The Breakdown

The Breakdown

The Breakdown dives into the deepest topics in crypto, blockchain, and the macro forces shaping markets and power structures. Each episode breaks down complex ideas into clear, grounded analysis — separating signal from noise across crypto, finance, and geopolitics. Hosted by David Canellis, The Breakdown features explainers, interviews, and conversations with the people building, regulating, and challenging the financial system. A Blockworks podcast. Subscribe to The Breakdown newsletter: https://the-breakdown.carrd.co/

Episodes

Venice Is Now a Crypto-AI Unicorn — But Its Token Tanked 50%

July 6, 2026 • 30 mins
VVV is down 50% on news that should be good for Venice. David unpacks why — covering the token vs. equity distinction, Dragonfly's reasoning, and what the onchain data says about how many people are actually using Venice's paid features right now. FOLLOW THE SHOW › David — https://x.com/dcanellis › The Breakdown — https://x.com/TheBreakdownBW › The Breakdown Newsletter — https://blockworks.com/newslett...
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2 Groups Now Control Ethereum's Future. Here's What They Want.

July 1, 2026 • 34 mins
David sits down with Paul Dylan-Ennis — lecturer at University College Dublin and member of the Ethereum Foundation’s Silviculture Society — to map the split between the EF and the newly-formed ETH Labs. TIMESTAMPS: (00:00) Intro (00:41) EF Silviculture Society (03:28) Full Cypherpunk (14:15) Roadmaps and Governance (17:58) Capture Resistance Concerns (24:19) What is Ethereum Success (27:13) New Primiti...
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Binance Needs A Friend in The European Union

June 29, 2026 • 29 mins
Binance is out of the EU as of July 1 after its MICA license application in Greece was rejected. David runs through who is and isn't licensed under MICA, checks Blockworks Research for Binance's actual spot market share (~33%), and looks at whether the outflow data suggests real damage. Then: the US government is now effectively approving AI model releases — Anthropic's Mythos 5 is live for a whitelist of 100+ orgs, Fable 5 s...
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How Strategy Insiders Insulated Themselves From the Crash

June 26, 2026 • 21 mins
FOLLOW THE SHOW › David — https://x.com/dcanellis › The Breakdown — https://x.com/TheBreakdownBW › The Breakdown Newsletter — https://blockworks.com/newsletter/the-breakdown DISCLAIMER As always, remember this podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are solely their opinions, not financial advice.
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Searching for the Ethereum Foundation's Remaining Cash

June 24, 2026 • 23 mins
FOLLOW THE SHOW › David — https://x.com/dcanellis › The Breakdown — https://x.com/TheBreakdownBW › The Breakdown Newsletter — https://blockworks.com/newsletter/the-breakdown DISCLAIMER As always, remember this podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are solely their opinions, not financial advice.
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Is Strategy Really the Next Terra Luna?

June 22, 2026 • 27 mins
Strategy’s STRC is still trading below its $100 target and has drawn comparisons to Terra Luna. David walks through how Terra Luna actually imploded, why Strategy's flywheel is meaningfully different, and the real problem he sees underneath it all. Enjoy! FOLLOW THE SHOW › David — https://x.com/dcanellis › The Breakdown — https://x.com/TheBreakdownBW › The Breakdown Newsletter — https://blockworks.com/...
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The History of Standard Chartered Megabullish Price Predictions

June 17, 2026 • 18 mins
Standard Chartered just put a $100 price target on Uniswap by 2030 — a 40× move from current levels. David walks through the call, the tokenization thesis underpinning it, and how Standard Chartered's past calls on Bitcoin, ETH, XRP, BNB and AVAX have actually played out. FOLLOW THE SHOW › David — https://x.com/dcanellis › The Breakdown — https://x.com/TheBreakdownBW › The Breakdown Newsletter — https:...
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The US Just Made the Case for Open-Source AI

June 15, 2026 • 21 mins
Anthropic released Fable V — a wrapper around its Mythos model with strict guardrails. Within 24 hours, the White House forced it offline over a jailbreak that exposed Mythos's full cyber capabilities. David walks through David Sack’s thread, the export control, and why this is the strongest case yet for running your own open-source AI at home. Plus: Blockworks just acquired Messari, and the SpaceX IPO turned into a mes...
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Blockworks Acquires Messari

June 12, 2026 • 28 mins
In this special episode, Blockworks announces its acquisition of Messari and unpacks what it means for crypto’s next phase. Michael and Jason explore why Messari’s breadth of data, APIs, and research complement Blockworks’ deep on-chain analytics, investor relations, and disclosure products. They also address crypto’s trust problem, the need for standardized data and disclosures, and how Blockworks aims to b...
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SpaceX Just Became the Most Valuable Post-IPO Company Ever

June 12, 2026 • 21 mins
It's SpaceX IPO day, and it’s on track to be the most valuable post-IPO company in history — $1.77T, surpassing Saudi Aramco. David walks through the numbers, the pre-IPO trade on Hyperliquid, and why the edge wore off months ago. Plus: Nakamoto selling Bitcoin while Tom Lee's BitMine keeps stacking ETH, and where prediction market volumes are during the NBA Finals. TIMESTAMPS: (00:00) Intro (01:08) SpaceX IPO (07...
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BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF Is $13 Billion Underwater

June 10, 2026 • 26 mins
BlackRock's IBIT is sitting about $13 billion underwater on its Bitcoin holdings. Every ETH ETF is in the red. David walks through which funds bought the top, which took profit, and what happens to crypto if ETF holders finally crack. Plus: a preview of DAS Asia and DAS London, and the SpaceX pre-IPO trade on Hyperliquid. TIMESTAMPS: (00:00) Intro (01:16) Crypto ETFs (15:54) DAS Events 2026 (18:07) SpaceX Perps FOLLOW THE...
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Inside Pump.fun's New Bounty Platform

June 8, 2026 • 30 mins
Pump.fun just rolled out Pump.fun Go — a bounty platform that pays you crypto for filming yourself doing… well, whatever. David on why this might actually matter for the next retail cycle. Plus: the coins quietly pumping through the bear, and the stablecoin chart suggesting we're still months from a bottom. TIMESTAMPS: (00:00) Intro (01:09) Pump.Fun Bounties (14:48) Token Winners (24:36) Stablecoins FOLLOW TH...
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Brutal Zcash Bug Sat Hidden for 4 Years

June 5, 2026 • 26 mins
A critical bug in Zcash's Orchard shielded pool could have minted unlimited counterfeit ZEC — and it sat there for 4 years. The price has lost ~47% in three days. David walks through what happened, why ZK trust keeps mattering, and what it means for holders. Plus: Polymarket's UMA ruling that Strategy didn't sell Bitcoin (it did), and the end of the Bitcoin ETF outflow streak. TIMESTAMPS: (00:00) Intro (01:11) Zcash Cra...
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Crypto Still Sees Massive Returns On Par With Stocks

June 3, 2026 • 21 mins
Everyone's saying crypto has been left behind by the stock market. David digs into the numbers — VVV outperformed SanDisk YTD, Hyperliquid beat NVIDIA and AMD, Stellar beat NVIDIA. The market is selecting winners. Plus: $4B of Bitcoin ETF outflows in 13 days (it's not as bad as it looks), and Microsoft's new "quantum-breaking" chip. TIMESTAMPS: (00:00) Intro (01:05) Crypto Left Behind? (10:24) Bitcoin ETF Flows (14:35)...
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Dimon & Democrats Ready for War Over CLARITY

June 1, 2026 • 25 mins
A centrist Democratic group is spending six figures to brand the CLARITY Act as "Trump's crypto grifto." Jamie Dimon is on the same side. David walks through what's actually happening and why crypto might need a Plan B. Plus: the SpaceX pre-IPO perp that flash crashed 45% on Hyperliquid, and Cardano canceling its annual conference. Enjoy! TIMESTAMPS: (00:00) Intro (01:10) Anti-CLARITY FUD (13:43) SpaceX Perps (16:58) Cardano...
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When Bitcoin’s Bear Market Might End

May 29, 2026 • 13 mins
David maps the current Bitcoin bear market against every prior one — where we are, how much longer it could run, and where the bottom could land. FOLLOW THE SHOW › David — https://x.com/dcanellis › The Breakdown — https://x.com/TheBreakdownBW › The Breakdown Newsletter — https://blockworks.com/newsletter/the-breakdown Get top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to the Blockworks...
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A Google Engineer Made $1.2M Insider Trading on Polymarket

May 28, 2026 • 28 mins
A Google engineer allegedly profited $1.2 million on Polymarket betting that d4vd would be Google's most-searched person of 2025 — using Google's own internal data. Plus: Blockworks' new Token Transparency Alliance, and an OpenZeppelin co-founder telling friends and family to exit DeFi. TIMESTAMPS: (00:00) Intro (01:03) Polymarket Insider Trading (10:39) Transparency Alliance (21:56) DeFi Unsafe? FOLLOW THE SHOW › ...
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Is This $250M AI Company Fake?

May 26, 2026 • 34 mins
Polsia (AI Slop spelled backwards) just announced a $30M raise at a $250M valuation with one human employee. David thinks it's less a company, more performance art. Plus: Uber, Microsoft and NVIDIA all admit AI compute is too expensive, and Tether is launching what looks like a CBDC with the government of Georgia. Enjoy! TIMESTAMPS: (00:00) Intro (01:28) Polsia (06:22) Nexo Ad (06:57) Polsia (Cont.) (16:10) Nexo Ad (17:04)...
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Hyperliquid Hits ATH, XRP ETF Flows, and a $1B Pitch to Save Ethereum | The Breakdown

May 22, 2026 • 32 mins
It's Bitcoin Pizza Day, and David runs through three Friday stories: Hyperliquid breaking all-time high (and why the buyback isn't really the driver), the XRP wallet and ETF flow narrative vs. what the data actually says, and Dankrad Feist's $1B proposal to "save Ethereum." Enjoy! TIMESTAMPS: (00:00) Intro (01:35) HYPE All-Time High (06:48) Nexo Ad (07:22) HYPE All-Time High (Cont.) (12:25) XRP ETF Flows (15:20) Nexo Ad (...
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OpenAI Digs A Moat, Ethereum Foundation Loses Talent, And Polymarket’s UMA Problem | The Breakdown

May 20, 2026 • 35 mins
David unpacks the Ethereum Foundation exits, the Polymarket / UMA Oracle dispute mess revealed by the WSJ, and OpenAI's push to sell guaranteed compute on 1–3 year commits. Enjoy! TIMESTAMPS: (00:00) Intro (01:23) ETH Foundation Departures (17:00) Polymarket Dispute Judges (27:11) OpenAI Guaranteed Compute FOLLOW THE SHOW › David — https://x.com/dcanellis › The Breakdown — https://x.com/TheBreakdownBW ...
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