May 20, 2025 • 30 mins
Pat Fitzmaurice and Bo McBrayer recap the PGA Championship before exploring the top betting strategies for the Charles Schwab Challenge!
We dive into the betting odds, analyze the favorites and long shots, and reveal our top betting card selections. Plus, we reveal our one-and-done picks to help you maximize your winnings for the PGA season!
Intro - 0:00:00
PGA Championship Review - 0:30:00
BettingPros App - 0:06:45
Charles Schwab Championship Preview - 0:07:15
Bet365 - 0:12:40
Betting Favorites - 0:13:22
Mid-Range Odds - 0:21:10
Long-Range Shots - 0:25:11
Our Betting Cards - 0:27:32
One & Done Picks - 0:28:41
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Transcript
Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:01):
Welcome to the Betting Pros PGA Podcast. I'm Pat fitz
Morris here with my buddy Bo mcbrair. Scotty Scheffler wins
the PGA Championship and now he's an overwhelming favorite at
this week's Charles Schwap Challenge in Fort Worth, Texas. It's
a home game for Scotty, who lives in nearby Dallas
bow and I will give you a full betting preview
of the Charles Schwab Challenge. We'll talk about the course,
(00:22):
the field, the odds, We'll tell you who we're betting,
and we will make our weekly one and done picks
at the end of the show. But let's start with
a quick recap of the PGA. Scotty was eleven under
par over four rounds at Quail Hollow in Charlotte, North Carolina.
His margin of victory wound up being five shots, which
made it seem like an easy victory, but Scotty and
John Ram were tied for the lead at nine under
(00:44):
par as Scotty finished up this front nine on Sunday,
but then Scotty stopped the accelerator, carding Birdie's on the tenth,
fourteenth and fifteenth holes. And Rom ran into trouble on
the so called Green Mile, Quail Hollow's difficult three hole finishing.
Rom lipped out a par put on number sixteen, then
found the water on the par three seventeenth and made
(01:05):
double bogie. His title hopes were pretty much dashed at
that point, and his double bogie in the eighteenth was
just salt in the wound. Scotty shot in even par
seventy one for his final round, a good number given
the difficult scoring conditions. But Scotty really set himself up
for the wind with a spectacular finishing stretch on Sunday.
He was five under par over his last five holes
(01:28):
excuse me on Saturday, five hundred power over his last five.
Scotty drove the green on the par four fourteenth hole
and knocked in a three foot putt for eagle, thenny
berdie the fifteenth, seventeenth and eighteenth. That gave him a
three shot lead over Alex Norn going into the final round,
and Scotty caught some good breaks along the way. He
was using a replacement driver all week after his usual
(01:51):
driver was deemed non conforming. Rory McElroy had the same
thing happened to him, and Scotty missed some fairways with
that replacement driver. He got lucky with one of his
misses on Sunday, he pulled his t shot on number
two way left. It hit a card path and took
a big balance. It actually set Scotty up with a
clear look at the green and an easy little wed
shot in He burdied the hole. Not that there was
(02:14):
anything lucky about Scotty's win, but it makes it that
much harder on the field when the best player in
the world is getting some occasional breaks. Yeah. Scotty gets
his third major before his twenty ninth birthday next month.
His other two wins and majors were at the Masters.
He'll try to get his first US Open win in
his first Open Championship win this summer. Bryson, d Chambeau,
(02:38):
Harris English and Davis Riley finished in a three way
tie for second at six under par. Tough week for
a lot of the big guns. Rory McElroy, who had
such a good track record at Quayle Hollow, He finished
plus three tied for forty seventh. Defending PGA champs Ander
Schoffley finished one under tied for twenty eighth Ludwig Oberg, Justin,
Thomas Brooks, Koepka, Hideki Matzi, I all missed the cot
(03:01):
bo I. I thought Quail Hollow was a good venue
for the PGA. It was tough but fair. Charlotte got
a lot of rain early in the week. We thought
I was going to play long, maybe soft, but the
greens were still nice and firm for most of the tournament.
This was decidedly not a birdie fest. What were your
takeaways from Scotty's winningt Quail Hollow.
Speaker 2 (03:20):
It's business as usual for old Scotty Scheffler. It seems like, oh, well,
we had a lot of excuses why Rory was gonna
be the favorite, Why why Scotty might not be the
best fit for this golf course. Well, it turns out
Scotty's a good fit for any golf course he shows
up at as long as he stays out of jail. This,
uh it kind of it kind of just looked like
he was in a zone and and where anytime anytime
(03:44):
people tell me, oh, he's like Tim Duncan, he's really boring,
but the fundamentals are there and he's so solid even
though he's boring. I was like, are you watching the
same game I am, because this is one of the
best ball strikers I've ever seen in my life, and
I'm enthralled every time I watch him play golf like
it breaks bad breaks. Scotti Scheffler is even keel, but
(04:04):
even he has I've seen him snap clubs over his
bag and frustration. I've seen him spike his hat when
he wins the PGA Championship and let off an explictivef Yeah.
I mean it's this guy is far from boring. He's
one of the best iron players that's ever walked on
this planet and we're calling it comparing him to Tim
(04:25):
Duncan the big fundamental get out of here with that.
This was a clinic. Scotti Scheffler did win easily. It
got close on Sunday because John Ram made a charge.
Everybody else was just kind of playing second fiddle to
Scottie Scheffler. It was all Scottie all week long, especially
once he turned home and shot a sixty sixty, sixty six,
(04:47):
sixty five on Saturday, five under his last five two
under through the Green Mile. Excuse me, that's insane. He
made that course bend at the knee, and nobody else
could do that. Like even John Rahm, who made that
charge on Sunday, couldn't keep it together five over on
the Green Mile on Sunday when he had all the
(05:10):
momentum going his in his favor and it was still
Scotti Scheffler. Ho hum, business as usual. Another another Major,
another win. He's just winning everything he looks at and
he's not even doing He's not even letting them really
get that close to him, because if you're tied after
nine holes, he's still got nine more to try to
(05:32):
keep pace with a guy who doesn't make mistakes, and
when he makes mistakes, he doesn't compound them ever, So
good luck to the rest of the field this week.
It just seems like this guy is just on an
all time run, and it's the evidence is pointing in
that direction.
Speaker 1 (05:50):
Yeah, it was nice to see big John Rahm get
back into the back into contention at a major, but
it just merely meant he was the last to go
into Scottie Scheffler's wood chipper.
Speaker 2 (06:01):
Well, yeah, basically it was. It was it was fun
to see Jon Rum enjoying himself on a golf course. Again.
We haven't seen happy John Rahm in a long time,
and he he looked like he was having some fun
out there, and he was playing some great golf. So
I'm hopeful that as everything shakes out with the Live
Tour and any future mergers, that we get back to
(06:23):
prime gen Ram before he switched to Live, and that
was that makes for the best theater. When you get
the big guys gunning at each other and we get
it all four times a year, that's not enough. We
need more.
Speaker 1 (06:36):
Agreed. Agreed. Now, we will preview the Charles Schwab Challenge
in just a moment, But first.
Speaker 2 (06:43):
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Speaker 1 (07:17):
The Charles Schwab Challenge will be played at venerable Colonial
Country Club in Fort Worth, Texas. Colonial has been hosting
a PGA Tour event since nineteen forty six. The event
used to just be called the Colonial. Now it has
a corporate sponsor. Colonial is not terribly long by PGA
Tour standards, but it demands accuracy, demands a delicate touch
(07:39):
around its firm, fast greens, and it usually requires players
to navigate some win We're talking about a golf course
in Texas, after all, so it's a par seventy measuring
seven two and eighty nine yards. Players won't use the
drivers often on Colonial as they will on some other courses.
They're no par fours over five hundred yards. Saw several
(08:01):
such long par fours last week at Quail Hollow. Five
of the twelve par fours at Colonial measure less than
four hundred and fifteen yards, but with a lot of narrow,
tree lined fairways and dog legs, there's a premium on
accuracy off the tee. It's important that players set themselves
up with a good angle of approach to go. Flag hunting,
short iron play and wedge play are going to be
(08:23):
important this week. These are small, fast greens, They're hard
to hit. It's going to be a challenge to hit
these greens, especially from out of the snarley Bermuda rough.
Now Colonial lures players to sleep with two easy holes
at the start. There are only two par fives on
the course, but one of them is the five hundred
and eighty one yard first hole. It's a birdy opportunity,
(08:45):
so is the three hundred and eighty four yard second hole.
Then players run into the so called horrible horseshoe holes three, four,
and five. They're three of the four toughest holes on
the course. Three and five are two of the longest
par fours on the course, and number four is a
two hundred and forty eight yard par three. Davis Riley
is the defending Charles Schwab Challenge champion. He finished fourteen
(09:07):
under par last year, five shots better than our guy,
Scotti Scheffler and Keegan Bradley. Emiliano Grio won here in
twenty twenty three. He finished eight under par and beat
Adam Shank in a playoff. Sam Burns won in twenty
twenty two he was nine under par. He beat Scotty
Scheffler in a playoff. That year, Jason Kokrak won with
the score of fourteen under par in twenty twenty one,
(09:29):
and Daniel Berger won here twenty twenty, the first tournament
after play resumed following the COVID delay. He finished fifteen
under par and Burger beat Colin Morricawan a playoff. Temperatures
are expected to be in the mid to upper eighties
on Thursday and Friday, touching the low nineties Saturday and Sunday.
(09:49):
No rain in the forecast for the tournament, but we
will get some win. It's gonna be blowing ten to
twenty miles an hour according to weather dot com throughout
the tournament. Sounds like the course is going to play
firm and fast. What do you make of Colonial.
Speaker 2 (10:02):
It's a shot maker's paradise and accuracy is the only
thing that matters. Sure seems like a course that might
fit some guy named Scotti Schefler pretty well accurate off
the t good iron player, the best iron player in
the world, hits it closer to the pin than anybody else.
Doesn't shoot himself in the foot. This this is a
(10:23):
golf course where if you're not finding fairways, you're pretty
much not gonna be in contention. If you're finding fairways,
there's gonna be some birdy opportunities. Even though it's not
an easy course. The winning scores typically worse than fifteen
hunder par at the end, which still means you got
to shoot sixty six, sixty six and so on, like
(10:44):
mid sixties all four days to win this thing. It's
gonna be fun to watch these guys try to avoid
double bogies from the trees because a lot of guys
are going to be in the trees. I think if
you find the fairway here, it's a second shot target park,
target practice type golf course with a lot of birdy opportunities.
But these are the third narrowest fairways on the PGA Tour,
(11:07):
averaging twenty seven yards wide. And when it comes to experience,
there's only been one first timer to win this tournament
in the last thirty years, and that was Davis Riley
last year. So by and large, guys need to see
this course a few times before they have a lasting
success here. Obviously, Scotti Scheffler is a Dallas native, and
(11:28):
there's quite a few Dallas natives in this field. I
kinda do give a little bit of a lean to
those players because Texas golf is kind of a different animal.
You deal with wind, You don't deal with a lot
of terrain, but you deal with tree lined fairways and
very very fast bent grass greens. These greens are going
to be a problem again. Scotty Scheffler plays better when
(11:49):
the greens are faster. The tougher the conditions get, the
more the cream rises to the top. So I don't
know what we're gonna do. We have to pick somebody
to win this thing and hopefully it'll pay off better
than last week.
Speaker 1 (12:00):
Did fading Scottie Scheffler. Last week was not too good,
really good thing. I picked Corey Connors for that top
twenty plus ties bet at plus one ninety that saved
me from being skunk for the whole tournament. Bow It
was a yeah off PGA.
Speaker 2 (12:15):
Yeah, I had Bryson top five so that cash for
me and then a top twenty for I forget who
it was, but not not important. I didn't. I didn't,
I didn't break into the black so it was not
a skunk, but not great. Last week. We're moving on.
Speaker 1 (12:30):
Yes, it's on too, It's onto Fort Worth. We'll get
to the Charles Schwab Challenge odds in just a moment.
Speaker 2 (12:37):
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Speaker 1 (13:21):
Now for the Charles Schwab Challenge. Odds. All odds are
a courtesy of DraftKings as of Monday. Some of these
odds may have changed by the time you consume this show.
Scotti Scheffler is an overwhelming favorite to win at plus
two point fifty. The odds on Scotti just keep getting
shorter and shorter bow. Then it's Jordan Spieth at plus
twenty two hundred, Hideki Matsuyama, Tommy Fleetwood and Daniel Berger
(13:44):
are plus twenty five hundred, Maverick McNeely is plus three thousand,
Robert McIntyre, JT. Post In and Harris English are plus
four thousand, Seewoo Kam, Aaron Raye, Keith Mitchell, JJ Spahn
and Davis Thompson are plus forty five hundred, and Davis
Riley is plus five thousand. The same old Scotti Scheffler
dilemma beau, do we dare bet on him at such
(14:06):
short odds? Or perhaps the better question would be do
we dare pass on Scottie Scheffler this week?
Speaker 2 (14:12):
I think that we have to do the live bet
thing because plus two fifty, that's saying, basically, he's a
fifty to fifty coin flip to win the same and
I'm not ready to go that far like this. This
guy's obviously the best golfer in the world. He's obviously
playing another golf course right there next to his hometown.
It's still colonial. Colonial tends to favor other types of
(14:34):
golfers that are more accuracy driven off the tee. We've
seen all sorts of different guys win this tournament. Scotti
Scheffler isn't one of them. We also said this about
t PC Craigranch a few weeks ago where he won
by eight, and so yes, you should bet on Scotti Scheffler.
I'm just not sure that plus two fifty is the
way to go. I think we better pay close attention
(14:56):
to the live lines on Thursday, especially if he gets
a late tea time draw. Somebody goes out there shoots
sixty three, sixty four, it could happen. Then you start
to see Scotty in that plus five hundred plus six
hundred plus seven hundred territory, then I'm smashing the button there.
If you have live betting in your state, that's where
I'm going because plus two fifty, I mean, obviously he's
(15:18):
gonna be live to win here. But that's a coin flip.
That's saying you expect Scotty to tee it up and
win half the time here when he's never won here before.
It's just a value proposition being a smart better. And
if you bet on a little bit on a few
other guys and Scotty wins. It's not that big of
a loss. You're not putting all your eggs in it
(15:39):
somebody else beside Scotti Scheffler. You're just saying, Hey, if
Scotty Shuffler is gonna win this, I just don't want
it to sting me as bad where we kind of
got screwed by a major, all these great golfers competing
with Scotty and end up losing to Scotty by five
strokes this week. Isn't like that this week. You can
kind of take your measured picks and just I mean
obviously hope Scotty doesn't win, or bet Scotty live if
(16:02):
he starts off slow. It just seems like that's the
best value proposition for a smart betters to go in
there expecting Scotty to make you hurt again, Like he's
going to hurt us again, but we need to make
sure that he doesn't hurt us as bad as he
did last week.
Speaker 1 (16:18):
Yeah, and you mentioned it, Bo. The nature of colonial
maybe brings more guys into contention. You know, like Brian
Harmon and Nico Echeveria are bunters who would not be
winning at Quail Hollow unless they rolled in several hundred
feet of potts during the week, whereas like those guys
could win at Colonial. This is a course that suits
(16:41):
guys like that. On the other hand, Scotty has won
his last two events by combined thirteen shots. He hasn't
won it Colonial yet yet, but he's been top three
in each of the last three years, including that sudden
death playoff loss. What about any of the other players
with fifty to one or shorter bo does anyone stand
(17:03):
out to you as a possible contender here?
Speaker 2 (17:06):
Yeah, there's quite a few guys, a lot of them.
Even with Scottie in the field, You're not getting great
value on them. Like I'm not interested in Jordan Speith here.
I'm not interested in Tommy Fleetwood ever, because he never
wins anything. Daniel Berger's form has been pretty poor when
it comes to results. His stats look good, results haven't
been good. I can see Daniel Berger from a few
years ago when he did win here, that would be
(17:28):
a good play. But he's going out there plus twenty
five hundred. I'm not interested Hideki plus twenty eight hundred
not the best fit. I'm going to go all the
way down to plus three thousand, Maverick mcneelly playing great golf.
He was briefly in the top ten official World Golf
rankings because he's on quite a top ten streak this season.
MATV mcneely's game has been great, his ball striking has
(17:48):
been much improved, and we're talking about one of the
best putters on the planet right now riding hot, and
those are good odds. That's a guy who can actually
see win this tournament in spite of everything else round him.
MAV McNeely is the first value I actually see on
the board at plus three thousand, so I'll start there.
Speaker 1 (18:07):
Yeah, And Mav finished seventeenth last year at the Charles
Schwap Challenge, so he's shown that he can get a
whiff of the leader board here. Jordan Speith, I mean,
his lengthy record of success at Colonial is pretty impressive.
Over a ten years stretch from twenty thirteen to twenty
twenty two, Speed finished top fifteen nine times, including a
(18:30):
win in twenty sixteen and three second place finishes. But
we should also note that Speed missed the cut here
in twenty twenty three and was thirty seventh last year,
and he just missed the cut at the PGA so
maybe not the best trajectory for Jordan Speath, even though
he is another Dallas guy.
Speaker 2 (18:48):
Let's just the off the te game has been better,
but not great still because it's Jordan Speith. The dude
spraysed them all all over the place. But his approach game,
which is kind of the kind of the hinge point
of his entire form, has been terrible. His approach game
has been awful and we can't imagine him obviously missing
some fairways. He's obviously the best scrambler anybody's ever seen
(19:10):
because he's just a Houdini act out there every year.
It boggles my mind that he's had any success at
Colonial before with the way he hits the ball off
the tee. But I think it's more of a concern
of his approach game. Honestly, I don't see him hitting
it close enough on these little greens to make a
good score out here.
Speaker 1 (19:28):
Yeah, I'm with you. I just don't see the value
at twenty two to one. And you know, Daniel Berger
you mentioned he did win here in twenty twenty and
has played well lately. A third at the RBC Heritage
eleventh of the Truest Championship thirty third at the PGA,
And yeah, Burger statistical profile would seem to fit Colonial
pretty well, being inside the top twenty and strokes gained
(19:48):
off the tee and strokes gain an approach top ten
and driving accuracy, But like you said, Bo, he just
hasn't been real close to any victories. And as you said,
that's kind of the case with Tommy Fleetwood two, whose
game would seem to fit here, but maybe more for
a top twenty than for a win. JT. Postin is
kind of interesting. He's been playing well. He's finished top
(20:10):
twenty five and four straight events, including a fifth at
the PGA, and he has kind of an interesting track
record at Colonial over the past seven years. Post In
has three top twenties and four missed cots, So it's
kind of all or nothing for Posting. And I don't know, boy,
it seems like Colonial should be right up to Seawou
(20:31):
Kim's alley. He's accurate off the tee, good with his
wedges and short irons, but in eight career starts at Colonial,
Seawou is only finished inside the top fifty once. So
for whatever reason.
Speaker 2 (20:43):
It's because Pete died didn't design this course.
Speaker 1 (20:46):
A good point one other guy I'll mention Harris English
has played well lately, tied for second at the PGA
after shooting a blistering sixty five on Sunday. English is
a grinder who does his best work on tough courses,
and he's had three top twenties in his last six
trips to Colonial, including a runner up finish in twenty sixteen.
(21:07):
All right, let's look at some of the mid range options.
Brian Harmon and Michael Kim are plus fifty five hundred.
Ben Griffin and Andrew Novak are plus six thousand. Ryan Girard,
Mackenzie Hughes and Lucas Glover are plus sixty five hundred.
Bud Coley, Akshay Battia, Harry Hall and Torborne Olison r
plus seven thousand, Kurt Kittyamas plus seventy five hundred and
(21:29):
At plus eight thousand, Sam Stevens, Alex Smalley, Lee Hodges,
Kevin Y, Tom Kim and Taylor Moore. Is there anyone
you like from this group?
Speaker 2 (21:38):
Bo one guy had circled Michael Kim plus fifty five hundred.
That's a smash pick for me. That's a mispriced. This
guy is playing better than anybody out there, maybe not
except for Rory and Scotty. This season, Michael Kim has
been a case in consistency, and especially on shorter golf
courses where accuracy is in high demand. Michael Kim is
(21:58):
the perfect fit here, and I can see him winning
this thing and continuing his very nice dark Horse Ryder
Cup candidacy. And it doesn't have anything to do with that.
Mike Kim last night commented that my swing had really
good slotting. So I'll take I'll take the compliment from
(22:19):
from the from the PGA Tour pro. Even though I
was looking for him to kind of help me with
fixing my swing, he said it looked good.
Speaker 1 (22:26):
So was this when he was stuck on the tarmac
killing time? I I want to say Ryan Girard. And
who was the other person it was?
Speaker 2 (22:34):
It was Ben Griffin and Tom Kim.
Speaker 1 (22:36):
Ben and Tom Camm got it, yeah.
Speaker 2 (22:38):
And they were they were trying to get back to Dallas.
And and Michael Kim is another Texas guy. He's a
Houston native and he's uh, he's playing great golf this year,
and I just think that he's a great fit. I'll
probably be betting an entire ladder on him every way,
Mike Kim, fifty five to one's just I would. I
had him a handicapped at thirty five to one, so
when I saw fifty five to one, I went after it.
Speaker 1 (23:01):
Now, can I make you roll your eyes with one name?
Bo Ryan Harman?
Speaker 2 (23:06):
Yeah, and I won't do it. It's it makes sense
stats wise. You look at his proximity numbers on approach,
they're good. His putting has been good, of course, he's
He's always been a clutch putter, very accurate off the tee.
What I worry about him is on approach again, much
like Speeth, where it's like he has to be good
(23:29):
on approach. It's this is Brian Harmon. If he's not
sticking it close, he's not making any birdies. He's just
got to He's got to compete by hitting it close.
And so far this year his approach game has been atrocious.
So I'll let you bet on Brian Harmon. And if
you want to make him your one and done pick,
if you haven't burned him multiple times already, I would
(23:51):
encourage that.
Speaker 1 (23:53):
So, I mean, maybe he's a better play for a
top ten or top twenty. He has been consistently solid
Colonial Over the last ten years, He's finished thirty first
or better nine times. That includes three top tens but
zero top five. So yeah, I mean, I like that
the lack of distance at Colonial is not going to
hurt him that much. Yeah, is he going to contend?
(24:15):
I don't know.
Speaker 2 (24:17):
You mentioned you mentioned Taylor Moore at eighty to one.
I'm interested now, I'm looking at the I'm looking at
the recent finishes and Taylor Moore was great last week.
He's a sneaky one. Eighty one is a decent number
for him. So I think I'm going to take a
closer look at Taylor Moore now that he popped up
on your call out list. Yeah.
Speaker 1 (24:35):
And Ben Griffin one of the guys stuck on the
tarmac with Michael Kim. He's played well lately, but I
would caution anyone playing the hotthand that, you know, the
numbers say he's just not very good with the short
irons and wedges, so true. I don't know about Ben Griffin.
Ryan Gerard is kind of mildly interesting. He said three
top tens over the last two months and is a
(24:57):
pretty good short iron player. And Harry Hall, I know
He's been in the top twenty each of the last
two weeks. He's played this event twice and was third
here in twenty twenty three, although he missed the cut
last year. What about intriguing long shots bow anyone in
eighty five to one or longer who might be worth
a flyer?
Speaker 2 (25:15):
Funny you should ask Pat? I have four? Oh, okay, yeah,
we're starting with Jacob Bridgeman ninety to one. He's been
playing great this year and ninety to one is another
miss price with how well he's playing this year. A
great short iron player. That's what I'm looking for is
guys that a can get off the tee and find fairways,
and b they can go attack pins. Jacob Bridgeman's playing
(25:37):
great golf this year. One and twenty to one. Mac
Meisner he finished high here last year and he's been
playing good golf this year in his first full time
season on the PGA Tour. One hundred and twenty to one.
I'm gonna take my shots. I'm intrigued by seventeen year
old Blades Brown one hundred and fifty to one's he's
a decently long hitter for his size and age, but
(25:58):
he's also very accurate, and he makes a ton of
birdies because he's always in plays. He's kind of like
your little Scotti Scheffler in waiting, where he's the seventeen
year old version of Scotti who's really good at finding
fairways and getting it close on approach. I think that
that's a fun pick at one hundred and fifty to
one to go to see what the kid can do
(26:18):
out here.
Speaker 1 (26:19):
And then why is.
Speaker 2 (26:21):
Carl Phillips two hundred and fifty to one. He won
this year on the PGA Tour. He's really really good.
He's the face of Sunday Red. It makes no sense
I'm going to be betting a ladder on Carl Phillips
again because he keeps paying us.
Speaker 1 (26:38):
Yeah, I don't blame me for that one. Let me
throw some other long shots out you bow, and some
of these might not be quite as long as your guys.
But we're getting ninety to one odds on Emiliano Grio,
who won here in twenty twenty three and has had
two other top tens and a couple of other top
twenty five. So he is a horse for the course
(26:58):
and going off at pretty long odds. Hasn't had a
terrible season either. I'm surprised he's ninety to one. I'm
intrigued by the aforementioned Nico Etriveriat one hundred and twenty
to one. He's he's short but straight off the tee,
and he's a good potter he is. And Paul another
guy who just it seems like the oddsmakers haven't caught
up on him yet. Sammy Vallamachi ranks thirty fifth and
(27:22):
strokes gained total twenty third. Strokes gained an approach tenth
in strokes gained putting, He's one hundred and fifty to one.
Speaker 2 (27:29):
Yes, please, all right, let's go baby, all.
Speaker 1 (27:31):
Right, bo, who's on your betting card as of now?
Speaker 2 (27:34):
I got Matt McNeely thirty to one, Michael Kim fifty
five to one full ladder, Jacob Bridgeman ninety to one,
Mac Meisner one hundred twenty to one, Blades Brown one
hundred and fifty to one, and our favorite OSSI Carl
Phillips two hundred and fifty to one full ladder, the
whole shebang. If I'm going to be spending any kind
of money on this tournament, it's not gonna be on
(27:54):
Scotty to win. It'll be fun to see Scotty win
another one, but I'm gonna get my licks in on
a guy who's already won this year and he's still
not getting any respect.
Speaker 1 (28:04):
Boy, I didn't want to say it while you were
making your case against betting Scotty.
Speaker 2 (28:08):
Before you're betting Scotty.
Speaker 1 (28:10):
I'm betting Scotty at plus two fifty. If you can't
beat him, join him. I'm taking Brian Harmon for a
top right now. I'm top five at plus eight fifty,
but I might stretch that out to top twenty. I
don't know about top five. That might be a little rich.
Emiliano Grio, I'm taking him at ninety to one, also
a top twenty including ties at plus two point eighty
(28:31):
going with the horse for the course, and then small
outrights on Nico Etcheveria at one hundred and twenty to
one and Sammy Vallamachi at one hundred and fifty to one.
Now for our one and done picks. Last week, Bo,
you had Bryson de Schambeau at the PGA, tied for second,
earning you more than one point four million dollars. I
had Rory McElroy. He was bitterly disappointing, tying for forty
(28:55):
seventh and earning me forty nine and ninety dollars in sol.
Speaker 2 (29:00):
To injury and the one and done format.
Speaker 1 (29:02):
Yes it is. You're now way up on me. In fact,
you've doubled me up. You're at about six point seven
million for the season. I'm at about three point two million,
and you have the honors this week at the Charles Schwab.
Who are you taking?
Speaker 2 (29:15):
I'm guessing that this money is gonna be paid to
be by Charles Swab at the end of the season,
all the one and done earnings. Right, I'm gonna go
with the with the man that that I've been riding
high on all season, especially since yesterday. Michael Kim, Michael.
Speaker 1 (29:34):
Kim very nice. I am going to go for Maverick McNeely.
Speaker 2 (29:41):
Hey, a shout out, norcl Yeah, and.
Speaker 1 (29:43):
I might just have to bat him too. I mean,
you make a good case for him, bo.
Speaker 2 (29:47):
So he's a licensed pilot, so that's pretty cool.
Speaker 1 (29:50):
Yes, sir, So, Michael Kim and Maverick McNeely are one
and done picks for this week, and that is going
to do it for the Betting Pros PGA podcast come
join us again next week when we'll be previewing the Memorial,
always one of the best non majors on the PGA
Tour calendar. Until then, solong everyone.
Speaker 3 (30:08):
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Welcome to the Betting Pros PGA Podcast. I'm Pat fitz
Morris here with my buddy Bo mcbrair. Scotty Scheffler wins
the PGA Championship and now he's an overwhelming favorite at
this week's Charles Schwap Challenge in Fort Worth, Texas. It's
a home game for Scotty, who lives in nearby Dallas
bow and I will give you a full betting preview
of the Charles Schwab Challenge. We'll talk about the course,
(00:22):
the field, the odds, We'll tell you who we're betting,
and we will make our weekly one and done picks
at the end of the show. But let's start with
a quick recap of the PGA. Scotty was eleven under
par over four rounds at Quail Hollow in Charlotte, North Carolina.
His margin of victory wound up being five shots, which
made it seem like an easy victory, but Scotty and
John Ram were tied for the lead at nine under
(00:44):
par as Scotty finished up this front nine on Sunday,
but then Scotty stopped the accelerator, carding Birdie's on the tenth,
fourteenth and fifteenth holes. And Rom ran into trouble on
the so called Green Mile, Quail Hollow's difficult three hole finishing.
Rom lipped out a par put on number sixteen, then
found the water on the par three seventeenth and made
(01:05):
double bogie. His title hopes were pretty much dashed at
that point, and his double bogie in the eighteenth was
just salt in the wound. Scotty shot in even par
seventy one for his final round, a good number given
the difficult scoring conditions. But Scotty really set himself up
for the wind with a spectacular finishing stretch on Sunday.
He was five under par over his last five holes
(01:28):
excuse me on Saturday, five hundred power over his last five.
Scotty drove the green on the par four fourteenth hole
and knocked in a three foot putt for eagle, thenny
berdie the fifteenth, seventeenth and eighteenth. That gave him a
three shot lead over Alex Norn going into the final round,
and Scotty caught some good breaks along the way. He
was using a replacement driver all week after his usual
(01:51):
driver was deemed non conforming. Rory McElroy had the same
thing happened to him, and Scotty missed some fairways with
that replacement driver. He got lucky with one of his
misses on Sunday, he pulled his t shot on number
two way left. It hit a card path and took
a big balance. It actually set Scotty up with a
clear look at the green and an easy little wed
shot in He burdied the hole. Not that there was
(02:14):
anything lucky about Scotty's win, but it makes it that
much harder on the field when the best player in
the world is getting some occasional breaks. Yeah. Scotty gets
his third major before his twenty ninth birthday next month.
His other two wins and majors were at the Masters.
He'll try to get his first US Open win in
his first Open Championship win this summer. Bryson, d Chambeau,
(02:38):
Harris English and Davis Riley finished in a three way
tie for second at six under par. Tough week for
a lot of the big guns. Rory McElroy, who had
such a good track record at Quayle Hollow, He finished
plus three tied for forty seventh. Defending PGA champs Ander
Schoffley finished one under tied for twenty eighth Ludwig Oberg, Justin,
Thomas Brooks, Koepka, Hideki Matzi, I all missed the cot
(03:01):
bo I. I thought Quail Hollow was a good venue
for the PGA. It was tough but fair. Charlotte got
a lot of rain early in the week. We thought
I was going to play long, maybe soft, but the
greens were still nice and firm for most of the tournament.
This was decidedly not a birdie fest. What were your
takeaways from Scotty's winningt Quail Hollow.
Speaker 2 (03:20):
It's business as usual for old Scotty Scheffler. It seems like, oh, well,
we had a lot of excuses why Rory was gonna
be the favorite, Why why Scotty might not be the
best fit for this golf course. Well, it turns out
Scotty's a good fit for any golf course he shows
up at as long as he stays out of jail. This,
uh it kind of it kind of just looked like
he was in a zone and and where anytime anytime
(03:44):
people tell me, oh, he's like Tim Duncan, he's really boring,
but the fundamentals are there and he's so solid even
though he's boring. I was like, are you watching the
same game I am, because this is one of the
best ball strikers I've ever seen in my life, and
I'm enthralled every time I watch him play golf like
it breaks bad breaks. Scotti Scheffler is even keel, but
(04:04):
even he has I've seen him snap clubs over his
bag and frustration. I've seen him spike his hat when
he wins the PGA Championship and let off an explictivef Yeah.
I mean it's this guy is far from boring. He's
one of the best iron players that's ever walked on
this planet and we're calling it comparing him to Tim
(04:25):
Duncan the big fundamental get out of here with that.
This was a clinic. Scotti Scheffler did win easily. It
got close on Sunday because John Ram made a charge.
Everybody else was just kind of playing second fiddle to
Scottie Scheffler. It was all Scottie all week long, especially
once he turned home and shot a sixty sixty, sixty six,
(04:47):
sixty five on Saturday, five under his last five two
under through the Green Mile. Excuse me, that's insane. He
made that course bend at the knee, and nobody else
could do that. Like even John Rahm, who made that
charge on Sunday, couldn't keep it together five over on
the Green Mile on Sunday when he had all the
(05:10):
momentum going his in his favor and it was still
Scotti Scheffler. Ho hum, business as usual. Another another Major,
another win. He's just winning everything he looks at and
he's not even doing He's not even letting them really
get that close to him, because if you're tied after
nine holes, he's still got nine more to try to
(05:32):
keep pace with a guy who doesn't make mistakes, and
when he makes mistakes, he doesn't compound them ever, So
good luck to the rest of the field this week.
It just seems like this guy is just on an
all time run, and it's the evidence is pointing in
that direction.
Speaker 1 (05:50):
Yeah, it was nice to see big John Rahm get
back into the back into contention at a major, but
it just merely meant he was the last to go
into Scottie Scheffler's wood chipper.
Speaker 2 (06:01):
Well, yeah, basically it was. It was it was fun
to see Jon Rum enjoying himself on a golf course. Again.
We haven't seen happy John Rahm in a long time,
and he he looked like he was having some fun
out there, and he was playing some great golf. So
I'm hopeful that as everything shakes out with the Live
Tour and any future mergers, that we get back to
(06:23):
prime gen Ram before he switched to Live, and that
was that makes for the best theater. When you get
the big guys gunning at each other and we get
it all four times a year, that's not enough. We
need more.
Speaker 1 (06:36):
Agreed. Agreed. Now, we will preview the Charles Schwab Challenge
in just a moment, But first.
Speaker 2 (06:43):
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Speaker 1 (07:17):
The Charles Schwab Challenge will be played at venerable Colonial
Country Club in Fort Worth, Texas. Colonial has been hosting
a PGA Tour event since nineteen forty six. The event
used to just be called the Colonial. Now it has
a corporate sponsor. Colonial is not terribly long by PGA
Tour standards, but it demands accuracy, demands a delicate touch
(07:39):
around its firm, fast greens, and it usually requires players
to navigate some win We're talking about a golf course
in Texas, after all, so it's a par seventy measuring
seven two and eighty nine yards. Players won't use the
drivers often on Colonial as they will on some other courses.
They're no par fours over five hundred yards. Saw several
(08:01):
such long par fours last week at Quail Hollow. Five
of the twelve par fours at Colonial measure less than
four hundred and fifteen yards, but with a lot of narrow,
tree lined fairways and dog legs, there's a premium on
accuracy off the tee. It's important that players set themselves
up with a good angle of approach to go. Flag hunting,
short iron play and wedge play are going to be
(08:23):
important this week. These are small, fast greens, They're hard
to hit. It's going to be a challenge to hit
these greens, especially from out of the snarley Bermuda rough.
Now Colonial lures players to sleep with two easy holes
at the start. There are only two par fives on
the course, but one of them is the five hundred
and eighty one yard first hole. It's a birdy opportunity,
(08:45):
so is the three hundred and eighty four yard second hole.
Then players run into the so called horrible horseshoe holes three, four,
and five. They're three of the four toughest holes on
the course. Three and five are two of the longest
par fours on the course, and number four is a
two hundred and forty eight yard par three. Davis Riley
is the defending Charles Schwab Challenge champion. He finished fourteen
(09:07):
under par last year, five shots better than our guy,
Scotti Scheffler and Keegan Bradley. Emiliano Grio won here in
twenty twenty three. He finished eight under par and beat
Adam Shank in a playoff. Sam Burns won in twenty
twenty two he was nine under par. He beat Scotty
Scheffler in a playoff. That year, Jason Kokrak won with
the score of fourteen under par in twenty twenty one,
(09:29):
and Daniel Berger won here twenty twenty, the first tournament
after play resumed following the COVID delay. He finished fifteen
under par and Burger beat Colin Morricawan a playoff. Temperatures
are expected to be in the mid to upper eighties
on Thursday and Friday, touching the low nineties Saturday and Sunday.
(09:49):
No rain in the forecast for the tournament, but we
will get some win. It's gonna be blowing ten to
twenty miles an hour according to weather dot com throughout
the tournament. Sounds like the course is going to play
firm and fast. What do you make of Colonial.
Speaker 2 (10:02):
It's a shot maker's paradise and accuracy is the only
thing that matters. Sure seems like a course that might
fit some guy named Scotti Schefler pretty well accurate off
the t good iron player, the best iron player in
the world, hits it closer to the pin than anybody else.
Doesn't shoot himself in the foot. This this is a
(10:23):
golf course where if you're not finding fairways, you're pretty
much not gonna be in contention. If you're finding fairways,
there's gonna be some birdy opportunities. Even though it's not
an easy course. The winning scores typically worse than fifteen
hunder par at the end, which still means you got
to shoot sixty six, sixty six and so on, like
(10:44):
mid sixties all four days to win this thing. It's
gonna be fun to watch these guys try to avoid
double bogies from the trees because a lot of guys
are going to be in the trees. I think if
you find the fairway here, it's a second shot target park,
target practice type golf course with a lot of birdy opportunities.
But these are the third narrowest fairways on the PGA Tour,
(11:07):
averaging twenty seven yards wide. And when it comes to experience,
there's only been one first timer to win this tournament
in the last thirty years, and that was Davis Riley
last year. So by and large, guys need to see
this course a few times before they have a lasting
success here. Obviously, Scotti Scheffler is a Dallas native, and
(11:28):
there's quite a few Dallas natives in this field. I
kinda do give a little bit of a lean to
those players because Texas golf is kind of a different animal.
You deal with wind, You don't deal with a lot
of terrain, but you deal with tree lined fairways and
very very fast bent grass greens. These greens are going
to be a problem again. Scotty Scheffler plays better when
(11:49):
the greens are faster. The tougher the conditions get, the
more the cream rises to the top. So I don't
know what we're gonna do. We have to pick somebody
to win this thing and hopefully it'll pay off better
than last week.
Speaker 1 (12:00):
Did fading Scottie Scheffler. Last week was not too good,
really good thing. I picked Corey Connors for that top
twenty plus ties bet at plus one ninety that saved
me from being skunk for the whole tournament. Bow It
was a yeah off PGA.
Speaker 2 (12:15):
Yeah, I had Bryson top five so that cash for
me and then a top twenty for I forget who
it was, but not not important. I didn't. I didn't,
I didn't break into the black so it was not
a skunk, but not great. Last week. We're moving on.
Speaker 1 (12:30):
Yes, it's on too, It's onto Fort Worth. We'll get
to the Charles Schwab Challenge odds in just a moment.
Speaker 2 (12:37):
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Speaker 1 (13:21):
Now for the Charles Schwab Challenge. Odds. All odds are
a courtesy of DraftKings as of Monday. Some of these
odds may have changed by the time you consume this show.
Scotti Scheffler is an overwhelming favorite to win at plus
two point fifty. The odds on Scotti just keep getting
shorter and shorter bow. Then it's Jordan Spieth at plus
twenty two hundred, Hideki Matsuyama, Tommy Fleetwood and Daniel Berger
(13:44):
are plus twenty five hundred, Maverick McNeely is plus three thousand,
Robert McIntyre, JT. Post In and Harris English are plus
four thousand, Seewoo Kam, Aaron Raye, Keith Mitchell, JJ Spahn
and Davis Thompson are plus forty five hundred, and Davis
Riley is plus five thousand. The same old Scotti Scheffler
dilemma beau, do we dare bet on him at such
(14:06):
short odds? Or perhaps the better question would be do
we dare pass on Scottie Scheffler this week?
Speaker 2 (14:12):
I think that we have to do the live bet
thing because plus two fifty, that's saying, basically, he's a
fifty to fifty coin flip to win the same and
I'm not ready to go that far like this. This
guy's obviously the best golfer in the world. He's obviously
playing another golf course right there next to his hometown.
It's still colonial. Colonial tends to favor other types of
(14:34):
golfers that are more accuracy driven off the tee. We've
seen all sorts of different guys win this tournament. Scotti
Scheffler isn't one of them. We also said this about
t PC Craigranch a few weeks ago where he won
by eight, and so yes, you should bet on Scotti Scheffler.
I'm just not sure that plus two fifty is the
way to go. I think we better pay close attention
(14:56):
to the live lines on Thursday, especially if he gets
a late tea time draw. Somebody goes out there shoots
sixty three, sixty four, it could happen. Then you start
to see Scotty in that plus five hundred plus six
hundred plus seven hundred territory, then I'm smashing the button there.
If you have live betting in your state, that's where
I'm going because plus two fifty, I mean, obviously he's
(15:18):
gonna be live to win here. But that's a coin flip.
That's saying you expect Scotty to tee it up and
win half the time here when he's never won here before.
It's just a value proposition being a smart better. And
if you bet on a little bit on a few
other guys and Scotty wins. It's not that big of
a loss. You're not putting all your eggs in it
(15:39):
somebody else beside Scotti Scheffler. You're just saying, Hey, if
Scotty Shuffler is gonna win this, I just don't want
it to sting me as bad where we kind of
got screwed by a major, all these great golfers competing
with Scotty and end up losing to Scotty by five
strokes this week. Isn't like that this week. You can
kind of take your measured picks and just I mean
obviously hope Scotty doesn't win, or bet Scotty live if
(16:02):
he starts off slow. It just seems like that's the
best value proposition for a smart betters to go in
there expecting Scotty to make you hurt again, Like he's
going to hurt us again, but we need to make
sure that he doesn't hurt us as bad as he
did last week.
Speaker 1 (16:18):
Yeah, and you mentioned it, Bo. The nature of colonial
maybe brings more guys into contention. You know, like Brian
Harmon and Nico Echeveria are bunters who would not be
winning at Quail Hollow unless they rolled in several hundred
feet of potts during the week, whereas like those guys
could win at Colonial. This is a course that suits
(16:41):
guys like that. On the other hand, Scotty has won
his last two events by combined thirteen shots. He hasn't
won it Colonial yet yet, but he's been top three
in each of the last three years, including that sudden
death playoff loss. What about any of the other players
with fifty to one or shorter bo does anyone stand
(17:03):
out to you as a possible contender here?
Speaker 2 (17:06):
Yeah, there's quite a few guys, a lot of them.
Even with Scottie in the field, You're not getting great
value on them. Like I'm not interested in Jordan Speith here.
I'm not interested in Tommy Fleetwood ever, because he never
wins anything. Daniel Berger's form has been pretty poor when
it comes to results. His stats look good, results haven't
been good. I can see Daniel Berger from a few
years ago when he did win here, that would be
(17:28):
a good play. But he's going out there plus twenty
five hundred. I'm not interested Hideki plus twenty eight hundred
not the best fit. I'm going to go all the
way down to plus three thousand, Maverick mcneelly playing great golf.
He was briefly in the top ten official World Golf
rankings because he's on quite a top ten streak this season.
MATV mcneely's game has been great, his ball striking has
(17:48):
been much improved, and we're talking about one of the
best putters on the planet right now riding hot, and
those are good odds. That's a guy who can actually
see win this tournament in spite of everything else round him.
MAV McNeely is the first value I actually see on
the board at plus three thousand, so I'll start there.
Speaker 1 (18:07):
Yeah, And Mav finished seventeenth last year at the Charles
Schwap Challenge, so he's shown that he can get a
whiff of the leader board here. Jordan Speith, I mean,
his lengthy record of success at Colonial is pretty impressive.
Over a ten years stretch from twenty thirteen to twenty
twenty two, Speed finished top fifteen nine times, including a
(18:30):
win in twenty sixteen and three second place finishes. But
we should also note that Speed missed the cut here
in twenty twenty three and was thirty seventh last year,
and he just missed the cut at the PGA so
maybe not the best trajectory for Jordan Speath, even though
he is another Dallas guy.
Speaker 2 (18:48):
Let's just the off the te game has been better,
but not great still because it's Jordan Speith. The dude
spraysed them all all over the place. But his approach game,
which is kind of the kind of the hinge point
of his entire form, has been terrible. His approach game
has been awful and we can't imagine him obviously missing
some fairways. He's obviously the best scrambler anybody's ever seen
(19:10):
because he's just a Houdini act out there every year.
It boggles my mind that he's had any success at
Colonial before with the way he hits the ball off
the tee. But I think it's more of a concern
of his approach game. Honestly, I don't see him hitting
it close enough on these little greens to make a
good score out here.
Speaker 1 (19:28):
Yeah, I'm with you. I just don't see the value
at twenty two to one. And you know, Daniel Berger
you mentioned he did win here in twenty twenty and
has played well lately. A third at the RBC Heritage
eleventh of the Truest Championship thirty third at the PGA,
And yeah, Burger statistical profile would seem to fit Colonial
pretty well, being inside the top twenty and strokes gained
(19:48):
off the tee and strokes gain an approach top ten
and driving accuracy, But like you said, Bo, he just
hasn't been real close to any victories. And as you said,
that's kind of the case with Tommy Fleetwood two, whose
game would seem to fit here, but maybe more for
a top twenty than for a win. JT. Postin is
kind of interesting. He's been playing well. He's finished top
(20:10):
twenty five and four straight events, including a fifth at
the PGA, and he has kind of an interesting track
record at Colonial over the past seven years. Post In
has three top twenties and four missed cots, So it's
kind of all or nothing for Posting. And I don't know, boy,
it seems like Colonial should be right up to Seawou
(20:31):
Kim's alley. He's accurate off the tee, good with his
wedges and short irons, but in eight career starts at Colonial,
Seawou is only finished inside the top fifty once. So
for whatever reason.
Speaker 2 (20:43):
It's because Pete died didn't design this course.
Speaker 1 (20:46):
A good point one other guy I'll mention Harris English
has played well lately, tied for second at the PGA
after shooting a blistering sixty five on Sunday. English is
a grinder who does his best work on tough courses,
and he's had three top twenties in his last six
trips to Colonial, including a runner up finish in twenty sixteen.
(21:07):
All right, let's look at some of the mid range options.
Brian Harmon and Michael Kim are plus fifty five hundred.
Ben Griffin and Andrew Novak are plus six thousand. Ryan Girard,
Mackenzie Hughes and Lucas Glover are plus sixty five hundred.
Bud Coley, Akshay Battia, Harry Hall and Torborne Olison r
plus seven thousand, Kurt Kittyamas plus seventy five hundred and
(21:29):
At plus eight thousand, Sam Stevens, Alex Smalley, Lee Hodges,
Kevin Y, Tom Kim and Taylor Moore. Is there anyone
you like from this group?
Speaker 2 (21:38):
Bo one guy had circled Michael Kim plus fifty five hundred.
That's a smash pick for me. That's a mispriced. This
guy is playing better than anybody out there, maybe not
except for Rory and Scotty. This season, Michael Kim has
been a case in consistency, and especially on shorter golf
courses where accuracy is in high demand. Michael Kim is
(21:58):
the perfect fit here, and I can see him winning
this thing and continuing his very nice dark Horse Ryder
Cup candidacy. And it doesn't have anything to do with that.
Mike Kim last night commented that my swing had really
good slotting. So I'll take I'll take the compliment from
(22:19):
from the from the PGA Tour pro. Even though I
was looking for him to kind of help me with
fixing my swing, he said it looked good.
Speaker 1 (22:26):
So was this when he was stuck on the tarmac
killing time? I I want to say Ryan Girard. And
who was the other person it was?
Speaker 2 (22:34):
It was Ben Griffin and Tom Kim.
Speaker 1 (22:36):
Ben and Tom Camm got it, yeah.
Speaker 2 (22:38):
And they were they were trying to get back to Dallas.
And and Michael Kim is another Texas guy. He's a
Houston native and he's uh, he's playing great golf this year,
and I just think that he's a great fit. I'll
probably be betting an entire ladder on him every way,
Mike Kim, fifty five to one's just I would. I
had him a handicapped at thirty five to one, so
when I saw fifty five to one, I went after it.
Speaker 1 (23:01):
Now, can I make you roll your eyes with one name?
Bo Ryan Harman?
Speaker 2 (23:06):
Yeah, and I won't do it. It's it makes sense
stats wise. You look at his proximity numbers on approach,
they're good. His putting has been good, of course, he's
He's always been a clutch putter, very accurate off the tee.
What I worry about him is on approach again, much
like Speeth, where it's like he has to be good
(23:29):
on approach. It's this is Brian Harmon. If he's not
sticking it close, he's not making any birdies. He's just
got to He's got to compete by hitting it close.
And so far this year his approach game has been atrocious.
So I'll let you bet on Brian Harmon. And if
you want to make him your one and done pick,
if you haven't burned him multiple times already, I would
(23:51):
encourage that.
Speaker 1 (23:53):
So, I mean, maybe he's a better play for a
top ten or top twenty. He has been consistently solid
Colonial Over the last ten years, He's finished thirty first
or better nine times. That includes three top tens but
zero top five. So yeah, I mean, I like that
the lack of distance at Colonial is not going to
hurt him that much. Yeah, is he going to contend?
(24:15):
I don't know.
Speaker 2 (24:17):
You mentioned you mentioned Taylor Moore at eighty to one.
I'm interested now, I'm looking at the I'm looking at
the recent finishes and Taylor Moore was great last week.
He's a sneaky one. Eighty one is a decent number
for him. So I think I'm going to take a
closer look at Taylor Moore now that he popped up
on your call out list. Yeah.
Speaker 1 (24:35):
And Ben Griffin one of the guys stuck on the
tarmac with Michael Kim. He's played well lately, but I
would caution anyone playing the hotthand that, you know, the
numbers say he's just not very good with the short
irons and wedges, so true. I don't know about Ben Griffin.
Ryan Gerard is kind of mildly interesting. He said three
top tens over the last two months and is a
(24:57):
pretty good short iron player. And Harry Hall, I know
He's been in the top twenty each of the last
two weeks. He's played this event twice and was third
here in twenty twenty three, although he missed the cut
last year. What about intriguing long shots bow anyone in
eighty five to one or longer who might be worth
a flyer?
Speaker 2 (25:15):
Funny you should ask Pat? I have four? Oh, okay, yeah,
we're starting with Jacob Bridgeman ninety to one. He's been
playing great this year and ninety to one is another
miss price with how well he's playing this year. A
great short iron player. That's what I'm looking for is
guys that a can get off the tee and find fairways,
and b they can go attack pins. Jacob Bridgeman's playing
(25:37):
great golf this year. One and twenty to one. Mac
Meisner he finished high here last year and he's been
playing good golf this year in his first full time
season on the PGA Tour. One hundred and twenty to one.
I'm gonna take my shots. I'm intrigued by seventeen year
old Blades Brown one hundred and fifty to one's he's
a decently long hitter for his size and age, but
(25:58):
he's also very accurate, and he makes a ton of
birdies because he's always in plays. He's kind of like
your little Scotti Scheffler in waiting, where he's the seventeen
year old version of Scotti who's really good at finding
fairways and getting it close on approach. I think that
that's a fun pick at one hundred and fifty to
one to go to see what the kid can do
(26:18):
out here.
Speaker 1 (26:19):
And then why is.
Speaker 2 (26:21):
Carl Phillips two hundred and fifty to one. He won
this year on the PGA Tour. He's really really good.
He's the face of Sunday Red. It makes no sense
I'm going to be betting a ladder on Carl Phillips
again because he keeps paying us.
Speaker 1 (26:38):
Yeah, I don't blame me for that one. Let me
throw some other long shots out you bow, and some
of these might not be quite as long as your guys.
But we're getting ninety to one odds on Emiliano Grio,
who won here in twenty twenty three and has had
two other top tens and a couple of other top
twenty five. So he is a horse for the course
(26:58):
and going off at pretty long odds. Hasn't had a
terrible season either. I'm surprised he's ninety to one. I'm
intrigued by the aforementioned Nico Etriveriat one hundred and twenty
to one. He's he's short but straight off the tee,
and he's a good potter he is. And Paul another
guy who just it seems like the oddsmakers haven't caught
up on him yet. Sammy Vallamachi ranks thirty fifth and
(27:22):
strokes gained total twenty third. Strokes gained an approach tenth
in strokes gained putting, He's one hundred and fifty to one.
Speaker 2 (27:29):
Yes, please, all right, let's go baby, all.
Speaker 1 (27:31):
Right, bo, who's on your betting card as of now?
Speaker 2 (27:34):
I got Matt McNeely thirty to one, Michael Kim fifty
five to one full ladder, Jacob Bridgeman ninety to one,
Mac Meisner one hundred twenty to one, Blades Brown one
hundred and fifty to one, and our favorite OSSI Carl
Phillips two hundred and fifty to one full ladder, the
whole shebang. If I'm going to be spending any kind
of money on this tournament, it's not gonna be on
(27:54):
Scotty to win. It'll be fun to see Scotty win
another one, but I'm gonna get my licks in on
a guy who's already won this year and he's still
not getting any respect.
Speaker 1 (28:04):
Boy, I didn't want to say it while you were
making your case against betting Scotty.
Speaker 2 (28:08):
Before you're betting Scotty.
Speaker 1 (28:10):
I'm betting Scotty at plus two fifty. If you can't
beat him, join him. I'm taking Brian Harmon for a
top right now. I'm top five at plus eight fifty,
but I might stretch that out to top twenty. I
don't know about top five. That might be a little rich.
Emiliano Grio, I'm taking him at ninety to one, also
a top twenty including ties at plus two point eighty
(28:31):
going with the horse for the course, and then small
outrights on Nico Etcheveria at one hundred and twenty to
one and Sammy Vallamachi at one hundred and fifty to one.
Now for our one and done picks. Last week, Bo,
you had Bryson de Schambeau at the PGA, tied for second,
earning you more than one point four million dollars. I
had Rory McElroy. He was bitterly disappointing, tying for forty
(28:55):
seventh and earning me forty nine and ninety dollars in sol.
Speaker 2 (29:00):
To injury and the one and done format.
Speaker 1 (29:02):
Yes it is. You're now way up on me. In fact,
you've doubled me up. You're at about six point seven
million for the season. I'm at about three point two million,
and you have the honors this week at the Charles Schwab.
Who are you taking?
Speaker 2 (29:15):
I'm guessing that this money is gonna be paid to
be by Charles Swab at the end of the season,
all the one and done earnings. Right, I'm gonna go
with the with the man that that I've been riding
high on all season, especially since yesterday. Michael Kim, Michael.
Speaker 1 (29:34):
Kim very nice. I am going to go for Maverick McNeely.
Speaker 2 (29:41):
Hey, a shout out, norcl Yeah, and.
Speaker 1 (29:43):
I might just have to bat him too. I mean,
you make a good case for him, bo.
Speaker 2 (29:47):
So he's a licensed pilot, so that's pretty cool.
Speaker 1 (29:50):
Yes, sir, So, Michael Kim and Maverick McNeely are one
and done picks for this week, and that is going
to do it for the Betting Pros PGA podcast come
join us again next week when we'll be previewing the Memorial,
always one of the best non majors on the PGA
Tour calendar. Until then, solong everyone.
Speaker 3 (30:08):
Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you
love the show, the best freeway to support us is
by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify.
Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and
Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube
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