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December 12, 2025 39 mins

This Week 15 edition of The Stephie Smalls Show dives headfirst into player props, contest strategy, and Circa Million decision-making, with two sharp voices breaking down one of the trickiest slates of the NFL season. Stephie Smalls is first joined by Brady Kannon, professional handicapper and former Westgate SuperContest winner, to talk through how sharp bettors think differently in December—especially when contest leverage matters more than simply “picking winners.”

Brady breaks down several pivotal Week 15 matchups, including Lions at Rams, Packers at Broncos, Jets at Jaguars, and Titans at 49ers, explaining how injuries, scheduling spots, and public perception can inflate lines. He also delivers a deep slate of player prop angles, including Jordan Love UNDER passing yards, Derrick Henry longest rush OVER, Isaiah Likely receiving yards, Marcus Mariota rushing yards, and Tua Tagovailoa UNDER completions in cold Pittsburgh weather.

In the second half, SGPN’s Scott Reichel jumps in to fire off even more prop value, highlighting plays involving Chase Brown, James Cook, Trevor Lawrence, Davante Adams, and Adam Thielen, while debating Ravens-Bengals game script, Jaguars-Jets trends, and where books may be slow to adjust. The conversation blends matchup data, recent usage, and price-shopping logic—perfect for bettors looking to attack props instead of spreads.

If you’re betting Week 15 player props, managing Circa Million entries, or just trying to survive December without tilting into the sun, this episode delivers sharp insight with zero fluff and plenty of angles worth stealing.

0:00 Intro
1:19 Brady joins
1:41 Season recap
2:01 NFL unpredictability
2:59 Survivor discussion
3:24 Survivor candidates
4:28 Saints survivor angle
5:12 Big spreads board
5:36 Jaguars QB uncertainty
6:13 Jaguars flat spot
6:33 Chiefs/Niners inflation
7:34 Philip Rivers narrative
8:28 Contest contrarian theory
9:21 Backup QB trend
11:09 Lions at Rams
12:06 Rams momentum
12:23 Packers at Broncos
13:29 Love passing under
15:55 Brady prop rundown
17:29 Ravens-Bengals props
18:22 Tua cold fade
22:03 Saints at Panthers
23:44 Brady exits
25:19 Scott joins
26:09 Chase Brown receiving
28:34 QB rushing over
29:27 Thielen longest under
31:54 Kicker prop angle
33:26 James Cook receiving
35:01 Trevor Lawrence no picks

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