In this episode of Money, Markets & New Age Investing Greg puts forth a new macro-thematic thought process as a way to answer what has become THE MOST asked question of the year…"why now, why after decades of worry, does the US Public Debt MATTER???"
The answer is simply physics, and a study of "stabilization" and "rotational angles", and the physics behind how a seesaw "works".
Just like Greg's "Debt Black Hole" analogy...the "see-saw", Pete Seger's "Teaspoons of Sand" theory, and the dynamics linked to mass, weight, and angles...to suggest that see-saw has FLIPPED, away from GDP growth, Income growth, Discretionary Spending growth...and the see-saw is now weighed-down by TRILLIONS of spoonful's of sand, which now FAR "outweighs" the economy's capacity to produce growth, without relying on even MORE DEBT.
The Fed remains behind-the-monetary-policy-curve, and the Mortgage REITS, Property Developer's shares, the Dow Transportation Average, and Consumer Discretionary sectors got WHACKED last week, as the Fed is facing a Housing market CRISIS, Deflation in the Labor market, a Consumer Credit contraction, and NOW HIGHER INFLATION thanks to Trump's tariffs.
The Consumer has reached the tipping point.
The Mortgage market has reached the tipping point.
The Housing market has reached the tipping point.
The Labor market has reached the tipping point.
And without the Fed, the Stock-Bond Ratio stands directly in HARM'S WAY, at its most over-valued level EVER, by a factor of more than 2:1, beyond the high in 2000, the high in 2007, and the high in 2018, all of which preceded a MAJOR decline in equity indexes.
Yes, the Stock market has also reached...a tipping point...particularly when stock indexes are compared to Bonds and/or Gold.
What to do???
Start by listening to today's episode, and for Greg's recent US Macro-Market Special Focus, 47 pages of mega-cool charts and thoughts...email Greg directly at gregweldon@weldononline.com
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