August 8, 2025 • 26 mins
In Episode 332, Josh dishes out a 6-pack of MLB and NFL Preseason plays for Friday night.
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Josh's new book "The NFL Sharp Betting Playbook" comes out on August 12, 2025
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Transcript
Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
(00:19):
Hello, and welcome to episode 332 of the All Systems Go sports
Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on, everyone?
Happy Friday. Our work week has come to an
end. We got a huge weekend ahead
(00:41):
here, guys. And oh, by the way, we are now
just four days away from my second book launching, Going
Live, available to the public. You walk into a Barnes and Noble
or a bookstore near you, you're going to go to the sports
section. Then you're going to find the
NFL Sharp betting playbook. I cannot wait.
It's been a long time coming. Of course it is available for
(01:01):
pre sale if you want to buy it right now and support the team
from Amazon.com. That way when the 12th rolls
around Tuesday August 12th, a few days only again four days
away, you pre-order it now it'llbe dropped off by a Bezos drone
on your front porch when Tuesdayrolls around.
So super excited about it. Guys, I'm actually coming to you
live from Mohegan Sun in Connecticut.
(01:24):
My brother-in-law is an artist and he has a booth at
Terrificon, which is basically the Comic Con of the East Coast.
So we took the drive from outskirts of Boston down to
Mohegan Sun in Connecticut. Nice little hour and a half
drive, really not too far. Got here early yesterday, kind
of hung out. I wasn't able to do a pod so I
do apologize. Had a couple of you guys reach
(01:45):
out and say hey, where's the podtoday?
I wasn't able to and we had to set up his booth and get checked
into the hotel And then I had myby the time I I could have like
sat down and done, it was like 630 and all the games are about
to start. So didn't have a pod yesterday
and do apologize for that. But hopefully we can make up for
it today and get some winners here.
But really enjoying Mohegan Sun,a lot of great food spots, the
(02:08):
sports book. I hung out there and did my hit
on V some live tonight last night with my buddy Patrick
Maher live from the sports book.So I was pretty cool.
And again, I'm four days away from my second book going live,
so feels pretty awesome. But with that being said, guys,
we got to get back to do what welove to do.
And you know we've been doing these 3 packs, you know,
baseball 3 packs for many, many a day, many a week, many a month
(02:32):
now at this point. Well guess what?
We got football back. We got three games tonight in
all three games match up pretty nicely with what we saw
yesterday. And if you notice yesterday,
those inflated line dogs really crushed it.
We had all three go 3 and O ATS.Baltimore open laying a point.
They closed getting six. They won outright.
(02:53):
You know, Philly open minus one 1 1/2.
They ended up getting 6 1/2 and 1 outright.
And then Seattle was -1 1/2 up to plus 5 1/2 then up tying the
game. And remember, you can't have
ties in the preseason, which will not allow a winner on the
money line, but based on the spread, you'll cover if you're
on the dog there in a tied game.So a little hint, hint.
(03:13):
We're gonna talk about the threegames here for tonight, Browns
and Carolina Panthers, Detroit and Atlanta and Washington and
my New England Patriots. So we'll see if we can get some
winners here on the NFL preseason gridiron.
And then we're still going to have those 3 packs of baseball
plays. So we got 3 plays in MLB.
So we got 6 plays tonight. We're going all out.
(03:33):
A little dangerous. You know, I don't want to have
too many bets because too many plays is the quickest way to go
bankrupt. But you know what, we got some
system matches. We're going to try to take
advantage. So let's see if we can maybe eke
out a four and two night. That'll be pretty awesome.
With that being said, guys, let's waste no time and let's
talk about the NFL preseason because I think it was a great
(03:53):
teachable moment from last night.
And I put out a tweet if you guys follow me on Twitter at
Josh under score Insights and basically I did a screenshot of
the Odds Logic Live odds page. Again, you want to give it a
shot? Odds logic.com/josh 123.
But I said 3 pack of sweats tonight in the preseason.
Anyone buying low on the inflated dogs?
(04:14):
And as I mentioned, all these, all three of these inflated line
dogs end up winning or covering.The whole thought process here
guys is, you know, if you had played yesterday some of those
teams and gotten a good number, like for example, you know, if
you got, you know, Indy -1 -, 2 they close -6 they lose by 8,
you lost your bet, but you made a good play because he beat the
(04:35):
closing line. Same thing with that Cincy
Philly game. Like if you got cincy -1 -, 2
they close -6 and half you beat the closing line.
But here's the thing, NFL pre season, it's a very different
kind of animal. Obviously there's a lot of
unknowns and a lot of backups playing.
But the whole thought here is that if you can't get a good
number, then laying the worst ofit at the back end of a line
(04:57):
move really is not a smart play.Like yesterday maybe Indy would
have rolled in one by ten or more, or maybe since he would
have rolled or Vegas or whatever.
But you never want to get in thehabit of laying the worst of the
number after a huge line move. So that's why I tweeted that out
and said, hey, is there an opportunity to buy low on these
inflated dogs? And of course they go 3 and O 8
TS. So that being said, we have 3
(05:20):
inflated line opportunities herefor tonight.
Now a lot of these lines have moved and that's a reason why,
you know, we've been able to getthese by law opportunities.
But let me just give you a couple stats when it comes to
the preseason. In the preseason, we have dogs.
This goes back about a 20 year sample, so pretty good sample
size dogs in the preseason rightaround 53% against the spread.
(05:44):
Now remember 53%, you know, you get a 53 on an algebra test in
8th grade. You're you're in trouble.
Your parents are mad at you. You know you need a tutor. 53%
ATS assuming -110 juice, you're actually winning sports better.
Remember the the magic number is52.38%.
So 53% ATS. That means you're winning.
(06:04):
That means you've turned a profit.
The other angle aside from just,you know, it's a crapshoot.
Volatility, unpredictability, take the dog, take the points.
The other angle is pretty low totals like yesterday I believe
overs went three and oh, yeah. So really, we've seen these
totals that are low. Yeah, they all flew over.
You know, a lot of totals here for today have dipped, except
(06:26):
for Washington and New England that rose 33 1/2 up to like 36
1/2. But the point being is that you
want to think about correlative betting.
And we talked about a lot in baseball where if you're on a
favorite, you want a low total 8or less dog, high total 9 or
more. When you're looking at a dog in
football, you really want a low total game because the fewer
amount of expected points scoredmeans it's going to be a little
(06:48):
bit more difficult for the favorite who's laying the points
to cover the number. So historically, dogs have
barked in the preseason. We have the dog low totals.
All these games tonight are 33331/2, you know, 36 ish.
And then the last angle here is taking advantage.
And I'm not going to call these sharp plays, but I'm going to
call them value plays because you're taking advantage of a
(07:10):
line that has moved so much in One Direction.
And the reason is, you know, this team's playing their guys.
The other team is not like why yesterday did you see, you know,
the line moves so big to Indy orthe line moves so big to Cincy
or Vegas? It's because they're playing a
lot of their starters. Joe Burrow played for Cincy.
That's why the line moved in hisfavor.
But then you got to say to yourself, for example, like
(07:30):
Cleveland and Carolina tonight, Carolina open this game as
really a very short about a two point favorite, 1 1/2 point
favorite. Now they're up to -6 1/2.
So, yes, Caroline looks like they're going to play their
guys. And yes, the line has moved big
toward Carolina. But if you're laying a -, 6 1/2
with the Panthers tonight, you're getting the worst of the
(07:51):
number. So we want to take advantage of
these inflated spots. So I'm going to play all, I'm
going to make it easy on you allthree dogs tonight.
Cleveland, Carolina is your 7:00game.
As I mentioned, Carolina open -11/2 two.
Now they're -6 1/2. I'm going to buy low and take
Cleveland plus 6 1/2. You can shop around.
(08:11):
A lot of books are at six. Definitely try to find the hook.
We got to kind of reprogram, reprogram our brains to think
about hooks and juice and what the which direction the juice is
leaning and shop for the best price, which again, odds logic
can really help you with. But there's a lot of Cleveland
plus sixes out there. But there are some 6 and a
halfs. And I did find plus 6 1/2 using
(08:33):
the FanDuel Mohegan Sun sports book here in Connecticut plus 6
1/2 at -120 So again, same blueprint as last night.
Big line moves instead of getting the worst of it with.
And again, here's the thing, it can be confusing because you
know, typically you want to be with the line movement, but not
when it's moved such a ridiculous degree that we're
chasing steam and getting the worst of it.
(08:54):
So my first play, Carolina and Cleveland, I'm buying low and
taking the Browns plus 6 1/2. Next game, Detroit in Atlanta,
very similar sort of thing here.Detroit Lions, remember they
played in the Hall of Fame game and got rolled.
We're able to get our over in that one.
But they opened a very short basically -1 -, 1 1/2 favorite.
(09:16):
Now they're all the way up to -31/2.
Now this isn't quite the huge move that we've seen, you know,
in last night's games, but this would also be a buy low
opportunity where the Lions moveso much to Detroit that their
creates value to buy low on Atlanta.
So I'm taking Atlanta plus 3 1/2.
And then lastly, my Patriots hosting the Washington
Commanders. Now tonight is the unveiling of
(09:38):
the Tom Brady statue. So I can tell you in New
England, we're pretty pumped about this because, you know,
you don't know what you got until it's gone, as the old
phrase goes. But we've seen a massive move
toward the Patriots because it sounds like the Pats are going
to play a lot of their guys. Well, guess what?
The Patriots open this game as avery short round of two point
favorite at home. And we've now seen the Patriots
(09:58):
get all the way up to -6 1/2 andyou may even be able to find a 7
out there. I forgot to mention that not
only are dogs 53% against the spread last decade, but inflated
line dogs in which they're getting, I believe it's either
four or five points off the opener.
They're close to 60% against thespread.
(10:18):
So I would match obviously with both Cleveland and Washington
tonight. Now, it doesn't technically
match with Atlanta because that's only moved about two or 2
1/2 points there, but that wouldstill be an inflated line dog
opportunity. It's still profitable.
It's close to like I think 5455%ATS, but I'm going to buy law on
Washington here. Now.
You might be able to find a + 7 at DraftKings -120 but I was
(10:41):
able to get some reduced juice and take Washington plus 6 1/2
at -1 O 5:00. That becomes a bit of a, you
know, decision for you if you want to save the juice and get 6
1/2 or pay more juice and get the seven that way.
Again, key number, you can make the case.
You can, you know, pay a little more juice to protect yourself.
But I'm playing all three dogs again.
(11:02):
I was annoyed I couldn't get thepot out yesterday and get these
plays out to you guys. Of course they go 3 and O, but
I'm going to see if we can maybeeke out a two and one using the
same exact philosophy. So inflated line dogs going with
the Browns plus 6 1/2, the Atlanta Falcons at plus 3 1/2
and the Washington Commanders atplus 6 1/2.
(11:23):
Trying to go 2 and 1. Eke out a winning pre season
night. Now back over to some MLB action
because I did have a three pack of MLB sweats and let's waste no
more time and get right down to it.
So first one on the board for me.
Let's go to a 6:40 PM Eastern Time.
First pitch the red legs visiting the Pittsburgh Pirates.
(11:44):
Now the Pirates come into this 150 and 66 on the year they won
last night. Series opener, 7 to nothing.
Skeins pitch to gem. I saw you gave up the most hits
ever. I think seven hits but still
shut out. Came through as a -165 home
favorite the pitching matchup for tonight.
In tonight's rematch, the Reds, who are 60 and 56, they're going
to go with the ready chase Burns.
(12:06):
He's oh and three with a 6.04 ERa Pirates, meanwhile, are going
to go with the fellow ready Mitch Keller, who's 5 and 10
with a 3.89 ER a. So what are you seeing across
the market here? Well, the Pittsburgh Pirates
open this game around a -. 120 home favorite Reds around a +
100 Rd. dog and boy have we seena big adjustment toward the Red
(12:28):
legs because you've now seen theReds go from plus 100 Rd. dog to
around a -. 120 Rd. favorite. Some shops even as high as -125
S. You guys know what that means.
Dog to fave line move Reds open as a dog plus 100.
Now they're laying -120 -. 125 SOne of the classic wise guy
moves there that I want to follow with the Reds.
(12:50):
At DraftKings, the Reds are getting 62% of money line bets,
85% of money line dollars. At Circa out in Vegas, 63% of
bets, 99% of dollars. So a really good low bets,
higher dollar split at both books and especially the wise
guys in the desert at Circa. Going with the Reds now, the
Reds would have correlative betting value as a favorite in a
(13:13):
low total game total. This one is 7 1/2.
So the fair amount of expected runs scored more likely to come
from quote UN quote that better team.
I'm going to bank on the Reds bats hopefully getting to
Keller. And again, Burns is a highly
touted rookie. He's kind of been so, so hope he
pitches well tonight. At least the markets moving
toward him. But the Reds do have the better
bats overall, hitting 246 on theyear, 117 home runs, 521 runs
(13:38):
scored. Pirates hitting 233 only 83
homers, 414 runs scored. And lastly, we got two righties
on the bump. Cincinnati happens to be hitting
254 against righties. That's the 8th best in baseball.
Meanwhile, Pittsburgh only hitting 237 against righties,
that ranks 26th. So you kind of have a classic
dog to fave line move favorite off a loss bounce back spot.
(14:01):
I'm going to back the back, the red legs in this one, guys.
I got cincy -120, but shop around some books now as high as
-125 next one for you. 7:15 PM Eastern Time, Miami Marlins at
the Atlanta Braves. Now the Braves who are 48 and
66, they came from behind to winlast night 8 to 6 came through
as a + 115 home dog. The rematch for tonight, the
(14:24):
Marlins who are 56 and 58, they're going to go with the
righty Edward Cabrera. He's five and five with a 3.24
ERA. Meanwhile, the Braves are going
to go with the fellow righty Bryce Elder.
He's four and eight with a six point O3 ERA.
So what have we seen across the market here?
Well, this game opened the Marlins around a -. 115 Rd.
favorite Atlanta a -, 105 home dog and sharps.
(14:48):
They've taken a position here, gotten down hard on the fish
steaming up Miami -115 up to around -130 Now aside from this
big steam toward the fish, DraftKings has a pretty good bet
split 66% of money line bets 81%of money line dollars, so low
bets higher dollar sharp split in their favor.
(15:08):
Miami would have that correlative betting favorite low
total total. This game is 8.
So once again, fair amount of expected run scored.
More likely to come from quote UN quote that better team.
Now Cabrera on a back him tonight.
He's pitched very well this season, but in particular in his
last 15 starts, 13 of them, he'sgiving up two earned runs or
less. Meanwhile, Elder, six of his
(15:30):
last eight starts, he's giving up three earned runs or more.
So you have Elder who's gotten roughed up.
Cabrera has pitched very well and the line is moving toward
Cabrera and the Marlins. Hopefully the Marlins bats come
to life. Actually had a six to two lead
last night and blew it. But they are overall hitting
better than Atlanta, hitting 253.
They scored 492 runs. Braves are hitting 242.
(15:52):
They scored 276 runs last 10 games.
Miami six and four team ERA of 4.7 O Atlanta last 10-4 and six
ERA of 5.36 and nothing huge buthome Rd.
Marlins are slightly profitable on the road 28 and 27.
Braves haven't been great at home 27 and 29.
So Miami blew the lead yesterdaybut they do have a line move
(16:15):
here in a bounce back spot today.
Hopefully better pitcher on the bump with some good, good angles
to back the fish. So Long story short, guys, I'm
going Miami. I got them at -130 They should
still pretty much be available at that number across the
market. Last bed of the night, 8:10 PM
Eastern Time, New York Mets visiting the Milwaukee Brew
(16:35):
Crew. Now the Mets come into the game
one of the series with a 63 and 52 record, but they just got
swept by the Guardians. They lost the series finale 4 to
1 as a -180 home favorite. Meanwhile the Brew Crew, man are
they hot. 70 and 44 best record in baseball.
They just swept the Braves. They won that series finale 5 to
4 as a + 110 Rd. dog pitching match up for tonight and the
(16:59):
opener we got the Mets going with the ready code Senga.
He's seven and three with a 2.31ERA.
Brewers, meanwhile, going with the fellow ready Brandon
Woodruff, he's 3 and O 2.22 ERA.What do we see across the
market? Well, the Brew Crew open this
game as a very short -130 home favorite.
New York A + 110 row dog and pros are saying, man, that is a
(17:21):
short price to back a really good team.
And they've hit Milwaukee and steamed up the Brew crew -130
now up to -140. I got -140 a bet MGM some looks
now as high as -145 look at the splits here.
They look pretty good on the beer makers. 70% of money line
bets 83% of money line dollars at DK and at circa 77% of bets
(17:43):
90% of dollars. So both books are showing that
notable low bets, higher dollar split in favor of the home
chalk. Now Milwaukee has a couple
betting systems that we like to look at.
Correlative betting favorite lowtotal total of 7 1/2 line moving
toward the favorite Brew Crew and also a non division
favorite. Lack of familiarity benefiting
the better team who's expected to win.
(18:04):
Now Milwaukee, they don't hit a million home runs, but they're
very productive offensively. They're hitting 257.
They've scored 570 runs, that's writing 239.
They scored 501 runs. Look at 2 righties on the bump.
Milwaukee's been better against.Righty's hitting 253.
That's 9th best in baseball. New York is hitting 244.
That ranks 21st. Brandon Woodruff, who missed a
(18:27):
big portion of the year, since he's come back, the Brewers are
five and O and the five starts that he's made, he's only given
up 7 earned runs in 28.1 inningspitched.
Meanwhile, Milwaukee nine and one over their last ten, hitting
323 team ERA of 3.9 O. And then also we have the Mets
two and eight over their last ten, hitting 2O four with a 5.25
(18:50):
ERA. Lastly, Mets are losing team as
a visitor. 25 and 31 on the road, Brewers 36 and 20 at home.
They've done very well making beer in their backyard.
So you had it all up here, guys.Brewers are the hottest team in
baseball, the best team in baseball.
Short number. They're getting steamed, and the
Mets have really struggled here as of late.
I'm going with this line move. I got Milwaukee -140 at Bet MGM.
(19:14):
So Reds, Marlins and Brewers. And in football, Atlanta plus 3
1/2, Cleveland plus 6 1/2 and Washington plus 6 1/2.
Let's get some winners on the diamond and on the gridiron.
So that about does it for episode 332 of the All Systems
Go sports Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
Again, coming to you live from my hotel room in at Mohegan Sun
(19:36):
in Connecticut. If you've never been, you got to
stop by. And my wife actually is going to
meet her college roommate, one of her best friends in Mystic,
CT tonight. So that means myself and my
brother-in-law, we're going to order some pizza, we're going to
hang out, hang out out the book.He's not much of A better.
He'll probably do his own thing,but it should be hopefully a
good night here watching some ofthese games on the big screen.
(19:58):
But anyway, guys, it's the part of the pot where we wrap things
up. And I want to start first by
saying thank you. Thank you for taking the time
out of your day, out of your busy lives to pull up a chair to
the virtual bar and sweat some sharp data-driven plays with me.
Win, lose or draw, we're grinding out there from a
data-driven perspective and thatmeans a lot how that we've
created this community together.So if you want to help me grow
the pod. You appreciate the daily
(20:19):
insights. Please would you consider giving
the podcast a five star review on Spotify or iTunes?
Also, if you wanted to click thefollow button or leave a nice
comment or recommend the pod to a friend, I'd very much
appreciate that as well. Now, if you enjoy the style of
betting breakdown, data-driven, sharp contrarian betting,
focusing on the numbers, not notour own innate biases, that's
(20:41):
really what it all comes down to.
But if you want to learn more about data-driven betting or you
know someone who could use some data-driven tips or you just
want to support the pod, supportthe team, I'd love for you guys
to go to Amazon.com and type in the Everything Guide to Sports
Betting. It's the first book ever wrote,
really. It's geared toward brand new
betters, but it can really help some newer betters and even
(21:01):
intermediate betters. But it's got everything I've
learned in the industry, how lines are set, how and why they
move, how to read line movement,how to locate sharp action, how
to place a bet in person or online, how to shop for the best
line, how to set up a bankroll management plan, all included in
the Everything Guide to Sports Betting.
Now, while you're at it, while you're picking up the Everything
guide, stay on Amazon.com and then type in the NFL Sharp
(21:23):
Betting Playbook. I let off the pod by telling you
guys, we are now just four days away.
I'm just really starting to get excited here.
But if you'd like to pre-order acopy, you would make me very,
very happy. I have a lot of you, including
my guy babyface assassin who showed me a screenshot that he
bought the book. Thank you guys.
It really, really does mean a lot.
And if you want to bring the everything guide or as well,
(21:44):
bring the NFL sharp Betting playbook to the sports book.
Bring them to Mohegan Sun tonight.
I'll sign them for you. I'll buy you BA and we'll sweat
some games together next. Have you downloaded Rhythm and
Juice Real yet? My two favorite sports betting
apps, Rhythm. Fantastic job powering this pod,
giving us AI backed models and predictions for game bets and
player props obviously for baseball and WNBA.
(22:06):
By the way, I'm at Mohegan Sun and this is where the
Connecticut Sun, the WNBA team is.
I got to see if they're home or not because we're going to be
here actually leaving Monday morning.
So we will catch a game. Who knows you got to check the
schedule but anyway also we're going to have NFL and college
football player props and game models coming up soon here with
(22:27):
the rhythm app. I am gonna have an announcement
pretty exciting 1 I believe starting next week.
I'm just waiting to put the finishing touches on it, but
then also Juice Real. Juice Real is another great
sports betting app you gotta download if we want to support
the pod. This is when I'm going to pass
the tip jar. Go tip your podcast host, drop
in a $5.00 bill, Sign up to get the all systems go best Bet
picks exclusively and only from the Juice Real app.
(22:51):
And I got to make sure I'm synced up to Connecticut to make
sure those plays get out here for today.
If not, I'll drive across the border to Massachusetts and get
them set up. But anyway, for $4.99 a week,
you're going to get every all systems go best bet pick.
You're going to make me happy and my buddy Ricky Gold, who
runs Juice Real happy, but it's also gonna give you the Robo
Jackson best bet picks. The AI generated plays each day
(23:13):
as well as the sharp motion indicators.
The arbitrage plays the shop forthe best line features sync up
your books, all available, and you get a running report card
when you download Juice Rail. So download Rhythm and download
Juice Rail. You'll be off and running adding
those two great data-driven tools to your toolkit.
Lastly, do you have a live odds page?
You need a live odds page. I can't stress it enough.
(23:35):
You got to know what a line openthat how it's moved.
Shop for the best price across the market.
Find the book giving the best odds.
Identify Steam pull up line history, live scoring, live in
game wagering odds all availablewhen you give a shot to the odds
logic live odds page. So there's a lot of live odds
pages out there. Some are pretty good, but
they're very expensive. Others are cheap or free, but
(23:58):
they don't give you any good information and you don't get
any good, good books to follow and they're delayed.
They're not in real time and youcan't identify steam.
I was talking to Patrick about the importance about my buddy
Patrick Maher last night on VSONLive tonight about the
importance of Pinnacle, who was really the biggest global
offshore book and they're the first to market 1st to move and
odds logic has Pinnacle. You can't find Pinnacle not
(24:21):
pretty much anywhere anymore, but Odds Logic will give you
that book, which is really, eventhough you don't bet it,
Pinnacle when you know when they're going to move, the rest
of the markets about to move. So it's kind of a weather vane
in a way to help you get a good price before it moves too much.
But anyway, guys, I'd love for you to test out Odds Logic with
a 7 day free trial and 50% off your first month.
Just go to oddslogic.com/josh 123.
(24:45):
Again, oddslogic.com/josh 123. So that about does it for
episode 332 of the ASG Pod coming to you live from Mohegan
Sun. As always, guys, leave you with
two final thoughts. Whether I see you at the Borgata
in Atlantic City, Twin River in Rhode Island, the man, I got
screwed up here because I'm in Mohegan Sun.
(25:06):
You can find me there. Or of course, the Nash in
Nashville, New Hampshire, out inthe desert where the true
grinders get down. Or Billy Walters sends his
number runners where the lowest choose possible is found at the
South Point. Or sweat and sharp and terrain
plays jumping in the stadium swimming pool when he cashed a
big ticket at Circa. Hopefully I'm going to bump
India with a beer in hand tonight at Mohegan Sun Sports
Book and hopefully catch some ofthese baseball and NFL dogs here
(25:28):
for tonight. First one will be on me, next
one's on you. Then we'll post up, sweat some
games together. As always, guys coming off a
great night, a terrible night, athree and O&O and 3A2 and 1A1
and two. There's going to be ups and
downs. Sports betting is difficult.
Never get down on yourself when things aren't going your way.
Stick to the model, stick to theblueprint.
If we can find games that fit our model against the public,
(25:50):
with the house, with the pros, flat bat, avoid parlays and get
that CLV. If we can do that, we're going
to be successful sports bettors.So have a great Friday,
everybody, enjoy your weekend. I will be posting plays and
writing the Sharp report for visa.com, so you can check it
out there. And then we'll be back at it on
Monday, which at that point willjust be one day away.
I can't believe it from the NFL Sharp betting playbook going
(26:12):
live. But I'll see you guys then for
episode 333 on Monday of the AllSystems Go Sports Betting
podcast powered by Rhythm. Good luck everybody and have a
great Friday and an even better weekend.
Hello, and welcome to episode 332 of the All Systems Go sports
Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on, everyone?
Happy Friday. Our work week has come to an
end. We got a huge weekend ahead
(00:41):
here, guys. And oh, by the way, we are now
just four days away from my second book launching, Going
Live, available to the public. You walk into a Barnes and Noble
or a bookstore near you, you're going to go to the sports
section. Then you're going to find the
NFL Sharp betting playbook. I cannot wait.
It's been a long time coming. Of course it is available for
(01:01):
pre sale if you want to buy it right now and support the team
from Amazon.com. That way when the 12th rolls
around Tuesday August 12th, a few days only again four days
away, you pre-order it now it'llbe dropped off by a Bezos drone
on your front porch when Tuesdayrolls around.
So super excited about it. Guys, I'm actually coming to you
live from Mohegan Sun in Connecticut.
(01:24):
My brother-in-law is an artist and he has a booth at
Terrificon, which is basically the Comic Con of the East Coast.
So we took the drive from outskirts of Boston down to
Mohegan Sun in Connecticut. Nice little hour and a half
drive, really not too far. Got here early yesterday, kind
of hung out. I wasn't able to do a pod so I
do apologize. Had a couple of you guys reach
(01:45):
out and say hey, where's the podtoday?
I wasn't able to and we had to set up his booth and get checked
into the hotel And then I had myby the time I I could have like
sat down and done, it was like 630 and all the games are about
to start. So didn't have a pod yesterday
and do apologize for that. But hopefully we can make up for
it today and get some winners here.
But really enjoying Mohegan Sun,a lot of great food spots, the
(02:08):
sports book. I hung out there and did my hit
on V some live tonight last night with my buddy Patrick
Maher live from the sports book.So I was pretty cool.
And again, I'm four days away from my second book going live,
so feels pretty awesome. But with that being said, guys,
we got to get back to do what welove to do.
And you know we've been doing these 3 packs, you know,
baseball 3 packs for many, many a day, many a week, many a month
(02:32):
now at this point. Well guess what?
We got football back. We got three games tonight in
all three games match up pretty nicely with what we saw
yesterday. And if you notice yesterday,
those inflated line dogs really crushed it.
We had all three go 3 and O ATS.Baltimore open laying a point.
They closed getting six. They won outright.
(02:53):
You know, Philly open minus one 1 1/2.
They ended up getting 6 1/2 and 1 outright.
And then Seattle was -1 1/2 up to plus 5 1/2 then up tying the
game. And remember, you can't have
ties in the preseason, which will not allow a winner on the
money line, but based on the spread, you'll cover if you're
on the dog there in a tied game.So a little hint, hint.
(03:13):
We're gonna talk about the threegames here for tonight, Browns
and Carolina Panthers, Detroit and Atlanta and Washington and
my New England Patriots. So we'll see if we can get some
winners here on the NFL preseason gridiron.
And then we're still going to have those 3 packs of baseball
plays. So we got 3 plays in MLB.
So we got 6 plays tonight. We're going all out.
(03:33):
A little dangerous. You know, I don't want to have
too many bets because too many plays is the quickest way to go
bankrupt. But you know what, we got some
system matches. We're going to try to take
advantage. So let's see if we can maybe eke
out a four and two night. That'll be pretty awesome.
With that being said, guys, let's waste no time and let's
talk about the NFL preseason because I think it was a great
(03:53):
teachable moment from last night.
And I put out a tweet if you guys follow me on Twitter at
Josh under score Insights and basically I did a screenshot of
the Odds Logic Live odds page. Again, you want to give it a
shot? Odds logic.com/josh 123.
But I said 3 pack of sweats tonight in the preseason.
Anyone buying low on the inflated dogs?
(04:14):
And as I mentioned, all these, all three of these inflated line
dogs end up winning or covering.The whole thought process here
guys is, you know, if you had played yesterday some of those
teams and gotten a good number, like for example, you know, if
you got, you know, Indy -1 -, 2 they close -6 they lose by 8,
you lost your bet, but you made a good play because he beat the
(04:35):
closing line. Same thing with that Cincy
Philly game. Like if you got cincy -1 -, 2
they close -6 and half you beat the closing line.
But here's the thing, NFL pre season, it's a very different
kind of animal. Obviously there's a lot of
unknowns and a lot of backups playing.
But the whole thought here is that if you can't get a good
number, then laying the worst ofit at the back end of a line
(04:57):
move really is not a smart play.Like yesterday maybe Indy would
have rolled in one by ten or more, or maybe since he would
have rolled or Vegas or whatever.
But you never want to get in thehabit of laying the worst of the
number after a huge line move. So that's why I tweeted that out
and said, hey, is there an opportunity to buy low on these
inflated dogs? And of course they go 3 and O 8
TS. So that being said, we have 3
(05:20):
inflated line opportunities herefor tonight.
Now a lot of these lines have moved and that's a reason why,
you know, we've been able to getthese by law opportunities.
But let me just give you a couple stats when it comes to
the preseason. In the preseason, we have dogs.
This goes back about a 20 year sample, so pretty good sample
size dogs in the preseason rightaround 53% against the spread.
(05:44):
Now remember 53%, you know, you get a 53 on an algebra test in
8th grade. You're you're in trouble.
Your parents are mad at you. You know you need a tutor. 53%
ATS assuming -110 juice, you're actually winning sports better.
Remember the the magic number is52.38%.
So 53% ATS. That means you're winning.
(06:04):
That means you've turned a profit.
The other angle aside from just,you know, it's a crapshoot.
Volatility, unpredictability, take the dog, take the points.
The other angle is pretty low totals like yesterday I believe
overs went three and oh, yeah. So really, we've seen these
totals that are low. Yeah, they all flew over.
You know, a lot of totals here for today have dipped, except
(06:26):
for Washington and New England that rose 33 1/2 up to like 36
1/2. But the point being is that you
want to think about correlative betting.
And we talked about a lot in baseball where if you're on a
favorite, you want a low total 8or less dog, high total 9 or
more. When you're looking at a dog in
football, you really want a low total game because the fewer
amount of expected points scoredmeans it's going to be a little
(06:48):
bit more difficult for the favorite who's laying the points
to cover the number. So historically, dogs have
barked in the preseason. We have the dog low totals.
All these games tonight are 33331/2, you know, 36 ish.
And then the last angle here is taking advantage.
And I'm not going to call these sharp plays, but I'm going to
call them value plays because you're taking advantage of a
(07:10):
line that has moved so much in One Direction.
And the reason is, you know, this team's playing their guys.
The other team is not like why yesterday did you see, you know,
the line moves so big to Indy orthe line moves so big to Cincy
or Vegas? It's because they're playing a
lot of their starters. Joe Burrow played for Cincy.
That's why the line moved in hisfavor.
But then you got to say to yourself, for example, like
(07:30):
Cleveland and Carolina tonight, Carolina open this game as
really a very short about a two point favorite, 1 1/2 point
favorite. Now they're up to -6 1/2.
So, yes, Caroline looks like they're going to play their
guys. And yes, the line has moved big
toward Carolina. But if you're laying a -, 6 1/2
with the Panthers tonight, you're getting the worst of the
(07:51):
number. So we want to take advantage of
these inflated spots. So I'm going to play all, I'm
going to make it easy on you allthree dogs tonight.
Cleveland, Carolina is your 7:00game.
As I mentioned, Carolina open -11/2 two.
Now they're -6 1/2. I'm going to buy low and take
Cleveland plus 6 1/2. You can shop around.
(08:11):
A lot of books are at six. Definitely try to find the hook.
We got to kind of reprogram, reprogram our brains to think
about hooks and juice and what the which direction the juice is
leaning and shop for the best price, which again, odds logic
can really help you with. But there's a lot of Cleveland
plus sixes out there. But there are some 6 and a
halfs. And I did find plus 6 1/2 using
(08:33):
the FanDuel Mohegan Sun sports book here in Connecticut plus 6
1/2 at -120 So again, same blueprint as last night.
Big line moves instead of getting the worst of it with.
And again, here's the thing, it can be confusing because you
know, typically you want to be with the line movement, but not
when it's moved such a ridiculous degree that we're
chasing steam and getting the worst of it.
(08:54):
So my first play, Carolina and Cleveland, I'm buying low and
taking the Browns plus 6 1/2. Next game, Detroit in Atlanta,
very similar sort of thing here.Detroit Lions, remember they
played in the Hall of Fame game and got rolled.
We're able to get our over in that one.
But they opened a very short basically -1 -, 1 1/2 favorite.
(09:16):
Now they're all the way up to -31/2.
Now this isn't quite the huge move that we've seen, you know,
in last night's games, but this would also be a buy low
opportunity where the Lions moveso much to Detroit that their
creates value to buy low on Atlanta.
So I'm taking Atlanta plus 3 1/2.
And then lastly, my Patriots hosting the Washington
Commanders. Now tonight is the unveiling of
(09:38):
the Tom Brady statue. So I can tell you in New
England, we're pretty pumped about this because, you know,
you don't know what you got until it's gone, as the old
phrase goes. But we've seen a massive move
toward the Patriots because it sounds like the Pats are going
to play a lot of their guys. Well, guess what?
The Patriots open this game as avery short round of two point
favorite at home. And we've now seen the Patriots
(09:58):
get all the way up to -6 1/2 andyou may even be able to find a 7
out there. I forgot to mention that not
only are dogs 53% against the spread last decade, but inflated
line dogs in which they're getting, I believe it's either
four or five points off the opener.
They're close to 60% against thespread.
(10:18):
So I would match obviously with both Cleveland and Washington
tonight. Now, it doesn't technically
match with Atlanta because that's only moved about two or 2
1/2 points there, but that wouldstill be an inflated line dog
opportunity. It's still profitable.
It's close to like I think 5455%ATS, but I'm going to buy law on
Washington here. Now.
You might be able to find a + 7 at DraftKings -120 but I was
(10:41):
able to get some reduced juice and take Washington plus 6 1/2
at -1 O 5:00. That becomes a bit of a, you
know, decision for you if you want to save the juice and get 6
1/2 or pay more juice and get the seven that way.
Again, key number, you can make the case.
You can, you know, pay a little more juice to protect yourself.
But I'm playing all three dogs again.
(11:02):
I was annoyed I couldn't get thepot out yesterday and get these
plays out to you guys. Of course they go 3 and O, but
I'm going to see if we can maybeeke out a two and one using the
same exact philosophy. So inflated line dogs going with
the Browns plus 6 1/2, the Atlanta Falcons at plus 3 1/2
and the Washington Commanders atplus 6 1/2.
(11:23):
Trying to go 2 and 1. Eke out a winning pre season
night. Now back over to some MLB action
because I did have a three pack of MLB sweats and let's waste no
more time and get right down to it.
So first one on the board for me.
Let's go to a 6:40 PM Eastern Time.
First pitch the red legs visiting the Pittsburgh Pirates.
(11:44):
Now the Pirates come into this 150 and 66 on the year they won
last night. Series opener, 7 to nothing.
Skeins pitch to gem. I saw you gave up the most hits
ever. I think seven hits but still
shut out. Came through as a -165 home
favorite the pitching matchup for tonight.
In tonight's rematch, the Reds, who are 60 and 56, they're going
to go with the ready chase Burns.
(12:06):
He's oh and three with a 6.04 ERa Pirates, meanwhile, are going
to go with the fellow ready Mitch Keller, who's 5 and 10
with a 3.89 ER a. So what are you seeing across
the market here? Well, the Pittsburgh Pirates
open this game around a -. 120 home favorite Reds around a +
100 Rd. dog and boy have we seena big adjustment toward the Red
(12:28):
legs because you've now seen theReds go from plus 100 Rd. dog to
around a -. 120 Rd. favorite. Some shops even as high as -125
S. You guys know what that means.
Dog to fave line move Reds open as a dog plus 100.
Now they're laying -120 -. 125 SOne of the classic wise guy
moves there that I want to follow with the Reds.
(12:50):
At DraftKings, the Reds are getting 62% of money line bets,
85% of money line dollars. At Circa out in Vegas, 63% of
bets, 99% of dollars. So a really good low bets,
higher dollar split at both books and especially the wise
guys in the desert at Circa. Going with the Reds now, the
Reds would have correlative betting value as a favorite in a
(13:13):
low total game total. This one is 7 1/2.
So the fair amount of expected runs scored more likely to come
from quote UN quote that better team.
I'm going to bank on the Reds bats hopefully getting to
Keller. And again, Burns is a highly
touted rookie. He's kind of been so, so hope he
pitches well tonight. At least the markets moving
toward him. But the Reds do have the better
bats overall, hitting 246 on theyear, 117 home runs, 521 runs
(13:38):
scored. Pirates hitting 233 only 83
homers, 414 runs scored. And lastly, we got two righties
on the bump. Cincinnati happens to be hitting
254 against righties. That's the 8th best in baseball.
Meanwhile, Pittsburgh only hitting 237 against righties,
that ranks 26th. So you kind of have a classic
dog to fave line move favorite off a loss bounce back spot.
(14:01):
I'm going to back the back, the red legs in this one, guys.
I got cincy -120, but shop around some books now as high as
-125 next one for you. 7:15 PM Eastern Time, Miami Marlins at
the Atlanta Braves. Now the Braves who are 48 and
66, they came from behind to winlast night 8 to 6 came through
as a + 115 home dog. The rematch for tonight, the
(14:24):
Marlins who are 56 and 58, they're going to go with the
righty Edward Cabrera. He's five and five with a 3.24
ERA. Meanwhile, the Braves are going
to go with the fellow righty Bryce Elder.
He's four and eight with a six point O3 ERA.
So what have we seen across the market here?
Well, this game opened the Marlins around a -. 115 Rd.
favorite Atlanta a -, 105 home dog and sharps.
(14:48):
They've taken a position here, gotten down hard on the fish
steaming up Miami -115 up to around -130 Now aside from this
big steam toward the fish, DraftKings has a pretty good bet
split 66% of money line bets 81%of money line dollars, so low
bets higher dollar sharp split in their favor.
(15:08):
Miami would have that correlative betting favorite low
total total. This game is 8.
So once again, fair amount of expected run scored.
More likely to come from quote UN quote that better team.
Now Cabrera on a back him tonight.
He's pitched very well this season, but in particular in his
last 15 starts, 13 of them, he'sgiving up two earned runs or
less. Meanwhile, Elder, six of his
(15:30):
last eight starts, he's giving up three earned runs or more.
So you have Elder who's gotten roughed up.
Cabrera has pitched very well and the line is moving toward
Cabrera and the Marlins. Hopefully the Marlins bats come
to life. Actually had a six to two lead
last night and blew it. But they are overall hitting
better than Atlanta, hitting 253.
They scored 492 runs. Braves are hitting 242.
(15:52):
They scored 276 runs last 10 games.
Miami six and four team ERA of 4.7 O Atlanta last 10-4 and six
ERA of 5.36 and nothing huge buthome Rd.
Marlins are slightly profitable on the road 28 and 27.
Braves haven't been great at home 27 and 29.
So Miami blew the lead yesterdaybut they do have a line move
(16:15):
here in a bounce back spot today.
Hopefully better pitcher on the bump with some good, good angles
to back the fish. So Long story short, guys, I'm
going Miami. I got them at -130 They should
still pretty much be available at that number across the
market. Last bed of the night, 8:10 PM
Eastern Time, New York Mets visiting the Milwaukee Brew
(16:35):
Crew. Now the Mets come into the game
one of the series with a 63 and 52 record, but they just got
swept by the Guardians. They lost the series finale 4 to
1 as a -180 home favorite. Meanwhile the Brew Crew, man are
they hot. 70 and 44 best record in baseball.
They just swept the Braves. They won that series finale 5 to
4 as a + 110 Rd. dog pitching match up for tonight and the
(16:59):
opener we got the Mets going with the ready code Senga.
He's seven and three with a 2.31ERA.
Brewers, meanwhile, going with the fellow ready Brandon
Woodruff, he's 3 and O 2.22 ERA.What do we see across the
market? Well, the Brew Crew open this
game as a very short -130 home favorite.
New York A + 110 row dog and pros are saying, man, that is a
(17:21):
short price to back a really good team.
And they've hit Milwaukee and steamed up the Brew crew -130
now up to -140. I got -140 a bet MGM some looks
now as high as -145 look at the splits here.
They look pretty good on the beer makers. 70% of money line
bets 83% of money line dollars at DK and at circa 77% of bets
(17:43):
90% of dollars. So both books are showing that
notable low bets, higher dollar split in favor of the home
chalk. Now Milwaukee has a couple
betting systems that we like to look at.
Correlative betting favorite lowtotal total of 7 1/2 line moving
toward the favorite Brew Crew and also a non division
favorite. Lack of familiarity benefiting
the better team who's expected to win.
(18:04):
Now Milwaukee, they don't hit a million home runs, but they're
very productive offensively. They're hitting 257.
They've scored 570 runs, that's writing 239.
They scored 501 runs. Look at 2 righties on the bump.
Milwaukee's been better against.Righty's hitting 253.
That's 9th best in baseball. New York is hitting 244.
That ranks 21st. Brandon Woodruff, who missed a
(18:27):
big portion of the year, since he's come back, the Brewers are
five and O and the five starts that he's made, he's only given
up 7 earned runs in 28.1 inningspitched.
Meanwhile, Milwaukee nine and one over their last ten, hitting
323 team ERA of 3.9 O. And then also we have the Mets
two and eight over their last ten, hitting 2O four with a 5.25
(18:50):
ERA. Lastly, Mets are losing team as
a visitor. 25 and 31 on the road, Brewers 36 and 20 at home.
They've done very well making beer in their backyard.
So you had it all up here, guys.Brewers are the hottest team in
baseball, the best team in baseball.
Short number. They're getting steamed, and the
Mets have really struggled here as of late.
I'm going with this line move. I got Milwaukee -140 at Bet MGM.
(19:14):
So Reds, Marlins and Brewers. And in football, Atlanta plus 3
1/2, Cleveland plus 6 1/2 and Washington plus 6 1/2.
Let's get some winners on the diamond and on the gridiron.
So that about does it for episode 332 of the All Systems
Go sports Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
Again, coming to you live from my hotel room in at Mohegan Sun
(19:36):
in Connecticut. If you've never been, you got to
stop by. And my wife actually is going to
meet her college roommate, one of her best friends in Mystic,
CT tonight. So that means myself and my
brother-in-law, we're going to order some pizza, we're going to
hang out, hang out out the book.He's not much of A better.
He'll probably do his own thing,but it should be hopefully a
good night here watching some ofthese games on the big screen.
(19:58):
But anyway, guys, it's the part of the pot where we wrap things
up. And I want to start first by
saying thank you. Thank you for taking the time
out of your day, out of your busy lives to pull up a chair to
the virtual bar and sweat some sharp data-driven plays with me.
Win, lose or draw, we're grinding out there from a
data-driven perspective and thatmeans a lot how that we've
created this community together.So if you want to help me grow
the pod. You appreciate the daily
(20:19):
insights. Please would you consider giving
the podcast a five star review on Spotify or iTunes?
Also, if you wanted to click thefollow button or leave a nice
comment or recommend the pod to a friend, I'd very much
appreciate that as well. Now, if you enjoy the style of
betting breakdown, data-driven, sharp contrarian betting,
focusing on the numbers, not notour own innate biases, that's
(20:41):
really what it all comes down to.
But if you want to learn more about data-driven betting or you
know someone who could use some data-driven tips or you just
want to support the pod, supportthe team, I'd love for you guys
to go to Amazon.com and type in the Everything Guide to Sports
Betting. It's the first book ever wrote,
really. It's geared toward brand new
betters, but it can really help some newer betters and even
(21:01):
intermediate betters. But it's got everything I've
learned in the industry, how lines are set, how and why they
move, how to read line movement,how to locate sharp action, how
to place a bet in person or online, how to shop for the best
line, how to set up a bankroll management plan, all included in
the Everything Guide to Sports Betting.
Now, while you're at it, while you're picking up the Everything
guide, stay on Amazon.com and then type in the NFL Sharp
(21:23):
Betting Playbook. I let off the pod by telling you
guys, we are now just four days away.
I'm just really starting to get excited here.
But if you'd like to pre-order acopy, you would make me very,
very happy. I have a lot of you, including
my guy babyface assassin who showed me a screenshot that he
bought the book. Thank you guys.
It really, really does mean a lot.
And if you want to bring the everything guide or as well,
(21:44):
bring the NFL sharp Betting playbook to the sports book.
Bring them to Mohegan Sun tonight.
I'll sign them for you. I'll buy you BA and we'll sweat
some games together next. Have you downloaded Rhythm and
Juice Real yet? My two favorite sports betting
apps, Rhythm. Fantastic job powering this pod,
giving us AI backed models and predictions for game bets and
player props obviously for baseball and WNBA.
(22:06):
By the way, I'm at Mohegan Sun and this is where the
Connecticut Sun, the WNBA team is.
I got to see if they're home or not because we're going to be
here actually leaving Monday morning.
So we will catch a game. Who knows you got to check the
schedule but anyway also we're going to have NFL and college
football player props and game models coming up soon here with
(22:27):
the rhythm app. I am gonna have an announcement
pretty exciting 1 I believe starting next week.
I'm just waiting to put the finishing touches on it, but
then also Juice Real. Juice Real is another great
sports betting app you gotta download if we want to support
the pod. This is when I'm going to pass
the tip jar. Go tip your podcast host, drop
in a $5.00 bill, Sign up to get the all systems go best Bet
picks exclusively and only from the Juice Real app.
(22:51):
And I got to make sure I'm synced up to Connecticut to make
sure those plays get out here for today.
If not, I'll drive across the border to Massachusetts and get
them set up. But anyway, for $4.99 a week,
you're going to get every all systems go best bet pick.
You're going to make me happy and my buddy Ricky Gold, who
runs Juice Real happy, but it's also gonna give you the Robo
Jackson best bet picks. The AI generated plays each day
(23:13):
as well as the sharp motion indicators.
The arbitrage plays the shop forthe best line features sync up
your books, all available, and you get a running report card
when you download Juice Rail. So download Rhythm and download
Juice Rail. You'll be off and running adding
those two great data-driven tools to your toolkit.
Lastly, do you have a live odds page?
You need a live odds page. I can't stress it enough.
(23:35):
You got to know what a line openthat how it's moved.
Shop for the best price across the market.
Find the book giving the best odds.
Identify Steam pull up line history, live scoring, live in
game wagering odds all availablewhen you give a shot to the odds
logic live odds page. So there's a lot of live odds
pages out there. Some are pretty good, but
they're very expensive. Others are cheap or free, but
(23:58):
they don't give you any good information and you don't get
any good, good books to follow and they're delayed.
They're not in real time and youcan't identify steam.
I was talking to Patrick about the importance about my buddy
Patrick Maher last night on VSONLive tonight about the
importance of Pinnacle, who was really the biggest global
offshore book and they're the first to market 1st to move and
odds logic has Pinnacle. You can't find Pinnacle not
(24:21):
pretty much anywhere anymore, but Odds Logic will give you
that book, which is really, eventhough you don't bet it,
Pinnacle when you know when they're going to move, the rest
of the markets about to move. So it's kind of a weather vane
in a way to help you get a good price before it moves too much.
But anyway, guys, I'd love for you to test out Odds Logic with
a 7 day free trial and 50% off your first month.
Just go to oddslogic.com/josh 123.
(24:45):
Again, oddslogic.com/josh 123. So that about does it for
episode 332 of the ASG Pod coming to you live from Mohegan
Sun. As always, guys, leave you with
two final thoughts. Whether I see you at the Borgata
in Atlantic City, Twin River in Rhode Island, the man, I got
screwed up here because I'm in Mohegan Sun.
(25:06):
You can find me there. Or of course, the Nash in
Nashville, New Hampshire, out inthe desert where the true
grinders get down. Or Billy Walters sends his
number runners where the lowest choose possible is found at the
South Point. Or sweat and sharp and terrain
plays jumping in the stadium swimming pool when he cashed a
big ticket at Circa. Hopefully I'm going to bump
India with a beer in hand tonight at Mohegan Sun Sports
Book and hopefully catch some ofthese baseball and NFL dogs here
(25:28):
for tonight. First one will be on me, next
one's on you. Then we'll post up, sweat some
games together. As always, guys coming off a
great night, a terrible night, athree and O&O and 3A2 and 1A1
and two. There's going to be ups and
downs. Sports betting is difficult.
Never get down on yourself when things aren't going your way.
Stick to the model, stick to theblueprint.
If we can find games that fit our model against the public,
(25:50):
with the house, with the pros, flat bat, avoid parlays and get
that CLV. If we can do that, we're going
to be successful sports bettors.So have a great Friday,
everybody, enjoy your weekend. I will be posting plays and
writing the Sharp report for visa.com, so you can check it
out there. And then we'll be back at it on
Monday, which at that point willjust be one day away.
I can't believe it from the NFL Sharp betting playbook going
(26:12):
live. But I'll see you guys then for
episode 333 on Monday of the AllSystems Go Sports Betting
podcast powered by Rhythm. Good luck everybody and have a
great Friday and an even better weekend.
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