July 22, 2025 • 30 mins
Pat Fitzmaurice and Bo McBrayer recap The Open Championship before exploring the top betting strategies for The 3M Open!
We dive into the betting odds, analyze the favorites and long shots, and reveal our top betting card selections. Plus, we reveal our one-and-done picks to help you maximize your winnings for the PGA season!
Timestamps: (May be off due to ads)
Intro - 0:00:00
The Open Championship Recap - 0:00:14
BettingPros App - 0:09:59
The 3M Open Preview - 0:10:32
Novig App - 0:14:38
The Favorites - 0:15:48
Mid-Range Options - 0:22:49
The Long Shots - 0:26:13
Betting Cards - 0:28:09
One-and-Done Picks - 0:28:57
Outro - 0:30:08
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Transcript
Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:01):
Welcome to the Betting Pros PGA Podcast. I'm Pat Fitzmorris
along with Bau mcbrair. We've got a betting preview of
the three m Open on tap for today. It's the
second last event on the PGA Tour calendar before the
FedEx Cup playoffs. But first let's quickly touch on the
final major of the year, the Open Championship. Scotti Scheffler
(00:21):
is your champion Golfer of the year. He wins the
opening a runaway at royal Port Rush. Scotty opened with
a sixty eight on Thursday and was one shot behind
the pack. He grabbed the thirty six hole lead with
a sterling round of sixty four on Friday. He stretched
that lead to four with the sixty seven on Saturday.
Then he birdied three of his first five holes on
Sunday to effectively grab the claret jug with both hands.
(00:43):
Scotty's only hiccup on Sunday was a double bogie in
the eighth hole when he had some trouble with a
fairway bunker, but by then his cushion was so big
that not even a crooked number could introduce some drama
to the proceedings. Harris English finishes second, four shots back
Chris Goderup, who had won the Scottish Open a week earlier.
He finished solo third at royal Port Rush, Hot tong Lee,
(01:05):
Matt Fitzpatrick and Wyndham Clark tie for fourth, and twenty
twenty four Open champion Xander Schoffley and favorite son of
Northern Ireland Rory McElroy finishing a tie for seventh after
acquitting themselvesselves pretty well all week. Bow Your takeaways from
Scotti Scheffler's first Open championship victory, Well.
Speaker 2 (01:25):
We can't call it flawless, but it was as close
to flawless as you're going to get for an Open championship.
The scoring was pretty favorable. That Royal Port Rush is
just a really tough golf course, so even with premium
scoring conditions, it wasn't that easy unless your name was
Scotti Scheffler. Uh, he's just so good. He's he's a machine,
and that's from tee to green. You expect him to
(01:47):
be the best in the field. But last the week
before last at Scottish he was one hundred and eighteenth
in strokes gain putting. He finished number one in total
putts and number two in strokes game put in the
whole field at the at the Open Championship, if Scotty's
in the top five of putting, nobody has any chance.
Speaker 1 (02:07):
Period.
Speaker 2 (02:08):
That's just it. Like, even if Scotty's in the top forty,
he's probably gonna win if he's putting well enough to
be in the top forty, if he's putting number one
or number two in the field, it's a it's a
shock that he only won by four. Honestly, that's that's
how good he is. From Teita Green and we thought
for sure that he couldn't read the greens as well
(02:28):
as other stateside greens. But he figured something out. And
if if happy he learned how to putt, it's no
stopping him. Scotty Scheffler might not celebrate his win too long,
but he's he's gonna celebrate, And I mean, it's just
it was fun to watch. He's a lot of people
call him boring. I think it's the opposite. We're watching greatness,
(02:51):
and anytime we're witnessing greatness, I have to pinch myself
because I get so excited to watch just how pristy
his game is. From every club in the bag, his
mental game is insanely strong. This guy is just he's
an all time great already and it's a privilege to
watch that unfold at the Open Championship.
Speaker 1 (03:14):
Yes, Scotty, he wasn't great on the tee all week.
He caught some good breaks. There were a couple of
times where balls could have gone into the thick stuff
and bounced and stayed up in the light stuff. But man,
the distance control on his irons and wedges, the scrambling,
I mean, the gamer on the green and like you said, bo,
I mean he I know he was vexed by the
(03:36):
faescue greens at the Scottish Open. Not so much a
royal port rush. He was dialed in. It was a
sight to behold. Do we think it might have been
closer if we had gotten some more Scottish weather because
it looked like San Diego out there on the weekend.
Speaker 2 (03:51):
Yeah, And that's kind of what surprised me is that
Scotty Scheffler dominates when the weather is good, and I
think is his game strategy hasn't really played out for
Scottish weather or Northern Irish weather. The Open Championship is
usually marked by great scoring conditions when the weather's perfect
(04:13):
and then unplayable conditions darn near when the weather's it's
just when the wind is up. And Royal Port Rush
is a brutally difficult golf course when the wind is up.
We just didn't get any wind, and so Scotti Scheffler's
high ball flight. He's good at flighting it down, but
his real strength is when he's just better than everybody
else at gauging distance and hitting the center of the
(04:33):
club face with his irons, and there's really no extra
calculus to it when there's no wind to factor in.
Where you might see a Tommy Fleetwood or Rory McIlroy
or Harry Hall kind of kick it into gear. Those
are the Shane Lowry's of the world. Those guys need
inclement weather to kind of equalize the field. Against Scotti Scheffler,
(04:54):
we didn't get that, and honestly, it was his off
the tea game that made it a mercy kept it
from being a mercy. Rule Like the two thousand Open
Championship when Tiger blitz the field with nineteen under, it
reminded me of that. It was not quite as dominant,
but it was more of like, okay, if the wind
doesn't pick up. Nobody's got a chance to even catch him.
(05:14):
And even how tong Lee was just like, I'm playing
for second place here, I'm being realistic and that's refreshing
to hear that you really did. He didn't know that
he wasn't going to have a chance, but he also
figured chances are Scotty's not going to beat himself.
Speaker 1 (05:30):
Yeah, definitely not. And what a change in weather at
Royal Port Rush from twenty nineteen one of the saggiest
Open championships in history probably to you know, sun and
looked like they were in Fiji or something for much
of that tournament. But before we move on, Scotty's performance
sort of rekindled the Scotty versus Tiger debate. We touched
(05:53):
on that earlier this year. Briefly, where do you think
Scotty stands visa v. Tiger in terms of all time
golf greatness?
Speaker 2 (06:02):
I don't think he could attain what Tiger attained. Tiger
completely reinvented the game of golf. Tiger saved the game
of golf in the mid nineties. It went from a
very much a fourth or fifth level sport on TV
to must see TV in the majors and anytime he
teed it up. So the level of greatness is probably comparable,
(06:24):
especially since Scotty's doing this against stronger competition on tougher
golf courses than Tiger did. At the same time, what
Tiger did for the sport as greatness, I count that in.
And I don't think Scotty has the personality or the
want to to be a Tiger Woods, and that's fine.
I just I want to say the game is on
(06:45):
par with Tiger, but what he's doing to invigorate the
entire sport, it's just not there because it's it's not
that he wants to be there, and there's so many
other talented players that can carry that torch for Scotty,
and Scotty can just go out and keep winning tournaments
and be ho hum family guy. That's his place in
the sport. And I don't fault him for it. I
(07:07):
just don't think that we need to be putting those
two side by side, because if you're saying vis a
vis Tiger is not reachable, He's He's a seven hundred
yard par five into the wind. He's not reachable for anybody,
that's just not going to happen. And I don't think
Scotty is interested in reaching Tiger status, and Tiger's still Tiger. Like,
(07:28):
if Tiger showed up to a healthy to a tournament tomorrow,
we'd be talking all about him and not about Scotty.
What does that tell you at fifteen?
Speaker 1 (07:37):
Yeah, it does remind me sort of the Jordan Lebron debates.
And you know, a lot of the people who bring
it up and people who sort of think that Scotty
is on par with Tiger were maybe, yeah, people from
the younger generation who weren't around for the best of Tiger.
And yeah, like to me, Jordan was the competitive fires
(07:58):
burn brighter in him than an any other NBA player ever.
And I think he could say the same of Tiger Woods.
And there were times when we saw it wasn't necessarily
the best players of Tiger's arab besides Tiger who gave
him the best battles. I mean, he got his best
fights from some unexpected people Rock Omediate, Bob May, Chris DeMarco.
(08:20):
But like, those guys were playing the best they had
ever played in their lives, and like it took a
heroic effort from Tiger to beat those guys, and he
still managed to beat all those guys when they brought
their finest.
Speaker 2 (08:34):
I don't think this is quite the lightning rod of
topic like Lebron and MJ. Because where I see Lebron
is certainly an all time great. I see him as
the catalyst for that debate because he came into the
league as a high school graduate straight in wearing number
twenty three. Wanted to be like MJ. He wanted to
(08:56):
be Air Jordan. He wanted to be the next Air Jordan,
and he shot for the moon and for a lot
of people he reached that status. He read he reinvented
the game of basketball like MJ did in his era.
So I think that those two are a lot closer
than Scotty trying to reach a level of notoriety and
all that that Tiger reached through complete dominance. Like Scotty's
(09:20):
winning tournaments and he's winning majors. But it's only been
three four years and Tiger did this for a decade
and a half straight. Yeah, So yeah, if Scotty wants
to be the legend of Tiger, he's going to keep
up this pace for another decade straight. Good luck. I
hope you do it. I don't know if he actually
wants to, though, you might be riding off into the
(09:41):
sunset long before that.
Speaker 1 (09:43):
Great point, all right, closing the book on the Open Championship.
And by the way, Ryan Girard won last week's Barracuda
Championship here in the state. It's a nice win for
the twenty five year old Girard. Now we're on to
the three M Open. We'll get to it and the
betting preview in just a moment, but first.
Speaker 2 (10:00):
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Speaker 1 (10:32):
So after two weeks of links golf in Northern Europe,
we are back in the US for more familiar Parkland golf.
The top players are sitting this one out in Minnesota,
but it's a reasonably deep field for the threem Open,
and we're going to see a lot of the mid
level PGA tour pros teeing it up this week to
better position themselves for the FedEx Cup playoffs. The three
(10:53):
im Open will be played at TPC Twin Cities in Blaine, Minnesota.
It's a par seventy one that will play at seven
four hundred and thirty one yards. The course was designed
by Arnold Palmer with input from Native Minnesota Tom Layman.
TPC Twin Cities certainly isn't a difficult course by tour standards,
but it's not without danger. There's water water everywhere, not
(11:15):
a drop to drink. Water comes into play on fifteen
holes at TPC Twin Cities. A lot of those water
hazards will threaten players t shots and a lot of
those water hazards run down the right side of holes.
Slicers beware lefty hook or lefty hookers. That's right, don't
want to leave out my left time.
Speaker 2 (11:34):
I'm not a hooker, pat Okay.
Speaker 1 (11:37):
The fairways are pretty generous at TPC Twin Cities and
it has some big greens. We're going to see a
higher than usual percentage of greens and regulations, so chipping
in bunker play scrambling won't be as important this week.
The greens are bent grass. It's fairly long course three
to the part. Three of the four par threes are
longer than two hundred yards, and all three of the
(12:00):
par fives are between five hundred and ninety and six
hundred yards. That includes the five hundred and ninety sixth
eighteenth five hundred and ninety six yard eighteenth hole. It's
a risk reward par five that plays shorter than its
length if players are willing to try a risky second
shot over a pond. Now the defending three M Open
champ as Jonathan Vegas. Johnny Vegas finished seventeen under par
(12:24):
last year to beat Max Grazerman by one shot. Lee
Hodges was a runaway winner in twenty twenty three with
a score of twenty four under par. Tony Final was
seventeen under to win in twenty twenty two, and Cameron
Champ won in twenty twenty one. He was fifteen under.
The weather forecast for the tournament, high temperatures in the
low eighties all four days chances for rain each day,
(12:44):
but no apparent danger of a washout. Light wins in
the five to ten miles per hour range throughout the tournaments.
But now that we have a pretty good sample size
on TPC twin Cities, what are some of the things
you're keying in on this week when handicapping the field.
Speaker 2 (12:57):
It really comes down to ball striking. The opposite of
the Open Championship is where you're looking at scrambling and
around the green stats pretty heavily. I'm not looking at
those at all this week. It's about off the tee prowess.
Strokes gained off the tee. Driving distances a bonus in
this tournament because of its length and the risk reward
propositions on the par fives as well as some of
(13:20):
the longer part fours. A birdier better percentage, of course,
on easier golf course like this, you gotta have guys
that a have opportunities gained at a high rate as
well as be the birdier better percentage to convert those opportunities.
So a lot of overlay there, and then this, because
of all the water hazards, you got to throw in
some bogie avoidance trying to avoid the big number below
(13:42):
up is it's kind of it's kind of killed a
couple of potential winners like Grazerman, who I bet on
last year, who probably would have won if he didn't
find some hazards, some penalty areas during his course of
the of the tournament. It's it all comes down to
making lots of birdies and avoiding that really big crooked number,
(14:03):
and then ball striking, ball striking, ball striking approach, game driving.
It's going to be really important to get from tee
to green and then a hot putter. I'm looking at
the last twenty four rounds of putting on bent grass
and that should round it out. It's a pretty straightforward
model this week. Not a lot of filtering. I just
want to make sure that we get the hottest golfers
(14:23):
playing the best golf right now, and the guys who
can convert enough berties to win this thing.
Speaker 1 (14:28):
It'll be interesting because a lot of the players with
shorter odds are big hitters who are not great in
the driving accuracy category. We'll take a look at those
odds in just a moment. Right after Bow tells you
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Speaker 1 (15:39):
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Speaker 1 (15:49):
Let's dig into the odds for the three m open.
All odds are courtesy of DraftKings. As a Monday afternoon,
Sam Burns opens as the favoritest at plus sixteen hundred.
Chris got her up was red hot and Sktlin in
Northern Ireland. In the past two weeks, he's plus eighteen hundred,
as is Maverick McNeely, Max Grazerman and Taylor Penrith are
plus twenty eight hundred. Plus thirty five hundred are Michael Thorbiornson,
(16:12):
Jay Knapp, Tony Finow, Davis Thompson or Ricky Foller. And
the big group at plus four thousand includes Akshay Batilla,
Max Homa, Kurt Kitty Yama, Keith Mitchell, Milliano, Grio, Sung
JM and Seewu Kim. Who do you like from this group?
Speaker 2 (16:27):
Oh? Right off the top? I did see Sam Burns
recently slip to eighteen to one to be the same
line as Chris Gottrup. I like Chris Gottrup's form, especially
his tee degreen game has never been in question. His
short game has really showed a resurgence, especially last two weeks.
He's won two point seven million dollars last two weeks.
Pretty solid for a trip around the links a few times.
(16:51):
I like him in eighteen to one as the outright
betting favorite. His te degreen game is really going to
play here, his distance will definitely play here, and he's
riding a hot putter. So let's let's get on the
Chris Gottrup train and ride it until the wheels fall off.
He's only what twenty four years old, He's got a
lot of future ahead of him. As far as other
(17:11):
guys in this range, I'll hone in on another guy
who's a long hitter who makes a lot of birdies,
especially in this kype of tournament. I like Michael thorpe
Jornsen but and Akhabatiya Kurk Kitdem. But these guys are
all in my model pretty highly ranked. But I'm gonna
go to Jake Napp. Jake Nap is the kind of
guy that thirty five to one the handicapped system for me.
(17:34):
I had him more of his a twenty five to
one pick in this field, and to get an extra
ten points out of the bet really sings to me.
All the other guys that I like are a little
too short for my liking based on how I handicapped it.
So I will stick with Jake Nap at thirty five
to one to round out the favorites.
Speaker 1 (17:52):
Oh, you know, I'm a Jake Nap guy. BO. He's
finished inside the top thirty in each of his last
four events, including a Big Cista, Big Siesta, including a
fourth place finish at the Rocket Classic. Napp did withdraw
from last year's three M Classic, ostensibly due to a
shoulder injury or because he was having a miserable third round.
(18:13):
Nap is a big hitter and ranks twelfth in strokes
game putting, but he does rank one hundred and sixty
first in driving accuracy.
Speaker 2 (18:22):
BO.
Speaker 1 (18:22):
That's kind of the same deal with Chris got Her
Up too. You know, got Her Up is second on
tour in driving distance, one hundred and fifty seventh in
driving accuracy. Got Her Up is like, I wonder if
there's any sort of could he be a little emotionally
spent after two weeks of you know, winning one and
contending in another, and you know, then coming back overseas.
(18:47):
I just I feel like Jake Knapp gives you a
very similar profile of player at a much better price.
Speaker 2 (18:55):
It's yeah, it's it's definitely there. I like both of them.
I'm going to bet on both of them. I'm not
going to be over my skis investing a lot of
money in any of these guys, but I have enough
guys that I really like that I'm going to kind
of buckshot approach it this week with small investments and
a lot of guys. So with the way I'm spending
my money this week, I'll take a chance on both
(19:18):
of them. But I do get your point with the
line on Nap is unbelievably good and got her up
as a favorite to eighteen to one. I'm just taking
a chance that he stays hot. He despite being not
that accurate off the tea, he still strokes gained off
the ta number eight in this field, that's actually number
six in this field, and strokes gained off the tea.
(19:38):
That's good enough for me. A twenty fifth and overall
ball striking and riding the hottest putter of his entire career.
That's where I'm going there. It's just the upside's good
and payoff for a betting favorite. It doesn't get much
better than eighteen to one.
Speaker 1 (19:51):
Yeah, the sand Burns couldn't crack the top forty in
either the Scottish Open or the Open Championship, but before
that he had finished top twenty and seven of his
previous eight events dating back to April. Burns has made
three previous appearances at the three M Open, finishing seventh,
thirty second and twelfth, and he does rank number one
in strokes gained putting. Now, Maverick McNeely played reasonably well
(20:15):
in Europe the last two weeks, twenty second in Scotland,
twenty third at Royal Port Rush. He finished third at
the three M last year. McNeely ranks inside the top
forty most strokes gained off the tee and strokes game putting.
What about Wyndham clarkbow heated up in Europe, eleventh at
the Scottish Open, then surged into fourth place at the
Open Championship with that sixty five on Sunday, But he
(20:36):
ranks one hundred and thirty eighth in driving accuracy, one
hundred and fifty seventh in strokes gained on approach.
Speaker 2 (20:42):
Not interested at all in Wyndham Clark. He's just too
spray happy. He got the benefit of some light wins
on a wide open golf course like Royal Port Rush
wasn't difficult to find the fairways. It was just kind
of like the you just only missed him if you
ran through him, like you carried the ball too far.
Wyndham Clark really fits that link style play better because
(21:04):
he plays along the ground a little bit more. I
just don't think he's accurate enough on approach for this tournament.
I think you'd be fine off the tee, but his
approach game has not been good. So I'll take a
hard pass on Wyndham Clark, especially since he's just kind
of been streaky and in the worst way where just
(21:24):
when we think he's gonna get hot, he throws out
a miscut by five shots and you'res like, Okay, happened.
What happened to Wyndham Clark? All of a sudden He
went from number six in the world to twenty in
like two week span. So I don't think I want
anything to do with that.
Speaker 1 (21:39):
Just to mention a few of these other guys. Max
Grazerman runner up at the Three of Them Open last year.
He missed the cut at the Scottish Open and the
Open Championship, but had been playing pretty well before that.
He's one hundred and forty ninth in driving accuracy, but
his driving didn't really hurt him here. Last year, Taylor
Pendrith missed the cut at the Open Championship. He'd been
playing well before that too. He was fifth at the
(22:01):
three M last year, ranks seventh and strokes gained off
the tee, but he's outside the top one hundred and
strokes gained putting. Emiliano Grio is a pretty good track
record in this event, with three top tens in his
last five appearance appearances plus a twenty fourth last year,
and really Grio's worst The worst thing about his game
is is scrambling, and that weakness is sort of negated
(22:23):
here with the big greens and high greens of regulation percentage.
And Ricky Folerball quietly finished top twenty five of his
last eight events. His best finish other than that's over
that stretch, though, was only a seventh at the Memorial.
Speaker 2 (22:37):
I will keep tabs on Taylor Pendrith. I hate his
line right now plus twenty one hundred way too short.
But if he slips, he's number three in my model.
So if Pendrith gets to thirty five to one, I'll
be interested.
Speaker 1 (22:49):
All right, Let's look at some more of the odds.
Adam Scotts plus forty five hundred, Luke Clanton, Kevin You
and Cameron Champ are plus five thousand, Alex Smalley, Matt Wallace,
Lee Hodges, Yesters Fencing, Vince Whaley and Rico Hoye are
plus fifty five hundred, and at plus six thousand our
Patrick Fishburn, Nicholas Norgard, Johnny Vegas, Jacob Bridgeman, Hatong Lee,
(23:10):
Sam Stevens and See Thagala, And at plus sixty five
hundred Alex Nora and Maddy Schmidt and Peterson Coody. What
about the mid range options.
Speaker 2 (23:19):
Bo Luke Clanton all the way number one in my
model by a long distance. Really yeah, Luke Clinton, by
far number one in my model. He is no worse
than forty ninth in any stat which happens to be
bogey avoidance. He happens to be a very aggressive player,
so not the greatest at avoiding the big number, but
forty ninth is still top half of the pack. He's
number one, and Birdie's are better. Gain number five an
(23:41):
opportunities gained, so he's given himself lots of chances and
he's converting them at an extremely high clip. Number two
in ball striking twenty fourth and putting on my model
and number four on approach. He hits all the boxes
for me. There's there's just one concern that he might
make some crooked numbers, but he's been really good at
make enough birdies to counteract that. If he could put
(24:03):
four days together rather than three, I think Luke Clinton
runs away with this. Saying fifty to one is a steal.
I kind of had to flip a coin between him
at fifty and Thorby Jornsen at forty and the tiebreaker
with Thorby. Jornsen can't make a putt lately, so I
was all over that Clinton line, getting extra bit of
value there. And then Patrick Fishburne another guy. It's just
(24:24):
a great ball striker. He's number one in strokes gained
off the tee in this field, fourth and overall ball
striking fifteenth and birdie or better percentage. Just great odds
for a player that's playing really well. And then eighty
to one. I have Kevin Roy because he's got all
the upside in the world. He's playing a little bit
shaky on the link style, but when it comes to
(24:46):
playing on bent grass, Kevin Roy's got some upside to burn.
Speaker 1 (24:51):
Yeah, interesting, you might be talking me in to Clinton
hasn't really gotten it going yet, but like you said,
there have been moments and he just can't seem to
string four rounce together in a tournament. So maybe this
is the week. Adam Scott at plus forty five hundred
seems like a bargain. We're getting a big name at
relatively long odds. But if this event is going to
(25:11):
be largely a putting contest, and maybe it does turn
into that, do we want to back Adam Scott in
a putting contest?
Speaker 3 (25:17):
I don't.
Speaker 2 (25:19):
Yeah.
Speaker 1 (25:20):
Cam Champ is a pretty strong history at the three M.
He won this event in twenty twenty one. In the
two three am appearances since, he's finished sixteenth and twelve
Before missing the cut at the Barracuda last week, Champ
had finished top twenty and three of his previous four events,
so he's going to keep an eye on Nora cal
hatong Lee is kind of interesting after the strong showing
(25:40):
at the Open, but it seemed like he was barely
in control of his driver and Hatungley hits everything left
to right bo like that is kind of a scary
proposition on a course that has so much water on
the right side of holes.
Speaker 2 (25:54):
Yeah, yeah, it's a great story though.
Speaker 1 (25:57):
It is. And Johnny Vegas not only did he win
here last year, he also finished second here in twenty
twenty one. Maybe driving accuracy isn't that big a deal here.
Johnny Vegas was one hundred and twenty eighth in that
category last year. He's one hundred and fifty sixth this year.
All right, let's talk long shots, bo, who do you
like at odds of seventy to one or longer?
Speaker 2 (26:18):
I jumped the gun a little bit with eighty to
one on Kevin Roy. But I do like Hayden Springer
again this week. He finished top ten at the Barracuda.
But Springer just a really solid golfer one hundred and
ten to one, just an overall solid player, doesn't really
have any weak spots. Chan Kim is playing really well
right now. He's at one hundred and seventy to one,
(26:39):
and I'll take another norcou guy at two hundred to one.
I actually got to chat with him at the barracudah
on Saturday. Isaiah Selinda talk about a birdie making machine
that kid can make him in bunches. He hits the
snot out of the ball. Yeah, Selinda is a kind
of a fun five dollars bet to throw down two
hundred to one win a thousand bucks off a five
(27:02):
dollars bet. He's already won us money at the Zurich
this year, next to Kevin Vello. I just like him
a lot. He's He's such a fun guy to have
on tour, and I'll keep betting on him because that's
just that's good. It's incentive to watch more.
Speaker 1 (27:17):
All right, I'll throw out three long shots at various
price points at seventy to one. Andrew Putnam, He's done
well in some recent events with lesser fields. Eighth at
the Rocket Classic, eleventh at the Barracuda. He was also
sixth that the Canadian opened, so he can go against
some stronger fields. He's finished eleventh and nineteenth in his
last two to three m appearances. One of the shortest
(27:38):
hitters on tour, but Putnam does rank fourth and driving
accuracy in fifteenth at Strokes Gained Potting Thriston Lawrence bo
the South African, pretty good driver of the ball, and.
Speaker 2 (27:48):
He's almost made my card. He almost.
Speaker 1 (27:50):
Yeah, he's had some good showings in America this year,
twelfth at the US Open, eighth at the Rocket Classic,
and I'll throw in one deep sleeper Englishman David Skins
at two hundred to one. Skins was fourth at the
ESCO Championship two weeks ago, eighth at the Barracouda this
past week, and he finished twenty fourth at the three
M Open last year. All right, bo let's compare early
(28:11):
betting cards. Who do you have on yours?
Speaker 2 (28:13):
So I got a lot of small ones here at
Chris gottr Up at eighteen to one, Jake Napp thirty
five to one, Michael Thorbjorn sent at forty to one.
If I can get him a little longer, I'm still
I haven't put a lot on him yet. Luke Clinton's
getting the full ladder at fifty to one, Patrick Fishburn
sixty to one, Kevin Roy eighty to one, Hayden Springer
one hundred and ten to one, Chan Kim one hundred
(28:34):
and seventy to one, and finally Isaiah Selinda two hundred
to one.
Speaker 1 (28:39):
I'm keeping my card relatively light for now. You've almost
got me talked into Luke Clinton, But for now it's
Jake Napp at thirty five to one, emiliano'grio at forty
to one horse for a course, I kind of like
Grio This week, Thriston Lawrence at one hundred and twenty
to one, and David Skins for probably two dollars at
two hundred to one. Now for our one and done picks,
(28:59):
I took Tyrrel Hatton last week. He felled on the
leaderboard on Sunday, finished tied for sixteenth, earning me one
thy eight hundred excuse me, one hundred and eighty five thousand,
two hundred and fifty seven dollars. Bo took Rory McElroy.
He tied for seventh, good for four hundred and fifty one,
eight hundred and thirty three dollars. Bow UPS's lead on
me to about eight hundred and fifty thousand dollars, and
(29:21):
we only have a few weeks left. Since we're not
including the Tour Championship in our competition, I'm up first
this week. Bo. I have some concerns that he might
be out of gas after the two great weeks in Europe,
but I do have to go with the blazing hot
Chris Godder up. Who are you taking?
Speaker 2 (29:38):
That's who I was gonna pick. Let's see. I want
to make sure I haven't used him. I used him.
I used him. Man, this isrough. He I burned through
all my good guys. This is not great.
Speaker 1 (29:55):
I still have Jake Nap in the bag. If you
want a double down.
Speaker 2 (29:59):
Yeah, let's do it. Jake Nap all right, nagaham or
fishburn and I don't think I want to do that.
Speaker 1 (30:06):
Jake Nap for bo and Chris Godder up for me.
That's all for this week's Betting PROSPGA podcast. Please join
us again next week when we'll be previewing the final
tournament before the FEDECS Cup playoffs, the wind Them Championship.
Until then, so long everyone.
Speaker 3 (30:20):
Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you
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channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros
Welcome to the Betting Pros PGA Podcast. I'm Pat Fitzmorris
along with Bau mcbrair. We've got a betting preview of
the three m Open on tap for today. It's the
second last event on the PGA Tour calendar before the
FedEx Cup playoffs. But first let's quickly touch on the
final major of the year, the Open Championship. Scotti Scheffler
(00:21):
is your champion Golfer of the year. He wins the
opening a runaway at royal Port Rush. Scotty opened with
a sixty eight on Thursday and was one shot behind
the pack. He grabbed the thirty six hole lead with
a sterling round of sixty four on Friday. He stretched
that lead to four with the sixty seven on Saturday.
Then he birdied three of his first five holes on
Sunday to effectively grab the claret jug with both hands.
(00:43):
Scotty's only hiccup on Sunday was a double bogie in
the eighth hole when he had some trouble with a
fairway bunker, but by then his cushion was so big
that not even a crooked number could introduce some drama
to the proceedings. Harris English finishes second, four shots back
Chris Goderup, who had won the Scottish Open a week earlier.
He finished solo third at royal Port Rush, Hot tong Lee,
(01:05):
Matt Fitzpatrick and Wyndham Clark tie for fourth, and twenty
twenty four Open champion Xander Schoffley and favorite son of
Northern Ireland Rory McElroy finishing a tie for seventh after
acquitting themselvesselves pretty well all week. Bow Your takeaways from
Scotti Scheffler's first Open championship victory, Well.
Speaker 2 (01:25):
We can't call it flawless, but it was as close
to flawless as you're going to get for an Open championship.
The scoring was pretty favorable. That Royal Port Rush is
just a really tough golf course, so even with premium
scoring conditions, it wasn't that easy unless your name was
Scotti Scheffler. Uh, he's just so good. He's he's a machine,
and that's from tee to green. You expect him to
(01:47):
be the best in the field. But last the week
before last at Scottish he was one hundred and eighteenth
in strokes gain putting. He finished number one in total
putts and number two in strokes game put in the
whole field at the at the Open Championship, if Scotty's
in the top five of putting, nobody has any chance.
Speaker 1 (02:07):
Period.
Speaker 2 (02:08):
That's just it. Like, even if Scotty's in the top forty,
he's probably gonna win if he's putting well enough to
be in the top forty, if he's putting number one
or number two in the field, it's a it's a
shock that he only won by four. Honestly, that's that's
how good he is. From Teita Green and we thought
for sure that he couldn't read the greens as well
(02:28):
as other stateside greens. But he figured something out. And
if if happy he learned how to putt, it's no
stopping him. Scotty Scheffler might not celebrate his win too long,
but he's he's gonna celebrate, And I mean, it's just
it was fun to watch. He's a lot of people
call him boring. I think it's the opposite. We're watching greatness,
(02:51):
and anytime we're witnessing greatness, I have to pinch myself
because I get so excited to watch just how pristy
his game is. From every club in the bag, his
mental game is insanely strong. This guy is just he's
an all time great already and it's a privilege to
watch that unfold at the Open Championship.
Speaker 1 (03:14):
Yes, Scotty, he wasn't great on the tee all week.
He caught some good breaks. There were a couple of
times where balls could have gone into the thick stuff
and bounced and stayed up in the light stuff. But man,
the distance control on his irons and wedges, the scrambling,
I mean, the gamer on the green and like you said, bo,
I mean he I know he was vexed by the
(03:36):
faescue greens at the Scottish Open. Not so much a
royal port rush. He was dialed in. It was a
sight to behold. Do we think it might have been
closer if we had gotten some more Scottish weather because
it looked like San Diego out there on the weekend.
Speaker 2 (03:51):
Yeah, And that's kind of what surprised me is that
Scotty Scheffler dominates when the weather is good, and I
think is his game strategy hasn't really played out for
Scottish weather or Northern Irish weather. The Open Championship is
usually marked by great scoring conditions when the weather's perfect
(04:13):
and then unplayable conditions darn near when the weather's it's
just when the wind is up. And Royal Port Rush
is a brutally difficult golf course when the wind is up.
We just didn't get any wind, and so Scotti Scheffler's
high ball flight. He's good at flighting it down, but
his real strength is when he's just better than everybody
else at gauging distance and hitting the center of the
(04:33):
club face with his irons, and there's really no extra
calculus to it when there's no wind to factor in.
Where you might see a Tommy Fleetwood or Rory McIlroy
or Harry Hall kind of kick it into gear. Those
are the Shane Lowry's of the world. Those guys need
inclement weather to kind of equalize the field. Against Scotti Scheffler,
(04:54):
we didn't get that, and honestly, it was his off
the tea game that made it a mercy kept it
from being a mercy. Rule Like the two thousand Open
Championship when Tiger blitz the field with nineteen under, it
reminded me of that. It was not quite as dominant,
but it was more of like, okay, if the wind
doesn't pick up. Nobody's got a chance to even catch him.
(05:14):
And even how tong Lee was just like, I'm playing
for second place here, I'm being realistic and that's refreshing
to hear that you really did. He didn't know that
he wasn't going to have a chance, but he also
figured chances are Scotty's not going to beat himself.
Speaker 1 (05:30):
Yeah, definitely not. And what a change in weather at
Royal Port Rush from twenty nineteen one of the saggiest
Open championships in history probably to you know, sun and
looked like they were in Fiji or something for much
of that tournament. But before we move on, Scotty's performance
sort of rekindled the Scotty versus Tiger debate. We touched
(05:53):
on that earlier this year. Briefly, where do you think
Scotty stands visa v. Tiger in terms of all time
golf greatness?
Speaker 2 (06:02):
I don't think he could attain what Tiger attained. Tiger
completely reinvented the game of golf. Tiger saved the game
of golf in the mid nineties. It went from a
very much a fourth or fifth level sport on TV
to must see TV in the majors and anytime he
teed it up. So the level of greatness is probably comparable,
(06:24):
especially since Scotty's doing this against stronger competition on tougher
golf courses than Tiger did. At the same time, what
Tiger did for the sport as greatness, I count that in.
And I don't think Scotty has the personality or the
want to to be a Tiger Woods, and that's fine.
I just I want to say the game is on
(06:45):
par with Tiger, but what he's doing to invigorate the
entire sport, it's just not there because it's it's not
that he wants to be there, and there's so many
other talented players that can carry that torch for Scotty,
and Scotty can just go out and keep winning tournaments
and be ho hum family guy. That's his place in
the sport. And I don't fault him for it. I
(07:07):
just don't think that we need to be putting those
two side by side, because if you're saying vis a
vis Tiger is not reachable, He's He's a seven hundred
yard par five into the wind. He's not reachable for anybody,
that's just not going to happen. And I don't think
Scotty is interested in reaching Tiger status, and Tiger's still Tiger. Like,
(07:28):
if Tiger showed up to a healthy to a tournament tomorrow,
we'd be talking all about him and not about Scotty.
What does that tell you at fifteen?
Speaker 1 (07:37):
Yeah, it does remind me sort of the Jordan Lebron debates.
And you know, a lot of the people who bring
it up and people who sort of think that Scotty
is on par with Tiger were maybe, yeah, people from
the younger generation who weren't around for the best of Tiger.
And yeah, like to me, Jordan was the competitive fires
(07:58):
burn brighter in him than an any other NBA player ever.
And I think he could say the same of Tiger Woods.
And there were times when we saw it wasn't necessarily
the best players of Tiger's arab besides Tiger who gave
him the best battles. I mean, he got his best
fights from some unexpected people Rock Omediate, Bob May, Chris DeMarco.
(08:20):
But like, those guys were playing the best they had
ever played in their lives, and like it took a
heroic effort from Tiger to beat those guys, and he
still managed to beat all those guys when they brought
their finest.
Speaker 2 (08:34):
I don't think this is quite the lightning rod of
topic like Lebron and MJ. Because where I see Lebron
is certainly an all time great. I see him as
the catalyst for that debate because he came into the
league as a high school graduate straight in wearing number
twenty three. Wanted to be like MJ. He wanted to
(08:56):
be Air Jordan. He wanted to be the next Air Jordan,
and he shot for the moon and for a lot
of people he reached that status. He read he reinvented
the game of basketball like MJ did in his era.
So I think that those two are a lot closer
than Scotty trying to reach a level of notoriety and
all that that Tiger reached through complete dominance. Like Scotty's
(09:20):
winning tournaments and he's winning majors. But it's only been
three four years and Tiger did this for a decade
and a half straight. Yeah, So yeah, if Scotty wants
to be the legend of Tiger, he's going to keep
up this pace for another decade straight. Good luck. I
hope you do it. I don't know if he actually
wants to, though, you might be riding off into the
(09:41):
sunset long before that.
Speaker 1 (09:43):
Great point, all right, closing the book on the Open Championship.
And by the way, Ryan Girard won last week's Barracuda
Championship here in the state. It's a nice win for
the twenty five year old Girard. Now we're on to
the three M Open. We'll get to it and the
betting preview in just a moment, but first.
Speaker 2 (10:00):
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Speaker 1 (10:32):
So after two weeks of links golf in Northern Europe,
we are back in the US for more familiar Parkland golf.
The top players are sitting this one out in Minnesota,
but it's a reasonably deep field for the threem Open,
and we're going to see a lot of the mid
level PGA tour pros teeing it up this week to
better position themselves for the FedEx Cup playoffs. The three
(10:53):
im Open will be played at TPC Twin Cities in Blaine, Minnesota.
It's a par seventy one that will play at seven
four hundred and thirty one yards. The course was designed
by Arnold Palmer with input from Native Minnesota Tom Layman.
TPC Twin Cities certainly isn't a difficult course by tour standards,
but it's not without danger. There's water water everywhere, not
(11:15):
a drop to drink. Water comes into play on fifteen
holes at TPC Twin Cities. A lot of those water
hazards will threaten players t shots and a lot of
those water hazards run down the right side of holes.
Slicers beware lefty hook or lefty hookers. That's right, don't
want to leave out my left time.
Speaker 2 (11:34):
I'm not a hooker, pat Okay.
Speaker 1 (11:37):
The fairways are pretty generous at TPC Twin Cities and
it has some big greens. We're going to see a
higher than usual percentage of greens and regulations, so chipping
in bunker play scrambling won't be as important this week.
The greens are bent grass. It's fairly long course three
to the part. Three of the four par threes are
longer than two hundred yards, and all three of the
(12:00):
par fives are between five hundred and ninety and six
hundred yards. That includes the five hundred and ninety sixth
eighteenth five hundred and ninety six yard eighteenth hole. It's
a risk reward par five that plays shorter than its
length if players are willing to try a risky second
shot over a pond. Now the defending three M Open
champ as Jonathan Vegas. Johnny Vegas finished seventeen under par
(12:24):
last year to beat Max Grazerman by one shot. Lee
Hodges was a runaway winner in twenty twenty three with
a score of twenty four under par. Tony Final was
seventeen under to win in twenty twenty two, and Cameron
Champ won in twenty twenty one. He was fifteen under.
The weather forecast for the tournament, high temperatures in the
low eighties all four days chances for rain each day,
(12:44):
but no apparent danger of a washout. Light wins in
the five to ten miles per hour range throughout the tournaments.
But now that we have a pretty good sample size
on TPC twin Cities, what are some of the things
you're keying in on this week when handicapping the field.
Speaker 2 (12:57):
It really comes down to ball striking. The opposite of
the Open Championship is where you're looking at scrambling and
around the green stats pretty heavily. I'm not looking at
those at all this week. It's about off the tee prowess.
Strokes gained off the tee. Driving distances a bonus in
this tournament because of its length and the risk reward
propositions on the par fives as well as some of
(13:20):
the longer part fours. A birdier better percentage, of course,
on easier golf course like this, you gotta have guys
that a have opportunities gained at a high rate as
well as be the birdier better percentage to convert those opportunities.
So a lot of overlay there, and then this, because
of all the water hazards, you got to throw in
some bogie avoidance trying to avoid the big number below
(13:42):
up is it's kind of it's kind of killed a
couple of potential winners like Grazerman, who I bet on
last year, who probably would have won if he didn't
find some hazards, some penalty areas during his course of
the of the tournament. It's it all comes down to
making lots of birdies and avoiding that really big crooked number,
(14:03):
and then ball striking, ball striking, ball striking approach, game driving.
It's going to be really important to get from tee
to green and then a hot putter. I'm looking at
the last twenty four rounds of putting on bent grass
and that should round it out. It's a pretty straightforward
model this week. Not a lot of filtering. I just
want to make sure that we get the hottest golfers
(14:23):
playing the best golf right now, and the guys who
can convert enough berties to win this thing.
Speaker 1 (14:28):
It'll be interesting because a lot of the players with
shorter odds are big hitters who are not great in
the driving accuracy category. We'll take a look at those
odds in just a moment. Right after Bow tells you
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Speaker 1 (15:39):
And in otherwise too almost talk about.
Speaker 2 (15:40):
Almost it's not just the Novig stuff. But he does win,
so I guess it balances out. That's right.
Speaker 1 (15:49):
Let's dig into the odds for the three m open.
All odds are courtesy of DraftKings. As a Monday afternoon,
Sam Burns opens as the favoritest at plus sixteen hundred.
Chris got her up was red hot and Sktlin in
Northern Ireland. In the past two weeks, he's plus eighteen hundred,
as is Maverick McNeely, Max Grazerman and Taylor Penrith are
plus twenty eight hundred. Plus thirty five hundred are Michael Thorbiornson,
(16:12):
Jay Knapp, Tony Finow, Davis Thompson or Ricky Foller. And
the big group at plus four thousand includes Akshay Batilla,
Max Homa, Kurt Kitty Yama, Keith Mitchell, Milliano, Grio, Sung
JM and Seewu Kim. Who do you like from this group?
Speaker 2 (16:27):
Oh? Right off the top? I did see Sam Burns
recently slip to eighteen to one to be the same
line as Chris Gottrup. I like Chris Gottrup's form, especially
his tee degreen game has never been in question. His
short game has really showed a resurgence, especially last two weeks.
He's won two point seven million dollars last two weeks.
Pretty solid for a trip around the links a few times.
(16:51):
I like him in eighteen to one as the outright
betting favorite. His te degreen game is really going to
play here, his distance will definitely play here, and he's
riding a hot putter. So let's let's get on the
Chris Gottrup train and ride it until the wheels fall off.
He's only what twenty four years old, He's got a
lot of future ahead of him. As far as other
(17:11):
guys in this range, I'll hone in on another guy
who's a long hitter who makes a lot of birdies,
especially in this kype of tournament. I like Michael thorpe
Jornsen but and Akhabatiya Kurk Kitdem. But these guys are
all in my model pretty highly ranked. But I'm gonna
go to Jake Napp. Jake Nap is the kind of
guy that thirty five to one the handicapped system for me.
(17:34):
I had him more of his a twenty five to
one pick in this field, and to get an extra
ten points out of the bet really sings to me.
All the other guys that I like are a little
too short for my liking based on how I handicapped it.
So I will stick with Jake Nap at thirty five
to one to round out the favorites.
Speaker 1 (17:52):
Oh, you know, I'm a Jake Nap guy. BO. He's
finished inside the top thirty in each of his last
four events, including a Big Cista, Big Siesta, including a
fourth place finish at the Rocket Classic. Napp did withdraw
from last year's three M Classic, ostensibly due to a
shoulder injury or because he was having a miserable third round.
(18:13):
Nap is a big hitter and ranks twelfth in strokes
game putting, but he does rank one hundred and sixty
first in driving accuracy.
Speaker 2 (18:22):
BO.
Speaker 1 (18:22):
That's kind of the same deal with Chris got Her
Up too. You know, got Her Up is second on
tour in driving distance, one hundred and fifty seventh in
driving accuracy. Got Her Up is like, I wonder if
there's any sort of could he be a little emotionally
spent after two weeks of you know, winning one and
contending in another, and you know, then coming back overseas.
(18:47):
I just I feel like Jake Knapp gives you a
very similar profile of player at a much better price.
Speaker 2 (18:55):
It's yeah, it's it's definitely there. I like both of them.
I'm going to bet on both of them. I'm not
going to be over my skis investing a lot of
money in any of these guys, but I have enough
guys that I really like that I'm going to kind
of buckshot approach it this week with small investments and
a lot of guys. So with the way I'm spending
my money this week, I'll take a chance on both
(19:18):
of them. But I do get your point with the
line on Nap is unbelievably good and got her up
as a favorite to eighteen to one. I'm just taking
a chance that he stays hot. He despite being not
that accurate off the tea, he still strokes gained off
the ta number eight in this field, that's actually number
six in this field, and strokes gained off the tea.
(19:38):
That's good enough for me. A twenty fifth and overall
ball striking and riding the hottest putter of his entire career.
That's where I'm going there. It's just the upside's good
and payoff for a betting favorite. It doesn't get much
better than eighteen to one.
Speaker 1 (19:51):
Yeah, the sand Burns couldn't crack the top forty in
either the Scottish Open or the Open Championship, but before
that he had finished top twenty and seven of his
previous eight events dating back to April. Burns has made
three previous appearances at the three M Open, finishing seventh,
thirty second and twelfth, and he does rank number one
in strokes gained putting. Now, Maverick McNeely played reasonably well
(20:15):
in Europe the last two weeks, twenty second in Scotland,
twenty third at Royal Port Rush. He finished third at
the three M last year. McNeely ranks inside the top
forty most strokes gained off the tee and strokes game putting.
What about Wyndham clarkbow heated up in Europe, eleventh at
the Scottish Open, then surged into fourth place at the
Open Championship with that sixty five on Sunday, But he
(20:36):
ranks one hundred and thirty eighth in driving accuracy, one
hundred and fifty seventh in strokes gained on approach.
Speaker 2 (20:42):
Not interested at all in Wyndham Clark. He's just too
spray happy. He got the benefit of some light wins
on a wide open golf course like Royal Port Rush
wasn't difficult to find the fairways. It was just kind
of like the you just only missed him if you
ran through him, like you carried the ball too far.
Wyndham Clark really fits that link style play better because
(21:04):
he plays along the ground a little bit more. I
just don't think he's accurate enough on approach for this tournament.
I think you'd be fine off the tee, but his
approach game has not been good. So I'll take a
hard pass on Wyndham Clark, especially since he's just kind
of been streaky and in the worst way where just
(21:24):
when we think he's gonna get hot, he throws out
a miscut by five shots and you'res like, Okay, happened.
What happened to Wyndham Clark? All of a sudden He
went from number six in the world to twenty in
like two week span. So I don't think I want
anything to do with that.
Speaker 1 (21:39):
Just to mention a few of these other guys. Max
Grazerman runner up at the Three of Them Open last year.
He missed the cut at the Scottish Open and the
Open Championship, but had been playing pretty well before that.
He's one hundred and forty ninth in driving accuracy, but
his driving didn't really hurt him here. Last year, Taylor
Pendrith missed the cut at the Open Championship. He'd been
playing well before that too. He was fifth at the
(22:01):
three M last year, ranks seventh and strokes gained off
the tee, but he's outside the top one hundred and
strokes gained putting. Emiliano Grio is a pretty good track
record in this event, with three top tens in his
last five appearance appearances plus a twenty fourth last year,
and really Grio's worst The worst thing about his game
is is scrambling, and that weakness is sort of negated
(22:23):
here with the big greens and high greens of regulation percentage.
And Ricky Folerball quietly finished top twenty five of his
last eight events. His best finish other than that's over
that stretch, though, was only a seventh at the Memorial.
Speaker 2 (22:37):
I will keep tabs on Taylor Pendrith. I hate his
line right now plus twenty one hundred way too short.
But if he slips, he's number three in my model.
So if Pendrith gets to thirty five to one, I'll
be interested.
Speaker 1 (22:49):
All right, Let's look at some more of the odds.
Adam Scotts plus forty five hundred, Luke Clanton, Kevin You
and Cameron Champ are plus five thousand, Alex Smalley, Matt Wallace,
Lee Hodges, Yesters Fencing, Vince Whaley and Rico Hoye are
plus fifty five hundred, and at plus six thousand our
Patrick Fishburn, Nicholas Norgard, Johnny Vegas, Jacob Bridgeman, Hatong Lee,
(23:10):
Sam Stevens and See Thagala, And at plus sixty five
hundred Alex Nora and Maddy Schmidt and Peterson Coody. What
about the mid range options.
Speaker 2 (23:19):
Bo Luke Clanton all the way number one in my
model by a long distance. Really yeah, Luke Clinton, by
far number one in my model. He is no worse
than forty ninth in any stat which happens to be
bogey avoidance. He happens to be a very aggressive player,
so not the greatest at avoiding the big number, but
forty ninth is still top half of the pack. He's
number one, and Birdie's are better. Gain number five an
(23:41):
opportunities gained, so he's given himself lots of chances and
he's converting them at an extremely high clip. Number two
in ball striking twenty fourth and putting on my model
and number four on approach. He hits all the boxes
for me. There's there's just one concern that he might
make some crooked numbers, but he's been really good at
make enough birdies to counteract that. If he could put
(24:03):
four days together rather than three, I think Luke Clinton
runs away with this. Saying fifty to one is a steal.
I kind of had to flip a coin between him
at fifty and Thorby Jornsen at forty and the tiebreaker
with Thorby. Jornsen can't make a putt lately, so I
was all over that Clinton line, getting extra bit of
value there. And then Patrick Fishburne another guy. It's just
(24:24):
a great ball striker. He's number one in strokes gained
off the tee in this field, fourth and overall ball
striking fifteenth and birdie or better percentage. Just great odds
for a player that's playing really well. And then eighty
to one. I have Kevin Roy because he's got all
the upside in the world. He's playing a little bit
shaky on the link style, but when it comes to
(24:46):
playing on bent grass, Kevin Roy's got some upside to burn.
Speaker 1 (24:51):
Yeah, interesting, you might be talking me in to Clinton
hasn't really gotten it going yet, but like you said,
there have been moments and he just can't seem to
string four rounce together in a tournament. So maybe this
is the week. Adam Scott at plus forty five hundred
seems like a bargain. We're getting a big name at
relatively long odds. But if this event is going to
(25:11):
be largely a putting contest, and maybe it does turn
into that, do we want to back Adam Scott in
a putting contest?
Speaker 3 (25:17):
I don't.
Speaker 2 (25:19):
Yeah.
Speaker 1 (25:20):
Cam Champ is a pretty strong history at the three M.
He won this event in twenty twenty one. In the
two three am appearances since, he's finished sixteenth and twelve
Before missing the cut at the Barracuda last week, Champ
had finished top twenty and three of his previous four events,
so he's going to keep an eye on Nora cal
hatong Lee is kind of interesting after the strong showing
(25:40):
at the Open, but it seemed like he was barely
in control of his driver and Hatungley hits everything left
to right bo like that is kind of a scary
proposition on a course that has so much water on
the right side of holes.
Speaker 2 (25:54):
Yeah, yeah, it's a great story though.
Speaker 1 (25:57):
It is. And Johnny Vegas not only did he win
here last year, he also finished second here in twenty
twenty one. Maybe driving accuracy isn't that big a deal here.
Johnny Vegas was one hundred and twenty eighth in that
category last year. He's one hundred and fifty sixth this year.
All right, let's talk long shots, bo, who do you
like at odds of seventy to one or longer?
Speaker 2 (26:18):
I jumped the gun a little bit with eighty to
one on Kevin Roy. But I do like Hayden Springer
again this week. He finished top ten at the Barracuda.
But Springer just a really solid golfer one hundred and
ten to one, just an overall solid player, doesn't really
have any weak spots. Chan Kim is playing really well
right now. He's at one hundred and seventy to one,
(26:39):
and I'll take another norcou guy at two hundred to one.
I actually got to chat with him at the barracudah
on Saturday. Isaiah Selinda talk about a birdie making machine
that kid can make him in bunches. He hits the
snot out of the ball. Yeah, Selinda is a kind
of a fun five dollars bet to throw down two
hundred to one win a thousand bucks off a five
(27:02):
dollars bet. He's already won us money at the Zurich
this year, next to Kevin Vello. I just like him
a lot. He's He's such a fun guy to have
on tour, and I'll keep betting on him because that's
just that's good. It's incentive to watch more.
Speaker 1 (27:17):
All right, I'll throw out three long shots at various
price points at seventy to one. Andrew Putnam, He's done
well in some recent events with lesser fields. Eighth at
the Rocket Classic, eleventh at the Barracuda. He was also
sixth that the Canadian opened, so he can go against
some stronger fields. He's finished eleventh and nineteenth in his
last two to three m appearances. One of the shortest
(27:38):
hitters on tour, but Putnam does rank fourth and driving
accuracy in fifteenth at Strokes Gained Potting Thriston Lawrence bo
the South African, pretty good driver of the ball, and.
Speaker 2 (27:48):
He's almost made my card. He almost.
Speaker 1 (27:50):
Yeah, he's had some good showings in America this year,
twelfth at the US Open, eighth at the Rocket Classic,
and I'll throw in one deep sleeper Englishman David Skins
at two hundred to one. Skins was fourth at the
ESCO Championship two weeks ago, eighth at the Barracouda this
past week, and he finished twenty fourth at the three
M Open last year. All right, bo let's compare early
(28:11):
betting cards. Who do you have on yours?
Speaker 2 (28:13):
So I got a lot of small ones here at
Chris gottr Up at eighteen to one, Jake Napp thirty
five to one, Michael Thorbjorn sent at forty to one.
If I can get him a little longer, I'm still
I haven't put a lot on him yet. Luke Clinton's
getting the full ladder at fifty to one, Patrick Fishburn
sixty to one, Kevin Roy eighty to one, Hayden Springer
one hundred and ten to one, Chan Kim one hundred
(28:34):
and seventy to one, and finally Isaiah Selinda two hundred
to one.
Speaker 1 (28:39):
I'm keeping my card relatively light for now. You've almost
got me talked into Luke Clinton, But for now it's
Jake Napp at thirty five to one, emiliano'grio at forty
to one horse for a course, I kind of like
Grio This week, Thriston Lawrence at one hundred and twenty
to one, and David Skins for probably two dollars at
two hundred to one. Now for our one and done picks,
(28:59):
I took Tyrrel Hatton last week. He felled on the
leaderboard on Sunday, finished tied for sixteenth, earning me one
thy eight hundred excuse me, one hundred and eighty five thousand,
two hundred and fifty seven dollars. Bo took Rory McElroy.
He tied for seventh, good for four hundred and fifty one,
eight hundred and thirty three dollars. Bow UPS's lead on
me to about eight hundred and fifty thousand dollars, and
(29:21):
we only have a few weeks left. Since we're not
including the Tour Championship in our competition, I'm up first
this week. Bo. I have some concerns that he might
be out of gas after the two great weeks in Europe,
but I do have to go with the blazing hot
Chris Godder up. Who are you taking?
Speaker 2 (29:38):
That's who I was gonna pick. Let's see. I want
to make sure I haven't used him. I used him.
I used him. Man, this isrough. He I burned through
all my good guys. This is not great.
Speaker 1 (29:55):
I still have Jake Nap in the bag. If you
want a double down.
Speaker 2 (29:59):
Yeah, let's do it. Jake Nap all right, nagaham or
fishburn and I don't think I want to do that.
Speaker 1 (30:06):
Jake Nap for bo and Chris Godder up for me.
That's all for this week's Betting PROSPGA podcast. Please join
us again next week when we'll be previewing the final
tournament before the FEDECS Cup playoffs, the wind Them Championship.
Until then, so long everyone.
Speaker 3 (30:20):
Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you
love the show, the best freeway to support us is
by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify.
Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and
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