Bernie delivers a detailed takedown of Erick Fedde’s 2025 performance, showing that beneath the surface-level numbers, Fedde’s metrics have been terrible all along.
His strikeout rate is the worst among MLB starters with 90+ innings, his walk rate is near the bottom, and his contact rate against is alarming. Bernie admits he overlooked how bad it truly was and criticizes the Cardinals for not trading Fedde while they could. He also explores what the playoff rotation might look like and warns that the Cardinals’ rotation “levee” could break without reinforcements.
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00:00 - Bernie’s intro + where to follow his work
01:21 - The “levee breaks” metaphor for Erick Fedde
02:15 - Fedde’s strikeout, walk, and contact rates exposed
04:00 - The brutal Statcast metrics on Fedde
06:10 - Fedde’s pitches: What’s working and what isn’t
08:53 - How Fedde’s been lucky — and why that’s ending
11:12 - Fedde’s last 2 starts: The meltdown in numbers
13:26 - DraftKings pick six promo
16:00 - The Edman trade and how the Cards got Fedde
17:50 - Fedde’s decline since leaving the White Sox
19:51 - Should the Cardinals have traded Fedde in the offseason?
21:18 - What could the Cards realistically get for Fedde now?
23:08 - Who’s the #3 starter if Cards make playoffs?
25:20 - Why the rotation levee may break without change
29:00 - Bernie’s closing thoughts on Fedde and the Cardinals
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