Well, it's finally time. I'm back, and this time I have a team with me: the AI Futures Project. We've written a concrete scenario of what we think the future of AI will look like. We are highly uncertain, of course, but we hope this story will rhyme with reality enough to help us all prepare for what's ahead.
You really should go read it on the website instead of here, it's much better. There's a sliding dashboard that updates the stats as you scroll through the scenario!
But I've nevertheless copied the first half of the story below. I look forward to reading your comments.
Mid 2025: Stumbling Agents
The [...]---
Outline:
(01:35) Mid 2025: Stumbling Agents
(03:13) Late 2025: The World's Most Expensive AI
(08:34) Early 2026: Coding Automation
(10:49) Mid 2026: China Wakes Up
(13:48) Late 2026: AI Takes Some Jobs
(15:35) January 2027: Agent-2 Never Finishes Learning
(18:20) February 2027: China Steals Agent-2
(21:12) March 2027: Algorithmic Breakthroughs
(23:58) April 2027: Alignment for Agent-3
(27:26) May 2027: National Security
(29:50) June 2027: Self-improving AI
(31:36) July 2027: The Cheap Remote Worker
(34:35) August 2027: The Geopolitics of Superintelligence
(40:43) September 2027: Agent-4, the Superhuman AI Researcher
---
First published:
April 3rd, 2025
Source:
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/TpSFoqoG2M5MAAesg/ai-2027-what-superintelligence-looks-like-1
---
Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.
---
Popular Podcasts
Stuff You Should Know
If you've ever wanted to know about champagne, satanism, the Stonewall Uprising, chaos theory, LSD, El Nino, true crime and Rosa Parks, then look no further. Josh and Chuck have you covered.
Crime Junkie
Does hearing about a true crime case always leave you scouring the internet for the truth behind the story? Dive into your next mystery with Crime Junkie. Every Monday, join your host Ashley Flowers as she unravels all the details of infamous and underreported true crime cases with her best friend Brit Prawat. From cold cases to missing persons and heroes in our community who seek justice, Crime Junkie is your destination for theories and stories you won’t hear anywhere else. Whether you're a seasoned true crime enthusiast or new to the genre, you'll find yourself on the edge of your seat awaiting a new episode every Monday. If you can never get enough true crime... Congratulations, you’ve found your people. Follow to join a community of Crime Junkies!
The Breakfast Club
The World's Most Dangerous Morning Show, The Breakfast Club, With DJ Envy, Jess Hilarious, And Charlamagne Tha God!