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April 10, 2025 33 mins

In this episode, host Belle Osvath, CFP®,  interviews Victor Hagani, founder of Elm Wealth, about his groundbreaking research into the "overnight drift" in stock markets. Victor, a seasoned finance expert, explains how a significant portion of the stock market's returns occurs during off-hours when markets are closed, despite the higher volatility typically seen during the day. This fascinating insight into overnight trading patterns is informative for investors and financial planners. Their discussion topics include:

  • Overnight Drift in Stock Markets: Victor reveals how after-hours trading primarily drives market returns, shedding light on the little-known phenomenon of overnight drift.

  • Day Trading Influence on Overnight Drift: Learn how day traders contribute to the overnight drift and discover which stocks are most affected by this market behavior.

  • Dynamic vs. Static Asset Allocation: Victor explains why asset allocation decisions should be active and based on expected returns and risk, rather than a passive, one-size-fits-all approach.

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