The Breakdown

The Breakdown

A daily analysis of macroeconomics, bitcoin, geopolitics and big picture power shifts, hosted by Nathaniel Whittemore @nlw. The Breakdown is part of Blockworks. Subscribe to The Breakdown newsletter: https://the-breakdown.carrd.co/

Episodes

July 17, 2025 12 mins
Crypto Week got off to a rocky start in Washington as internal GOP conflict—driven by fierce opposition to central bank digital currencies (CBDCs)—blocked a key procedural vote. NLW breaks down how the House Freedom Caucus derailed the crypto agenda over concerns about the Genius Act and its perceived lack of anti-CBDC protections. We explore what this means for the future of crypto legislation, Trump’s response, and whether the bi...
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Crypto analysts are calling it early: this isn’t just another speculative bull market. In today’s episode, NLW breaks down why institutions, not retail, are driving the current rally, and what makes this cycle categorically different. From Bernstein’s $200K Bitcoin target to Wintermute’s data on diverging investor behavior, this episode dives into the macro conditions, institutional sentiment, and evolving narratives transforming B...
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Bitcoin starts the week by smashing through $120,000, triggering a wave of excitement on crypto Twitter and in traditional finance alike. NLW breaks down the immaculate vibes, the record ETF inflows, and how institutional capital is finally moving with urgency. Meanwhile, Washington launches its most ambitious legislative push on crypto to date, with stablecoins leading the charge and opposition intensifying. From BlackRock’s recor...
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On today's Long Read Sunday, NLW explores two critiques of the growing phenomenon of Bitcoin treasury companies. First, Bloomberg columnist Lionel Laurent argues that corporate Bitcoin purchases signal a frothy market frenzy reminiscent of past speculative bubbles. Then, K33’s Torbjørn Bull Jenssen warns that without an actual operational strategy beyond simply buying Bitcoin, these companies' market premiums are doomed to collapse...
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It's another Friday Five, and the top story is clear: Bitcoin has surged to a new all-time high, nearing $119,000. NLW breaks down what's driving the price action, from broader market optimism fueled by IPO resurgence and treasury company mania, to structural crypto demand spurred by ETFs. Plus, Elon Musk's America Party embraces Bitcoin, Fed minutes hint at imminent rate cuts amid tariff uncertainty, a mysterious whale moves $8 bi...
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Bitcoin has quietly surged to a new all-time high above $112,000, driven less by crypto-specific news and more by broader macroeconomic trends. In this episode, NLW explores how Bitcoin's latest rally isn't a sudden frenzy but rather the inevitable outcome of ongoing dollar weakness, shifting treasury policies, and persistent market uncertainty. As institutions and investors increasingly view Bitcoin as a necessary hedge against gl...
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July 10, 2025 11 mins
Crypto ETFs are front and center as Trump Media Group files a controversial application featuring Cronos alongside Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and XRP—sparking debate over ETF standards. Meanwhile, Grayscale’s stalled ETF approval fuels frustration and uncertainty, pushing the SEC to clarify token listing guidelines. Plus, Robinhood faces regulatory scrutiny over tokenized stocks, MetaPlanet outlines its bold Bitcoin treasury strate...
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Elon Musk just announced the formation of the "America Party," embracing Bitcoin and sparking political chaos. Meanwhile, Congress bets on explosive economic growth through massive spending, and House Republicans prioritize crypto legislation. Plus, the government drops its appeal in the landmark Tornado Cash sanctions case, but the criminal trial against its developer looms large. Enjoying this content? SUBSCRIBE to the Pod...
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Over 80,000 Bitcoin, untouched since 2011 and now worth $8 billion, suddenly moved this holiday weekend, sparking wild theories—from secret whales to quantum hacks. NLW explores the intrigue, risks, and possibilities behind one of Bitcoin's largest-ever transactions, and the deeper questions it raises about Bitcoin privacy, security, and the mythos of crypto’s earliest adopters. Enjoying this content? SUBSCRIBE to the Podcast:...
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July 6, 2025 16 mins
On this Long Read Sunday, NLW explores two transformative essays about how stablecoins and AI agents are set to reshape money. Paul Brody explains why financial streaming via stablecoins could free up trillions in capital. Jason Cottrell outlines how the fusion of stablecoins and agentic AI is revolutionizing consumer payments. Sources: https://www.coindesk.com/opinion/2025/06/24/the-future-of-money-is-streaming-now https://comp...
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July 3, 2025 12 mins
We're halfway through a wild year for Bitcoin and crypto, with treasury companies stacking sats, ETFs finally breaking through, and Robinhood diving deep into tokenization. Amid a noisy debate on market manipulation versus genuine growth, NLW unpacks the key narratives shaping Bitcoin’s trajectory into the second half of 2025. Enjoying this content? SUBSCRIBE to the Podcast: https://pod.link/1438693620 Watch on YouTube: htt...
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Robinhood just unveiled major plans to offer tokenized stocks—including SpaceX and OpenAI—on their own Ethereum L2 blockchain, potentially reshaping private and public markets. NLW explores how Robinhood's move might democratize finance, threaten traditional venture models, and accelerate the convergence of crypto and traditional financial systems. Plus, Circle seeks a bank charter, highlighting crypto's rapid institutionalization....
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Speculation swirls around who could replace Jerome Powell as Trump hints at naming a new Fed chair early—potentially upending central bank independence. NLW breaks down the leading contenders, market reactions, Trump’s radical debt issuance ideas, and why healthcare cuts and tariffs might be the real macro shocks ahead of July 4th. Source: ⁠https://www.coindesk.com/opinion/2025/06/26/whats-next-for-tokenization⁠ Brought to you by...
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This Long Read Sunday explores the rise of tokenization in financial markets. NLW reads and analyzes a piece from Galaxy’s Thomas Cowan on how stablecoins, tokenized money market funds, and on-chain structured credit are leading the next wave of crypto adoption. From Wall Street’s growing interest to the regulatory hurdles ahead, today’s episode dives deep into how tokenization is quietly transforming finance—and why we may be at t...
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In this week’s Friday Five, NLW unpacks a major shift in crypto policy: Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have been ordered to treat crypto as mortgage-worthy assets—a milestone in crypto’s integration into mainstream finance. He also covers BIS’s takedown of stablecoins, the surge in Bitcoin dominance, Texas’ new Bitcoin reserve law, and the emerging wave of tokenized stocks and private equity offerings. From macro stabilization to token...
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June 26, 2025 11 mins
A sweeping look at crypto's mainstream march. From Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac counting crypto toward mortgage applications to the SEC signaling ETF redemption upgrades and SoFi relaunching crypto services, today's episode is packed with updates showing how deeply digital assets are integrating with traditional finance. Plus, Republic’s controversial plan to tokenize SpaceX equity raises big questions about the future of private mar...
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The Bank for International Settlements (BIS)—the central bank for central banks—has delivered a major critique against stablecoins, arguing they lack critical features for mainstream adoption. NLW explores the BIS's warnings, their preference for central bank digital currencies (CBDCs), and what this means as the U.S. nears stablecoin legislation. Plus, a quick market check-in as geopolitical tensions pause. Brought to you by: Gr...
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June 24, 2025 10 mins
On today's Breakdown, the big story is Texas becoming the first state to actively build a Bitcoin reserve. Governor Greg Abbott has signed legislation allocating an initial $10 million to the reserve, making Texas the clear frontrunner in a growing state-level Bitcoin adoption trend. Plus, a quick check-in on escalating tensions—and attempts at ceasefire—in the Middle East. Brought to you by: Grayscale offers more than 20 diffe...
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The US has officially entered the conflict with Iran, bombing nuclear enrichment sites and raising fears of escalation. NLW explores immediate reactions across markets—from oil price spikes and stock market jitters to rising inflation risks and crypto volatility. He discusses whether the critical Straits of Hormuz might close, the geopolitical chess moves involving China and Russia, and why Bitcoin remains a crucial indicator of gl...
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Crypto markets have a lemon problem. Token issuers know way more than token buyers, creating hidden risks and a lack of trust. Today, NLW explores Blockworks' ambitious solution—the Token Transparency Framework. Inspired by traditional securities disclosures, it aims to standardize essential token information like supply schedules and insider deals. Could this new industry-led initiative finally bring transparency and investor conf...
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