Market Matters from New York Life Investments

Our Fed cut checklist has been valuable tool for gauging this Fed's patient policy. For the last two years, only one of our four conditions was met. Now, others are falling in line. Lauren Goodwin and Julia Hermann discuss how recent data may finally bring a Fed pivot – and what that means for investors.  

France and the UK have gone to the polls – with stakes that feel similar, but diverging market reactions. Lauren Goodwin and Julia Hermann discuss the lessons for investors on both sides of the pond. 

Lauren Goodwin hosts Alex Cook, Head of Strategic Capabilities at New York Life, as they explore how artificial intelligence is ushering in transformation at New York Life. They focus on AI’s practical applications, ethical considerations, and the future impact of AI on client and company outcomes. 

The infrastructure required to enable the AI boom is daunting – and presents investment opportunities across the real estate spectrum. Julia Hermann hosts Simon Martin, Chief Investment Strategist at Tristan Capital Partners, to explore the next phase of the AI buildout in the U.S. and Europe. 

With AI moving at lightning speed, venture capital offers a unique perspective into the pipeline of companies at the forefront of generative AI technology, related services, and infrastructure. Joel Albarella, Head of NYL Ventures, joins Julia Hermann to discuss this vantage point into AI investing.

We can easily imagine a future state with AI at the center of innovation and investment. For investors, the most important question is: what does it take to get there? For Lauren Goodwin, Julia Hermann, and Michael LoGalbo, AI is an investment megatrend with long term impacts, but with investable approaches that are actionable today. 

Geopolitical risk has so much impact on navigating the markets, but can feel impossible to position around. Lauren Goodwin, Julia Hermann, and Michael LoGalbo talk through their framework for how geopolitical risks make their way into portfolios, and discuss investment approaches that can seek to protect against – or benefit from – macro volatility.  

Commercial real estate has been considered a simmering risk for the U.S. economy. But amid pockets of stress, investors can find opportunity. Julia Hermann is joined by Jon Miniman, Global Portfolio Manager at CBRE Investment Management, for a look under the hood of listed real estate. 

A year after a near-crisis, U.S. banks are showing resilience. But with interest rate moves, an economic slowdown, and normalization from a pro-liquidity environment ahead, what is next for the banking sector? Julia Hermann hosts a comprehensive status update with Portfolio Manager and Credit Analyst Mark Kehoe of MacKay Shields. 

NYLIM’s Global Market Strategy team is handing listeners their allocation playbook. Lauren Goodwin, Julia Hermann, and Michael LoGalbo have teamed up to stack up their macro views, allocation approaches, and specific asset class views to help investors navigate not just this cycle, but the next. 

This week on the podcast, Lauren Goodwin, Julia Hermann, and Michael LoGalbo launch their new economic outlook series: Macro Pulse. Tune in for their updated views on the global macro cycle themes impacting asset allocation.

The U.S.-China tech relationship has risen to the top of many investors’ geopolitical concerns. From TikTok to chip production, the past few weeks have seen several developments in this relationship, carrying both risks and opportunities. Tune in as Lauren Goodwin and Julia Hermann unpack this long-term market force. 

New data on immigration into the U.S. has sparked new discussions among economists. Is it the missing link to explain strong economic growth? Lauren Goodwin and Julia Hermann discuss what they learned – and what they didn’t – from the recent figures.  

The Bank of Japan’s historic decision to end its Negative Interest Rate Policy has far-reaching implications for global investors. Lauren Goodwin and Julia Hermann discuss the shifts in Japan’s economy that allowed for this policy adjustment, and what it means for government bond demand and the long-term path of global interest rates. 

2 months of slightly-too-hot inflation. A Fed meeting this week. A market eager for interest rate cuts. Lauren Goodwin and Julia Hermann are standing by their base case and sharing updated scenarios for prices ahead.  

The dollar’s up – but what does a strong dollar really mean for investors? Julia Hermann and Michael LoGalbo navigate the maze of recent short-term dollar movements and how this can translate into an international investing approach.  

This week, Super Tuesday marks a major point of progress in the 2024 U.S. president election. As candidates’ policies firm up, Lauren Goodwin and Julia Hermann give investors a guide to what’s still outstanding in the primaries, key policies on the table, and how to spot policy-based opportunities.  

The market’s late cycle jitters have been assuaged by the persistent AI trend, with a single company in the forefront. Lauren Goodwin and Julia Hermann dissect this year’s equity market leadership, and what investors can do when opportunities feel concentrated. 

China’s economic woes have been in the news lately, but investors’ picture is more dynamic: should we focus more on the risks of China’s old economic model, or the opportunities of its new one? Valentina Chen, co-head and portfolio manager of MacKay Shields’ emerging markets debt team, joins the podcast to share her perspective.