ASK MIKE MONDAYS: “Michael, what do you expect in 2025 for apartment investors?”

1. 2024 Performance: Michael was disappointed with the acquisition activity due to fluctuating interest rates and low transaction volumes.

2. Market Conditions: The fundamentals were soft in 2024 with flat to down rents, especially in Central Texas. Occupancy stabilized at around 93% portfolio-wide by January 2025. Michael anticipates a recovery in 2025, particularly in the second quarter when the supply of new properties is expected to decrease significantly.

3. Example Deal: Michael described a deal in Dallas involving a late 90s property bought for around $170,000 per door, with plans to invest about $10,000 per unit for renovations. The property is well-located with low rents compared to competitors and has a value-add opportunity.

4. National Multifamily Housing Council (NMHC) Conference: The conference is a major event for multifamily real estate professionals, focusing on deal-making rather than education. It is beneficial for networking and meeting potential equity partners, though it may be overwhelming for newcomers.

5. Market Outlook: Michael expects higher occupancies and rent growth in 2025 as the supply of new properties decreases. He also notes that the current environment is challenging but sees a generational buying opportunity in multifamily real estate.

6. Advice for New Investors: New investors should start as limited partners to gain experience and recommends participating in educational events like bus tours to understand the market better.
Overall, the discussion highlights the challenges and opportunities in the Texas real estate market, the importance of strategic networking, and the potential for recovery and growth in the coming years.

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