5/6/24-Baseball Betting Show

Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:00):
Breaking down every game, every day in Major League Baseball.
This is the Baseball Betting Show. Here is your host,
Greg Peterson.

Speaker 2 (00:09):
Hey warmer, Bubby Lo. Welcome to Lovely Las Vegas for
the Baseball Betting Shoe with myself Greg Peterson, now part
of the Vson Family podcast. We've got a great podcast
for you. As I had a guest lined up in
segment number two, I am two and a half hours
after we were supposed to do the interviews, still waiting
for them to respond. So we are going to try

(00:30):
to make a lemons out of whatever that we got.
And I'm just gonna share with you guys at segment
number two some of the resources that I utilize in
terms of taking a look at the great game of baseball,
how you're able to utilize them for your own handicap
and just when it comes to trends, what you should
slash should not be utilizing to be able to help
yourself become a little bit of a better better. So

(00:50):
we're just gonna let you guys inside the curtain there.
I don't know what happened in terms of my guests,
but I said, we're gonna give you guys that and
segment number two in the final segment, Gonna get you
guys picks in and ounces on every game on the
betting board for this Baseball Monday, as we touch them all.
If you do have a question comments segment idea what
I'd be for this podcast, you have one of two
ways be of fur those in. First one is my
Twitter slash ex simeline at JATA NR forty one. Keep

(01:12):
in mind lyrics, um maybe does that matter? So as
we're usual, please to send these into the timeline, and
please do send those in because oftentimes I try to
answer those questions at segment number one, and in a
situation like this where you have someone fallow through, I
always try to just give you guys something that you've
been looking to hear a little bit more about. Just
the way to be able to help make you guys

(01:33):
better better is in general. I'm always up for that.
I'm always up for talking shop in terms of some
of the nitty gritty of some of the things that
give me the difference in terms of being a person
that is either like breaking even or profiting or going
from being a losing better to break in a little
bit closer to even as well. So we're looking to
do everything humanly possible to help you guys out there,

(01:54):
and then the other way to be able to send
in those questions slash what you want to hear on
this podcast is an Apple podcast review. If you rate
this podcast, I starts and is very much appreciated. From there,
able fire and whatever you'd like here on this podcast
via the five star review. And did not get in
any Twitter slash texts questions today. But we had a
fun day of baseball on Sunday. Let's take a look
back at it, try to find some trends and tried
to get to know these teams a little bit better.

Speaker 1 (02:15):
Games were yesterday? Is Greg buzzing about.

Speaker 2 (02:18):
Here is the rowdy recap. The string of twenty one
straight starts by a Seattle Mariners starting pitcher with two
runs or fewer allowed comes to an end. But our DCA,
now we're gryed to pick up the Mariners still comes
through five to four of the finalized for the Seattle Manners.
By the way, this was our first over and at
minimum ten games like they had been stuck on seven

(02:39):
overs for about an e on and a half. Still
your best under team in all baseball eight over twenty
four hunders and two pushes. But that said for Seattle.
The man that came up clenching the ninth inning, Cal
Rowley eighth home run season off of Josh Aders having
a miserable season. He gives up that home run and
is ending of work. He's gotten north of a sixty
r and Hunter Brown he gives up four walk, five bits,

(03:00):
and four and a third innings, bailed out by Julio
Rodriguez swinging at a few balls or else this would
have really been in the bag, but he said, South
Martinez pair off outside the bullpen Sean Duban a squirrel setting,
but Ralfao Monteto along with Brian Brady, they both allow
run and then again for Bryce Miller, he lost a
pair of home runs, gives up all four runs in
his six plus setting. Says he taken deep by Kyle

(03:21):
Tucker ninth home run season, and John Singleton is third.
As for Taylor's tocado, he was able to come in
and lend a squirrel setting, Andre's Munnos Ryan Stanik. They
combined for two squirrel settings, so Seattle finds way to
be able to get the job done. On Sunday Night Baseball,
the San Francisco Giants find a way to be able
to get it done. Five to four, they're able to
take down the Philadelphia Phillies. As for San Francisco, Logan

(03:42):
Web just did not have it and he always want
to be noting his home in roads plus five runs,
four of which were aren't given up in four innings,
including a home run going deep for the Philadelphia Phillies
Bryce Harper his seventh home run of the campaign from
there Sean Hagela hopefully I said that correctly two squirrels settings,
Taylor Rodgers in squirrel setting and uils a squirrelss setting
as well from one mister Ryan Walker. And for San Francisco,

(04:05):
he did have Jose Alvarado give up a home run.
It was home run number one of the season for
Jackson Reets. So that reads for when you saw out
there and then you had there go stru to get
his fifth home run to the campaign that came out
of Tama Walker. What the relatively salid starry He gives
up that home run three runs to Trital six out
of third dinings, Greg Risto ap pairbounts out of the bullpen,
Jeff Hoffman a squirrels setting before Alvarado gives up that

(04:27):
home run, but the Phillies they find a way to prevail.
They are now twenty four and eleven looking very rock
slid out there in the National League, and the team
has right now leading the way in terms of the
American League. That would be the Baltimore Orioles. How about
them being able to get a quality eleven to one
drubbing over the Kansas City Royal, says Dean Kramer delivered

(04:48):
one hit, allowed a six squirrel of settings and Mike
Bauma give up and out out of the bullpen and
getting two outs in Albert Swarez. He goes for two
and a third ning squirreless in for the Orioles. Treill
home runs Jordan Westberg off of Nike his sixth home
run season. He had Emilia Pagan given up to Anthony
Santander his fifth home run season, and Brent Souter gives
one up to Ryan McKenna, his second arm round in

(05:08):
the year. For Lodolo, he gives up four runs over
the course of five innings, not his best showing there,
but it was not the best showing for lexasia Is either.
He gives up four runs while getting it out of
the bullpen, Amelia Began gives up a so home run
in two outside of the bullpen, sam Muli scurel Is
setting him Barrent Suitor gives up a pair of runs
in his two innings of workout for Baltimore. One of
your top over teams out there in all baseball sivteen overs,

(05:29):
fourteen unders, and three pushes, but they halo in comparison
to the fact that the Milwaukee Brewers lead the way
in terms of top over rate. But despite the total
being six to a half the under, it says for
the Brewers they were unable to get any runs up
on the board five to zero. The chicag Cubs are
able to get the win. As for Freddy Peralta a
little bit of her off god here as he just
couldn't command six walks given up in five innings. Win

(05:52):
was blowing in so that mitigate the runs as he
gave up three and from there Jansen Junk not live
up to that name. He gives up one or two innings.
Not junked tremendous Teigo Villeria, though he does give up
a run in his ending of work as he gives
up his home run to Dancy Swans and fourth home
run season, and for Avid Asa got into a little
bit of danger, but six scorrel settings out of him,
Yancey Almonte two scorel settings, and Danielle Valencias scure setting

(06:15):
his burst go out of seven with Ben in scoring
position for the New York Yankees, they get the job
done against the Detroit Tigers five to two. Though this
game was called prior to the start of the eighth inning.
Du terainsa he had a full game total, which it
did land on the over. This was a closing total
of six and a half that was a little bit rough,
and for Dreek Skuble it takes a no decision after

(06:36):
punching out twelve guys in six innings. He did allow
home run though going need for the New York Yankees
here and judge seventh home run season. Then in the
seventh inning it with Shelby Miller who reallyacked this one up.
He gives up three runs in a third of an ending,
Andrew Chase and Alex Laying both getting out out of
the bullpen from there. Meanwhile, for the New York Yankees,
relatively good showing here from Nesser. Cortes gives up two

(06:56):
runs at six and a third Nining Siven punchouts from there,
Ian Hamilton and Victor Gonsals both giving outt of the bullpen,
and Dennis Santana was able to come in. He got
a squirrel designing to be able to get the job
done out there. Alec Manoa, Manoa what he right now sucks.
He gives up a grand total seven runs, six of
which were earned for the Toronto Blue Jayson's eight fall
to the Washington Nationals by account of eleven to eight,

(07:18):
and the Blue Jays head in this game, he's six
to one lead and he completely grasped it. As for
Alec Manoa gives up a pair of home runs four
walks in his four inning, says going deep. For Washington,
it was mister Jesse Winker being able to get a
home run in his fourth of the campaign and Leo's
garcias third arm run season. A little bit later on,
you'd have Eddie Resort, who's been miserable this year, going

(07:39):
deep off for Eric Swanson, a second arm round season
since coming off the injur OFSS. Eric Swanson not great.
He gives up a run in an enning and that
dropped his Era to a sixteen fifty Genesis Cabrera, Na Pearson,
Zac Pop all go an ning. They all give up
one run, nothing more, nothing less, And for Vlaigero Junior,
he does go deep off a Mackenzie Gore fourth arm
round season. As for Gore, he did get Gord. He

(08:00):
gives up six runs, two over which were earning three
innings hurt by three years, one of which was his own,
so we have to keep him accountable there. But Jordan
Williams from there gives up two runs, one of which
was earned in a third of an ending. But Jacob
Barnes Kyle finnegilboth turned a squirrel setting to Flora Hunter Harvey.
They combined for three squirrel settings, and Derek law Kiss
is a law that he doesn't give up any runs.
He was able to give you a pair of the

(08:21):
bullpen as well. The Minnesota Twins rode in eleven game
win streak going into Sunday, though nine of those wins
came against the Chicago White Sox and also the All
the Angels, and that came to an end ninety two.
The Boston Red Sox were able to get a ton.
Rafael Dovers was able to get his fourth home run season.
That comes off with Jay Jackson and Sadine Rafaela is
third home round the campaign off of Joe Ryan, who's

(08:43):
really had a tough time with the deep all throughout
his career. Gives up three runs and six ottings for Ryan,
including that home run. But Jay Jackson and Cody Funderberg
made a mess on this combined three innings, giving up
six runs with Jay Jackson giving up that home run,
and for the twins, you had Ryan Jeffers get his
sixth home run season. That comes off of Cooper Chriswell,
who he did a relatively solid job, gives up that

(09:04):
home run in four and a third nightnings. From there,
Brendan Bernardino gets a pair of outs out of the bullpen.
Cam Boozer was able to give you on to as well.
Kenlee Jansen squirrels sunning Josh Lenkowski, he gives up a
run in an inning, but you also I had one
and two thirds endings squirls out of Zach Kelly. So
the Red Sox now nineteen and sixteen, they're looking relatively
solid out there in the Al East, and Nellie Dodgers
are looking very solid as they got the best start

(09:26):
that they could hope for. In my opinion, if James
paxsonm five to one, they're able to take down the
Atlanta Braves. Packson has really been dealing with walks issues,
but tam them a little bit here. It gives up
two walks a solhim run over the course of six
and two thirds innings and is going deep for the
Atlanta Braves. It was home run number ten of the
season from Russell zun and that's all that they got
on offense. As man Max Freed, well, he should be
mad about the start. Four runs surrendered over the course

(09:48):
of seven innings, including a pair of arm runs. Jolly
O'tani takes some deep for a ninth rom run season
to Oscar and Andez his eighth, and then Otani goes
zep off of aj Minter home run number ten of
the season as Minter gives up that Sol run. In
a third of editing, Jesse Chavez paaraboutside the bullpen. And
for the Elli Dodgers, Blake try and Michael Grove, they
both supply a squirrels setting and Joe Kelly he's able
to give you an out out of the bullpen as well.

(10:09):
And for the Elli Dodgers once again, two hundred and
thirty four regular season wins since the beginning of the
two thousand and twenty two campaign, all but thirty six
by multiple runs. He saw the Arizona Diamabacks absolutely lying
Basi San Diego Padres eleven to four of the finalists
for Arizona, they have been a little bit of an
overwhelming team this far this season when they've been at home.

(10:30):
On the road a little bit of a different story.
But except for the San Diego Padres, Matt Woldern gives
up eight runs, seven of which were earned in three innings,
including a home run going deep one mister Keitel Marte
of the Marte Parte sixth m round season. Then Jack
Peters said one run number three of the season. That
comes off of Johnny Brito who gives up three runs
to three innings. Steven Coolik Jani Peralta, they both won

(10:50):
the scirrel saying, and Jackson Merrill goes zap off of
Ryan Nelson second home round season as Nelson gave up
three runs in the second ending. He gave up four
runs a troll of course innings, but bullpen from there
was saw Joe Man to play along with Ryan Thompson,
Kevin Ginkel and Jesse Martinez all able to lend a
squirrels settings. So that'll get the Arizona NAMA backs back online.

(11:10):
And hey for the Miami Marlins, they don't get swept
by the Oakland A's. They win by kind of twelve
to three. As for Miami, it has been a rough
go of it for them last few days, as they
were able to take out their frustrations with Nick Flash
Gordon getting a home run. It's fourth of the campaign
that comes off. Joe Boyle did not have the world's
great to start here. He last a full inning giving

(11:31):
up four runs, he walked three, and then he had
from there the bullpen have to lend a lot of relief.
TJ McFarlane. He gives up four runs at night he
had four runs surrendered by Mitch Spence in four and
two thirds innings as a bow guy and for Michael
Kelly two and a third inning scoreless. For the Oakland A's,
they were averaging three runs per game going into Saturday
at home, and they scored three in this one at
six o shs. Two runs are undered in four innings.

(11:53):
From there, a bullpen that has been very, very bad
this far the season. They come up by Andrew Nardi,
Bert Smith, Anthony Bendervelli Bos. They are all able and
a scure setting in Calvin Faschet. He gives up a
run in an ag so yay verily for the Miami
Marlins and yay verily for the Chicago White Sox, who
they entered into Saturday with just one road win all

(12:14):
season long. They now have three, as they've gotten two
in the span of a weekend against the Saint Louis
Cardinals five to one. The final Garret Corchet was pretty tremendous.
Here gives up a home run over the course of
six innings Gay Deep for Saint Louis Willis and Contras's
sixth home run season, and Matthew Lubator gets a little
bit of a surprise start five punch outs, one run,
a lot and three and two thirds ngs. From there,

(12:35):
he had two and a third ning squirrels from Kyle
Lay and then the bullpen completely gaxus one away. Giovanni
Giagos gives up three runs without getting a single out,
allowing a home run along the way. As it was
Eliam n Is getting his fourth home run of the campaign.
From there, John King one run surrendered in one and
two thirds Hags and Nick Robertson was able to get
far outside of the bullpen squirrels. Meanwhile, for the White Sox,
John Brebia Stephen Wilson, we're both able to lend a

(12:58):
squirrel a setting a lot with mister Jordan Leisure, so
the White Sox find a way to be able to
get the job done. As we saw a little bit
of a rise of the tomato cannons over the weekend,
but he did not see a rise from the La Angels.
Four to one. They lose, so the Cleveland Guardians says.
For the Angels, Griffin Ganning not a bad startier he
gives up two runs over the course of six innings,
did allow a home run along the way going deep
for Cleveland mister Ose Ramier in sixth Olm round season,

(13:21):
then Josh Naylor off of Matt Moore's eighth Holm run
season for more. He does give up more, giving up
two runs in n Nning Adam Simber he was able
to turn a squirrel of setting. But for the Angels
they go oh six with men in scoring position as
Carlos Cookie Carasco been a rough start to the season
four but gives up just one run in six innings.
Scott Barlow, Timmern, Emmanuel Class they're all able to end

(13:42):
a squirrels seting to be able to get that one
to the window, and the colrad Rockies they remain relatively
rough five to three. They lose to the Pittsburgh Pirates.
Says for the Bucko say did an N's job getting
to Ryan Feldner, who give up five runs in five
to two thirds innings, including a home run to o'yel
Cruz fifth holm run season. From there, Tyler Kinley frauds
the bullpen squirreless and Anthony Molina his squirrel is setting

(14:02):
of his own. For Colorado, Jacob Stallings was able to
get home run number two of the season and Sean
Portrait is first. They both come off of Bailey Falter,
who lived up to that name, giving up three runs
at five and the third innings, but bullpen ad is back.
David Bennard or oldest Chairman both turn a squirrel Senning
and Lewis Ortiz one in two thirds innings, scoreless in
The Rockies are now eight and twenty six, not terrific

(14:23):
to say the least. And for the Tampa Bay Race,
they've got the second worst run line record in the
Big Leagues only the Miami Marlins at eleven twenty five
and remorse on the run line. But the race, they
get the job done in ten innings seven to six.
They were the favorites, so they don't cover the run
line as Luis Severino bad start here, six walks, four
runs allowed in five innings. From there, the bullpen honestly

(14:44):
wasn't bad. Or Lopez read Garrett Sean Reid Foley alternate
squirrel is setting and then you add of all guys
Edwin Diaz yack this one up, giving up a solo
run in the ninth then going deep for the Tampa
Bay Race, Randy ono Zonino, it's been miserable this year.
Fifth ol run of the season there, Jake Dakman two runs,
one of which was earned, give it up in the
tenth inning. And for the Mets, they strand thirteen men

(15:06):
on me, so they did get a home run off
the Battle of Francisco Lindor sixth home run season that
comes off of Ryan Pepiot lasted two innings. He took
a line drive of like one hundred and seven miles
per hour off the lag, so you had to be
pulled from this game. From there. Menuel Rodriguez give up
two runs, one of which was earned in his ending
of work. Kevin Kelly along Shawn Armstrong turned two scrolls

(15:26):
of settings here clevenger at score of setting you had
from their Rasmo Rumirez get the final two outs out
of the game at Jacob Lopez one and a third
innings allows an Urn run. So that was wacky, and
that was crazy. And the Texas Rangers have been wacky
and crazy and they get a three to two win
over the Kansi Royal says for Texas, fifty five shades
of John Gray was able to give you a lot

(15:47):
of different shades of strikeouts. Seven strikeouts over the course
of seven innings, giving up two runs, Kirby Yates two
squirrel satings and then David Robertson he learns a score
of cent thanning to be able to get to save
as Jonah him was able to send this game dexter.
He goes zepop for James McArthur fourth home run season
as Daniel Lynch, recalled from the miners, looked actually quite good.
Six strikeouts and five squirrel settings on Elasaiaha two squirrel settings.

(16:10):
John Shreiver gives up a run and an nning, and
then for MacArthur, he gives up this home run in
the ninth inning and then gives up an under and
run in the tenth innings. So the Rangers find a
way to be able to get to the window. And
if you're looking at Major League Baseball right now, has
been a very underwhelming start to the season thus far,
as it's really been a result of a last thirty
days that has been a slog last thirty days in

(16:31):
baseball two hundred and seventeen hundreds to one hundred and
sixty seven overs. That's a thirty day stretch of the
under inning out of fifty six had percent clip last
thirty days favorites have been aiming at about fifty eight
point nine percent to thirty four and one sixty three
and if you want to narrow it down to the
last seven days, ultimately similar fifty three and thirty six
our favorites on the money line and home teams fifty

(16:51):
six and thirty six hitting at nearly sixty one percent
of the last seven days and in the last seven
days forty eight hundreds thirty six overs. That is a
little bit north of fifty seven percent to the under,
and overall for the season, unders are up to right
around about fifty three percent to earn sixty one hunders
to two hour and thirty one overs. Meanwhile, favorites they'rening
out a fifty eight point six percent clip two ninety
nine and two eleven on the money line. So that's

(17:12):
where we're seeing in baseball right now, and that's what
we all got on Sunday. Now. Coming next, I'll share
with you guys some of the resources I use for
handicapping baseball and some of the trends say you might slash,
might not want to be utilizing. That's up next right
here on the Baseball Betting Show with myself Greg Paterson.
Now apart from Besons there.

Speaker 1 (17:27):
Das breaking down every game every day in Major League Baseball.
Greg Peterson.

Speaker 2 (17:39):
Number bag. Here love be Las Vegas for the Baseball
Betting Shoe with myself Greg Peterson, now part of the
Beson Family podcast to do well, shall we say unforeseen Events?
I do not have a guest today. But that's that
I know. That's something that you guys always ask me about,
is how I come up with the handicap that I
do and some of the resources I use for my handicapping.
If you listen to the game break downs, that's pretty

(18:00):
much what I do. Take a look at it terms
of my handicapping. Every game is its own living, breathing entity.
So I can't give you like one boilerplate thing being like, oh,
I put thirty percent of emphasis on er, thirty percent
on fielding independent when taking a look at pictures or
anything like that, because every single game is just a
little bit different. But I did want to share with
you guys some of the resources I do utilize to

(18:22):
be able to give you guys those breakdowns, to be
able to make the evaluation see handicaps that I do use.
And I have been taking quite a bit more of
a look at splits in recent years when I was
just starting out in twenty eighteen, when I just really
was first taking a look at the game of baseball
on durds of handicapping, like I've always loved baseball. I
used to play baseball when I was a little kid,

(18:43):
all the way from t ball and then decide to
retire after the eighth grade due to a lack of talent.
I actually used to be a picture and I was
the most accurate picture out there. So if you notice
why I always take a look at these guys that
they're walks per nine rate. I never ever walked anyone.
You had to hit the ball off of me in
order to get on base. Now I give up some
very very hard contact, but you had to hit the

(19:05):
ball in order to get on base, which when you're
like twelve thirteen years old, it's a little bit easier
said than done for some of those kids. So I
give myself a little bit of credit there. But that said,
something that I do take a look at is a
per nine ending basis, which I do think is so
big because so many people take a look at, oh,
how many strikeouts does he have, how many earned runs

(19:26):
does he allowed the er and everything like that. But
when you're able to break things down on a per
nine basis, I do think that you get a little
bit of a better view of things. And I utilize
Baseball Reference for this. Baseball Reference is a great job
taking a look at strikeouts per nine and you're really
able to break down the splits year about year in
terms of these situational spots sort of as well. And
then obviously you do want to be taking a look

(19:47):
at a pitcher's endings as well, just because when you
have a guy that's able to be an inning zeater,
that is able to go out there give you a
relatively good performance. It's a big reason why if you
recall a few seasons ago, Cal Quantrill when he's with
the Cleveland guard Ardians, was actually a really profitable pitcher,
even though he wasn't like the world's greatest pitch or
anything like that. He would give you those consistent five
to six settings. And that's always something that you do

(20:09):
want to be mindful of. But you do want to
be taking a look at all, right, what's a guy's
strikeout to walk ratio, what is a guy really giving
up in terms of just base runners in general, and
something that goes a little bit under the radar. And
I wish baseball did this because back when I was
a kid, I always thought that walks and hit by
pitches were all sort of lumped together. I come to

(20:30):
find out many many years later that they are not
all lumped together. That's something that I do take a
look at as well, because when you have the leg
leader and hit by pitches, they might have like a
walks per nine rate of two and a half, but
when you add those in there, it's more like three
and a half. So that's something that you do want
to be a little bit mindful of, And that's something
that I do incorporate with regards to my handicap when
I do take a look at some of these guys

(20:50):
in terms of their overall pitching splits. But something that
I think that you guys have picked up on as
well is that I really do value these guys that
they pitch well slash not well on the road. Like
we go back to Sunday, A big reason why I
was fading the heck out of Logan Web is that
if you take a look at him throughout his career,
very very good in San Francisco, a guy that I

(21:11):
love to be all back in San Francisco is ra
on the road over the last two years has been
about two points higher. That I think is just oh
so critical to be taking a look at, especially these
guys that pitch out there on the West Coast, because
San Francisco very much a pitcher's ballpark Seattle, very much
a pitcher's ballpark. Oakland during the nighttime, especially as a
pitcher's ballpark during the daytime, get me a little bit

(21:33):
more hitter friendly. And I don't utilize a ton of
data night splits. I will in a few circuit circumstances,
like in Oakland with a picture. That's something that I
will actually utilize it for when it comes to a picture.
And like Tampa Bay, for example, the day night splits
don't matter. Like I mean, if a guy is struggling
during the nighttime, I just think that that's just a

(21:54):
little bit circumstantial. Sure, there are some people are day
people there, some people are night people. But I really
don't lump it in too much, whereas in a ballpark
like Oakland, Yeah, there's a reason why this picture might
be struggling a little bit more during the daytime rather
than the nighttime. Like we all recall to Jacob de
Gram'm always used to be like the daytime wizard. I
have no idea how, and I have no idea why,

(22:15):
But that's something that I would factor in as well.
And if you just see something very glaring like that,
you do want to be taking it into account, like
right now, now that we're getting a nice data size
with regards to the pitcher versus hitter data as well,
you're gonna notice I'm going to be looking to Baxilam.
These scenes have been able to do a very good
job against lefties and fading other teems that do not

(22:36):
like looking at the San Diego Padres for example, them
hitting a buck ninety four right now this season against
left hand and pitching meanwhile absolutely raking righties. That's something
that you do want to be accounting for. I typically
won't go like batter to batter for that. If you're
looking to play props, I would say you certainly want
to do that. I know that we have on this
show mid major Matt Joseph, who always does a tremendous job,

(22:58):
and I know that this is all that he always
takes a look at in terms of a DFS standpoint.
I know that we've got a few other folks in
terms of props. I'll need to get on jovon Alford,
who I know that he does a pretty solid job
on this front as well. We'll probably get him on
within the next few weeks. That's something that he does
a nice job, I'll be able to take a look
at as well. But that's something where I do take
a look at things from a team by team basis,

(23:19):
and something that I've utilized a little bit more this
year as well is trying to take a look at
some upside with these teams as well, because now with
the event of Baseball, Baseball Savant has done a really
nice job of being able to give us just sort
of what the banning average is currently versus the expected
banding average. Like right now, if you take a look
at the expected banning averages of these teams, you've got
some teams that have gotten what has been relatively deserved

(23:42):
and some teams have gotten a little bit lucky slash unlucky.
If you can guess who the team with the lowest
expected banning averages, I don't think that'll come as a surprise,
but that's a called rad Rockies. But the Rockies are
actually hitting eighteen points currently above what is being expected,
and that tells you that even though the Rockies have stump,
the stink could actually get even worse. And that's something

(24:03):
that you do want to point out because a lot
of people think that just because a team is playing
bad that they're and I quote do for one, well, actually,
in the case of the Colrad Rockies, they are not.
They're actually due for even worse results, which that I
find to be just absolutely incredible. And if you do
take a look at leg wide, and something that Baseball
Savant does as well, and I really like, is that

(24:24):
they're looking at what is expected for the league. Like
right now, the leag banning average is a two thirty nine,
the expected league banning average is a two forty six,
and the expected slugging percent should be going upwards a
little bit, which that tells me that the Major League
Baseball might be getting juiced up a little bit more.
Nudge nudge, wink wink. And I'm not a conspiracy guy

(24:45):
by any stretch of the imagination. I say this because
baseball has done it all the stink and time, like
it's not really a well kept secret by Baseball whatsoever.
And I mean, it's been a pretty miserable year for
home runs. If you've been taking a lot of home
run propsy, probably I have not been anting at the
rate that they have in past years. But that's certainly
something that I do take a look at it and

(25:05):
there are some times I take a look at, Like
I was just pointing out with pictures home and roadsplots,
I think that those are absolutely critical to be taking
a look at. It's a big part of my handicap,
and you'll notice it with a lot of my DK
network right ups, I will be putting in there a
I'm backing this guy because he pitches really really well
at home and he's at home today and something like that. Well,

(25:25):
something that I'm not going to be taking a look
at is like days of the week, Like I don't
think that there's any correlation to a guy having a
point lower year and Wednesday than he does on Thursday. Like,
I have no idea how you'd even quantify that, because
teams have just different rotations in general, and there are
some teams that they just go with a five man rotation.

(25:45):
Sometimes it's sixth man rotation. Sometimes they want to give
a guy an extra day of rest, Like how do
you just pitch better on like a Wednesday rather than
Thursday without it just being some just random act. And
I who knows. Maybe you're facing off against like the
Chicago White Sox every Wednesday and every Thursday, you're facing
off against the LA Dodgers. Yeah, that's gonna play into

(26:06):
it a little bit as well. So that's always something
to be very mindful of. And I know they've been
asked this about as well, and this is something that
I don't utilize. That'd be umpires blitz. I just assume
that every umpire is going to be against me in
every single stinking game. And I just say, you know what,
I'm probably gonna get to the short end in the
sick yere. We live and we learn. But I mean
for umpires, they're just as inconsistent as players as well.

(26:29):
Like one day an umpire will actually give you a
good game, one day the umpire will give you a
bad game. What's actually ironic is there's some consistency that
you can find with umpires, and it's two of them
in particular, C. B. Buckner along with angel Ornandez. And
you know what's consistent about them. They both suck. And
that's the only sort of consistency that you get with umpires.

(26:50):
That's a big reason why I don't really look at
the umpire data, because once you get the data on
a guy, he's probably gonna start to be a little
bit more inconsistent. You got Angel Ernandez who just doesn't
give to you know what's about his job as well,
So I mean there will be one day where he
might actually give you a halfway decent go of it.
But I mean, how are you supposed to know what
blown calls are actually going to be made. There's absolutely

(27:12):
no way of being able to do so. That's a
big reason why I just don't utilize on fire data.
I know there are some people that do, and credit
to you if you do. I personally am someone that
do not, and I utilize weather data as well. Especially
you'll be noting in the game that is going to
be going down on Monday out there in regular field,
I will be benching, Hey, the wind is blowing in. Obviously,
there are some ballparks in which you don't have to

(27:34):
factor this in too much, and there's just some ballparks
in general. Sometimes the roof is open, sometimes the roof
is closed. I do my best to be able to
take a look at that. Many ballparks other than Arizona
don't really give you that data. You just have to
take your own best scientific guess on that. And that's
something that I do account for in my handicap as well,
But that's something that you do want to take a
look at. As a matter of fact, if you just

(27:55):
typen Arizona Ballpark, open, close the roof, and type that
into Google, you're able to find it. And that's the
biggest thing with taking a look at data for baseball
as well. If you have a question about data, if
you type it into Google, you'll probably actually get your answer.
Like baseball sabermetrics and baseball statistics are easier to find
than ever before. Like so many people were asking me, hey,

(28:18):
how do you know that this guy's velocity has been
dipping or not? What I literally did to be able
to figure out pictures that were dipping in velocity, that
were picking up velocity, what have you in terms of
spring training? I literally went to Google and I put
picture velocity increase, picture velocity dip, and that gave me
all the answers. So that way I knew Mitch Keller
coming into the year he was experiencing a velocity dip,

(28:40):
was able to ride that. You saw that a few
years ago. I know that Zach Wheeler was not able
to get in his work in spring training. I think
it was in like twenty twenty two, so it was
horrible in the first month of the season, and then
after that he was able to pick it up. Those
are the sorts of things that I do. I think
that's very important that if you have a question on something,
just type it into the old Google machine, which I

(29:00):
know it doesn't sound like it's the world's most complicated thing,
but you know what, it typically gives you some relatively
good results. And then in terms of more of the
betting trends that we see, I do use things like
team rankings. They do a nice job. I'll be able
to give you home at road splits as well, so
if you're looking at that on the offensive side of
things that's relatively rock solid, you're able to take a
look at a team is doing in terms of pretty

(29:22):
much every betting split, like they're overserra hitting at home,
they're underrate when they're on the road. And then Covers
does a nice job of taking a look at things
league wide and well probably have someone from Covers and
our good friend Andrew Kayley joining me in the next
few days, so shout out to his website, because whenever
you hear the just overall league wide stats, what we
all saw on the previous days in terms of the
oversend the unders covers. That is my go to and

(29:44):
my go to for being able to break down baseball
is the Greg Peterson spreadsheet, which you're gonna hear me
break down everything. I'm gonna give you guys my picks
and analysis, what I'm all seeing in these games for Monday,
and going to try to get the guys some winners
up next asdeed touch them.

Speaker 1 (29:58):
All breaking down every game every day in Major League Baseball.
Greg Peterson.

Speaker 2 (30:08):
Remember beg here let me Las Vegas for the Baseball
Betting Shoe with myself, Greg Peterson now part of the
Vson Family podcasts. That was a little bit of a
segment number two that I made on the fly. So
did you like what you're did you not like what
you heard where you're a little bit indifferent to it
and you just wanted to fast forward in order to
be able to hear the picks and analysis. Let me
know how G and N underscore eighty one because I

(30:30):
just want to be making this podcast a little bit
better for you guys. If you want more guests, if
you want less guests, if you want to just keep
things away that they are, please do let me know.
So just had to do a little bit of something
on the fly as we had some unforeseen things happen.
But hopefully you guys enjoyed that, and hopefully you guys
enjoyed that. Says now it's that time the podcast. I
give you picks an analysis on every game on the
betting board for this Baseball Monday, as we touch them all.

(30:52):
If a game is listed on the betting board, Greg
has a side and a total on it, so it
is time to touch them all. This starts with nine
on the betting board. The San Francisco Giants. They're on
the road. They're facing off against the Philadelphi Phillies. Has
Mason Black makes his MLB debut for the Giants and
Zach Wheelan and Eland Wheeler is on the bump for
the Philadelphie Phillies. We did not know that Black was

(31:14):
gonna be getting to start until late at night, so
the only numbers that we're seeing are up at circus.
The Phillies are minus one Needy some favorites, plus one
sixty nine year number on San Francisco with a total
of eight the unders, minus one twenty on the overs
even and with the Phillies if you're looking to lay
a run half with them right now, I'm seeing that
at a plus one o nine and I'm gonna be
one to lay the run half now. Mason Black has

(31:35):
actually been really good in the PCL, and the PCL
is sort of like a juice ball league. It's a
leg where eras for pitchers go to die. And he's
got to sub one twenty five r thus far this season.
He's actually a little bit of a local guy. He
pitched over at the Lehigh Mount Knox that's in the
state of Pennsylvania, the old Patriot League. But that said,

(31:55):
I do think that has called from the minor Lakes
is going to be out a little bit much for
him in this circumstance, and they could use them to
line a little bit of length after Loogan Webb did
not necessarily give the start that the San Francisco Giants
were lying pine yesterday. But for the Giants there a
whole bullpen has just been unreliable this year. Really, both
of these seams are in the bottom me with regards
to their bullpenny. Right, you've got the Rogers Brothers for

(32:17):
the Giants, who have been relatively solid Long Camellion of all,
but guys like Grandy Rodriguez, Eric Miller, they're just unreliable.
And for the Philadelphia Phillies typically the first month of
the season they're relatively rough for the bullpen, but even
yesterday they did not look so great. You need to
get Oase al Varado, Gregory Sotiserri Antony Dominguez online. Though
Jeff Hoffman has been pretty darn solid this far this season,

(32:38):
so I had something encouraging. But the Phillies, I do
believe have the better lineup. Even with Trade Turner being
up the fold. You've still got Alec Bowman's been able
to give you four to thirty on base. He's been
able to apply four home runs. You've been able to
by Bryce Harper, Brandon Marsh being able to combine for
thirteen home runs. You've got Marsh now heating about it
two sixty five and Gosh Warber not any for a
lot of average, but he's got his eight bomps as well,

(32:59):
so that's big for the Philadelphia phil He's in for
the San Francisco Giants, he's just been all over the
place in terms of trying to be able to get
guys to move the line again on base, I feel
like Jungle Lee, is it better than the two forty
five average and two home runs with in the cave
You've got Theius Trauda or as Hilaire, Michael Conforto, all
with five home runs, but all these guys at two
ninety eight on base or worse. So that's been a

(33:20):
bit of a problem. You've been able to have Michael
Conforto be able to give you a little bit more
in terms of average as he had theory at Strata
hovering right around bout a two fifty five. But for
Matt Chapman, even though he's supplied the four home runs
that he's had two sixty five on base billion, nobody
other than the Matway Junior has been able to move
the line for this team. So I do think that
they're going to be up against it against the guy
in Zach Wheeler has always been able to pitch a
little bit better in Philadelphia than he has on the road,

(33:42):
but really everywhere he has been tremendous this year. He's
been able to give you Durniere eleven strikeouts per nine
innings he's only giving up about it, but two and
a half walks per nin and nings has been sharp
from start to finish recently, with one run surrendered over
the course of eighteen and third innings over his last restarts.
Granted won those starts was against these Coga White Sox.
Another was against the La Angels, but he has really

(34:03):
been living up to his nickname that I give him
a Wheeland and DeLand. But I do think that for
the Giants, they'll be able to get a little bit
of something here. But I do think that the color
for black, He's probably not gonna be able to last
very long in the start in terms of just his
ability to be able to go deep. And I do
think that the Philadelphia Phillies gonna be able to cover
him up. And both of these bullpens have been rough,
so did tithing, tolling to eighty pointy six. I'm looking

(34:24):
at the over and with the Phillies, I'm gonna be
one to lay a run half. I'm going to lay
up to a minus. Want to wait on that run
line nine fifty three, nine fifty four on the banking board.
This is gonna be the DK network right a pick
as the chicag Cubs, but we'll see San Diego. Padres
says you. Darvish goes for the Pods, and Justin Steele,
the Man of Steel, is on the bump for the clubs,
and Cubs find themselves as between minus one fourteen to
minus one twenty favorites and between minus one oh two

(34:46):
to plus one oh six is your number on San Diego?
Seven is the total I'm seeing at circle. Nobody else
has supposed set up a total quite yet that over
is minus one twenty in the unders. Even when is
supposed to be blowing a little bit more directionally, not
necessarily in towards the time of this game, it's gonna
be blowing in a little bit more towards the afternoon time.
So something total closer to an eight. I'm gonna be

(35:07):
willing to go with an over on an eight or less.
But right the pick is gonna be on the Cubs
money line. I set them out of minus one forty two.
For Justin Steele, he has been absolute nails for this
Cubs team over the last few seasons. It's only made
one start this far this season. He got the opening
day start against the Texas Rangers, went out with I
believe it was a growing injury, so a little bit
more of a lower body issue. But I have faith

(35:28):
that he's gonna be able to come back in and
he's not going to be missing a beat. It's not
like he had some sort of an arm or shoulder
injury or anything like that. And last season for Steele
in the era of A three point zero six, was
given up just one point nine walks per nine innings
while getting nine draycouts for nine ennings and was all
the more dominant at home with a zero point four
to five home runs per nine R eight two sixty

(35:49):
five ERA, and he gets to go up against a
former chicag cub and U darv issue. Thus far this
season has been bad, hasn't been amazing three forty five
ar a three walks to about eight strikeouts per nine,
But since he got to San Diego, probably to the
start of the twenty twenty one campaign, just as not
been the same on the road as he has been
at home three thirty eighty are of two point one
walks per nine and nnings at home away from home

(36:11):
to and a half walks for nine ennings four forty
two ERA and backed up by a Padres team that
is hitting up buck ninety four as a collective against left.
He's at the very least they were entering into Sunday. Now,
the good news is you bringing Louise Rise and he
should be able to hold down the four to help
the team out. Five hits in eleven at bats as
far this season. So then all up out a Padres team,
then in general they're doing a better job of moving

(36:32):
the line this year. You bring in Louise Campisana to
replace Gary Sanchez at the catcher spot, Jackson Maryland instead
of Trent Grisham on the outfield. These guys have been
rock solid. Honestly, He's appaying a lot of power Rise.
That's more of what you're going to be able to
get out of Manny Machado Lon Fernando Tatis Junior. You're
buying twelve home runs out of both of these guys,
both between about a two to fifty to see. Jake
Cronilworth has had a nice season as well, about a

(36:53):
three to fifty on base, six bombs, but other than
drinks and profar has really giving you a four to
thirty on base. I do think that the Padres are
going to be up against it just a little bit.
And for the Cubs, even though they've been dealing with
the injuries to c A. Suzuki Cody Bollinger, this team
still leads the league at terms of runs per game
at home. They're putting up darn near about five and
a half runs per contest when they are at home.
As Christopher Morel, who's at a relatively rough start to

(37:15):
the season, he's been able to really pick it up.
He's went deep twice in the last four days. Michael Bush,
he's been able to give you about a three twenty
on base. He's been able to sply six home runs.
It's been a little bit cold in the home run
department after he had five home runs in five s
three games. But so I have plenty of guys like
Mike Takman Nico Horner will been able to above a
two to seventy five for the team, So that's been

(37:36):
very helpful. Been able to get a little bit of selfing,
including a helmet used to be able to protect the
base by Pete Crow Armstrong as well as he's a
young twenty two year old who's able to move the line.
And for the Cups, though they are twenty second in
the big leagues terms of bullpenny area. You got some
nice tough light pieces for this team, as you've been
able to have Actor and Aris along with Mark later
Junior come in. We leave you a nice job holding

(37:57):
down the fort if justin Seal because this is his
first off the injury list is unable to deliver a
lot of length. You've got a guy in Keagan Thompson
and say it will be a little bit of a
long guy as well. For the San Diego Patres, they're
offering gread round bout some teeth of the Liga trips.
They're bullpenny rate. I believe that they're actually a little
bit better than this. I'd like to all the pickups
of Janni Peralta and Ye del Santo's couple with Yuki
Matsui Como sob from the knee Poem Baseball League, except

(38:20):
for the Patres. They only got three innings yesterday on
Matt Walder and so this is a little baby a
tax bullpen, even though Roberts Forz has been very good
at the closer spot. I write a pick that's gonna
be on the Cubs money line, and I'm willing to
lay up to a minus one forty two there and
somebody total to wear at an eight or less. I'm
gonna be looking at the over so looking over at
my right up. That is going to be on the
Cubs Monny line nine fifty five, nine fifty six on
the bank board. The New York Mets that throw at

(38:41):
the facing up against the Saint Louis cardles, Kyle Gibson
goes for the cards in Sean Manet is on the
bump for the Mets. The Mets who find themselves as
underdogs between plus one oh five and plus one ten
minus one nineteen minus one twenty five is the number
on Saint Louis. It is a total overs between minus
one tend to a minus one twenty the understanding between
even at minus one ten. I did set the Mets
where pretty much any sort of a plus number would

(39:03):
do on them. I set a man a plus one
h two, so going to be willing to dive in.
He got so many. Kyle Gibson, who's starting to give
up a little bit more contact than he has the
past seasons. He's got about a one point four home
runs per nine rate three seventy ninety ra overall for
the season, but that field independent is well north of
fourt He's also been giving up a few more walks
in normal a little bit over three walks Bernin and
Nnings going up against someone in seamaneo that while he

(39:25):
has five walks rendered in five innings, he's really been
able to do a nice job of keeping the ball
in the arc, given up just one home run in
twenty nine plus innings. He's been able to get an
earth of nine straightcouts per nine and Ennings, and really,
over his last five starts stands that one just bad
one against THEA can't say Royals, where he gives up
six earned runs, he has been pretty dominant. He's given
up one, two or zero runs in every one the

(39:46):
other ones I include starts against the LA Dodgers and
the Chicago Cups, so set a nice job holding it
down there. And he's got a Mets bullpend that ranks
fourth in the Big Leagues behind him in terms of
VRA getting back Edwin Diaz has been absolutely massive for
this team, and even with Brooks rele out the full
due to injury, f had so many guys be able
to stop up like Adam Ota. You know Jake Deakmanrie Garrant.
These are guys who've been able to do a very

(40:07):
solid job being able to supply relatively good era. Saint
Steakman who's had a four to twenty two, and I
think that he's going to be able to pick it up.
Where you have trepidation with the Mets is in terms
of the lineup. You've been able to have Petere Lonz
to supply eight home runs at Francisco Lindor six, but
both of these guys they sub three hundred nine base
Both of these guys inting below a two ten got
the Lakes up some Vader Brett Betdi and Sarlian Marte,
though of the Marte parte give you a tween about

(40:28):
a two seventy two tow eighty averageeser guys, they're doing
a nice job to be able to move the line.
It's a Mets team that has been a little bit
all over the place just in terms of their righty
lefty splits as well, which is very interesting to see.
This is a Mets team that against right and pitching,
they just have not been able to do anything whatsoever.
So that's going to be a little bit of an
issue for them. But this is a Saint Louis Cardinals
team that they have not been able to at righty's.

(40:49):
They have not been able to left east and Will
Scadris is right now carrying the team. He's been able
to supply the team with six home runs as far
this season. He's been able to give you nearly a
four hundred on base. But for the Saint Louis Cardinals,
they're currently ending out buck eighty three against lefties, and
Sean Maney is one of them. They've had four home
runs in two hundred and seventy three at PATS. I
believe that they are second worst than the big leagues
in terms of home runs per at bat against left

(41:10):
handed pitching. And the young guys like Lars Newpar, Victor Scott,
Jordan Walker, Michael Sinee, I mean, they've been interchanging these guys.
I think that they've had at least one of these
guys sent down to the minor leagues, but they're all
just not producing in general. Paul Goldschman looks old. He's
been able to give you two home runs. He's sitting
at two away. Nolan Arnatto's honestly done a solid job.

(41:30):
Being able to move the line three fifty on base,
but you expect more than two home runs out of VM.
Mason win has really stepped up to his credit. But
except for the Cardinals, they have been rough in terms
of offense. I do think that the BET's gonna have
a little bit of a tough time generating offense as
well against the Cardinals bullpen that's ow about league average
in terms of ra They bringing Andrew Kitchrich, who has
been very good from the Tampa Bay race. Ryan Elsley
was an all star reliever two seasons ago, but do

(41:52):
have a few others that only have been a little
bit less than trustworthy thus far the season. I actually
like Ryan Fernandez and his upside, but Andre Polante is
currently out of the fold. You've got Leahy, You've been
able to have as well as someone like a Giovanni
Gei Goos just not be able to give you much
of anything. All those guys north of a four to
seventy ara A so circumstance, we're here at a plus
one h three or higher going to be looking at

(42:13):
the Bets winning line and did some I toll some
point seven. Both of these offense certainly have been struggling,
So I like the under, and I do like the
Mets on the money line nine fifty seven nine to
fifty eight on the banking board. The Eli Dodgers playoffs
to the Miami Marlins. Roderiu Munos is on the bump
for the Marlins. Say you got Walker Bueeler on the
bump for the Dodgers. The Dodgers, who find themselves as
mess a favorites any between minus two sixty five to

(42:35):
minus two eighty. Meanwhile, if you're taking to look at
the Miami Marlins, it's saying between plus two fifteen and
plus two thirty Dolls games eight and a half. The
under his minus one fifteen and the over is minus
one of five. And I did some I total a
nine point two. I'm gonna be looking at the over
and with the Dodgers, I was willing to go up
to a minus one forty two in terms of laying
a run half. I know you'll find that run line
at a minus one twenty five. Recognize a Walker Beeeler

(42:57):
has not made a start at the big League bubble
since the end of the twenty twenty two campaign. But
I just cannot get behind this Miami Marlins team at all,
and for Walker Beeler, I do think that he's probably
gonna be on a pretty strict pitch count. I think
that there's gonna be a short leash on him. As
at the minor league bubble he pitched relatively okay a
four to one five ERA. Over course of the eight starts,

(43:17):
he was getting about nine strikeouts per nine, and he's
he was looking better and better as things were going along,
as has been a long rehab process for him in general.
But I do think that for Walker Beeler, though, he's
probably not going to be looking like an All star
coming out here. He has given up now one run
or fewer in three out of his last five rehab
appearances and two runs are free and all but one

(43:38):
of them, so that's he'll be that is very encouraging,
and swinging miss stuff was getting better and better as
sings went along. So I do think that he's going
to come in and it's going to be relatively fine
against the Miami Marlins team that has been one of
the worst offenses in the big leagues. And now you
take Luisa Rise out of the fold to us the
main guy in terms of being able to move the
line being able to have Brian day La Cruz, who's
been able to supply six home runs. He's done a
solid job being able to reach base with about a

(44:01):
two sixty five average. But this team is missing Jake Berger,
is really the best power bat for the team, and
now you just don't have guys in general they're able
to get on base for this team. In terms of
guys who are currently in the lineup that have seen
at least sixty at bats as far this season, you've
got one guy that's sitting upbove a two thirty four
and Dla Cruz. You've got Jacks Shizelmho's sitting about a

(44:21):
two thirty four, and everyone else is hitting a two
eighteen or lower. And all those guys hitting a two
eighteen or lower, it's not like they're doing a great
job getting at base. All I had a two ninety
three or words Josh Bell getting a buck ninety seven
three home runs, you're hoping for a little bit more there.
The entire catcher spot is bad for the same Christian
bethlen Corps, Nick Fortes. These are two guys hitting below
a buck fifty right now. Joanna Bride is giving you nothing.

(44:43):
And it's all compounded by the fact that the Miami
Marlins have absolutely no bullpen whatsoever. Guys like and youre Nardi, Tanners, Scott,
George Soriano. These guys that were very good in this
bullpen this past season in twenty twenty three, well this
year they sort of stink. They're currently twenty five in
the big leagues in terms of the bullpenny Aray, all
these guys are posting up all north of a five

(45:04):
here ian for the Lli Dodgers. It's not like the
bullpen has been amazing. They do lose guys like Victor
Scott from a season ago, but they're back in the
top ten in terms of bullpenny Ray Joke. Ellie is
a guy that you absolutely do want to avoid, but
someone like a Michael Grove is able to give you
a little bit of length if you can't necessarily get
the length that you're hoping for out of Walker Dealer
Blake trying it and it's finally back in the fold
for the seam when he's on, he is on. Evan

(45:26):
Phillips has been incredible for this bunch as well, so
being able to get this run line price. Where I
am able to get it, I'm gonna be willing to
lay it because with the ELI Dodgers, they have won
two hundred and thirty two regular season games since the
beginning of the twenty twenty two campaign. All but thirty
six have been by multiple runs. Say you just take
a look at the top of the fold, Mookie Bets,
say askar and and it's combined fourteen home runs between

(45:46):
the two of them. Joyo Toanni now is ten home runs.
Both I and Mookie Bets have north of a four
to twenty five on base. Will Smith Freddie Freeman both
are also giving you north of a three to ninety
five on base. Both of these guys down a little
bit in terms of their power numbers, but next months
three seventy on base, eight home runs. The seam is
all won the best at being able to generate walks
as well. So I think that Roderi Munos was everything

(46:07):
about eight walks per nine endings at the minor league.
Bubble has honestly looked a little bit better here. In
his few starts at the major league level eleven innings,
he's given up just three runs along the way. But
I do think that he's really gonna be up against
it against this LA Dodgers team. I do like the
Dodgers laying a run half up to a minus one
forty two and you're at this total, I'm gonna be
one to take it over. Set mine out a nine
point two nine to fifty nine nine sixty on the

(46:28):
bank board. The Cleveland Guardians players to the Detroit Tigers,
says Captain Jack Clarity is gonna be on the bump
for the Tigers, and it is Tristan McKenzie who's on
the bump for Cleveland. Cleveland is any between a minus
one fifteen to a minus one twenty two favorite and
between plus one h two to plus one o six
as your number one. Detroit seven a half is the
total the Unders minus one fifteen. The over is minus

(46:49):
one oh five, and I'm gonna be taking a look
at you over. I did something total at some point nine.
Cleveland Guardians have been a top eight team in terms
of run creation all season long, and even though this
team is not necessarily get be able to generate like
amount of power that allowed them to be a tough
five team in the Big leagues with regards to home runs.
They've got functional power this year, which is much more
than what you're able to say the past two seasons,

(47:09):
arriving about a home run per game. Josh Naylor Ose
Ramirez leaning the charge with the combined fourteen home runs
between the two of them. Ramirez needs is starting for
a little bit more average, only hanging about a two thirty.
But with Josh Naylor a bought a three fifty on base,
you've had the likes of a Andre sa Menez being
able to step up as well. He's sitting at two
seventy and Stephen Quantitt the leadoff spot has been pretty
good north of four armed base three point fifty three average.

(47:32):
Now you've got the likes of Boat Naylor, Estevan Florel,
Ramond Loreano. He's guys sitting in beth of the Mendo's
line of a two hundred. But on all I do
take a look at this bunch, I do like what
I'm seeing there, and they do an especially good job
against the lefties. Now, Captain Jack Flaherty is a right
In last we saw Captain Jack Flarity, he was getting
pold with like fifteen strikeouts against the San Louis Cardinals,

(47:52):
and he looked very, very nasty in that start. But
for flaerity, he's just all over the place. You don't
know what you're gonna be able to get from him
night and out. As prior to that starting, I'd give
it up three plus runs in each out of his
previous fourth starts. We all know that the with rate
is very, very high with him, and for the credit
of Jack Claerty, he's only give it up five walks
in thirty six innings. In my opinion, he has pitched

(48:13):
well better than that four year and he's backed up
by a tremendous bullpen as well. If you got the
likes of a Jason Foley, Andrew chaf and Alex Fayato,
these guys give you a sub three five ear A
Shelby Miller has been solid, Alex Lang has been solid,
but on the flip side. For the Cleveland Guardians. This
is also one of the best bullpens in the big leagues.
He removed Tyler Beedie and they're probably number one terms
of bullpenny ray. But that said, you've been able to

(48:35):
get really good addings out of the likes of Hunter Gaddis,
Tim Herron, Kate Smith. All these guys are able to
do a nice job. I'll be able to hold down
the fort and for Tristan McKenzie to come a little
bit of time to be able to figure it out.
He was injured pretty much all of last season after
during the twenty twenty two campaign posted up a two
ninety five yarra. He was getting about nine strike cuts
about two and a half walks per nine ennings. As
far this season, the strackout numbers are down. He's only

(48:56):
been able to get about seven and a half strike
cuts per nine and ennings and the walks have been
an issue. But last two starts that combined three walks
any eleven innings giving up two runs a piece of
the Astros and the Boston Red Sox relatively good starts
out there, and I do think that he's gonna do
a nice job signing a Detroit Tiger's team that if
you look at the overall season numbers, this bunch is
in the bottom meet in the Big leagues with regards

(49:16):
to runs per game. The power numbers are not there.
Twenty nine home runs in just thirty four games thus
far as the season. Riley Green has been great here
Marcana both are them with three seventy on bas Cana
has been able to give you five home runs, so yes,
he can of give you some power. Ran for Ailey
Green eight home runs for him th far this season.
But you take a look at some of these guys
towards Boon in the fold that are just doing nothing

(49:37):
for you, Parker Meadows, Jake Rogers, Hovey Bias. These guys
are inting below a two hundred. That's been an issue.
Enzio Perez has been a nice fine though, by the way,
three home runs, hitting about a three hundred, He's been
able to really step it up. But for this Detroit
Tiger's team, they're just a little bit too built around there. Pitching,
I do think that Jack Flerty, you're gonna have a
few struggles here against the poleeblic Guardians, a team that
does a nice job of not striking out, and I

(49:59):
do think that that is go to be the alixer here.
And I do think that both of these seats to
him for a little bit of regression in the bullpen
as well. So I did set the Guardians out of
minus one twenty three. I'm gonna be willing to lay
the money line with them. And did something I told
at some point nine, So at the seven and a half,
also looking at you over nine sixty one, nine sixty
two on the banking board, the Chicago White Sox hit
the road the facing off against the Tampa Bay Rays.
Currently the betting board reads to be determined for the

(50:21):
Chicago White Sox and to be determined for the Tampa
Bay Ray. So this game is off the board. When
I was looking at the probable starters on ESPN, they
were showing Mike Soroka for the White Sox and Tyler
Alexander for the Rays. And with these two guys slotted in,
I set the Rays out of minus one fifteen on
the run line, I need at least a plus two
twenty five to take a shot on the White Sox

(50:42):
on the money line, and in reguards to total, I
set it to where seven a half or less. I'm
looking at the over and eight or higher through the under.
And if you get Mike Soroka out there, man, this
guy's not been tremendous to say that as far our
good friend and mister Mike Soroca, he has been getting
about four and NiFe strakecouts per nine and and he's
he's actually got more walks and strikeouts. He's given up
seven home runs at thirty three and a third Endings

(51:03):
gave up a combined four runs in his last two
starts against the Minnesota Twins. But the Twins honestly are
not good in terms of their lineup, and if you
do get Tyler Alexander, you probably want him to be
coming out of the bullpen as as a little bit
more of a shall we say both guy. Thus far
this season he seems to be a little bit more
effective than he has been in a true starters role.
But I said, for Alexander, the big thing for him

(51:25):
is just being able to keep the walks down. Throughout
his career. He's been about a two point two walks
per nine enny guy. And it's very likely that we're
just probably gonna see an opener ear for the Tampa
Bay race. But for mister Alexander, he's done a nice
job here. Recently, is given up a combined seven runs
or over the course of his last four starts slash
both appearances going against the Yankees and the Milwaukee Brewers
in that time spent not gonna give you a lot

(51:46):
of swinging miss but ill. I know, this is a
nice job to be able to hold down the Ford
end for the Tampa Bay Race have to feel like
they were able to find their offense a little bit
more in that series against the New York Mets. They
were able to hang a combined twenty runs in those
three games. So do you like to see that as
Eazach Parades has been to give you seven home runs
as far as the season, and you really only have
two other guys to give you north of three home runs,
Randy rose Arena being one, dumb Richie Palasios being the other.

(52:09):
So this has been a relatively powerless team. And even
though Randio rose Arena has given you five home runs,
he's got a grand total of eighteen hits as far
as the season, and he's currently ending a buck forty three.
That is a big giant issue. You've had a few
other guys just be disappointments in generalized. Curtis Meade, couple
with Jose Siri, Andy Shelton, these are guys hitting a
two twenty or lower. Rene Pinto, it's not giving you

(52:30):
a lot at the catcher spot. Though Ben road Fit
he has not gone deep as far as the season
but a four to forty on base. So that's been
a nice little pleasant surprise, but has been a not
so pleasant surprise the dam BA Bay Rays being absolutely
off in the bullpen. They were currently in the bottom
in the Big Leagues. With regrets Bullpenny Ray, they're currently
without p Fairbanks, who when he was in the fold
he is not necessary too tremendous for this team. The

(52:50):
guys are really getting it done for the seam as
Jason Adam mclong, Garrett Clovender, both of these guys supplying
a subbit two twenty five Yre and Kevin Kelly has
been relatively solid as well. But you take a look
at at the likes of a Manuel Rodriguez, Cam Poucheto
I'm pretty sure is now on the injured list now
as well, Jacob Lopez, Phil Mainten. These are guys give
you north of his sixty RA then go up against

(53:10):
the White Sox team though that they themselves arend the
bottom ten in the Big Leagues. With regards to Bullpenny Ray,
the likes of Davy Garcil, lot of Steven Wilson are
just not couldn't get Wilson honestly doesn't have the world's
worst cra But Michael kopek j just contems to give
up home run after home run dominique cleone, just as
he will to provide too much. And for the White Sox,
yay verily that they're up to three road wins as
far as the season, but they're still dead last in

(53:31):
the Big leagues in terms of home runs. They are
lance in the league with regards to their overall betting
average at about a two eleven. As you've got so
many guys like Andrew ben Attendee, Kevin Polar, Andrew Vaughan
able to throw in their dominic Fletcher, Nicky Lopez owing
a two oh seven or worse if you had Eli
and Minister to pick it up a little bit eas
up to four home runs about a two ninety one
base and Tommy fam is sitting in north of a

(53:53):
two eighty five. He's cooled off a little bit, but
I don't I'll has been able to give the seam
a little bit of breath of life, but hard to
really have a lot of faith here in the White
I'm going to lay up to a mins one fifteen
on this raised run line and then seven a half
for less looking at the over eight or higher the under,
and I need at least help plus two twenty five
to take a shot on the Chicago White Socks nine
sixty three, nine sixty four on the betting board, the
Seattle manors and throw at their facing. Covagantcy Minnesota Twins says,

(54:15):
you've got Luis Castillo on the bump for Seattle and
Simeon Woods Richards is on the bump for the Twins.
The Twins to find themselves as underdogs. Anying between plus
one fourteen to plus one twenty minus one twenty seven
to minus one thirty five is your number on Seattle.
Seven a half to eight is a total on the hundreds,
between mins one twenty two minus one thirty overs between
even a plus one ten on the seven a half
over is minus one twelve and the unders minus one

(54:36):
to eight gonna be willing ride with the Mariners. I
did set them as a minus one thirty two favorite.
For Simeon Woods Richards, he's been able to be a
pretty competent pitcher in his first few starts, and if
you look at him at the minor league level, he
didn't do anything amazing. He didn't do anything terrible, and
that's sort of what I'm expecting here. Thus far, he's
been able to get about eight strikeouts per nine ennings
in a small sample size here at the major league level,

(54:58):
giving up about two and a half on nine innings
two nineteen fielding defend, which is very impressive, though that's
over the course of fourteen and two thirds endings, and
mostly because he has yet to give up a home
run this season. Now, for the Seattle manners has been
an issue where they've just not been able to generate
a lot of offense. But keep in mind they played
quite a few home games as far this season, and
for Seattle, you may recalled last season at home they

(55:19):
were about and four offense in the big leagues with
the guards runs per game, they were actually above average
road offense, and we could be seeing that once again
this season. You need Uljio Rodriguez to get some clutch
hits for you. But that said, you've been able to
have Kyle Rowley be able to sply the boom. He's
up to eight on runs as far this season. Again,
he Mitch Haniger, he now injured, JP Crawford, Dolme Moore.
These are guys hitting a two ten or lower. But

(55:41):
Josh Ross has been very good for the team. For
mister Ross, he's now hitting about a three to sixty.
He had a three eight game yesterday, So love what
I'm seeing there. Ori Polanco thinking for no average whatsoever,
but as been able to sply this team with five
home runs and evil with Seattle not getting a lot
of offense. This has been one of the best bullpens
in the big leagues. You've had so many of these
guys just cast it off into obscurity, like Tyson Miller,

(56:04):
Gabe Speier throw in there as well, Cody Bolton, Trent Thornton.
They've all been able to give you like a sub
three to five ra This team is in the top
five with regards. They're a Bullpenny Ray and for the
Minnesota Twins, they're a top seven team with reguards to
their era as well. They have brought in Leandernan, who
was out with an injury to begin the season. He's
back in the Gold. He's got a great introductory song.

(56:25):
I still go with Edwin Dizis personally, but I do
respect the game. You've got Griffin Jacks, Orel Kulla doing
an amazing job in this bullpen Steven Okurt, who comes
in from the Miami Marlins. He's been able to do
a nice job of holding down the ford as well.
So I don't think that there's gonna be a lot
of run scoring in this game. I do like the under,
but I do think that Luis Cassio is gonna be
able to continue the dominance that we've been seeing out

(56:45):
the Seattle man starters in twenty one on of the
last twenty two starts, and it was snapped yesterday to
be that lone outlier, a Seattle Manage starter has come
in and given up two earned runs or fewer. For Casio,
he's been a little bit wobbly this season, but now
he's been able to pick it up two urned runs
or fierce sur undered in each out of his last
four starts, and he has a walks under control. He
has given up just four walks in his last four starts.

(57:07):
If you look over all for the season, he is
giving up only about like one point seven one point
eight walks per nine Ningc's been able to do a
relatively solid job giving the ball in the yard. He's
given up one home run per nine ennings and he's
pitch much better than that. Three forty sixty RA would
indicate the field independent is a two to ninety three
feels up against a Minnesota Twins team that right now
they look okay on offense, but most of that is

(57:28):
because they had two series against the Chicago White Sox
and went against the La Angels over the last twenty
one or so days. That's really propping up their offense
that has been pretty unemic all season long. They're without
Ryce Lewis. They're also now without Byrobuckson. If you're looking
at this Minnesota Twins team, they're only averaging about three
point sixty seven runs per game at home. That's a
bottom four mark in the American League. Been able to

(57:50):
get some nice pop out of Edward Julian and Ryan Jeffers.
They've combined for thirteen er runs a start of this
season at Jeffers up to a three seventy five on base.
Now you're gonning back Carlos Correa, Max couple guys hanging
at least a two sixty four A in. Both of
these guys are worth ay three sixty interns are on
base so as relatively encouraging, But Carlos Santana, though he's
been a little bit better as of late, he's soiling

(58:10):
below the middles. I have two hundred long Kyle Farmer
as well, So I do have some issues with the
Twins line up, and I certainly do with the Seattle manners.
But I do think that in the end the Mariners
find a way to be able to get the job
done well. In the lay up to a minus one
thirty one on that Mariners money line and at a
seven a half to an eight, I'm looking at the
under nine sixty five nine sixty six on the bank board.
The Oakland A's playoffs to the Texas Rangers. Andrewhiney goes

(58:30):
for the Rangers and Alex wood is on the bump
for Oakland. Oakland is an underdog of any between plus
one fourteen to a plus one twenty. Meanwhile, between minus
one thirty to minus one thirty five as your number
on Texas and to on Schame is eight. The under
his minus one fifteen and the over is minus one
o five. If you're looking to lay a run half
with the Texas Rangers, you're going to be finding that

(58:50):
plus price anywhere between about a plus one thirty seeing
as high as a plus one forty out there, I
would need at least a plus one forty to be
able to lay a run half with Texas. I'm will
go up to a minus one twenty six on this
money line as well. So I'm gonna be deciphering what
we all get overnight. If we can get this down
to where the Texas Rangers are more like a minus
one twenty five favorite, we'll be willing to lay that.

(59:11):
If we could get up to a plus one twenty
seven or higher, I'll be taking a look at the
Oakland as it's a little bit TVD. If I had
to absolutely better right now, though, I would be looking
at the Rangers at North Hill plus one thirty five
laying a run half. But I'd said with the Oakland,
A's the biggest reason why I do have a little
bit more trepidation with Alex would than other starters is that, well,
he's the guy that's most untrustworthy right now for the Oakland.

(59:31):
A's north of Ay sixty RA, not like the fielding
independent is Sterling because he's given up about a home
run and a half for nine nings. He's been given
up nearly four and a half walks per nine and
Ennis is not a high swing miss guy. And now
he has to go up against a Texas Rangers team
that they were able to find themselves a little bit
more in that series against the Kansie Rails. This bunch
is now be able to get to at least six
runs in two other last four games for the Rangers.

(59:52):
I do think that they are going to be able
to pick it up on offense. Corey Seekers just had
a miserable start to the season to om runs hitting
at two twenty eight. You know the better than that.
They know why at Langford on the fold. But I
do feel like the likes of Jared Walsh, Laody tavera
seven carter, these guys sitting at two thirty five or lower,
they're gonna be able to pick it up a little bit.
Jared Walsh, I don't know if he's going to be

(01:00:13):
with the team anymore. I think that he's going to
be getting DF fade soon if he hasn't bet already.
But that said, you got Nate lowback the fold. He's
been able at north of the three hundred for the
seam and Adolas Garcia about a three forty five on
base eight home run. So these guys have been relatively
rock solid, and for the Rangers, they've been a pedestrian
offense as far this season. But it's better than the
Oakland A's, who they're still towards the bottom half of
the big leagues in terms of many offensive categories. They

(01:00:35):
just don't generate the same amount of offense when they're
at home rather than away from home. If you look
at the A's away from home, they're actually leading the
big leagues with regards to home runs per game on
the road. But for Oakland, they are now acting about
three point eight runs per game at home. That's still
a bottom twelve mark in the big leagues. Love that
is because of the twenty one run game that we

(01:00:56):
saw against the Miami Marlins. So prior to that they
were aving three runs per contest. So I saw my
question marks with regards to this Oakland A's offense. Shavelengeliras,
Brent Rooker. These guys have been able to give you
a combined fifteen home runs, but this is still a
team that is collective. They're atyting a two ninety in
terms around base they're ainting a two to fifteen with reguards,
they're batting average, and if you isolated to what they're
doing only at home, they're now hitting a two thirty

(01:01:17):
three once again. So much of that is based on
that twenty run game then we saw about forty eight
or so hours ago. But the one thing that this
Holkland A team is doing is that they have been
absolutely amazing out there in the bullpen. This Oakland A's
bullpen in the top eight in the big leagues with
regards are era. Mason Miller has been a tremendous Closers
still feel like he should be a starter, but that said,
he's been tremendous on that front. Then the likes of

(01:01:37):
Michael Kelly, Lucas Hersage giving you someth Era. Kyle Mueller
has been a relatively good long guy. Austin Adams has
been rock solid. That's big against how you range your
team as relatively big average. In terms of a bullpeny Ari,
you've been able to have Kirby Yates, David Robertson come
in and hold down the four for the seam, and
I like Jacob Blatza as well. They need to get
a say look for going he's been posting up north
of five era. And when it comes to Andrew Heeney

(01:01:59):
throughout his careage, it up the deep at one point
five home runs per nine innings for his career, he's
posting up north of a five year A feeling pen
is really not any more favorable than that, as he's
been giving up about three bucks per nine innings. And
for Andrew Heeney throughout his career, he's so he's been
a nice strikeout pitcher, but it's not only getting about
eight strikeouts for nine innings. That's far the season. So
at a minus one twenty six or loss, I'm gonna

(01:02:19):
be willing to lay it with the Rangers in at
least plus one twenty seven to take shot on the openings.
But did somebody till at eight point three, So you
got looking at the over nine sixty seven nine to
sixty eight on the bank board. The Pittsburgh Pirates playouts
c La Angels, Tyler Anderson goes for the hay Looves,
and Mitch Keller is on the bump for Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh
does find themselves as a favorite if any between minus
one forty two minus one forty eight between plus one

(01:02:40):
twenty four to two al plus one thirty two is
your number on Los Angeles. Eight is the total, the
over and the under any between minutes one a five
to a minus one fifteen want to go up to
a minus one forty two. With the Pirates, it's actually
opened up at a minus one thirty five, So at
most books, I'd still be willing to lay it up
to a minus one forty two. For Tyler Anderson. If
you look at the raw er, this guy has actually

(01:03:00):
been very good. He's been able to post up about
a two twenty three ra The man summery shows something
different is fielding independent is more than double his era
right round about a four to seventy five. He has
given up about one and a half home runs for
nine and Ennis. He's given up to our near four
walks for nine n He's not getting a lot of
swings and missus. That's an issue on When he had
that big year with the LA Dodgers two seasons ago,
he was only posting up about one point seven walks

(01:03:22):
for nine Ennis. He's well north of double that right now.
For Mitch Keller has been a little bit touch and
go for him as well. He was dealing with a
little bit of a lossity dip in spring training and
just has never been able to find it this season.
He's given up at least three runs in each out
of his last three starts. But that said, I do
think that he's pitching a little bit better than that
era would indicate about a five eighteen era feeling the

(01:03:42):
Independent is closer to about a four to two as
he's been able to get now about nine dry Cusper
nine and that's been coming back to him. And now
he gets to go up against an LA Angels team
as troutless Mike Drout being out of the fold has
really hurt this bunch. But you do have out there
a guy in Taylor Ward who you know that he's
gonna be able to fly a little bit of boom.
He's been able to give you seven holl sitting about
a two eighty, which has been encouraging. And then Logan

(01:04:03):
to Hoppy along with Joydell. Both of these guys arerying
about a two sixty. Both of these guys, I'll be
able to supply a little bit of power with Adel
being able to give you four home runs. But outside
of Taylor Ward and Joydell, you don't have a single
healthy player right now that has the worth of three
home runs for this punch. And then we've had a
lot of guys are just struggling in general because you
have the likes of a Mickey maniac garon Ix whenever

(01:04:23):
he's been out there here Adrianza that are inning below
a two hundred. I think that they just picked up
Kevin Pollar was a disaster with the White Sox. Looks
like he's going to be a disaster with the Angels.
And for the Angels are in the bottom six in
the Big leagues. With regards of Boat Penny Ray, they
tried out o Acco that really didn't work out. Now
they've got reclamation projects of Amir Garrett and in Simber,

(01:04:43):
a lot of the Hunter Strickland who have all been
not great to say leaves. You've got Matt Moore, Carlos
Stevens or a very nice eighth and ninth inning duo.
And for the Pittsburgh parts, this has been a bottom
ten team terms of Bullpenny Ray as well, even though
Colin Holderman as wob we give you some to Eira Rolls,
the Chapman, David Bennard. Both of these guys post up
a Narth of five yar. That's been rough for you
have been able to get some solid endings when he's

(01:05:04):
been out there over the last few years from Ryan Brooki,
but now he's on the injured list, so that's been
a little bit less inreremendous. But I said, I do
take a look at this Pirates team. I do think
that they're going to be able to get just enough
on their offense. One day has been a little bit rough,
but Brian Reynolds, Cabrian A's, Connor Joe, they've all been
able to give you at least a three forty on
base and in the case of Reynolds, he's being able
to supply for four home runs, counter Joe two ninety

(01:05:26):
average and Onneo Cruz after he had a really really
just rough last three to four weeks. In general, it
feels like things are starting to step up a little
bit more for him as well. He's up to five
home runs. He's been able to give you a fetal
and basis as well when he's been given the opportunity
hitting about a two forty five. So to look at
the circumstance and I do think that the Pirates are
going to be able to get to Anderson and Keller
has been a little bit less in tremendous as well.

(01:05:48):
So I'm gonna be willing to take a look at
the over. So I may totally eight point one and
and a minus one forty two or less looking at
the Pirates, and we wrape things up with nine to
sixty nine nine seventy on the board. It is he
can't say Royal the playoffs to the Milwaukee Burgers. Rice
Wilson is on the bump for the crew, and Cole
Wragans is on the bump for the Royals, and the
Royals to find themselves as a favorite of anywhere between
minus one forty two a minus one forty two. Meanwhile,

(01:06:09):
for the Brewers, you're gonna be getting them any between
plus one twenty two to a plus one thirty one tons.
Game is between eight and a and a half on
the eight, the overs minus one fifteen the unders mines
one five on the eight and a half. The over
is between minus one ten to minus one twenty three.
The understanding between minus one ten twoel plus one o
three and did somebody till at some point nine, I'm
gonna be looking at the under Both of these teams
are slightly above average terms of their Bullpenny race. I

(01:06:31):
do think that the Royals are gonna see a little
bit of a regression moving forward, But I really like
what I've been seeing, the likes of a Matt Sower
stands what we saw over the weekend against the Texas Rangers.
A few cast off starters like an an elzerrape James
MacArthur be able to sply some three five yari But
I just fly, I don't think that Cole Wagans is
gonna be dealing in this one. For Cole Wagans, I
recognize that he was dealing with a little bit of

(01:06:53):
an injury concern, but looks like he should be able
to be good to go in this one. Three forty
four ERA from this season, but just a two fifteen
fielding patent, allowing one home run in thirty six plus innings.
He's been able to get north of eleven punchouts ber
Nie Ennings, and he goes up against a team in
the Milwaukee Brewers that they are just not hitting the
leftand and pitching. It's been this way for the last
few seasons for the Birds, and they've got a lot

(01:07:14):
of nice upside guys that I have to wonder how
long they're going to be able to keep this up.
But the likes of a Bryce Terrang Blake Perkins, these
guys have been able to hit north of eight two
sixty five. Oliver Done has come back to Earth a
little bit, but both of these guys have been relatively
sad been able to get five home runs Earth of
a four armed base for William P. Terris, who's really
been able to do a nice job unexpectedly for the Birds,

(01:07:35):
who've got Willia Damas who's giving you north of a
three fifty on base, but they are still doing with
that injury to Christian Yelich, which when he was in
the Fold, he was looking absolutely incredible for this bunch.
But getting back to the Birds and how they're inning
against lefties right now, Buck ninety eight is how they're
hitting against the lifetan and pitching with six home runs
and seventy two at pats so they've been able hit
a few bombs, but they have not really been able

(01:07:55):
to consistently move the line. And for the Royals, it
is a little bit of air miss lineup of their
own each other. Top five players with reguards of Pats
have at least four home runs as far this season,
but like so Van J. Melendez, MIKEL. Garcia, Vinnie Pascantino,
they're only in a two thirty two or less, so
we'd like to see them picking up though, Bobby with
Junior yourself at our Paris both they are the three
seventy five on base. Perez is up to eight home
runs as far this season. So these guys been able

(01:08:17):
to do a solid job though Ed Frasier, Hunter Renfro
throwing there as well. Freddy. For me, he's got our
guys hitting at two eighteen or laurel Ang, Kyle Isabelle.
But I do think that for Bryce Wilson it's gonna
be a little bit up against it. A very much pitch,
a contact guy that's up to strikeout stuff a little bit.
This year. It's up to about some point eighty strikecouts.
Bernie and Nings. He never gives up a lot of walks,
but he has given up a lot of hard contact.

(01:08:38):
Four runs given up in twenty four innings is barrel right.
The last few seasons has been extremely high. It's got
a three ra but a field independent that's about a
point half hire. Fortunately, for him, he's backed up. I
Brews b open that if you look at the era,
they're right around twelfth in the league, but they're much
better than this. Elvis Pigero, Hoby Bilder, Joel Pioms at
a sub three era last season. Brian Hudson has been
incredible for this bunch a sub one era, and keep

(01:08:59):
in mind Devin Willing, He's gonna be back sooner rather
than them later for this team as well. But I
think that Reagan's is gonna be flat out to dealing
and I think both of these teams you gonna have
a little bit of a tough time putting back to
ball set my a total at some point nine. So
I like the under and I do like the Royals
on the money lines out I'm out of minus one
fifty three and that or wrap things up for the
Monday edition of The Baseball Betting Show, now part of
the Vson Family Podcasts. If you do like predeering from

(01:09:20):
this fine podcast Baseball Betting Show, you're able toase subscribe
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(01:09:40):
I starts it is very much appreciated. From there, you're
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