The Breakdown

The Breakdown

A daily analysis of macroeconomics, bitcoin, geopolitics and big picture power shifts, hosted by Nathaniel Whittemore @nlw. The Breakdown is part of Blockworks. Subscribe to The Breakdown newsletter: https://the-breakdown.carrd.co/

Episodes

What Everyone Missed About Circle's Explosive IPO

June 15, 2025 • 10 mins
Circle's IPO wasn't just successful—it was a rocket ship, surging from its initial price of $31 to over $100 per share in just days. But why did analysts and markets underestimate Circle so dramatically? In this episode of The Breakdown, NLW explores the real story behind Circle's IPO frenzy. He examines why markets are betting big on stablecoins as essential financial infrastructure, breaks down the evolving regulatory landscape, ...
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The Five Most Important Stories in Crypto This Week

June 14, 2025 • 12 mins
On today's Breakdown, NLW covers a dramatic escalation as Israel launches airstrikes against Iran, rattling global markets. He explores Bitcoin's initial response as a risk asset rather than a safe haven amid geopolitical tensions, and analyzes whether that dynamic might shift in the coming days. Plus, the SEC's Paul Atkins labels self-custody a foundational American digital right, Stripe deepens its crypto commitment with a new ac...
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The Stablecoin Surge and Stripe’s Crypto Power Play

June 12, 2025 • 13 mins
Nathaniel dives into the growing momentum behind stablecoin legislation in Washington, including the Senate’s latest approval of the Genius Act, the political posturing surrounding it, and why this isn’t a crypto bill—it’s a dollar dominance bill. He explores Meta’s potential reentry into stablecoins and breaks down Stripe’s major crypto infrastructure move with its acquisition of wallet provider Privy. Plus, what Treasury Secretar...
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Bitcoin’s Hot Summer, Solana ETF Momentum, and Connecticut's Crypto Ban

June 11, 2025 • 11 mins
Bitcoin is sizzling this summer, surging back to $110,000 amid optimistic predictions from figures like Michael Saylor, who argues that crypto winter is permanently behind us. But is this bullish enthusiasm a sign of strength or a setup for disappointment? Meanwhile, the SEC hints at an upcoming wave of altcoin ETFs, led by Solana, suggesting a busy fall ahead. At the same time, Connecticut makes headlines by banning state-level cr...
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Why the SEC Chair Just Declared Self-Custody a Foundational American Value

June 11, 2025 • 12 mins
In a significant policy shift, SEC Chair Paul Atkins defends self-custody as a fundamental American right, marking a turning point for crypto regulation and DeFi innovation. NLW explores why this declaration is critical for crypto’s future, how it impacts the ongoing legislative battles in Washington, and what it means for asset tokenization and blockchain developers. Plus, the ripple effects from Circle’s blockbuster IPO continue,...
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Trump's Taco Trade and the Dollar's Dangerous Game

June 10, 2025 • 13 mins
Markets settle on the "taco trade," betting Trump won't push tariffs too far—but uncertainty reigns as China tensions linger, automakers scramble over rare earth metals, and CEO confidence plummets. Meanwhile, Trump's massive spending bill sparks bipartisan backlash, Elon Musk fumes over budget bloat, and discussions heat up about ditching the debt ceiling entirely. Plus, the weaponization of the dollar gains momentum as geopolitic...
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The End of Money as You Know It

June 8, 2025 • 8 mins
On today's Long Read Sunday, NLW explores Hugh Hendry's provocative essay "Sovereignty 3.0," examining how rising Treasury yields signal the collapse of traditional financial structures and the emergence of Bitcoin and stablecoins as new forms of sovereign power. Is the dollar becoming a weapon, and can Bitcoin actually replace it as global collateral? Source: https://x.com/hendry_hugh/status/1929917531159920951 Brought to you ...
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Circle Soars, Trump and Musk Clash, and JPMorgan Embraces Bitcoin ETFs

June 7, 2025 • 22 mins
Scott Melker joins NLW for a packed Friday Five: Circle’s IPO skyrockets, Musk and Trump’s crypto-fueled feud jolts markets, and JPMorgan quietly normalizes Bitcoin as financial collateral. Plus, lawmakers bungle crypto bill briefings and Cynthia Lummis sparks debate over Bitcoin’s role in national security. Brought to you by: Grayscale offers more than 20 different crypto investment products. Explore the full suite at grayscale....
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Circle’s Blockbuster IPO Oversubscribed 25x

June 6, 2025 • 15 mins
Circle’s IPO blew past expectations, pricing high and oversubscribed 25x, signaling Wall Street’s growing appetite for stablecoin exposure. NLW breaks down the offering’s details, why fintech insiders think Circle is still undervalued, and what this means for future crypto IPOs. Plus, JPMorgan embraces crypto ETFs, Bitcoin treasuries surge, and Congress continues its political theater over the Clarity Act. Brought to you by: Gr...
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Democrats Slam SEC Over Crypto Bill Chaos

June 5, 2025 • 13 mins
Democrat frustration boils over after an SEC technical briefing on the crypto market structure bill goes disastrously wrong. NLW explores accusations of deliberate obstruction, political delay tactics, and how internal conflicts and rushed legislation risk undermining crypto’s bipartisan push. Meanwhile, the Trump family's sprawling crypto projects cause further complications for a fragile industry caught between regulation and pol...
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As Circle Prepares to IPO, Crypto Deals Heat Up

June 4, 2025 • 12 mins
May was a breakout month for crypto deals, with $3.5 billion in activity signaling a shift from stagnation to strategic consolidation. NLW breaks down the Robinhood–Bitstamp acquisition, Jump’s bet on tokenization, and Circle’s suddenly hot IPO—backed by BlackRock and poised to reshape the stablecoin landscape. Brought to you by: Grayscale offers more than 20 different crypto investment products. Explore the full suite at gra...
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Who is Funding These Bitcoin Treasury Companies?

June 3, 2025 • 13 mins
Bitcoin treasury companies are multiplying fast—some with billions in backing, others chasing quick gains. Today’s episode examines who’s funding these firms, how the Michael Saylor playbook is evolving, and whether we’re watching the rise of a sustainable trend or the start of a new crypto bubble. Enjoying this content? SUBSCRIBE to the Podcast: https://pod.link/1438693620 Watch on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@TheBr...
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The Five Most Important Stories in Bitcoin Last Week

June 2, 2025 • 25 mins
Recorded live on Friday May 30th, 2025. Enjoying this content? SUBSCRIBE to the Podcast: https://pod.link/1438693620 Watch on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@TheBreakdownBW Subscribe to the newsletter: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://blockworks.co/newsletter/thebreakdown⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Join the discussion: https://discord.gg/VrKRrfKCz8 Follow on Twitter: NLW: https://twitter.com/nlw Breakdown: https://twitter.com/BreakdownBW
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Bitcoin Vegas Goes Big as Politics Takes Center Stage

May 31, 2025 • 13 mins
The Bitcoin Conference returned to Las Vegas bigger than ever, drawing over 30,000 Bitcoiners and showcasing political heavyweights championing crypto’s future. Vice President JD Vance outlined the administration’s bold crypto agenda, emphasizing Bitcoin’s role as a bulwark against financial tyranny, inflation, and elite control. David Sacks updated progress on the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, while Eric and Don Jr. Trump discussed t...
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Who Can Out-Saylor Saylor?

May 29, 2025 • 11 mins
Trump Media, GameStop, Joe Lubin, and a growing list of others are embracing the Michael Saylor playbook—raising massive capital to load up on Bitcoin. Today on The Breakdown, NLW unpacks the explosion of MicroStrategy-style public vehicles, the reflexive loop driving investor FOMO, and whether this leverage injection is a new frontier for Bitcoin-based finance—or a looming gray swan. Enjoying this content? SUBSCRIBE to the Po...
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The Big Bank Stablecoin Consortium

May 29, 2025 • 11 mins
America’s biggest banks are planning a joint stablecoin, signaling a new phase of institutional crypto adoption — but it’s happening just as political backlash intensifies. NLW breaks down the Wall Street consortium’s ambitions, the implications for the U.S. financial system, and how Trump’s meme coin controversy is complicating stablecoin legislation in Washington. Enjoying this content? SUBSCRIBE to the Podcast: https://po...
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Bitcoin Hits All-Time High — But Nobody Seems to Care

May 22, 2025 • 13 mins
Bitcoin just notched a new all-time high, but this time, there’s no mania, no frenzy—just a shrug. NLW breaks down the weirdest ATH in Bitcoin’s history, why it happened without a clear catalyst, and what it says about BTC’s shifting role in the global financial system. Plus, a look at Japan’s spiraling bond market, rising U.S. fiscal fears, and what it all means for safe haven assets. Is Bitcoin finally decoupling—or are we just s...
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Bitcoin Inches Toward History as Politics, Policy, and Memecoins Collide

May 21, 2025 • 11 mins
Bitcoin hovers just below a new all-time high, with traders bracing for a potential liquidation cascade and analysts divided on what comes next. NLW explores whether upcoming catalysts—ranging from a Trump meme coin gala to SEC regulatory shifts—could break the stalemate. Plus: Robinhood’s big tokenization push, Kraken’s global derivatives expansion, and political fallout from meme coins in Washington and Buenos Aires. Enjoying th...
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Senate Clears Stablecoin Bill Hurdle

May 21, 2025 • 11 mins
In a major breakthrough for crypto legislation, the U.S. Senate voted 66-32 to advance the Genius Act—marking the most significant step yet toward stablecoin regulation. NLW breaks down what flipped Democratic support, why Elizabeth Warren fought to the bitter end, and what’s next as the bill moves toward a final vote. Plus, Circle is reportedly exploring a $5B sale instead of going public, raising new questions about the future of...
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US Credit Downgrade Hits—Bitcoin Pumps Anyway

May 20, 2025 • 13 mins
Moody’s has officially downgraded the U.S. credit rating, joining S&P and Fitch in knocking the government off its AAA pedestal. NLW breaks down the political reaction, the muted market response, and why institutional investors still seem bullish on Bitcoin despite fiscal dysfunction. Plus, what rising transaction fees and ETF flows reveal about the next phase of the Bitcoin cycle. Enjoying this content? SUBSCRIBE to the Podca...
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