Market Matters from New York Life Investments

This week on Market Matters, Julia Hermann breaks down two sets of market-moving political events –  France’s government reshuffle and Japan’s leadership shift – and what they mean for sovereign yield curve behavior. 

The U.S. government has shut down, furloughing federal workers and halting key economic data releases. Julia Hermann and Sarah Hirsch discuss how the data blackout complicates the Fed’s October 28–29 meeting and what it means for markets. 

What does a new era of security-first economics mean for investors? Julia Hermann and Michael LoGalbo break down this element of a broader geopolitical regime shift – diving into current events in Eastern Europe as a prime example.  

After a nine-month pause, the Fed has resumed an easing cycle. Lauren Goodwin and Sarah Hirsch explain why this will be the start of a sporadic, not sustained, easing cycle, and how that shapes the outlook for the economy and markets going forward. 

The Fed is set to deliver its first rate cut in nine months. How will the latest jobs revision and inflation data shape the market outlook ahead? Lauren Goodwin and Julia Hermann break it down in this week’s episode of Market Matters. 

Capital markets have priced out the worst-case scenario from U.S. policy uncertainty, but policy risks remain. Join Julia Hermann and Sarah Hirsch as they discuss the September Macro Pulse, examining what policy risks mean for inflation, the potential path for the Fed, and what it all means for investors. 

From diverging interest rate cycles to policy uncertainty, the first half of 2025 shifted private markets. Lauren Goodwin and Sarah Hirsch share their outlook across private markets asset classes and highlight where investors may find resilience and long-term value. 

The narrative of a global exit from U.S. assets has been loud this year, but the data tells a different story. In this week’s episode of Market Matters, Lauren Goodwin and Julia Hermann explain why investor demand remains strong and what central bank flows reveal. 

Continuing a four-part series on debt sustainability: Europe has a strong legacy of fiscal discipline, but often at the cost of productive investment. Lauren Goodwin and Julia Hermann host Florence Pisani, Chief Economist of Candriam, and Nicolas Jullien, Global Head of Fixed Income at Candriam, to discuss the future of debt sustainability in Europe.  

The team’s series on sovereign debt sustainability continues, this week with a focus on China. Julia Hermann hosts Valentina Chen, Head and Portfolio Manager of the Emerging Market Debt team at MacKay Shields, to discuss how China’s systemic over-leverage influences everything from the country’s economic business model, to the nature and scope of investment opportunities in Chinese credit.  

Join Lauren Goodwin and Julia Hermann for a special recording of Market Matters, on the 34th floor of the New York Life building in Manhattan. Your hosts will launch the team’s latest megatrend research on global debt sustainability: can major economies keep up all this spending? And what do higher sovereign debt levels mean for asset allocation?  

Are markets underestimating the ripple effects of recent tariff changes? Lauren Goodwin and Julia Hermann break down the latest data, policy shifts, and market signals. 

On this week’s episode of Market Matters, Lauren Goodwin and Julia Hermann deliver a midyear macro check-in, breaking down the four key forces shaping the second half of 2025: market complacency, labor market cooling, Fed policy uncertainty, and the sweeping impact of the “One Big Beautiful Bill.” 

Lauren Goodwin and Julia Hermann assess how recent U.S. involvement in the Middle East may affect inflation, commodities, and asset allocation. They offer a practical lens to evaluate risk beyond headlines. Tune in for a thoughtful analysis. 

Lauren Goodwin and Julia Hermann examine a key question hanging over global allocation: do investors want out of the U.S.? This week’s episode explores what recent Treasury auction results and a weaker U.S. dollar reveal about investor sentiment and global capital flows. As diversification gains attention, they examine whether these shifts signal a broader move away from U.S. assets or simply reflect a changing global landscape. 

Lauren Goodwin and Julia Hermann introduce the newest member of the Global Market Strategy team, Sarah Hirsch! Julia and Sarah break down the latest macro data, including how tariff pressures are working their way into consumer activity. They explore what it all means for the Fed, the economic outlook, and investor positioning. 

Bond yields are rising, and tariffs are back in focus. This broader spectrum of policy uncertainty may require investors to adjust. Julia Hermann and 'Macro Mike’ LoGalbo discuss options for duration management and diversification this week on the podcast.