Episode 786 - Opening Day Reactions - In This League Fantasy Baseball

Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:00):
This is the in This League Fantasy Podcast network, In
This League Fantasy Baseball podcast online at in this League
dot Com. Now here's your host, Bogman and the Welsh What.

Speaker 2 (00:17):
Is a Friendos are welcome into the inn League Fannessey
Baseball Podcast. I am the Welsh. You can find on
Twitter at is It the Welsh with mister Scott Bogman
at Bogman Sports and in Phoenix. Not in the home
studio you are. You're literally in the bedroom of one
of our dear friends doing a podcast. You just did
one a little bit earlier. We are going to be

(00:39):
breaking down opening day Opening day reactions. But I don't
want you to think this is like it's not gonna
have any life, you know, after like a day or two.
It's it's gonna be breaking down a lot of the
you know, interesting guys that popped up that might be
on waivers, some of the closer situations, any of the
crazy lineup things, and I think plenty of those are
going to kind of carry on through the weekends. So

(01:00):
this is just kind of initial reactions that bog and
I will do. Plus we were out the Dimonbacks and
we'll kind of start there in just a second. But Bogs,
how are you doing on the time the timing? You
had some fun yesterday, you crashed out nice and early,
and now you are It looks like you're in the
bedroom of potentially dead relatives too. I don't know. There's
like really old pictures from like the fifties, maybe just

(01:21):
parents or something like that.

Speaker 3 (01:23):
I think this is Grandpa Lopez over here. So but yeah, man,
I am. I have not adjusted to Phoenix time, and
I don't I think I leave tomorrow morning, so I
don't think I'm going to get it.

Speaker 2 (01:35):
Yeah, you're not gonna be fine.

Speaker 3 (01:37):
Yeah it's a quick four day trip, so I get
home tomorrow. But yeah, we had a blast of the
Diamondbacks game. Even though they lost, it was still a
good time. And yeah, Opening Day was a lot of
fun too. Not the results that we wanted for some
of these guys, but specifically our team, but yeah, it
was still fun.

Speaker 4 (01:57):
Nonetheless, well we'll talk about all of the stuff and
of the things I want to mind you guys to
come over to end this league dot com sign up
on the Patreon Still plenty of reasons because we've got
the Prospect and Dynasty updates monthly We've got the group
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have access to the community, have access to us a
very big cell, plus any and all of the extra

(02:19):
stuff We're gonna be doing on and I've been adding
in some streams.

Speaker 2 (02:22):
Definitely gonna be going on through April where I'm gonna
be doing one to two streams myself a week. And
we just did one on opening day, four hour stream.
By the way, shout out to our boy Kpax who
ended up winning the autograph Jackson Trio jersey, which I
just sent out a little bit earlier today. I'm gonna
be doing one on Monday. It looks like I might

(02:43):
do them Monday and Wednesday. Just throwing out to you guys.
I'm gonna be doing one again this Monday. Gonna have
some more raffle items in there. But here's the Patreon
reason one element. It'll be on Twitch, Twitch, dot tv
slash in this league, you guys can sub get rid
of the ads hang out there. But also there is
a private YouTube channel that is only for Patreon, so
it's essentially only Patreon people can be there. If you

(03:06):
don't want to deal with Twitch, just want to give
people options no matter what, but that is posted and
available to everybody, and as well, like any of the
raffle or goofy things, we post there before anybody else
and in the group me room. So all of that,
plus if you guys just want to be awesome and
support the boys, we very much appreciate it. In this
League dot com sign up today at in this League

(03:28):
dot com. So our day. It definitely started with the Diamondbacks,
but just as a one quick over. Still cannot believe
it's a big organization, but MLB absolutely dropped the f
and ball dude on opening day with MLB dot Tv
going down. For many people that there were some weird stuff.

(03:50):
Someone had said like, oh no, it's working on Roku.
Then it was gone. Some people said things were okay,
I think watch it like DirecTV. I think it was
fine the MLB package on DirecTV, someone said, But on
the website MLB don TV and the app, we had
almost an hour where everything was down so you couldn't
watch the Orioles game. And then it came up right

(04:11):
as the like next set of games, uh, you know
popped up, but I don't know, like you don't want
to be too harsh because stuff happens for everybody, but
like baseball, dude, like.

Speaker 3 (04:21):
Opening day, man, get it together. I mean, honestly, I
appreciate you saying like, hey, look, you know, let's give
them some grace sometimes. But it's opening day.

Speaker 2 (04:31):
Man.

Speaker 3 (04:31):
You should have figured this stuff out in spring training.

Speaker 2 (04:34):
Aren't you running us? Yeah, one hundred percent. You run
load tests, you run all of that. People are excited
about baseball, and this stuff goes down. You probably lost
people throughout the day. Just what was a brutal blow?
It looks like everything.

Speaker 3 (04:45):
It was weird for me too well because I went
to a bar like during that and the bar had
terrible reception, So I'm like, is this the location or
is this MLB? Like I couldn't tell what was happening.
I was getting like no updates for like thirty minutes
to drive.

Speaker 2 (05:00):
Yeah, you thought it was the bar, but it wasn't.
Uh So then money was great though. I did the
leading off great numbers. We did like forty five minutes,
and I did the four hour ish stream on talking
waivers and lineups, and we did the Raffle, which was awesome.
We were watching some of the games, got my ass

(05:22):
waxed yesterday though, and just I always forget there's such
a battle of doing opening day stuff because you're so
excited you want to do everything, but it's like, you know,
first fives are more dangerous the first month or two
weeks or so, it's a little bit better do total
lines props or just through the roof. And I just
got my ass whax. So I picked it up and

(05:44):
I drove down to Phoenix to meet up with this
someone bitch right here so itl could be back in person.
And the best part was Bogwin was having some fun.
We've been getting I saw Bogman, Bogmin was having so
much fun, and your face reeked of fun. Boggers. When
I met you, you were having a grand all time,
if you know what I'm saying. When we met at that.

Speaker 3 (06:05):
Yeah, not even intentional bit off a little more than
I can chew there, but literally we got all we
got all worked out. You know, it's not really vacation,
it's the semi vacation.

Speaker 2 (06:15):
But yeah, but you're supposed to have fun on that vacation.

Speaker 3 (06:18):
Some fun, yeah exactly. So that was my day of fun.
So today is my day of work and then fun.

Speaker 2 (06:24):
And I posted a picture in or no you post.
You posted the picture. It was like a big selfie
with you, me and Jack in a Patreon and you
were like, Jesus, look at me. And I was like,
you were having seventy five percent more fun. Like an
hour ago, like thirty minutes ago, you were having that fun.

Speaker 3 (06:40):
You're like, my eyes were bloodshot from all the fun
that I was having.

Speaker 2 (06:43):
Right, you are having a lot of fun. Let's start
with the first breakdown, because that's really what we're here
to do. We're gonna look at all the games and
just relevant pieces. I think it's always kind of what
we've done on opening days, just kind of going through
the slate of games because there there's a lot of
relevant information. I thought that we got out of between,
you know, like I said on the live stream, I
went through lineup things, lineup issues, had some pretty big

(07:07):
importance that came to during the games, and then obviously
some for some performances. But let's just talk about that
Diamondbacks game, because it was like those Cubs, it was
the most packed I think you and I had ever
seen it, not our first Cubs Diamondbacks opening day either,
which is crazy.

Speaker 3 (07:25):
Go ahead, well, I think a big thing was like,
to see it full was great, but also to see
it full of more Diamondback fans than Cubs fans was
actually kind of surprising, because yeah, I mean, look, if
you build it, they will come. Do you sign Corbyn Burns,
you put the money into the team. The fans show
up in Phoenix and it was there were over forty

(07:45):
nine thousand.

Speaker 2 (07:46):
Wish he would have pitched. Okay, so wish he would
have been the pitcher for sure. That would have been
really nice. I hit up Justin Steele before the game,
and Justin was just like, Justin is obviously in season mode.
He hasn't gotten into football like let's talk all day
type of mode. Because I was like, hey, dude, I'm
gonna be at the game. I was hoping to see you,
but I see that you're pitching. It was originally showeda

(08:07):
and blah blah blah blah blah, and he was like,
you know, it was just like thanks so much, man.
That was it. But it was nice enough. And then
I booed the ever living crap out of him when
he was on the Mount dirt Bag. Diamond Backs stunk
ass last night. The biggest concern though, and I don't

(08:27):
think is a PSA. You shouldn't freak out about anything
that happens over the next week. There are some things
we have to react to, and there's levels and degrees
and stuff like that. But just as a caveat, because
you know, Jackson Churioga went oh for five with five strikeouts.
We had somebody being like, do you like this is
not a ridiculous question, by the way, but in leading off,

(08:48):
someone was like Jackson Merrill or Jackson Churio in keeper
and it was just like, it's still cheerio, dude, but yeah,
you know what I'm getting at, Like the questions are
going to start coming up. So a caveat this was
saying like, I don't think there's any thing we should have,
like just freak out reactions. But Zach Gallen was bad
last night, And when I say bad, it was the

(09:09):
worst version of Zach Allen that you can possibly get.
His line was was hilarious. Who is that guy? Those guys?
Oh man, he's one of the John one of the
John Boy guys followed me last night. Dalton Oh, Dalton Feely.
He's with John Boy because he's a Diamondbacks fan and

(09:31):
he followed last night and he had this tweet out.
He's like, my OCD appreciates this, but I hate this line.
It was Zach Gallen. Four innings, four hits, four and runs,
four walks, four strikeouts was his line, and it was
so much worse in person than what the stat line showed. Villo.

(09:54):
There was some Villo down stuff. I'm gonna pull this
up on the Baseball Savant. The most concerned was he
could not throw strikes. He was under fifty percent zone
percentage on let's see, I think it strikes well, first
pitch strikes was He was at or just under fifty
percent first pitch strikes, which is bad. His fastball thirty

(10:18):
five percent zone percentage, knuckle curve sixty forty five on
the slider changeup was twenty two percent. Here's what I'm
getting at one pitch was in the zone fifty percent
or more of the time, and it was the slowest
pitch for guys to be able to turn on. And
guess what, by the way, got hit one oh eight
point seven. So the dude had no fastball command whatsoever.

(10:41):
The velo was down. It's not showing here, but he
averaged ninety two point nine. The slider was inconsistent and
he was trying to throw change ups again. He looked
really bad, and on top of every single bit of it,
he was getting hit hard. I think it was six
hard hit balls and four in. I am very concerned

(11:02):
with every piece of it, because I'm sorry I'm talking
about here. But like as I made his tweet, when
Gallon doesn't have the fastball, he then starts to retreat
to straight knuckle curves and changeups, and that gets guys
to start waiting. All they're going to do is if
you throw me anything in the zone. They're waiting and

(11:23):
reacting to the secondary stuff. I have a big radar
up right now for Zach Gallon. I think he can
bounce back. But I hated everything of what we saw
in this past game, and the villa was just not
there either. So my Spidey senses are screaming a little
bit on him.

Speaker 3 (11:44):
Well, I understand it, and it did not look good,
and he could he was not getting strikes over. But
I'll just say this, the game was ten to six
and the strike zone was a guy damn tea cup.

Speaker 2 (11:54):
It was at tea cut bogman. I want to give
you guys. Credit, I'm interrupting again, but Bogman, like within
I think three first pitches, looked at me and he's like,
this is going to be a high out scoring game
because this zone is nothing. And I was like, all right,
I hope not. And then you know, ten to sixteen later.

Speaker 3 (12:11):
Yeah, yeah, it would ten to six. Yeah it was.
It was a high scoring affair. Both guys weren't getting
good calls. It felt like the strike zone was wild
in this game. So it was the first game for
the umpires too. But I'll say this, like, you know,
Zach Allen didn't have his best speed, but it was
better than Justin Steele. He just could not get the
ball over. Like Justin Steel was sitting at eighty nine

(12:33):
to ninety one and we looked he was early. That's
typical of what he is. But I think Allen's going
to be okay. I think this was he did not
have command, so it's not where it should be even
to start the year. So that's concerning for the very
beginning of the season. He didn't get crushed. He gave
up four over four. It's not great, but it's not

(12:55):
like a killer the ever got back in this game.
There were, Yeah, Arthy dropped one for Demo, made a mistakes,
overthrew one. Yeah, so there were mistakes in every facet
of the game here for the d Backs yesday. But
Gallon was the most concerning piece for sure.

Speaker 2 (13:13):
And I guess the only thing else I'm saying is
like if you don't if he doesn't throw strikes, then
no one's offering it anything. And they're just sitting on
their pitch and they're hitting it hard. And Gallon's stuff
is just not there right now. Where Justin Steal Justin
threw strikes, you know, Elver fifty percent on his top
three pitches, which accounted for you know, eighty five percent

(13:35):
or what of what he was throwing. Neither one of
these guys are getting big called strikes or you know,
like CSW percentage or whiffs or anything like that. But
my spidy senses are up. By the way. Ryan Nelson
also got lit up and did not look good for
the people that are like, let's get you know, let's
get him back onto it offensively. You know. From the

(13:56):
Diamondbacks perspective, I don't think there was really much to
take from anything. Corbyn was not running against Amaya, which
was super weird. They did the we saw the platoon
short and strong side platoons with Britchick and Peven Smith.
There's nothing really to take away. Cubs were annihilating Michael Bush.
I thought, looked really good. If he's still sitting out there.

(14:16):
I picked up Miguelimaya in a catcher league that is
really really deep. Yeah yeah, yeah, exactly. And Matt Shaw
scored three runs in that game, even though he was
pushed down in the lineup, but looks like eight is
going to be his lineup spot. And they brought im
pressly at the end of the game. Very important as well,
just because it was a It wasn't a save, but
it was like a high leveragy situation because all those runs, right, yeah,

(14:39):
yeah exactly.

Speaker 3 (14:40):
So, you know, a good game for the offenses of
these teams. The pitching seemed a little bit wobbly specifically gallant,
but good game nonetheless. And you know, I hope we
see zero hits for them today because I'm going again tonight.
Let's go.

Speaker 2 (14:56):
Yeah would I actually got offered really good seats to
go on Saturday. I just can't go, which is unfortunate,
but yeah, I know it. Thevery is boo. I will
say this, We'll kind of have this is a running
chart throughout this episode of Guys that I do have
a level of concern with because there's a lot that
I'm gonna look at and it's like, I don't care
the Cheerio went over for five with five strikeouts. But

(15:18):
there are going to be as we go a chart,
and I'll even kind of market of Spidey senses and
concerns early on, and I will mark those and I'll
recap it at the end of the show. Let's take
a break though, we come back, no more Diamondbacks. Shout
out to Chris Young for the hat fun getting the
brand new Diamondbacks hat that sat. Shout out to our
boy Larry for buying us drinks as well. Just shout

(15:40):
out to people doing this stuff and the things. But
let's take a break. We come back, let's start breaking
down all of this stuff, and we're gonna be talking
about the relevant things from opening day. Any waivers to
kind of get ahead of, and we will do it
right after this.

Speaker 1 (16:02):
In this league, Oh I remember in this league.

Speaker 2 (16:11):
First game that started up Brewers and Yankees ended in
a four to two Yankee win. I thought both pictures
were super interesting. Carlos were done, looked pretty good. I
think I saw that it was maybe the sinker usage.
It was change up. I know Alex Fast I think
was tweeting about it, but we saw like a little
pitch mixed change. I thought he looked really good. Peralta

(16:35):
did the anti or like what you would have wanted
out of Gallon really struggled to start, gave up a
couple of homers, but then just came back to it,
and I was pretty impressed with what Paralta was able
to end up doing at the end of the day.
Anything on either one of those pictures. I don't know
if you even watched much of that game that was
the first.

Speaker 3 (16:53):
Yeah, actually I did see big chunks of those games.
I thought both pictures specifically were done, looked really good.
You know, Don got in a little bit of trouble
giving up that bomb early, but seven strikeouts, two walks.
I think he said the Velo was good. And Freddy,
I mean this is typical Freddy. Five innings, you know,
they don't let him go a lot deeper than that,

(17:13):
and eight strikeouts on one walk and only to earn
that should have been good enough. For them to do
something with it. But unfortunately this was a much tighter
game than the one we saw.

Speaker 2 (17:23):
Yeah, and it was the thing with Radon to watch
he went primary slider in this with a sixty percent
whiff rate on his slider fifty four percent CSW because
he also got called strikes on a fifteen called strikes
and whiffs on his slider alone. He threw twenty eight
of them. And then that made the fastball I think
a bit more efficient. Didn't get whiffs, but it got

(17:43):
some called strikes. So I was very encouraged by that
from Urdon. I think that's a big up. Only other
thing I guess would be well, Devin Williams tried to
give up the game. He didn't. He got the save
in the weird closer.

Speaker 3 (17:58):
Situation against his old team.

Speaker 2 (17:59):
I like that. There's nothing with Cheurio, right, is there anything?
I mean, I don't want to be dismissive. You're allowed
to have if there's like some weirdness, but like you
went home for five with five strikeouts. Pat Murphy's like,
you'll learn it sucks.

Speaker 3 (18:12):
Yeah, it sucks. It's not a good start. We know that.
And if he piles these type of performances on top
of each other. He'll move down in the lineup real quick,
and then you know, maybe even worse than that. So
but one day, there is no reason to get Let's
give him a month, let's see what he's like even
in a week, you know what I mean, There is

(18:32):
absolutely no reason to panic.

Speaker 2 (18:34):
I did like Domingo is hitting six. I thought there
were opportunities for them to maybe try to put him
lower if they wanted, but six is a.

Speaker 3 (18:41):
Good They also lifted him for a defensive replacement.

Speaker 2 (18:43):
Late, which will probably be a normal thing. So yeah,
three at bats out of Jason Dimingos, I wouldn't be
shocked about. Trent Grisham came in, but you know, like
hitting in front of Jazz and Goldie, that's solid man.
So outside of Bryce, Terrang was hitting nine. I don't
particularly love that. I'm not going to do anything about
it yet, just because of you know, just pitching matchups.

Speaker 3 (19:04):
But the lefty starter too, we'll see, yeah, exactly.

Speaker 2 (19:07):
We'll seehere he gets up going the next game. Oriole
that we didn't get to see the beginning of Orioles
and Blue Jays. Orioles obliterated the Blue Jays twelve to two.
Barrios looked like trash. Ninety pitches, gave up six or runs,
three homers, five strikeouts. Eflyn, dude, I had the strikeout
prop on e Flyn. He had two strikeouts, I think
in the first two innings and then he went four

(19:29):
or five mornings whatever without any strikeouts. He went six.
He was very efficient in it. But the Orioles just dominated.
Adlee three hits, he continued. Tyler O'Neill freaking six straight
opening days with a homer, Cedric Mullins three for five
with five RBI. He hit two homers in that. Let's see,

(19:49):
let's stop on the Oriole side.

Speaker 3 (19:50):
What do you got on the oriol I just feel like,
you know, tyler'neil hitting bombs is tradition, Jose Burrio's getting
smashed on opening day, that the things are tradition. But
when we're looking at the the O's, you know, you
get to their home runs, it's crazy. Westburgh Rutchman had two,

(20:11):
Mullins had two, Tyler O'Neal got his. Just so many
homers in this game they smashed, And yeah, e Flyn,
we know what Eflyn is. He's good for your e er,
your whip and you know your your wins. He's not
a strikeout guy only to Star's fine. Yeah, quality stark
guy exactly. That's why he goes later, and he's a
good option. So yeah, I don't know that there's a

(20:33):
ton to take away just from you know, they look
good and they smashed the crap out of the ball,
specifically Tyler O'Neal.

Speaker 2 (20:40):
I'll say, I love Westburg hitting three, and I think,
you know, when Gunner comes back, Gunner'll just go to
the lead off spot again and Westburg can just stay
there a majority of the time, and then Cowser can
move to four, and then maybe O'Neill. I think o'hearan
should move down and they can do stuff like that.
Ryan Mountcastle hit one one fifteen, So if you're on
your big max evs, that's something to watch. A Holiday

(21:00):
had two strikeouts, but he did have a hit, so
we'll kind of continue to monitor that. I'm not sure
if there's like any you know, again, on my ups
and downs takeaway, I will say I like Westbrook hitting three.
That makes me feel better. One of the surprising lineup
things on the Blue Jay side was him is hitting four.
Honest Menez was in the cleanup spot and he hit
a homer and too hot.

Speaker 3 (21:20):
I know, it's kind of funny that he hit a homer. Yeah,
that were kind of eyebrow raising here, But don't know
how often that's gonna Do you think he's gonna stick
it for?

Speaker 2 (21:31):
I mean, like, what else are they gonna do. Springer
doesn't hit anymore, So yeah, I kind of think that
they're gonna keep giving him that opportunity. That's pretty two
or four, both of them are really good.

Speaker 3 (21:41):
I think he should hit two. I think Flat should
hit three. But I get it, you want Vlad higher,
get him more AB's I understand that it's not a
bad strategy at all. Two walks in this game for
a man to run, But yeah, I just I don't
know if it feels right. I don't know if it's
gonna stick.

Speaker 2 (21:58):
Well, see, all right, something that is gonna I'm excited
to talk about the play of the day. The guy
of the day was McKenzie gore. Nationals lost. They ended
up losing to Phillies seven to three. Mckinzigre was so
good he ruined my Philly stuff. I did not think
this is gonna be the case. I had Phillies to
be up by a run through the first five, Washington

(22:18):
was up one to nothing. McKenzie gore six innings, he
gave up one hit struck out thirteen thirteen is a
wild number. I saw. Man, I'm forgetting who did it.
It could have been Lance Brasdowski, I think, But really
interesting thing he talked about what I think it was Lance,
there was like five percent ish last year you were

(22:42):
seeing him throw sliders against lefties and he went ham
it was like twenty or fifty percent of some insane
I mean, now now I want to look what it was.
But Lance was talking about how bonkers he went on
the slider side. Here was your numbers on the inside
forty four percent as ball. It had a twenty seven

(23:02):
percent with rate solid, thirty two percent called called strike
CSW percentage good. It was in the zone slider twenty
five percent of the time, eighty percent with rate sixty
one percent CSW. Because he also got six called strikes.
I'm sorry he had eight whiffs. So fourteen called strikes

(23:23):
and whiffs is absolutely absurd. And I think it was
let me see it was Lance, Yeah, here it goes
new slider slider was primary offer offering versus lefties. Fastball
usage down fifty six to forty four, and he was
using that against lefties. Mackenzie Gore looked freaking great. There

(23:44):
is a big overreaction potential on the table here, but
he was touching ninety five. He's using his slider differently,
double digit percentage of the change up in curveball. I'm in.
I think, I don't know what. I don't know what's
the hot take or anything like that, but like instantly
top fifty sp like he's a must pick up if

(24:07):
he's floating out there on the back end we just
didn't see and for him to dominate the Phillies like that,
I am massively going to buy into what McKenzie gore did.
It might be an overreaction. I'm not going to sell that.
I'm not going to drop Zach Gallon for mckenziy Gore,
but I want McKenzie Gore here. I love this change.

Speaker 3 (24:25):
It's hard not to be into this. I mean, thirteen strikeouts,
no walks at all against a really good lineup. Now
it's opening day. You know, maybe these guys aren't ready.
And also you know, Wheeler had a great start as well.
Eight strikeouts and only two walks for him, so maybe
they you know, this game kind of got a much

(24:47):
bigger framework for strikes than our game did, which is
definitely possible. But still to walk nobody in a great
lineup and strike out thirteen in the opener. I mean
that was in struck oout thirteen on ninety three pitches.
It didn't even cross the century mark.

Speaker 2 (25:04):
The locks one hit like and dude, and by the way,
it's Schwarber Harper, Turner bomb. It's not the Marlins won.
It's not that it was Tendsey. Gore was great.

Speaker 3 (25:16):
And you said, both these guys that had these great
performances that we talked about so far, Gordon Rodan both
upping their slider percentage, which is you know, uh significant,
and we have to keep an eye on that because
you know, I remember when the Orioles wouldn't like guys
throw a slider right because it's you know, uh, I'm
actually one of those.

Speaker 2 (25:38):
Right right, one of.

Speaker 3 (25:39):
Those pitches that you know they're worried about, TJ or whatever.
But Gore looked amazing here, so hard not to get behind.

Speaker 2 (25:46):
This is so funny. Part It was like all this
like pitch analysis of like, oh, these are the pitches
for TJ. And it's like, how about throwing ninety nine
every single pitch? Yeah, how about the fasts? But yeah, yeah,
So if you're asking like where you know, where are
we at or where am I at? On mckenzigre, I
loved it. I love the efficiency. That's always been his
issue because I thought he was the number one pitching

(26:07):
prospect when he came out. I saw him at these
crazy levels where he was just dropping this curveball. It
looked amazing. But he's got this great fastball slider combination that,
by the way he's throwing for strikes is top to
do quick math, eighty five percent of pitches thrown was
fifty percent zone percentage, so he was keeping him in.
They weren't getting on it fouling off. They were swinging

(26:27):
seventy percent swing zone percentage on the fastball and the
curveball and forty five percent on the outside swinging outside
the zone as well, and he was getting whiffs. Like
I just I think it's all good. I think it's
definitely something to buy into. And it was probably the
most like prevalent Zach Wheeler was good. Romano blew the save.

(26:47):
I'll just kind of reiterate. I think you got to
pay attention to Jose Alvarado, who came in after struck
out two hit one oh one. I know some people
are looking at a Ryan Kirkring, but he came in
the seventh, So I think Alvarado, if Romano has any
more shift, you might be the guy.

Speaker 3 (27:07):
We put in him out because he was crushing in
spring and his vila was up. He was averaging triple digits.
So Alvarado looks healthy and ready to rock.

Speaker 2 (27:17):
Nothing On the Philly's side, bomb hitting three, you know,
is solid against lefties. We'll watch that. Not a ton
on I guess the National sides either, except James Wood
hitting two I love, and that was against a righty.
Luis Garcia hitting three down with cruise against a righty,

(27:38):
went all the way down to eight. He did end
up having one registered hard hit. He walked and scored
a run, which is good. But yeah, you said it
hate that. Don't want him to be there. So against lefties,
I imagine he'll hit higher. I wonder, but I don't
know what to look like. Is it going to be
maybe maybe he leads off against lefties and then they

(27:58):
go abrams two and moves down to four or five.
I'm not one hundred percent sure, but if Griff Cruz
moves back up, I'm gonna feel better about it. But
down at eight was well, yeah, yeah, it's not great.
But the good news is there's not a lot keeping
him out. I mean, Nate low struggles, Josh Ball struggles,
Paul de Young struggles. He's moving ahead of all those guys,

(28:20):
so and Keeper as well. But Keeper had a nice
start here two for four with a bomb, so I
think there's plenty of opportunity for him to move up.
He just has to earn it. Yeah, and again, like
the reactionary thing will be, let's see what happens against lefties.
Does he go to one, does he go to two?
What are they comfortable with? It is going to be

(28:43):
a long ass year for me. If Garrett Crochet looks
in the rest of the games, how he looked in
this game Boston Red Sox Texas Rangers. Red Sox ended
up winning. It took it, you know, it took to
the bullpen. Boston scored three in the ninth, which ended
up changing it. I had them as a money line

(29:04):
first five. I got saved, we pushed. We did not win,
but I did win the team totals. It was only
one and a half in this matchup. It took till
the fifth took. I think it was the William A.
Braw Homer in there. Let's start with Garrett Crochet eighty
eight pitches. He went five innings, gave up five hits,
two and runs, only struck out four and walked two.

(29:26):
Surface level, if you didn't watch the game, it's okay.
I think people are like, they're okay with where some
of it was. He got squeezed in a couple spots,
which I'm keeping in mind. There were there were two
moments where there were strikeouts, but you know, he was
pretty inefficient. He talked about it after the game. I
don't know, did you see what he was? Let me

(29:46):
pull this up here because I thought this was interesting.
He he kind of likened Wes. I probably don't want
to go to his actual account. He likened the first
inning and going deep as kind of setting him back
for the whole game. God, I keep doing this. I
keep literally going to you know when you type in
someone's name, but then you go to their handle instead

(30:07):
of just searching them yeah, if you know what I'm
talking about here, let me pull this up here. I
just want you to I didn't feel like that, but yeah,
you know what I'm talking about. Here's Garrett Croche talking
about the outing. If you just want to hear.

Speaker 3 (30:22):
What do you make it? The first one?

Speaker 5 (30:23):
Yeah, it was kind of a grinder day from the start.
I felt like, you know, I struggled with consistent execution.
Maybe it took a few too many shots in the
first couple of innings trying to get swing miss and
kind of dug myself in a hole with pitch count early.
But you know, later on the game kind of just
started trusting the defense and you know, trusting everybody, uh

(30:43):
other than myself, and just started trying to fill up
the own as best I could. I think in your
last start, being frustrated with the leadoff walk yet another
one of those, and that kind of came back to Yeah, yeah,
just walks in general. You know, last year I feel
like I didn't walk guys. So I feel like I've
been putting a little excess pressure on myself to not

(31:05):
walk guys. Realistically, that's part of the game. Had a
chance to pitch around, it wanted the sinker to Higashioka
obviously just left it.

Speaker 3 (31:13):
With a lot of plate.

Speaker 2 (31:16):
That's just kind of a soil saba there. So like
my takeaways here are, I made a little thing about
it watching the savant stuff once it changes, but it's
really interesting right now. I can't see year over year changes.
They just got rid of all of it for today.
But at least according to the live stuff, his fastball
was like okay, but his sinker and his cutter were

(31:38):
down around a mile and a half per hour on
both sides. Did not love that he went primary cutter
forty nine percent. He upped his cutter percentage in this one,
so we saw a lot more of that. He was tinkering.
If there is an opportunity to buy on Garrett Crochet,
someone's worried I am doing it. But there's some things
to listen to in there, like the walks. That's to me.

(32:01):
I hear the sounds of a guy that is maybe
gonna trust pitching to a little bit more contact, especially
on road games, and maybe strikeouts don't go up. He
just didn't seem like he had the swing and miss stuff.
The only struck out four, but there were some that
were taken away from him. I'm not gonna put him
in a category where there's anything important, like, oh my god,
freak out. I'm gonna buy him for anybody that's worried.
But I do think you have to pay attention at

(32:22):
least as Savant is still figuring this stuff out, some
of the v low stuff, because the VLO stuff looked
a little eh, Sinker he could not throw for strikes
twenty nine percent zone percentage. Cutter and fastball might have
been in the zone a little too much. Those are
both over sixty percent, so sweeper. I feel like that
percentage was maybe down a little bit, like, actually, let

(32:44):
me look what was his The one thing I wish
is we could have an easy check in on the
player sees full seasonal stats when you go to like
the in game live. You know what I'm talking about. Yeah, yeah, yeah,
let's see twenty twenty four he was I guess he
was about ten percent sweeper, so he was way more cutter,

(33:06):
little less sweeper in this one, and sinker was only
two percent and in this game it was eight percent.
So like pitch mix stuff was out there. We'll see
if he gets fixed. I just want to throw it
out there, keep an eye I understand.

Speaker 3 (33:19):
I think there's two things to remember, and this is
why this shouldn't get an overreaction quite yet. Number One,
pitch speed is not all the way back in your
very first start. You know you're right about that. Yeah,
So seeing a Velo dip early first two, three four
starts of the season not the most shocking thing in
the world. So let's let's first keep it there. Number Two,

(33:41):
I think we forget just how crazy good this Rangers
lineup is. Now.

Speaker 2 (33:46):
That's also a fantastic point that I was not focused
on during the game of like how talented that freaking
team is.

Speaker 3 (33:53):
I mean, it listened to it like the top six
are crazy. I mean the bottom of the lineup is whatever.
But Simmy and Langford, A doles Berger, Jase Young or
Josh Young the bottom three of Polar who was two
for three, by the way, not usually one of their bangers,
he was two for three. Higgashioka had a hit in

(34:13):
there as well, and Josh Smith that can be hit
or missed. But that's a very very good lineup you're
turning through as well. And he I mean they had
the Red Sox told will have four strikeouts against Simeon
and Seeger in the top of the lineup, so did
not get the bottom of the lineup a lot at all.
Young had one and then Josh Smith had two. So

(34:34):
just not a lot of guys striking out seven total
in ten innings in this game.

Speaker 2 (34:39):
So Crochet will try not to, like, you know, have
any big major freakouts on the Rangers side. It was weird.
I just I didn't even notice this during the game,
but Seeger DHD and then they had Josh Smith play
shortstop probably also a piece of I guess they're not
gonna They talked about playing maybe Josh versus some lefties.
That did not happen in this we he pinched on

(35:00):
the Red Sox side. Their offense is really muted in
this game. It's amazing they pulled through. But will you're
a brad, you man, will your registered Two of his
three pieces of contact were over one ten. He had
three of the top four hardest hit balls in this game.
Jared Durant had the highest, but one ten point eight,
one ten point seven, and one oh eight point seven.

(35:20):
He finished three for three with two homers, a walk,
and four RBIs beautiful swing looks consistent healthier. I think
that was something I just missed that. It's like, oh okay,
I think we're good to go. And the reason why
it's like Yoshida is going to have to fight for
whatever it is. I really love Willyer Right now, Willier

(35:42):
is on the up. If Willier is out there, I
had some questions. I am picking him up because I
thought the bat was good. He's gonna offer himself up
opportunities to move up a little bit, even though Christian
Campbell was in front of him. I would not be
shocked if story even struggles. If you started seeing will
Your push that five spot but really big power, insane swing.
Somebody out there as well put out some of the

(36:04):
bat speed stuff. By the way, I think it was
Williard and Christian Campbell both registered top ten fastest swings
this this first opening day. But we're talking like seventy six,
seventy seven, seventy eight mile parush, a big, massive swing.
So all that Campbell looked good. Offense as a hole
was kind of muted. But will Your bray you is
definitely one that. Again, don't lose your mind, but I'm

(36:27):
in I'm in on with you.

Speaker 3 (36:28):
Yeah, and will you or Brady with the great performance. Also,
we didn't even mention it. Eovaldi nine strikeouts, no walks
to earn great performance for him as well, So.

Speaker 2 (36:39):
He was thinking, Nevers look stupid.

Speaker 3 (36:42):
I mean, there are things to be concerned about in
this game, but a couple positives as well. And I'm
with you, like, you know, a brave you're hitting seven now,
But I think after that top four, after Drown, Devers, Bregman, Cassis,
I think five through nine is all moveable. So if
he keeps hitting like this, he's gonna move up in
the lineup for sure.

Speaker 2 (37:01):
Yeah, and let's see today's lineup. He's still seven though
it's the same lineup against Jack Lder that's going today.
Just throwing you out here, also changing after one day,
but yeah, you know, Jock is hitting four against a righty,
so there's another man this That lineup one through six
is just crazy. It is absolutely crazy. I'm just doing

(37:22):
a little peak. By the way, Hajmenez is back at
four today in the lineup, so that does look like, yeah,
for the Blue Jays against righty's, that's going to be
kind of a consistent one. Only other thing to mention
it was a tight game, but Chapman came in in
a tight game situation, then they got the lead, and
then Justin Slayton ended up getting the save for them.
I don't think anything to think too much of, except

(37:44):
maybe he's their fallback option with Kimberl on that or
not Kimberl with what's his alam Hendricks on the il.
But then hilariously Bochie says like, oh, Luke Jackson is
going to get the save, blows that up. Chris Martin
had come in before and was clean. I don't know.
I think Chris Martin maybe gets one of the next

(38:05):
two looks here because Luke Jackson got obliterated and cost
them that game, so that already might be done.

Speaker 3 (38:13):
Yeah, I think it is. I think Chapman's the guy,
you know, and so hopefully they won't have too many
xtraining situations again.

Speaker 2 (38:22):
Pirates, I tweeted out the worst lineup I've ever seen
in the history of Opening Day was the Miriami Marlins,
and they won against Paul Skeens, because of course, that's
that's how the day went, not a tome of his
runs scored. Actually, Pirates had they had the lead going
into the bottom of the sixth Paul Skeens ends up
going five and one third, of course, does not get

(38:45):
any of the strikeout props. He had a fourth inning,
I believe, where he had no strikeouts, which was like
absolutely brutal, like that was our opportunity. He just kind
of tapered on the back end. He went five and
one third, seven strikeouts.

Speaker 3 (38:57):
Look good.

Speaker 2 (38:59):
You know, he got some fits from was Edwards is
giving him some fits. But Skeens looked about skeen ze.
David Bednar blew to save and that might be the
end of that. I'm not one hundred percent sure if
that's going to go offensively. Nick Gonzalez had this really
weird moment. He hit a homer and he got hurt.

(39:20):
He got hurt on the homer and he limped around
and then he got taken immediately out of the game.
And he's kind of a sneaky guy. And Joey Bart
hit four, which I thought was really nice to see
anything on the pirate side you want to throw out.

Speaker 3 (39:33):
I mean, not too much here. Skeens was great. Like
you said, I think the biggest story here is Bednar.
And you know, we've even heard Pittsburgh say we're not
really super confident in him, so blowing the opening day
save and getting the loss is real bad. This is

(39:54):
a terrible look. So well. I also Holderman is going
to be the next Holdhiman gave up too. Also, so yeah,
they got to figure out who's going to close games
here in Pittsburgh because it's ugly already.

Speaker 2 (40:06):
Sign David Robertson's a guy that hasn't signed like that
would be an interesting one. Go pick him up and
see if you can get him to He's got closing experience.
On the Marlins side, I do love watching Xavier Edwards.
I'm gonna throw that out. He had two walks, run
one RBI, but no attempted stolen base almost going on man,
nothing from him and nothing from Corbyn Carroll very light

(40:28):
and he wants to steal like sixty bases, but really
is a tough out. The rest of the lineup is
just absolute dog poop. But sandal Contra looked awesome. So
if you are in or wherever you are on the
Sandale Contra front, I was thoroughly impressed. He was absolutely
freaking dealing. He was touching ninety nine, he sat ninety seven.

(40:50):
The change up was back. The changeup had a fifty
percent whiff rate. Love to see that he was throwing
the sinker for strikes a little bit out of the zone.
Forcing fastball was a nice set up pitch. It wasn't
getting whiffs, but he was getting it on the slider
through the slider eighteen percent of the time. Love Sandiel Contra.

Speaker 3 (41:07):
Right wasn't great.

Speaker 2 (41:09):
Yeah, but for the first start only Yeah, hits well.
And that's that zone on. I wish I could see
which pitches caused the walks because the change up where
he likes to go to on the punch pitch, that
was a thirty five percent zone percentage, and I would
have an expectation that's probably where you've got some of it.
But yeah, you are right about the walks, but the

(41:30):
strikeouts are there, the punches. I just feel good. I
felt really good about uh Sandy. I walked away like, oh,
he's he's kind of back. Yeah.

Speaker 3 (41:38):
I mean he looked really good. Everything, all the underlying
stuff is great. That's what matters. And he did look
good in that case, and he had seven strikeouts, which
is huge. It's just control, you know, it's something from
the very beginning.

Speaker 2 (41:52):
So we'll see Cincinnati Reds Blue a save to the Giants.
That is right, Hunter green Ate wrikeouts in five innings,
No go, Logan Webb wasn't really great. Five innings, three
and runs, three walks, five strikeouts, a lot of walks
from just like really good pitchers so far this year,
very walk heavy. But Ian Jabbo came in. Nobody knew

(42:16):
that was gonna be the guy. Everyone was like Tony
Santillion or Graham Ashcraft gives up four runs and a
big homer to I think it was Patrick Bailey absolutely
blowing the save, which you have to imagine we're done.
Tory Francona is not going to go back to him,
But who the hell is it gonna be? Santillion came
in before him. Emmanuel Pagan has experienced Scott Barlow, Graham

(42:41):
Ashcraft of absolutely no idea, and I don't trust much
of it. I would speculate on Santillion, but Jeebo was
a huge epic disaster and he was gone before he
was even a thing. Dude.

Speaker 3 (42:54):
I mean two outs, four earned, that's a that's proof result.
So uh and it was pry Baby that hit the homer.
Wilmer floores that hit the bomb.

Speaker 2 (43:05):
Yeah, so wiping his tears as he rounds third base.
He was just crying all the way home. There wasn't
much from this game. Strand had a couple hits. He
was really low in the order, so I think that's
a big positive. Ellie just obviously looks phenomenal. No stolen
base attempt, he was in a walk and a hit.

Speaker 3 (43:23):
Another. How long do you think Gavin Lux is gonna
last in the cleanup spot?

Speaker 2 (43:27):
Oh good call. Thank you for saying that Gavin Lux
in the freaking cleanout spot was one of like the
more shocking things.

Speaker 3 (43:33):
If he hits, because they had Steer at six. If
they if they're gonna have Steer hit, put him at four.

Speaker 2 (43:39):
If Lux is like a two thirty hitter, like he'll
be gone before you know it, Steer and if Strand
is hitting well, Strand should be the number four. That's
the way more classical number four.

Speaker 3 (43:51):
Yeah, yeah, for sure, Just not Gavin Lux. That feels weird.

Speaker 2 (43:55):
Not a lot to take from from that game that
I really took away from it. All right, let's go
over white of course, White Sox Marlins beat the beat Skeins,
and the White Sox beat the Angels. They start the
season one to oh, Sean Burke was pretty damn good.
Six innings, three strikeouts, three hits outside of don't hit

(44:16):
Mike Trout on the goddamn hand, dude. I just stopped
and I was like, you have got to be kidding me.
Slammed him on the hand in the first at bat,
and I was like, he's gonna break his hand and
the season is gonna be over, And thank god it wasn't.
He didn't miss a homer later. He didn't do much.
But Sean Burke was a big slider fastball, decent amount

(44:38):
of curve, not big whiffs, not big csw percentage, he
was in the zone. There's just bad contact. I don't
know what I really buy out of it. He was
more slider than fastball, though, which is super interesting. Sitting
ninety four slider's eighty five lots of spin looks good.
So he's a spot starter. As I've said all season long,

(44:59):
Kakouchi was a okay. Definitely was not, you know, not
the one that we usually know. Five strikeouts, he gave
up three earned runs. Ryan Johnson's a kid that never
played a single minor league game, got straight from the draft.
Give up five earned runs, just got a bliterate Angels.

Speaker 3 (45:15):
You talk about putting him in a terrible spot, and
that's exactly what happened. So uh, tough one there. Yeah,
Angels ended up winning this one. I don't Mike Trout's fine, okay,
but I saw I saw your life flash before your eyes.
When I saw that Mike Trout, uh, you know, getting
smacked on the hand, I was like, oh man, he

(45:37):
will never live this down.

Speaker 2 (45:38):
If you just no, I want I wouldn't live it
down because I, like I put in the article Mike Trout,
I went I kind of went back in like I'm in.
I was just like, if there is a fracture, I'm
gonna jump off a bridge like I can't.

Speaker 3 (45:51):
Yeah, just to listen to me be it pricked the
whole year about it too would.

Speaker 2 (45:54):
Be oh like Garrett Crochet would stink, Zach Gallon would suck,
and then, like Mike Trout, I'd just be like, you
know what, I'm gonna transition to football. Let's just only
do football. I got a job doing football. Maybe let's
let's keep it there.

Speaker 3 (46:07):
Uh. The White Sox, anything with the lineup here, I mean,
Slater hit a bomb didn't look bad.

Speaker 2 (46:13):
I love Miguel Vargas is going to be Miguel Vargas
leading off, qualifying at outfield and third base in a
lot of spots leading off. I don't think it's gonna
be a good team, but I think Miguel Vargas is
going to be sneaky this year. That is the only
guy I'm really looking And pick up Range, Austin Slater
and Lenny and Sosa and give me Miguel Vargas. I
did pick him up in a few leagues. If he's
going to be leading off in those spots, it's I

(46:34):
think it could be serviceable at least. That's it. That's
all that I had out of all of this. Like
you know, Angel's lineup is kind of embarrassing. Shannwell hitting two,
what's kind of interesting. I suppose Guardians and Royals. I'm
not sure there's a ton to take out of here.
We had a blown save from Emmanuel Classe. Ben Lively
came in because Tanner Biby got sick. Someone posted that

(46:57):
I thought this was really funny. You'll appreciate it that
Tanner baby each Chipotle before every start, and then he
had a last minute scratch and was sick in this
last game, so everybody's like, oh, I have been Chipotle.

Speaker 3 (47:12):
Early game though, so maybe he wasn't going Chipotle for that.

Speaker 2 (47:15):
It was last night, maybe Chipotle for dinner, though.

Speaker 3 (47:19):
It could have been before. Hopefully he'll say something about it.
I mean, you haven't have sponsorship.

Speaker 2 (47:24):
You haven't had Chipotle get you late at night.

Speaker 3 (47:27):
I haven't. Honestly, like, Chipotle does not really affect me
one way or the other, which is not what I've
heard from most people. I mean, South Park is the
whole trap stomach episode about that, but uh yeah, Chipotle
has never really got me.

Speaker 2 (47:40):
So well, then you got a stomach that's built like
because that's I have some moments.

Speaker 3 (47:44):
You don't get this figure by you don't get this
figure Welsh by not eating horrible stuff. So I'm used
to it. I think that's for my body that might
be like, eh, this is somewhat healthy. So let's go.

Speaker 2 (47:56):
Oh wait, can you believe Tim Anderson and the all
a'm Mancata played for the Jewels against the White Sox
on opening Day? I mean, just incredible it.

Speaker 3 (48:06):
I mean, like the revenge narrative whatever, but there's a
there's just awful. Both these lineups are so bad, the
least game of the day.

Speaker 2 (48:15):
One hundred percent outside of it. I mean probably even
in Chicago too. But back to the Guardians, so you
had you've been lively in he was okay, Emmanuel Clausse
blows the save, Paul cy Wald ends up getting the
save as they beat the Royals. There's that portion of it.
I don't think there's really much to read out of it.
The most fascinating piece was common Zarto looked awesome. He

(48:36):
was a d h They put him at.

Speaker 3 (48:38):
Five, single away from the cycle.

Speaker 2 (48:40):
Hit a homer, a double, and a triple. He was
three for four or RBI even walked once. You freaking
love to see that. There's a bunch of stuff. You
could poke around there. But Kyle man Zardo, he's in
that pickup range. You got to I'm typing him down
like we had. We had this really interesting question. It
was who is the third guy? It was would you

(49:02):
rather have torquil Sen Manzarto? And then there was another
guy and I was like, it's Manzarta right now. Like
Manzarto hitting five for the Guardians. The right end of
the field is you know at home is a little
bit beneficial he's starting out hot like I'm a I'm
a Manzardo guy. So Manzarto I think is in pickup range, torque.

Speaker 3 (49:23):
We'll get to him in a minute. But he's hitting
clean up and have four walks.

Speaker 2 (49:26):
Yeah, no, he's good too. I'm saying like they're both
right there. But like Manzarto is super interesting. On the
Royal side, Reagans wasn't great walk to again, like walks stuff.
He only went five three strikeouts, three hund runs, two walks.
Kind of inefficient and that's what's messy about opening day,
especially if you're in like the betting range, is you

(49:46):
just get some like, you know, inefficient dudes. And Reagans
didn't seem like super consistent looking here, fastball forty one percent,
zone percentage, no whiffs, really wasn't getting called strikes and
then he had to starts sitting in the zone on
the cutter, the change up and the slider. It was
really only the change up that was doing any actual
damage and just kind of inconsistent and not being able

(50:10):
to throw strikes cause some walks. I don't think there's
anything to freak out about though. On on his side,
Carlo Estevez did come in. Look what is this like?
I think they were tied, so you know, closers coming
in a leverage situation. I will say Erseg came in
in the sixth, which I hate because I was the fireman.

Speaker 3 (50:31):
Yeah. Yeah, he came in the middle of the inning
after Zurp had already given up some runs, so he
thought things like the fireman.

Speaker 2 (50:39):
Yeah, I'm bummed about that. On the on the Royals
hitting side India leading off, he was ohver five, but
I still like him there. Vinny got to play, but
he only DHD. He was two for two for four
though he had a homer, so that was really nice
to see. Nothing really else in that lineup. Back half
of the lineup is not great. I'm not freaking out
about Reagans Orteg. Speculation is maybe a little bit less

(51:04):
than it was before.

Speaker 3 (51:05):
Yeah, which was sad, which is sad.

Speaker 2 (51:08):
Astros and Mets. The Astros won three to run. It
was Clay Holmes versus Framber Valdez. Clay Holmes went four
and two thirds, walked four, struck out four, did have
eighty nine pitches. We'll see. Framber went ninety seven innings
four strikeouts. Hater ended up getting the save, but he
did give up an earned run on the offensive side.

(51:30):
Nothing crazy to take away. The Mets didn't do much.
They had six hits in one run. Soto got a hit,
Pee Alonso got a hit, Lois on Helicuna got the
start on the uh would that be the strongs short
side of the platoon, I guess, And then on the
Astros side, Krisha Walker ended up getting a hit a
Pardies hit two, and Cam Smith got a hit in

(51:52):
his first at bat, which is awesome, but did get
defensive replaced by Chance McCormick. Probably something you're gonna see
similar to who the hell was Jason Demingez, Like, we
were seeing some of those guys getting taken out early on.
So you know, I so love Cam Smith and I
love that, But Prady's hitting two was really the only
like lineupy thing that maybe stood out.

Speaker 3 (52:11):
Weird. Weird for the Shows to win a game with
no extra base hits. I don't see any doubles or
triples or bombs at all. Seven hits, three runs, all
singles for the Astros. But yeah, I mean praidus. They
had announced he was going to hit two SNAs prize there,
Like you said, Cam Smith. You know, great bat. Definitely

(52:31):
going to be defensively replaced because he's not used to
playing the outfield. So nothing huge to take away. I
love how efficient Fromber was. That was great for sorry Bramboury.

Speaker 2 (52:40):
Yeah, he looked solid. He was able to go deep,
you know, unlike Reagan's. I also like where they were
putting cam Smith in the lineup. I think that gives
a lot of potential. He's not down at eight was
his six? Right? Yeah, that was same as Christian Campbell.
I like seeing both of that. I think that's really
really positive for both of those guys. So those are
actually anyway.

Speaker 3 (53:01):
Oh no, no, no, you're right.

Speaker 2 (53:02):
Six six Braves and Padres was a like weird ass game.
Padres ended up winning seven to four. You just had
like lead changes left and right. Uh. Michael King was
massively inefficient. He went two and two thirds, walked four,
only struck out three. Could not I mean seventy six pitches,
not even in the third inning. Yeah, duh, that's going

(53:24):
to end up happening. So that one was kind of
brutal for him. On the offensive side, though, Fernando Tatis
was three for four two stolen bases, but Bogarts had
a stolen base, Machado had a stolen base. Heavily about
Drake Baldwin. They demolished Machado with two stolen bases tells
you everything you need to know. Five stolen bases on Baldwin.

(53:45):
If Baldwin is in there, teams are running. But Tatis
after the game talked about how he was like last
year on one foot and he wants to run more.
I'm in there's no reason in my mind to not
buy that he is going to be more aggressive on
the bass paths. When he talks about the health holding
him back from running. Huge for Tatis owners.

Speaker 3 (54:04):
I think, yeah, especially, you better get those stolen bases
when you pimp your single, right, did you see that?
He kind of stood there and watching it hit the wall,
So get your ass running. But yeah, great to see
him see a couple bases. But I think you're right.
I think this was mainly at the back of Drake Baldwin.

Speaker 2 (54:22):
It definitely bald Machado's stealing is like, yeah, that's one
hundred percent. At Merrill had four RBIs, which was solid.
Gavin Lux had a pinch hit homer, so he continued
the spring thing. I will say this got to eat
the rob Robert Swarz was efficient. I mean he did
walk one, but he struck out two. Got the save,
but Jason Adam was in before him. I still think

(54:43):
he would be the guy if it ended up getting there.
But Robert Swarz with the save on the brave side,
profar led off. Michael Harris was kind of put down
in the lineup a little bit, which is interesting. Chris
Sales seven strikeouts, five innings, three yearned runs. It was solid,
grant home at an inning of relief with all the
starter you'll get there. They're just pushing that there.

Speaker 3 (55:04):
But yeah, I think they may not need him in
the first turn.

Speaker 2 (55:07):
So yeah, that's exactly right. But Michael Harris I don't
love regardless of you know, platoony position stuff, just you know,
hitting lower in the lineup isn't really fantastic. But I
don't know if there's any.

Speaker 3 (55:18):
Well we'll see. I mean, at profar keeps striking out
three times, he's not gonna last the top.

Speaker 2 (55:22):
So well, when Acuna gets back, they'll that'll also be rectified, Yes,
by a lot of Cardinals and Twins. Cardinals won five
to three with their weird like we put all the
good guys in the back of the lineup. They're probably smart.
Victor Scott and Mason Wynn combined to go zero for
seven with two strikeouts, but Jordan Walker had a hit

(55:43):
and it registered like one sixteen, so he already put
up the hardest hit ball of the season. Sunny Gray
five innings, six strikeouts. Hellsley ended up getting the save.
We saw Burlson hitting four or five, Donovan hitting three.
Noop bar was your lead off bar. How to, Homer
was two for four, Aaron Otto was two for four,

(56:05):
and Brendan Donovan was two for four. At the top
of that lineup, there might be some Cardinals value on
some of the players. I didn't think, dude.

Speaker 3 (56:12):
Yeah, I mean I Brendan Donovan hitting three is huge
for his value. Burlison because he's just like sitting out there.
Yeah yeah, he's just he's available everywhere. So, yeah, exactly
what you said. I but I think again, this is
a lineup where you know, when mix Or Scott, Jordan Walker,
any of those guys start hitting there, there are spots

(56:33):
available up near the top of the lineup for them
to push guys out of. So you know this is.
I think the Cardinals' lineup is going to be a
meritocracy this year. I think after the first three weeks
a month, you're gonna start seeing shifts. The hot guys
are going to hit near the top and the cold
guys are going to slide towards the bottom. I think
we could see a lot of mix up in this

(56:54):
lineup this year.

Speaker 2 (56:56):
Let it go over to the Twins. Matt Wallner let
off again, didn't do much, he walked. There wasn't a
ton in this offense. Trevor Larnick hit four, by the way,
and he was two for three. That continues. There's gonna
be some fantasy value. Willie Castro walk a hit, he
was out there. That's kind of interesting. Baita at the
bottom of the lineup, Pabo Lopez five innings. He gave
up eight hits, though struck out only three, did not

(57:18):
walk any. Looking at the Savant page again, I'd have
to look at the year over year. Fastball did touch
ninety seven, but he sat around ninety four. Everything else
looks normal, but it just was kind of inefficient. Fastball
was in the zone. It was getting no whiffs. It
was only called strikes. But the change up forty five

(57:41):
percent wiff rate, but sweeper and sinker. That's what I
meant to say. Change up was good forty five percent,
and it was getting called strikes, but the sweeper and
sincer weren't really doing it. Both under fifty percent, both
not getting a bunch of whiffs or strikes. Was just okay.
And it kind of reminds me a little bit of
the conversation I had with Eno Whereino was just like,
I don't know, man, Pablo Lopez. His limit at best

(58:03):
seems like top twenty SP So maybe a little bit
down on Pablo Lopez there. I don't know how you
feel about him. I'm like, I don't know where you
had him in general.

Speaker 3 (58:13):
Yeah, I was still pretty high on Pablo. I think
he had a huge second half. So this is this
is a little concerning, but again I'm not going to
freak out after the first start if he piles up
against you know, some of these this is not one
that can be written away by the Rangers lineup, but
the Braves lineup for Michael King, you know what I mean, Like,
this is a lineup you should be dominating, and you didn't.

(58:34):
So uh, that is where I'll say there's a little
bit concerned, but I mean we're talking, you know, my
panic level is a one out of ten.

Speaker 2 (58:43):
Yeah, but he gave up eight hits. He gave up
eight hits. He also had eight hard to hit registered
balls again, so I'm looking one oh nine, one oh
two one. He was in the zone though, one oh
one ten. Yeah, dude, like all, let me look at
this all seven I'm sorry, seven of the eight were

(59:03):
one hundred miles an hour or over, and I believe
five of the eight were like one ten or higher.
So yeah, that's I mean, he doesn't like to walk, guys,
but he's not getting big whiff stuff. And he left
it in the zone and was getting smashed as hard.

Speaker 3 (59:15):
Hit so pitching and throwing you have to use everything,
even outside of the zone. So uh, he's gonna need
he's gonna need to bring it back together. But I'm
not again, I'm not hitting the panic button for one.

Speaker 2 (59:27):
Yeah.

Speaker 3 (59:27):
Yeah, it's eyebrow raising.

Speaker 2 (59:29):
Yeah, yeah, it's something to it's something to to watch.
There's multiple guys in here that it's like we'll watch,
you know, the down or the up, and what is concerning.
I don't think Pablo I'm gonna put into like the
Zach Gallan like, I am more Zach Allen worried than
anything else.

Speaker 1 (59:45):
Uh.

Speaker 2 (59:45):
The Dodgers beat the Tigers pitching matchup of the day
to Scooble, and Snell didn't live up to it. Snell
five innings, four walks, two strikeouts. Scoobale five innings, four
and runs, two strikeouts, gave up two homers, he only
went eighty pitches. Really didn't look great. The most frustrating
and weirdest thing was Tanner Scott came in the eighth

(01:00:06):
and then Brett Blake Trinon got the save. So very
annoying because Scott came in in the leveragy left hand situation,
which we kind of speculate on. But I had been
mentioning Blake Trinan as the potential save option even though
they have Kirby Yates. So we'll see. But that is
now three different closers for closing down three different games,
and we'll have to see where that goes. Anything on Trinon,

(01:00:29):
Are you a little bit worried about Tanner Scott at all?

Speaker 3 (01:00:31):
Yeah? I am, because I do think that they're gonna
move this bullpen around. I still think the opportunities are
there for Tanner Scott, you know, and this team is
going to win so many games. I don't know at
the end of the year. It's really you know, matificly
this early. Will it matt at the end of the year.
I'm not sure it will. But it is concerning. It's

(01:00:52):
eyebrow raising, it's all those things that we say we
don't like to see a guy that should have this
specific role using it another role. So hopefully we don't
see too much more of it, but I think we're
gonna know by the end of the first two weeks
of is this gonna be a musical chair situation or
is it gonna be mainly Tanner Scott with Blake trying

(01:01:14):
to thrown in or is it gonna be mainly trying
in with other guys thrown it.

Speaker 2 (01:01:18):
We'll see, but I'm gonna put it on the list.
I'm gonna put it on the list of like concerns
because I think it is something to watch for that
it's way more situational than we were hoping for. Lineup
another homer by Shohyo Tani. Mookie was out there got
a hit for the Warriors. Ta Oscar with a homer.
Tommy Edmund another homer, not big average, but he's showing

(01:01:39):
off some big power. Like to see that. And peyhas
getting some starts is actually some sneaky value at nine.
We'll be on the lookout for that for deeper leagues.
On the tiger side, we did see Bobrisky. He was
looking good. Looks like he's gonna be the potential closer. Offensively,
you mentioned him. Spencer Torkelsen walked four times, scored two runs,

(01:02:00):
was one for one with a homer, and was four
It is hard to deny that Torcos might kind of
be back. I don't love the top of the lineup.
It was a Banya's leading off. Torys and Riley Green
are okay, but I mean, I guess they were three
for ten on there. But there's a lot of strikeout potential.
I wish there were some better table setters. But Torq

(01:02:22):
might be back locked in bogs And maybe the Manzardo
answer is not the right one. Both of these guys
are guys are good option to pick up right now
if they're available.

Speaker 3 (01:02:31):
Yeah, they're both very good option. It's just Torque did
it all spring now with Torque is the guy. Like
in my last update, I moved him up the most
more than anybody else because he just crushed Spring and
he hit cleanup in Spring a bunch, and that's exactly
where he was in the opening day lineup. And he's
already bringing his Spring with him to the regular season,
so that was huge. Obviously, this team missing Matt Vierling,

(01:02:54):
missing Parker Meadows in the lineup right now, so the
lineup will get better later in the season. But said
I'm not a big fan of it. Banya is leading
off either, but that will be Fearling at some point.
Nice to see many Margo get on the horse and
go two for three, and his first start there.

Speaker 2 (01:03:09):
He's just like Signs and he's hitting in the five spot.
Cold Keith hit behind him. He was zero for five.
They keep putting Baias out there, Carpenter and the platoon
stuff is kind of stinky. But Torclsen, I think we're
gonna put Torque on the up as well. I got
quite a few up guys from this, and then we'll
go over this at the ends. We've only got one
more game, but Torclsen kind of on the up and up,

(01:03:30):
and what was supposed to be like just a ridiculously pitching,
great pitching matchup. It just kind of wasn't We already
talked about the Arizona Diamondbacks. So the final game A's
and the Mariners. Logan Gilbert was great. He went seven
only eighty three pitches, did give up a homer, but
struck out eight, walked none. My boy Andres Munos with
the save. There was very little offense until literally they

(01:03:54):
scored three in the ninth and then they closed it
down the I don't know what is with this team,
but they just do not want to score. Randy Rose Arena,
though hit a homer, practically threw it to the Earth's
crust through the dirt. Horiy Planco three for three with
a homer and two RBI, gained some pretty significant muscle
in the offseason. That might be something there might kind

(01:04:15):
of be back if you're looking for some middle infielder.
We also saw Bliss and to Lez in the lineup.
Roebliss zero for three did have an RBI. We were
hoping for stolen bases. Anything with Polanco for you, I
mean you can speak on a Roseorna Polanco, anything like that.
Anything there for any of these guys for you.

Speaker 3 (01:04:32):
I mean it's a nice first start for Polanco, but no,
not much there. I mean they only had five hits.
The A's only had three hits. This was just not
a very offensive game at all. This was all about
the pictures. And Gilbert looked great. Severno looks strong. That
did you see that back door slider with all.

Speaker 2 (01:04:50):
That frisbee slider?

Speaker 3 (01:04:52):
It was ridiculous.

Speaker 2 (01:04:53):
Severno six innings, three walks. He did walk for though
struck out six throwing that frisbee on the back door
frisbee slider. That is a ridiculous thing to go watch.
Jose Le Clerk blew the same. That was I think
the Arose Arena homer where it blew the A's. You're
gonna have to be a little concerned. The top four

(01:05:13):
in their lineup combined to go oh for fourteen with
six strikeouts. That's not I mean, it's logan Gilbert, but
that's not gonna work. Butler did have a walk. There
was nothing for Rooker. Soda Strom though, that's who it was.
It was soda Strom, Torkal, sin Manzarto rank those for me.
Soda Strom had two homers in this game. He was
two for three. Definitely good. There rank Soda Strim, Torkal, Sin,

(01:05:38):
Manzarto in your eyes.

Speaker 3 (01:05:40):
Torque, Manzao, Manzarto, and Soderstrom, I think is the way
I would do that.

Speaker 2 (01:05:44):
I'm Manzarto, Torque and then soda Strom. But those top
two are I think, in a different tier, right.

Speaker 3 (01:05:50):
I mean probably I is soa Strom gonna hit? What's
he gonna hit? That's my question?

Speaker 2 (01:05:55):
Yeah, I mean he was not.

Speaker 3 (01:05:56):
But these are young bets are gonna be inconsistent, right,
But what is he What is his batting average going
to be for the year. He's got all kinds of power.

Speaker 2 (01:06:04):
But yeah, that's true. We're recording this is this game
is going on, and because it is opening Day, and
of course the Rockies are beating the race because like,
of course Ryan Peppio versus Kyle Freeland, You're like, oh,
Kyle Freeland stinks. Pepio is great.

Speaker 3 (01:06:19):
Kyle Freeland Freland out of Colorado is pretty good.

Speaker 2 (01:06:23):
One hit, four strikeouts. They just turned a ridiculous double play.
I just can't with this world. Ryan Peppio four innings,
walked one, four strikeouts. Interesting. Curtis Mead was the lead
off hitter for the race, So I think got something
to watch, Brandon Low hitting three, Cameronaro four, Josh Low
all the way down at seven, and then on the

(01:06:44):
Rockies you had your Doyle is the lead off hitter,
Bryant hitting for totally a five, Hunter Goodman got the start,
and Jordan Beck down at the bottom. Hunter Goodman might
be a double catcher league option. Tovar is looking good,
and Curtis Mead might have some fantasy value if he's
getting some lead off hits. And no on Kyle Freeland,
whatever you ask, No.

Speaker 3 (01:07:04):
Yeah, well I was looking. It's not it's actually not
that much ready yet and last year was the area
is actually worse on the road. But over his career
four to seven six at home for one nine on
the road, it's about half a row half a run better.
Still not great, though.

Speaker 2 (01:07:18):
Here's a little piece against uh Luis Castillo. Soderstrom is
up to five tonight. I just saw so you talk
about he was seven. Uh he is batting fifth behind
Langoliers in blid day. You got alrighty, they're going Butler, Yeah,
Langaliers then soda Strum. That brings some extra value. And
by the way, our Diamondbacks against a righty are going

(01:07:41):
Carol Marte, Guriel Naylor, and then Peven. So in that offense,
if Peven's going to do something, he's He's hitting five,
He's hitting ahead of Johannio Suarez, so strong side of
the platoon. That's why Peven might have some value. Any
other takeaways on opening Day out of MLB dot TV

(01:08:02):
crap in the bed lines, parking food? How long it
took you to order from your seat bogs fifty to
fifty raps? Yeah, what do you got?

Speaker 3 (01:08:12):
That was forty nine thousand people in the crowd. So no,
it's just I'm glad baseball is back, and I'm glad
we have stuff to watch on a nightly basis now
and bed on and you know, Fantasy is back ramping up,
already got a couple of trade offers. So yeah, I mean,
I'm just excited we're back and we're moving on the
normal schedule here, and once I get back home tomorrow,

(01:08:33):
I probably won't ever leave my house again.

Speaker 2 (01:08:35):
So yeah, and we'll have the full schedule. I am
going to go through the final ups and downs here
in a second, but I'm going to be doing for
sure like a Monday stream. We'll also have the Monday podcast.
It's going to be going out, and then usually we
do like a Wednesday or Thursday show and then I
will have like either looking like a way, I didn't
even realize this now that I'm thinking about, I guess
I'm kind of lining my streams up to the podcast.

(01:08:56):
But that's okay, So be on the lookout for that.
But two episodes a week, we'll probably have some guest
ones in there. We'll be breaking down, we'll probably looking
for questions. We may post that on Patreon as well
to answer some of your questions, which is always super fun.
All right, so here's my tally of Opening Day reactionary things.

(01:09:18):
I have two downs, Tanner Scott and Zach Gallen. Now
is that a dramatic down. I'm not saying that. I'm
not saying trade them immediately. I'm not saying get out
from under. But I'm saying concerns from opening Day that
I'm carrying with me. Zach Gallen and his inability to
throw strikes, the fastball, and really how not good the

(01:09:41):
other stuff looked. We might be able to chalk it
off after this game, but he was missing nobody everyone
was hitting him hard and Tanner Scott being used in
more of a leverage situation. If he goes from twenty
five saves down to eighteen, that's a big value.

Speaker 3 (01:09:57):
That's a big difference.

Speaker 2 (01:09:58):
Yeaheah, it's a difference. They're going to go trying in
and they're gonna go Kirby Yates and they're just gonna
play that situational stuff. I don't feel good about that.
Do you agree or disagree with both of them?

Speaker 3 (01:10:09):
I think I definitely agree with Tanner Scott. I think
Zach Gallen is a little bit maybe you're too close
to it. But also didn't look good. I mean, so
I'm not concerned, but you know, he didn't look great,
so I I but I think they are because you
didn't put Michael King on there, right, Michael King looked
like garbage.

Speaker 2 (01:10:29):
Yeah, he was super inefficient, but I guess it was
to your point of maybe feeling a little bit close
to it. King also struggled at the beginning of last year.
But like King has big swing and miss stuff like
Gallen doesn't. Right now, Gallen has to be he was
massively inefficient.

Speaker 3 (01:10:47):
The strike someone was a teacup. So let's see him
in another story if we get if we get another
one of these starts, then I will raise the flag
as well.

Speaker 2 (01:10:55):
So yeah, and I'm not like I'm not again, I'm
not raising the flag. I'm saying two plays that I
am taking some down concerns with off of opening day,
and looks are two pictures. And guess what, that's a
little bit more prevalent than taking it from Hitters on
just a couple of bats. But you know, how far
do we go? We'll see guys that are moving up.

(01:11:16):
I loved what I saw at of Carlos for Dawn
and the up sinker usage. He's just so down there
into the mid range of you know, forties or whatever
of sps. He might have some potential up. Will you're
a bray you going down the list? I like him
to move up that lineup. I thought he looks really good.
He might be a sneaky free piece at sitting out there.
Kyle man Zardo, Spencer Torkelsen and of course number one

(01:11:40):
Mackenzie Gore. I am buying off of what we saw there.
Any of those guys you kind of disagree with any
type of change or no or really anything.

Speaker 3 (01:11:51):
I no, I think those are all good call outs.
I think specifically Mackenzie Gore is the biggest, but I think,
you know, seeing Torque not only get a bomb, but
four walks one for one with four walks is huge.
Seeing Manzarto with three extra base hits in his first
start this year was outstanding. So yeah, I think I'm

(01:12:11):
with all of those callouts in terms of the positives,
those all look very good.

Speaker 2 (01:12:15):
There will probably be pieces that are going to carry
into next week when we start getting like you know,
waiver and trade stuff. We'll be doing that starting next
week over on Fantasy Pros. Joe f why a little
different this year, but like Joe and I are going
to sit down and we're going to talk about trade candidates,
We're gonna talk about waivers, We're gonna do videos each week.
I'm gonna do some prospect stuff, but more importantly Monday
through Friday live. It's on twitch, Twitch dot tv Slash

(01:12:40):
Fantasy Pros. If you want to watch Leading Off live
at twelve pm Eastern, then within about forty five minutes
it'll be up on the YouTube YouTube dot com Slash
Fantasy Pros MLB. If you want to just watch it
and you can't watch it live, and then we'll have
some other cool videos two episodes here. We're still twitch,
dot tv slash in this league as well. For any

(01:13:00):
of the times I do the streams or in this
league dot com on the Patreon, I will curate and
post write to you when going live or just any
of that crazy fun stuff. And that is it. And
by the way, a very cool moment shout. I want
to shout out my boy Joe Rico for randomly like
seeing this and thinking about it. But like I don't
really care about like Twitter and followers. We don't ever

(01:13:20):
talk about that stuff. But I have had my eye
on getting to twenty thousand for quite some time, and
I was like super close yesterday and I'm like, I'm
not going to tweet it because if I tweet it,
I'm gonna lose people because that's how people are and
I'm just not going to be that person. But then
Arico randomly tweeted it, and then I quote tweeted and
I said in the live chat bogs, I went watch,

(01:13:41):
I'm going to quote teet this and lose people. I
one hundred percent lost like two people immediately, and I'm like,
he's come back, but one of it was probably Yeah,
four or five minutes before opening date, first pitch, I
hit twenty thousand, So that was actually like a cool
moment for me. I twenty thousand on the Twitter, you know,

(01:14:02):
which is important in like my field and stuff like that. Yeah,
happened right before opening day, which was a randomly cool thing,
just like, okay, cool first pitch and we got there.
So I appreciate everybody, and thank you for unfollowing me
and blocking me. Bog.

Speaker 3 (01:14:15):
Yeah, yeah, I have blocked you. I've unfollowed you. So
you're gonna fallow under twenty thousand real quick.

Speaker 2 (01:14:20):
Yeah, I'm already.

Speaker 3 (01:14:21):
Congratulations. That's huge. I mean it is for what we do.
Just having a presence is huge, and getting the twenty
k on Twitter is legit. It's I think twenty k
on Twitter is what one point seven million on TikTok?
Isn't that the same type.

Speaker 2 (01:14:34):
Of number or what I have? I am. I'm a
nothing burger on TikTok.

Speaker 3 (01:14:37):
I need to I don't even have TikTok. I told
you I have an account, but I don't ever go.

Speaker 2 (01:14:43):
I got this friend you met, I what an introduce you,
but you saw me say hi to him last night
and he kind of does some things that I do.
Is no Twitter presence, almost nine hundred thousand Instagram and
I'm like, good lord, I screwed up. I should have
gone in that route. But Twitter's like where my little
following is. But thank you to everybody that did that.
Thanks everybody that's been hanging out and make sure to

(01:15:03):
follow us at is It the Welsh and at Bogman
Sports see all that we got going on. Enjoy the
rest of your first opening baseball weekend. Let's get into
the big part of fantasy for our lineups, and we
will be there for you right here in this league
next week. I have a great one, Bogman Safe travels
back to Texas. Thank you yea.

Speaker 3 (01:15:21):
Hopefully no delays, fingers crossed delays.

Speaker 2 (01:15:25):
All right, guys, talk to you letterbody, soya

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Episode 786 - Opening Day Reactions

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.css-14f5ked{margin:0;word-break:break-word;display:-webkit-box;-webkit-box-orient:vertical;box-orient:vertical;-webkit-line-clamp:2;overflow:hidden;}Episode 786 - Opening Day Reactions