Global Market Insights - Forex, Futures, Stocks
XM's trading podcast, Global Market Insights, reflects our commitment to providing traders with meaningful and informative content based on diversity and practical purpose, encompassing up-to-date information needed for online investing and updates on economic events across the globe. For more in depth technical and fundamental analysis, be sure to visit www.xm.com Trading Point of Financial Instruments Ltd is regulated by the Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission (CySEC) (licence number 120/10). Trading Point of Financial Instruments Pty Ltd is regulated by the Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC) (licence number 443670), XM Global Limited is regulated by the Financial Services Commission of Belize (FSC) (licence number 000261/27) and XM International MU Limited is regulated by the Financial Services Commission of Mauritius (FSC) (licence number GB23202700).
Episodes
Muted risk appetite; equity indices edge higher, bitcoin struggles. August 12 deadline for US-China truce in the spotlight. Gold flirts with $3,400 as US prepares to tariff gold bar imports. Eventful BoE meeting boosts the pound.
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US CPI and PPI data awaited amid dovish Fed bets. RBA ready to cut rates as Australian inflation slows. UK jobs and GDP data to shake the pound after BoE.
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Tariffs back in the spotlight; China could be next. Equities shrug off tariff headlines but dollar weakens. Gold rises despite progress made in the US-Russia talks. BoE to cut rates; pound’s performance hinges on degree of dovishness.
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Markets subdued after ISM Services PMI revives inflation and growth worries. Dollar returns to post-NFP lows, gold eases from highs. Trump flags tariffs on pharmaceuticals and chips but equities inch higher.
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Ris...
Dollar assets on a steadier footing after Friday’s selloff. September Fed rate cut gains traction; Fedspeak is critical going forward. Trump’s 12:00 GMT live TV appearance in the spotlight. Gold retains gains, oil’s decline stalls.
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Post-NFP selloff eases as focus turns to Fed rate cuts. Dollar and stocks on steadier footing as yen and gold rallies cool. But tariff mess and Trump’s firing of jobs data chief keep risk appetite in check.
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Ris...
Bank of England decision to be the week’s main event. ISM services PMI to be only other highlight in relatively quiet week. Market sentiment might struggle in aftermath of Trump’s August 1 tariffs.
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Risk war...
Trump’s tariff announcements trigger another risk-off reaction. Dollar is stable, but equity markets underperform despite strong tech earnings. US jobs data in the spotlight; nonfarm payrolls expected to rise by 110k. Inflated expectations for a solid report raise the risk of a sharp reaction if data disappoints.
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Fed keeps rates unchanged, but leaves door open to future rate cuts. Strong earnings lift equities, reversing the post-FOMC dip. Gold rebounds, oil struggles to hold $70, copper futures plunge. BoJ keeps its powder dry, yen gets a small lift.
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Dollar traders turn cautious ahead of Fed decision. Attention will fall on the likelihood of a September rate cut. BoC and BoJ to remain on hold; eyes will be on future action signals. Wall Street retreats on disappointing earnings; Microsoft and Meta awaited.
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Both the dollar and US equities start the week on a strong note. Euro suffers as European leaders challenge the US-EU trade deal. Gold retreat stalls; oil fails to materially benefit from Trump’s Russia comments. Light calendar today, but 7-year US auction could trigger volatility.
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Dollar gains as data allow the Fed to stay in wait-and-see mode. US and EU secure trade deal, tariff clock is ticking for others. Wall Street at record highs amid trade optimism and better earnings. Pound slides after retail sales, yen retreats even as BoJ hike bets increase.
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ECB pauses, raises the bar for September rate cut. Trump’s Fed visit proves uneventful, despite rate cut demand. Dollar losses mount this week, even the yen outperforms the greenback. Cryptos are on the back foot today; altcoins maintain sizeable gains.
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Fed to likely hold rates and not bow to Trump's pressure. US GDP and jobs reports eyed too as August 1 deadline looms. BoC and BoJ decisions, Eurozone data also in focus.
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After Japan, the US is nearing a trade accord with the EU. S&P Global PMIs in focus ahead of next week’s FOMC decision. ECB to stand pat, Lagarde’s signals to be key for the euro. S&P 500 hits a new record high, but earnings results come in mixed.
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US and Japan reach common ground on trade. Hopes for more deals increase; US-EU talks loom. Yen gains, but temporarily as PM Ishida may step down. Equities gain on US-Japan deal; Key tech earnings in focus.
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US equity indices retreat from new all-time highs. Gold pulls back from one-month high, while altcoins remain in demand. Tariff headlines fuel market nervousness as investors prepare for key earnings releases. Yen is trying to find its footing after Sunday’s election result.
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Dollar pulls back on dovish remarks by Fed’s Waller. Trade negotiations in focus ahead of August 1 deadline. Gold seems to be attracting safe haven flows again. Wall Street stays near record highs amid strong earnings.
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Dollar stays strong amid safe haven flows and inflation risks. US prel. PMIs and Powell speech to be closely monitored. ECB expected to stand pat, focus to fall on forward guidance. Pound traders await PMIs, but remain convinced about August cut. Alphabet and Tesla earnings results also on tap.
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Both dollar and US equities on course for a positive week. Fed doves push for a July rate cut, but chances remain extremely low. Yen positions for Sunday’s elections that could open pandora’s box. GENIUS Act approved, stablecoins are here to stay; ethereum benefits.
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