MNF NFL week 11 Dallas Vs Raiders Breakdown

NMP - Better Bettors breaks down the NFL MNF match up Dallas Vs Raiders.

Episode Transcript

(00:55):
None. What's going on?
Not Move Nation. Welcome to the Not Move podcast.
I'm here with JB Sport Talk. We're going to break down the
Monday Night Football game tonight between the Dallas
Cowboys and Las Vegas Raiders. Thank you to the sponsors, bet

(01:17):
you. Thank you to the sponsors.
Bet US mybookie.agwalmart.com Open Goal, the MLB and NFL Pro
Shops and W Energy drinks. Also thank you to the
supporters, subscribers, followers.
We really appreciate you. Good morning Ivan.
In case I didn't mention it, today is November 17th at 10 O

(01:40):
6:00 AM Eastern Time. So yeah, we have the Dallas
Cowboys and Las Vegas Raiders tonight.
The Las Vegas Raiders are want to know all time against the
Dallas Cowboys. The Raiders are 7 and six all
time against the Dallas Cowboys.Geno Smith has a zero and one

(02:03):
career record against Dallas. Pete Carroll has a nine and
eleven career record against Dallas.
Javonte Williams, the running back for Dallas, has a two and
five career record against the Raiders.
The Cowboys are favored by 3 1/2.
The Over Under is 50 1/2. I didn't really see any big time

(02:25):
injuries in this one. Looks like CD lambs available.
Pretty much all the guys for both teams.
Now. I'm sure there are some injuries
here and there, but you know thebig time offensive injuries.
I don't I don't see anything overall.
I give the Cowboys a pretty goodsize passing advantage.

(02:48):
I give the Cowboys a decent sizerushing advantage, a slight
third down conversion advantage,a slight red zone conversion
advantage, a slight red zone attempts per game advantage, a
big sacks on the quarterback advantage.
JB, why do I feel like the Dallas Cowboys squander this
game away? And if they do win, why do I

(03:11):
feel like they're not going to win by more than three points?
I mean, are you in that same same bandwagon with me?
Because it's the, Because it's the Cowboys, boy, man, I don't
know it really. Because, dude, it is.
Because it's the Cowboys and theRaiders.
Anything could happen with thesetwo.

(03:31):
It's Monday night, prime time. You know, this is just the type
of game that the the the Cowboyscould squander away and that the
Vikings could actually touch like in a bottle and win.
Oh, Raiders. Raiders.
Yeah, the Raiders good. You know, the the the Cowboys

(03:51):
could squander this one away. This is just that type of it's
that type of year. We're about to be at the Dallas
Cowboys Super Bowl Thanksgiving.So we know that they can't
muster up too many wins to therebecause we know that they're
probably going to win that one, right.
Like that's just what the Cowboys do.
That's their that's their game. You know, I be honest with you

(04:16):
though, I don't see the the Raiders winning.
Gina Smith is a horrible definition of a quarterback.
Pete Carroll needs to go back toretirement, away from that
sideline at least, and Tom Bradyneeds to get out of ownership or
maybe get a little bit more gripon it because the Raiders just

(04:38):
suck. They're trash lines that win.
Yeah, I'm thinking that that line's just too, too big, man.
Yeah, I could see the Cowboys losing this game.
And if they do win, I I don't think that they win by by 4 plus

(04:58):
points, you know, man. And I was looking at what Dallas
averages on the road, they're points per game on the road,
Ivan. And what Las Vegas is allowing
points per game at home and viceversa, what the Raiders are
averaging per game at home, how many points and how many Dallas

(05:20):
is allowing on the road. And you know, I came up with the
Cowboys at 22.85 points tonight and the Raiders at 25.35.
So I got the Raiders just based on that equation, winning this
game by by two or three points. Both of these teams have the
same record against the spread this season.

(05:42):
They're both four and five against the spread.
And you know, the over under, you mentioned 50 1/2, they've
scored a combined total of 51 plus points and three out of the
last 10 meetings. So more times than not, out of
the last 10 meetings, it's gone under that total.

(06:04):
The Cowboys, however, are six and three to the over this
season. The Raiders are three and six to
the over. So I mean, if I were to lean one
way, I'd be leaning towards Raiders plus the 3 1/2 and under
50 1/2 total points, Ivan says. Like, I know they both give up
points, but let's be serious. Yeah.

(06:32):
What do you expect, JB? Do you think it goes over the 50
1/2? Do you think this is going to be
a high scoring game? Low scoring game.
If it's a high scoring game, it's going to be a high scoring
game for Dallas Cowboys. You know, I mean, they might,
you know, I'm not going to the Raiders might get into the end
zone. You know, I mean, I say that
Raiders score like, you know, I don't know, 14 to 17 points

(06:57):
there, Bob. But I don't see them getting
over 20. I don't see them breaking 20.
And the I think the Cowboys is cool.
I mean, I, I, yeah, I mean, I can see, I can see the game
getting into getting into the 40s overall.
I can see it because the Raidersdon't.

(07:19):
I mean, you look what's OK, Lookwhat Kansas City did to the
Raiders. Not saying that Cowboys are
equal to a team as the Chiefs. What I'm saying is, though, is
that you guys got that high power offense.
So let's look out for that. Yeah, so let's dive into that a

(07:43):
little bit here. Some player props and whatnot.
So I mentioned that the Cowboys have a pretty good size passing
advantage, but I found myself looking up just as many
receiving props, maybe even morefor the Raiders side of the ball

(08:05):
than the Cowboys because the Cowboys pass defense is
terrible. Well, the Raiders just got rid
of Jacoby Myers. You mean who the Raiders have
besides nobody? They have Brooke Powers.
Oh, they got yeah, they got Bowers, but they got Tyler
Lockett now, too. Yeah.
And there's. A reason why Seattle got rid of

(08:27):
them. Yeah.
Guys, not so. Now let's let's talk about the
Seahawks side of the ball. Or not the Seahawks.
If it feels like the Seahawks and Gino and Tyler Lockett,
let's talk about, yeah, the Raiders offensive side of the
ball real quick. They're they're passing offense.
They ranked 27th in passing yards per game at the beginning

(08:51):
of the week. And the Cowboys ranked 29th in
passing yards a lot per game at the beginning of the week.
So a bad passing offense going up against a bad passing
defense. The Raiders call a high a higher
percentage of passing plays relative to the other teams in

(09:12):
the league. They ranked 14th and passing
play percentage. So you know that had me looking
into Gino Smith over under 233 1/2 passing yards.
The Cowboys have allowed the 4thmost passing yards to
quarterbacks at the start of theweek, and Gino has gone over

(09:32):
that in three out of nine games this season.
He's he's only had 200 plus passing yards and four out of
nine games this season. But he has played one career
game against the Cowboys, which he had 334 passing yards, 3
touchdown passes, one interception.
He he loves to throw interceptions and six rushing

(09:55):
yards for one rushing touchdown.I was also looking at his turf
versus grass splits and it seemslike a lot of the years that
he's played throughout in the, in the NFL, it seems like he has
more yards per completion on turf than grass.
This this game is being played on grass.

(10:17):
What do you think, JB? Do you think Gino gets over the
233 1/2 passing yards? Do you think he has 200 plus
passing yards? This month, no, I go under.
You going under on that one? I mean, I don't think.
He hasn't at all there. I don't know.
I mean, I guess I'm I'm trying. Maybe I'm giving Dallas a little

(10:40):
too much credit on the defensiveside of the ball, but I think I
think the Raiders are that bad. I know they're that bad.
You know, I just don't see it. You know what they've done with
the rest of the league and the Raiders been shut down.
And the Chiefs, they scored seven points against the
Broncos. Great defense, you know what I'm
saying? I don't know man.

(11:02):
The the, the, I haven't, I haven't seen anything.
I mean, the very first play of the game for the Raiders of the
year is gently getting stuffed. 2 rushes -5 yards.
You know what I'm saying? Like I've watched these Raiders
since literally first snap of the of the of the year and it's

(11:25):
not it has not looked good. And I think Dallas, I mean,
Dallas does like to play down totheir low, down to their
opponents levels. But I mean, dude, I think that
can take advantage of their defense.
I don't see, I think they can take advantage of of the
interceptions, the lack of umm quarterback play, offensive play

(11:48):
out there in in in Las Vegas. I just don't see a good day.
I see it being a total domination by the Cowboys.
You know, the, the statistics here really don't persuade me to
go one way or another on Gino's passing yards.
But I do think that if there is a game that he goes over, you

(12:10):
know, the 200 + 233 1/2, this isthe perfect game for him.
And then, you know, let's talk about let's, let's see what Ivan
says here. Ivan.
Ivan says this game is weird lolbecause we expect Cowboys to win
and dominate but we know better.We know the Cowboys will flop on

(12:32):
any given day with any given team 100% man.
Especially in a prime time game,you know?
Like I said, the very beginning,very beginning, prime time, this
is the type of game that the Cowboys could squander away and
lose. But and and, and maybe maybe
this is maybe this is maybe I'm looking at it wrong.

(12:52):
Maybe the Cowboys squandered away and the Raiders just place
just just just a little bit better than they have every
other week. Yeah, good enough.
You know, it may be. I mean, this this Cowboys
defense is is terrible. So I mean, if the Raiders can't
get it done here, man, I mean, when will they ever?

(13:15):
Anyways, going back to Tyler Lockett, you know the Cowboys
have allowed the six most receiving yards, 2 wide
receivers before the week started.
And when I checked this morning,Tyler Lockett's over under on
receiving yards is 27 1/2. He's only gone over that in two
out of nine games this season, but he's only played one game

(13:37):
with the Raiders this season in which he had 44 yards, which was
a team high. So he has gone over that
receiving line. In his only career game with the
Raiders this season, they playedthe Broncos.
So if he got it, if he got thosereceiving yards against the
Broncos, I mean I feel like thisis a decent spot for him to do
do so tonight. He had five receptions in that

(14:00):
game, which was a team high as well.
So he led the team in receiving yards in that game against the
Broncos, 5 receptions which he led the team.
He led the team in target share with six total targets against
the Broncos in that game. He's gone over this line and
five out of six career games against Dallas.

(14:21):
I think this is a good spot for Tyler Lockett to go over these
receiving yards. I like this prop.
What do you think, JB? And I know him and Gino have
some chemistry, so it's not like, you know, just some random
guys you know from a different team is coming on.
These guys have experience together.
JB Do you think Lockett has 28 plus receiving yards?

(14:44):
I mean, it looks like their onlyoption besides Bowers.
You got to be able to get more than 20 yards receiving, right?
Yeah, 1. You got to be able to get more
than 25, right? Like usually you're looking at
players ending games with what, 30 + 40 plus ish?

(15:06):
I mean, maybe, maybe less. I don't know, maybe this.
Yeah, I I I see that you could probably get it.
I I like it. I do like it.
Jacoby Myers being gone. Here's Tyler locked it.
You know he's their only other option.
You know, I, I feel like I feel like he can pick up some big

(15:30):
gains in this game. I feel like he can go over that
in one catch. I'm trying to find the games
where he's had 20 plus or 40 plus receiving yard catches and
I don't think he's had any so far this season, but I mean I
think he's capable of it. So I would really be looking for

(15:55):
if you guys are interested. You know, I've noticed that the
Dallas Cowboys have allowed 940 plus yard receiving gains this
season, which is tied for secondworst in the NFL.
So if you're looking for that big play, I'm actually seeing

(16:16):
Trey Tucker ranks 37th in yards per catch.
So maybe that's the way to go here.
Trey Tucker, whoever is that deep threat for the Raiders, I
feel like has a great chance of catching a 20 + 40 plus yard
yard gain tonight. You know I'm I'm looking at I'm

(16:36):
looking at Trey Tucker's statistics.
He has 720 plus yard receiving gains this season, 140 plus.
So just whoever you guys feel like the deep threat is, I feel
like it's lock it. But you know, I could be wrong.
Maybe. How old is Tyler Lockett now?
Maybe he's. He's he's.

(16:58):
His legs have left him in Seattle, their seaboard.
So do you think, do you think Trey Tucker has a better chance
for the the long ball here? Yeah, probably.
I mean, I guess from what I've seen, Tyler Lockett was just
catching a lot of like mid passes, you know, wouldn't want

(17:19):
to, wouldn't nothing deep wouldn't burn nobody.
You know, he, he's, you know. And you know, I've I've noticed
Brock Bowers, he's had 320 plus yard receiving gains this season
and all and all was actually against Oh, never mind he's had
6 excuse me, 620 plus yard receiving gains, zero 40 plus

(17:44):
yard receiving gains. We'll talk about his props here
in just a a moment. But I mean, you know, I see Trey
Tucker over under 42 1/2 receiving yards.
He's gone over that in four out of nine games this season.
He's had 30 plus receiving yardsin six out of nine games this
season. He's never played against the

(18:04):
Cowboys. So, you know, I'm going to have
to lean towards lock it being the guy tonight as far as the
wide receiving Corp goes. That's my favorite wide receiver
tonight for the Seahawks. And then, you know, Bowers, the

(18:26):
Cowboys haven't. Before the week started, they
were not specifically great or terrible at defending against
receiving yards or receptions allowed to tight ends.
Brock Bowers over under 74 1/2 receiving yards.
He's only gone over that in two out of six games this season and
he's never played against the Cowboys throughout his career.

(18:49):
So that's really limited information that we're working
with. Also, his over unders on
receptions is 6 1/2. He's only gone over that in one
out of six games this season, but he's had five plus
receptions in four out of six games this season.
So for those of you who like to do the alternate lines, I think
doing the five plus receptions is what I'm feeling most

(19:12):
comfortable here with, you know,in regards with the Bowers prop.
What do you expect from Brock Bowers tonight, JB?
It sounds like you know you're you're feeling like it's really
their only true weapon in the passing game.
It really is the only true weapon in the passing game.
But he's been, you know, fighting battles.

(19:39):
Excuse me fighting battles, umm,with injuries and whatnot this
year, you know, I mean they brought him last year a little
much, but umm, I need one I need.
Brock bars to go up. This week, umm, I he's my, uh,
fantasy league. Umm, I.

(20:04):
I think I think he could eat fairly well on the Dallas
Cowboys facing them over the middle and whatnot matchup
versus them pretty well. If I I believe Cowboys are not

(20:27):
too great at defending tight ends.
I could be totally wrong, but yeah, I like I like his success.
Yeah, they were. They're not specifically great
nor terrible at right. They're like mid pack and I
think he's like, I think I thinkhis his, his stardom or whatnot,

(20:56):
you know, outweighs the ranking the, the, The Who they have over
there in Dallas. And I think that's what puts him
on the top. I think it's like a, you know,
like a Travis Kelce situation. Like I said, when he came out, I
compared it. That's who I compared him to.
Men, dudes. Awesome.
Ivan has a question here about Turpin over under 1 1/2

(21:23):
receptions. The Raiders.
Dallas is a past heavy team. Dallas calls a very very high
percentage of passing plays. Before the week started they
ranked 5th in that category. The Raiders ranked 16th in
passing yards allowed per game and 14th in rushing yards

(21:44):
allowed per game. So the Raiders relative to the
other teams in the league are weaker against that pass in
regards to yards allowed than the rushing yards allowed per
game. So I think that falls right into
the Cowboys, you know, strengthshere and you know, the Raiders

(22:08):
have allowed the 7th most receptions to wide receivers
before the week started, which is what Turpin is.
And he's gone over the 1 1/2 reception line in five out of
seven games this season. And he's had one plus reception
in every game this season. So if you have, you know, that
option to take it at one plus, you're looking at a 100% success

(22:33):
rate for this season. But we're talking about 1 1/2.
So I'm looking at the most recent game the Cowboys played
against the Cardinals, right? And in that game, CD Lamb
played, Pickens played Ferguson.So there were, you know, pretty

(22:58):
much a fully healthy Cowboys team.
Let me go look at one other thing here.
Was Tolbert in that game? No, but he was in the game.
OK In this one. OK, so I'm just trying to see,
you know, what Turpin does when the Cowboys are at full

(23:20):
strength, right? And against the Cardinals in
their most recent game, Turpin had two receptions, 3 targets
for 10 yards. So that's cutting it close,
right? But I'm looking at this game,
week one against the Eagles. And Turpin also had two

(23:42):
receptions in that game, only two targets though.
So I think it's cutting it really close.
I think, I think he gets, oh, I have to lean towards him getting
over that tonight. But you know, I think it's, I
think it's real close. And something else we could do
is maybe go see what games did Turpin not go over that 1 1/2

(24:07):
line. And maybe, maybe we can find out
a reason why he didn't go over that line.
While I'm looking up that information, JB, what do you
expect from Genti tonight? Running back for the Raiders,
the Cowboys. Just so you know, in case you
didn't know, this goes for anybody.

(24:29):
The Cowboys ranked 28th before the week started.
They ranked 28th and rushing yards allowed per game.
They have the ninth most rushingyards to running backs.
OK, but where do the Raiders rank in rushing like?
29th. Yeah, rushing.
Yards per game before the week started.

(24:52):
Yeah, bro, like it's such an evenly like matched game, it's
crazy, you know? Umm, I don't know, umm, maybe
I'm just, with that being said, them being evenly matched.

(25:16):
I'm gonna say that the Dallas Cowboys got a little bit better
at stopping the run, right? That's what they were aiming at,
right? Getting rid of Michael Parsons,
right? That was the whole point of it,
right? They couldn't stop the run that
Kenny Clark threw him in the middle.

(25:37):
Now, supposedly they can stop the run now, right?
So I'm going to go. He doesn't have that great of a
day. Cowboys stopped the run, you
know that. I mean, that's the reason why
they did what they did. So I'm just going to go with it.

(25:58):
Genti doesn't have a good day. Sounds good man.
And I'll I'll talk about Genti here just a minute.
I just want to keep going on here with with Ivan's question.
And I'm looking at these games with with Turpin Ivan in which
he did not get the two plus receptions and one of the games

(26:20):
he was only targeted one time. The Cowboys ended up winning
that game by 22 points. So if that is the case tonight
where the Cowboys run away with the game, maybe, you know, he
only sees that that one target again.
So if you're if you're thinking it's the Cowboys going to blow
him out of the water, that mightbe, you know, problematic.

(26:43):
And then the other game, the Cowboys got blown out.
But Turpin still in that game against the Broncos, which you
know, the Broncos have a great defense.
Against the Broncos, he had fivetargets.
He only caught 1, though. I'm also looking at the catch
rate on the Cowboys. You know, Jake Ferguson leads
the team in catch rate 85%. So when, when balls are flying

(27:07):
his way, he's doing a great job at catching.
And then and then, you know, Turpin, his catch rate 68%,
which is right there with GeorgePickens.
So I, you know, I feel like he goes over that one.
Ivan, thanks for the question there.

(27:29):
Gentie touchdown, I think, says Ivan.
Gentie touchdown, I think he theRaiders only hope to keep this
close. And of course, there has to be
defense. Yeah.
So, you know, Genti has gone over the 63 1/2 rushing total in
three out of nine games this season.
If we took that down to 60 plus,he's gone over that in five out

(27:52):
of nine games this season. He's never played a career game
against the Cowboys. So it's tougher for me to gauge,
you know, anytime touchdown scores when they don't have any
career history against that teamthat they're going up against.
And but what I'll say about the Cowboys is they've done a good
job at limiting rushing touchdowns to running backs this

(28:12):
season. They've only allowed seven,
which is looks like it's a little bit above league average.
And then receiving touchdowns allowed to running backs,
they've allowed three, which, you know, there's not a lot of
separation between teams that have had allowed zero and teams
that have allowed six. But you know, the Cowboys are

(28:33):
kind of in the middle near the bottom of the league in that
regard. You know, 3 receiving
touchdowns, 2 running backs. And when I'm looking at Genti
here, he's had three receiving touchdowns this season.
So I think, you know, that is a bonus here.

(28:55):
I mean, I think I think it's it's there's a pretty good
chance that Gentie sees the end zone here tonight.
And then, you know, we can go look at some other maybe
defensive vulnerabilities for the Cowboys to see if the
Raiders are going to try to, youknow, exploit a different
weakness here from the Cowboys. They've allowed the most wide

(29:18):
receiver touchdowns this season,the Cowboys have, and tight end
touchdowns. The Cowboys have actually done a
good job at limiting the tight end touchdowns, quarterback
rushing touchdowns. The Cowboys have allowed the
second most. So I think, you know, Genti is
up there on my favorite anytime touchdown score list.

(29:40):
I think Gino's even worth consideration, but maybe a
Raider who sees some Redstone targets, a wide receiver that
sees some red zone targets. I mean, once again, I think I
think Lockett could even break out for a long touchdown in this
one. But if we're talking about red

(30:03):
zone here, you know, Bowers doeslead this team in red zone
target share. I'm specifically looking for a a
wide receiver Gentie ranked second on this team in red zone
target share. And then it's Trey Tucker with
five, Trey Tucker with five. So that's what I was really

(30:27):
looking for. I heard you mentioned Michael
Mayer, Ivan. He's he's had four this season.
So you know, I I think you know,Trey Tucker might be the guy who
I'm thinking has the best chanceto score a touchdown in this

(30:48):
one. If the Raiders are in the red
zone for a long touchdown pass, Like I was saying, like lock it.
I'm thinking, man, I feel like you know, and and back let me
get a little go back to lock it real quick because I didn't
elaborate on his any time touchdown career against the
Cowboys. He's had a touchdown in two out
of six career games against Dallas.

(31:09):
He even had a three touchdown game in one of those career
games. So at least we have some history
to look with here with Lockett. We don't have any history with
these other guys, but you know, man, I Lockett has one red zone

(31:35):
target this season with the Raiders.
I wonder if that's with the Raiders or if that's throughout
the entire season. I want to know if they they
targeted him in the red zone in that last game.
I feel like that might take a little bit too much.
I. Think they did, and I can feel

(31:57):
like they did. I can look that up real quick
against the Broncos. JB what?
What are you thinking about GinoSmith?
His over under on rushing yards is 8 1/2.

(32:18):
Do you think he picks up 9 Plus while I'm looking up this to see
if they targeted targeted? Gino Smith 9 Plus.
Rocket in the red zone? Yeah.
What do you think about Gino tonight?
You think he gets a little mobile?
Yeah, I think that's just like only thing he does.

(32:41):
That's that's what he does. He just takes off running.
I've seen him get some yards, I've seen him get sacked a lot.
But I, I, I think, I think it'llbe fun.
I am not really finding if they if they targeted him in in the

(33:07):
red zone or not. I think that is some some good
information. I feel like it'll take me a
little bit of time to look that up.
But if you guys are interested in looking that up, I think I
feel like that could be an important statistic, you know,
if they did target him in the red zone or not.
Tyler Lockett in that game against Denver.

(33:30):
But yeah, those those would be the guys that I'd be looking for
for this Raiders team, Trey Tucker and or Tyler Lockett if I
had to go with one. I really, I really like Lockett.
I like his chemistry with with Gino.
And yeah, that's just that's whoI'm going to have to lean with
to get an anytime touchdown for the Raiders.

(33:50):
Once again, I think some other considerations.
You know, Gino Smith had a rushing touchdown in his only
career game against Dallas. Now, I don't think Gino Smith
has won this season. He does not.
But you know, the Cowboys, like I mentioned, allowed the,
they've allowed four quarterbackrushing touchdowns this season,

(34:12):
which is the second highest in the NFL.
So I think, you know, the fact that Gino has had one against
the Cowboys in the past and the Cowboys are weak against that,
it is worth consideration there.And then, you know, Genti, yeah,

(34:32):
we talked about him a little bit, but I'd be, I'd be really
looking for those wide receiversfirst.
And then I think Gino, Gino, I think the, you know, the the
odds would be pretty, pretty sweet on that.
And then and then Gentie. But let's see, Ivan says, I see
Cowboys don't do well with wide receivers.

(34:53):
Harrison just had 96 yards versus Cowboys, actually
laddered him. Who's good receivers to roll
with with the Raiders, Locket orTrey or Trey Tucker?
I'm, I'm thinking it's going to be Lockett.
You know, they played against Denver, right?

(35:16):
And Lockett was in that game. That was his only game that he
played against Denver and he ledthe team in receiving guards,
receptions and target share. He's has chemistry with Gino and
you know, he's gone over his receiving line 27 1/2 and five
out of six career games against the Cowboys.

(35:36):
So that's just that's really whoI'm I'm looking for tonight.
Here's is Tyler Lockett for the Raiders.
But I don't think Trey Tucker's is a terrible consideration.
Now he is over unders 42 1/2 receiving yards, which he's gone
over in four out of nine games this season.

(35:58):
But you know, if we got that at 30 plus receiving yards, he's
gone over that in six out of nine games this season.
So you know, I know Thornton over under 11 1/2.
There's just not much information I have with
Thornton. I mean, he's gone over that in
three out of seven games this season.
So, yeah, I think my favorite player, my favorite wide

(36:20):
receiver, my favorite player tonight really for the Raiders
is Tyler Lockett. But JB doesn't seem to be too
high on him. He thinks his his, you know, his
better years are behind him. But, you know, I feel like even
if they are behind him, this is this is a good game for him to

(36:41):
to, you know, produce some quality numbers.
Michael Wilson had 60 yards, Harrison 96 yards, Sutton 67,
Troy flank Franklin 89. Wide receivers should eat today,
says Ivan. Yeah, man, Ivan says.
I love Ferguson for Dallas. He for sure going in my slips.

(37:03):
So the Raiders now I don't want to steer you away.
I mean, you called out Bryce Young yesterday, Ivan, I think
it's over. Under on passing yards was what
like 180? I think he he threw from
somewhere near 450 And I didn't think, you know, it was a if I
remember correctly, I didn't think it was a great spot,

(37:24):
right. He was going up against the
Atlanta #1 pass defense in regards to passing yards allowed
per game. So I don't know, you know how
you really called that, but thatwas that was nice, man.
I'm feeling the same way about this game here with with with
Ferguson. Not too high on Ferguson today

(37:45):
simply because the Raiders have allowed the 5th fewest receiving
yards to tight ends, the third fewest receptions to tight ends.
Yeah, 448. That's that's unbelievable.
I mean, against the number one past defense.
So but yeah, man, I'm just I'm concerned about that with

(38:11):
Ferguson tonight with that with that Raiders tied in defense
that that's actually been one ofthe promising things for the
Raiders this season. And then Ferguson's never played
against the Raiders. So I didn't look at the any time
touchdown. I didn't look at his player prop
at all, to be honest with you, simply because the Raiders we're
good against defending against that tight end position.

(38:34):
But you know, I'll keep an eye out for it tonight, man.
And I was real surprised about the the Bryce the Bryce Young
call out yesterday too, man, good job, Ivan.
It's prime time batters Fergusondifferent under the lights.

(38:58):
You know, that's, that's good information to know, man.
You know, Jake Ferguson game log.
Let's just go take a look. I want to try to see, you know,
you know, they played Philadelphia in that prime time
game to open the season. You had five receptions, 23

(39:21):
yards, 0 touchdowns. Trying to think of another prime
time game that they've had against the the Packers, right?
7 receptions, 40 receiving yardsand a touchdown.
What did the what did the Packers rank with?
What? How are they defending against
Titans this season? Looks like a maybe a slightly

(39:41):
above average here. Yes, looks like in regards to
yardage allowed and then tight in our touchdowns, Packers about
middle of the pack. So I just you know, I think
Ferguson's going up against a tougher defense than tight end
defense than he played against in that game against the

(40:02):
Packers. It's looks like maybe not as
tough as the Eagles, which he didn't do good against the
Eagles. Eagles are real good at limiting
tight end receiving yards and touchdowns this season.
He did not do good. The Raiders, I feel like are
their tight end defense is closer to Philadelphia than it

(40:25):
is to the Packers. And so I don't I don't see it,
man. But I'm going to keep my eye out
and see if you're right, right again there.
What was this Monday night against the Cardinals, 5
receptions, 50 yards, no touchdowns.

(40:45):
So what? But that was last week or two
weeks ago because because the Cowboys are coming off a bye.
And that's another thing to to, you know, take into
consideration, JB, how how much do you take that into account
here that the Cowboys are comingoff of a bye week and have extra
time to prepare for this game? Man, I used to quite a bit up

(41:07):
until last night, Chiefs had twoweeks to come out and have to be
prepared for the Broncos and they they came out flat.
So couldn't tell you man anymorethat yeah, I just think it was
pretty big. You know, his and his streak is

(41:27):
still pretty prominent. But I mean, you got a a very
important game in division, divisional opponent, you know,
all this stuff and it just doesn't.
So I don't know, maybe, maybe with the Schottenheimer being a
new coach, he'll take it more serious.

(41:49):
So it'll probably work in their favor.
Better, more rested, better healed, you know what I mean?
More prepared, more time to lookat film, so it'll probably work
in their favor. I do want to talk about a couple
more Raiders props here. Geno Smith over under 8 1/2.

(42:10):
I was asking you about that earlier, JB.
The Cowboys have allowed the 7thmost rushing yards to
quarterbacks this season. That was before the week
started. Geno Smith has gone over that in
four out of nine games this season.
And if you can take that down to5 plus rushing yards, he's gone
over that in seven out of nine games this season.

(42:31):
He doesn't have a rushing touchdown this season.
Like I mentioned, he did not go over that line in his only
career game against the Cowboys.He had six rushing yards, but he
did have a rushing touchdown in that game.
I already mentioned the Cowboys have allowed the second most
rushing touchdowns to quarterbacks this season.
And when I was looking at his splits earlier, it seems like he

(42:55):
averaged more yards per carry athome than the road throughout
his career. And they're playing at home
tonight. So I think that's advantageous
for Gino. And then Gentie had to look into
his receiving yards and or receptions a little bit because
the Cowboys have allowed the second most receiving yards to

(43:16):
running backs and the 9th most receptions to running backs this
season. Ginty over under 16 1/2
receiving yards. He's only gone over that in
three out of nine games this season, but he's had 10 plus
receiving yards in five out of nine games this season and he's
averaging more yards per catch on turf than grass this season.

(43:38):
But he has had three receiving touchdowns on grass and 0
receiving touchdowns on turf. Once again, this one's on this
game's on grass. He's also averaged more yards
per catch at home than on the road.
He also has three receiving touchdowns at home and 0 on the
road this season. So that just elaborates, you
know, with what Ivan was saying about Genti anytime touchdown,

(44:01):
you know, that is an added benefit.
The Cowboys haven't been terrible at allowing running
backs to get into the end zone, but they seem to be somewhat
vulnerable to running backs receiving touchdowns.
And you know, as as I mentioned earlier, Genti red zone target

(44:22):
share, I think he was right there, right under brought
Bowers. You know, Bowers had eight,
Genti has seven and and Genti has had three receiving
touchdowns at home this season. So, you know, that's another

(44:42):
added benefit of of playing Genti in that one tonight for
any time touchdown. But the receptions, you know,
he's gone over that and two, the2 1/2 reception line and four
out of nine games this season, he's had two plus receptions and
seven out of nine games this season.
I would feel more comfortable, you know, taking it at 2 plus.

(45:03):
But obviously there's there might be a price to pay on that
in regards to that juice. But if you're, you know, taking
alternate lines and stacking those plays and I could I can
see, you know, I'd feel more comfortable with that 2 plus
there. But you know, let's go.

(45:25):
Let's go ahead and talk about some some cowboy props here.
Let's see. Ivan says I'm an outlier.
I'm on outlier. Dak Prescott 10 1/2 rushing
yards seems like a good play. Let's go check that out.
I didn't specifically look into that prop because the Raiders

(45:46):
before the week started allowed the 10th fewest rushing yards to
quarterbacks. But that doesn't mean that there
is not good value just because the team is is good at defending
against a specific position. You know that Prescott has had
34 rushing yards, 31 rushing yards in his last two games.
And you know, I just kind of want to get a feel of what

(46:10):
Denver allows to quarterback rushing yards.
They've allowed the 5th fewest and Dak Prescott had a good game
rushing against them. And then who else was I looking
at here? Kind of lost my let me close

(46:33):
some of these tabs. Dak Prescott rushing yards.
I was looking at Arizona and howthey defended against the run.
They've allowed the third fewestrushing yards to quarterbacks
this season and Dak went over that line.
So I mean, So what happened in those games, you know, Dallas

(47:00):
against Arizona, Dallas against the Broncos, Dallas got rolled
by the Broncos. They lost by 10 against Arizona
and then against Washington, Dallas rolled over Washington.
And it doesn't look like that got there.
He did not. I'm just trying to see the games

(47:21):
where he has gone over that thisyear.
The Jets and the Giants, he alsowent over that line.
And So what happened in those games, Jets, they won by 5,
Giants they won by three in a close game.
So I don't I think I was lookingI would look maybe into his

(47:45):
grass versus turf splits to thatPrescott game log takes me to
ESPN.com. Looking at the splits here, he's
averaging more rushing yards percarry at home than on the road
this season. He's playing on the road
tonight. I'm just seeing if there's like
anything that is consistent withhis home and away splits.

(48:08):
Doesn't seem like it. Let me go look at the turf
versus grass blitz. What do you think in JB does Dak
Prescott get what does Ivan say here?
11 plus rushing yards tonight? What how you feeling about that?
Yeah, man, I don't know, to be honest with you.

(48:30):
That's not really that runner nomore, you know, really since his
injury, he's just been stand back and pass.
But I can see if like Max comes in there and he can take off
just like, you know, one or two times, get that, get that 1112
yards. I yeah, you know, but I think

(48:56):
their defense is that bad. I think something else that we
have to look at is Dak Prescott versus Raiders history.
I'm not seeing really any any consistencies with his turf
versus grass splits or his home versus Rd. splits.
So let me let me just go look athis history here.
Dak Prescott versus the Raiders back in 2021, he had only three

(49:27):
rushing yards on one carry. And then he played them back in
2017, had 32 rushing yards and atouchdown.
I don't feel confident enough togo either way on that one, to be
completely honest with you. We can also look at, you know,
the Raiders have done good at limiting those quarterback

(49:49):
rushing yards this season. But DAC, I mean, he just, he's
had 30 plus rushing yards against two teams that have also
done good against defending against that.
So I'm a little confused on that, to be honest with you.
The the Raiders have allowed three rushing touchdowns to
quarterbacks this season, though, and the fact that

(50:10):
Prescott has a rushing touchdownagainst the Raiders makes me
feel somewhat OK about, you know, maybe an anytime touchdown
for DAC. I just.
I feel better with the rushing arsenal.
Running backs also have good numbers against the Raiders.

(50:34):
Seeing that stuff around. Bad.
This is where you pad your statsand all that shit.
Running backs. I mean, I'm seeing that the
Raiders have allowed the 11th fewest rushing yards to running
backs this season. What about touchdowns,
touchdowns and, and you know, Ivan, we, if you're looking at

(50:59):
fantasy.nfl.com, which is what II look at, I don't know exactly
what you're looking at, but what, what, what that is doing
is it, it's not on a per game basis, it's accumulate the
yardage and touchdowns accumulated throughout the
entire season. So, you know, before the week

(51:23):
started, the Raiders allowed the11th fewest rushing yards to
running backs. Why are they sitting at 8th
fewest now? Maybe, maybe this, maybe this

(51:45):
thing just doesn't update quick enough.
I I don't know, but or maybe I Ihad a typo.
What about rushing yards allowedto quarterbacks?
I don't know, but I'm gonna haveto keep up to date with that.

(52:22):
Rushing yards allowed, receivingyards.
OK, that makes sense. Rushing yards allowed to running
backs. I mean, this season, man, I'm
seeing that they've allowed the the 8th fewest, you know,
rushing yards to running backs, receiving yards to running

(52:44):
backs. I haven't, I haven't seen that
they've allowed a whole lot rushing touchdowns allowed to
running backs. They've allowed nine and then
receiving to running backs, they've allowed zero receiving
touchdowns to running backs. So I'm not necessarily seeing

(53:07):
those those same numbers that you're looking at.
But that doesn't necessarily mean that either of us are right
or wrong. I'm just no curious to where you
may be getting that information from, but here's what I'll say
about Javonte Williams anytime. Touchdown.
He's only scored a touchdown in two out of seven career games

(53:29):
against the Raiders, so I'm a little worried about him maybe
getting into the end zone here tonight.
You know, I did see that before the week started at the source
that I was looking at the the Raiders allowed the 11th most
receiving yards to wide receivers and the 7th most

(53:51):
receptions allowed to wide receivers.
My bad. You're right.
It's oh, it's on the others. OK.
Yeah, no worries, man. So it looks like the Raiders are
vulnerable to those receiving guards and receptions to wide
receivers. You know, we already talked
about Turpin a little bit on really, the lines that I saw

(54:15):
this morning that were set for the Cowboys almost seemed too
good to be true. You know, CD Lambs gone over the
88 1/2 receiving line in three out of five games this season.
He's had 85 plus receiving yardsin four out of five games this
season. And he's never played against
the Raiders. His receptions line is at 6 1/2,

(54:36):
which he's gone over in four outof five games this season.
He's had five plus receptions inall five games this season.
So I mean, I think those are good props to look at.
And then Pickens, you know, overunder 65 1/2 receiving yards,
he's gone over that in seven outof nine games this season.

(54:57):
He's going over that line in four straight games.
He's had 55 plus receiving yardsin eight out of nine games this
season. He's gone over that line in one
out of three career games against the Raiders.
He's George Pickens has had 53 plus receiving yards in all
three career games that he's played against the Raiders.
He had a touchdown in one out ofthree of those games as well.

(55:18):
The receptions for Pickens over under 4 1/2, he's gone over that
in six out of nine games this season.
He's also done that in two straight games.
He's had four plus plus receptions and seven out of nine
games this season. He's gone over the line that
line and one out of three careergames against the Raiders.
He's also had four plus receptions and two out of three
career games against the Raiders.

(55:39):
So you know, I it's it's pretty rare that I see this where they
set the line and the history is so good.
The the current history is good that the current season data
seven out of nine games Pickens has had 66 plus receiving yards.

(56:02):
Something seems fishy about this.
I said these are all good statistics.
And if you want to, I mean, I think Lamb, Pickens, Turpin, all
of them, based on the statisticshave a good chance of going over
receiving yards and receptions today.

(56:24):
All the ones that I've listed, 88 1/2 for CV guards for Lamb,
65 1/2 for Pickens, 15 1/2 for Turpin, 6 1/2 receptions for
Lamb, 4 1/2 receptions for Pickens, 1 1/2 over for Turpin.
I mean, all those seem like likegood options.
Yeah, Geno Smith for an interception is always in place

(56:47):
as Ivan, but he likes Dak for aninterception.
Since 10 out of 12, three out offour QBs have thrown an
interception versus the Raiders.Yeah, we can also go look at,
you know, Gino loves to throw interceptions, team
interceptions. Who do you think?

(57:07):
JB Sure he leads league in interceptions.
Who do you feel like has a better chance to to get an
interception here tonight? Dallas Raiders or both?
Do you think both of these quarterbacks throw an

(57:27):
interception tonight? I think yeah, yeah, they're both
pretty fast happy. But then again I I definitely
see the Raiders stone and pick absolutely genius someone.
Doesn't Bland Duron bland for the Cowboys cornerback, right?

(57:51):
Doesn't he have a lot of pick sixes?
I'm pretty sure he was. He's like creeping up on like
the all time pick six leaders list or something.
Maybe that was just for a season.
Have you heard anything about that JB Deron Bland Pick 6

(58:16):
record? No.
OK, he holds the single season record for pick sixes with five
in 2023 as of October 2025. He is also he has the most
career pick sixes by any player since 2016 with six.
So anyways, Deron Bland. I'm just trying to see if he's

(58:51):
if he's still healthy and in this game tonight, you know, I
think if he's playing, that definitely gives the Cowboys,
you know, a better chance. The only, you know, I'm looking
at the team interceptions both of these teams have had and they
both have not had many. Dallas has had four
interceptions, which is, you know, ranks near the bottom of
the league. The Raiders have had six

(59:12):
interceptions this season, defensive interceptions.
So, you know, the Raiders do have more interceptions in the
Cowboys, if I'm not mistaken. I think Bland missed some time
this season, but I don't see anyinjury designation on him as of

(59:33):
today. So if he's available, man, I
think, you know, it's a possibility that we may see him
get a pick 6. Obviously that's being
ambitious, right? A defensive touchdown.
But I do want to go look real quick since I know that some

(59:55):
people are interested in maybe aa defensive anytime touchdown.
What's the likelihood of that? Let me go look at the last time
that the Cowboys and Raiders played each other to see if
there was a defensive touchdown while I'm doing that.

(01:00:19):
JB who do you feel like is is the go to guy tonight for this
Dallas Cowboys receiving Corp? Oh man, it's obviously going to
be all, as always, something we've got, you know, we're
coming out. See.
What? So you can't ever count out see

(01:00:39):
me when? Yeah.
They gave him a bag, everything like that.
Ferguson, though, Ferguson is a very good one, but one that I
think is you could be really on the lookout.
I seen Dak Prescott came out in the in the last week and had

(01:01:00):
before trading him on and had said that he was going to
restructure his deal to Pickens in Dallas.
What So I said right before the trade deadline that Prescott had
told the press that he was willing to renegotiate his

(01:01:21):
contract in the offseason to keep George Pickens around.
So I think there's a lot of chemistry brewing with them
guys. I think that's a good, a good,
good, good, good, good pick for for this game.
I go, I go to George Pickens andand really go off in Ferguson.

(01:01:46):
Pickens That's one thing too, man.
Pickens I like Pickens and I think, you know, statistically,
statistically, I mean, based on these seasons, season
statistics, CD Lamb over the sixand a half, 6 1/2 receptions

(01:02:10):
seems like the best play. But overall, I think it's
Pickens. You know, he has played more
games this season. He's gone over his receiving
line in seven out of nine games this season, as I mentioned
earlier, 55 plus receiving yardsand eight out of nine games this
season he's had 53 plus receiving yards and three out of

(01:02:31):
three career games against the Raiders.
He even has a touchdown. But, you know, in the last five
games there has been one defensive touchdown that these
two teams have played against each other.
The Raiders scored. It was the first touchdown.

(01:02:54):
So I mean it, yeah, anytime touchdowns for defensive
defenses always, you know, pretty tricky.
There really hasn't been many interception touchdowns this
season in general. And then fumble touchdowns,
fumble recovery touchdowns. It really hasn't been many.

(01:03:16):
I don't think either of these teams, the Cowboys nor the
Raiders have a fumble recovery for a touchdown interception
touchdown to any of these teams have the Cowboys have one.
The Raiders have zero. Hey, man.
But I think if there's a game where Deron Bland can do it,
it's against Gino, who loves to throw those interceptions.

(01:03:37):
I mean, Gino Smith this season, Dak is only, let's see, Dak has
thrown. How many games did Dak throw an
interception this season? 4 out of nine.
Four out of nine games Dak has thrown an interception compared
to Gino Smith who's thrown an interception in 123-4567 out of

(01:03:58):
nine games this season. And he's also had games where
two games this season where he'sthrown 3 interceptions.
So I think, you know, with the Ron Bland being out there,
there's a better chance for there to be a defensive
touchdown. But once again, that's a little
bit more ambitious of an ambitious play there.

(01:04:20):
But what else were we looking athere?
I think that about about does ithere for my notes.
Let me see if I have anything else down here.

(01:04:42):
You know, DAC has played two career games against the
Raiders. One of those games was in 2017,
his second year in the NFL. And he threw two touch or two
interceptions in that game. He also had a rushing touchdown.
But then in his most recent game, he had 0 interceptions and
0 rushing touchdowns. That was back in 2021.

(01:05:06):
So, yeah, overall, guys, I mean,I do see the Cowboys, you know,
as I mentioned at the start of the show, with a lot of
statistical advantages in this game, basically everything.
I really cannot The main things that I look at, you know, the
red zone, third down sacks on the quarterbacks, turnover

(01:05:28):
differential advantage, passing yards per game versus passing
yards allowed per game, rushing yards per game versus rushing
yards allowed per game. I don't see any advantages for
the Raiders in this game in regards to that.
But man, I just got, I got, I got this weird feeling that that
Dallas, if they do win, they don't cover.

(01:05:52):
I am a Cowboys fan. It pretty much disappointed me
my entire life. I don't see why this changes
here here tonight. JB, what's your final score
prediction? I got it 34.
No, no, no. I got it. 28 13 Dallas. 3413

(01:06:21):
Dallas. 2813. 2813 Cowboys give me 2623 Raiders 26 to 23 Raiders

(01:06:45):
and do I feel like this game is going to overtime their last one
did the Raiders won 36 to 33. So I'm basically taking 10
points away from both of those teams saying it's going to be
2623 Raiders. Does it go to overtime?
How many times? I mean, they've only gone to
overtime one time out of in in 13 career career all time games

(01:07:10):
against each other. So the likelihood of that is
slim. So let me just keep it in
regulation Raiders 2623. Anyways, yeah, thanks for thanks
for tuning in everybody. Hopefully you guys had a great

(01:07:30):
Sunday and are starting your Monday off right.
We really appreciate the supportand the yeah, I even says 17 to
10 Cowboys in the under, obviously.
Yep, I'm leaning towards the under on this one too.
Raiders win by, you know, 2623. So sounds like and then JB, you
said 28 to 13. So it sounds like we're all

(01:07:52):
leaning up towards the under here.
But man, the Cowboys offense is pretty good.
And if the Raiders start scoringagainst the Cowboys, bad
defense, man, that's the question, right?
Are the Raiders going to score? I think they, I think they are.
Maybe I'm underestimating this, this total in this game.

(01:08:17):
I think anybody can put up big numbers against the Cowboys.
The defense, yeah, give me 2623.Leaning towards the under for
some reason. Why am I leaning towards the
under in this one? I think you guys are just kind
of convincing me that the Raiders offense is terrible.
I mean, I don't think it's that bad against this bad Cowboys

(01:08:39):
defense. But we'll we'll see, man We'll
see. Yeah.
Thanks for the support, everybody.
Thanks for everything the subscribes and follows.
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(01:09:01):
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(01:09:24):
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(01:09:51):
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(01:10:15):
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JB sounds like he might be busy.So yeah, anyways, if you guys

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