Economy Watch

Economy Watch

We follow the economic events and trends that affect New Zealand.

Episodes

December 10, 2025 5 mins

Kia ora,

Welcome to Thursday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.

I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.

And today we lead with news markets have essentially been on hold overnight awaiting the US Fed's decision.

In the end, the Fed's FOMC trimmed its key rate by -25 bps to 3.75% as markets had guessed it would do. But it was not unanimous...

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Kia ora,

Welcome to Wednesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.

I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.

And today we lead with news the world is awash in better economic news today in many of the world's largest economies.

First, the overnight dairy Pulse auction of the two key milk powders brought more weakness. The SMP price fell anoth...

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December 8, 2025 5 mins

Kia ora,

Welcome to Tuesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.

I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.

And today we lead with news long term bond yields are on the move higher again with the UST 10yr at a 4 month high, but the Japanese yen is now at a 27 year high. The Australian equivalent is at a 2 year high and threatening a 14 year b...

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December 7, 2025 8 mins

Kia ora,

Welcome to Monday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.

I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.

And today we lead with news long term global bond yields are rising.

The coming week will be one dominated by the final central bank monetary policy decisions of the year. The big one, the one that will likely move markets, is the US one ...

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December 4, 2025 4 mins

Kia ora,

Welcome to Friday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.

I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.

And today we lead with news of some notable and sudden rises in freight rates.

But first, US jobless claims came in lower last week than expected at 197,200 in a holiday-affected period. Seasonal factors has expected a lesser decrease. Th...

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Kia ora,

Welcome to Thursday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.

I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.

And today we lead with news financial markets are absorbing some conflicting American data, and moving sideways today, with the USD easing.

There were two services PMIs for the giant US economy out today. The ISM version edged up slight...

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December 2, 2025 6 mins

Kia ora,

Welcome to Wednesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.

I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.

And today we lead with news the world is in a slowdown period as the globally large economies show signs of culminating.

But we start today with some tough news. The overnight dairy auction saw prices fall to a two year low, the eight ...

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December 1, 2025 4 mins

Kia ora,

Welcome to Tuesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.

I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.

And today we lead with news the global economic expansion is tailing off as we come to the end of 2025.

First in the US, we can report that new orders in their factory sector are falling. That is a key factor that has driven the closely-...

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November 30, 2025 6 mins

Kia ora,

Welcome to Monday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.

I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.

And today we lead with news we are waiting for the first indications of retail sales, as the US and EU economies make their run to the end-of-year holiday season. It is this retail impulse that powers much of the global economy.

Also, in ...

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November 27, 2025 5 mins

Kia ora,

Welcome to Friday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.

I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.

And today we lead with news the global economy has one month to go to bolster its 2025 economic performance, all down to retail sales now.

First, of course, the US is now in its Thanksgiving holiday weekend, the start of their big retail ...

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November 26, 2025 4 mins

Kia ora,

Welcome to Thursday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.

I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.

And today we lead with news notable data in both Australia and New Zealand yesterday has reset our currencies and our benchmark interest rates.

In New Zealand of course it was the market reaction to the RBNZ OCR cut, in Australia it was...

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Kia ora,

Welcome to Wednesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.

I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.

And today we lead with news bond markets are ramping up their defensive posture, especially in the US, as American economic data fades further.

But first up today, there was a GlobalDairyTrade Pulse powder auction today and prices slip...

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November 24, 2025 3 mins

Kia ora,

Welcome to Tuesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.

I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.

And today we lead with news holiday season retail cheerleaders may have to work harder this year to induce spending.

First, Americans are expected to be out retail shopping this week in record numbers, up almost +2% this year than last y...

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November 23, 2025 5 mins

Kia ora,

Welcome to Monday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.

I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.

And today we lead with news Q3 is developing better than expected in most parts of the world.

But first, this week will be all about Wednesday's RBNZ OCR review, where a-25 bps rate cut is widely expected. That will probably push term dep...

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November 20, 2025 4 mins

Kia ora,

Welcome to Friday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.

I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.

And today we lead with markets investors are looking sceptically at restarted US data and the outstanding Nvidia result.

First, the American initial jobless claims reporting has restarted, and they say 216,700 new people filed for these b...

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Kia ora,

Welcome to Thursday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.

I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.

And today we lead with markets are even more skittish today, with key activity moving into bond markets even at higher yields.

First, American mortgage applications fell back last week and by their most since late September. Fears about...

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November 18, 2025 5 mins

Kia ora,

Welcome to Wednesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.

I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.

And today we lead with news risk aversion is the theme of the day for investors who seem particularly jittery about AI valuations, crypto prices, and the prospects for the US economy.

But first, we start today with the results of anoth...

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November 17, 2025 4 mins

Kia ora,

Welcome to Tuesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.

I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.

And today we lead with news there are more twists and turns in international trade to report today.

But first in the US, the NY Empire factory survey came in positively in November, on the back of a good rise in new orders. But they got ...

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Kia ora,

Welcome to Monday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.

I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.

And today we lead with news inflation is rising more quickly in one large economy, the US, and policymakers and financial markets are getting skittish.

Firstly, this week will be dominated by the Reserve Bank of Australia's release of the...

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November 13, 2025 5 mins

Kia ora,

Welcome to Friday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.

I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.

And today we lead with news that we have unexpectedly weak data from China and unexpectedly strong data from Australia.

But first in the US, it is back to work for their Federal government after the record 43 day shutdown impasse ends - a...

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