Episode Transcript
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(00:00):
Anybody in that role? My mailman, OK, the guy who put
my Chipotle ball together earlier today, Double chicken
light on the brown rice. If you put that guy in this up
this role, 24 total opportunities per game, 85% of
snaps on the Bengals offense. He's finishing top five for
fantasy football running backs. Yes, guys, it is officially
(00:27):
fantasy football draft season. So I am coming at you today with
my Top 40 running back draft rankings.
Now before we crack the Top 40, there are four or five running
backs I want to talk about real quick in that kind of backup
handcuff range. Jalen Wright is the first guy.
Raheem Mostert is out in Miami on a different team now backing
(00:50):
up Ashton Gente in Las Vegas. So there should be about 8
opportunities per game for JalenWright in the Miami offense if
he fills into that RB2 role. Next guy is Kyle Manongai out of
Rutgers, the rookie, so the competition on the backfield
ahead of him. Roshan Johnson, DeAndre Swift,
those are legit good running backs.
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But The thing is, guys, Ben Johnson's coming over.
New head coach in Chicago. In his offense in Detroit last
year, Gibbs and Monty combined for 35 opportunities per game if
you add up their opportunities for each of them.
So if Monongai can just beat outone of those running backs, beat
out Roshan Johnson, for example,beat the RB2IN Chicago, he is a
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very good sleeper going well outside the top 100 picks and
drafts well outside. Trey Benson is the next guy, a
great James Conner handcuff. We're going to talk about Connor
in a little bit. Jordan Mason also on this list
coming in at RB 42, seems like he's going to get the goal work
in Minnesota. And then Austin Eckler, guys
actually ranked third among all running backs last year in
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fantasy points per touch. One of three running backs have
one plus fantasy point per touch.
So I just thought that was interesting.
Obviously it's very heavily reliant there on pass catching,
but Austin Eckler is always a good pick as like an RB5 for
your roster. Could do much worse in those bye
week fillings. OK, now hopping into Tier 6 with
the Top 40 running backs coming into RB-40.
(02:13):
I've lowered Quin Shawn Judkins to RB4 range.
Here he is my RB40I. Expect him to miss six games.
When he comes back, he's going to be very good.
Jalen Warren at RB-39 and then RB38.
Dylan Sampson and he is a guy I want to talk about real quick.
So Dylan Sampson, I expect him to be the Quin Shawn Judkins
fill in here in Cleveland. Now this thread at no expert FF
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on X was from February 26th. Samson was the guy I identified
as a deep, deep sleeper. OK, this is before he was even
on the Browns, but I really liked him coming out of college.
And the reason is because we just mentioned Jalen Wright.
People have liked Jalen Wright for a pretty long time now.
Two or three years he was Dylan Sampson was the complimentary
running back to Jalen Wright 2022 and 2023 at the University
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of Tennessee and he out rushed him in points above average per
attempt evasion rate, positive percentage, boom percentage,
bust percentage. OK, so on a per touch basis,
Samson's actually better than right.
Samson then went on to have an elite 2024 season in college
after right left, and he is the ideal draft age.
RB is drafted at age 20. There's not very much of them.
So if you are 20 years old and get drafted, OK, like in a
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meaningful, somewhat meaningful round day one, day 2.
All right, that's a very good sign.
Typically, and there are stats to back this up, but running
backs drafted at age 20, they break out more often, They're
given more opportunities. They do great things with those
opportunities. I have a whole thread, advanced
metrics thread on breakout rate for straft age at no expert FF
on Twitter. Long story shorts.
Judkins kind of out of the picture, really opens the door
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for Samson. He is my #1 running back, true
deep sleeper. OK, Zach Charbonnay guys is the
next guy on the list. And if we're talking about
fantasy points per touch, which is my favorite metric, you're
going to hear it mentioned a lottoday.
For R BS, Zac Charbonnay among RBS was 70 attempts last year.
So basically that just means allthe relevant R BS among the
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relevant R BS last year, Zac Charbonnay 7th most fantasy
points per touch and half PPR 0.89, half PPR points per touch.
For reference, Ken Walker all the way down here.
I shouldn't say all the way downhere, but down here at 20th
among those running backs .78 fantasy points per touch.
Now, when Charbonnay filled in for Walker, who by the way,
they're the exact same age, OK, when they filled in, when he
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filled in for Walker last year, 21.2 fantasy points per game.
There were five games he was thestarter.
By the way, that is the exact same amount of points per game
as Saquon Barkley over the course of the entire season,
21.220 plus opportunities per game, well over 5 yards of
carry, and he was a top three fantasy running back.
So definitely opportunity existsfor Charbonnay if he can get
this backfield to a 5050 split. Man, if Walker even misses a
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game, which he's missed 2 plus every year of his career, he has
a value. Sharpen is going in like 10th,
11th round right now. All right, Tyrone Tracy coming
in, cracking the top 36 here. I think he's going to have some
early season value, but at RB-35.
Another guy I want to talk aboutreal quick is Cam Skataboo.
I expect Skataboo to take the job, I don't want to say sooner
rather than later, but like maybe midway through the season.
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Whereas like a Trevion Hendersoncould be a later in the season
thing. Now Tyrone Tracy was actually
pretty good as the starter last year as the lead running back
for the Giants, so I do like himin his own right where he's
going in drafts. I think both running backs are
good picks, but with Scataboo, he was the only 2024 running
back in college to have 1000 rush yards, 500 receiving yards,
and over 1 1/2 yards per out run.
Him and Genti are the only two running backs with over 100
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missed tackles. Force last season was absolutely
incredible, 2300 yards and 24 touchdowns, all-encompassing.
OK, so I mean, it's starting this week.
It's July 21st when I am recording.
This training camp's kicking offthis week and it's an immediate
competition scataboo versus Tracy.
I'm interested to see how it goes.
Rounding out Tier 6 here, I haveTony Pollard at RB-34 or Madre
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Stevenson RB-33, Javonte Williams RB-32, RJ Harvey at
RB-31, and Aaron Jones at RB-30.I'm a little lower on guys like
RJ Harvey and Tony Pollard because I'm a little higher on
guys like JK Dobbins and Tajay Spears, who we're going to talk
about. All right, so hopping now into
Tier 5 and this is where, you know, some takes begin, some
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takes begin to come to light here.
So as I mentioned, JK Dobbins, RB29, he is in Tier 5 here.
So this ranges from RB-19 to RB29.
So your low end RB twos, high end RB threes.
I think Dobbins is the perfect fit for Sean Payton.
Dobbins is still a young runningback despite multiple pretty bad
injuries. Productive and good for fantasy
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football last year on the Chargers and goes to a great
destination here. Sean Payton, Denver Broncos.
I think he starts the season. We're talking about the data
that backs up how 20 year old R BS are super good. 24 year old R
BS like RJ Harvey typically struggle and again, there's more
of them than not. So I'm not really in on RJ
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Harvey to start the season. Maybe he takes it over midway
through later in the season. But JK Dobbins is is really good
and I think he's a very good fitfor Peyton.
So good pass catcher, efficient,can get it done on the goal
line. I'd be surprised if it's the
Harvey show to start anyway. Trevion Henderson is the next
guy on the list. He's coming in at RB28.
So I view Henderson as this year's Bucky Irving versus
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Rashad White versus or Madre Stevenson.
So Irving and Henderson versus White and Stevenson, it's kind
of how I view this. I I think that Stevenson is
going to have good value to start the season.
If you're playing like a volume league, right?
Stevenson's a good pick. But last year, Henderson is the
only rookie running back 1000 plus rush yards, 200 plus
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receiving yards and seven plus yards per carry.
He has never lost a fumble on 667 career touches.
That is an insane step. Stevenson's problem, guys.
Again, it sounds silly, but he fumbles the ball all the time,
so I just think it's a matter oftime before Henderson takes over
here. One of the most talented rookie
running backs we've seen in a while.
We move on to RB26, Brian Robinson, junior RB25.
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Just outside that RB2 range is Caleb Johnson.
I think that is a perfect fit inPittsburgh to just take over the
Naji role. Listen, if you think Jalen warns
the guy, explain to me why Pittsburgh is going out and
getting Caleb Johnson. He is the perfect, perfect,
perfect fit for Mike Tomlin and geez, dare I say even Arthur
Smith who is the bane of fantasyfootball greatness.
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But yes, it's true. Arthur Smith, Mike Tomlin, Caleb
Johnson, this match is made in heaven.
Caleb Johnson's a three down running back.
He's capable of doing it all. So I just expect him to take the
Naji role. 18 plus opportunitiesper game last year.
So yeah, all in on Johnson. OK, now we get into our RB twos
still in tier 5. I've David Montgomery, Isaiah
Pacheco, DeAndre Swift at RB22, Joe Mixon at RB21.
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I'm a little lower on him. I think the offensive
coordinator changing is not a good thing for Mixon.
It really was the 30 plus chance.
Joe Mixon per game show said those words out of order, but
you guys know what I mean last year and it, I do think the
offense kind of goes back to CJ Stroud and letting him cook a
little bit in 2025. All right, James Cook comes in
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at RB20, much lower than where he finished last year and even
the year before. But right now Ray Davis is
taking those first team snaps because James Cook is trying to
get his money. So the longer that goes on, Ray
Davis is a very good running back.
So maybe he takes that early season work.
And then at 19, I do have TravisEtienne, OK, A lot of people
forget with Travis Etienne guys that he was one of the greatest,
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one of the greatest college RB prospects of all time coming out
of Clemson. And this year, I expect him to
play this Bucky Irving role in Liam Cohen's offense.
I mean, Liam Cohen has already come out.
There are videos existing onlineand there will be more through
training camp and saying, no, ETN is our RB one.
They are building this offense around the type of plays, the
type of zone runs and outside runs that he likes, OK, getting
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him in space. And the similarities between
Irving and ETN really are there.So in that role last year, for
example, just the role we're talking about, like the ceiling.
I think ETN could have this year, last season, weeks 10 to
18, he was the RB6. Irving was in Cohen's offense 19
plus opportunities per game and again, only 50% of snaps.
So those of you worried about two in or Bigsby, geez.
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I mean, they could both combine for 50% of the snaps and we
could see ETN still being a top ten RB because for fantasy,
because of the type of opportunities he'll be given in
this offense. I'm very excited to see it.
Now ETN is simply one year removed from RB2 overall, behind
only McCaffrey in twenty 2316.8 fantasy points per game.
So Cohen is saying he's the RB-1and that's going to round out
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tier 5 and we're going to get into our top 18 running backs.
Now, one guy I did want to mention though, who I glossed
over at RB27 was Taije Spears. So we'll we'll back up real
quick. I think Taije Spears is the best
Titans running back. Just another very stereotypical
scenario here where the backup running back, if you will, on
the depth chart is a better value.
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OK, in drafts because they are more talented and it's only a
matter of time before they take over.
We always bet on those situations.
Younger running backs, more efficient running backs.
If they're both of those things behind a veteran on a depth
chart, it's great. This is the example.
So I think Spears is the best running back compared to Tony
Pollard. Spears was top 12 in fantasy
points per touch last year. 0.84fantasy points per touch.
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Tony Pollard 49th guys out of 56qualified running backs. 0.57
fantasy points per touch. Spears was given that lead role
in the fantasy playoffs last year.
A lot of people don't remember this because Pollard was a
little bit banged up, but Spears61% of snaps, weeks 15 through
17 and on those snaps, 20.7 fantasy points, 16 opportunities
per game. Only four better running backs
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in that span, and their names were Jonathan Taylor, Beaton
Robinson, Jamir Gibbs, and JamesCook.
So we got to be in on Spears again, similar to Samson, not as
deep of a sleeper, but my numberone sleeper is Spears.
OK, let's go ahead and move intoTier 4 with these high end RB
twos, beginning with #18 Breece Hall.
He was my guy last year. Major disappointment.
I can't say I'm all the way backin a lot of talk around about 3
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running backs getting work in that offense.
Maybe it lights a fire under his, you know, but I don't know.
I'm not really sold on briefs Hall this year.
So we'll see. You have Fields and two other
running backs we're going to getwork and I, I don't know.
But for now, high end RB2, I think there are worst picks and
drafts. Chuba Hubbard at RB-17, Alvin
Kamara at RB-16 never finished lower than RB-15 Kamara in
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points per game going past that draft.
So an absolute value. And then at RB-15, cracking the
top 15 running backs is James Conner.
Because James Conner is coming off of his most impressive
season of his career. Last year he had the most
opportunities in the season since 2018.
He had his most carries ever in a single year.
He had 18 plus opportunities pergame, which is the golden number
for top 12 fantasy running back production.
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And he had his second best yardsper attempt of his career last
year. He is absolutely still a bell
cow. I do view Trey Benson as legit
competition to the point where if Connor were to go on IR, for
example, it would probably be a 5050 split coming back.
And that's and that's really thereason why Connor is not drafted
in like the top four, top three rounds, even just 'cause he's 30
and Trey Benson exists. And if he does go down, it's
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going to be a tough path to overcome.
OK, the next guy, RB 14 is Ken Walker and RB-13.
I have a Marion Hampton all the way up to RB-13 now with Hampton
guys, Naji Harris is going to miss training camp.
I should say the start of training camp on the NFI list, a
firework incident. So it was a non football injury
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related list. Nonetheless, he will be missing
a couple weeks here most likely.Harris last year, right?
Even if he wasn't missing, Harris last year was so bad that
it's only a matter of time before Hampton takes over.
Harris last year. 0.6 fantasy points per touch, 46th best
among 56 qualified running backs. 3.9 yards per carry,
third worst among all running backs with 200 plus attempts.
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Trash guys all right, like this is like Gus Gus Edwards 2 point
O Naji Harris. OK.
Meanwhile Hampton his last 25 games played 3100 plus rush
yards, 300 rushing touchdowns. I'm sorry that's so funny. 30
rush touchdowns in his last 25 games, not 300.
What I wanted to say was he has 300 plus touches in back-to-back
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seasons. So he is an absolute 3 down
workhorse freak of nature and heis the perfect fit for the
Chargers and he is approaching RB-1 territory here.
At the top of Tier 4 at RB-13 isOmarion Hampton.
Now let's go ahead and get into Tier 3 where we have our true
locked in RB-1's guys who if they are the RB-1 on my team,
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I'm happy. OK, maybe I'm looking for an
RB2A little earlier with some ofthese guys, but for the most
part I'm very happy with my RB position.
We'll start with Kyron Williams coming in at #12 same story with
Kyron past two years, I should say past year.
Just all the talk about Blake Quorum, other running backs
being drafted, he's playing thisrole in practice, blah, blah.
End of the day, Kyron will most likely get paid here on the Rams
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and he will most likely be the RB-1 again.
Bucky Irving coming in at RB-11.Now I'm a little lower on Bucky
Irving because Liam Cohen has left for all the same reasons I
like ETN. They make me worry about Bucky a
little bit. I'm not going to give you the
undersized running back narrative because honestly, the
majority of my top 12 are undersized running backs, as you
will see, because guys like a Chan Gibbs have blown up that
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argument. But with Irving, I don't.
We we've yet to see Irving just put together game after game
after game after game of like 20opportunities per game where
everybody else on this list has done that.
OK, so I'd love to see Irving get that volume.
He doesn't necessarily need it, but I'd like to see him do that.
OK, before I start ranking top 8.
For example, Derrick Henry's coming in at 10.
Another guy I'm lower on. I have him tagged here as an
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avoid in my rankings. I wouldn't say I'm necessarily
avoiding him, but I'm not payingthe top fourteen overall price
for Henry. And I'll be the guy who says it
because now it's an unpopular opinion, but I don't want 30.
However, old Derrick Henry as the lead RBMI fantasy team with
a weak RV 2 where I'm relying onhim week to week.
OK, Derrick Henry is really onlygood for fantasy when the Ravens
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are leading games happens to be like 80% of them.
That's great. But if the team doesn't do as
well as they did last year, for example, and he finished RB
three, that's awesome. But I view last season really
for Henry as like the ceiling for him.
And sure, he was the best running back in fantasy to start
the season, you know, for about two months there.
But I don't think that Henry coming in at RB-10 has RB one
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overall ceiling. I think his ceiling is RB2
overall, but I just don't think he has that ability to take his
fantasy production to that true league winning.
Like I'm talking like prime McCaffrey, like like something
like that, like a 400 point season.
OK, I just don't know if he has that and I'll be the guy to say
it. I I I will be the guy to say
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that he doesn't catch passes. He's heavily reliant on them
winning games and game script and 18 touchdowns a year.
All those things are awesome when they happen and and a lot
of recency bias comes into play.Like he's on unstoppable.
He's the best ever Derrick Henry.
Cool, but when I look at the guys, the nine other R BS ahead
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of him on this list, I feel safer about them and I view them
with a similar ceiling. So Speaking of, we have Josh
Jacobs coming in at RB-9. OK weeks 5 through 15 last year.
So I mean that's 75% of the season guys.
Barkley was the best RB in fantasy, 21.1 points per game,
and Jacobs was the second best RB at 20.7 RB two.
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He pushed for 350 total touches in his first season as a Packer.
I don't see that changing. I view at least another 300
opportunities loading here for Jacobs and this resume.
Man, when we just look at his fantasy finishes beginning last
year at RB6 in 2023, he was RB28.
Not so great, but 2022 RB 3, then RB 11 and 21, then RB 8 and
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2020. So it's really four out of the
last five seasons he's been a top 12 RB and that is a floor
that I am down to pay for now. Next up, RB8IS Jonathan Taylor.
I view Taylor and Jacobs honestly as as pretty
interchangeable, but one guy do have kind of clearly ahead of
them even though they're in the same tier here at RB-7 is my
guy, Chase Brown. So full time role here for Chase
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Brown as the lead Bengals running back weeks 9 through 17
when Zach Moss was out of the picture, 24 plus total
opportunities per game. That metric right there, 24
opportunities, that's more of a stat than a metric, but that is
elite. Elite.
That's like Saquon level, OK, 85% plus snaps played unheard of
these, this combination of stats, 24 plus total
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opportunities and 85% plus snapsplayed Anybody in that role?
My mailman, OK, the guy who put my Chipotle ball together
earlier today, Double chicken light on the brown rice.
If you put that guy in this, this role, 24 total
opportunities per game, 85% of snaps on the Bengals offense,
he's finishing top five for fantasy football running backs.
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It's a fact. OK, now 20.6 PPR points during
the span and the RB three overall.
So I think Chase Brown and we are going to take a look guys at
AD PS at the end of this sort ofafter we go through the rankings
and and I'm going to try to point out some values to you.
Chase Brown should absolutely begone in the second round and
he's not. He simply isn't.
So as soon as those elite R BS are off the board like those top
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six guys, it's Chase Brown's season and he's going to the
third so should be all day. I'm fine reaching for him in the
second. OK?
I'm all excited about Chase Brown and we'll move on to our
top 6 running backs here, beginning with Tier 2 guys.
OK, Tier 2 running backs, numbersix, I've Devon A Chan and if
you told me that Tua will be completely healthy, a Chan will
be completely healthy this year,he'd be a top three running back
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for me because when he was completely healthy last year and
Tua was as well, he was the bestrunning back in fantasy.
All right #5 I have Saquon Barkley and there's a bit of a
theme going on here with some players who you guys love, who
the community loves and I don't love as much.
Saquon is one of them at RB5 andyou know I've seen him at RB
one, I've seen him in RB234. Never really seen him as low as
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I have him. So mainly just because history
does not favor I again, I don't want to be this guy who just
like falls in these categories, but I look at probabilities of
things that I think are going tohappen.
For example, if you told me. I always use this example.
You're like, yo, so James Connerhas missed at least one game in
every single season of his career, right?
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Would I say, would I just go no,James Conner's injury prone?
No, But I would say it would be dumb to ignore that.
You know what I mean? I, I think it's dumb to label a
player as completely injury prone, but I, I don't think
that's totally accurate. And I, I don't think it's right
as well to ignore the fact that they are a little bit like if
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you go into a draft saying, Nope, Connor's going to play 17
games, the probability is not isnot in your favor on that.
So you have to look at these trends and these and this
history and you can't ignore it.So let's take it into context
here. If you were to say, right,
Saquon was the best RB in fantasy last year, He's so good
at football. I hear people say that all the
time. By the way, every running back
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on this list is very good at football.
The top ten guys are absolute monsters, but if you are to
ignore the fact that the runningback one OK from the previous
year doesn't often repeat. If you are to ignore the fact
that the RB who leads the position in touches doesn't do
so great for fantasy the following year, you're putting
yourself at a disadvantage. OK, So what I'm trying to say is
if you're blindly drafting Barkley RB-1, if you're blindly
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drafting Barkley one O 1 in yourleagues, I don't think that's
completely the best thing to be doing.
And that's actually not a super unpopular opinion, but I do have
him lower than consensus. So the total touch leaders at
the position, if we look at 2024or we look at, let's just say
this. So I'm going to take you through
a list of players who led the position of RB in total touches
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the year before, and I'm going to tell you where they finished
the next year. So keep in mind Saquon led the
position last year in these touches.
McCaffrey finished RB68 last year, Josh Jacobs RB28 the year
before, Naji Harris RB 14. That's a pretty good one.
Derrick Henry RB21, McCaffrey again, RB53.
Zeke Elliott the best one on this list RB3 Le'veon Bell
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didn't play football David Johnson RB112 Adrian Peterson RB
123. So the history of the player of
the RB who leads the the position touches how they do the
following year is not so great. OK, then we look at this right?
Let's talk about just for fantasy, 2018 Todd Gurley, 2019
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Christian McCaffrey, 2020 Alvin Kamara, 2021 Jonathan Taylor,
2022 Austin Eckler, 2023 Christian McCaffrey.
They were all RB one overall. Where did they finish the
following year? Now I'll let you guys go look
that up, but I will give you a hint, none of them are RB one
overall. OK, so Saquon's coming in at RB5
and again, he's in the same tieras Arby's 3 through 6, so
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technically I could be ranking him as high as RB 3, but at RB4
I have a young man by the name of Ashton Gente.
OK, now we look at great runningback seasons here from rookies,
and Saquon Barkley is actually on this list.
In 2018 he finished RB one overall.
So we look at that. We look at 2016 Ezekiel Elliott,
RB2, OK, overall, 2021 Najee Harris, RB three overall.
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What they all have in common is 350 plus total opportunities.
Now that's a lot, OK. But the Raiders vacated 295 RB
opportunities from last year, OK, That's 70%.
Typically RB-1 elite, elite RB-1's see around 80% of
opportunities. So if 70% of the RB
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opportunities in Las Vegas IS300in a year, by the way, where
they're not going, they did not run as much last year as they as
they will this year. So if Gentie sees 80% of the
opportunities which he was drafted to do, that will be
around 350. And he absolutely has RB, one
overall ceiling, Pete Carroll, Chip Kelly, Ashton Gente,
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matches made in heaven. OK, so RB4 for me, and it's very
high. I acknowledge that, I
acknowledge that. But I don't want to hear
anything about, oh, he's never played football before, OK,
coming in at RB3. And this is a guy who kind of
goes against what I've been saying if we're looking at Henry
and Saquon, but it is Christian McCaffrey.
And that's because those former two guys, Henry and Saquon, are
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not in the category of ChristianMcCaffrey.
They simply are not because Christian McCaffrey is in the
category of players such as Ladainian Thomas and Marshall
Faulk. Priest Holmes.
OK, Goats. Goats.
Greatest of all time fantasy football running backs.
OK. Most PPR points scored in a
single season by running back Lt. is first was 481.
McCaffrey at 2nd 471. OK, this is the type of player
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I'm talking about here. We this whole thread at no
expert FF on Twitter takes you through.
Is McCaffrey the greatest fantasy PPR running back of all
time? The answer right now is not yet,
but he is absolutely top four inhis last seasons.
OK, last seven seasons he's either finished RB1RB2 or he's
been injured. So if McCaffrey gets 1516 games
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this year, he'll be RB one or two.
So he is worth the draft pick inthe second round.
And finally guys, we will move ahead to tier one.
My RB-1 and my RB2 overall will start at RB2 and it is Jamere
Gibbs. Now Jamere Gibbs was in the same
tier as McCaffrey, the A Chan Saquon.
He was in Tier 2 until I createdthis metric which helped me
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predict Chase Brown last year. And who am I thinking of A Chan
last year? And that is fantasy points per
touch, which we've talked about a little bit so far on the show.
But Jamir Gibbs LED every singlerunning back with 1.07 half PPR
points per touch. OK, And you look at the next
guys on the list, James Cook, who had 18 touchdowns, right?
So he did it because of touchdowns.
(26:04):
You look at next guy on the list, Austin Eckler, he did it
because of touchdowns. Next guy on the list, Henry
Montgomery, they did it because of touchdowns probably.
But when you look at Gibbs, you're like, damn, he just did
it because he's nasty. OK, 1.07 half PPR points per
touch is major. A Chan, for example, typically
leads this metric. He leads it over the last two
seasons, 0.91 he comes in at 6thand then Charbonnay at 7th, who
(26:26):
we mentioned before. But the most efficient fantasy
point scoring running back last year was Jamere Gibbs and not a
lot of things are changing to suggest that it will change this
year. In fact, the new offensive
coordinator replacing Ben Johnson has come out and said
that this offense will run through Gibbs and he's loving
Jameson Williams as well. But really will be the Gibbs
show, the offensive line gettinga little bit worse.
(26:48):
I actually think the games mightbe a little closer.
OK, with that being said, when the games are closer, you need
the versatile player on the field.
It is not David Montgomery if the team is a little bit worse,
right Without, without Ben Johnson.
It works in a weird way where Gibbs is going to get more work,
more snaps, more opportunity because he is the more versatile
player. Pass catcher, OK, can still
score on the goal line, big playability.
(27:11):
And This is why the best player always comes out on top in these
backfields and we've seen it. I remember a year ago, can't
have Gibbs. Gibbs does not have RB.
One overall ceiling, David Montgomery, all this nonsense.
You are all very quiet now. OK, so anyway, and then finally
guys, the best player in fantasyfootball for me this year.
I labeled him as the number one pick, the best pick, the one O
(27:31):
1. If you can have any player, you
pick him. And yes, over Jamar, right?
Unless we're playing three wide receiver, right or some some
crazy scoring. But my RB-1, my one O 1, my GOAT
for this year is Bijan Robinson.And he kind of reminds me of the
Josh Allen, even though he doesn't have the resume yet of
(27:52):
just top two, top two, top 2 finish.
But he reminds me of that floor that you pay for.
OK, at this position, it's very,very rare where we see a running
back with a floor like Robinson's.
And it was on display last year.So week 6 through 18, so the
back 7570% of the season, he hadthe highest weekly RB-1 finish
rate among all running backs. He was an RB-1 in 83% of games,
(28:16):
so that is A123456789101112 gamesample.
He was a top 12 RB in a in ten of those 12 games.
He was in RB2 in one of them andhe was outside the top 36 RBS
and one of them scored 10 pointsin week 11, OK.
When I compare him to the other running backs I mentioned, I
view him as getting more opportunities.
(28:38):
So a safer floor than Gibbs, OK,more experienced than Genti and
I I just said I'll never use that argument against him.
And if you do, you're invalid, right, right with Genti.
But if we're talking Bijon versus Genti, yes, OK, more
experience than Genti. We've seen him play.
There's a little bit less risk there.
He has less risk historically like we talked about with
Barkley and less injury risk than CMC and HN.
OK, And there's no denying that.So what I want to do now is take
(29:01):
a look at fast draft guys. By the way, link in bio use
code. No expert one word.
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(29:23):
I'm going to take you through some values that I see on the
board here at the RB position. I just simply control left the
word RB here and I'm going to sort through.
So Dijon coming in at one O 2 right away.
I mean, if I if I'm at one O 2 and he's on the board, he's on
my team. OK, so right away.
I like that. Sequan at RB3 and 3rd overall.
I don't like that. OK, this is what I'm talking
about. I wish he was kind of closer to
10th overall. Jamere Gibbs at RB3 and 6th
(29:47):
overall. And excuse me, I think I
misspoke. Saquon is the RB2 on fast draft
right now. Gibbs is the RB 3.
Gibbs at 6th overall. One of the best picks you can
make. Ashton Genti's getting his
respect. RB four, 7th overall.
Love to see that at RB5. McCaffrey is 10th overall.
A little expensive for him, but I think it's a good price.
Then we have RB 6th overall. Derrick Henry right at at 15th,
(30:09):
15th overall. I don't like that.
OK, A Chan right behind him, 16th overall all day.
A Chan should be a top 12 pick. He's going 16th on fast draft JT
20th overall. Really like that pick.
Chase Brown has snuck into the second round, as I was alluding
to before, 23rd overall. That's great.
Chase Brown followed by Jacobs at 24th overall and Irving at
(30:29):
25th. So I like Brown and Jacobs ahead
of Irving here at that 2-3 turn on fast draft.
Breeze Hall at 32. Kyron Williams guys at 36th
overall and that's I mean, we'reapproaching the fourth round,
OK, so Kyron Williams is an absolute value.
Hampton in the fifth round, 41stoverall all day guys.
So again, like I said, code no expert, one word, you get up to
(30:51):
50, up to $50.00 deposit match, which is just a great value.
That's like two or three free drafts and I'm streaming fast
draft guys on Twitch. Check out the Twitch channel.
But that's going to do it for today.
Ladies and gentlemen, hope you appreciated the rankings and
good luck in your drafts.