August 4, 2025 • 27 mins
In Episode 329, Josh dishes out a 3-pack of MLB plays for Monday night.
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Josh's new book "The NFL Sharp Betting Playbook" comes out on August 12, 2025
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Transcript
Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
(00:19):
Hello, and welcome to episode 329 of the All Systems Go Sports
Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
I am your host Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
Happy Monday, a new week begins as we kick off the month of
(00:40):
August. You know what that means guys?
We got preseason NFL to get downon, actually want to hit on some
early line movement for this full week of preseason action
because we do have coming up here just a few days from now,
coming up on Thursday, we have 3preseason games.
We've already seen some line movement in all three of them.
Remember, want to know to start off the the preseason here with
(01:02):
the winner in the Hall of Fame Game getting that over and
really the importance of making information based bets in the
preseason. Now we've gone over this before,
but there are a lot of different, you know, kind of
takes and opinions when it comesto betting NFL pre season.
You're going to get a big group of people that's hey, everyone's
got opinions. You're entitled to yours who say
the pre season is a joke. Don't bet on it.
(01:23):
It's a crapshoot. No one's trying to win the
games. How are you possibly going to
cash a ticket on such an an unknown and volatile market with
an outcome in jeopardy? But then also you have people
who love betting the pre season,like a lot of wise guys, sharp
betters and just go right to thesports books.
They'll come out and tell you, Hey, we hate betting the
preseason because when we book it usually get we get hit quite
(01:44):
a bit because wise guys really like look at those information
based bets where really kind of the sweet spot.
The Holy Grail is hey, one team is taking the game seriously.
They're playing a majority of their guys.
Coach is going to come out rightand tell you, hey, we're going
to play our starters for the first quarter, the first half or
we're not going to play them at all.
The opposing coach will kind of already kind of tell the media
(02:05):
because they have nothing to lose really.
That's the whole point. If it was the regular season,
they would never tell you these little tidbits because they
don't want to give up any kind of competitive advantages, even
if it's a point O 1%. So that being said, figuring
out, hey, staying glued to Twitter, what are the coaches
saying? Who's playing, who's not knowing
the depth charts. But then of course, looking at
how the market is reacting. So looking toward these, this
(02:27):
upcoming week's games might havea player too, who knows?
But I've already seen some big movement on all three games.
If you look on Thursday, 7:00 game, the Colts against the
Ravens. We open this game at basically a
pick em. You know, some shops for Colts
may be favored by a point or even some shops for Baltimore
favored by a point. Now it's all the way up to Colts
-4 So boom, big movement toward Indy.
(02:51):
You did hear a report that it's a full quarterback competition
between Daniel Jones and AnthonyRichardson.
So maybe they'll both play or Baltimore isn't really taking it
very seriously since he in Philly, 730 game on Thursday
night. Open Philly -1 -, 2 at home.
We've now flipped all the way tosince he -3 1/2 on the road.
(03:11):
So was Philly not playing their guys?
And since he is playing their guys, Vegas in Seattle 10:00
Thursday, same sort of thing. Dog to favorite open Seattle -1
-? 1 1/2 at home.
Now it's -1 1/2 - 2 Vegas on theroad.
O whole point being, guys, I'm not going to play any of these
bets now. I'm not going to get locked in
too early, but we've already seen adjustments in the market
(03:32):
telling us that based upon who'sexpected to play and for how
long, you already seen big moneymove these numbers.
So maybe we'll continue to dig into these games, figure out
exactly what the coaches are going to do.
But already some big moves. And out of these three, probably
at least one of them, I'll be looking to get down on me.
And again, maybe it's only a first half bet, first quarter
bet. Because you know, a lot of times
(03:53):
you get off to a nice lead at halftime and then second-half
things get crazy and you know you get a bunch of surprises,
but already some big moves and that's music to our ears as
information based bets, information based betting
priests and bedders, that's a mouthful.
Anyway, just wanted to wet your whistle because we are going to
have some pre season football later this week.
(04:13):
With that being said, guys goingto get right back to Major
League Baseball. 3 pack overall.Got some good sharp line moves
today. Got some sharp mush edges from
our friends at Juice Rail. And as always a three pack.
Let's try to go 2 and 1 eek out a winning day.
So without further ado and again, don't give up on
baseball. I I went on money moves earlier
today with my buddy JBT for for V syn and we're kind of talking
(04:35):
about how a you know, you turn on any kind of sports betting
radio station or V syn or you know, any kind of betting
network and everyone's going to want to talk about football
because football is exciting. It's back, but don't give up on
baseball again. This is kind of the type of year
or time of year, I should say, where you're going to get
motivation, motivational edges one way or the other, where one
team is, you know, just traded their guys to the deadline,
(04:58):
they're packing it in, they're bringing up kids.
They got nothing to play for versus teams that are
independent race and have a lot of motivation.
So we're going to try to stay true to our model, look at some
sharp moves, some good bet split, some good system matches
and continue to grind baseball as we have been grinding it
first pitch, first, first pitch,first series all the way to the
end, of course of October when we when we crown a champion.
(05:21):
So without further ado, 3 pack overall as of course, as always
looking to get 2 winners out of three, which is the goal.
So with that being said first, but on the board for me on the
MLB slate, let's go to an early match up. 6:40 PM Eastern Time,
first pitch, Minnesota Twins visiting the Detroit Tigers.
Let's set the stage. Talk some line movement, bat
(05:42):
split system matches. I'll give you my play for this
one. So going into it, we got the
Twins 52 and 59 on the year. Remember, they really sold off
of the deadline I gave away. I think it was in particular 38%
of the roster. They just did just drop two or
three against the Guardians. Avoided the sweep, however.
Won that series finale yesterday5 to 4 as a + 140 Rd. dog.
(06:04):
You know the Tigers 65 and 48 onthe year.
Had a great start. Little bit of a turbulence here
recently, but did just lose 2 out of three against the
Phillies. Lost two to nothing yesterday as
a + 150 Rd. dog. So pitching match up here for
tonight. This one was kind of interesting
because but we knew all along itwould be Casey Mize going for
the Tigers, the righty 9 and four 3.43 ERA and we really
(06:28):
didn't know who was going to be the Minnesota starter.
So I went to bed last night and it was Mr. TBD to be decided.
Woke up today, it was still Mr. Unde undecided.
And then we finally got some confirmation that it looks like
rookie righty Travis Adams will make the start.
He's one and one with an 8 pointO3 ERA looking to make his fifth
career start. So, but we didn't know who the
(06:49):
starter would be from Minnesota.We opened Detroit around a -,
160 home favorite Minnesota around a + 135 Rd. dog.
And early on we saw some movement toward even without
knowing who the starter was. And this spoke volumes to me
because it really didn't matter in terms of the wise guys who
will start from Minnesota. But the early move was toward
Detroit -160 up to around -170 And then once we got
(07:12):
confirmation that Adams would get the start, we saw that line
shoot up all the way now to around -190 So big steam here
hitting Detroit. I jumped on Detroit a little bit
earlier today -174 again, shop around if you want to play the
the Tigers in this one. Looks like -188 is your best
price currently at FanDuel. But in terms of the splits look
pretty good on the Tigers. They're getting 88% of money
(07:35):
line bets and 90% of money line dollars at DraftKings.
So national Public book really pro and Joe, one way action in
favor of the Tigers. And then if you look at Circa
out in Vegas, 95% of money line bets in dollars roughly coming
in on the Tigers, another big heavy split in favor of Detroit.
You look at some system matches here.
I have 4 systems lit up. One that really caught my eye
(07:57):
Monday. Home favorites with a line move
in their favor, 56 and 36 on theyear, 61 percent, 4% ROI.
Home favorites in the opening game of a new series getting
big. Steam $0.20 or more in their
direction. 54 and 26 on the year, 71% with a 9% ROI.
If we isolate the Tigers in particular in the spot, they've
(08:19):
done very well as a home favorite -150 or more.
They're 18 and seven on the year, 72 percent, 6% ROI.
And when they are a home favorite against a below 500
team, they're 17 and 577% with an 18% ROI.
Detroit we're going to bank on. Of course, Mize hopefully
pitching well and the bats of the Tigers getting to Adams the
(08:41):
rookie. But overall, Detroit does have
the better bats, hitting 249 as a team, 144 home runs, 543 runs
scored. Meanwhile, Minnesota, who dealt
away a couple guys in their lineup, only hitting 241 on the
year, 126 homers, 462 runs scored.
In particular, home Rd. splits, batting average really benefit
(09:02):
the Tigers in the spot. They're hitting 257 at home.
That's 10th, 10th best in baseball.
Twins are only hitting 232 on the road.
That ranks 25th. KC Mize in particular, remember,
he was a first round pick, was maybe even his first overall a
few years ago, maybe top five, something like that.
But he's been pretty good at home.
Five and one 3.32 ERA. And then just classic home Rd.
(09:24):
splits. We have Detroit 36 and 21 at
home, Minnesota 22 and 35 on theroad.
So you're kind of waiting on whothe starter would be from
Minnesota. We finally got confirmation, but
from open to current and especially after Adams was named
the official starter, it's all been movement toward Detroit
here, guys. So I'm going to lay it with the
Tigers. I got -174 a little bit earlier
(09:46):
today. Again, this is a shameless plug
to sign up to get the $4.99 a week.
All systems go. Best bets from the Juice Reel
app because you would have gotten that 174 earlier and
gotten some CLV. But either way, if you're
playing them now, you'll come ataround -188 but looks to be a
good spot for the Tigers here athome.
So I'm laying it with the Tigersagain.
(10:06):
I got -174 keep on cruising. 6:40 PM Eastern Time.
First pitch, another early one here.
Let's look at an interleague matchup.
Houston Astros visiting the Miami Marlins now.
The Astros come in 62 and 50 on the year, 12 games above 500.
But they did just get swept by my Red Sox.
So thank you for a good weekend as the Red Sox over 85 and F win
(10:29):
total. Those like me who are holding it
in pocket. It was been a good, good stretch
here. Let's keep it going.
But they lost that serious finale 6 to 1 yesterday as a
-130 Rd. favorite. Meanwhile, the Marlins kind of
unbelievable, if you haven't been paying attention, they're
now at 555 and 55 number. They started I think 16 and 30
or something, but a terrible start.
(10:51):
They've been one of the best teams in baseball over the last
about 30 to 60 days. They swept the Yankees and won
seven to three yesterday as a -105 home dog.
So for the pitching matchup tonight in this interleague
series opener, the Stroh's are going to go with the ready.
Jason Alexander, Mr. Costanza, for the Seinfeld fans out there,
one and one 7.36 ERA. By the way, me and the wife over
(11:12):
the weekend we watched Shallow Hal, a big Jack Black fan.
I watched it back in the day. I haven't seen in a long time,
but it was pretty hilarious and Jason Alexander was in that.
Anyway, the Marlins going to go with fellow ready Sandy
Alcantara. 6 and 96.36 ERA. So do you see across the market
here? Well, this game opened at
basically a pick em around -110 both sides.
(11:34):
You had some shops even open. Houston kind of a short -115 Rd.
favorite and the public really doesn't know where to go.
They're split down the middle 5050 at DraftKings.
On the one hand, you know Houston has the better record
and they're getting plus money. So how do you not take that?
But then also Miami's red hot laying, you know, kind of a
quasi short number at home. How do you not take that?
(11:54):
So public doesn't know what to do.
But what do we always talk about?
5050 line moves. That's when the basically the
line is moving in One Direction,even though the tickets are
even. So you would think theoretically
in a vacuum, if the odds makers have balanced action, there's no
need to adjust the price up or down.
Usually that's kind of what you see if the tickets are split.
But if the tickets are split andthen one team is getting steam
(12:15):
$0.20 or more in their favor, I like to go with that team
getting steam because it tells me even though the public
doesn't know what to do, wise guys have clearly taken a
position and that position is onthe team getting that big steam
move in their favor. In this case, it would be Miami.
Now the Marlins are matching 5 systems for me.
Couple of the most notable ones.Same overlap of the Detroit
play, but home teams with a linemove in their favor on Mondays.
(12:38):
56 and 3661 percent, 4% ROI thisyear.
Home favorites in the opening game of a new series getting big
Steam $0.20 or more in their direction. 54 and 2671 percent,
9% ROI. Here's a new one if you're a
sweet spot. Home favorite between -125 and
-140, which the Marlins are, andyou're playing in a point an
(13:00):
opponent who made the playoffs the previous year.
So kind of a contrarian by low spot on a short number against
quote UN quote a good team. Those teams are 59 and 3563%
with a 10% ROI this year. Now the Marlins would have
betting system value as a interleague favorite.
So lack of familiarity benefiting quote UN quote the
better team. Miami is also three and O in
(13:23):
Alcantara's last three starts. I know his ERA in the year is
pretty bad. Remember, this guy was a Cy
Young winner a few years ago. 6.36 ERA overall, but he's got a
12 inning scoreless streak. He has not given up a run in his
last two starts and we do have Miami 3 and O in his last three
starts overall. Then if we kind of look at just
recent performance, Marlins are playing very well there. 11 and
(13:45):
four since the break there, eight and two over their last
10. They have a 2.96 team ERA.
Meanwhile, the Stroh's complete opposite two and eight over
their last ten 4.91 team ERA. Miami also most profitable team
in baseball since June 1st. They're 32 and 2269 percent 34%
ROI, 18 units. One, and I'll just throw this
(14:07):
little caveat as well, but I think it was after they either
won the first or second game of the series against the Yankees
and I forget who the player was,they said something like, hey,
we're young, we're hungry, we don't care what people say.
We're playing great ball. And just kind of the the vibe of
of this Miami team. They got, they got something
special going, something mojo wise that I want to get behind.
(14:29):
So it's not a play on Miami justbecause they're hot.
It's a play on Miami because they went from a pick to a -,
130 home favorite tells us smartmoney's in their favor.
So good splits, good movement, some good system matches here.
And oh, by the way, nothing crazy, but a 5% sharp mush edge
on the Miami Marlins from our friends at Juice Rail.
So a lot of books as high as -135 I got Miami -130 they
(14:54):
should still be available at -130 I believe ESPN or BET MGM
still has that price. But let's stay hot.
Let's go fish last bed of the night, 7:15 PM Eastern Time, the
Milwaukee Brew Crew, another hotteam visiting the Atlanta
Braves. So going to it, we got the
Brewers 67 and 44 believe the best record in baseball just
(15:16):
swept the nationals. They had a big win 14 to 3
yesterday as a -150 Rd. favorite.
Meanwhile, the Braves, 47 and 63on the year did just take two or
three against the Reds. They won four to two yesterday
at Bristol Motor Speedway where it was a NASCAR race and they
turned into a baseball field. But they did just get a big
injury to with Austin Riley going down South pitching match
(15:38):
up here for tonight. The Brew Crew are going with the
ready Quinn Priester. Every time I look at his
numbers, I want to throw up as aRed Sox fan.
He's 10 and two, 3.27 ERA. Remember the Red Sox traded him
before the start of the year. I think it was maybe spring
training to Milwaukee without having him ever pitch a game for
Boston. So a good job Red Sox giving up
this guy who's been great this year.
(16:00):
Braves, meanwhile, going with the fellow ready Eric Fetti.
He's three and eleven 5.33 ERA. So what are we seen across the
market for this one? Well, the Brew Crew opened
around a -. 130 Rd. favorite Atlanta A + 110 home dog and
sharps are pounding the Milwaukee Brew Crew here.
Let's make some beer tonight, guys.
Brewers have gotten steamed up -130 now up to -145.
(16:24):
I jumped on Milwaukee -138 a little bit earlier today.
Looks like -144 is now your bestprice at FanDuel.
But aside from that, line move splits look pretty good on the
Brewers at DraftKings. 78% of money line bets, 91% of money
line dollars. So kind of a pro and Joe Low
bets higher dollar split at the National DK book in favor of
(16:45):
Milwaukee. I do have some system matches on
the Brewers. Big one here for me is it might
a little bit of a mouthful here,but try to try to stay with me.
Favorites off a win with a winning record, getting at least
$0.05 of line movement in their favor against a team who made
the playoffs the previous year. 132 and 6069 percent. 7% ROI
(17:05):
this season. Milwaukee is also cleaned up
against bad teams. When they play a team that's
below 500, they've gone 38 and 2164% with a 14% ROI.
Brewers would also have that favorite low total correlative
betting value. Total in this one is 8.
Some shops are juiced up. I seen 8 1/2 out there but it's
mostly eights. You'd also have a non division
(17:27):
favorite system match with Milwaukee, lack of familiarity
also benefiting quote UN quote. The better team was expected to
win and hope Milwaukee's bats stay hot on the year.
They're hitting 257, they've scored 555 runs.
Atlanta only hitting 243. They've only scored 461 runs.
And again, Cooney is on the DL. And you just have Austin Riley
(17:48):
who got hurt as well. And then dig into these pictures
a little bit. Quinn Priester again hurts even
more as a Sox fan, but the Brewers are 11 and O 11 and O.
And his last eleven starts he's given up two earned runs, excuse
me or less, in 10 of his last 12starts.
You know, Eric Fetty, the Braveshave been so decimated by
injuries to their pitching staffthere to make a trade, I
(18:10):
believe, with the Cardinals to bring in Fetty.
But he in four July starts posted a 10.5 for ER a making a
second start tonight with the Braves after being picked up in
a trade in his debut. He gave up four runs in 4.2 and
he's pitched in a nine to six loss to the Royals.
A little cherry on top here, Milwaukee also getting an 8%
(18:33):
sharp mush edge in favor, in their favor, I should say from
the wise guys like you who are listening, who have downloaded
juice trail and synced up their books.
So steam move toward Milwaukee. They're red hot priesters been
dealing that. He's a guy we want to fade.
We got a sharp mush edge. I laid it with Milwaukee -138
little bit earlier today. Again, looks like your best
(18:54):
price right now is around -144 at FanDuel.
So Tigers, Marlins, beer makers,let's try to get 2 out of 3 eek
out a winning day. So that about does it for
episode 329 of the All Systems Go Sports Betting podcast
powered by Rhythm. This is the part of the pod
where we wrap things up and I start first by saying, as
(19:14):
always, thank you. Thank you for taking the time
out of your day, out of your busy lives during the dog days
of summer to pull up a chair to the virtual bar and sweat some
sharp, data-driven breakdowns inme.
It means a ton. I know it's easy to tune in
during football season because everyone's doing football, but
we've been grinding baseball since the start and having a
decent year. So I thank you all for tuning
and listening in. If you do enjoy the pod, if you
(19:36):
want to let me know you appreciate the pod.
Help me grow this podcast please.
Could you give it a five star review on Spotify or iTunes?
Would go a long way to continue to to build some momentum for
the ASG pod. If you'd like to leave a nice
comment under the review sectionor click the follow button.
That way you get alerted as soonas it drops each day or
recommend the pod to a friend. Word of mouth, that would also
(19:58):
be very much appreciated. Next, if you enjoy the style of
betting breakdown, no parlays, no betting.
What we think or want will happen.
We're not hammering this with a 50 unit bomb.
No, we're grinding our system matches long term discipline
approach. But if kind of reading the
market has kind of clued you into a strategy and overall
(20:19):
North star when it comes to sports betting, now you're
paying attention to line movement, what a game opened at,
where it is now, the splits, thesystem matches.
If this style of betting has again, kind of caught your eye
and you've seen the value in it and you want to learn more about
data-driven betting, then I would love for you to go to
Amazon.com and type in the Everything Guide to Sports
(20:39):
Betting. It's the first book ever wrote,
very proud of it. But it's got everything I've
learned in the industry. How lines are set, how and why
they move, how to read line movement, how to locate sharp
action, how to place a bet in person or online, how to shop
for the best line, how to set upa bankroll management plan,
chapters on all the major sports, all included in the
Everything Guide to Sports Betting.
Now while you're picking up the Everything Guide on Amazon, stay
(21:02):
on Amazon.com and then type in the NFL Sharp Betting Playbook.
It's my new book. It comes out a week from
tomorrow. Can't believe it.
August 12th we got football, youknow, pretty much here back in
our lives after the Hall of Famegame and preseason about to be
in full swing this week. Before you know it, it'll be
week 1. If you want to get a leg up on
(21:22):
your NFL handicapping, get readyfor the season.
I would love for you guys to pick up a pre-ordered copy of
the NFL Sharp Betting Playbook. You can bring the Sharp Betting
Playbook and the Everything Guide to the sports book.
I'll sign them for you. I'll buy you a beer or ginger
ale, we'll get some some nachos,and we'll sweat some baseball
games together. That sounds pretty good to me.
(21:43):
Next, have you downloaded Rhythmand Juice Reel?
Hope you haven't. Now is the time because it's
about to get busy around these parts with football returning.
We haven't even hit on college football yet, even though there
are some lines out already and pretty much all the lines are
out for week 1 or week 0 as theylike to call it now.
But if you haven't done it yet, now is the time to download
Rhythm. Rhythm does a great job of
(22:03):
powering this podcast. Rhythm is fantastic for their AI
backed models and predictions for game bets and player props.
Right now we got WNBA and MLB live, but pretty soon we'll have
football returning and then basketball, so looking forward
to that. Then you also got to go download
Juice Reel. This podcast is free.
It cost you nothing to listen. If you want to support the pod,
(22:24):
let me know you appreciate the pod.
I would love for you to go to Juice Reel, download the app,
click buy sell bottom right corner and then go to sellers
and then click or type in ASG under score podcast or you don't
have to click anything. You can just follow my Twitter
account at Josh under score insights.
I tweeted out every late afternoon, early evening.
(22:44):
We can get the all systems go best bet pics exclusively on the
juice real app for $4.99 a week.Again, I make the joke of hey,
hopefully this pot is worth $0.99 of insights and value.
Well, if that's the case, get those best bets and you'll get
some better numbers, hopefully like Detroit -174 a little bit
earlier today. But also you're going to get the
(23:04):
Robo Jackson best bet picks, thesharp mush indicators, the
arbitrage plays, the shop for the best line features.
All those are available to you, those great features when you
download Juice Reel. So download Juice Reel and
download Rhythm. Give a five star review in the
App Store while you're at it. Lastly, do you have a live odds
page? Do you even know what a live
odds page is? You probably do, but you might
(23:26):
not. That's OK.
But a live odds page is, I wouldargue the number one most
important tool needed to be a data-driven better because
specifically just to start, you need data, you need numbers, you
need information and they come on the live odds page.
So it's going to give you all the games, the start times, the
live scoring, the live in game wagering odds, but most
importantly, it's going to be all the lines.
(23:48):
That's why they call it a live odds page.
All the numbers across the market at different books on
every game, so you can see whichdirection the line is moving,
how much or how little it is moved.
Where does buy back come in? If you pull up the line history,
find the best price by getting the best number, and then you
can also identify steam. Anytime a number gets lit up in
red, that means it's changing. That means big money's coming in
(24:10):
and you can identify that steam and hopefully take advantage of
a book that is slow to adjust. So you hear me say it all the
time, but I do it because I think it's important and it
helps me and I know it's going to help you.
There's a lot of live pages, lotof live odds pages out there.
The best one is Odds Logic. So if you go to
oddslogic.com/josh 123, again, oddslogic.com/josh 123, that's
(24:33):
going to give you a 7 day free trial and then 50% off your
first month of service with Oddslogic.
So give it a shot oddslogic.com/josh 123.
So that about does it for episode 329 of the ASG Pod.
Getting back into the swing of things on a Monday.
As always, guys leave you with two final thoughts.
One, whether I see you at the Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin
(24:55):
River in Rhode Island, the Brooklyn, New Hampshire,
Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun, down inConnecticut at the Encore in
Boston, Plain Ridge Park, Casino, MGM Springfield, or the
Nash in my neck of the woods outskirts of Boston Little,
about 15 minutes away from Nashville, New Hampshire.
Or of course, out in the desert where the true grinders get
down. Or Billy Walter sends his number
runners where the lowest juice possible is found at the South
(25:16):
Point. Or sweat and sharp contrarian
plays, jumping in the stadium swimming pool.
When you catch a big ticket at Circa, hopefully you're going to
walk up to me and show me some MLB winners here for tonight.
Tigers, Marlins, bro crew, try to get 2 out of three and start
our week off on a on a good note.
As always, guys, whether we're up down, hot, cold, coming off a
(25:38):
three and O or O and three, A 2:00 and 1:00 or 1:00 and 2:00.
There's a lot of ups and downs in sports betting.
Sports betting is also very difficult.
Again, it's hard to beat these razor sharp lines.
It's hard to avoid bad beats. We just got to keep grinding
though. Anything can happen in a one
off. But if we can consistently long
term avoid the games that present red flags and get down
on the games. Grinders with blinders, fearless
(26:00):
but disciplined on the games that fit our model.
And you know what that model is by now.
Or maybe you don't. That's OK too.
Against the public, with the house, with the pros, flat bet,
avoid parlays, get that CLV. We can do that and I'm confident
that we can. And guess what, long term we're
going to be successful sports betters.
So have a great Monday everybody.
Hope you had a great weekend. Let's get some baseball winners
(26:22):
tonight and keep grinding MLB until until Thursday.
We might have a preseason, preseason NFL game or two to get
down on. So I'm looking forward to that.
But either way, guys will be right back at it tomorrow.
Big Tuesday edition. That'll be episode 330 of the
All Systems Go sports betting podcast powered by rhythm.
Good luck everybody and have a great Monday night.
Hello, and welcome to episode 329 of the All Systems Go Sports
Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
I am your host Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
Happy Monday, a new week begins as we kick off the month of
(00:40):
August. You know what that means guys?
We got preseason NFL to get downon, actually want to hit on some
early line movement for this full week of preseason action
because we do have coming up here just a few days from now,
coming up on Thursday, we have 3preseason games.
We've already seen some line movement in all three of them.
Remember, want to know to start off the the preseason here with
(01:02):
the winner in the Hall of Fame Game getting that over and
really the importance of making information based bets in the
preseason. Now we've gone over this before,
but there are a lot of different, you know, kind of
takes and opinions when it comesto betting NFL pre season.
You're going to get a big group of people that's hey, everyone's
got opinions. You're entitled to yours who say
the pre season is a joke. Don't bet on it.
(01:23):
It's a crapshoot. No one's trying to win the
games. How are you possibly going to
cash a ticket on such an an unknown and volatile market with
an outcome in jeopardy? But then also you have people
who love betting the pre season,like a lot of wise guys, sharp
betters and just go right to thesports books.
They'll come out and tell you, Hey, we hate betting the
preseason because when we book it usually get we get hit quite
(01:44):
a bit because wise guys really like look at those information
based bets where really kind of the sweet spot.
The Holy Grail is hey, one team is taking the game seriously.
They're playing a majority of their guys.
Coach is going to come out rightand tell you, hey, we're going
to play our starters for the first quarter, the first half or
we're not going to play them at all.
The opposing coach will kind of already kind of tell the media
(02:05):
because they have nothing to lose really.
That's the whole point. If it was the regular season,
they would never tell you these little tidbits because they
don't want to give up any kind of competitive advantages, even
if it's a point O 1%. So that being said, figuring
out, hey, staying glued to Twitter, what are the coaches
saying? Who's playing, who's not knowing
the depth charts. But then of course, looking at
how the market is reacting. So looking toward these, this
(02:27):
upcoming week's games might havea player too, who knows?
But I've already seen some big movement on all three games.
If you look on Thursday, 7:00 game, the Colts against the
Ravens. We open this game at basically a
pick em. You know, some shops for Colts
may be favored by a point or even some shops for Baltimore
favored by a point. Now it's all the way up to Colts
-4 So boom, big movement toward Indy.
(02:51):
You did hear a report that it's a full quarterback competition
between Daniel Jones and AnthonyRichardson.
So maybe they'll both play or Baltimore isn't really taking it
very seriously since he in Philly, 730 game on Thursday
night. Open Philly -1 -, 2 at home.
We've now flipped all the way tosince he -3 1/2 on the road.
(03:11):
So was Philly not playing their guys?
And since he is playing their guys, Vegas in Seattle 10:00
Thursday, same sort of thing. Dog to favorite open Seattle -1
-? 1 1/2 at home.
Now it's -1 1/2 - 2 Vegas on theroad.
O whole point being, guys, I'm not going to play any of these
bets now. I'm not going to get locked in
too early, but we've already seen adjustments in the market
(03:32):
telling us that based upon who'sexpected to play and for how
long, you already seen big moneymove these numbers.
So maybe we'll continue to dig into these games, figure out
exactly what the coaches are going to do.
But already some big moves. And out of these three, probably
at least one of them, I'll be looking to get down on me.
And again, maybe it's only a first half bet, first quarter
bet. Because you know, a lot of times
(03:53):
you get off to a nice lead at halftime and then second-half
things get crazy and you know you get a bunch of surprises,
but already some big moves and that's music to our ears as
information based bets, information based betting
priests and bedders, that's a mouthful.
Anyway, just wanted to wet your whistle because we are going to
have some pre season football later this week.
(04:13):
With that being said, guys goingto get right back to Major
League Baseball. 3 pack overall.Got some good sharp line moves
today. Got some sharp mush edges from
our friends at Juice Rail. And as always a three pack.
Let's try to go 2 and 1 eek out a winning day.
So without further ado and again, don't give up on
baseball. I I went on money moves earlier
today with my buddy JBT for for V syn and we're kind of talking
(04:35):
about how a you know, you turn on any kind of sports betting
radio station or V syn or you know, any kind of betting
network and everyone's going to want to talk about football
because football is exciting. It's back, but don't give up on
baseball again. This is kind of the type of year
or time of year, I should say, where you're going to get
motivation, motivational edges one way or the other, where one
team is, you know, just traded their guys to the deadline,
(04:58):
they're packing it in, they're bringing up kids.
They got nothing to play for versus teams that are
independent race and have a lot of motivation.
So we're going to try to stay true to our model, look at some
sharp moves, some good bet split, some good system matches
and continue to grind baseball as we have been grinding it
first pitch, first, first pitch,first series all the way to the
end, of course of October when we when we crown a champion.
(05:21):
So without further ado, 3 pack overall as of course, as always
looking to get 2 winners out of three, which is the goal.
So with that being said first, but on the board for me on the
MLB slate, let's go to an early match up. 6:40 PM Eastern Time,
first pitch, Minnesota Twins visiting the Detroit Tigers.
Let's set the stage. Talk some line movement, bat
(05:42):
split system matches. I'll give you my play for this
one. So going into it, we got the
Twins 52 and 59 on the year. Remember, they really sold off
of the deadline I gave away. I think it was in particular 38%
of the roster. They just did just drop two or
three against the Guardians. Avoided the sweep, however.
Won that series finale yesterday5 to 4 as a + 140 Rd. dog.
(06:04):
You know the Tigers 65 and 48 onthe year.
Had a great start. Little bit of a turbulence here
recently, but did just lose 2 out of three against the
Phillies. Lost two to nothing yesterday as
a + 150 Rd. dog. So pitching match up here for
tonight. This one was kind of interesting
because but we knew all along itwould be Casey Mize going for
the Tigers, the righty 9 and four 3.43 ERA and we really
(06:28):
didn't know who was going to be the Minnesota starter.
So I went to bed last night and it was Mr. TBD to be decided.
Woke up today, it was still Mr. Unde undecided.
And then we finally got some confirmation that it looks like
rookie righty Travis Adams will make the start.
He's one and one with an 8 pointO3 ERA looking to make his fifth
career start. So, but we didn't know who the
(06:49):
starter would be from Minnesota.We opened Detroit around a -,
160 home favorite Minnesota around a + 135 Rd. dog.
And early on we saw some movement toward even without
knowing who the starter was. And this spoke volumes to me
because it really didn't matter in terms of the wise guys who
will start from Minnesota. But the early move was toward
Detroit -160 up to around -170 And then once we got
(07:12):
confirmation that Adams would get the start, we saw that line
shoot up all the way now to around -190 So big steam here
hitting Detroit. I jumped on Detroit a little bit
earlier today -174 again, shop around if you want to play the
the Tigers in this one. Looks like -188 is your best
price currently at FanDuel. But in terms of the splits look
pretty good on the Tigers. They're getting 88% of money
(07:35):
line bets and 90% of money line dollars at DraftKings.
So national Public book really pro and Joe, one way action in
favor of the Tigers. And then if you look at Circa
out in Vegas, 95% of money line bets in dollars roughly coming
in on the Tigers, another big heavy split in favor of Detroit.
You look at some system matches here.
I have 4 systems lit up. One that really caught my eye
(07:57):
Monday. Home favorites with a line move
in their favor, 56 and 36 on theyear, 61 percent, 4% ROI.
Home favorites in the opening game of a new series getting
big. Steam $0.20 or more in their
direction. 54 and 26 on the year, 71% with a 9% ROI.
If we isolate the Tigers in particular in the spot, they've
(08:19):
done very well as a home favorite -150 or more.
They're 18 and seven on the year, 72 percent, 6% ROI.
And when they are a home favorite against a below 500
team, they're 17 and 577% with an 18% ROI.
Detroit we're going to bank on. Of course, Mize hopefully
pitching well and the bats of the Tigers getting to Adams the
(08:41):
rookie. But overall, Detroit does have
the better bats, hitting 249 as a team, 144 home runs, 543 runs
scored. Meanwhile, Minnesota, who dealt
away a couple guys in their lineup, only hitting 241 on the
year, 126 homers, 462 runs scored.
In particular, home Rd. splits, batting average really benefit
(09:02):
the Tigers in the spot. They're hitting 257 at home.
That's 10th, 10th best in baseball.
Twins are only hitting 232 on the road.
That ranks 25th. KC Mize in particular, remember,
he was a first round pick, was maybe even his first overall a
few years ago, maybe top five, something like that.
But he's been pretty good at home.
Five and one 3.32 ERA. And then just classic home Rd.
(09:24):
splits. We have Detroit 36 and 21 at
home, Minnesota 22 and 35 on theroad.
So you're kind of waiting on whothe starter would be from
Minnesota. We finally got confirmation, but
from open to current and especially after Adams was named
the official starter, it's all been movement toward Detroit
here, guys. So I'm going to lay it with the
Tigers. I got -174 a little bit earlier
(09:46):
today. Again, this is a shameless plug
to sign up to get the $4.99 a week.
All systems go. Best bets from the Juice Reel
app because you would have gotten that 174 earlier and
gotten some CLV. But either way, if you're
playing them now, you'll come ataround -188 but looks to be a
good spot for the Tigers here athome.
So I'm laying it with the Tigersagain.
(10:06):
I got -174 keep on cruising. 6:40 PM Eastern Time.
First pitch, another early one here.
Let's look at an interleague matchup.
Houston Astros visiting the Miami Marlins now.
The Astros come in 62 and 50 on the year, 12 games above 500.
But they did just get swept by my Red Sox.
So thank you for a good weekend as the Red Sox over 85 and F win
(10:29):
total. Those like me who are holding it
in pocket. It was been a good, good stretch
here. Let's keep it going.
But they lost that serious finale 6 to 1 yesterday as a
-130 Rd. favorite. Meanwhile, the Marlins kind of
unbelievable, if you haven't been paying attention, they're
now at 555 and 55 number. They started I think 16 and 30
or something, but a terrible start.
(10:51):
They've been one of the best teams in baseball over the last
about 30 to 60 days. They swept the Yankees and won
seven to three yesterday as a -105 home dog.
So for the pitching matchup tonight in this interleague
series opener, the Stroh's are going to go with the ready.
Jason Alexander, Mr. Costanza, for the Seinfeld fans out there,
one and one 7.36 ERA. By the way, me and the wife over
(11:12):
the weekend we watched Shallow Hal, a big Jack Black fan.
I watched it back in the day. I haven't seen in a long time,
but it was pretty hilarious and Jason Alexander was in that.
Anyway, the Marlins going to go with fellow ready Sandy
Alcantara. 6 and 96.36 ERA. So do you see across the market
here? Well, this game opened at
basically a pick em around -110 both sides.
(11:34):
You had some shops even open. Houston kind of a short -115 Rd.
favorite and the public really doesn't know where to go.
They're split down the middle 5050 at DraftKings.
On the one hand, you know Houston has the better record
and they're getting plus money. So how do you not take that?
But then also Miami's red hot laying, you know, kind of a
quasi short number at home. How do you not take that?
(11:54):
So public doesn't know what to do.
But what do we always talk about?
5050 line moves. That's when the basically the
line is moving in One Direction,even though the tickets are
even. So you would think theoretically
in a vacuum, if the odds makers have balanced action, there's no
need to adjust the price up or down.
Usually that's kind of what you see if the tickets are split.
But if the tickets are split andthen one team is getting steam
(12:15):
$0.20 or more in their favor, I like to go with that team
getting steam because it tells me even though the public
doesn't know what to do, wise guys have clearly taken a
position and that position is onthe team getting that big steam
move in their favor. In this case, it would be Miami.
Now the Marlins are matching 5 systems for me.
Couple of the most notable ones.Same overlap of the Detroit
play, but home teams with a linemove in their favor on Mondays.
(12:38):
56 and 3661 percent, 4% ROI thisyear.
Home favorites in the opening game of a new series getting big
Steam $0.20 or more in their direction. 54 and 2671 percent,
9% ROI. Here's a new one if you're a
sweet spot. Home favorite between -125 and
-140, which the Marlins are, andyou're playing in a point an
(13:00):
opponent who made the playoffs the previous year.
So kind of a contrarian by low spot on a short number against
quote UN quote a good team. Those teams are 59 and 3563%
with a 10% ROI this year. Now the Marlins would have
betting system value as a interleague favorite.
So lack of familiarity benefiting quote UN quote the
better team. Miami is also three and O in
(13:23):
Alcantara's last three starts. I know his ERA in the year is
pretty bad. Remember, this guy was a Cy
Young winner a few years ago. 6.36 ERA overall, but he's got a
12 inning scoreless streak. He has not given up a run in his
last two starts and we do have Miami 3 and O in his last three
starts overall. Then if we kind of look at just
recent performance, Marlins are playing very well there. 11 and
(13:45):
four since the break there, eight and two over their last
10. They have a 2.96 team ERA.
Meanwhile, the Stroh's complete opposite two and eight over
their last ten 4.91 team ERA. Miami also most profitable team
in baseball since June 1st. They're 32 and 2269 percent 34%
ROI, 18 units. One, and I'll just throw this
(14:07):
little caveat as well, but I think it was after they either
won the first or second game of the series against the Yankees
and I forget who the player was,they said something like, hey,
we're young, we're hungry, we don't care what people say.
We're playing great ball. And just kind of the the vibe of
of this Miami team. They got, they got something
special going, something mojo wise that I want to get behind.
(14:29):
So it's not a play on Miami justbecause they're hot.
It's a play on Miami because they went from a pick to a -,
130 home favorite tells us smartmoney's in their favor.
So good splits, good movement, some good system matches here.
And oh, by the way, nothing crazy, but a 5% sharp mush edge
on the Miami Marlins from our friends at Juice Rail.
So a lot of books as high as -135 I got Miami -130 they
(14:54):
should still be available at -130 I believe ESPN or BET MGM
still has that price. But let's stay hot.
Let's go fish last bed of the night, 7:15 PM Eastern Time, the
Milwaukee Brew Crew, another hotteam visiting the Atlanta
Braves. So going to it, we got the
Brewers 67 and 44 believe the best record in baseball just
(15:16):
swept the nationals. They had a big win 14 to 3
yesterday as a -150 Rd. favorite.
Meanwhile, the Braves, 47 and 63on the year did just take two or
three against the Reds. They won four to two yesterday
at Bristol Motor Speedway where it was a NASCAR race and they
turned into a baseball field. But they did just get a big
injury to with Austin Riley going down South pitching match
(15:38):
up here for tonight. The Brew Crew are going with the
ready Quinn Priester. Every time I look at his
numbers, I want to throw up as aRed Sox fan.
He's 10 and two, 3.27 ERA. Remember the Red Sox traded him
before the start of the year. I think it was maybe spring
training to Milwaukee without having him ever pitch a game for
Boston. So a good job Red Sox giving up
this guy who's been great this year.
(16:00):
Braves, meanwhile, going with the fellow ready Eric Fetti.
He's three and eleven 5.33 ERA. So what are we seen across the
market for this one? Well, the Brew Crew opened
around a -. 130 Rd. favorite Atlanta A + 110 home dog and
sharps are pounding the Milwaukee Brew Crew here.
Let's make some beer tonight, guys.
Brewers have gotten steamed up -130 now up to -145.
(16:24):
I jumped on Milwaukee -138 a little bit earlier today.
Looks like -144 is now your bestprice at FanDuel.
But aside from that, line move splits look pretty good on the
Brewers at DraftKings. 78% of money line bets, 91% of money
line dollars. So kind of a pro and Joe Low
bets higher dollar split at the National DK book in favor of
(16:45):
Milwaukee. I do have some system matches on
the Brewers. Big one here for me is it might
a little bit of a mouthful here,but try to try to stay with me.
Favorites off a win with a winning record, getting at least
$0.05 of line movement in their favor against a team who made
the playoffs the previous year. 132 and 6069 percent. 7% ROI
(17:05):
this season. Milwaukee is also cleaned up
against bad teams. When they play a team that's
below 500, they've gone 38 and 2164% with a 14% ROI.
Brewers would also have that favorite low total correlative
betting value. Total in this one is 8.
Some shops are juiced up. I seen 8 1/2 out there but it's
mostly eights. You'd also have a non division
(17:27):
favorite system match with Milwaukee, lack of familiarity
also benefiting quote UN quote. The better team was expected to
win and hope Milwaukee's bats stay hot on the year.
They're hitting 257, they've scored 555 runs.
Atlanta only hitting 243. They've only scored 461 runs.
And again, Cooney is on the DL. And you just have Austin Riley
(17:48):
who got hurt as well. And then dig into these pictures
a little bit. Quinn Priester again hurts even
more as a Sox fan, but the Brewers are 11 and O 11 and O.
And his last eleven starts he's given up two earned runs, excuse
me or less, in 10 of his last 12starts.
You know, Eric Fetty, the Braveshave been so decimated by
injuries to their pitching staffthere to make a trade, I
(18:10):
believe, with the Cardinals to bring in Fetty.
But he in four July starts posted a 10.5 for ER a making a
second start tonight with the Braves after being picked up in
a trade in his debut. He gave up four runs in 4.2 and
he's pitched in a nine to six loss to the Royals.
A little cherry on top here, Milwaukee also getting an 8%
(18:33):
sharp mush edge in favor, in their favor, I should say from
the wise guys like you who are listening, who have downloaded
juice trail and synced up their books.
So steam move toward Milwaukee. They're red hot priesters been
dealing that. He's a guy we want to fade.
We got a sharp mush edge. I laid it with Milwaukee -138
little bit earlier today. Again, looks like your best
(18:54):
price right now is around -144 at FanDuel.
So Tigers, Marlins, beer makers,let's try to get 2 out of 3 eek
out a winning day. So that about does it for
episode 329 of the All Systems Go Sports Betting podcast
powered by Rhythm. This is the part of the pod
where we wrap things up and I start first by saying, as
(19:14):
always, thank you. Thank you for taking the time
out of your day, out of your busy lives during the dog days
of summer to pull up a chair to the virtual bar and sweat some
sharp, data-driven breakdowns inme.
It means a ton. I know it's easy to tune in
during football season because everyone's doing football, but
we've been grinding baseball since the start and having a
decent year. So I thank you all for tuning
and listening in. If you do enjoy the pod, if you
(19:36):
want to let me know you appreciate the pod.
Help me grow this podcast please.
Could you give it a five star review on Spotify or iTunes?
Would go a long way to continue to to build some momentum for
the ASG pod. If you'd like to leave a nice
comment under the review sectionor click the follow button.
That way you get alerted as soonas it drops each day or
recommend the pod to a friend. Word of mouth, that would also
(19:58):
be very much appreciated. Next, if you enjoy the style of
betting breakdown, no parlays, no betting.
What we think or want will happen.
We're not hammering this with a 50 unit bomb.
No, we're grinding our system matches long term discipline
approach. But if kind of reading the
market has kind of clued you into a strategy and overall
(20:19):
North star when it comes to sports betting, now you're
paying attention to line movement, what a game opened at,
where it is now, the splits, thesystem matches.
If this style of betting has again, kind of caught your eye
and you've seen the value in it and you want to learn more about
data-driven betting, then I would love for you to go to
Amazon.com and type in the Everything Guide to Sports
(20:39):
Betting. It's the first book ever wrote,
very proud of it. But it's got everything I've
learned in the industry. How lines are set, how and why
they move, how to read line movement, how to locate sharp
action, how to place a bet in person or online, how to shop
for the best line, how to set upa bankroll management plan,
chapters on all the major sports, all included in the
Everything Guide to Sports Betting.
Now while you're picking up the Everything Guide on Amazon, stay
(21:02):
on Amazon.com and then type in the NFL Sharp Betting Playbook.
It's my new book. It comes out a week from
tomorrow. Can't believe it.
August 12th we got football, youknow, pretty much here back in
our lives after the Hall of Famegame and preseason about to be
in full swing this week. Before you know it, it'll be
week 1. If you want to get a leg up on
(21:22):
your NFL handicapping, get readyfor the season.
I would love for you guys to pick up a pre-ordered copy of
the NFL Sharp Betting Playbook. You can bring the Sharp Betting
Playbook and the Everything Guide to the sports book.
I'll sign them for you. I'll buy you a beer or ginger
ale, we'll get some some nachos,and we'll sweat some baseball
games together. That sounds pretty good to me.
(21:43):
Next, have you downloaded Rhythmand Juice Reel?
Hope you haven't. Now is the time because it's
about to get busy around these parts with football returning.
We haven't even hit on college football yet, even though there
are some lines out already and pretty much all the lines are
out for week 1 or week 0 as theylike to call it now.
But if you haven't done it yet, now is the time to download
Rhythm. Rhythm does a great job of
(22:03):
powering this podcast. Rhythm is fantastic for their AI
backed models and predictions for game bets and player props.
Right now we got WNBA and MLB live, but pretty soon we'll have
football returning and then basketball, so looking forward
to that. Then you also got to go download
Juice Reel. This podcast is free.
It cost you nothing to listen. If you want to support the pod,
(22:24):
let me know you appreciate the pod.
I would love for you to go to Juice Reel, download the app,
click buy sell bottom right corner and then go to sellers
and then click or type in ASG under score podcast or you don't
have to click anything. You can just follow my Twitter
account at Josh under score insights.
I tweeted out every late afternoon, early evening.
(22:44):
We can get the all systems go best bet pics exclusively on the
juice real app for $4.99 a week.Again, I make the joke of hey,
hopefully this pot is worth $0.99 of insights and value.
Well, if that's the case, get those best bets and you'll get
some better numbers, hopefully like Detroit -174 a little bit
earlier today. But also you're going to get the
(23:04):
Robo Jackson best bet picks, thesharp mush indicators, the
arbitrage plays, the shop for the best line features.
All those are available to you, those great features when you
download Juice Reel. So download Juice Reel and
download Rhythm. Give a five star review in the
App Store while you're at it. Lastly, do you have a live odds
page? Do you even know what a live
odds page is? You probably do, but you might
(23:26):
not. That's OK.
But a live odds page is, I wouldargue the number one most
important tool needed to be a data-driven better because
specifically just to start, you need data, you need numbers, you
need information and they come on the live odds page.
So it's going to give you all the games, the start times, the
live scoring, the live in game wagering odds, but most
importantly, it's going to be all the lines.
(23:48):
That's why they call it a live odds page.
All the numbers across the market at different books on
every game, so you can see whichdirection the line is moving,
how much or how little it is moved.
Where does buy back come in? If you pull up the line history,
find the best price by getting the best number, and then you
can also identify steam. Anytime a number gets lit up in
red, that means it's changing. That means big money's coming in
(24:10):
and you can identify that steam and hopefully take advantage of
a book that is slow to adjust. So you hear me say it all the
time, but I do it because I think it's important and it
helps me and I know it's going to help you.
There's a lot of live pages, lotof live odds pages out there.
The best one is Odds Logic. So if you go to
oddslogic.com/josh 123, again, oddslogic.com/josh 123, that's
(24:33):
going to give you a 7 day free trial and then 50% off your
first month of service with Oddslogic.
So give it a shot oddslogic.com/josh 123.
So that about does it for episode 329 of the ASG Pod.
Getting back into the swing of things on a Monday.
As always, guys leave you with two final thoughts.
One, whether I see you at the Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin
(24:55):
River in Rhode Island, the Brooklyn, New Hampshire,
Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun, down inConnecticut at the Encore in
Boston, Plain Ridge Park, Casino, MGM Springfield, or the
Nash in my neck of the woods outskirts of Boston Little,
about 15 minutes away from Nashville, New Hampshire.
Or of course, out in the desert where the true grinders get
down. Or Billy Walter sends his number
runners where the lowest juice possible is found at the South
(25:16):
Point. Or sweat and sharp contrarian
plays, jumping in the stadium swimming pool.
When you catch a big ticket at Circa, hopefully you're going to
walk up to me and show me some MLB winners here for tonight.
Tigers, Marlins, bro crew, try to get 2 out of three and start
our week off on a on a good note.
As always, guys, whether we're up down, hot, cold, coming off a
(25:38):
three and O or O and three, A 2:00 and 1:00 or 1:00 and 2:00.
There's a lot of ups and downs in sports betting.
Sports betting is also very difficult.
Again, it's hard to beat these razor sharp lines.
It's hard to avoid bad beats. We just got to keep grinding
though. Anything can happen in a one
off. But if we can consistently long
term avoid the games that present red flags and get down
on the games. Grinders with blinders, fearless
(26:00):
but disciplined on the games that fit our model.
And you know what that model is by now.
Or maybe you don't. That's OK too.
Against the public, with the house, with the pros, flat bet,
avoid parlays, get that CLV. We can do that and I'm confident
that we can. And guess what, long term we're
going to be successful sports betters.
So have a great Monday everybody.
Hope you had a great weekend. Let's get some baseball winners
(26:22):
tonight and keep grinding MLB until until Thursday.
We might have a preseason, preseason NFL game or two to get
down on. So I'm looking forward to that.
But either way, guys will be right back at it tomorrow.
Big Tuesday edition. That'll be episode 330 of the
All Systems Go sports betting podcast powered by rhythm.
Good luck everybody and have a great Monday night.
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