McAlvany Weekly Commentary

McAlvany Weekly Commentary

WEEKLY MONETARY, ECONOMIC, GEOPOLITICAL NEWS AND EVENTS

Episodes

Big Money Flowing Out Of U.S. Dollars

May 21, 2025 • 27 mins
Buffett Eyes Japan As A Stronger Currency Trump Is Isolating Iran From Its Perceived Friends Register For Thursday's Webinar "What we will look for as the final element in the international investor trifecta spurring on increased capital flight is when the US economy slows considerably. So if you then combine a slowing economy on top […]
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Tariff Song That Never Ends: On, Off, On, Repeat

May 14, 2025 • 27 mins
Chinese Admitted To Bessent, They Knew Biden Was Weak "Strong Dollar" Policy Being Reversed By Trump Administration Dollar Recycling Shifting To Gold Recycling "Gold has been interesting. For the month of April, 70 tons, roughly 7.4 billion in gold, was purchased via ETFs in China. That's double the previous month's record. I think tariff uncertainty […]
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Central Banks’ Unstoppable Appetite For Gold

May 7, 2025 • 35 mins
Gold's Rise Since 2008 Has Been A Policy Choice Of Central Banks David Rosenberg Sees $6k Gold In 3-5 Years Attached Charts: Gold Price VS Central Bank Buying "In a bear market, there's no straight line from overvaluation to undervaluation. It's a process, and this happens over and over again, all the way down. Believing […]
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Eliminating Emotional Investment Mistakes with Process

April 30, 2025 • 59 mins
This week, we’re joined by Keith McCullough, founder and CEO of Hedgeye Risk Management. Keith is a former hedge fund manager and a leading voice on building data-driven investment processes that take emotion out of decision making. In this conversation, we discuss: How top hedge fund managers approach risk and opportunity Thinking about money through a […]
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Dollar Dangerously Near A Breakpoint

April 23, 2025 • 28 mins
Outflows Out Of U.S. Assets Going Into Gold Goldman Sachs Increases Gold Price Prediction China Increases Gold Imports On High "So this is why I would say equities are a sideshow, the weakness in equities, the current compression across the indices. Relative to the bond market and currency market, that's what it is. It's a […]
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Why The United States Always Reinvents Itself

April 16, 2025 • 58 mins
This Week’s Guest: George FriedmanGeorge Friedman is one of the most respected voices in geopolitical strategy today. As the founder of both Stratfor and Geopolitical Futures, his work has shaped how analysts and leaders understand the long-term forces driving global events. With decades of experience forecasting international conflicts, economic trends, and national realignments, Friedman brings […]
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Bye Bye Bretton Woods

April 9, 2025 • 38 mins
This week’s McAlvany Weekly Commentary covers the shifting global financial landscape through the lens of tariffs, gold’s historic surge, and structural market volatility. David walks through the implications of what may be the end of the Bretton Woods era as we’ve known it, and why investors should be paying close attention to the signals coming […]
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Happy Liberation Day!?

April 2, 2025 • 40 mins
5 More Stealth Bombers Moved To The Middle East S&P Down 4.6% QTR, Gold Up 19% QTR DOW/Gold Ratio Removes Emotion From Allocation Decisions "Months ago, this is what we were talking about. The leaders out of the 2022 decline, the ones that have recovered fastest, there was a narrative supporting that recovery through '23 […]
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Gold Signals A Reset

March 26, 2025 • 33 mins
Bessent: "End Intox With Detox" Anxiety High With Uncertainty Of New Rules Personality Test Identifies Trump With Churchill, LBJ, Castro, & Jack Nicholson "We may or may not be able to grow our way out, but the efforts to shrink the scope of expenditures and drive economic growth via economic expansion instead of government expansion—two […]
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Gold At Triple-Triple Zero

March 19, 2025 • 37 mins
US Dollar Down 27.4% VS Gold Over 12 Months Hard Asset Stocks Clearly Outperforming Bond Index How To Multiply Stock Holdings With DOW/Gold Ratio "I think we are entering a new phase in the metals market. Many investors who up to this point have never owned the metals, they're the ones who are looking and […]
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Flight To Gold & U.S. Treasuries

March 12, 2025 • 36 mins
German Borrowing Costs Surge Trump Calls Tariff The Most Beautiful Word China Says: "You Want War?... Fine" "We've often noted the migration of crisis from financial and economic to the political and geopolitical realm. We should not forget that the largest buyers of gold today are acquiring it as a strategic allocation, not merely as […]
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Markets Signaled Trump / Zelensky A Month Earlier

March 5, 2025 • 29 mins
European Defense Stocks Soar Since Jan 1 Three U.S. Goals: Minerals, No NATO Ukraine, Europe Pays Fair Share Gold Up 70% More Than DOW In 25 Years "It was as if Trump and Vance were saying, "You want to raise the guarantee issue again? That was a firm no, don't try and play the press […]
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The WWII Monetary Order Is Over

February 26, 2025 • 65 mins
Bill King On Russia, Iran, China, & Bretton Woods III Should Trump Expect The Reagan Double Dip Recession? DOGE Attacks The Grift & Skim Government “The gold is an okay inflation hedge. It's an enormous political hedge, and that's what's going on. China, especially Europe. Europe is in deep, deep trouble. Now the good news […]
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Rising Gold Still Waiting For Western Investor

February 19, 2025 • 36 mins
Median Age Of Renter Is Now 42, Up From 33 Trump Will Get A Victory Lap If He Cuts Middle Class Taxes Strong, Long-Term Holding Gold Buyers Dominate Market "I think Trump gets his victory lap if he can aid middle-class taxpayers with cuts, social security becoming tax-free, the extending of cuts already in place. […]
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A Weaker Dollar Is On Trump’s Agenda

February 12, 2025 • 34 mins
Gold Price In Dollars To Rise China Approves Gold Now In Its Insurance Company Portfolios Russian Consumer Demand For Gold Up 60% Since Ukraine Invasion "A weaker dollar is on the agenda, and this is a decided shift to force the dollar lower on a managed basis, ultimately will require a multilateral currency agreement that […]
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Trump: Breaking Bad To Remake Good

February 5, 2025 • 35 mins
Radical Re-think On Dollar Boosts Gold's Future Read Doug Noland's Latest Credit Bubble Bulletin Read Morgan Lewis' Hard Asset Insights "If the US is to be the primary winner in the restructuring of the global system, it will come at the expense of our trade partners. Think about China and over a trillion dollars in […]
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Will DeepSeek Be Deepshock To The Market?

January 29, 2025 • 28 mins
NVIDIA Loses Over Half Trillion In One Day The World Needs Resources The Fed Can't Print DeepSink Is AI's Sputnik Moment "So earnings growth in the AI space, admittedly meteoric if not miraculous through the early quarters of 2024. Earnings growth slowed considerably in late 2024 and as we come into this year. And if […]
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The Trump Sounds & Volatility Shall Follow

January 22, 2025 • 33 mins
Executive Orders Signal Immediate Change Mr. Bond Vigilante Still Has The Strongest Say Uncertainty The Best Driver To Gold "So returning to the executive orders, at the end of page 2, I was saying, "Wow." At the end of page 5, each page with at least 10 executive orders on it, it was awe-inspiring, ambitious […]
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Your Mission Critical Checklist For 2025

January 15, 2025 • 45 mins
AI Tech Bubble Says, "Feed Me"! How Will Trump Respond To Financial Instability? The Fed Can't Get Longer Maturity Interest Rates To Go Down "This is one of the factors which is super bullish for gold. Bond markets are signaling a divergence for monetary policy, and implicitly saying that either fiscal commitments are already too […]
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Trump Is Bold But Liquidity Is A Coward

January 8, 2025 • 29 mins
Interest Rates Rise In Worldwide Competition For Liquidity Mag 7 Stocks Represent 70% Of Trading Volume Gold & Dollar Rise In 2024, What Does That Mean? "Yeah. I mean, breadth is the idea of how spread out the participation is in a market move to higher levels. Are all boats rising with the tide or […]
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