Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Lindsey Helman:
Hello and welcome to Financial
Perspectives, a CFA Society San (00:00):
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Lindsey Helman:
Francisco podcast, where we
interview and discuss trends (00:05):
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Lindsey Helman:
with leaders from across the
investment and finance industry. (00:09):
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Lindsey Helman:
This month, our host Tanya (00:13):
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Lindsey Helman:
Suba-Tang, membership director (00:14):
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Lindsey Helman:
with CFA Society San Francisco, (00:17):
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Lindsey Helman:
had the pleasure of speaking (00:19):
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Lindsey Helman:
with Asad Malik, CFA, head of (00:20):
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Lindsey Helman:
Machine learning Finance and (00:24):
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Lindsey Helman:
infrastructure strategy at (00:25):
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Lindsey Helman:
Google. (00:27):
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Lindsey Helman:
Listen in as they discuss what
investors should know about the (00:27):
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Lindsey Helman:
AI boom and the future of
machine learning finance. (00:31):
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Tanya Tang:
Good morning Asad, how are you? (00:33):
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Asad Malik:
Good morning Tanya. I'm good. (00:36):
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Asad Malik:
How are you? (00:37):
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Tanya Tang:
I'm great. (00:38):
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Tanya Tang:
Thank you so much for joining me
at today's podcast episode. (00:39):
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Tanya Tang:
I'm very excited to have our
conversation started. (00:43):
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Tanya Tang:
And because we're talking about
something that I think it's more (00:47):
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Tanya Tang:
than a buzzword now. (00:51):
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Tanya Tang:
ML and AI, right? (00:52):
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Tanya Tang:
It's been going on for quite
some time, but we're going to (00:54):
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Tanya Tang:
take a different approach and
perspective about it. (00:57):
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Tanya Tang:
And you know, with your
background as leading ML finance (00:59):
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Tanya Tang:
strategy for Google, who better
to talk to than you about it? (01:03):
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Asad Malik:
Tanya, first of all, thank. (01:07):
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Asad Malik:
You for having me on your
Financial Perspectives podcast. (01:08):
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Asad Malik:
And I'm I hope I can share some
personal views that will help (01:11):
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Asad Malik:
our listeners think about all
the recent ML funds. (01:14):
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Asad Malik:
So it's super exciting to be
here. (01:16):
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Tanya Tang:
Great. (01:19):
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Tanya Tang:
So let's start a little bit of a
background. (01:20):
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Tanya Tang:
You know, when we were talking
before the podcast, you had (01:23):
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Tanya Tang:
mentioned significant changes in
AI and ML investment trends (01:26):
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Tanya Tang:
since twenty twenty two. (01:31):
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Tanya Tang:
Wow. (01:32):
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Tanya Tang:
So long ago. (01:32):
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Tanya Tang:
could you share a bit more about (01:34):
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Tanya Tang:
what you think is driving these (01:35):
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Tanya Tang:
changes? (01:36):
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Asad Malik:
Yeah. (01:37):
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Asad Malik:
For sure. (01:38):
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Asad Malik:
It feels like yesterday, to be
honest. (01:39):
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Asad Malik:
It's moved so fast. (01:41):
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Asad Malik:
I mean, AI research, it's been
advancing for decades, but I (01:43):
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Asad Malik:
think the big bang moment was
really in late twenty twenty (01:47):
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Asad Malik:
two, when millions of people got
their hands on some of the most (01:50):
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Asad Malik:
powerful large language models. (01:54):
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Asad Malik:
Right? (01:56):
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Asad Malik:
And maybe it was a pandemic that
locked us down and we just (01:56):
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Asad Malik:
needed someone to talk to. (02:00):
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Asad Malik:
But with AI chatbots, you could (02:01):
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Asad Malik:
ask questions the way you would (02:03):
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Asad Malik:
with a human on the other end, (02:05):
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Asad Malik:
and you'd get these detailed (02:06):
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Asad Malik:
responses on any range of (02:08):
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Asad Malik:
topics. (02:09):
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Asad Malik:
even the flow of information, (02:11):
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Asad Malik:
the way you, had this back and (02:12):
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Asad Malik:
forth dialogue. (02:14):
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Asad Malik:
It was the same way as if you
were interacting with an expert. (02:14):
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Asad Malik:
And then you have image (02:18):
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Asad Malik:
generation and now video (02:19):
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Asad Malik:
generation, which has only (02:21):
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Asad Malik:
further captured our (02:22):
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Asad Malik:
imagination. (02:23):
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Asad Malik:
Like if you wanted a visual or a
clip of something, you could (02:24):
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Asad Malik:
just create it in an incredibly
short amount of time. (02:27):
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Asad Malik:
And so that massive public (02:30):
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Asad Malik:
interest, it's really sparked (02:32):
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Asad Malik:
this surge of investments in (02:34):
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Asad Malik:
this area. (02:35):
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Asad Malik:
And it's only grown since then. (02:36):
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Asad Malik:
So the early chatbots, they were (02:38):
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Asad Malik:
very cool, but you could still (02:39):
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Asad Malik:
see flaws in the quality of the (02:42):
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Asad Malik:
responses. (02:43):
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Asad Malik:
Right. (02:44):
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Asad Malik:
And in some cases you were
getting answers that were just (02:44):
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Asad Malik:
flat out wrong. (02:46):
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Asad Malik:
But there was and there still is
a strong belief in scaling laws (02:47):
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Asad Malik:
that if you made the models
larger, more complex, and you (02:52):
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Asad Malik:
invested more in the
computational power behind them, (02:56):
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Asad Malik:
you could create an even better
model, something that was more (02:59):
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Asad Malik:
accurate and helpful. (03:02):
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Asad Malik:
And so you take that belief in (03:04):
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Asad Malik:
scaling laws with some notion of (03:06):
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Asad Malik:
monetization at the end of the (03:07):
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Asad Malik:
rainbow, and you get billions of (03:09):
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Asad Malik:
dollars now being poured into (03:11):
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Asad Malik:
this industry. (03:12):
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Tanya Tang:
So I'd love to get your thoughts (03:13):
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Tanya Tang:
on all the funding going on into (03:14):
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Tanya Tang:
this industry. (03:16):
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Tanya Tang:
And, you know, what are the (03:17):
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Tanya Tang:
areas investors should keep an (03:19):
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Tanya Tang:
eye on? (03:21):
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Asad Malik:
Yeah, that's. (03:22):
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Asad Malik:
Actually a really important
question. (03:23):
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Asad Malik:
I mean, we talked about scaling
laws. (03:24):
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Asad Malik:
you need to grow compute (03:26):
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Asad Malik:
infrastructure to improve large (03:28):
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Asad Malik:
language models and create more (03:29):
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Asad Malik:
helpful products. (03:30):
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Asad Malik:
So that's number one. (03:31):
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Asad Malik:
Number two, you also need (03:32):
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Asad Malik:
investments in infrastructure to (03:33):
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Asad Malik:
serve those products to the (03:35):
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Asad Malik:
consumers, right. (03:36):
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Asad Malik:
This is the capacity you need to (03:37):
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Asad Malik:
bring that model to billions of (03:39):
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Asad Malik:
users. (03:40):
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Asad Malik:
And then number three, you need
the talent to implement all this (03:41):
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Asad Malik:
and drive progress. (03:45):
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Asad Malik:
So when you add all those three (03:46):
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Asad Malik:
up you get these really (03:48):
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Asad Malik:
expensive builds. (03:49):
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Asad Malik:
And I think the industry as a
whole is likely spending around (03:51):
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Asad Malik:
four x this year than what it
did back in twenty twenty three. (03:54):
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Asad Malik:
Building all this infrastructure
also takes time. (03:57):
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Asad Malik:
So the investments in growth you (04:00):
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Asad Malik:
see today are still constrained (04:01):
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Asad Malik:
since the demand showed up (04:04):
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Asad Malik:
yesterday. (04:05):
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Asad Malik:
But you can tell from the large (04:05):
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Asad Malik:
project and some of the deal (04:07):
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Asad Malik:
announcements that this is only (04:08):
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Asad Malik:
going to continue growing in the (04:09):
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Asad Malik:
future. (04:11):
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Asad Malik:
Another area for investors to (04:11):
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Asad Malik:
observe, I think, is that the (04:13):
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Asad Malik:
leading companies in this field, (04:15):
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Asad Malik:
at different stages of the AI (04:17):
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Asad Malik:
economic chain, they're trying (04:18):
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Asad Malik:
to become more vertically (04:20):
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Asad Malik:
integrated. (04:20):
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Asad Malik:
So some are already there, but
basically it means that you own (04:21):
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Asad Malik:
the infrastructure, the chip
development, the research and (04:25):
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Asad Malik:
the end products. (04:30):
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Asad Malik:
That's a very important way of
integration that helps you drive (04:31):
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Asad Malik:
efficiencies at scale. (04:35):
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Asad Malik:
So given all these billions of
investments, the expectations (04:37):
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Asad Malik:
from the industry are certainly
very, very high. (04:40):
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Asad Malik:
And so this is my view. (04:43):
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Asad Malik:
And I'm borrowing from leaders
from the industry that are much (04:44):
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Asad Malik:
more knowledgeable about this
than I am. (04:48):
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Asad Malik:
But I think AI is probably
overhyped in the near term and (04:50):
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Asad Malik:
significantly underappreciated
in the long term. (04:54):
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Asad Malik:
Right? (04:58):
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Asad Malik:
Like the model improvement, the
product development, and more (04:58):
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Asad Malik:
importantly, just adoption
within the industry and (05:01):
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Asad Malik:
consumers, it will take time. (05:03):
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Asad Malik:
But all that said, I think AI is (05:06):
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Asad Malik:
still one of the most (05:07):
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Asad Malik:
significant transformations of (05:08):
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Asad Malik:
our lifetime. (05:10):
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Asad Malik:
There's a lot to be excited
about. (05:10):
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Asad Malik:
And so for investors, you really (05:13):
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Asad Malik:
have to strike that balance (05:14):
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Asad Malik:
between being bold but also (05:15):
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Asad Malik:
responsible. (05:18):
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Tanya Tang:
I appreciate all that feedback. (05:18):
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Tanya Tang:
I totally agree with you. (05:20):
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Tanya Tang:
And I could see exactly where
you're coming from. (05:21):
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Tanya Tang:
you know, in your opinion, what (05:24):
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Tanya Tang:
are some of the most promising (05:25):
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Tanya Tang:
products currently being (05:27):
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Tanya Tang:
developed in the AI space that (05:28):
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Tanya Tang:
you could see Reshape (05:29):
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Tanya Tang:
industries? (05:31):
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Asad Malik:
Yeah, there's a lot of promising (05:32):
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Asad Malik:
products being developed at the (05:34):
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Asad Malik:
moment, and I think some of the (05:35):
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Asad Malik:
most exciting ones, in my (05:37):
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Asad Malik:
opinion, are really in number (05:38):
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Asad Malik:
one drug discovery, number two (05:41):
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Asad Malik:
in automation. (05:43):
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Asad Malik:
And number three, I would say
general productivity. (05:45):
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Asad Malik:
So if you look at drug
discovery, the process today (05:47):
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Asad Malik:
relies heavily on lab
experiments like these can take (05:51):
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Asad Malik:
over a decade and about three
billion dollars on average to (05:54):
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Asad Malik:
bring a new drug to the market. (05:58):
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Asad Malik:
AI could accelerate that by ten
x, and that's very exciting. (05:59):
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Asad Malik:
And you can expand that to (06:04):
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Asad Malik:
general scientific research as (06:05):
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Asad Malik:
well, like the amount of PhD (06:06):
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Asad Malik:
hours it takes to make (06:08):
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Asad Malik:
breakthroughs could be (06:09):
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Asad Malik:
dramatically reduced. (06:10):
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Asad Malik:
And the outcomes for that for
the industry and also humanity (06:12):
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Asad Malik:
as a whole are just incredible. (06:15):
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Asad Malik:
Number two, I would say
automation. (06:18):
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Asad Malik:
So you have these predictive
models and there are a range of (06:20):
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Asad Malik:
industries that will benefit
from these models that improve (06:24):
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Asad Malik:
automation and drive significant
change in processes. (06:26):
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Asad Malik:
So, for example, being able to
forecast customer demand, being (06:29):
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Asad Malik:
able to predict when things will
fail, improve quality control, (06:33):
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Asad Malik:
detect fraud and so much more. (06:37):
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Asad Malik:
I think this is going to hugely (06:39):
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Asad Malik:
revamp how a lot of industries (06:40):
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Asad Malik:
think about their operations (06:42):
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Asad Malik:
today. (06:43):
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Asad Malik:
And number three, I would say
general productivity. (06:44):
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Asad Malik:
So writing code, creating (06:46):
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Asad Malik:
spreadsheets, putting together (06:49):
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Asad Malik:
presentations. (06:50):
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Asad Malik:
There's so much time that goes
into that. (06:51):
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Asad Malik:
You have a rough idea of the
output you're looking for, but (06:54):
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Asad Malik:
you need to go through steps of
one to one hundred to get there. (06:56):
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Asad Malik:
So having AI that can help you
skip most of those basic steps (06:59):
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Asad Malik:
involved is really going to
unlock a lot of our time that we (07:03):
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Asad Malik:
can spend thinking more about
the analysis or the end product. (07:07):
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Asad Malik:
And so there's a lot more that I
haven't covered, but these are (07:11):
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Asad Malik:
some of the most important ones
from my perspective. (07:13):
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Tanya Tang:
I think that's a really
fantastic feedback. (07:15):
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Tanya Tang:
you know, these are great (07:18):
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Tanya Tang:
sectors to really look at and (07:19):
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Tanya Tang:
and see what how AI can kind of (07:21):
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Tanya Tang:
help, as you said, accelerate (07:23):
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Tanya Tang:
things. (07:24):
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Tanya Tang:
and, you know, AI has been (07:25):
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Tanya Tang:
around for quite some time, as (07:28):
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Tanya Tang:
we said in this podcast, but (07:29):
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Tanya Tang:
there's still some hesitancy (07:30):
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Tanya Tang:
from a lot of people in the (07:31):
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Tanya Tang:
public, whether in the industry (07:33):
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Tanya Tang:
or outside. (07:34):
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Tanya Tang:
What advice would you give, (07:36):
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Tanya Tang:
whether students or (07:37):
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Tanya Tang:
professionals who are listening (07:39):
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Tanya Tang:
in and are still hesitant to (07:41):
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Tanya Tang:
incorporate AI into their daily (07:43):
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Tanya Tang:
work routines? (07:45):
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Tanya Tang:
And really, how how do you get
started? (07:45):
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Asad Malik:
Yeah, it's funny you say that (07:49):
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Asad Malik:
because I would put myself in (07:50):
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Asad Malik:
the hesitant professional (07:52):
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Asad Malik:
category. (07:53):
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Asad Malik:
Um, I'm still learning how to
make the most of these new (07:54):
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Asad Malik:
available tools as well. (07:57):
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Asad Malik:
But I think it starts with
intention and curiosity. (07:59):
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Asad Malik:
You have to ask yourself, is (08:02):
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Asad Malik:
there any part of what I'm doing (08:03):
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Asad Malik:
right now that could be done (08:05):
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Asad Malik:
with AI? (08:06):
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Asad Malik:
Maybe if you have a sibling or (08:08):
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Asad Malik:
your new manager with a team now (08:09):
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Asad Malik:
reporting to you, this will (08:11):
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Asad Malik:
sound familiar, but you almost (08:12):
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Asad Malik:
have to retrain yourself to (08:13):
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Asad Malik:
think from a perspective of hey, (08:15):
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Asad Malik:
what can I delegate and get done (08:16):
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Asad Malik:
for me? (08:18):
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Asad Malik:
So yes, I could pull this
presentation together, but can I (08:19):
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Asad Malik:
get AI to do it for me? (08:23):
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Asad Malik:
I could read through all these
reports, but can I get AI to (08:24):
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Asad Malik:
summarize and maybe help me
focus on the most important (08:27):
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Asad Malik:
parts of it. (08:30):
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Asad Malik:
And I would say really try out
all the available products, see (08:31):
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Asad Malik:
what works for you. (08:34):
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Asad Malik:
So that said, I still think it's (08:36):
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Asad Malik:
incredibly important for (08:38):
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Asad Malik:
students and professionals to (08:39):
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Asad Malik:
develop their underlying core (08:40):
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Asad Malik:
skills, right? (08:41):
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Asad Malik:
Like, if you don't know how to
code or create a research report (08:42):
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Asad Malik:
and so on, it'll be hard for you
to understand what kind of (08:44):
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Asad Malik:
outputs you're getting from AI
and how to best filter those for (08:47):
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Asad Malik:
the final product. (08:50):
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Asad Malik:
I'd also recommend caution on AI
outputs. (08:52):
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Asad Malik:
It's important to continue sense
checking. (08:54):
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Asad Malik:
You want to think critically (08:56):
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Asad Malik:
about the answers that you're (08:58):
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Asad Malik:
getting. (08:59):
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Asad Malik:
But I think at the end of the
day, really think of AI as a (09:00):
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Asad Malik:
powerful productivity boost and
intentionally find areas to (09:02):
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Asad Malik:
leverage it and free up your
time and bandwidth. (09:06):
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Tanya Tang:
Those are really some great
feedback and thank you so much (09:08):
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Tanya Tang:
Asad for your time. (09:11):
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Tanya Tang:
I know it's been a very busy (09:12):
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Tanya Tang:
time for you personally, so I (09:14):
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Tanya Tang:
really appreciate all the (09:16):
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Tanya Tang:
insights and feedback you (09:17):
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Tanya Tang:
provided us, and I'm sure our (09:18):
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Tanya Tang:
listeners are going to have a (09:20):
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Tanya Tang:
lot to take away and digest in (09:21):
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Tanya Tang:
this episode. (09:23):
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Asad Malik:
Awesome. Thanks, Tanya. (09:24):
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Lindsey Helman:
Thank you to this month's guest,
Asad Malik, for joining us today (09:25):
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Lindsey Helman:
and shedding light on the
evolving world of AI and machine (09:29):
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Lindsey Helman:
learning in finance. (09:32):
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Lindsey Helman:
Join us next time for another (09:33):
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Lindsey Helman:
Financial Perspectives episode (09:35):
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Lindsey Helman:
airing on the last Tuesday of (09:37):
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Lindsey Helman:
the month. (09:39):
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