August 15, 2025 • 28 mins
In Episode 337, Josh dishes out a 5-pack of MLB and NFL Preseason plays for Friday night.
Josh's new book "The NFL Sharp Betting Playbook" is OUT NOW!
Purchase your copy today and get ready for the upcoming NFL season.
Mark as Played
Transcript
Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
(00:19):
Hello, and welcome to episode 337 of the All Systems Go sports
Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on, everyone?
Happy Friday. Our work week is coming to an
end. And believe it or not, we're
(00:41):
pretty much halfway through the month of August before, you
know, it'll be September. We'll have NFL every Sunday,
college football every Saturday.We are literally the calm before
the storm here at this point. So an exciting time to be
getting down in the sports betting market.
And I do have a pretty loaded slate for you guys tonight.
We got a huge MLB slate, 15 games overall.
We got two NFL preseason games here for tonight and I got a 5
(01:05):
pack of plays for you, includingthree MLB plays, one dog, 2
favorites, and then also couple plays here in the preseason.
I got a play on both sides of the games here tonight, which we
mentioned a little bit yesterday.
Tennessee, Atlanta, Kansas City,Seattle.
One line has really come back down to a side we were leaning
on yesterday and then the other angle here is a line that's
(01:26):
moving further toward the side we were talking about in
yesterday's pod. So a lot of these have some good
sharp mush edges and we also have a good overlap in MLB.
One play also happens to be a Juice Reel Robo Jackson official
best bet pick. So as always guys, we have a
three pack. Try to go 2 and one.
We got a 5 pack tonight. We're letting it go tonight.
We're getting loose getting after it, tying one on as we get
(01:49):
ready for a big weekend here. But with five overall plays,
let's try to get 3, three out of5.
Eek out a winning day. Now looking back to her last
night, bit of a frustrating night. 1 and 2 -, 1.13 units.
Had a nice hit with the Detroit,Minnesota under 7 1/2.
That thing looked like it was dead on arrival.
They had five runs through I think the first 3 innings and
(02:10):
then really kind of locked it down and it landed on 7.
Went to extra innings, one run got pushed across, landed on 7.
So we got the under 7 1/2. But the Mets and the Cubs, man,
they both blew late leads for us.
The Mets are up three to two in the eighth inning.
They bring in Helsley. Of course he he blows it and
they lose 4:00 to 3:00. And then what was it with the
(02:32):
Cubs? They had a one nothing lead
going into the bottom of the eighth inning.
And of course Vladimir Guerrero,junior hits a hits a bomb to
give him a 2 to one lead and they won the Game 2 to one.
And the Cubs, as frustrating as it was, if you watch that game,
maybe Guerrero hit the Homer in the 7th.
But the 8th inning, I think Cubshad second and third nobody out
(02:52):
and they had say Suzuki or no Suzuki walked.
Then they had who was it Tucker Kelly?
And who was the the third guy? I'm not sure, but they all
struck out. So it's like awesome, second and
third nobody out. You can't tie the game or take
the lead. So hey, that's baseball guys.
Sometimes the breaks go your way, sometimes they don't.
But either way, we're going to keep grinding.
(03:12):
Try to finish off the week on a on a good note here.
Now, I do want to mention, as always, keep you guys updated
with what's going on with the NFL Sharp Betting playbook.
We are still number one on Amazon, which makes me very,
very happy. And you know what's kind of
incredible too is if you look atthe top like 20 or basically you
know, the top listed best sellers in sports gambling, the
(03:34):
NFL Sharp book Sharp betting Playbook is number one.
Guess what's #4 the everything guide to sports betting.
So two of the top 4IN sports gambling coming from yours truly
over here. So pretty excited about that.
Again, I want to continue to thank everyone who has
pre-ordered or now purchased a copy of the NFL Sharp Betting
Playbook. We're getting these five star
reviews rolling in, which is fantastic.
(03:57):
So it's great to see. And again, let's keep it #1
recommend it to a friend, buy itfor a buddy or colleague or
family member, buy it for yourself.
Remember, I'll sign them for youat the book.
We'll sweat some games together.But if you would be so kind to
give it a five star review and alittle blurb, maybe just
something in particular you really enjoyed about the book.
Like, hey, I never really thought about the contrarian
(04:17):
mindset. Now I'm looking to bet against
the public or I used to bet a ton of parlays.
I read the chapter on why you should avoid parlays.
Now I'm seeing the light here, why there's such a handout to
the book and why the books promote them or schedule spots
or you know, betting systems, windy unders.
Now I look at the weather. Whatever the case may be, any
little nugget that you enjoyed that again, maybe helped you to
(04:38):
get a little bit sharper, throw it in that review section.
It would really mean a lot to meguys, but let's keep it at #1
With that being said though, as we got a huge slate here for
tonight, 5 bets overall, baseball and NFL preseason.
Let's waste no more time and getright into it.
So I want to start with a littlebit of baseball here.
First bet on the board for me. 6:45 PM Eastern Time, we got the
(04:59):
Phil's visiting the Washington Nationals.
Now coming into this one, we have the Nats 49 and 72.
Not a great record, but they didwin last night's opener 3:00 to
2:00 as a big plus 160 home dog.The rematch for tonight, the
Phills, who are 69 and 52. They're going to go with the Ray
ace Zach Wheeler 10 and five 2.68 ERA.
(05:20):
You know all the Nats going to go with the southpaw Mackenzie
Gore 5 and 12 four point O 9 ERA.
So we seen across the market here.
Will this game open Philly around a - 170 Rd. favorite and
Washington around a + 150 home dog and sharps are saying no,
this isn't too high of a line. Yeah, it's a little pricey, but
they're laying it with the Philsbecause we've seen a big steam
(05:42):
move on Philadelphia rising up from -170 up to -190 now.
I jumped on Philly at -185 at Bet MGM should still be
available -185 but again, a lot of books at -190 even -195 I
really like the splits on the Phils.
If you look out at DraftKings, 85% of bets, nearly 90% of the
(06:03):
money is on Philadelphia, but inparticular out at Circa in
Vegas, 82% of money line bets, 99% of money line dollars.
So a good pro and Joe Low bets, higher dollar split at
DraftKings, but in particular atCirca, which caters to sharp
betters and doesn't turn their action away, which I respect
them for. Then we look at some betting
(06:23):
systems here. Couple that jumped out to me,
the Phillies are 31 and 1962%, 9% ROI off a loss this year.
So they lose. They bounce back pretty much win
2/3 of the time. That makes them the 9th best
bounce back team in baseball. Philly is also 39 and 1474
(06:44):
percent, 14% ROI as a favorite with a line move in their
direction. And that actually makes them the
third best chalk team with a line move in baseball.
So this spot of awful loss in a favorite with a line move, both
have been profitable here for Philly.
Now going to bank on the Philly bats here, hopefully to get to
Gore and hopefully Wheeler can pitch a gem for us, which he's
(07:04):
done much of the year. But you look at Phillies bats,
they're hitting on the season. Two 53143 home runs, 558 runs
scored. Nats only hitting two, 44116
homers, 518 runs scored. Phillies also have some
correlative betting here. Became a even bigger favorite
with a low total of 8. Some books juiced 8 under -115
(07:28):
so fair amount of expected run score.
More likely to come from quote UN quote that better team.
Now, a lot of stats here will tell you Wheeler's a great
pitcher, which he is. But if you look at Gore, I'm a
high on Gore. He's a good lefty.
He was part of that big trade with the Padres for Soto a few
years back. But he does have an ERA of eight
in the month of August and two starts.
And at home he's only two and six with an ERA of 4.8.
(07:52):
And the Phillies are, by the way, hitting 250 against lefties
this year. That's the 10th best in
baseball. So they've kind of done well
against southpaws. Then just classic home Rd.
Phillies. Nothing crazy, but they are
above 532 and 31 on the road. Nationals, meanwhile, 23 and 36
at home. One of the worst home teams in
baseball. So coming off a loss favorite
(08:12):
with a line move, good splits, better bats, hopefully the
better pitcher on the bump against a team that struggled at
home. I'm laying it with the Phil's
guys. I got Philadelphia -185 at Bet
MGM again. Shop around, A lot of books
around -190 next one for you. 8:15 PM Eastern Time.
Let's go out to Saint Louis where the Cardinals are hosting
the New York Yankees. The Yankees come in 64 and 57.
(08:37):
Just took two or three against the Twins.
Couldn't get the sweep, though. They lost that series finale 4
to 1 as a -150 home favorite. You know, the Cardinals 61 and
61. They just lost two or three
against the Rockies at home. Man, that's pretty bad.
And the finale, there's losers 6to 5 and they're a -, 245 home
favorite. Now, the pitching match up for
(08:58):
tonight, the Yankees are going to go with Luis Heel, who's
Owen? One 7.27 ERA.
He just came back from the disabled list.
He was out much of the first half and through the All Star
break, you know all the cards are going to go with the fellow
ready Andre Palante or Palante 6and nine 4.95 ERA.
So what we've seen for this interleague matchup, well, the
(09:18):
Yankees open this game around a -. 125 Rd. favorite Saint Louis
around a + 105 home dog. And this line has moved further
toward New York. Yankees have now gotten steamed
up -125 up to -135 I jumped on Yankees -134 again, most shops
-135 -, 137 Aside from this linemove, 10 cent steam on the road
(09:40):
favorite Yankees. Some good splits on New York.
They're getting 72% of money line bets, 73% of money line
dollars at Circa, 71% of bets, 98% of dollars.
So that split at circa, again, very notable low bets, higher
dollars. And for in favor of the Yankees,
we have some system matches lighting up on New York.
(10:01):
Both teams coming off a loss, take the team getting $0.10 of
line movement or more. That system is 48 and 2962
percent, 8% ROI this year. If you're a road favorite off a
loss getting $0.10 of steam or more, those teams are 65 and
3664% with an 8% ROI. And if you're a rested favorite,
(10:22):
coming off a day off 88 and 3969percent, 10% ROI.
Yankees do have the better bats overall hitting 191 or they have
hit, I should say, 191 home runs, 612 runs scored.
Saint Louis, 115 homers, 526 runs scored.
Yankees would have that interleague system, betting
(10:44):
system value with the lack of familiarity benefiting, quote UN
quote the better team. He'll was roughed up a little
bit in his debut. And I think this is his third
start. Second start, he pitched a lot
better, but Palante or Palant, 10.8 O ERA in two August starts,
he's giving up eight runs and 6.2 innings pitched.
So I'm going to follow this movehere toward the Yankees.
(11:07):
Hopefully they can get a win here on the road.
But we got line movement. We got a lot of good systems
lighting up on New York. So I'm going to back the Bronx
Bombers in this one. I got the Yankees at -134 at
FanDuel, last bed of the night, 10:15 PM Eastern Time, first
pitch, the Tampa Bay Rays visiting the San Francisco G
men. Now the Rays come in 59 and 63
(11:28):
on the year, just took two or three against the A's.
They won that serious finale. Remember we had them the other
night 8 to 2 as a -150 Rd. favorite.
On the other hand, the G men, man they are really struggling.
59 and 62 on the year, just got swept by the Padres.
They lost that series finale 11 to one as a + 120 home dog.
(11:48):
So for tonight's interleague series opener, the Rays are
sending out the righty Joe Boyle.
He's one and two 3.82 ERA. Meanwhile, the G Men are going
to go with fellow righty Landon Roop.
He's seven and six 3.11 ERA. What have we seen across the
market here? Well, the G Men opened as around
a -, 135 home favorite. Tampa Bay around a + 115 Rd.
(12:10):
dog. And the public is leaning
slightly toward San Fran at DraftKings are getting 56% of
money line bets. But even though they're getting
a majority of tickets, the line didn't move further up towards
San Fran, up to like -140 no, it's actually started to fall.
So even though majority of bets are on the giants, the giants
have fallen -135 down to around -130 some shops even now down to
(12:32):
around -125 So I was notable to me tells me the line falling
away from San Fran simultaneously going toward the
Rays, who opened around plus 115.
Now they're down to around plus 110.
Some shops even down to plus oneO 5.
That tells me we've got some reverse line movement coming in
on the raise. If you look at the splits, they
look good on Tampa at DraftKings44% of bets 60% of dollars on
(12:56):
Tampa and at circa get a load ofthis 60% of money line bets
nearly 80% of money line dollarson Tampa.
So both books are showing a low bets higher dollar split on the
raise. Little nugget here, if you look
at short dogs plus 120 or less with the line move in their
favor since August 1st, those teams are 26 and 1958 percent,
(13:18):
19% ROI. So that's been a good spot and
that does match here with Tampa Bay.
Tampa Bay does have the better offense.
They've hit 251 on the season, 136 homers, 546 runs scored.
San Fran's only hitting two, 32113 home runs, 491 runs
scored. Rays are also we got 2 righties
(13:39):
on the bump. They're hitting 261 against
righties. That's the second best in
baseball. Giants only hitting 240 against
righties that ranks 24th. And the giants man, I I really
bashed the Red Sox when they gotrid of Devers, but it's pretty
clear Red Sox I've gotten the better of that deal.
We have the the giants only 7 and 17 since the All Star break.
(14:00):
I think I don't have the number in front of me.
They're like 18 and 30 since getting Devers.
So I want to back the G men or sorry, I want to bet against the
G men. I want to back Tampa Bay in this
spot with some good line movement, good bet splits and
also a little cherry on top pop open juice reel. 2 notable
things jumped out to me. One Tampa Bay has a 29% sharp
(14:21):
mush edge, telling us the sharper betters who have
downloaded juice reel are also going Tampa.
And then I also go to the robo Jackson best bet pics.
There's two of them that come out at noon every single day.
One of the two is on Tampa Bay, so add it all up here, guys.
I'm back in the Rays in the Spock and I continue to bet
against the Giants. I got Tampa Bay plus 1/12 at
(14:42):
FanDuel again, shop around a lotof books now plus 110 even plus
105, South Philly, New York and Tampa Bay.
Can we find a way to get two outof three?
That is the goal. Now over to some preseason NFL.
Now we touched on these games a little bit yesterday because for
some reason I, you know, woke upand thought these were Thursday
(15:03):
night games, but I was wrong. But I'm kind of glad we
mentioned it because we've seen further movement toward the two
sides that we talked about Southlooking at the first game here,
7:00 PM Eastern Time Tennessee Titans visiting the Atlanta
Falcons. We have the Titans who are Owen
one lost their series preseason opener to the Bucs 29 to 7 and
(15:25):
they lost out right as a 3 1/2 point Rd. favorite.
You know the Falcons Owen one they lost to the lion 17 to 10
and their opener. But remember, that game was
postponed or cancelled early because of a really scary injury
to one of the the Titans or the the Detroit Lions guys.
So if you had, I took Atlanta onthe points there and luckily
(15:46):
that was avoided bet instead of a loss.
But anyway, for tonight's preseason matchup, the Titans
open as a 3 1/2 point Rd. favorite and we initially saw
Tennessee get steamed up all theway to -5 1/2.
Now, once it got to 5 1/2, that's when we started to see a
lot of sharp buyback on Atlanta plus 5 1/2, bringing that line
(16:06):
down to 5, four and a half. I woke up today, it's down to 3
1/2, even 3. So I'm going to default to or
kind of leave it up to you guys,what you want to do with this
one? Because I did get plus 5 1/2
with Atlanta. I put it in the Juice Reel app.
If you're able to jump on it nowthat it's down to three, I mean,
you can still find plus 3 1/2 atFanDuel.
(16:27):
It's around -120 but I'm going to leave it up to you guys
whether you feel like hey, you know, missed the good number,
might as well layoff or you still want to play it.
I think if you can get the hook on the 3 1/2, I still might fire
on this one, but I'll give you acouple reasons to maybe still
like it. Pre season dogs 3 1/2 or more.
Again, you can still get the hook at FanDuel.
They're 19 and 9 against the spread. 68 percent, 30% ROI
(16:51):
after or since the last two pre seasons.
And we've also seen dogs absolutely just crush it so far.
Dogs are 12 and five against thespread, 71% for the preseason
thus far. And if you look at kind of the
reason why we saw this line jumpto Tennessee, it's because Brian
Callahan, coach of the Titans, came out and said, quote,
(17:12):
everyone is going to play similar to last week.
So Cam Ward expected to play about two series.
But I would almost kind of want to buy low on the Falcons here
anyway. They're not going to have
Michael Pennix Junior or Kirk Cousins, but Easton Stick and
Emery Jones will get the most most of the playing time.
And Easton Stick, he's kind of apreseason hero here and he
played well in that first game. So again, maybe you got the five
(17:35):
and a half like me and you're feeling great.
The fact this is down to 3 1/2 or three, if you feel like the
value is gone and that's a legitimate, you know, opinion,
that's OK. You can lay off.
If you do want to sweat it, I'd still lean it.
Atlanta here with the hook if you can get it at FanDuel plus 3
1/2 last bet of the night KansasCity at Seattle 10:00 Eastern
(17:56):
Time. We got a late night sweat on the
West Coast chiefs are O and one they lost to the Cardinals 20 to
17 as a 2 1/2 point favorite on the road in week one of the
preseason Seahawks. Meanwhile, OO and one they tied
the Raiders 2323. Yes, you can end in a tie.
These games don't go to overtime, but they covered as a
(18:16):
5 1/2 point home dog against theRaiders.
Now big line movement away from Kansas City towards Seattle.
Here Kansas City opened -2 1/2 on the road.
We've now flipped to Seattle -2 1/2 - 3.
But now I'm looking at this line.
It looks like it's creeping up to -4 so the line is moving
further towards Seattle. The splits look pretty good on
(18:37):
the Seahawks. Only about half the tickets, but
75% of spread dollars are going on Seattle.
Now. I want to back this move towards
Seattle. I think they have the better
quarterback group here. Obviously Sam Darnold is
expected to play. You heard Mike McDonald, the
coach of Seattle, say, quote, our guys are going to start the
game. I think it's the best thing for
us. I'm going, I'm looking forward
(18:57):
to seeing our team RIP it tonight.
So they have Darnold who will start and then you have Drew
Lock and Jalen Milro. Meanwhile, the Chiefs, Andy
Reid, he's been kind of coy here.
He said, quote, I'm still figuring out who's going to play
and not play. There's a chance I sit a couple
of starters or at least be shortwith them.
We want to make sure we get a good look at these young guys.
(19:18):
I think also you got to look at not just the dog to fave line
move towards Seattle and the line going towards Seattle, but
kind of the motivation for theseteams.
You know, Kansas City does. Does pre season mean much to
you? No, you're in the Super Bowl
pretty much every year. You have bigger dreams than
winning a pre season game. Seattle, you're at home.
Second year coach, you're tryingto build a culture under Mike
(19:39):
McDonald kind of means more to to Seattle than it does to
Kansas City. And you also look at the weather
in this spot. I know overs killed it.
Overs so far in the preseason, unbelievable.
They're 14 and 3. Little Nugget.
If you had bet every dog and every over so far in week 1 or
through entering week two of thepreseason, you're up nearly
(20:01):
$1600. That's how good these, you know,
these dogs and these overs have been.
But I always like to money line short favorites.
So if you want to play Seattle with me, my angle is Seattle on
the money line because let's saythey win by three.
Let's say they, you know, win by1-2 or three or less, win by 4
(20:22):
and push. I want to be with the line move
towards Seattle and the bet splits and the information based
bet where they're going to play their guys in Kansas City may
not, but I don't want to lay theworst of it.
Now you could argue I'm laying the worst of the money line, but
the difference here is that if the Seahawks win the game by
three or less, you lose your spread bet or push or pretty
(20:42):
much lose. A lot of these books are at 4.
Now versus money line. You're laying a bigger price,
but you're still winning the game.
So I jumped on Seattle -155 at at DraftKings and I did notice a
7% sharp mush edge in Juice Reelin favor of Seattle.
So I'm going with the Falcons tocover.
I got plus 5 1/2. You can still get a 3 1/2 now if
(21:03):
you want to play it. And I got Seattle to win the
damn game on the money line -155at DraftKings.
So that about does it for episode 337 of the All Systems
Go Sports Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
This is the part of the pod where we wrap things up.
And I start first by saying thank you.
Thank you for taking the time out of your day, out of your
busy lives. It's the dog days of summer.
(21:25):
If you have nieces, nephews, kids, you know, schools right
around the corner. So it's starting to get busy
here, but the fact that you guyscontinue to TuneIn listen to the
breakdowns of me sweat sharp contrarian plays together, it
really means a lot. So thank you for listening.
If you do enjoy the pod and you want to help me grow this
podcast and reach more recreational betters to kind of
(21:46):
hope hopefully show them the data-driven approach, then
please could you give this podcast a five star review on
Spotify or iTunes? If you want to leave a nice
comment or click the follow button or recommend the pod to a
friend or colleague, I would also very much appreciate that.
Next, if you enjoy this style ofbetting, data-driven, sharp,
contrarian betting based bettingbased on what the market, the
(22:08):
lines, the NUM, the numbers, themoney is telling us the bet
splits, the system matches. This style of betting has kind
of appealed to you. You kind of see the value in it.
You know you're never going to be perfect.
We're trying to grind out and beat the magic number of 52.38%
assuming -110 juice. And you maybe you want to learn
more about data-driven betting or you just want to support the
(22:29):
team. Let me know you appreciate the
insights. Or maybe you have a buddy or
friend or someone you know who loves betting and loses a lot
and just parlays and doesn't even look at line movement.
Maybe you want to buy one of my books for them.
So if you wanted to go to Amazon.com and type in the
Everything Guide to Sports Betting or the NFL Sharp Betting
Playbook, pick up a copy of one or the other or both, which is
(22:52):
awesome. And let's keep the the
Everything Guide at #4 or better.
And let's keep the The NFL SharpBetting playbook #1 and I really
owe it all to you guys for enjoying it, buying it again.
Give it a five star review and anice little review that would
mean a lot to me. But if you want to pick up one
or both of my books, again, the Everything Guide to Sports
(23:13):
Betting, the NFL Sharp Betting Playbook, bring them to the
sports book. I'll sign them for you.
I'll buy you a beer or ginger ale.
And we'll sweat some games together because we got a lot of
games to sweat tonight. Next, have you downloaded Rhythm
and Juice Reel yet? My two favorite sports betting
apps. Rhythm does a great job of
powering this podcast. My announcement will be coming I
think Monday. In terms of what we got cooking
(23:35):
for Rhythm this football season,I think you're going to be
excited. Rhythm great for their AI backed
models and predictions for game bets and player props.
Obviously you got MLB and WNBA right now, but college football
is now live in the Rhythm app. So go download Rhythm and also
go download Juice Reel if you enjoy this pod.
I'm going to pass the tip jar tip your podcast host in the
(23:55):
form of signing up to get the all systems go official best bet
packs, best bet picks on the juice reel app.
As soon as I place a bet they get synced up to my account.
They get sent the juice reel andyou can play them, tail them,
fade them, do whatever you want.But if you want to support the
pod, it cost $4.99 a week, 5 bucks to get a week's worth of
(24:16):
plays. So you can follow them from the
buy sell tab, bottom right corner of the Juice reel Juice
Reel app. And then you can just search ASG
under score podcast or I tweet the link out every afternoon and
go straight to there. But you're also going to get the
robo Jackson best bet pics, the sharp mush indicators, the
arbitrage plays the shop for thebest sign futures, sync up your
(24:36):
books, get a running report cardof your action, all available
when you download Juice Reel. So download Juice Reel, download
rhythm. You'll be off and running making
sharp bets, which is always the goal.
Next, do you have a live odds page?
If you don't, you need one. And again, maybe you have one,
but it's really expensive. It's 405 hundred, 600 bucks a
month. Or maybe you use a free one, but
(24:59):
it's delayed, it's slow, it doesn't have a lot of good
books. You don't know where the date is
coming from, It's unreliable. Or maybe you have no idea what a
live odds page is. That's OK.
But let me tell you, you need a live odds page.
I would argue it's the single most important website you're
going to use when you're bettingon sports because you got to
have access to track the market.And that's what the live odds
page does. It gives you all the games, the
(25:20):
start times, the live scoring, the live in game wagering odds
always like having my sweats up and you know, whether it's on
the TV or my tablet and then have the the odds logic live
odds page up to kind of see how the live lines are working.
But also it really does a good job of allowing you to shop for
the best number, find the best price, got the opening column,
the current numbers. You can kind of see which
(25:41):
direction the line is moved veryeasily.
You can identify steam, you got pop up notifications for
injuries and final scores. So the odds logic live odds
page, it's the best around and you guys should give it a shot,
especially getting into footballseason because you want to be
able to kind of know how it works once we get football
returning. So if you want to give it a
shot, here is a 7 day free trialand 50% off your first month.
(26:05):
Just go to oddslogic.com/josh 123.
So that about does it for episode 337 of the ASG Pod on a
big Friday. As always guys, two final
thoughts. Whether I see you at the Borgata
in Atlantic City, Twin River in Rhode Island, the Brooklyn, New
Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan Sundown in Connecticut at the
Encore in Boston, Plain Ridge Park, Casino, MGM Springfield or
(26:28):
the Nash. In my neck of the woods outside
of Boston, close to the New Hampshire border or out in the
desert where the true grinders get down.
Where Billy Walter sends his number runners.
Where the lowest juice possible is found at the South Point.
Sweat and sharp contrarian plays.
Jumping in the stadium swim pool.
When you catch a big ticket at Circa, wherever it may be,
you're going to walk up to me. Mets and Cubs, you're dead to
(26:49):
me. Both blowing late leads.
Annoying, but show me a Detroit,Minnesota under 7 1/2.
It's nice to get that under. First one's on me, next one's on
you, and we'll sweat baseball and football together tonight.
So that about does it, guys. As always, 1 and 2, two and one,
three and OO and three. Hot, cold, whether we're
somewhere in the middle grindingwhenever as good as we think
(27:09):
when we're when we're red hot, whenever as bad as we think when
we're ice cold. We just got to stick to the
model in the blueprints, take discipline with our bankroll
management and make data-driven bets of our head and not our
heart. And by now maybe you know, but
if you don't, that's OK to the ultimate, even though it's
complex, it kind of gets boiled down to this.
Looking for games that are against the public with the
house, with the pros, flat bet, avoid parlays and get that CLV.
(27:33):
If we can do that, and I'm pretty confident we can, then
we're going to be successful sports betters.
So hope everyone has a great weekend.
Reminder, no podcast on the weekend, but you can check out
the all systems go best bet picsfrom the Juice reel app.
You can also read the sharp reports that are rate for
visa.com that I'll tweet out from my Twitter account at Josh
under score insights if you wantto give me a follow up.
(27:55):
But good luck, everybody. Hope you have a great Friday and
an even better weekend. I'll see you back on Monday for
episode 338 of the all systems go sports betting podcast
powered by rhythm. Good luck everybody and I'll see
you soon.
Hello, and welcome to episode 337 of the All Systems Go sports
Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on, everyone?
Happy Friday. Our work week is coming to an
end. And believe it or not, we're
(00:41):
pretty much halfway through the month of August before, you
know, it'll be September. We'll have NFL every Sunday,
college football every Saturday.We are literally the calm before
the storm here at this point. So an exciting time to be
getting down in the sports betting market.
And I do have a pretty loaded slate for you guys tonight.
We got a huge MLB slate, 15 games overall.
We got two NFL preseason games here for tonight and I got a 5
(01:05):
pack of plays for you, includingthree MLB plays, one dog, 2
favorites, and then also couple plays here in the preseason.
I got a play on both sides of the games here tonight, which we
mentioned a little bit yesterday.
Tennessee, Atlanta, Kansas City,Seattle.
One line has really come back down to a side we were leaning
on yesterday and then the other angle here is a line that's
(01:26):
moving further toward the side we were talking about in
yesterday's pod. So a lot of these have some good
sharp mush edges and we also have a good overlap in MLB.
One play also happens to be a Juice Reel Robo Jackson official
best bet pick. So as always guys, we have a
three pack. Try to go 2 and one.
We got a 5 pack tonight. We're letting it go tonight.
We're getting loose getting after it, tying one on as we get
(01:49):
ready for a big weekend here. But with five overall plays,
let's try to get 3, three out of5.
Eek out a winning day. Now looking back to her last
night, bit of a frustrating night. 1 and 2 -, 1.13 units.
Had a nice hit with the Detroit,Minnesota under 7 1/2.
That thing looked like it was dead on arrival.
They had five runs through I think the first 3 innings and
(02:10):
then really kind of locked it down and it landed on 7.
Went to extra innings, one run got pushed across, landed on 7.
So we got the under 7 1/2. But the Mets and the Cubs, man,
they both blew late leads for us.
The Mets are up three to two in the eighth inning.
They bring in Helsley. Of course he he blows it and
they lose 4:00 to 3:00. And then what was it with the
(02:32):
Cubs? They had a one nothing lead
going into the bottom of the eighth inning.
And of course Vladimir Guerrero,junior hits a hits a bomb to
give him a 2 to one lead and they won the Game 2 to one.
And the Cubs, as frustrating as it was, if you watch that game,
maybe Guerrero hit the Homer in the 7th.
But the 8th inning, I think Cubshad second and third nobody out
(02:52):
and they had say Suzuki or no Suzuki walked.
Then they had who was it Tucker Kelly?
And who was the the third guy? I'm not sure, but they all
struck out. So it's like awesome, second and
third nobody out. You can't tie the game or take
the lead. So hey, that's baseball guys.
Sometimes the breaks go your way, sometimes they don't.
But either way, we're going to keep grinding.
(03:12):
Try to finish off the week on a on a good note here.
Now, I do want to mention, as always, keep you guys updated
with what's going on with the NFL Sharp Betting playbook.
We are still number one on Amazon, which makes me very,
very happy. And you know what's kind of
incredible too is if you look atthe top like 20 or basically you
know, the top listed best sellers in sports gambling, the
(03:34):
NFL Sharp book Sharp betting Playbook is number one.
Guess what's #4 the everything guide to sports betting.
So two of the top 4IN sports gambling coming from yours truly
over here. So pretty excited about that.
Again, I want to continue to thank everyone who has
pre-ordered or now purchased a copy of the NFL Sharp Betting
Playbook. We're getting these five star
reviews rolling in, which is fantastic.
(03:57):
So it's great to see. And again, let's keep it #1
recommend it to a friend, buy itfor a buddy or colleague or
family member, buy it for yourself.
Remember, I'll sign them for youat the book.
We'll sweat some games together.But if you would be so kind to
give it a five star review and alittle blurb, maybe just
something in particular you really enjoyed about the book.
Like, hey, I never really thought about the contrarian
(04:17):
mindset. Now I'm looking to bet against
the public or I used to bet a ton of parlays.
I read the chapter on why you should avoid parlays.
Now I'm seeing the light here, why there's such a handout to
the book and why the books promote them or schedule spots
or you know, betting systems, windy unders.
Now I look at the weather. Whatever the case may be, any
little nugget that you enjoyed that again, maybe helped you to
(04:38):
get a little bit sharper, throw it in that review section.
It would really mean a lot to meguys, but let's keep it at #1
With that being said though, as we got a huge slate here for
tonight, 5 bets overall, baseball and NFL preseason.
Let's waste no more time and getright into it.
So I want to start with a littlebit of baseball here.
First bet on the board for me. 6:45 PM Eastern Time, we got the
(04:59):
Phil's visiting the Washington Nationals.
Now coming into this one, we have the Nats 49 and 72.
Not a great record, but they didwin last night's opener 3:00 to
2:00 as a big plus 160 home dog.The rematch for tonight, the
Phills, who are 69 and 52. They're going to go with the Ray
ace Zach Wheeler 10 and five 2.68 ERA.
(05:20):
You know all the Nats going to go with the southpaw Mackenzie
Gore 5 and 12 four point O 9 ERA.
So we seen across the market here.
Will this game open Philly around a - 170 Rd. favorite and
Washington around a + 150 home dog and sharps are saying no,
this isn't too high of a line. Yeah, it's a little pricey, but
they're laying it with the Philsbecause we've seen a big steam
(05:42):
move on Philadelphia rising up from -170 up to -190 now.
I jumped on Philly at -185 at Bet MGM should still be
available -185 but again, a lot of books at -190 even -195 I
really like the splits on the Phils.
If you look out at DraftKings, 85% of bets, nearly 90% of the
(06:03):
money is on Philadelphia, but inparticular out at Circa in
Vegas, 82% of money line bets, 99% of money line dollars.
So a good pro and Joe Low bets, higher dollar split at
DraftKings, but in particular atCirca, which caters to sharp
betters and doesn't turn their action away, which I respect
them for. Then we look at some betting
(06:23):
systems here. Couple that jumped out to me,
the Phillies are 31 and 1962%, 9% ROI off a loss this year.
So they lose. They bounce back pretty much win
2/3 of the time. That makes them the 9th best
bounce back team in baseball. Philly is also 39 and 1474
(06:44):
percent, 14% ROI as a favorite with a line move in their
direction. And that actually makes them the
third best chalk team with a line move in baseball.
So this spot of awful loss in a favorite with a line move, both
have been profitable here for Philly.
Now going to bank on the Philly bats here, hopefully to get to
Gore and hopefully Wheeler can pitch a gem for us, which he's
(07:04):
done much of the year. But you look at Phillies bats,
they're hitting on the season. Two 53143 home runs, 558 runs
scored. Nats only hitting two, 44116
homers, 518 runs scored. Phillies also have some
correlative betting here. Became a even bigger favorite
with a low total of 8. Some books juiced 8 under -115
(07:28):
so fair amount of expected run score.
More likely to come from quote UN quote that better team.
Now, a lot of stats here will tell you Wheeler's a great
pitcher, which he is. But if you look at Gore, I'm a
high on Gore. He's a good lefty.
He was part of that big trade with the Padres for Soto a few
years back. But he does have an ERA of eight
in the month of August and two starts.
And at home he's only two and six with an ERA of 4.8.
(07:52):
And the Phillies are, by the way, hitting 250 against lefties
this year. That's the 10th best in
baseball. So they've kind of done well
against southpaws. Then just classic home Rd.
Phillies. Nothing crazy, but they are
above 532 and 31 on the road. Nationals, meanwhile, 23 and 36
at home. One of the worst home teams in
baseball. So coming off a loss favorite
(08:12):
with a line move, good splits, better bats, hopefully the
better pitcher on the bump against a team that struggled at
home. I'm laying it with the Phil's
guys. I got Philadelphia -185 at Bet
MGM again. Shop around, A lot of books
around -190 next one for you. 8:15 PM Eastern Time.
Let's go out to Saint Louis where the Cardinals are hosting
the New York Yankees. The Yankees come in 64 and 57.
(08:37):
Just took two or three against the Twins.
Couldn't get the sweep, though. They lost that series finale 4
to 1 as a -150 home favorite. You know, the Cardinals 61 and
61. They just lost two or three
against the Rockies at home. Man, that's pretty bad.
And the finale, there's losers 6to 5 and they're a -, 245 home
favorite. Now, the pitching match up for
(08:58):
tonight, the Yankees are going to go with Luis Heel, who's
Owen? One 7.27 ERA.
He just came back from the disabled list.
He was out much of the first half and through the All Star
break, you know all the cards are going to go with the fellow
ready Andre Palante or Palante 6and nine 4.95 ERA.
So what we've seen for this interleague matchup, well, the
(09:18):
Yankees open this game around a -. 125 Rd. favorite Saint Louis
around a + 105 home dog. And this line has moved further
toward New York. Yankees have now gotten steamed
up -125 up to -135 I jumped on Yankees -134 again, most shops
-135 -, 137 Aside from this linemove, 10 cent steam on the road
(09:40):
favorite Yankees. Some good splits on New York.
They're getting 72% of money line bets, 73% of money line
dollars at Circa, 71% of bets, 98% of dollars.
So that split at circa, again, very notable low bets, higher
dollars. And for in favor of the Yankees,
we have some system matches lighting up on New York.
(10:01):
Both teams coming off a loss, take the team getting $0.10 of
line movement or more. That system is 48 and 2962
percent, 8% ROI this year. If you're a road favorite off a
loss getting $0.10 of steam or more, those teams are 65 and
3664% with an 8% ROI. And if you're a rested favorite,
(10:22):
coming off a day off 88 and 3969percent, 10% ROI.
Yankees do have the better bats overall hitting 191 or they have
hit, I should say, 191 home runs, 612 runs scored.
Saint Louis, 115 homers, 526 runs scored.
Yankees would have that interleague system, betting
(10:44):
system value with the lack of familiarity benefiting, quote UN
quote the better team. He'll was roughed up a little
bit in his debut. And I think this is his third
start. Second start, he pitched a lot
better, but Palante or Palant, 10.8 O ERA in two August starts,
he's giving up eight runs and 6.2 innings pitched.
So I'm going to follow this movehere toward the Yankees.
(11:07):
Hopefully they can get a win here on the road.
But we got line movement. We got a lot of good systems
lighting up on New York. So I'm going to back the Bronx
Bombers in this one. I got the Yankees at -134 at
FanDuel, last bed of the night, 10:15 PM Eastern Time, first
pitch, the Tampa Bay Rays visiting the San Francisco G
men. Now the Rays come in 59 and 63
(11:28):
on the year, just took two or three against the A's.
They won that serious finale. Remember we had them the other
night 8 to 2 as a -150 Rd. favorite.
On the other hand, the G men, man they are really struggling.
59 and 62 on the year, just got swept by the Padres.
They lost that series finale 11 to one as a + 120 home dog.
(11:48):
So for tonight's interleague series opener, the Rays are
sending out the righty Joe Boyle.
He's one and two 3.82 ERA. Meanwhile, the G Men are going
to go with fellow righty Landon Roop.
He's seven and six 3.11 ERA. What have we seen across the
market here? Well, the G Men opened as around
a -, 135 home favorite. Tampa Bay around a + 115 Rd.
(12:10):
dog. And the public is leaning
slightly toward San Fran at DraftKings are getting 56% of
money line bets. But even though they're getting
a majority of tickets, the line didn't move further up towards
San Fran, up to like -140 no, it's actually started to fall.
So even though majority of bets are on the giants, the giants
have fallen -135 down to around -130 some shops even now down to
(12:32):
around -125 So I was notable to me tells me the line falling
away from San Fran simultaneously going toward the
Rays, who opened around plus 115.
Now they're down to around plus 110.
Some shops even down to plus oneO 5.
That tells me we've got some reverse line movement coming in
on the raise. If you look at the splits, they
look good on Tampa at DraftKings44% of bets 60% of dollars on
(12:56):
Tampa and at circa get a load ofthis 60% of money line bets
nearly 80% of money line dollarson Tampa.
So both books are showing a low bets higher dollar split on the
raise. Little nugget here, if you look
at short dogs plus 120 or less with the line move in their
favor since August 1st, those teams are 26 and 1958 percent,
(13:18):
19% ROI. So that's been a good spot and
that does match here with Tampa Bay.
Tampa Bay does have the better offense.
They've hit 251 on the season, 136 homers, 546 runs scored.
San Fran's only hitting two, 32113 home runs, 491 runs
scored. Rays are also we got 2 righties
(13:39):
on the bump. They're hitting 261 against
righties. That's the second best in
baseball. Giants only hitting 240 against
righties that ranks 24th. And the giants man, I I really
bashed the Red Sox when they gotrid of Devers, but it's pretty
clear Red Sox I've gotten the better of that deal.
We have the the giants only 7 and 17 since the All Star break.
(14:00):
I think I don't have the number in front of me.
They're like 18 and 30 since getting Devers.
So I want to back the G men or sorry, I want to bet against the
G men. I want to back Tampa Bay in this
spot with some good line movement, good bet splits and
also a little cherry on top pop open juice reel. 2 notable
things jumped out to me. One Tampa Bay has a 29% sharp
(14:21):
mush edge, telling us the sharper betters who have
downloaded juice reel are also going Tampa.
And then I also go to the robo Jackson best bet pics.
There's two of them that come out at noon every single day.
One of the two is on Tampa Bay, so add it all up here, guys.
I'm back in the Rays in the Spock and I continue to bet
against the Giants. I got Tampa Bay plus 1/12 at
(14:42):
FanDuel again, shop around a lotof books now plus 110 even plus
105, South Philly, New York and Tampa Bay.
Can we find a way to get two outof three?
That is the goal. Now over to some preseason NFL.
Now we touched on these games a little bit yesterday because for
some reason I, you know, woke upand thought these were Thursday
(15:03):
night games, but I was wrong. But I'm kind of glad we
mentioned it because we've seen further movement toward the two
sides that we talked about Southlooking at the first game here,
7:00 PM Eastern Time Tennessee Titans visiting the Atlanta
Falcons. We have the Titans who are Owen
one lost their series preseason opener to the Bucs 29 to 7 and
(15:25):
they lost out right as a 3 1/2 point Rd. favorite.
You know the Falcons Owen one they lost to the lion 17 to 10
and their opener. But remember, that game was
postponed or cancelled early because of a really scary injury
to one of the the Titans or the the Detroit Lions guys.
So if you had, I took Atlanta onthe points there and luckily
(15:46):
that was avoided bet instead of a loss.
But anyway, for tonight's preseason matchup, the Titans
open as a 3 1/2 point Rd. favorite and we initially saw
Tennessee get steamed up all theway to -5 1/2.
Now, once it got to 5 1/2, that's when we started to see a
lot of sharp buyback on Atlanta plus 5 1/2, bringing that line
(16:06):
down to 5, four and a half. I woke up today, it's down to 3
1/2, even 3. So I'm going to default to or
kind of leave it up to you guys,what you want to do with this
one? Because I did get plus 5 1/2
with Atlanta. I put it in the Juice Reel app.
If you're able to jump on it nowthat it's down to three, I mean,
you can still find plus 3 1/2 atFanDuel.
(16:27):
It's around -120 but I'm going to leave it up to you guys
whether you feel like hey, you know, missed the good number,
might as well layoff or you still want to play it.
I think if you can get the hook on the 3 1/2, I still might fire
on this one, but I'll give you acouple reasons to maybe still
like it. Pre season dogs 3 1/2 or more.
Again, you can still get the hook at FanDuel.
They're 19 and 9 against the spread. 68 percent, 30% ROI
(16:51):
after or since the last two pre seasons.
And we've also seen dogs absolutely just crush it so far.
Dogs are 12 and five against thespread, 71% for the preseason
thus far. And if you look at kind of the
reason why we saw this line jumpto Tennessee, it's because Brian
Callahan, coach of the Titans, came out and said, quote,
(17:12):
everyone is going to play similar to last week.
So Cam Ward expected to play about two series.
But I would almost kind of want to buy low on the Falcons here
anyway. They're not going to have
Michael Pennix Junior or Kirk Cousins, but Easton Stick and
Emery Jones will get the most most of the playing time.
And Easton Stick, he's kind of apreseason hero here and he
played well in that first game. So again, maybe you got the five
(17:35):
and a half like me and you're feeling great.
The fact this is down to 3 1/2 or three, if you feel like the
value is gone and that's a legitimate, you know, opinion,
that's OK. You can lay off.
If you do want to sweat it, I'd still lean it.
Atlanta here with the hook if you can get it at FanDuel plus 3
1/2 last bet of the night KansasCity at Seattle 10:00 Eastern
(17:56):
Time. We got a late night sweat on the
West Coast chiefs are O and one they lost to the Cardinals 20 to
17 as a 2 1/2 point favorite on the road in week one of the
preseason Seahawks. Meanwhile, OO and one they tied
the Raiders 2323. Yes, you can end in a tie.
These games don't go to overtime, but they covered as a
(18:16):
5 1/2 point home dog against theRaiders.
Now big line movement away from Kansas City towards Seattle.
Here Kansas City opened -2 1/2 on the road.
We've now flipped to Seattle -2 1/2 - 3.
But now I'm looking at this line.
It looks like it's creeping up to -4 so the line is moving
further towards Seattle. The splits look pretty good on
(18:37):
the Seahawks. Only about half the tickets, but
75% of spread dollars are going on Seattle.
Now. I want to back this move towards
Seattle. I think they have the better
quarterback group here. Obviously Sam Darnold is
expected to play. You heard Mike McDonald, the
coach of Seattle, say, quote, our guys are going to start the
game. I think it's the best thing for
us. I'm going, I'm looking forward
(18:57):
to seeing our team RIP it tonight.
So they have Darnold who will start and then you have Drew
Lock and Jalen Milro. Meanwhile, the Chiefs, Andy
Reid, he's been kind of coy here.
He said, quote, I'm still figuring out who's going to play
and not play. There's a chance I sit a couple
of starters or at least be shortwith them.
We want to make sure we get a good look at these young guys.
(19:18):
I think also you got to look at not just the dog to fave line
move towards Seattle and the line going towards Seattle, but
kind of the motivation for theseteams.
You know, Kansas City does. Does pre season mean much to
you? No, you're in the Super Bowl
pretty much every year. You have bigger dreams than
winning a pre season game. Seattle, you're at home.
Second year coach, you're tryingto build a culture under Mike
(19:39):
McDonald kind of means more to to Seattle than it does to
Kansas City. And you also look at the weather
in this spot. I know overs killed it.
Overs so far in the preseason, unbelievable.
They're 14 and 3. Little Nugget.
If you had bet every dog and every over so far in week 1 or
through entering week two of thepreseason, you're up nearly
(20:01):
$1600. That's how good these, you know,
these dogs and these overs have been.
But I always like to money line short favorites.
So if you want to play Seattle with me, my angle is Seattle on
the money line because let's saythey win by three.
Let's say they, you know, win by1-2 or three or less, win by 4
(20:22):
and push. I want to be with the line move
towards Seattle and the bet splits and the information based
bet where they're going to play their guys in Kansas City may
not, but I don't want to lay theworst of it.
Now you could argue I'm laying the worst of the money line, but
the difference here is that if the Seahawks win the game by
three or less, you lose your spread bet or push or pretty
(20:42):
much lose. A lot of these books are at 4.
Now versus money line. You're laying a bigger price,
but you're still winning the game.
So I jumped on Seattle -155 at at DraftKings and I did notice a
7% sharp mush edge in Juice Reelin favor of Seattle.
So I'm going with the Falcons tocover.
I got plus 5 1/2. You can still get a 3 1/2 now if
(21:03):
you want to play it. And I got Seattle to win the
damn game on the money line -155at DraftKings.
So that about does it for episode 337 of the All Systems
Go Sports Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
This is the part of the pod where we wrap things up.
And I start first by saying thank you.
Thank you for taking the time out of your day, out of your
busy lives. It's the dog days of summer.
(21:25):
If you have nieces, nephews, kids, you know, schools right
around the corner. So it's starting to get busy
here, but the fact that you guyscontinue to TuneIn listen to the
breakdowns of me sweat sharp contrarian plays together, it
really means a lot. So thank you for listening.
If you do enjoy the pod and you want to help me grow this
podcast and reach more recreational betters to kind of
(21:46):
hope hopefully show them the data-driven approach, then
please could you give this podcast a five star review on
Spotify or iTunes? If you want to leave a nice
comment or click the follow button or recommend the pod to a
friend or colleague, I would also very much appreciate that.
Next, if you enjoy this style ofbetting, data-driven, sharp,
contrarian betting based bettingbased on what the market, the
(22:08):
lines, the NUM, the numbers, themoney is telling us the bet
splits, the system matches. This style of betting has kind
of appealed to you. You kind of see the value in it.
You know you're never going to be perfect.
We're trying to grind out and beat the magic number of 52.38%
assuming -110 juice. And you maybe you want to learn
more about data-driven betting or you just want to support the
(22:29):
team. Let me know you appreciate the
insights. Or maybe you have a buddy or
friend or someone you know who loves betting and loses a lot
and just parlays and doesn't even look at line movement.
Maybe you want to buy one of my books for them.
So if you wanted to go to Amazon.com and type in the
Everything Guide to Sports Betting or the NFL Sharp Betting
Playbook, pick up a copy of one or the other or both, which is
(22:52):
awesome. And let's keep the the
Everything Guide at #4 or better.
And let's keep the The NFL SharpBetting playbook #1 and I really
owe it all to you guys for enjoying it, buying it again.
Give it a five star review and anice little review that would
mean a lot to me. But if you want to pick up one
or both of my books, again, the Everything Guide to Sports
(23:13):
Betting, the NFL Sharp Betting Playbook, bring them to the
sports book. I'll sign them for you.
I'll buy you a beer or ginger ale.
And we'll sweat some games together because we got a lot of
games to sweat tonight. Next, have you downloaded Rhythm
and Juice Reel yet? My two favorite sports betting
apps. Rhythm does a great job of
powering this podcast. My announcement will be coming I
think Monday. In terms of what we got cooking
(23:35):
for Rhythm this football season,I think you're going to be
excited. Rhythm great for their AI backed
models and predictions for game bets and player props.
Obviously you got MLB and WNBA right now, but college football
is now live in the Rhythm app. So go download Rhythm and also
go download Juice Reel if you enjoy this pod.
I'm going to pass the tip jar tip your podcast host in the
(23:55):
form of signing up to get the all systems go official best bet
packs, best bet picks on the juice reel app.
As soon as I place a bet they get synced up to my account.
They get sent the juice reel andyou can play them, tail them,
fade them, do whatever you want.But if you want to support the
pod, it cost $4.99 a week, 5 bucks to get a week's worth of
(24:16):
plays. So you can follow them from the
buy sell tab, bottom right corner of the Juice reel Juice
Reel app. And then you can just search ASG
under score podcast or I tweet the link out every afternoon and
go straight to there. But you're also going to get the
robo Jackson best bet pics, the sharp mush indicators, the
arbitrage plays the shop for thebest sign futures, sync up your
(24:36):
books, get a running report cardof your action, all available
when you download Juice Reel. So download Juice Reel, download
rhythm. You'll be off and running making
sharp bets, which is always the goal.
Next, do you have a live odds page?
If you don't, you need one. And again, maybe you have one,
but it's really expensive. It's 405 hundred, 600 bucks a
month. Or maybe you use a free one, but
(24:59):
it's delayed, it's slow, it doesn't have a lot of good
books. You don't know where the date is
coming from, It's unreliable. Or maybe you have no idea what a
live odds page is. That's OK.
But let me tell you, you need a live odds page.
I would argue it's the single most important website you're
going to use when you're bettingon sports because you got to
have access to track the market.And that's what the live odds
page does. It gives you all the games, the
(25:20):
start times, the live scoring, the live in game wagering odds
always like having my sweats up and you know, whether it's on
the TV or my tablet and then have the the odds logic live
odds page up to kind of see how the live lines are working.
But also it really does a good job of allowing you to shop for
the best number, find the best price, got the opening column,
the current numbers. You can kind of see which
(25:41):
direction the line is moved veryeasily.
You can identify steam, you got pop up notifications for
injuries and final scores. So the odds logic live odds
page, it's the best around and you guys should give it a shot,
especially getting into footballseason because you want to be
able to kind of know how it works once we get football
returning. So if you want to give it a
shot, here is a 7 day free trialand 50% off your first month.
(26:05):
Just go to oddslogic.com/josh 123.
So that about does it for episode 337 of the ASG Pod on a
big Friday. As always guys, two final
thoughts. Whether I see you at the Borgata
in Atlantic City, Twin River in Rhode Island, the Brooklyn, New
Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan Sundown in Connecticut at the
Encore in Boston, Plain Ridge Park, Casino, MGM Springfield or
(26:28):
the Nash. In my neck of the woods outside
of Boston, close to the New Hampshire border or out in the
desert where the true grinders get down.
Where Billy Walter sends his number runners.
Where the lowest juice possible is found at the South Point.
Sweat and sharp contrarian plays.
Jumping in the stadium swim pool.
When you catch a big ticket at Circa, wherever it may be,
you're going to walk up to me. Mets and Cubs, you're dead to
(26:49):
me. Both blowing late leads.
Annoying, but show me a Detroit,Minnesota under 7 1/2.
It's nice to get that under. First one's on me, next one's on
you, and we'll sweat baseball and football together tonight.
So that about does it, guys. As always, 1 and 2, two and one,
three and OO and three. Hot, cold, whether we're
somewhere in the middle grindingwhenever as good as we think
(27:09):
when we're when we're red hot, whenever as bad as we think when
we're ice cold. We just got to stick to the
model in the blueprints, take discipline with our bankroll
management and make data-driven bets of our head and not our
heart. And by now maybe you know, but
if you don't, that's OK to the ultimate, even though it's
complex, it kind of gets boiled down to this.
Looking for games that are against the public with the
house, with the pros, flat bet, avoid parlays and get that CLV.
(27:33):
If we can do that, and I'm pretty confident we can, then
we're going to be successful sports betters.
So hope everyone has a great weekend.
Reminder, no podcast on the weekend, but you can check out
the all systems go best bet picsfrom the Juice reel app.
You can also read the sharp reports that are rate for
visa.com that I'll tweet out from my Twitter account at Josh
under score insights if you wantto give me a follow up.
(27:55):
But good luck, everybody. Hope you have a great Friday and
an even better weekend. I'll see you back on Monday for
episode 338 of the all systems go sports betting podcast
powered by rhythm. Good luck everybody and I'll see
you soon.
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