging tar near about five
runs per contest. You've got five different guys each have

(53:48):
your top five players in terms of that. Pats as
a matter of fact, with at least four um runs
with Salvador Perez leading the way with seven bombs, hitting
it three fifty five, Bobby with juniors moving the line
three seventy on base, three twenty batting average, need to
get a little bit more in terms of average off
these guys like Vinnie Pascantino, MJ. Molendez in Company and
bomb the fold with the likes of Van and Fraser
Hunter renfro Evidence he supplied a lot, but Mike Fields

(54:09):
of alaskis his overall upside. And I do think that
the Royals find a way to be able to Michael
Lorenz and did some of my total at an eight
point eight. So here at the nine, I do think
that Brady Singer and Company do just enough to be
able hold it under. But I do think they get
relatively close and with the Royals, but like they should
have been closer to one of minus one thirty five
or so. Favorite So I like the Royals on the
money line and this dining under nine seventeen nine eighteen

(54:30):
on the benning board. The Seattle Manders at the road
to face off against the Easton answers. Ronaldo le Blanco
goes for the Astros. George Kirby is on the bump
for Seattle. Seattle, Let's find themselves, says Great Slide Underdogs
Benny between minus one of five to plus one oh four. Meanwhile,
any between minus one away two minus one fifteen is
the number on Houston. Eight to eight and a half
is a total on the eight and a half unders
minus one twenty and the overse even on the eighth

(54:52):
over and under both at minus one ten set the
Mariners where I would need at least a plus one
oh four to be able to get shot on them.
We have just barely gotten there. So at the plus
one zero four of them, seeing, I'm gonna be willing
to roll with Seattle. This Mariners front line has just
been absolutely tremendous. The starters, I believe have now given
up eighteen runs in their last eighteen starts. Few underd

(55:15):
runs along the way as well. But George Kirby, he
has had his issues when he's been away from home
rather than at home. That is something that you do
want to highlight, and it's two starts away from home.
Thus far the season, five runs and nine innings has
honestly been long lasting, but you know that the control
is going to be there. Just four walks in thirty
two innings. As far the season, he's made more starts
than he's given away walks, and his strikeout rate is
way up thirty eight strikeouts and thirty two and a

(55:36):
third innings. He's got a four eighteen year a field
in Independent is darn near two points lower right now,
so he has been amazing on that front. Meanwhile, Ronald Blanco,
I do think that we're gonna see a little bit
of regression out of Hilm. It's a big worry something.
He's giving up about four walks for nine innings, but
he's been able to generate about eight and a half
strikeouts for nine innings. Blanco has done a really good
job of just being able to induce some soft contact

(55:58):
as well. He's given up two home runs worth of
thirty innings as far the season, so absolutely love to
see that. And he's been one of the few Houston
assers that has been relatively consistent this season as well.
He's currently got a buck sixty five yarra that field
independence more around at three forty seven, so that is
going to begin to creep up. And the big trepidation
that you've got for the Astros here is the bullpen
is the bullpen was relatively solid yesterday, but oh no,

(56:20):
these guys like Ryan Presley Josh Hater that you had
high expectations for. Both of these guys have just completely flopped.
Both of these guys who've given you north of a
five yar. Brian Brady was one of the main pieces
that they returned from a season ago. He's posting up
about a four or so ERA as well. So for
the Asters, it's been the case where Taylor Scott and
guys like this have had to be some of your
more trustworthy bullpen pieces. Meanwhile, you've got a Seattle Manners

(56:43):
seen that's in the top three in the Big leagues
urns of the bullpen. The ra they just find these
guys are cast offs at other teams and they make
them into really good reliever. It's like you've got Gabs Fire,
Cody Bolton, You've got the former Houston astro and Ryan
Stannik Tyson Miller, these guys that are not household names,
and yet they've all been firing like a sub three
two five year Andrex Munjos has been a terrific closer.

(57:05):
But the big question is can the Seattle manners soo
enough to be able to put back to ball to
be able to win this game. As Luio Rodriguez has
moved the line inning at two seventy, but he's only
splied one home run thus far the season. Have a
lot of guys like Cal Rawley, Mitch Haniger or A Polanco,
Mitch Garver, JP Crawford, Dylan Moore, Luke Rayley all atting
a two twenty or lower, so that's been an issue.

(57:25):
On dom can Zone was providing some power. He's been
out due to injury as well. But dude, like what
I've been seeing on ty France in terms of being
able to get on base rally, who has not been
hitting for a lot of average, has been able to
give you six home runs. In Seattle last year was
a top five team in the American League with regards
to runs per game. When they were away from home.
They were a much more formidable offense away from home
rather than at home. And I do think that they

(57:46):
do just enough yere to be able to find a
way to be able to get the job done at
a plus one or four or higher. I do like
the Mariners on the money line, and but I do
think that there's going to be a bit of regression
for Blanco. I don't necessarily think that it's going to
be happening on this day. I think that you get
a low scoring slog involving a Mariners team that's played
seventy six percent of their games. The under semi total
at some point nine. I like the under, and I
do like the Seattle Miners out a plus one to
four or higher on the money line. Now we might

(58:07):
be can out with Corrida pick nine nineteen nine twenty
on the banking board. The Minnesota Twins playoffs to the
Boston Red Sox. Dan Rock goes for the Sucks. Chris
Paddock is on the buff for Minnesota. Minnesota is any
between minus one oh seven to minus one twelve favorites
and between minus one oh three minus one ten is
your number on Boston. A and a half to eight
is a total I'm seeing on the eight and over
minus one twenty eight unders even mostly seeing eight and

(58:29):
a half though with the under at minus one fifteen
the overs at minus one oh five and right up
here is going to be on the under. I am
willing to take an eight if absolutely needed, but got
plenty of eight and a halfs out there, should be
able to find one. And with that said, with regards
to the money line, I did set the Twins out
of minus one oh five. Right now I'm seeing about
a minus one o six. I would suspect that we
get a little bit of money to come in on Boston.

(58:50):
But that said, if you do get posited at plus money,
then I'd be willing to get center of them. But
right now thinking that I'm gonna be able to get
right around about a minus one of five or so
on the Minnesota wins who throw out their guy in
Chris pattockus here of a five eighty eight. It's not tremendous,
but his fielding independent has been a ball of point
lower For Paddick, He's done a nice job not giving
up a lot of walks, but with about two walks
per nine and ennings and and his two starts at home,

(59:12):
he's been sterling in eleven and two thirds innings in Minnesota,
he's given up just two earned rons, and since he's
gotten to Minnesota, granted it has been a couple of
injury riddled seasons, his fielding independent is a full point
lower than his era. Meanwhile, Tanner Ouk has just been
dealing bucks sixty Era one ninety nine fielding independent. He's
allowed one home run in thirty nine and at third

(59:33):
innings he's given up less than two Walks Bernan innings
while still getting north of Knins Rightcouse Berni and Ennings.
He has been nothing short of incredible. Now you get
into the bullpens and both of them have been very
good for the Boston Red Sox. This team has been
able to really ascend with guys like a Justin Slayton
being able down the fort. He and Brendan Bernardino are
able to give you multiple innings. They've been able to
do a nice job as far as the season. Ken

(59:54):
Lee Jansen, as long as it's not like some super
big primetime game or something like that, he always it
comes up relatively solid for you. Chris Martin ad that
sub two era seas ago he struggled a little bit,
but on all these guys were be able to do
a nice job holding down the Ford end for the
Minnesota Twins. Now you've got your closer and you on
Don back in the fold. That's absolutely massive. As you've
got these other guys, they're just doing a nice job

(01:00:15):
in general being able to supply good innings. Brock Stewart
as yet to give up a run thus far the season.
Steven ocurred as a salt long guy that comes over
from the Miami Marlins scale. Theobar has been a little
bit up and down thus far the season, but he
Griffin Jacks should be able to give you some good
innings for the Minnesota Twins as well. If you take
out the games that they have played against the Chicago
White Sox, a're aating less than a two twenty five
is collective during two thirty eight overall, because those White

(01:00:37):
Sox numbers are just really jumping up. There are just
overall metrics you've got though. Now Byner and Buckson out
of the fold, he was not necessarily doing a ton
for the seam, but hitting at two fifty that's above
average for them. You've got Ryan Jeffers, Alex Crola fully Castro.
We're beginning to really pick it up for the seam.
All three of these guys hitting north of eight two
to fifty five, with Jeffers being able to spply five
home runs at Edward Julian has probably give you seven

(01:01:00):
runs as well. But the bottom of the fold, these
guys like Christian Basquez, you're able to throw in there.
Even it's something like a man Walmartgo when he's been
out there, Austin Martin, These guys have been relatively miserable,
and for Carlos Carrell, even though he's back, as we
know last season he had a little bit of a
off Govi and for Boston this has been a relatively
solid offense. They're ranking in the top ten in the
Big Leagues with regards runs per game on the road,

(01:01:20):
with Tyler O'Neal just being on a terror nine home
runs north of a four thirty on base but with
Chris and Cassis currently being out the fold, you've really
got one other guy that gives you four puls home runs.
That'd be Connor Walling, who's been mister wright for the
team thus far the season. But it's a lot of
young guys that just Kevin Barian gets us have to
play Bobby doll back. Commanuel wrote Valdez, Sadine Rafaela, Pablo Reyes.

(01:01:41):
These are all guys hitting both of the no sign
of turn and they're now kicking the tires on Garrett Cooper.
We shall see what happens there. They're dealing with the
injury Detervord, sorry, which I don't think that that's anything new,
but I do think that for a tanner Us we
see a little bit of negativity. Moving forward with him
and Chris Paddock, I feel like it's pitched so much
better than what his numbers would indicate. I do think
that for the Twins, if you can get them out
of minus one of five or less, they've got a

(01:02:02):
little bit of value. Like I said, we need plus
money to be able to take a shot on Boston
and write a pick here that is going to be
on the under whether you've got an eight or a
and a half se by total at some point nine,
So writing up the under animal and take minus one
of five or better on Minnesota nine twenty one, nine
twenty two on the Benning board. He since, hey, rise, yes,
we are on and Sincinnati DA playoffs to the Baltimore
Oriols as Cole Irving goes for Baltimore and Hunter Green

(01:02:23):
is on the bump for the Reds, and Reds do
find themselves as a very slight underdog in the spot
you're going to be find them as good as a
plus one oh three, as bad as a minus one
oh two. Meanwhile, if you're looking at Baltimore and between
minus one ten to minus one twenty is what you're
laying on them. Total is nine over it's between minus
one ten to mins one twenty eight unders anywhere between
even and minus one ten, and with Baltimore set them

(01:02:45):
out of minus one sixteen, seeing a lot of like
minus one ten, minus one twelve things of that nature,
I'm going to be one to lay with them. As
for core Irvin, he has really come on the last
few starts and you tell that he's a man with
his job on the line, as John Means is going
to be coming back. Kyle Bradish, he just returned on Thursday,
and he really has come out very much fired up.

(01:03:05):
As he's never been too much of like a strikeout
guy or anything like that, but he's done a good
job of just being able to keep the ball in
the yard the last few games. And additionally, he had
a few walks issues towards the beginning part of the season,
has really been able to clean those up. Three forty
nine in the ARA thus far the season with two
point two walks Bernin and Nings. Now strikeouts just slide
out or out there five point seven strikeouts Berni and Nnings.

(01:03:26):
But I said he's given up a combine two earned
runs over the course of his last three starts, done
a relatively solid job to be able to keep your
guys off of the eight pass in general. Meanwhile, you've
got someone in a Hunter Green who's always had his
issues when he's been at home, and the big reason
why is because you're out there in Cincinnati. It's very
much a hitter's ballpark in front of Green. Where he
goes wrong is with regards to the hard contact and

(01:03:49):
Ruth regards the home runs. That's a big reason why
he for his career as a fort eighty nine Homierra
compared to a four seventeen Era when he's away from home,
away from home on a Green gives up about like
one point two one point three home runs er Ni
and Ennings. That manifests itself closer to about two home
runs for nine Ennings when he's at home now for Cincinnati,
they do back them up with a bullpen that's been
relatively solid. Fernando Cruz up at all about like forty

(01:04:10):
eight or so hours ago, was relatively solid for this punch.
But now you get Sam Moull back in the fold.
I like what I've been seeing recently out of Alexis Diaz.
He's a relatively said clos Therefore, and since I read
team that they're not amazing with reguards their bullpen, but
you know what, they've been able to do a solid
job holding down the Ford In terms of bullpenning Ray
they rank about eighteenth to the big leagues, and for
Baltimore they've been able to creep back up into the

(01:04:32):
top twelve, their number twelve approximately with the Guards, they're
a bullpenny Ray. Greg Kimberill always a little bit of
a roll the ice, but now you're dealing with an
injury with him, which not necessarily a bad thing in
my opinion for the Baltimore Orioles, as the guys are
more trustworthy yard likes of Danny Koloom. You near Cano,
you get cno Perez back at the folding. For the Orioles,
they ranked number one in the big leagues with reguards

(01:04:52):
their home run power. Each out of their top eight
players in terms of that bats as far this season,
I'll have at least four home runs as far this
season as you've got cet Owes, Colton Calcer will been
able to give you six home runs a piece. Gunner
Anderson leads away. He's been able to fly ten bombs.
But additionally you've got Jordan Westberg, Attalie Rushman hitting above
a three hundred, and I mean, just to go a
little bit further with that as well, among your guys

(01:05:13):
have hit at least four home runs, all but two
of them hanging at least two seventy two with the guards.
They're batting average. So you've got a top to bottom
lineup that has lockloaded. They're able to platoon for lefties
and right He's and you've got a since a Red's
lineup that is quite top heavy. La Da La Cruz
has been absolutely amazing as far this season as he's
made about a two eighty eight runs, and you've got
Spencer's here move the line. He's been able to fly

(01:05:34):
four bombs. He's given you north of a three to
twenty five on base. But you look at a lot
of these guys and their struggles, Nick Martini, Santiago, Spen, Jamior,
Kendal Lario, Will Benson, Christian and Karnacio on Strain all
letting a two to ten or lower, and you haven't
gotten a lot of power out of too many of
these guys. Will Benson is up to four on runs,
that's far the season. But in Karnacio on strain, you

(01:05:55):
thought that he would be giving you a little bit
more pop as well, So that's gonna be a little
bit of an issue for a Red lineup that oh all,
it's just one of those things where they rely a
little bit too much on day La Cruz and even
though it's very much a hitter's ballpark, they just haven't
been able to put back the ball as far this season.

Speaker 3 (01:06:09):
Though.

Speaker 2 (01:06:09):
I do think that the Ools are gonna be able
to take Hunter Green deep or starting to see some
regression with this Red's bullpen as well. So I did
sell my toll at nine point two. I do think
that Irvin not gonna be able to quite keep up
this amazing streak that he's been on as well, so
I'd like the over both, with Baltimore willing to lay
up to eight minus one fifteen on this money line
nine twenty three, nine to twenty four on the mining board.
The Toronto Blue Jays are on the road facing GOP
against the Washington and Nationals. The old Turkey tosser and

(01:06:31):
Patrick Corbin is on the bump for Washington. Meanwhile, Yusaki
Cucci's on the bump for the Toronto Blue Jays. Blue
Jays to find themselves any between minus one seventy minus
one eighty favorites. Meanwhile, with Washington, it's going to be
find them as bad as a plus one fifty seeing
in them as good as about a plus one fifty
eight as well, with a total of nine understanding between
minus one ten t too minus one fifteen overs between

(01:06:52):
minus one and five to one minus one ten. And
if we can get to a plus one sixty two
or higher, I'm gonna be one to take a shot
on the Washington Nationals, and I would not be surprised
if we do get there. If you're looking to lay
a run and a half with Toronto, you're gonna be
laying anywhere between about a minus one of five to
minus one ten. And if I had to play it
right now, I'd be willing to lay up to a
minus one of seven on that Blue Jays run and

(01:07:13):
a half, laying a run half. But that's said, I'm
gonna be trying to look for that plus one sixty
two or higher with Patrick Corbin in company, which I
know that this is gonna sound blast mist to a
lot of people, but if you've been on the Washington
Nationals every single time Patrick Corbin had started. Since the
beginning part of the twenty twenty three season, he's actually
turned out profitable to over six hundred dollars worth of profits.

(01:07:33):
If you are a one hundred dollars bet at that place,
hundred dollars on every single one of those bets. Now
for Patrick Corbin six eighty two ear, the fielding independent
is a little bit better, but not a whole lot better.
He's getting seven straightcouts for nine innings. He's given up
about three and a half walks per nine innings. But
what plays very well from is that the Toronto Blue
Jays have just been miserable at the plate. I have
no idea what's happening right now, but Boba Chet, George Springer,

(01:07:57):
Cavan Bigio, all these guys are in at two twenty
or lower. Fliger Junior has given you about a three
thirty five on base, but you expect more than that.
Along with the three home runs toom barshow and Justin
Turner have been your best two players at the play
barshow about a three twenty on base with six home runs.
Justin Turner three seventy five on base, four home runs.
Everyone else has been a big giant disappointment. The Blue

(01:08:17):
Jays are currently in the bottom ten in the Big
leagues with reguards runs per game about three point five
runs per contest. Away for a moment for the Washington Nationals,
they made some bad offseason signings. Joey Gallllo has not
been great to say the least, a lot of Eddie Rosario,
but also brought in Jesse Wakers given you a three
sixty on base, said a trio of home runs. He's
been rock solid. And c j Abrams seven bombs, three
sixty on base. You could use some of these guys

(01:08:39):
a return from last season, like Wayne Thomas, who's been
a little bit in and out of the full, Joey Minesis,
Riley Adams. Guys like this are hitting a two twenty
five or lower to be able to pick it up
in Keebarrowiz has been in out of the fold. He's
been pretty miserable too. But for the Washington Nationals, this
team is in the upper half of the big leagues.
With regards to Bullpenny Ray, the likes of Derek Law
doing Floro have been very good for the team. A

(01:08:59):
lot barn seas our pickups that I've been able to
supply a sub three five year a Kyle fin again,
if you look at him overall, he's been very good.
As far as the season, I still have a tough
time trust singing Kyle Finn again, but all I like
what I've found in for the Blue Jays. Well, this team,
it's currently in the upper half of the big leagues.
With regards to Bullpenny aray, it's getting much better. You know,
if Jordan Romano long the Eric Swanson back and fold

(01:09:20):
these guys should be able to find that. These guys
should be able to dial in that bullpen that has
quite a few guys have been struggling. Tim Masa, Genesiscoberra
both with norths of a five yarra, but in Francis
when they've given him opportunities, that has not been great
to say the least. So Yumi Garcia after he was
not good last season to say the least sub one era.
So that's a little bit encouraging. And what else is
encouraging is you say Kacucci keeping the ball in the art.

(01:09:41):
He did it back to the Ulcer break of the
twenty twenty three season. He's been able to post up
a sub three twenty five Yari giving up about a
half home run per nine, and he's been able to
do a nice job and be able to control the
walks as well, just say walks in thirty three plus
sentings thus far as the season. Kakuchi did give up
four runs at his last start against the Dodgers, but
when you go up against the Dodgers, those sorts of
things happen. Pass Eddy has been pretty masterful. So I

(01:10:02):
do think that the total set a little bit too high.
I think that Patrick Corbyn does a good job holding
down a Toronto Blue Jays team that quite frankly, has
not been great at the dish and for the Blue Jays,
even though I do see a little bit of positivity
coming for this bullpen, I do think that this has
gotten to be a little bit too lofty of a number.
If I can get north of a plus one sixty,
you're gonna be a willing to ride with the Washington
Nationals on the money line, and did some of my
total where at a nine, I'm going to be looking

(01:10:22):
at the under as well. Nine twenty five, nine twenty
six on the bank board. The Tampa Bay Race play
us to the New York mets O Seikitana's on the
bump for the Mets and Aaron Savali goes for the race.
The race, say it Pepper Ray to being a favorite
of any between minus one thirty two minus one twenty
eight same size minus one thirty five out there as well.
May between plus one fourteen to a plus one twenty

(01:10:43):
three is your number on the Mets. Eight is a
total over and under both at minus one ten. Fortunately
Circa gave us a nice number on the Mets. I
need at least a plus one twenty three to take
a shot on them circus providing it, so thank you
very much for that. I will gladly take the Mets.
Says I just don't want any part of the Sampa
Bay Race team at this point. There currently dead last
in the big leagues in terms of the ARA B.
Fairbanks is currently out of the fold Dame. For Aaron Savali,

(01:11:05):
He's always been just a streaky and strange pitcher. Like
every single year for Aaron Savali, his fielding independent is
either like a point to a point and a half
higher or lower than his ra He never gets a
desired result. Says I still remember last season he spent
half the year with the Guardians half the year with
the Tampa Bay Rays. When he was with the Guardians,
he posted up a two thirty four year with a

(01:11:26):
three fifty three fielding independent with a race five thirty
six ERA three sixty three fielding independent. It just makes
no sense. And swinging his stuff is up nine and
a half punch outs for nine and he's isn't giving
up a ton of walks, but it's given up one
point seven home runs nine and hes and he's going
up against the Mets team that you want to talk
about streaking up and down this offense as Peter Alonso,
He's always been one of the best home run erit

(01:11:46):
ors when he's been away from home throughout his career.
But he Brandon Nimmo, Francisco Lindor has currently been deal
with a little bit of illness. DJ Stewart. These are
all guys hearing a two twenty five or lower, though
J D. Martinez he should be able to add some
excitement and some pop this lineup has. He had to
get his first home run, but hitting above a three hundred,
that's been big. Mark Vientos had that nice walk off

(01:12:06):
home run a few nights ago. He's been able to
do a solid draft when he's gotten that pass. He's
got something like Harrison Maider who's able to line But
it's just been a sporadic and streaky Met's lineup to
say the least. But it was like Kitana has been
very good as a pitcher contact guy. He went eight
innings in his last start against the San Louis Cardinals.
Prior to that, he had not really gone past the
sixth inning in any of his previous four starts, and

(01:12:27):
walks have been a little bit of an issue for me.
It's given up North the four walks for nan innings,
but I do think they're starting to find it a
little bit more. Swinging his stuff is never really gonna
be great, but it was nice of being able to
hold the ball in the yard last season and thus
far this season an earth of thirty three innings, it's
given up to three home runs going up against a
race team that. I mean. You want to talk about
the bullpen all you want, but this lineup has been
miserable as well. Rainy Arose Arena, Jose Siri, both of

(01:12:51):
these guys sitting well below a buck ninety and in
the case of a Rose Arena a two twenty on base.
Andy Diaz is sitting like a two fifteen as well.
They've had guys have been able to have each parades,
Samed Rosario. Both of these guys and your north of
two ninety m for parades. He's had to do an
off of the team seven home runs as far as
the season, nobody else says north of three home runs,
but the Tampa Bay Race. Typically they do the little

(01:13:11):
things well and they have not been doing that thus
far the season. Meanwhile, for the New York Mets, they're
the team with the top ten bullpen in terms of VRA. Now,
they already with a few injuries with Brooks Railey being
out of the fold, but sam Adam, Monavino, Jake Deakman,
these guys have been a relatively solid edwin. Diaz has
been just one of the most lights out closers in
the big leagues of the past few seasons. Him being
out of the fold is big reason why they really

(01:13:32):
suffered in the bullpen last season. But I do think
that the Mets are gonna be able to get to
Aaron Savai a little bit, and I do think that
there's gonna be a bit of regression winning regards to
ose Keitan, and I do think that the race start
to wake up a little bit with Matt, So some
might tell it at eight point three, I'm gonna be
looking at the over, but with the metts out of
plus one twenty three or higher, I do like them
on the money line as well. Nine twenty seven, nine
to twenty eight. On the bangboard, you see those Cardinals

(01:13:53):
place in Chicago White Sox. Brad Keller goes for the Sucks,
and Sonny Gray is on the bump for the Cardinals.
Cardinals between minus two forty five dollars minus two sixty
seven favorites and between plus two oh seven to plus
two twenty eight. That number on Chicago seven half is
a total over and under anywheretween minus one five to
a mice one fifteen and semi dot was some point four.
I like the under, but I also like the same

(01:14:15):
loads Cardinals laying a run half. I was willing to
go up to a mice one thirty five. Curbably, we'll
find that between minus one fifteen to a mice one
twenty end with a White Sox. I mean, this is
just a really bad situation to be in. They are
starting a guy in Brag Keller, who came out of
the bullpen I believe about seventy two or so hours ago.
He was just an abject failure time and time again
whenever the Royals tried to just put him in any

(01:14:36):
sort of a trustworthy spot. And as a matter of fact,
for Keller, it was actually on Monday in which he
last pitch. But he's not stretched out at all, and
even when he is stretched out, he's just completely stunk
on ice. Last season he had a four to fifty
seventy RA. He only pitched forty five and a third
innings at the Big League above and it has always
been good at not giving up the deep ball, but
in twenty twenty three had forty five walks in forty

(01:14:56):
five and a third innings As a pitch of contact guy,
that is not good, to say the least. Meanwhile, you've
got someone in Suddy Gray who dating it all the
way back to the twenty twenty three season. He has
made thirty six sols starts. He has given up three
runs or fewer in all but three of them. So
he has been able to just time and time again
be able to shove thirty two strike cuts in twenty
three and a third angs as far this season, giving

(01:15:18):
up just one home run. He has been mass fellow
and he's going up against the White Sox team as
dead last in the big leagues with regards to home
runs and runs per game. Now they're starting to pick
it up a little bit more with Tommy fam doing
a nice job of hitting well above a threere and
says he's gotten to the big league level. Should see
a little bit of regression there and Eli and Meniz
He is out with injury for a little bit. He's
been able to supply three home runs. But so of
all these guys like Nicki Lopez, Andrew ben Attendee, Andrew Vaughn,

(01:15:41):
Dominic Fletcher, Schamacki whatever his first name is at the
shortstop spot, Martine Moldonado, Lennon Sosa, all these guys hitting
at two ten or lower. And for the Chicago White Sox,
there is a point where the bullpen wasn't completely terrible,
but now it's went straight down the toilet bowl as well,
And that's to be expected when you're lying punk guys

(01:16:02):
like oh, I don't know, Dominique Leone, Steven Wilson, John
Brebio's actually not been bad to hold down the Forts,
but the White Socks are twenty third in the big
leagues with regards to their bullpenning Aria Michael Kopek just
continues to give up bombs. And for the same of
those Cardinals. Last year they were pretty much a disaster
with their bullpen or on league average. As far this season,
Ryan ellesleye has been able to do an amazing job
in the bullpen, and Andrew Kichers, who they picked up

(01:16:23):
from the Tampa Bay Race, He's been a very solid pickup.
Sebey are stall have your trepidations with guys like Giovanni
Gegos tryan Taparron company, but maybe be able to pick
it up quite a bit there. And for the same
of those Cardinals, this has been one of the worst
offenses in all baseball as well. This unit, they have
been generating far less than four runs per game, more
round three and a half runs per contest. So Paul
gold Smith starting to get his back together up to

(01:16:45):
about a three twenty on base but just two home
runs for him, and Nolder Nenado is sitting at two
seventy but only one home run for him thus far.
The season, it's really been all about Wilson Guturras five
home runs, three seventy five on base. He has been
the straw that serves a drink. But like so Victor Scott, Lars, Newbar,
Jordan Walker, Michael Sinny, these young guys in the outfield
have provided absolutely nothing whatsoever. So I do think that
you get a little bit of a low scoring slog,

(01:17:06):
but I think that Sunny Ray just completely holds down
the Chicago White Sox team. Here at a seven and
a half, I'm gonna be looking at the under and
I do like playing a run a half year with
the s Louis Cardinals. Was willing to lay up a
minus one thirty five and right things up with nine
twenty nine, nine thirty on the bank board. The Belliam
May Marlins to throw the facing up against the Oakland A.
He says, JP series goes for the A's and Ryan
Weathers is on the bump for Miami. Miami is a

(01:17:27):
underdog of any between plus one fourteen plus one twenty two.
Meanwhile between minus one thirty one minus one thirty five
year number on Oakland seven a half to eight is
a total on the eight under his minus one fifteen.
They over Spines one to five on the seven a
half over spines one twenty two. Under his even was
willing to go up to a minus one thirty nine
with Oakland. I'm going to be willing to roll with them.
JP Series gave up a couple too many deep balls

(01:17:47):
last season, but you tell that his command was relatively solid.
Has said that slip up a little bit to about
three bucks for nine innings, But on all I do
think that JP sears being out there in his friendly
confinence in Oakland, he's going to be able to do
a nice job against am I Amy Marlins team that
frankly just has not been able to all season long.
They got a little bit of something going against the
Colrad Rockies, but the phrasing that was against the Colrad Rockies.

(01:18:08):
Elise Rice has been able to three hundred for the team,
but got so many guys like Tim Anderson, Acus Sanchez,
Je Shislom, Emmanuel Rivera all just stuck in mediocrity hitting
right around about it two twenty two to about it
two thirty nine. Other than Chislom with his forum runs,
not a lot of popping with Jake Berger, deal with injury,
you just don't have a lot of power bats in general.
Now it is the nighttime out there in Oakland, the

(01:18:29):
marine layers gonna be out, so that's gonna help up
both of these pictures as well. And for Ryan Weathers,
he had a rough start the last time out against
Washington Nationals. BA said, he honestly hasn't been terrible. He's
been able to up his slinging stuff to about he
straightcuts for nine nings. The issue that you do have
with him is a walk, so he's been giving up
about four and a half walks Berni and Nnings and
if he jacks up his pitch count gets to rely
upon in Miami Marlin's bullpen that's currently in the bottom

(01:18:51):
five the big leagues. With regards to Eira, Anthony Maldonado
gets called up from the minor league level. He could
actually be an upside guy for the scene. But the
Lakes of Andre and already Inner Scott, who are so
reliable for the Seamen he season ago, they went straight
down the toilet bow. Anthony benders rock into seven to
sixty two era and for the Oakland Ace that's exactly
where they thrived. They have been one of the best
bullpens in terms of ra all season long. They're currently

(01:19:13):
ranked in the top eight in this regard. Mason Miller
I still believe should be a starter, but that said,
he has been amazing in the closer spot for the seam.
And then you've got so many guys that are posting
up a sub three five era. A lot of these
guys are cast stuffs that nobody thout anything. Oh and
they're probably fighting to try to get out of the
city of Oakland. But that said, you know what, guys
like Michael Kelly, Kyle Mueller, Austin Adams throwing their Danny

(01:19:37):
men As Lucas ursage. These guys have all been able
to do a solid job holding down the fort. Now
for Oakland, this has been a pretty miserable offense or
in the bottom five of the big leagues with regards
to runs per game, and they had all their home
runs away from home. They actually lead the Big leagues
in terms of home runs per game away from home.
They are towards the bottom of the league with regards
to home runs per game at home, and you just say, go,
look at these guys not moving the line. Among guys

(01:19:57):
with at least twenty five at bats as far as season,
Tyler Nevin and Abraham Toro the only two guys sitting
above a two fifty. We had a Sarah Reid sitting
approximately a two fifty. Nobody else sitting above two thirty eight.
Nobody else giving you north of a three ten on base.
That's a little bit of an issue. As the likes
of Lawrence Butler, Zach the lof shavelannge Layers, you need
a little bit more of them. Boat Plangelairs has been
able to give you seven home runs thus far the season.

(01:20:19):
But that said, I do think that oaklinn does just
enough damage to Miami to be able to get the
job done once again. In a base scoring slog sem
I told at some point too, so I like the
under and i'mble in the lampill mince one thirty on
they says money line one, no part of the road
line whatsoever with their offense. And that rap things up
for the Friday edition of The Baseball Betting Show, now
part of Thevson Family and Podcasts. Big thanks to John
Bowman over there at rhode O Wire a couple with that.

(01:20:40):
He does an amazing job. With Bowman on Baseball you
joined me in the last segment. If you do like
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(01:21:02):
Although way he's finding an Apple podcast review. If you're
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Thank you,

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