The Breakdown
A daily analysis of macroeconomics, bitcoin, geopolitics and big picture power shifts, hosted by Nathaniel Whittemore @nlw. The Breakdown is part of Blockworks. Subscribe to The Breakdown newsletter: https://the-breakdown.carrd.co/
Episodes
June 21, 2025 • 22 mins
On this week's Friday Five, NLW and Scott dive into Bitcoin's remarkable stability above $100,000 despite global uncertainty, major bipartisan passage of the Genius stablecoin bill in the Senate, Circle's blockbuster IPO performance, JPMorgan's surprising move onto Coinbase's Base layer, and Elon Musk's continued push toward making X an "everything app." Plus, Fed divisions deepen as rate cuts remain uncertain.
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June 18, 2025 • 13 mins
The U.S. Senate has passed landmark stablecoin legislation, signaling a new era for digital finance in America. As institutions gear up for massive crypto adoption, JPMorgan announces plans for its own permissioned token in partnership with Coinbase. Meanwhile, escalating tensions between the U.S., Iran, and Israel rattle global markets. NLW breaks down the implications for crypto, geopolitics, and finance.
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June 17, 2025 • 13 mins
On today's Breakdown, NLW dives into Justin Sun's controversial move to take Tron public on the Nasdaq, signaling a potential peak in the Bitcoin treasury hype cycle. He also explores how escalating tensions between the U.S. and Iran are influencing Bitcoin markets, examines Metaplanet’s rapid ascent among corporate Bitcoin holders, and provides an update on the latest crypto legislation battles in Congress, complicated by Trump's ...
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June 17, 2025 • 13 mins
As tensions flare between Israel and Iran, NLW explores how markets—particularly Bitcoin—are reacting to escalating geopolitical risk. Despite missile strikes, assassination reports, and fears of oil supply shocks via the Strait of Hormuz, Bitcoin remains steady at $105K. NLW dives into whether this marks a new resilience or just a temporary lull. Plus, a deep dive into the rise of Bitcoin Treasury companies: Are they pioneering a ...
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June 15, 2025 • 10 mins
Circle's IPO wasn't just successful—it was a rocket ship, surging from its initial price of $31 to over $100 per share in just days. But why did analysts and markets underestimate Circle so dramatically? In this episode of The Breakdown, NLW explores the real story behind Circle's IPO frenzy. He examines why markets are betting big on stablecoins as essential financial infrastructure, breaks down the evolving regulatory landscape, ...
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June 14, 2025 • 12 mins
On today's Breakdown, NLW covers a dramatic escalation as Israel launches airstrikes against Iran, rattling global markets. He explores Bitcoin's initial response as a risk asset rather than a safe haven amid geopolitical tensions, and analyzes whether that dynamic might shift in the coming days. Plus, the SEC's Paul Atkins labels self-custody a foundational American digital right, Stripe deepens its crypto commitment with a new ac...
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June 12, 2025 • 13 mins
Nathaniel dives into the growing momentum behind stablecoin legislation in Washington, including the Senate’s latest approval of the Genius Act, the political posturing surrounding it, and why this isn’t a crypto bill—it’s a dollar dominance bill. He explores Meta’s potential reentry into stablecoins and breaks down Stripe’s major crypto infrastructure move with its acquisition of wallet provider Privy. Plus, what Treasury Secretar...
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June 11, 2025 • 11 mins
Bitcoin is sizzling this summer, surging back to $110,000 amid optimistic predictions from figures like Michael Saylor, who argues that crypto winter is permanently behind us. But is this bullish enthusiasm a sign of strength or a setup for disappointment? Meanwhile, the SEC hints at an upcoming wave of altcoin ETFs, led by Solana, suggesting a busy fall ahead. At the same time, Connecticut makes headlines by banning state-level cr...
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June 11, 2025 • 12 mins
In a significant policy shift, SEC Chair Paul Atkins defends self-custody as a fundamental American right, marking a turning point for crypto regulation and DeFi innovation. NLW explores why this declaration is critical for crypto’s future, how it impacts the ongoing legislative battles in Washington, and what it means for asset tokenization and blockchain developers. Plus, the ripple effects from Circle’s blockbuster IPO continue,...
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June 10, 2025 • 13 mins
Markets settle on the "taco trade," betting Trump won't push tariffs too far—but uncertainty reigns as China tensions linger, automakers scramble over rare earth metals, and CEO confidence plummets. Meanwhile, Trump's massive spending bill sparks bipartisan backlash, Elon Musk fumes over budget bloat, and discussions heat up about ditching the debt ceiling entirely. Plus, the weaponization of the dollar gains momentum as geopolitic...
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June 8, 2025 • 8 mins
On today's Long Read Sunday, NLW explores Hugh Hendry's provocative essay "Sovereignty 3.0," examining how rising Treasury yields signal the collapse of traditional financial structures and the emergence of Bitcoin and stablecoins as new forms of sovereign power. Is the dollar becoming a weapon, and can Bitcoin actually replace it as global collateral?
Source: https://x.com/hendry_hugh/status/1929917531159920951
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June 7, 2025 • 22 mins
Scott Melker joins NLW for a packed Friday Five: Circle’s IPO skyrockets, Musk and Trump’s crypto-fueled feud jolts markets, and JPMorgan quietly normalizes Bitcoin as financial collateral. Plus, lawmakers bungle crypto bill briefings and Cynthia Lummis sparks debate over Bitcoin’s role in national security.
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June 6, 2025 • 15 mins
Circle’s IPO blew past expectations, pricing high and oversubscribed 25x, signaling Wall Street’s growing appetite for stablecoin exposure. NLW breaks down the offering’s details, why fintech insiders think Circle is still undervalued, and what this means for future crypto IPOs. Plus, JPMorgan embraces crypto ETFs, Bitcoin treasuries surge, and Congress continues its political theater over the Clarity Act.
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June 5, 2025 • 13 mins
Democrat frustration boils over after an SEC technical briefing on the crypto market structure bill goes disastrously wrong. NLW explores accusations of deliberate obstruction, political delay tactics, and how internal conflicts and rushed legislation risk undermining crypto’s bipartisan push. Meanwhile, the Trump family's sprawling crypto projects cause further complications for a fragile industry caught between regulation and pol...
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June 4, 2025 • 12 mins
May was a breakout month for crypto deals, with $3.5 billion in activity signaling a shift from stagnation to strategic consolidation. NLW breaks down the Robinhood–Bitstamp acquisition, Jump’s bet on tokenization, and Circle’s suddenly hot IPO—backed by BlackRock and poised to reshape the stablecoin landscape.
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June 3, 2025 • 13 mins
Bitcoin treasury companies are multiplying fast—some with billions in backing, others chasing quick gains. Today’s episode examines who’s funding these firms, how the Michael Saylor playbook is evolving, and whether we’re watching the rise of a sustainable trend or the start of a new crypto bubble.
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June 2, 2025 • 25 mins
Recorded live on Friday May 30th, 2025.
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May 31, 2025 • 13 mins
The Bitcoin Conference returned to Las Vegas bigger than ever, drawing over 30,000 Bitcoiners and showcasing political heavyweights championing crypto’s future. Vice President JD Vance outlined the administration’s bold crypto agenda, emphasizing Bitcoin’s role as a bulwark against financial tyranny, inflation, and elite control. David Sacks updated progress on the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, while Eric and Don Jr. Trump discussed t...
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May 29, 2025 • 11 mins
Trump Media, GameStop, Joe Lubin, and a growing list of others are embracing the Michael Saylor playbook—raising massive capital to load up on Bitcoin. Today on The Breakdown, NLW unpacks the explosion of MicroStrategy-style public vehicles, the reflexive loop driving investor FOMO, and whether this leverage injection is a new frontier for Bitcoin-based finance—or a looming gray swan.
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May 29, 2025 • 11 mins
America’s biggest banks are planning a joint stablecoin, signaling a new phase of institutional crypto adoption — but it’s happening just as political backlash intensifies. NLW breaks down the Wall Street consortium’s ambitions, the implications for the U.S. financial system, and how Trump’s meme coin controversy is complicating stablecoin legislation in Washington.
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