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November 7, 2025 69 mins

Welcome to Buy, Sell, Hold Miami weekly podcast for a no-nonsense perspective on South Florida real estate from a pair of locals with differing opinions.

Each week, real estate advisor Daniel Hernandez of Compass Real Estate and longtime analyst Peter Zalewski of the Miami Condo Investing Club™ break down the housing market headlines, unpack policy changes and provide unfiltered analysis on everything from condo terminations to Vintage unit fire sales, luxury speculative homes to developer strategies.

Whether you are a homeowner, investor or real estate professional, Hernandez and Zalewski will give a local perspective on what is really happening across the tricounty South Florida region of Miami-Dade, Broward and Palm Beach with no fluff, no hype and plenty of data-backed opinions.

We call balls and strikes on when to buy, sell and hold.

Episode Overview

In this Nov. 7, 2025, episode of Buy, Sell, Hold Miami podcast, Hernandez and Zalewski analyzed structural risks impacting the South Florida real estate market.

This 70-minute discussion focused on developers pushing new projects before an anticipated market downturn and the political undercurrents affecting local governance.

The hosts noted that a flurry of development announcements and groundbreakings—including major projects from habitual offenders—suggests developers are trying to launch their projects now before the market cycle turns.

This suggests a “make-it-or-break-it” mentality.

The latest economic signals support this caution.

The Federal Reserve actions, led by Chairman Jerome Powell, are pivoting from inflation concerns to job market weakness, which is impacting consumer confidence.

One new project discussed is a Nobu-branded residential tower in the Brickell Avenue Area of Greater Downtown Miami, planned by 13th Floor Investments.

The project is slated for 74 stories and 300 units.

Zalewski questioned the logic of food-related branded condos, such as Nobu, suggesting that the main appeal is the association with Japanese culture and celebrity owner Robert De Niro, rather than a quantifiable increase in quality.

In Miami’s Coconut Grove neighborhood, the new Four Seasons Residences are reportedly 50 percent sold and moving toward groundbreaking.

The development is taking over the site of the former Kaufman Rossin building.

Zalewski noted that the Ritz-Carlton, located across the street from the new Four Seasons site, is aging and carries very high maintenance fees.

Developers must navigate the demands of residents in Coconut Grove, a community known to be sensitive to new development.

The new Four Seasons units are starting below $6 million and aiming for completion in early 2028.

A significant market trend is the continuation of developer buyouts. A developer—identified as the builder of the Continuum in Miami Beach—purchased the Mariner’s Bay condo project in North Miami for $48.5 million.

The buyout price translated to about $1 million per unit, representing a 300 percent to 400 percent premium over the last recorded sales prices in the old building.

This high price is characteristic of a land play rather than a market investment.

The discussion shifted to Fisher Island, the nation’s wealthiest ZIP code, where Florida’s largest vertical condo developer—Related Group—bought a lot for $180 million to develop a project.

This site, however, contained bunker fuel tanks essential for supplying PortMiami’s cruise and container ships.

PortMiami uses the Fisher Island site for fuel storage due to the lack of available space on Dodge Island (the main port land), which is entirely manmade from dredging the bay.

The county and the port are pushing back, arguing that the fuel terminals are necessary for commerce.

This creates a potential confrontation where Related may be forced to sell the land back to the county, possibly through eminent domain.

Fisher Island itself contains a lot of Vintage units that are at least 30 years old.


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