A Value View - The Merchants Trust PLC Podcast

A Value View - The Merchants Trust PLC Podcast

A Value View is a series of topical podcasts from The Merchants Trust, focusing on developments affecting the UK market environment and how the trust navigates them. So what does this mean for investors? – join portfolio manager Simon Gergel as he offers his thoughts

Episodes

April 11, 2024 16 mins

In this episode, Merchant’s portfolio manager, Simon Gergel is challenged around his ‘glass half full’ view of the UK market. Simon takes the challenge in hand explaining the factors behind his thinking and why, despite short term pain, the opportunity set for investors in the UK market remains pretty much unprecedented. We look at how Simon and his team choose good opportunities for the portfolio from that opportunity set, and whi...

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There have been many reasons over recent years for investors to be ‘out of love’ with the UK; Brexit, political uncertainty, pandemic, Ukraine, Trussonomics and the perception of worse inflation & economic performance for the UK to name a handful. But, has the depressed sentiment been overdone? In this podcast the team discuss that with many of these factors firmly in the rear-view mirror, and with interest rates potentially cl...

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September 22, 2023 12 mins

As the trust gears up for the release of its latest interim results, many investors will have an eye on the upcoming dividend. As an AIC Dividend Hero, the trust is well known for maintaining a steady dividend payment throughout the many ups and downs in market conditions over the past several decades. Host Jon Cronin and Portfolio Manager Simon Gergel discuss the approach taken to try to achieve the trust’s aims for shareholders a...

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May 26, 2023 10 mins

The housing market has long been seen as a key bellwether of the overall state of UK market. But the recent squeeze on the cost of living – namely, rising prices which have in turn driven interest rates higher – has been keenly felt in that sector. In the latest podcast episode, Jon and Simon debate the fortunes of the UK’s housebuilders as well as looking at what other companies could benefit from a more buoyant sector, with first...

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In the latest episode of ‘A Value View’, host Jon Cronin gets Simon Gergel’s thoughts on the current outlook for the UK’s FTSE 100. On the one-hand, the FTSE hit an all-time high in February, on the back of bumper profits for several of its constituent stocks. But, on the other hand, there are questions around the future growth prospects of the London market after two major UK companies announced they intended to pursue stock marke...

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February 16, 2023 14 mins

Are we in an environment where investors can now see the proverbial light at the end of the tunnel? Some inflation pressures are abating and although rates are still going up, the fear that rates are going to go up faster, and to higher levels than expected, is probably over. This is already starting to be reflected in the stock market. However, the UK market still trades well below historical averages with many strong companies tr...

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November 2, 2022 11 mins

There are a number of serious challenges facing the UK economy – rising energy costs, the cost of living crisis, rising interest rates and mortgage costs and supply chain issues to name a few. However, while they may not be showing signs of abating, a number of factors are becoming ‘less bad’ or at least not getting worse. Also, the UK stockmarket is different to the UK economy, particularly when investing at the larger end of the ...

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June 20, 2022 7 mins

On the occasion of the Queen’s Platinum Jubilee, Simon and Jon reflect not only on that incredible achievement, but also on the highs and lows faced by The Merchants Trust over its 133 year history. Almost six months into a tumultuous 2022, it also falls due to look more currently and have a mid-point reflection and ponder what may be coming up for the remainder of the year. With markets reacting daily to news flow, Simon describes...

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May 3, 2022 11 mins

The Russian invasion of Ukraine and subsequent concerns over fossil fuel supplies from Russia have combined in a perfect storm with already rising energy prices and wider cost of living inflation to push energy security and affordability into the spotlight as part of the ongoing energy transition debate. Portfolio manager Simon Gergel and host Jon Cronin share thoughts on the current energy situation, as well as discussing the inve...

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March 22, 2022 9 mins

The UK market has been more resilient than global peers so far in 2022 and whilst highly valued growth stocks across the globe feel the impact of rising inflation and interest rates, many value stocks that were previously languishing have seen a welcome boost. International investors appear to be looking more closely at owning UK stocks, but how consumer spending will pan out in the current environment is still to be seen.

Recorded ...

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January 14, 2022 11 mins

As 2021 fades in the memory, the spectre of inflation is firmly on investors’ minds and Simon Gergel gives his view on what that may mean for markets in 2022. After a year where finding genuinely under-priced good businesses – rather than those that are cheap for a reason – paid dividends, Simon explains how extreme pricing anomalies still appear prevalent. This could be where investors are overlooking longer-term potential or, equ...

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November 2, 2021 12 mins

Supply issues have been in the spotlight of late. Where companies had got used to ‘just-in-time’ supply chains, they have now seen just how easily these can be disrupted. Whilst such factors mean we’re not out of the woods yet in terms of economic recovery, and wary of inflationary pressures building up, Simon Gergel describes how he’s trying to look past the short-term noise.

Produced and recorded by Lansons at the Lanson...

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July 12, 2021 12 mins

Five years have passed since the Brexit referendum and many different factors have made that a particularly extraordinary and challenging period for the UK market. However, the trick has been to look through the various market uncertainties and using that lens, many mispriced opportunities have presented themselves. Right now, the UK market still looks cheap relative to other markets, and the interest of overseas investors, private...

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The latest reporting season has highlighted the difference between resilient businesses and those hit very hard by the effects of the pandemic. Returning dividends across many sectors are an encouraging sign for income seekers and the vaccine rollout is giving hope that recovery is looming, though the lessons of the recent past should prompt caution. Finally, key themes driving the portfolio come under the microscope.

Prod...

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January 6, 2021 11 mins

In this episode, Simon Gergel discusses the potential for a renewed focus on individual companies and their prospects in 2021. While bigger picture themes such as Brexit, the US election, and the impacts of the pandemic dominated markets last year, the associated uncertainties are starting to fall away.

 Produced and recorded remotely by Lansons 

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September 28, 2020 11 mins

In this Episode, Simon Gergel takes a closer look at how businesses are emerging from the constraints of lockdown and what the trend for dividends from UK equity markets might be. Finally, Brexit trade negotiations are once again a talking point.

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July 7, 2020 15 mins

In this episode, Simon Gergel takes a closer look at the situation for income from UK equity markets. What factors should investors consider to differentiate businesses that are suffering a short term shock from those that may be impacted by longer-term changes in behavior?

Produced and recorded by Lansons remotely.

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Simon Gergel looks at how markets are reacting to the coronavirus and describes how he and his team are dealing with the fallout in terms of the investment portfolio. Simon also looks at the outlook for income from dividends, a cornerstone of the Merchants Trust’s strategy.

Produced and recorded by Lansons remotely. 

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Simon Gergel reviews 2019 – a momentous year in terms of global market volatility and the polarisation of the UK market as investors heavily favoured higher-quality growth stocks. 2020 is starting out with more political certainty in the UK. This should give a more ‘normal’ feel to investing where what’s happening at companies is more important than market reactions to political uncertainty.

Produced and recorded by Lanson...

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October 1, 2019 11 mins

As we approach the final quarter of 2019, Simon Gergel reflects on what has been a fascinating year so far, with politics driving market volatility globally and the UK market becoming increasingly polarised. He talks about finding opportunities from this situation, with the market behaving irrationally towards some solid businesses.

Produced and recorded by Lansons, at the Lansons studio in Farringdon.

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