The Power of Uncertainty | David Spiegelhalter - Joseph Jaffe is Not Famous

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The Power of Uncertainty | David Spiegelhalter

March 25, 2025 • 68 mins

Certainty is an illusion—so how do we navigate an unpredictable world? Professor Sir David Spiegelhalter, aka Professor Risk, unpacks the art of uncertainty, revealing why randomness, luck, and probability shape everything. Are we ever truly in control? What separates risk from recklessness? And why do we trust data that’s often wrong? Discover how lucky people think, why free will might be a myth, and how to make smarter decisions in a world ruled by chaos. If you’ve ever questioned the odds, this mind-expanding conversation will change the way you see risk, luck, and the future. _____________________________________________________________ TIMESTAMPS 0:00 And Joseph Jaffy is not famous today I'm joined by Professor Sir David Spiegelhalter 1:14 Teller says Joseph Jaffy not famous love you 4:00 So many paths to go down this concept of living in a VUCA world 12:33 What is it to be a lucky person? What truly is luck? 23:29 Why are we so excited about odds we have no chance in winning? 46:52 We can’t admit we’re uncertain because people won’t trust us—totally untrue 1:06:23 You are Chuck Norris approved and we will be back #Uncertainty #RiskVsLuck #TheIllusionOfControl Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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.css-14f5ked{margin:0;word-break:break-word;display:-webkit-box;-webkit-box-orient:vertical;box-orient:vertical;-webkit-line-clamp:2;overflow:hidden;}The Power of Uncertainty | David Spiegelhalter