5/4/24-Baseball Betting Show

Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:00):
Breaking down every game, every day in Major League Baseball.
This is the Baseball Betting Show. Here is your host,
Greg Peterson, the Warmer for Loo.

Speaker 2 (00:09):
Welcome to love be Las Vegas for the Baseball Betting
Show with myself Greg Peterson, now part of the Beason
Family and podcasts. We've gotten excellent podcast whereas we're gonna
go guests free today we are gonna be diving into
just what we've seen here in the first I would
call it five or so weeks of the season. What's
been profitable, what has not been in terms of teams,
in terms of what to take a look at in

(00:30):
terms of totals, some of these teams that have been
fluctuating a little bit home to road, and I always
do think that's fun to take a look at the
most and least profitable pitchers in the Big League. So
we'll give you a little bit of a roundup of
bet in segment number two. In the final segment, get
It get you guys, picks and analysis on every game
on the betting board for this Baseball Saturday as we
touch them all. If you do have a question comment
segment of you what have you for this podcast? You

(00:52):
have one of two ways. We have far those in
first one is my Twitter slash ex simeline at Dunn
Underscorty one. Keep in mind Letercym think he does not matter,
so as prett usual, please to send these into the timeline.
And the other ways find an Apple podcast review. If
you ate this podcast five stars, it has very much
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you'd like to here on this podcast via that five
star review did not get in any Twitter slash axks

(01:12):
questions today. But we had ourselves a very fun day
of baseball on Friday. Let's take a look back at it,
try to find some trends and try to get to
know these teams a little bit better. Games for yesterday
is Greg buzzing about. Here is the rowdy recap. The
Oakland A's are white hot. They have now won seven
out of their last eight games three to one. They
take down the Miami Marlands, who just continued the scuffle.

(01:33):
They had that nice series against the Colrad Rockies, but
past had it's been rough. Ryan Weathers. He tried to
Weather's a storm Gate, but gave up three runs over
the course of six innings, including a home run to
Brent Rooker is sixth of the campaign. And what has
really been doing it for the Oakland A's as far
as been pitching, he had JP Sears fires six and
a third ending school is Lucaser said, just give up
a run in the ninth, one and a third endings

(01:53):
that last one run. But Lawston Adams, Michael Kelly, they
both give you a pair of bots out of the bullpen.
The Oakland A's they just continue to get the job
done time and time again. And you're gonna find out
a segment number two. They've been one of your more
profitable teams in all of baseball. That's far this season.
And what else has been profitable is taking a look
at overs with the Milwaukee Brewers. So on this Friday,
they were unable to get a lot of runs generated,

(02:15):
but they still get the job done. Three to one
they take down these Chicago Cubs. As for the Cubs,
just not a lot doing at the plate. Joe Ross
gives up a solo run over the course of six innings,
taking him deep. It was Chris forher Morell sixth home
round season. From there, Joe Piams out of his piguero
Trevor McGill. They all end a squirrel of setting. Meanwhile,
for the Chicago Cubs, he had one and a third
ning sculls from Colton Brewer Edward Olsley, though he was

(02:37):
the man they acted up. Gave up three runs in
the third of an Enning and Richard Lovelady. He was
able to supply the team with a squirrel of setting.
He saw the Baltimore Orioles shut out the Cincinnati Rts
just by a count of three to zero. Wrought long
rain delay in this one. But for Baltimore you had
corb and not one to give up his rotation spot
six and a third ning scroll is Danny Koloom Craig kimberl.

(02:58):
They both land to score a setting. Kimber strikes out
the side in the ninth and you know your cano
pairabouts on the bullpen and Ryan O'Hearn is able to
lift this team to victory his fifth home run season
for the Orioles. They did leave ten men on base,
but they so were able to get the job done.
As on a green great started in this one. He
does walk for but five and two thirds, ying scoreless.
It was Amelia Pegane who gave up the home run

(03:19):
though three runs surrendered in two thirds of a nine
Fernando Cruz, Jesse Wilson, they both get it out of
the bullpen and Buck Farmer he's able to fill two
squirrels settings, but Amelia began where have you heard that before?
Where it was begone off of him? And well there
was a lot pegone in the Rays versus Mets game.
As a raise, they get the job done by a
count of ten to eight. It wastes a Brett Maddie
multi home run game. He goes zep off a verancea

(03:41):
Valley for his second home run season, and then he's
able to take Jason Adams deep for his third home run.
The campaign for Adams gives out this home run and
an ending of work in the bullpen. Legitimately wasn't bad,
Phil Maton Kevin Kelly. They both thought his scorrel setting
sean armstrong one and the third ning score says Aransaval.
He did a lot of seven runs in four to
two thirds hydings, but taken off the hook by the
fact that Radio Rose Arena was able to go deep
his fourth arm run the campaign and they raised as

(04:03):
a whole win seven of twelve with ment scoring position,
as that home run came off of dead Neil Nunez,
who gives up this home run in two and the
third DS, but damage was done by Osei Kitana. He
got eight outs and he gave up eight runs, all
of which were earned from there. Orde Lopez, he's able
to supply an enning, gives up a run. You didn't
get two scoreless settings though out of Dan Young, but

(04:23):
too little, too late for the Mets. On Patrick Corbin
day you watch it in Nationals are able to get
the win by a kind of nine to three. By
the way, Patrick Corbin, if you bet on him and
every single starts at the beginning of the twenty twenty
three season, you're up north of six hundred dollars. As
Yseai Kikuchi, he was able to blind a relatively Solidzart
gives up one run in six innings and Eric Swanson
that yeah, this one away though, gives up three runs

(04:45):
and he did not commit it out as you had
four the Watchington Nationals, Lewiscarci had take him deep for
his second arm run the campaign from there to Mason
gives up a run in a third of an inn
exact pop pair of outside the bullpen and Genesis Couber
does a lot of four runs, but Isaiah canerif A
lefa a lot. With Ernie Lament in the field, they
both committed airs before Trevor Richards he gets it out
of the bullpen, and for mister KORbin he does a

(05:06):
lot of three runs at six innings, all in the
second ending, so he settled down from there. Hunter Harvey,
dom Floro Jacob Barnes are really able to lend a
scroll setting and the Toronto Blue Jays has been an
up and down season for them as they're now fifteen
and eighteen. And for our DK now're right up too. Picks.
It's been a relatively solid season thus far. We had
the under in twins versus Red Sox and it's able
to come through five to two. The final things got

(05:28):
a little bit harry in the seventh inning as Santa
Oak was looking very good and then he ran into trouble,
gives up four runs and six plus settings. From there
you needed have now Yuki Awasala come in and hold
down the forty, gives up a run and his two
innings of work. And for the Red Sox, other than
raphaeled Evers having a run scoring double, not a lot
doing its Chris Paddock six Scirrels setting, Scriff and Jackson

(05:48):
you owned it on both lend of scrorel Is setting.
He did have Cole Sants give up two runs in
two thirds of nineing, Butklee Fieolbar holds down the forty.
He gets it out of the bullpen and the Twins
are able to get it done against a Red Sox
team that now finds himself at eighteen and fifteen. So
has been a solid year for them, and it's been
a solid year for the Ellie Dodgers this far. They
have been a team that has been very overwhelming this season,
but not a lot of offense, but a lot of pitching.

(06:10):
Four to three. They get it done in e eleven
innings as Kevin Soone went good length. He gives up
his home run over the course of six innings. He
was taken deep by Austin Riley third run of the season,
and Farron the Cooney Junior just a second home run season.
He's able to take Danny Hudson deep, who allows that's
all run in his ending work, but Joe Kelly, Evan Phillips,
Michael Grove I'll land a squirrel sending. Alex Vesia allows

(06:31):
an under and run in the tenth and for the
Ellie Dodgers, they do go four of eight with men
in scoring position, with Tiaskar Nandez going deep off of
Charlie Morton his seventh home run season for Morton does
give up those two runs over the course of six innings,
but from there the boatbems relatively said. Rossie Iglesias and
Jesse Chavis both allow under and runs in the tenth
and eleventh inning, but Joey Menez aj minter Aaron bummer.
No bummers here. They were all able to lend a

(06:52):
squirrel of sting, also being able to lend plenty of
squirre of sentding see San Diego Padres. Who now they
pick up a Luis Urries, that's going to be big
for them. Seven to one. They were able to take
down the Arizona Diamondbacks as still and seas no walks,
eight strikeouts at six and two thirds innings, allowing one run.
That was a great start. Johnny Brito was able to
give you a squirrel setting. Jeremiah Strata far as out
of the bullpen squirrels and for Arizona slates to Sony

(07:14):
take it deep twice and gives up six runs in
four and a third innings. Baby with Chadow is fifth
home run of the campaign that actually came off of
Michael Bowman and had Jake Cronworth and Fernando Tatis Junior
takes a Sony DP for tatis sephth home run season.
Coronerworth is six the home run that was hit by
Machada that came off of Matt Bowman. He gives up
this home run and one in two thirds innings and
Toda Scott McGough supply a squirrel setting and Justin Martinez

(07:36):
filled two set ending scorel as well. For the Padres,
you were able to get another nice win for them
as they try to claw their way back to four
hundred and for the Diamondbacks out fourteen and eighteen. That's
far this season, and that's been a little bit rough.
Things have just all around been rough for the Chicago
White Sox. They literally have one win on the road
thus far this season. They got shut out by the
Cardinals three to zero the final. Brad Keller goes four

(07:57):
and two thirds innings, allows three runs, while Jared Schuster
three and a third ending scoreless. But the Chicago White
Sox problem was they couldn't touch Sonny Gray seventh squirreless endings.
He watched just one Jojo Romero, Ryan Ellesley. From there
a score is eight slash nights ending. And for Saint
Louis they've been very underwhelming thus far the season, twenty
unders ten overs, had just two pushes, so they have

(08:18):
been continuing on that path. And for the Seattle Manners
twenty three unders, seven overs and two pushes for them,
they have been underwhelming as well, and they underwhelmed on Friday.
The total actually pushes, but they underwhelmed in terms of
taking a loss five to three the final as George
Kirby good start here gives up one run over the
course of six innings and he bullpenned. That has been
so reliable for Seattle, not so much on this night.

(08:39):
Cabe Spyer gives up two runs at a third of enning,
Trent Thornton gives up two runs at a third of
ning before Coley Bolton he gets it out of the bullpen.
Tayson Miller he's able to fly a squirrel a setting,
and then he had Matt Moore along with or Ay
Polonko go deep off of Ronout Blanco for Bolonco's fifth
home run season. More is second as Blanco gives up
three runs in six innings, including the Sue bombs. But
Ryan Presley, Josh Shaders, Martinez all land a squirrels setting

(09:01):
and all of a sudden, this is a ascid team
has won five out of their last six and looks
like they're getting their bearings underneath them and the team
that is very much bearing down. How about the Kansas
City Royals. They go into the seventh inning tied up
one to one and then they put up a six
spots seven to one. They take down the Texas Rangers.
As Michael Lorenzen good start ear he gives up his
home run over the course of six innings, says, taking

(09:22):
him deep with Hunter renfro sert arm round the campaign.
But then Sevadar Perez on Quirts went off of O
Sayenya his eight film run season for Yurenja. He gives
up two runs of two thirds fighting and have four
runs given up by mister Colwyn as he got just
one out of the bullpen. Meanwhile, you were able to
get a squirrel sending from YERI Rodriguez and for the
Texas Rangers, not a lot doing at the plate as
Brady Singer had them singing the Blues. One run surrendered

(09:44):
in six innings. John Dreiver on el Zerpa, we're both
able to end a squirrel sending along with Colin Selby.
So Royals looking pretty solid out there in the Al Central,
but they are currently trailing the Cleveland Guardians, who did
take a rough loss on Friday as they fall to
the La Angels six zero. So Jose Sarriano, he goes
for six scorel of settings, Jose Swarez two squirrels, a

(10:06):
mere Garrett of squirrel setting from there and had a
pair of home runs for the La Angels. As Mickey Moniak,
He's able to get home run number two of the
campaign and then No One Sho was able to go
deep for his third as Tanner Bybee gave up both
of those home runs six runs a total of course,
for five innings. From there, Peter starts a lucky two
squirrel of settings, Sam Aaron Hunter Gaddis. They both combined
for two squirrels settings, but back to back losses for

(10:27):
the Cleveland Guardians. Haven't seen that very often and haven't
seen a lot of losses on the Detroit Tigers this year,
but they took one at the ends of the New
York Yankees. Dude won the finalized riees Olsen was very
good in this one. Five squirrel of settings. From there,
Alex Viedo Andrew Chafin, they combined for two squirrel settings.
Shelby Miller a squirrel setting, but Jason fully cannot get
him out in the ninth inning. As for the Yankees,
Anthony Rizzo walks it off with a single end. For

(10:49):
the Tigers, they leave ten men on basis. Marcus Strowman,
he got into some danger five walks and five and
a third innings, but it loss just one run from
their Ian Hamilton Victor Gonzalez one and a third innings.
Squirrel Sindannis Santana squirrel is setting for the Yankees to
be able to find a way to be able to
get it done. And the Philadelphia Phillies they continue to
roll as well. Four to three they take down the

(11:10):
San Francisco Giants. Says Jord Knicks, he was a candidate
for a little bit of regression and we saw it.
So Matt JamMan had a pair of errors out there
that did not help his cause, but four runs, two
of which we are and give it up ricks from there,
Sean Hegelo, he was able to give you two squirrel settings.
Luke Jackson, Taylor Rodgers they able supply a squirrel setting.
But for the Philadelphia Phillies, Aaron Nola, despite not being super,

(11:31):
he gives up two runs over the course of four innings,
enough for his team to be able to get to victory,
as was Alvarado, Jeff Hoffman, Matt Strom, Sir Anthony Dominguez
all lend a squirrel setting. In Orion Kierking, he was
able to come in for an inning, did allow a run,
but enough for the Phillies to find a way to
be able to persevere and get it done and also
sell The Colrider Rockies get a very rare win over
the Pittsburgh Pirates, it by a count of three to two.

(11:52):
For the Buckos, they did not get a bad pitching
performance in this one. Out of Martin Perez. He does
give up three runs and five and a third innings,
but both bun from there at Colin Olderman being able
to sply a squirrels setting hundred straight and five outs
out of the bullpen scoreless and Kyle Nicholas also a
scroll is setting as well. But for Colorado they worry
able to get the deep all off of Martin Perez
in the form of Ryan mcmanhnoning his fifth home run season,

(12:12):
and the Pirates couldn't at Cala Quantrill nine punch outs
at seven and two thirds ininey scoreless. He did have
Jake Berg give up a running two thirds and ninety
Jalen Beeks did allow home run to O'Nell Cruz his
fourth home run season. But for the Pirates it's been
a rough go of it for them on offense and
for the Rockies a very rare road win. And if
you're looking at Major League Baseball right now, we have
been seeing a whole heck of a lot of unders

(12:32):
as far as this season was a little bit more
shall we say, balance on Friday, but that said, overall
for the season unders earning at fifty four point and
fifty one hunders to two hundred and thirteen overs. Meanwhile,
if you're looking at road teams, they are two forty
four and two forty four on the money line. This
is about the first time that they've been five hundred
dolls season long, as you've been noticing that favorites have

(12:53):
been able to do a relatively solid job over the
last seven days in baseball fifty three and forty eight
on the money line. The win percentage overall for the
season very similar at too eighty two and two hundred
straight up. But that' said, over the last seven days,
we've been seeing a lot of hundreds fifty four under
thirty one overs and I believe that we have gotten
along the way like four or five pushes as well.
So that was what we're seeing in baseball right now,

(13:13):
and that's what we all got in baseball on Friday,
and coming next, how about if we continue to take
a look at some of these trends of baseball, what's
been out, what's been cold? Who are some of the
most and least profitful pitchers out there in the big weeks.
We'll do so next right here on the Baseball Betting Shows,
myself Greg Peterson, now a park the Vison.

Speaker 1 (13:28):
Family podcast, breaking down every game every day in Major
League Baseball. This is the Baseball Betting Show. Here is
your host, Greg Peterson.

Speaker 2 (13:40):
I well, thank you, love me Las Vegas for the
Baseball Betting Show with myself, Greg Peterson, now part of
the Vison family and podcasts. We're gonna be going a
little bit guest free today because I always like to
do this. Sat right around about the one month, the
five or so week point of the season. Just take
a look at some of the trends that we are getting,
take a look at what's been profitable, it's been not

(14:01):
profitable thus far, and try to learn a little bit
from it, because I do feel like we're starting to
get a little bit more data and now we're able
to decipher it just a little bit better to be
able to extract a little bit of profit from it.
So let's dive in here, and if you're looking at
some of your most profitable teams in baseball thus far
this season looked up further than the old Oakland Triple
A says. As we know for the Oakland A's ay

(14:23):
came in with a lot of people having very little expectations,
and truth be told, I'm doing this right around about
six thirty pm Pacific time on Fridays to some of
these results that we did see on Friday are not
going to be attributed with regards to this. But if
you just take a look at the money that you've
been making on the Oakland A's. If you've been one
hundred dollars on every one of their money lines as
far this season, you're up actually three hundred and ninety

(14:46):
eight dollars, which that's not too bad. If you take
a look at the entire landscape of the American League,
there have only been two teams that entered into Friday
more profitable than them, the Botimorioles, and that's just because
they got off to a blistering nineteen and ten start.
And when you're nineteen eight ten, unless if you're getting
like La Dodgers like numbers, you're probably gonna be relatively profitable.
And then obviously the Cleveland Guardians. The Cleveland Guardians have

(15:08):
been krem day lakrem this far this season. You haven't
been getting them as like massive underdogs, but at the
same time, you've been getting some fair prices. You're not
laying a whole lot of juice with them. If you
bet the Cleveland Guardians on the money lines for every
single game thus far this season, you're up seven iron
and seventy one dollars. If you're trying to guess who's
number two in the big leagues. In terms of your
most profitful teams entering into the day on Friday, that'd

(15:30):
be the Milwaukee Burers. If you bet them on the
money line for every single game that's far this season,
you're up seven iron sixty five dollars. And what you're
gonna find with a lot of these teams as well.
This far this season, not a lot of teams have
been profitable at home, but a lot of teams have
been profitable on the road. I think that could be
just the way that the schedules shaping up. It also
is a little bit of a case where home field

(15:50):
advantage when it comes to baseball, it's not quite what
you're gonna find in like college basketball, where you've got
a bunch of screaming fans that are just yelling, hooting
and hollering when you're trying to shoot free throws or
anything like that. But you saw it entering into the
day on Friday on the money line. Road teams have
it at a little bit north of fifty percent road
teams overalls. I record this two forty and two thirty
four straight up. So if you've actually had more wins

(16:13):
on the road than you've had wins at home as
far as the season, So these teams have actually been
able to build you quite a bit of profit when
you have been taking these underdogs as favorites. They entered
into the day right around about fifty eight point one percent.
So if you've been betting on a lot of these underdogs,
a lot of these underdogs have been able to come
through for you. So that's been something interesting to dive
in on this season. Now, if you're looking for your
least rawfuel teams in all baseball, I don't think that

(16:35):
you have to sit there home and ha and try
to wonder where they are. Like the Miami Marlins, by
far the least profitable team out there in the National League.
If you've bet hundred dollars on every single one of
their games as far this season, you're down one, four
hundred and ninety five dollars. Like they have been favorites
in quite a few circumstances as far this season, they
have lost as favorites, they have lost as underdogs. As
a matter of fact, they are one and nine as

(16:57):
a favorite thus far this season. So that's you've been
a little bit less than terrific, to say the least Meanwhile,
for the La Dodgers, you're actually down two hundred and
fifty eight dollars if you bet on them on the
money line and each out of their first thirty two
games of the season, and it's a big reason why
that's one of those teams that I do encourage you
to take a little bit more of a run line
approach on because for the LA Dodgers, if you date

(17:18):
it back to the start of the twenty twenty two season,
they have won during the regular season two hundred and
thirty games, and all but thirty six of them have
been by multiple runs. So when you lay a run
and a half, if you lose out right, you save
a whole bunch of juice. Meanwhile, if you win those
games in some cases like in this series against the
Atlanta Braves, you're actually gonna be getting plus money on

(17:38):
those wins. So that is something that I do take
a look at, and I do very much encourage if
you're looking at other teams that have just been rough
to say the least. Obviously, the colrad Rockets have been
laying your money on fire if you bet them on
the money line, and every win in their games as
far the season you're down one and thirty five dollars,
and they're minus eight fifty five on the money line
on the road. That is the second worst team in

(17:59):
the Big League, says the Chicago White Sox. If you
bet every one of their money lines on the road,
you're down one one hundred dollars and for the Chicago
White Sox you're down fourteen and twenty dollars if you've
bet the money line on everyone their games. As far
the season, which interestingly, going to Friday, the Miami Marlins
are actually less profitable than the Chicago White Sox just
because when the White Sox win, you've actually been able
to get some better plus numbers on them. But that

(18:21):
has been something that has been very interesting. But also
I always think that it's interesting to take a look
at the most and least profitable pitchers out there in
baseball with regards to the starting pitchers. And this is
once again, just like I was doing previously, looking at
this in terms of one hundred dollars bets. That is
what I'm looking at right now with regards to all
these numbers that I'm throwing out there. It's just on
a one hundred dollars bet, case by case situation, and

(18:43):
right now your most profitable pitcher going into Friday Druvor Williams.
He's really been able to cash for you thus far
this season of the Washington Nationals. You're up six hundred
and forty three dollars if you've bet on the money
line for him and each out of his six starts. Now,
the one thing that I will say is that you're
gonna have someone like a Cooper Criswell, who I believe
that the Red Sox have on every one of his
three starts. That doesn't include when he is an opener.

(19:04):
So this is something to where you might need a
date of mine a little bit more if you're trying
to find out a little bit more about that. But
the Nationals have had a few profitable guys. Trevor Williams
and Mitchell Parker are actually in the top three in
terms of most powerful pitchers. As for Parker, if you
bet on him on the money line and each out
of his three starts, you have five hundred and eighty
seven dollars. Part of that is because he was like
a three dollars underdog and that started against the Led Doughters.

(19:24):
But you know what, he's been able to really get
you to the window. And then I don't think that
it should come as much of a shock. Few of
these Oakland A's guys have been able to make you
some good money. Paul Blackburn, who we're going to be
seeing on Saturday, has been the chief among them. If
you bet on Paul Blackburn on the money line and
each out of his six starts as far as the
season as a one hundred dollars better, you're up five
hundred and four dollars. So he's been able to do
a nice job there. Alex Wood, if you bet on

(19:46):
him on the money line and each out of his
seven stars, you're up three hundred and four dollars there.
And in terms of the bigger name pictures, typically you're
not going to be finding them towards the top, especially
not during the beginning part of the season, because you're
oftentimes laying numbers with them. I would say, out of
the sign contenders, they're really the loan two that you're
gonna be finding towards the top of this list. Rangers
War as Freddy Peralta, you're up between four and sixty
five and four and eighty five dollars if you bet

(20:08):
the money line on these two guys in their first
six starts of the season. But you're gonna notice that
a lot of these bigger names, you just don't get
as much profit because when you're having a lay like
a minus one fifty, that's different than when you're getting
plus numbers. And as a matter of fact, if you're
looking at some of these bigger name guys on the
money line, sometimes you can get burned. Like if you
bet Hunter Green on the money line and each out
of his first six starts of the season, this is

(20:29):
with the Friday Star pending, you're down four hundred dollars. Now,
it should come as no sort of shock. A lot
of these lesser teams, if you bet on them on
the money line with their starters, they have been not
so great. Like right now, the least profitable pictures in
the big leagues are Andrew Heeney and Trevor Rodgers. They
have both made six starts, then neither has really been
successful in any of those six starts. If you bet
Androwheney on the money line four hundred dollars and its

(20:50):
six starts, you're down six hundred dollars. For Trevor Rodgers,
you're down six hundred dollars and his six starts. Hunter Brown,
if you bet on him on the money line and
each out of his six starts, you're down four on
forty three dollars. Sinasters have only been able to win
one of them, and you're noticing a lot of love
for the Chicago White Sox on this list. Mike Soroka,
Garrett Crochet, both of these guys, if you bet on
them on the money line and their starts, you're down

(21:11):
four hundred plus dollars in the case of Garrett Crochet
four hundred forty dollars in their start, So that has
been relatively rough. Aj Puck if you've bet on him
on the money line in each out of his fourth starts,
you're down four hundred dollars. So there's a lot of
that that is going on right now. But you're noticing
a lot of these more mainstream starters. They're more middle
of the road. You're not profiting a ton, and you
might be down a little bit. Like Luis Cassie. If

(21:32):
you've bet on him in his seven starts as far
the season, you're down one hundred and fifty seven dollars.
Patrick Korba. By the way, entering into the day on Friday,
if you bet on him on the moundy line and
each out of his six starts, you're only down one
hundred and thirteen dollars. And he was actually one of
your more profitable pitchers a season ago. So don't let
the name fool you. As sometimes some of these guys
that you think are big giant fades, they're not as
big as fades as say Trevor Rodgers, as say Hunter Brown.

(21:55):
So I always think that that's something that is very
important to be keeping in mind. And if you're looking
at the trends of baseball in terms of totals, certainly
the under has been one that we've been taking a
look at, and I do my best to be able
to keep you guys informed on this on a day
in a day out basis. But right now, that top
over team and all baseball has been the Milwaukee Brewers.
And a lot of these top over teams are teams
that you wouldn't expect, like the Baltimore Oriols being at

(22:16):
number four entering the day on Friday, sixteen overs, twelve unders,
three pushes. That makes sense. They leave the big leagues
in terms of home runs, they've been a pretty rock
solid offense. But for the Tampa Bay Rays reason why
they've been such a good over team, they're bothpen one
of the worst in all the big leagues with regards
to their ear eighteen over thirteen overs in a push,
and then in the case of the Cleveland Guardians and
the Milwaukee Brewers being your top two over teams, that's

(22:37):
just because there were very low expectations for both of
these offenses. Like I'll admit it, with the Milwaukee Brewers,
I thought that they were going to stink on ice
at the plate. As far as this season, they've been
able to surprise well that half staying power. I think
that you take a fifty to fifty approach with that.
They and the Cleveland Guardians, I don't think that they're
as great as their offense would seem to indicate from
the raw numbers as far this season. At the same time,

(22:58):
I don't think that these are going to be team
that are going to be just falling back down and
are going to be like bottom five offenses like we
were seeing towards the back half of last season with Cleveland.
With Milwaukee, they were a little bit better last year,
but as we know, they had some moving pieces in
the offseason as well and are currently dealing with an
injury to Christian Yelich. But I do think that that's
fascinating to take a look at well, that top under team.
I need to make sense. The Seattle Manners entering into

(23:19):
the day on Friday twenty two hundred seven overs two pushes.
They're starting pitching has been absolutely amazing. Their offense has
done absolutely nothing whatsoever. That's one that very clearly makes sense. Meanwhile,
the Kancay Royals are actually number two, even though they've
been a up half of the big league's team with
regards to their run production, but the starting in rotation
with guys like Michael Walka with Seth Lugo, they've really

(23:40):
been able to do a nice job holding down the
ford end. Their bullpen not completely blowing games has been
a very very pleasant surprise. And always who wanted to
take a look at some home and road splits as well,
because there are some ballparks that are a little bit
more hitter friendly, some that are a little bit more
pitcher friendly. Because once again Seattle, they have the highest
home under rate in all Baseball. The San Francisco Giants
their number two IOWA. We talk about these West Coast ballparks,

(24:01):
and for the most part, they do typically yield quite
a few unders. Los Angeles is an exception. Eleven overs,
four unders and a push for them at home thus
far this season. They've actually been your top over team
at home thus far this season. But that's mainly because
the li Dodgers, they just have that test star lineup
and they're able to slug it out time and time again.
And if you're looking at a team that does get
a little bit negatively affected by their offensive numbers at home,

(24:24):
actually you've got a pair of them, the Mets and
the Giants. They play at two very sneaky picture friendly ballparks. Meanwhile,
if you look at them on the road, they've been
able to rack up some nice offensive numbers. For the
Giants entering into Friday tenovers and six hunderds on the
road that's far this season. The Mets eight overs four
unders on the road thus farthest season as well. So
I do think that these are things that you want
to be taking a look at, and I always do
want to be trend spotting on this podcast. So hopefully

(24:46):
enjoyed this and if you want to hear a little
bit more of it at ganet arnerscuiredy one on Twitter
slash x. If you like this segment, and if you
don't like this segment, also say at ginat arnderscoriredy one
don't do this again. But that said, I like to
do this every year after about the five or is
so weak of the season, just to see what we're
getting and while we're getting next on the podcasts picks
an analysis on every game I'm betting board for this

(25:06):
Baseball Saturday and as we got.

Speaker 1 (25:08):
Them off, breaking down every game every day in Major
League Baseball. This is the Baseball Betting Show. Here is
your host, Greg Peterson.

Speaker 2 (25:20):
Umber Rank you love me Las Vegas for the Baseball
Betting Shoe with myself Greg Peterson now part of the
Visa family and podcasts, and it is always great to
be joined by our good friend Danny Vieta who does
great work over at CBS Sports taking a look at
this great game that we all know and love. I
know that he does a tremendous job with a Wake
and Raak podcast as well, which we'll find that wherever
your podcasts every single time he joins the show, I

(25:42):
feel like we come a little bit more enlightened about
this great game of baseball, and it's always pleasure to
having them a board. Big thanks to Danny for joining
me in the last segment. Now it is that time
the podcast. I give you picks an analysis on every
game on the betting board for this Baseball Saturday, as
we touch them all.

Speaker 1 (25:56):
If a game is listed on the betting board, Greg
has a side and a toll on it, so it
is time to touch them all.

Speaker 2 (26:02):
You know that as pretty usual, any changes that are
made to these plays, we'll be listed up on my
Twitter slash x feed at you and under forty one
we are going to be going in lass segassertation order.
And this is where we got the National League games first,
then the American League games, any inter league games, those
are going to be at the bottom. That'll keep things
all nice, sneak, clean and easy. So without further ado,
let's I have in on this first game. It is

(26:23):
nine to fifty one, nine fifty two on the card.
The Milwaukee Brewers at their other facing gap against the
Chicago says James Atian goes for the Cubs and you
got Tobias Myers on the bump for the Milwaukee Burs,
and for the Burs, you'll find them many were between
plus one oh five to plus one ten. Meanwhile, between
minus one twenty to minus one twenty five. That is
your number on the Cubbies with no total up on

(26:44):
this game. This is a Wrigley Field game, so it
is all going to be based on the wind. And
that said, I'd be willing to go up to a
minus one fifteen year with the Cubs. Would need at
least a plus one fifteen to take a shot on
the Milwaukee Burds. So we're going to see which way
this line moves. And currently with that no total up
on this game, we don't have any run lines, So
it could become a play where I just lay a

(27:05):
run and a half with the Cubs, thinking that there's
gonna be a little bit of volatility year because it
looks like the wind is gonna be blowing out a
little bit, not overly hard, but like six eight miles prowurd.
So as a result, I did something total more around
a nine point two to wear a nine or less.
I'll be taking a look at the over nine and
a half hire. The under for James Totian has been
quite a bit of a pitch of contact guy the
last few years, and I think that strakecoun numbers are

(27:27):
going to go up a little bit from this, but
just signs strakeouts in eighteen innings as far the season now,
he's been incredibly sharp. He has given up approximately one
and run and each out of his three starts as
far this season, giving up just three walks in eighteen innings.
And for Tobias Myers, young gun has come in, he's
been able to show some good command and his son
Ennings small sample size, has only given up one walk. Now.

(27:47):
He has given up three home runs as far the season,
so he has certainly been giving up the deep bal
just a touch. But he did have to go up
against the New York Yankees in that start. That's not
necessarily the easiest has for a young guy like this.
And for Tobias Myers, I do think that overall he
does have a little bit of an upside, and he
is backed up by a lineup that has been one
of the best in the big leagues at being able
to just really support him. In general, if you look

(28:08):
at what Myers did at the minor league level of
season ago. You could tell that he was a little
bit raw, but he did have eleven plus strakeouts two
about three bucks per nine and Ennings. And for the Burrs,
they just have a lot of youth in general. I mean,
along with your starting pitcher, you've got guys like Blake Perkins,
sire able throwing their self free, like Joey Ortiz, who
have really been big parts of the lineup thus far
this season. All these guys giving you at least really

(28:31):
a three twenty on base. Jackson Tario has just not
been able to move the line, but he does have
four home runs thus far this season. At some point
the Birds should be getting chrisian Yellish back and full,
but that has been negatively affecting the offense. You've got
the William Domas who's been able to move the line
much better this year about a three seventy on base
six home runs. William Catrez has been able to give
you north up a four hundred on base as well,
And all in all, it's a Burs team that does

(28:52):
rank in the top six in the big League with
regards to runs per game. Newmell for the Cubs they
got off to a nice start to the season on offense,
but now dealing with the injuries to see a Suzuki
couple with Cody Bellinger that has been negatively affecting the scene.
He still to have guys that are able to get
on base. Michael Bullish, Mike Takman, Nico Horner are all
in at least a two seventy en. In the case
of Michael Bushy, he's been able to fly six home runs,

(29:12):
but he and Christopher Morell really the lone two guys
that are currently healthy and in the starting lineup. They
are giving you North a three home runs. This lineup
has been relatively powerless, but win blowing out should be
able to help up both of these offenses. And for
the Cubs, you did see the bullpen rear its ugly
ed yesterday. They're in the bottom ten the big leagues
with regards to bullpen e Ra and Barrelsley has been
a little bit of a disappointment. You've got Colton Brewer

(29:34):
who's posted up north of a four ERA like what
I've seen out of Mark Lader Junior. He's been able
to fly sub one ERA, but on all it has
been a bullpen that has been a little bit rough
and for the birds. If you look at the rock
era it's onn STAL two compressive, but got the likes
of Phoebie Millner, Joe Pyams, Elvis Piero all been able
to fly a sub three era since beginning part of
the twenty twenty three campaign. Brian Hudgson has been very

(29:55):
good in this bullpen as well. But certainly I do
think that James Tatian a little bit more advanced to
my Myers as a pitcher and has been along a
little bit less hard contact. So circumstance where at a
minus one thirteen or less, I see my official anti
caapint of minus one fourteen, would be willing to go
with cubs plus one fifteen or higher. Looking at the birds,
and then with regards to total nine or less, I'd
like the over nine and a half high or the

(30:15):
under nine fifty three and nine to fifty four On
the backing board. The Colrado Rockies are on the road.
They're facing off against the Pittsburgh Priates. Says Jared Jones,
goes for the buck, goes in Austin gomber hopes and
not get gambered. Up by the Pirates. He goes for
the Colorrado Rockies. Seven and a half to eight is
a total on the seven a half overs between minus
one fifteen to a mins one twenty, the understanding between
even and minus one oh five. Meanwhile, in the eight

(30:35):
hundress minus one twenty and the overs even Pirates are
between minus one ninety two minus two oh five. Favorites
plus one seventy to plus one eighty is your number
on Colorado And for Colorado I needed at least so
plus two eighteen to be able to take a shot there.
If you're looking to lay a run half with the
Pittsburgh Priates right now, that run line is the plus
one time. I'm willing to take plus money to lay
a run half. Jared Jones has been absolutely tremendous at

(30:57):
striking guys out thus far this season. He has come
in and he's got a strikeouts per nine rate that
is north of eleven. His command has also been there
as well, with just five walks across thirty four innings
as far this season. So this guy has really been
able to do a nice job. And in his two
starts at home he has given up three home runs,
but he's given up just three runs in total, so
all that he's given up is three Solome runs. And

(31:17):
now he gets to go up against the Colrad Rockies
lineup that has been one of the most powerless in
the big leagues as far this season. You've got two
guys would be able to fly four home runs entering
into Friday. That would be Michael Taglia, who hasn't seen
it a bet in like two weeks, and Ryan McMahon,
So that's a little bit less than savory. And I
will say for McMahon Elias he is Brenton Doyle. These
are all the guys gitting at least a two ninety.
But if you look at the Baseball Savant numbers for

(31:38):
the Rockies, they entered into Friday with a two thirty
eight average. They're actually overachieving more than any other team
in the big leagues according to Baseball Sabat with their
expected batting average. So they've actually been lucky did at
two thirty eight and have the offense that they've had,
And that's scary when you consider the fact that you've
got the likes of Nolan Jones, Charlie Blackman, Elierius Monteto.
When he's been out there. Chris Bryant's currently injured, allading

(32:01):
below two twenty. Meanwhile, for the Pittsburgh Pirates, they've had
a tough time putting back to ball this year as well.
You've got a three yeero guys that'll be able to
give at least a three forty nine on base, Brian
as Connor, Joe Brian Reynolds. These guy's been relatively solid,
and in the case of Brian Reynolds, he's been able
to fly four home runs as far as season, but
his team has collective hitting just a two twenty seven.
You just see to get a little bit more on

(32:22):
these guys like Rowdy tell As throwing there, Andrew mccutche
and jackx Winnisky, Jared Troolo. These are galla guys hitting
a two to seventeen or lower. And for the Pirates,
I did expect a little bit more of the bullpen.
David Bennart, rold As Chapman entered into the weekend with
the north of a five Yari. Colin Ollerman has been
tremendous for the team. He's been able to holder it down,
He's been able to give the team a sub but

(32:43):
three eer so that has been pretty solid, but without
Ryan Barrooki in the fold, they have been suffering. But
for the Coyrad Rockys, this is also a bottom eight
team in terms of their bullpenny area. Victor Vodnik has
actually been a nice fine for them, but the l
likes of Tyler Kinley, Anthony Molina posting up north of
a five era Jake Bird, being all over the place
in Jalen Beaks and becoming one of the more trustworthy
guys in this bullpen that it's a little bit less

(33:03):
and trenmendous I will say Frost and Gomber, even though
he's not a strikeout guy over the last few years,
he's been halfway decent on the road as far this season,
though he's only made two starts on the road, three
home runs, seven runs a total give it up in
his sen Ennings that has been a little bit less
than Savory and Frostin Gomber he only gets about seven
strikecouts for nine and Ennings gives up North to three
walks for nine innings allows a lot of our contact
in general. Looks like he was starting to turn around

(33:25):
towards the beginning part of twenty twenty four into late
twenty twenty three, but that is really weird. It's ugly.
I do think that the Pirates are going to be
able to get to this Rockies team, and they're bad
bull and I do think that the Rockies do get
into the Pirates bullpen a little bit as well, which
has been a little bit shockingly bad. I did something
total at eight point one, so I do like this
total over. But for the Pirates getting plus money to
lay a run half, I'm gonna be looking there. Nine

(33:46):
fifty five, nine fifty six on the Baggy Boarth. The
Philadelphia Phillies are playing out San Francisco Giants as Keaton
Win goes for the Giants and Rangers forrez is on
the bump for the Phillis Phillies between minus one sixty
five to minus one seventy five favorites anywhere between plus
one and forty three US one fifty two. That's your
number on San Francisco. Seven a half is a total
over his mines one fifteen and the under is minus
one o five did tell my total aut at eight

(34:07):
point one. I do like the over. Ranger Swarez has
been absolutely remarkable for this Philly team. Can't help but
think that there's going to be a little bit of
aggression to a one thirty two era, though fielding depend
is a little bit higher than that, but it's honestly
not much higher. To be able to get nine strikecouts
for nine nunnings, his walks per nine rate is hardly
above one. He is not allowing any deepels whatsoever with

(34:29):
just the three home runs and forty one innings. Meanwhile,
Keaton Winn has kept the ball in the yard as well.
He's giving up leus and zero point nine home runs
per nine nunnings. That's on a solid job just being
able to be a bit more of a picture contact guy,
as he's got twenty eight strike cuts at thirty four innings,
so about seven alft sis strike cuts per nine and nunnings,
but I have both at home and on the road.
Has posedly got a sub three five ERA, so he's
been relatively consistent, despite the fact that San Francisco much

(34:50):
more picture friendly than the confines that he travels to.
But for the Giants, this lineup just in general has
been very inconsistent. You do have a trio of guys
in Michael co four along with Ario Strada or it's Hilaire,
I'll give you between four and five home runs a piece,
or in their match Chapman as well, who's got four
home runs. But for Chapman a lot to Strada. Both
of these guys a sub two seventy five on base.

(35:10):
You haven't gotten a lot of walks out of this lineup.
In general. I will say Patrick Bailey is done a
solid job when he's been out there, three home runs
and eighty at bads, hitting for about at three forty
on base, and then Lamontway Junior thinking about the three hundred.
But I just don't have a lot of guys in
general that are able to move the line. And part
of the reason why I just can't combine the San
Francisco Giants is that they are at the bottom of
the National League in terms of their Bullpenny Array. Taylor

(35:31):
and Tyl Laura Rodgers have not been too bad this season.
But when you're bringing you guys like Landon Rop who
I think is currently on the injury list, Luke Jackson,
these are guys when they're at a five yarra, they
have been less than tremendous. If you can get to
Camellia do all, that's great. But they oftentimes have not
been able to do so. And with the Phillies, this
has been a bottom sixteen in terms of bullpenny array themselves.
But we know this. With the Phillies, it always feels

(35:53):
like they have a rough month of April with regards
their bullpen and then they pick it up from there.
Sir Aantheon de Minguez, osell Ra, Gregory Sota, these are
guys with a track record of success. I do think
that they're going to be able to pick it up
a little bit. They bring in Osea Ruiz, who is
spending a little bit of time with the Arizona Diamondbacks.
I think that that could be a little bit of
an upside get for them as well. Jeff Hoffman has
so been relatively solid for this team as well. And

(36:15):
when it comes to the Phillies lineup, you've got Alex
Boham and Trey Turner down for what a pair of
guys have been able to hit north of a three
twenty five for this team, and they've been able to
do a nice job and be able to play some
boom with Bom being able to give you four home
runs as far this season, and then Brandon Marsh t Rento,
Bryce Harper all between five to six home runs apiece.
For these three guys as well, you've got Kyle Schroerbers
still hitting for like a two ten is at the

(36:36):
lead off spot but is applying a lot of power
as well. But for the Philadelphia Phillies, this has been
one of the most fearsome offenses in the Big leagues.
I think that both of these bullpens are going to
give up their fair share of runs. So I did something.
I tell at eighty point one they're going to at
the you over. But I certainly do think that Rangers
four is going to be by far the better picture here.
If you're looking at lay a run half of the
Phillies currently, you're getting that at a plus one twenty
four's well take a plus one zer eight or higher.

(36:56):
So want to lay a run half with the Philadelphia Phillies,
and I'm going to be taking a look at the
sold all over nine to fifty seven, nine to fifty
eight on the bank board. The Aarzon, the Diamondbacks a
playoffs to the San Diego Padre, says Michael Ganing hopes
to be the king for the Padres and Brandon Fott
is on the bump for Arizona. Arizona is a minus
one sixteen to a minus one twenty five favorite any
between plus one oh five plus one ten as your number.
On San Diego nine being the total. The over and

(37:18):
the under are both at minus one ten and for
the Diamondbacks, I'm willing to lay up to a minus
one twenty six with them, so gonna be willing to
roll with it. For Brandon Fought, he had a few
tough starts towards the beginning part of the season. I
know that one of them was against the Alane of Braves,
which is incredibly understandable. But ever since he got recalled
the second time from the minor Leagus has been posting
up a sub fort era and swinging his stuff has

(37:40):
been up quite a bit this year. He's getting about
ten straight cuts for nine nunnings, all while giving up
fear of the two Boks ber nine nunnings. He has
now given up two hundred uns, a few in each
out of his last restarts, so it looks like he's
really starting to hone In has been hurt a little
bit by the deep all but you've got a potres
lineup that in general has been a little bit at
or miss the season. Fernando Tatis Junior has been able
to give you six home runs, but he's had a
little bit of a difficult time reaching basis. He's hitting

(38:02):
about at two thirty five, and then Sandra Bogarts has
just given you nothing to am run. Sitting about a
two seventeen, you expect more though. They do have guys
that have been able to do a solid job, will
be able to find a way to get on base.
Corona Worth of Wise, Campusano, Jackson, Merrill. These are all
guys hitting between about a two sixty five to two
to seventy tricks and Profar north of a four to
thirty on base and has been able to fly for
him runs while many but Shadow has been started disappointing

(38:24):
this year. Forum runs sitting about a two fifty, just
expect a little bit more there. Padre's back up there
starter in mister Michael King with a bullpen that hasn't
been great, hasn't been terrible, has been about lake average
though Yuki matt zuweiy Wandi Parolta and Yelder Los Santos
Heeds have been solid ads and Roberts Warez hit him
at the closer spot this year for the Padres has
been much better than Josh Hader has been for the
few scenasts, so that's been a little bit of a positive.

(38:47):
But for Michael King, he's either been incredibly on or
incredibly off. He has been quite inconsistent with his starts
as far rocking right now in era that's hovering right
around five. But swinging miss stuff, it certainly has been there.
He's been able to get about ten stric aspern problem
is he's given up ten home runs at thirty six innings,
as just absolutely remarkable as he comes in and his
last four starts having given up eight total home runs,

(39:08):
grand some of them came against the Philadelphia Phillies and
the LA Dodgers, so I do think that there should
be a little bit of positivity there. But the walks
have started to creep up as well. It's given up
at least two walks in each out of his last
four starts as well, and his walks per nine rate
is hovering right around five. So he has been a
little bit over the place. When he's on, he's on.
When he's off, he's off. And I do think that
the AARs in the Diamondbacks are going to be able
to do a solid job of being able to get

(39:28):
to them. This Diamonbacks lineup does have a tree of guys.
They have given at least five home runs as far
the season, Lord of Scuriel, ktel Marte along Christian Walker,
and for Walker he's been able to fly about a
three ninety on base mad Jake McCarthy find a way
to be able to get on base. He's sitting about
a two eighty five and then plays Alexander Jock Peterson.
Both of these guys are four hundred base more. Both
of these guys hitting north of the three hundred, So

(39:50):
you do love to see that. And for the years
under Diamondbacks, they're doing all this well. Corman Carroll just
has not necessarily been himself thus far this season. Now,
I will say this about Arizona against right end and pitching,
they're only inning at two to fourteen. As a collective,
the Diamondbacks have absolutely been raking against left handed pitching.
Against the righties, it's been a little bit more of
a role that Ice and for the Padres, fortunately Michael

(40:12):
King he is a righty. But that said, I do
think that for the years in the Diamondbacks are going
to be able to get a good start out of
Brandon Fought. I do think that both of these bullpens
are going to be serviceable for the Diamondbacks. They're right
round about the gaverage is slightly below average in terms
of their bullpenny right Joe Mantiply, it's not been the
guy that he has been in past years, and for
Scott McGough it has been a rough past few seasons
for them. But Ben Jarvis says a little bit of

(40:33):
a long guy, He's been able to do a solid job.
Kevin Ginkle has been able to do a nice job
of holding down the ford as well. So did somebody
total at eight point nine here at the nine. I
do like the under end for the years in the Diamondbacks,
so I'm going to be one to lay with them.
Want to go up to a minus one twenty six
with the Snakes nine fifty nine, nine to sixty on
the banking board. The Elle Dodgers are going to be
playing oc Atlanta Braves as Bryce elder Go's for the
Bravos and Tyler Glasnow is on the bump for the

(40:54):
Dodgers and for the Dodgers you're going to be find
them as a favorite of any between minus one sixty
to minus one seven between plus one forty plus one
fifty two is your number. On Atlanta. Nine is a
totally under his minus one fifteen and the over his
minus one of five. It's time, I tell at nine
point one, I'm gonna be looking at this little over.
For Tyler Glass now, he's been leading the leagainst strikeouts.
He's really done a nice job of being able to

(41:16):
just put guys away very easily, all without giving out
a lot of walks as well. For Tyler glassow he's
got a strikeout to walk ratio that as well above
three thus far this season one point one strikeouts, two
point five walks for nine and nings. But for Tyler
Glass now, now he does have to go up against
an Inlanta Braves scene that led the big leagues with
regards to runs per game a season go, and this
is going to be a suffistass of the campaign. We've

(41:36):
already seen him lose it a little bit against the
Washington Nationals, so it is capable of being done to
be able to get to him. And for the Atlanta Braves,
I fully expect this offense to be able to pow
more bombs than they had entering into the series. He
had just twenty nine home runs in the first twenty
nine games of the season, with Marcelo Zuna really leading
the way nine home runs, he's about a four hundred
on base, so he's been able to do a pretty
quality job there. But that's a past set. You've been

(41:59):
able to have. Ronald Cooney Junior just not be able
to duplicate the same amount of power they had eight
season ago. One home run, but it's still giving you
about a three seventy on base. And that's the thing.
Even though the Braves have not been able to generate
home runs, you have plenty of guys that are doing
a nice shot but be able to find a way
on base. You've got Michael Harris, Travis Darnat, Jered Kelnick.
I'll see Alby's allowing at least a two eighty for
the spot. Pretty much. All these guys give you at

(42:20):
least a three forty on base as well. Austin Riley
has been struggling out of the gate along with Matt Wilson,
but you know that these guys are going to be
able to find it and then one through six for
the li Dodgers is so fear so you need a
little bit more of these guys like Kevin Lolox, James Oltman,
Chris Taylor hitting below the middle sign of a two hundred.
But they've been able to get this young gun outfielder
in and Andy Pages, who's in a night show. I'll

(42:41):
be about to see him out as Showy Tani Bookie
bets I combined thirteen home runs entering into the series,
with Bets giving you a four eighty one on base
Otani more around a four hunderd t Oscar Nandez and
supplied six home runs Freddy Freeman, Will Smith. They're both
giving you an on base percentage north of a three
to ninety. So for the Dodgers, the top end of
the lineup has been very, very good, but with the
Doddres this has been more of a league average bullpen

(43:02):
thus far this season. They're hoping that JP fire ice
and can get back to that guy that was so
good for the Tampa Bay Rays a few seasons ago.
Evan Phillips has been amazing at the closer spot, but
Joe Kelly has honestly been great because Varland is not
a guy that he necessarily trusted too much. Alex Vesia
can be a little bit of a roll that ice
as well. And for the Atlanta Braves this has been
an above average bullpen in terms of VRA thus far

(43:22):
the season. Jesse Chavez has been very nice as a
long guy. You've had likes of Dylan Lee, Joe Amenez,
Pierce Johnson be able to give you a SOMEB three
five yara, though Tyler Madsik has honestly been too tremendous
in his own right. The big issue that you do
have with the Braves is the fact that Bryce Elder
he looks very very do in for regression, though I
was saying that about him last year as well. For

(43:43):
Bryce Elder, last year he had a three D one
year eight compared to a four to forty two fielding independent,
and thus far this season he's made two starts, He's
won twelve innings, He's got a fielding dedependent of three
sixty four and a buck fifty ERA, it's gotten just
four and a half strikeouts per nine and nings as far,
he's given out his fair share of walks four walks
in the first twelve dings of the campaign. Yet somehow,
some way, his strand rate has just been absolutely ridiculous

(44:05):
his first few seasons in the big leagues. I do
think they get sheld a little bit here, and I
do think that the Braves still do put up a
few runs against Tyler Glass. Now, so I did sell
my total nine point one. I'm going to be taking
a look I at this total over, and even though
I do think that Bryce Elder is probably gonna be
giving up quite a few runs, I do take a
look at this ordeal and at a plus one fifty
two or higher, we're just starting to come up on

(44:25):
a plus one fifty two. I'd be willing to take
the Atlanta Braves here at that plus number. So at
a plus one fifty two or higher, that's my bypoint
on the Atlanta Braves on the money line, And I
do like this nine over that sixty one nine sixty
two on the bank board. It's the Detroit Tigers on
the road. They're facing off against the New York Yankees,
says Clark Schmidt is going to be going for the
Yankees and Casey Mice goes for Detroit. Detroit finds themselves
any between plus one thirty five dollars plus one forty

(44:47):
underdogs three minus one fifty to minus one sixty two
is your number on the Yankees. Eight is a total
over and under any between minus one of five to
a minus one fifteen. And with the Yankees, set them
on the money line out of minus one fifty six.
If you're looking at lay a run a half with them,
you're going to be getting right around about a plus
one thirty. My minimum is a plus one twenty eight
to be able to lay a run and a half.
I would be willing to take the run line before

(45:08):
I will take the money line, but it is a
little bit close, says The Detroit Tigers have been one
of your top ten teams in terms of bullpenny area
as far as the season. Problem for them is that
the Yankees are actually number two in terms of bullpenny
ara thus far as you've been able to be in Hamilton,
ron manninaccio be able to build off of the success
that they had a season ago. Luke Weaver has honestly
been very good in the bullpen thus far this season

(45:28):
as well, and then Fling Holmes has been a lockdown closer.
Victor Gonzalez has been able to give some good innings,
So all these guys have really been able to do
a nice job of folding down the ford. Meanwhile, for
Clark Schmid, he just has been such a better pitcher
when he has been in Yankee Stadium rather than away
from home over the last few seasons. As far as
the season, in three starts in Yankee Stadium, has given
up just two home runs, has been able to keep
things relatively manageable. Strikeout numbers are way up from last season.

(45:52):
Last year he's getting about eight a half straightcouts Berni
and nings. He's up to about ten strikeouts bernin and ings,
so he's now given up a little bit more north
of three bucks, Berni and gs. Going up against to
Trey Tigers line up that they're in the bottom half
of the Big leagues and durn near every offensive category.
If you look at the raw amount of runs that
they've been able to put up, they've been consistently getting
to four. Entering into the series, they had gotten to
at least four runs at eleven out of their lives

(46:12):
fifteen games, so that's been encouraging. With Riley Green along
with Marcana both give me at least a three seventy
five on base. These two guys entered into the series
with twelve total home runs, but Spencer Turklesen hitting round
around about a two twenty, not having a single home
run this far this season, and that's been a bit
of an issue for this seam. And then we've got
so many guys that are younger that just have not

(46:32):
been able to step up in general for this seam.
Cole Keith is not a younger guy, but Hovey Bay
has big giant waste of money Parker Meadows, He's guys
hitting both of the Mendol's line two hundred has hurt them,
though I do like what I'm seeing it on win
Seal Perez entered into yesterday with three home runs and
forty seven at bats, hitting right around three hundred, so
that's been very encouraging for the seam. Meanwhile, for the
New York Yankees, Aaron Judge hitting right around the Medue's

(46:53):
line of two hundred entering into the series. That is
a big giant issue for this bunch. They do need
to get him a little bit more online, but he
still has been able to six home runs, and with
Juan Soto being able to give you the eight home
runs that he has, he's been able to provide north
of four to twenty on base. That's been a good
looks Sir Anthony Volpe as Waldo Corberrera really stepped up
as well, have been a little bit more hit or
miss here in the last few weeks. But all in all,

(47:13):
I do like what I'm seeing out of them, and
I do think that for the Tigers, they're going to
be able to get a okay start out of Casey.
Mice's punch outs are just down from when he was
fully healthy a few seasons ago, just eighteen straight cuts
in twenty six and the third innings. Due to all
the injuries, he's had to change up his pic mix
a little bit. The command has been very good. He's
given up just four walks over his last four starts
and has given up two earned runs for few in

(47:34):
each of those last four, though he did get to
go up against the Minnesota Twins and the Pittsburgh Priors
and two of those starts as well, So I take
that with a little bit more of a grain of
self But I don't know, it does feel like he's
starting to be able to write the ship just a
little bit. But that said, even though the Tiger's bullpen
is going to be pretty rock solid. Really, other than
Tyler Holton, all these guys have been able to do
a good job. You've got the likes of Alex Ido
Andrew Schafin throwing there as well Shelby Miller, Alex laying

(47:57):
these guys to paying a sub three five yar A.
I do think that the Yankees are going to be
able to get a bit to mice. I do think
that they're going to do a night shot. I'll be
able to ignite their offense out there in the short
porch at Yankee Stadium. I did something till it at
eight point six, and I do think that the Tigers
continue their consistency on offense. So I do like this
all over and with the Yankees at a plus one
twenty eight or higher, I'm going to be one to
lay a run and a half nine sixty three, nine

(48:18):
to sixty four on the bank board. The Boston Red
Sox hit throw out their facing up against the minutes
at of twins. Bablo Lopez goes for the twins, and
it is old undecided who's on the bump for the
Boston Red Sox. This is a game that's presently off
the board for the Red Sox. You have to figure
that this is going to be some form of a
bullpen game right now. Fangrass is projecting as if Chase
Anderson is going to be getting the start, and I

(48:39):
could see Chase Anderson perhaps having an opener throw them
for him. There's just really not a lot of other
options other than throwing Chase Anderson in this spot, and
you have to figure that in some form or fashion,
he's going to be figuring into the decision in this one.
You last pitch on Thursday, the twenty fifth of April,
and he gave up five runs that he got five out,
so they tried him out for a start in It's
not so great. So I decided to where I'd be

(49:01):
one to lay up to minus one sixty one on
the twins money line, and a plus one twenty five
or higher would be one to lay a run and
a half on the run line. We need at least
plus one sixty three to take shot on the Red
Sox and then a total to wear and in affle less,
I'd like the over nine or higher to the under
without Chase Anderson. The rest of the pitchers in this
game should be relatively solid. If you are indeed getting
Chase Anderson and the bullpen. Justin Slayton has may able

(49:21):
to give you sub two ERA if you could get
to Kenlly Jansen. He's actually done a solid job. And
the closest role Chris Martin has not as he'd been
himself this year after driving a sub two ERA last season.
But these long relievers like Brendan Burn Nadino in company,
I've been able to do a nice job. And for
the Minnesota Twins this is the top eighteen in terms
of their bullpenny aria as well. And now you've got
you on to it on who's coming back in the fold.
I like what I've seen out of a longer guy

(49:43):
and Steven Okurt Caleb, Theobar's back off the injur list
hasn't acually been himself quite yet, but like so of
Cole Stands brock Stewart giving you a sub two fifty ERA,
these guys been relatively solid and for the Minnesota Twins
are going to need their pitching to be very good
because a lineup it's not been great, to say least
as far this season and into the day on Friday,
they armaging about three point eight runs per game. At home,

(50:04):
you do have Edward Jullienn who's been able to give
you seven home runs, and they've been better recently. But
the reason why they've been better recently is that to
their last three series working against the Chicago White Socks
and the other series was against the La Angels. That's
a big reason why a lot of these batting averages
have arisen Overlins. We're going to call it fourteen or
so days. But now you're dealing with Byron Buckson being
out due to an injury. You do get Carlos Korea
back in the foldo. In a small sample size this year,

(50:25):
it's been able to give you about a four hundred
on base, but got the likes of vant Alex kurlaw
fully cast show being able to move the line, giving
you about a two sixty two two seventy average, not
honestly a turn of pop for the seam overall, but
on all they have been able to find a way
to be able to just find a way to move
the line. And for the Boston Red Sox it has
been incredible what Tyler Nil's giving you north of a
four to fifteen on base. He's done a nice job
being able to supply nine home runs thus far as

(50:46):
the season. Big key for them can they get these
young guys to be able to pick it up while
they've got Church and Kassas on the injury list and
Manuel Valdez, Sadine Rafaela, Pablo Reyes, Poppy Dolback, the star,
all the guys sending below the middle sign of runner
by Masatake Yoshida to about a three fifty on base,
not necessary a power guy, but a guy that is
able to move the line for you. You've been able
to get some good production out of Connor Wong when

(51:06):
he's been out there as well. I think about a
three fifty, so that has been very good for this
possible Red Sox team. But they do go up against
so many Pablo Lopez that over the last two seasons
it just feels like he's been a little bit unlucky.
The fielding independent just as not match up with the era.
As for Pablo Lopez, since he has gotten to Minnesota,
he's been able to provide darni or about eleven strikecouts
per nine and ending since blocks per nine or eight

(51:27):
is not too bad. At about a two point two.
Since becoming a member of Minnesota, he's got a three
eighty three ERA compared to a fielding dependent of a
three forty two, and thus far the season four eighty
three ERA three ninety three fielding independent. So I do
think that there's gonna be some positivity there. And if
you do shout out there Anderson and the bullpen, he's
gonna be willing to lay up to a mins one
sixty one on the Twins. On the money line up too,
a plus one twenty five or higher would be one

(51:47):
to lay. Run after need at least the plus one
sixty three to take shot on the red sox, and
then in after less. I'd like the over nine or
higher the under nine sixty five nine sixty six on
the bank board. The La Angels that throw out the
facing off against Clevelan Guardians. Ben Lively goves for the Guardians,
reds goes for the lle Angels. Angels find themselves between
plus one fourteen to plus one twenty five hundred dogs
any between minus one thirty two to minus one thirty five.
That is your number on the Cleveland Guardians. Tillns game

(52:10):
is seven a half to eight on the eight unders
minus one fifteen the overs minus one five on the
seven and a half overs between minus one twenty two
a minus one twenty five, he unders any between even
and plus one five And for the Guardians, I'm gonna
be oneing to lay up to a minus one forty
eight with them. This La Angels lineup is just completely gutted.
Now that you've got Mike Toronda Taylor Ward has really
been able to do. Ninny job is stepping up entered

(52:32):
into the weekend hitting about a two to seventy with
seven home runs. But you look at a lot of
these younger guys like Noah's Chanal zach Netto along with
Mickey Moniak, these guys hitting at two thirty five or
lower with not a lot of power. It's just not
providing you much of anything. For the Angels, I like
what logo Nohapi has been able to do. He's been
able to apply you with north of a three twenty
five on basin. They did have a nice little outburst yesterday,

(52:54):
but I don't know, It's a lineup that I think
is going to be suffering moving forward. Even with Willie
Calhoun getting in to the fold Meanwhile, you've got a
Cleveland Guardians bunch. It has been ranking in the top
six of the big leagues with regards to runs per game.
They've really been able to up their power numbers from
me seas ago. They're not like at the top of
the league or anything like that, but they were by
far dead last in the big leagues last season in

(53:14):
terms of home runs. Now you've got Josh Naylorho's been
living out to that name. He's been able to spy
seven home runs and turned at DSJ. It's spying about
a three forty on base. Andre sa Menez, Stephen Kwan
at the top of the fold. Both of these guys
giving you North with a three fifty five on base
Wall Kwan thinking about a three fifty Gabrielle Reaz has
been able to find a way to get on base.
He will Brandon along with Jose Ramirez in between about

(53:34):
a two thirty five to two fifty. Ramirez has had
drawn a lot of walks, but he's been able to
give you some good power. Bud for the Guardian Sands,
Tyler b to you it's not so terrific on Thursday.
This bullpen has been absolutely lights out. This has been
a top six bullpen in terms of VRA all season long.
Peter says Lucky's out up at the big league level
after he had a nice COVID with the Milwaukee Brewers
about a year or two ago. Manuel Classe is one

(53:56):
of the best closers that you're going to find in
the big leagues. Tim Aaron has been able to do
a nice shop holding on the ford and so many others. Meanwhile,
got an La Angels bunch that it's in the bottom
five in the big leagues with reguards the bullpenny area.
They're relying upon a lot of reclamation projects in the bullpen.
Adam Simber, Hunters Strickland on a c Siarra know is
out currently on the injured list. Amir Garrett, He's have
been guys that just have not been panning out, though

(54:17):
I really like what Reed Demers has been able to do.
He's been able to give you north of eleven strikeouts
ber nine nings sometimes does give up a few more
walks than what you'd like. But alling off for Reed Detmers,
I do think he's gonna be able to go in there,
and I do think that he pitches a little bit
better than Ben Lively in this spot. But that's O
with Ben Lively. He honestly is on a very nice
job as far as the season. He was a Gabi,
a legend back in the day, has come back here

(54:38):
to the States. He's right now getting eleven strikeouts for
nine ns only about one point seven walks, nine and
two ninety five field and can pend hm to a
two thirty e R and his three. Starts to think
that we're gonna see a little bit of regression with that.
But even last year he had eight strike cuts to
two and a half walks for nine and nnings. His
main issue was giving up the deep ball. He seems
to have been able to fortify that a little bit
more with this La Angels lineup. I don't think that
you're gonna have a ton of hard contact so circumstance

(55:00):
where I did set the Guardians out of minus one
forty eight, I'm gonna be willing to roll with them
on the money line, and I did tell my tole
at eight point four. I do think the Denver is
gonna start to see a little regression in and for
the Sell Angels bullpen it has not been tremendous, So
I do like the over, and I do like the
money line of the Cleveland Guardians up to about a
minus one forty seven nine sixty seven nine to sixty
eight on the bank board. The Walker Texas Rangers h
throw the facing off against the Kanci Royals. This will

(55:21):
be the DCNA work. Right up, Pick as you've got
Michael Waka and hopefully for our sake, he's not Michael
Waka Waka waka wakaw walk. That's a dying pac Man
voice going for the Royals. Meanwhile, Dane Dunning looks at
get her. Dunning for Texas. Texas is back to being
a favorite of any retreem minus one o nine to
minus one fifteen. Any between minus one on one to
minus one of five is the number on Kansas City.
Nine is a total over and under any retree minus

(55:43):
one of five MILLI minus one fifteen and right up,
pick is gonna be on the Royals. I felt like
they should have been the favorite. I'm willing to lay
up to about a minus one fifteen on this Royals
money line. Like what I've seen out of Michael Waka
this far, he's got an arra that's a four twenty four,
but probably a three ninety five fielding dependent, he's only
given up about one over run per nine, has done
a sustainable job not giving up a lot of walks,
with about two and a half walks Bernian Ennings. He's

(56:05):
gonna pitch you a little bit more contact, but on
all even though the team has lost height out of
his last four starts, it's not necessary because he's pitched
horribly for Mikawaka. He's given up two runs for few
in three out of his last five starts to three
runs for fewer and all but two of them. As
far as the season, going up against someone in Dan
Dunning who's straightout numbers are way up, he's been able
to give you north of ten and a half straightcouts
Berni and Nunnings, but four point four walks. Bernie Ennings

(56:26):
has allowed the deep ball with seven home runs and
thirty two and two thirds innings. As far as the season,
and though the era is a four to thirteen, fielding
independent is north of five, and he's not backed up
as quite as good of a bullpen as you've got
with kanc Royals. Royals entering into the weekend in the
top nine in the Big leagues in terms of bullpenning area.
I do think that they're gonna seller a little bit
with Matt Seller being one of the main guys being

(56:47):
able to give you some good innings. But that said,
you've been able to Von al Zerpa become a really
nice long guy. You've been able to get some good
production out of Nick Anderson. You always have a role
that ice with Chris Trand and Will Smith. But I'll
know these guys have been able to do a pretty
rocks job. Meanwhile, for the Rangers, they're up to about
fourteenth in urds of opening are after last season they
were a little bit more rough you at bringing in
David Robertson along Kirby Yates has really been able to

(57:10):
help out this bullpen couple. With that, Jordan Lants has
been a nice piece for this bullpen as well. But
for the Texas Rangers, what has been very striking about
this team. They've been at a pedestrian about lake average
offense as far this season. They've been able to fly
thirty four runs in thirty two games as far this season,
with the Doulas Garcia really carrying the mail for this bunch,
about a three fifty on base with eight home runs
entering into yesterday. But just have a lot of guys

(57:32):
in a general like you had high expectations for not
really living up to them. Evan Carter White Langford pair
of young guys sitting between about a two twenty two
to two thirty. Chrey Seger has just stoppened himself this
year two home runs with a three h five on base,
while Jared Walsh has just not been able to deliver.
He and Ezekielder on are hitting about a two to
fifteen to a two twenty while the Royals at home
they are the top scoring team in the American League

(57:54):
at the very least they were entering into Friday, as
Salvator Perez has been the main ring leader with that
regard seven runs Ay North three three fifty. But pass that,
you've got four other guys Vinnie Pascantino, m J. Melendez,
Mikael Garcia, Bobby with Junior that all entered into the
series with at least four home runs, with which Junior
being able to sply about a three to sixty five
on base. Now the bottom of the fold needs to
pick it up. The likes of Hunter, renfro Adam Frazier,

(58:16):
Nelson Alaskas, Kyle Lzabell. These are guys hitting a two
twenty or lower, so has been a issue to say
the least for this bunch. But I do think that
for the Canseerrie Royals, they're going to be able to
do a solid job with their bullpen. I think that
Michael waka U, Joel Zane Dunning and they're able to
get the job done. So my dkn hoork right, A
pick is going to be on the Royals on the
money line and turns to total. I do think that
for the Texas Rangers, they're not going to say down

(58:37):
forever with reguards to the bats. But at the same
time I was mentioning with the Royals way that they
have been able to do a nice job but be
able to hit at home. So I did something till
at nine point two, I like the nine over and ride.
A pick is going to be on the Royals money
line nine sixty nine, nine seventy. On the benning board,
it's thee Seattle Miners. They throw their facing off against
the Euston astros As from bravalde As goes for this
rows and Luke Gi Gilbert is on the bum for Seattle.
Seattle is an underdog between plus one twenty two plus

(58:59):
one twenty three. Meanwhile, between minus one thirty two to
minus one forty two set number one Houston seven a
half to eight is to total on the eight unders
minus one twenty d overs even on the seven and
a half over is minus one fifteen, and the under
is minus one of five. And I decide it to
where I need at least a plus one fourteen to
take a shot on the Seattle manners, so I'm gonna
be willing to go with it. The season that Logan
Gilbert has had has been very good, as he's been

(59:20):
able to up at swing him and stuff. The command
has still been relatively solived from overall two ZHO three
era field independent. Backing that up, it's more around to
three twenty four, but ten punchouts of two bucks FORER
nine and he's while allowing about a home run for
nine and m for from Beervaldez. He came back in
that certain Mexico city against the Colorider Rockies and looked
relatively solid, But I'm gonna take that with a little
bit more of a grain as Celtics that was against

(59:41):
the Colorrader Rockies, probably to that from Bervaldez had given
up at least three earned runs and pretty much all
but three out of his last fourteen starts stating back
to the end of the twenty twenty three campaign and
just has been all over the place. He's got an
Era currently that is a two to sixty for the year,
but that's been a small sample size of three starts
as far the season as he had to give up
home run, but has given up six walks subteena the
third ending, So the walks issues still persistent for this

(01:00:03):
Astros bullpen. They just have not lived up to their
billing and I think that they're going to be improving
as the season goes along. I think that Ryan Presley
Josh Shader are going to be able to figure it
out a little bit. But this team is clocking in
just twenty third of the big leagues with regards to
Bullpenny Ray into this series, and you just don't have
the same guys like Ector and Era. It's like a
Ryan Stanek that they've had in past years as sort
of your shall we say more ancillary guys are Sean Dubin,

(01:00:25):
Taylor Scott, and that's a pretty clear downgrade. Meanwhile, the
Seattle Mariner as much has been absolutely superb out there
in the bullpen. They entered into the series number three
in the Big Leagues terms of the bullpenny Ray. They've
essentially become what has been for many years the West
Coast version of the Tampa Bay Rays, picking up these
guys out of just really nowhere. Gabe Spier, Taylor Cicado,
Trent Thornton, these guys have come to the forefront. They've

(01:00:46):
been able to supply a sub three era. They've been
able to do a tremendous shof of just being able
to sply for the team in general, and but the
Seattle manner is a big key for them picking it
up on offense. Seattle last year was unable to hit
at home, but on the road they were a tough
five team with regards to run production. We shall if
that's going to be the case this season at Seattle
very much a pitcher friendly ballparks. He had coming into
the series, Kyle Rawley supplying six home runs, but he

(01:01:07):
along with Mitch Sniger or a Polanco, Mitch Garver all
ending at two seventeen or lower. That's been a little
bit of an issue, while Ulio Rodriguez no power whatsoever,
one home run thus far the season, but has been
able to move the line. He's hitting about it two
to seventy for this seam. It's a Mariner a bunch
at as a whole. They're hitting at two nineteen. If
you look at the Baseball Savund numbers, they should see
a little bit of positivity, but has been a little
bit of a rough run of things on that front. Meanwhile,

(01:01:29):
for the Easton Astros, you do have the top of
the lineup really delivering for the seam, Kyle Tucker, Osel
two Vey or on Olvres All these guys have been
able to give you a least six home runs this
far the season. Albres actually has a lois on base
out of the three Oseael two Va Long, Kyle Tucker
north of a three to eighty on base and Alex
Bragman he's having a pretty miserable start to the season
two to seventy on base. He's only been able to
fly one home run thus far the season. They're Jeremy

(01:01:50):
Paanya He's been able to find that old form, hitting
about a three thirty three and with now having Oseo
Bray who currently out the full for this seam. Pretty
much every one one through nine has been solid, including
uniardas being able to give you some good production, but
the Seattle pitching has really been second to none. That's
far the season from the starting rotation to the bullpen,
and I do think pel Bogging Gobert is going to
be able to get it done on plus money. So
at a plus one fourteen or higher, we'll take the

(01:02:12):
Mariners on the money line and did something totally eight
point four. I do have my trepidations with from Rivaldez,
so I'm going to be looking at the over end.
The Seattle maners on the money line nine seventy one,
nine seventy two. On the bending board, it is the
Chicago White Sox, say hit the road the facing out
against the Saint Louis Cardinals. A Lance Lynn is on
the bump for the Cards and Eric Fetti Wop is
going for the Chicago White Sox and the White Sox
or an underdog if any between plus one fifty h

(01:02:33):
plus one sixty. Meanwhile between minus one seventy to minus
one eighty is that number on Saint Lewis eight is
a total over and under any between minus one five
to one minus one fifteen, and if you're looking to
lay a run and a half, I was willing to
go up to a minus one fifteen on the Cardinals
run line. You're finding that at a plus one twenty,
and I'm going to be willing to go with it now.
I will say one of the very few bright spots
as far this season for the Chicago White Sox has

(01:02:54):
been Eric Fetti has come back from South Korea and
it has looked very good. You never really got a
lot of swings missus when it was at the big
league level pitching for the Washington Nationals back of the day,
but has resurface as someone that's able to give you
about ten strike cuts per nine and he's he's got
a four fielding depending compared to a two sixty year I,
so should probably see a little bit of progression there.
So he's been giving up a little bit of our
contact sice some runs given up in thirty four and

(01:03:15):
two thirds sunnings. But Nelson gets to go up against
a Saint Louis Cardinals team that just has not really
been putting back to ball as far the season. Paul
Goldschmitt has really regrets. He looks very, very old right now,
as he's only been able to give you two home
runs at the very least entering into the series. As
far as the season, Nolan Aernaudo has been able to
move the line. He's sitting about a two seventy five
or so, but he's not been able to give you

(01:03:36):
a lot of power as well. You're just expecting more
out of a lot of these younger guys like Jordan Walker,
Noel Gorman, Lars Noopar, Michael Sinid. These are all guys
hitting below two hundred as well. Though, been able to
get some good production out of Alec Burleson, you know.
All For the Chicago White Sox, Tommy fam has actually
been really nice for the seam. He's ending about a
three point fifty and then Gavin Chets be able to

(01:03:56):
give you a few home runs. He's hitting about a
two sixty five. But these were the only two guys
in the starting lineup as of yesterday hitting above a
two forty entering end of the day. He had Paul
de Young give you a little bit of power, but
you've got a lot of dead bats out there. For
the Chicago White Sox and the White Sox to find
themselves in the bottom of eat in the Big leagues.
In terms of bullpenny ran as well, I've actually liked
what I've seen Jordan Leisure in the bullpen. Stephen Wilson

(01:04:17):
hasn't been a compleet disaster here, but Michael Kopek just
continues to give up home runs. Dominique clone has been
an issue. They didn't get the start that they were
looking for at bray Keller. Meanwhile, by the seeing of
those Cardinals after they were one of the worst bullpens
in the Big leagues he season ago, they've been able
to step it up a little bit more, as You've
been able to get some good innings out of Andrew Kitschrick,
who comes over from the Tampa Bay Rays. Ryan Elsley
was an All Star reliever a few seasons ago. Ryan

(01:04:38):
Fernandez has done a nice job holding down the ford
as well. And for lance Lynn, he's been able to
do a better job than he did a season ago
of holding the ball in the yard. Now, granted, with
lance Lynn, he still is someone that is going to
give up the deep ball, but that said, he's still
able to give you some nice swing of his stuff.
He's been able to provide about eight half strikeouts per
nine and nights, so he has given up about a
home run and after nine innings. I don't think that

(01:04:58):
that's as big of an issue to start going up
against the White Sox team that has just spent powerless,
dead last in the big leagues with the Yuards a
home run, So circumstances where I'm going to be willing
to lay that run line with the same loads Cardinals,
and I do think that we are going to see
Eric Fetti be able to deliver a relatively solid start,
to be able to hold down the fort walls offense,
just quite frankly, it doesn't necessarily do a whole lot
for him. So it is a circumstance where I did something.

(01:05:19):
I turtled more around at eight point three. I think
that an eh just a touch too low with that
bullpen being able to light things on fire. So I'm
going to be looking at the over end the run
line of the Same Loves Cardinals nine seventy three, nine
seventy four on the banking board. The Toronto Blue Jays,
it throw the face of gob against the Washington Nationals.
Jake Irvin goes for the Nansen Kevin Gosman is on
the bump for Toronto. Toronto is a minus one sixty two,
a minus one seventy favorite between plus one forty two

(01:05:40):
to a plus one fifty year number on Washington eight
and a half is a total under his minus one
fifteen to a minus one twenty fe oversenty between even
and minus one oh five, and I did something total
at eight point four. We're going to be looking at
the under for Kevin Gosman. He's dealt with some arm fatigue.
I know that he just had a myriad of different
issues that have lingered really ever since spring training, but
it does feel like the last few starts have been

(01:06:02):
able to get him a little bit more online whenever
was bugging him towards beginning part of the season, he's
been able to rectify it a little bit. His strikeout
numbers are down. He's only been able to give you
about seven a half strikeouts for nine and ennis as
far this season, but he has given up and combined
two earned runs over the course of his last three starts.
He's gotten five plus strikecouts to two out of his
last three starts as well. The command has been much better,
though he might not be able to get the same

(01:06:22):
amount of punch outs they did a season ago, it's
still been a relatively solid picture. Meanwhile, for Jake Irvin,
we've really seen him come into his own. Two runs
of fear surrendered and three out of his last four starts.
You know, he started where he really got blown up
was facing off against the Dodgers for the second time
in a week. So yeah, that's gonna be a little
bit of an issue for you. But on all, for
Jake Irvin, he's been able to clean up a lot
of the walks that really ailed him last year. Last

(01:06:43):
year he was given up about four walks per n
Enans as far the season were like two walks per
n and Ennis. While a longing about a home run
for n and Nnings, now, what is a big bugaboo
for the Washington Nationals is that they just don't have
a lot of thumpers in the lineup. I like what
I've seen out of c j. Abrams entered into yesterday
with about a three fifty to a three sixty on base.
He's been able to do a nice job being able
to fly simplus home runs as far as the season.
So I love what he's been able to do for

(01:07:05):
this team, and been able to get a little bit
of production out of Jesse Winker about a three sixty
on base head of Grand Slam about a week or
so ago as well. But now you've got Joy Gallo
on the injur listens he and ed you were sorry,
have just been miserable for the seam. These two guys,
along Key Beer Wiez, Lane Thomas, only below the MIDO
nine two hundred and most of them are dealing with injury.
That's been a little bit less and tremendous for a
Washington national team that entered into yesterday. Think just a

(01:07:26):
two twenty eight is collective. They don't strike out a lot,
but they just have not really been able to put
Bata ball. And for the Toronto Blue Jays, they were
able to find it a little bit more yesterday against
Patrick Corbin, but this has been an offense that has
been in the bottom ten of the big leagues as well.
He got so many underachieving guys in this lineup. Aleander
Kirk is dealing with an injury, George Springer, Boba Schet.
These are all guys hitting a two ten or lower

(01:07:47):
flagger or Junior has been able to only about a
two thirty five with three home runs. It's really been
all about Justin Turner about a three seventy five on
base four home runs. Dom Varsha not really hitting for average,
but he's been able to spply the team with six
home runs thus far the season. And for the Blue Jays,
they do rank in the bottom half of the Big
leagues terms of bullpenny Ray. I'm going to forget that
a little bit more though, because now they're getting Eric
Swanson Jordanmano back the fold after they were out of

(01:08:08):
it towards the beginning part of the season. You need
to get things cleaned up with guys like Genis Cabrera
and someone who was really good last year. And Tim
May's had a sub to e ra. He's been putting
up north of five. As far as the season one
of the Nationals, their main strength has actually been their bullpen.
You've had a lot of guys like Derek Lau, Dome Flora,
Kyle Finigan. I'll be able to supply stub three fifty
ear a. Jordan Wims is the guy that always like
he's had a little bit of a tough dart start

(01:08:28):
to the season, I think he's going to be able
to pick it up as well. But I did think
that both of these pitchers went a relatively solid start.
But in the end, I do think the cup of
Goatsman is starting to find it and just really don't
have a lot of faith in the Washington Nationals being
able to put back to ball. So it's a circumstance
where at even money, that's right now where I'm finding
this run line right, a run and half with Blue Jays,
I'm going to be one to go with it. I
was willing to lay up to a minus one thirteen

(01:08:48):
and terms of subtle set mine at at eight point force.
Also looking at the under night seventy five, nine seventy
six on the bank board, it is the Oakland A's
playing us to the Miami Marlins. As Trevor Rodgers goes
for Miami and Paul Blackburn walks points for Oakland and
Oakland to find themselves as favorite between minus one fourteen
to a minus one twenty any between even money and
plus one oh five, that's your number on Miami. Seven
a half to eight is total on the eight hundreds

(01:09:09):
minus one twenty five and the overs plus one to
five on the seven a half overs between minus one
fifteen to minus one twenty hundreds between even a minus
one o five and has one lay up to a
minus one thirty four With the Oakland A's, I know
that a lot of people see the name the Oakland
A's and they think, oh, these guys stink. But they've
been able to go out there and they've been able
to pitch really, really well this season. They entered in
this series a top five team in terms of Bullpenny

(01:09:32):
Ray and you just have so many guys they're delivering
for this team, guys like Mitchell Spence, Kyle Mueller, Mason Miller,
Lucas Hersage. They're also playing a sub three era, and
for Paul Blackburn, he's been able to do a nice
job as a starter. Had a little bit of a
rough go of it, and it starts in Baltimore and
New York, but all in all has been able to
sply about a three thirty four era not getting a
ton of strikeouts. Ever has been a strikeout guy about

(01:09:52):
seven a half punchdofts per nine innings, but it's also
only giving up about two and a half walks per
nine and innings and only about one oh run per
nine innings, so that's been very encourag would like to
see a little bit more encouragement out of the lineup though,
as the Oakland A's team, even though they have been
able to achieve so many of these wins, they have
been one of the worst teams in the Big leagues
at being able to put back to ball as far
this season. As they've hit all their home runs away
from home, they actually leave the Big leagues in terms

(01:10:14):
of home runs per game when they're away from home.
They entered into the series twenty seventh in the league
in terms of home runs per game at home. Much
of that is because this is one of the most
picture front of the ballparks out there in the big leagues,
and they're actually dead last in the Big Leagues with
reguards of runs per game at home. Even the Chicago
White Sox areaging more runs per game at home. And
you're gonna need to have some of these younger guys
like JJ Blida, Zach netto Brent Rooker, these guys theyuring

(01:10:37):
a two to fifteen or lower be able to pick
it up, as Sarah Ueize has been able to do
a solid job, but you pretty much have three guys
that have given you north of twenty five at bats
as far the season that entered into the weekend hitting
above a two thirty eight, So you could really use
a little bit more production there. But that's said. When
it comes to this Miami Marlins team, they do rank
towards the bottom of the big leagues in terms of
their Bullpenny right looked a little bit better in that

(01:10:57):
series against the cottrad Rockies, but again that is a
series against the colt rad A Rockies. In for Trevor Rodgers,
last we saw him in a full season in the
big leagues in about twenty twenty two, he was posting
up in the ray that was hovering right around five
way from moment, it's not necessary in the World's Greatest
for him. Thus far this season, he's posting up a
four to thirty one e RA. His walks have been
an issue. He's been giving up in that pocket a

(01:11:18):
ball of three and a half walks per nine endings. Side,
He's done a good job of being able to maintain
the deep balls, only give it up to two ho
runs in thirty one and a third endings As far
this season, and with Trevor Rodgers, his era has really
been a little bit better on the road rather than
at home, despite the fact that he's been playing in
a pitcher front of the ballpark out there in Miami,
but just not having a lot around him in the bullpen.
These guys like Andrew Nrdi, Tanners, Scott Antipender that were

(01:11:41):
so good last season posting up north of five eures,
that is a big giant issue. I do think that
this is going to be a low scoring slog once again,
with the Miami Marlins not providing a lot of offense.
You've got Louis rise has been moved line entered into
the series thinking about a three hundred. But your main
power bat is right now Brian Day La Cruz. He's
been able to supply five home runs as far as
the season. Meanwhile, Jelum, Josh Bell, they've both been able
to give you four home runs. But both of these

(01:12:03):
guys arearing a two thirty lower and then Nick Gordon
Nate four test, Tim Anderson, guys like this hitting a
two thirty year lower not giving you much. And Jake
Berger deal with injury has just really hurt this offense.
I did something total at some point three. I'm looking
at the under and with the open, a's gonna be
one way up to a minus one thirty four on
that money line, nine seventy seven, nine to seventy eight
on the banking board. The Baltimoreals hit the road the

(01:12:23):
facing up against the Cincinnati Reds. Yes, we are onto
Cincinnati and they're on to Andrew Ebbittt getting the start. Meanwhile,
it is John Means who makes his first start of
the year for Baltimore. Baltimore between a minus one twelve
do minus one eighteen favorite between minus one oh two
to a plus one oh two is your number on
Cincinnati nine and a half in ce total under his
minus one twenty overs even seeing one thtreay nine and
overs minus one twenty five and the under is plus

(01:12:45):
one oh five. Gonna be looking at this total under.
I did something total at an eight point eight. I
don't think that John Means is going to be going
out there for like one hundred plus pitches or anything
like that, but I do think that he's going to
be able to give you, shall we say, a formidable start.
They did a nice job of just making sure that
reapp was a little bit more robust, more than just
like two or three innings at the minor league level
and calling you today. As a matter of fact, he

(01:13:06):
made six starts at the Triple A level. He was
very rough for his reab to start out with. He
just wasn't able to find anything whatsoever when he came
to his first minor league start or two. But he's
coming off of a few very very good appearances and
he was able to get his strikeout numbers up. He's
up to about right around about ten and a half
strikeouts per nine and nnings. So that's something that you
do like to see. I don't think that that is
necessarily going to translate to the big league level, as

(01:13:28):
when he's been up at the big league level, he's
always been a little bit more of a bitch of
contact guy. In the six seasons in the big leagues
about seven a half strikecouts at one point, d balks
per nine endings. He'll give up his fair share of
deep balls, but also have a Since Anti Red's lineup
that is very top heavy, Illy David Cruise has been
tremendous seven plus home runs. He's been able to supply
nearly a four hundred on base, and then you've got
Jonathan India, who had a rough start to the season.

(01:13:48):
He along the time that Steven said about a three
point thirty to a three forty on base India as
it better than his numbers would indicate in my opinion.
But I said, you've got the guys like Jimmior Kendelario's
two or fair Child Santia. It's been Nick Martini hitting
a duo five or lower, Christian and Carnassio and Strand
is honestly given you a whole fly. Meanwhile, Baltimore on
the flip side, they lead the Big leagues in terms

(01:14:10):
of total home runs as each other. Top eight players
in terms of total light pats entering into the series,
all with at least four him runs as far this season,
You're really just don't having easy out in the lineup.
You've got the likes of Ryan O'Hearn, Atalie Rushman, Jordan
Westburg all leading above a gunner. Anderson has been that
main gunner in terms of being able to deep out
with ten home runs as far this season. They've got
the depth to be able to toom for righty's and lefties.

(01:14:32):
And when it comes to Andre Rabbit he's been quite
a bit better when he has been at home rather
than when he has been away from home. But you
do have to fear that the walks that he's been
giving up towards the beginning part of the season are
going to wear on him a little bit and a
is going to not allow him to be able to
go very deep in this game. As for Andre Rabbit,
he has given up about three walks for nine and
he's as far this season with about seven half punchouts
for nine three twenty seventy are but more like a

(01:14:53):
four to fifty six field to get dependent. For the
Cincinnati Rice, we've seen Fernando cruisby a little bit up
and down in the bullpen, and I do like the
that they get Sam All back the fold, but overall
it is a since I reads a bullpen that it's
been a little bit touch and go thus far this season.
They did enter into the series posting up in the
era that was eighteenth in the Lake, so nothing great,
nothing terrible. Meanwhile, Baltimore we're around thirteenth. They've been deal

(01:15:13):
with an injury to Craig Cimbrol, which is not necessarily
the world's worst singing in the world if we're calling
it what it is, but Danny Kloom, you near cano.
These guys have been able to do a rock solid
job with a sub three five era. They get seen
all Pereze back the Fold, who he's seen only a
few outings as far, I think that he's going to
be able to find his bearing his saying. Jacob Web
has been able to do a tremendous job as well,
So I do think that John Means is going to
be backed up quite well. And because they were having

(01:15:35):
guys like Albert Worrez in company being able to give
them some starts, I do think that they should have
some nice long relief in the bullpen if needed as well.
So it's a circumstance where with Baltimore Oriols, I set
them more around a minus one oh nine right now
we're find them more in that neighborhood about a minus
one twelve ors. So if we could get this down
by about like two or three pennies as it's opened
up as a minus one twenty, going to be willing
to roll with the Orioles. If you're looking to lay

(01:15:57):
a run half with them, you're only getting about a
plus one thirty, which I would need much more of
a plus number there, like if anything, I'd be willing
to take a run half with he since A reads
as of right now, but I want to wait and
see what we're getting here. I do think that we should,
when it's also and done, probably be able to get
a minus one o nine on John means, and that
would be my bypoint there. And with regards to total,
I did something, I tell it at eight point eight.
So here the nine's going to be looking at the

(01:16:18):
under as well, and we wrap things up with nine
seventy nine nine eighty on the betting board. The New
York Mets are on the road. They're facing off against
the Tampa Bay Rays as that little hopes to come
up big for the Rais, and you've got Christian Scott
who's on the bump for the Mets. Mets to find
themselves as slight underdogs any between minus one oh five
two plus one or two. Meanwhile and between minus one
o waight two minus one twenty s at number one
Tampa Bay it is a total overs minus one fifteen

(01:16:39):
the unders minus one oh five. Any sort of a
plus number was gonna do for the Mets. Seeing some
plus one oh onees plus one oh twos. I'm gonna
be willing to roll with it. Christian Scott is an
up and coming prospect for the New York Mets, and
I do think that he's going to be able to
make a relatively nice debut. Typically, I like to fade
a lot of guys with regards to their MLB debut,
but I feel a little bit differently about Christian Scott.

(01:16:59):
Ye take a look at the way that he has
been able to operate in the minors, and he's been
down there for quite a while, and as a nice
track record of success with Syracuse' season, he's had about
a three twenty ear a with twelve and a half
punchouts to about two bucks per nine Uneings. Has given
up a little bit of the deep ult, but if
you look at his entire minor league career, only about
zero point seven home runs per nine Nunnings and all
the leagues that he's been through. Last season was absolutely

(01:17:20):
tremendous with regards to his command. I think that he
is very ready for the big leagues. And while you
did see the Tampa Bay race really be able to
bust out for double figures terms of are run total yesterday.
This has been any struggling offense as far this season.
You've had east Ok Paradis do a nice show. fALS
fly with about a three to fifty five on base.
He's been able toply some plus home runs, but I
mean for Andy Rose Arena, congratulations on the home run yesterday,

(01:17:40):
but stillating about a buck forty five for the season.
You've got guys that are able to get on base.
You've had Jery Calbrao hit about two seventy five on
into Rosario has found a way on. But some of
these guys at the bottom of the fold have just
not been able to give you much. Along with the
Andy Ds who's only hitting about it two twenty for
the mess, They've been hot and cold in terms of
the lineup all season long as well. Pete a. Lonzo
is always the top of the big leagues with regards

(01:18:01):
to home runs on the road, but he's right now
only anting about a two twenty Sarli Marte has been
able to do a nice job finding way on. He
and Brett Paddy have both been able to between about
a two sixty two two seventy. Harrison baders hot and cold,
but when he's hot. He's hot, and you do have JD.
Martinez bag and full, but for the Mets, they also
do back him up with a far better bullpend than
you're gonna find for the Pampa Bay Race. The Raiser
right now, bottom five team in the Big Leagues, their

(01:18:22):
Bullpenny r aightp Fairbanks, it's currently out of the fold.
They've had to use a lot of Erasmo Ramirez as
far this season, Garrett Clevenger, Jason Adam. These are guys
that have been pretty rock solid for them throughout the years,
but now you're having to rely upon guys like Jacob Lopez,
Fo Maiton has had a rough year. And for the Mets,
even though you do have Brooks Raley currently deal with
an injury, these guys out there in the bullpen like
Jake Deekman, Reed Garrett have been rock solid and then

(01:18:43):
you've got Edwin Diaz to be able to support you
in the ninth inning as well. When it comes to
the Rays, I just think that for Zach Little, he's
going to be able to do a nice job in
terms of not giving up a lot of walks, but
because of his style of just really not giving up
any walks, whatsoever, he does leave himself a little bit
more prone to giving up hard contact, and that's a
little bit of an issue for a little Ever since
he became a starter, he's been giving up about a

(01:19:04):
home run and a half for nine nine so far
the season, just a three twenty seventy are two sixty
five perild The Independent, by the way, but I mean
pretty much all the runs that he gives up are
due to hard contact. And I do think that the
bets are going to be able to get to him here.
This is a circumstance where I did somebody told at
some point some and I do think that things are
going to be much more calm than they were on Friday.
But I think that Scott delivers a good start. Any
sort of plus money, I'm gonna be we won't take
the Mets on the money line, and so I told

(01:19:25):
at some point seven. So you're at the eight. I
do like the under as well, And that'll wrap things
up for the Saturday edition of The Baseball Betting Shill,
now part of the VS and Family and Podcasts. If
you do like fearing from this fine podcast baseball betting show,
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(01:19:45):
at if you'd an under forty one and keep in
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Thank you m hm

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