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February 20, 2025 23 mins

Bloggers and advisors constantly warn about the “Sequence of Returns Risk”—the fear that retiring right before or during a market crash will drain your savings too quickly. 

This fear often leads retirees to make poor investment choices, resulting in:

🚨 Inferior portfolios

📉 Lower returns

❌ A less reliable retirement

But how real is this risk? And do the conventional solutions—like investing in bonds or following the 4% Rule—actually work?

Is it true that “sequence of returns risk” has been debunked for long-term equity investors?

In my latest podcast episode you’ll learn

  • What is “Sequence of Returns Risk”?

  • What solutions are typically recommended?

  • What is the actual risk of running out of money with a bad sequence of returns?

  • Why don’t the typical solutions work?

  • How long did it take to recover from the biggest crashes?

  • How can you get the maximum reliable retirement income?

  • What should you do if your risk tolerance is lower?

  • What is “Your Personal Rule” for you to use instead of the “4% Rule”?

  • What solution to “Sequence of Returns Risk” actually works?

  • What dynamic spending rules are suggested by actuaries & advisors?

  • What is Ed’s dynamic spending rule?

  • How is it customized for you?

 

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