NFL week 11 Breakdown

NMP - Better Bettors breaks down week 11

Episode Transcript

(00:54):
What's going on? Not move Nation.
Welcome to the knot move pod cast.
Today is November 16th at 8:22 a.m. eastern time.
I'll be breaking down the football games for today.
First off, I'd like to give a thank you to our supporters
subscribers and followers We really appreciate you guys.

(01:18):
And a special thank you to our sponsors.
Bet us my bookie.ag walmart.com open goal the MLB and NFL Pro
Shops and Debbie energy drinks. All right, we have a game
starting. Here in about an hour.
Washington versus Miami. This game is being played and

(01:40):
Spain. Okay.
Miami has a one and oh all-time record against the Washington,
Commanders. Miami won that game 45 to 15.
My Amy leaves. The all-time series.
Tend to six against Washington. And then two has a 1-0 career

(02:01):
record against Washington. Mariota has a one or two career
record against Miami. And what I'm seeing here for the
weather. Is that it has a retractable
roof. So even if the weather is bad,
it's all good. And I'm looking at, Roto
grinders.com for that, weather update or Oto grinders.com.

(02:28):
Appreciate you guys there. Roto grinders.com, for those
weather updates. So I'll just get started with
this game first and then we'll go over injury updates and
weather updates for the other games.
So let me, let me see. The notable injuries in this

(02:50):
game. so, I had A lot of my information power went off and
it didn't say so I'll do the best I can today to navigate
through that issue. All right, so quarterback for
Washington, Jayden Daniels. Is out for this game.

(03:18):
Terry McLaurin, right? Receiver for the Washington,
commanders out this game. with aquadriceps issue.
Kicker for Miami, Jason Sanders remains out for this game.

(03:39):
Excuse me for the Miami Dolphins.
Chasing Sanders for the Miami Dolphins.
Kicker out with a hip issue. Noah Brown wide receiver for the
Washington commanders out. With, with an issue there DS,
Ridge wide receiver for Miami out with a shoulder issue.

(04:02):
And you guys know, you know, Austin ekeler running back for
Washington remains out. Tyreek Hill wide receiver for
Miami remains out. Darren Waller.
Tied in for Miami remains out pectoral issue.
All right, so and then Luke McCaffrey remains out from

(04:24):
Washington. That caller bone issue.
So Miami is five and five against the spread Washington's
373 and 7 against the spread, which is the worst in the NFL.
So if you guys like Miami today,you got that working with you.

(04:44):
Both of these teams, carry a three and seven record into this
matchup. I give my Amy a decent sized
passing advantage in this one. mainly, because Washington,
they're both similar in passing yards per game, Miami ranks,

(05:05):
24th, Washington, ranks 26th. But Washington allows the second
most passing yards per game out of any team this season.
And then Miami's The passing yard defense, ranks 13th, so
they are above average. So overall, I give my Amy, the,

(05:26):
the passing advantage in this one.
And, you know, my Amy ranks 12thin passing play percentage at
the beginning of the week, they ranked 12th and that passing
play percentage so they do call a higher percentage of passing
plays. More than League.

(05:47):
Average, Washington, really liketo call high percentage of
rushing plays relatively average, they ranked 20th in
passing play percentage. So what else here, the Russian
game, you know, I mentioned thatWashington calls, a high
percentage of Russian plays and I do give them a rushing

(06:09):
advantage in this one. I think with Jayden, Daniels
being out, obviously, that hinders that Russian attack a
little bit more, but, You know, both of these defenses in
regards to rushing yards, allowed per game are pretty
similar. Washington ranks 23rd.
Miami ranks 26. So Washington is limiting

(06:33):
rushing yards per game a little bit better but both of these
teams are near the bottom of theleague and rushing yards allowed
per game but Washington ranks seventh best in rushing yards
per game this season, Miami ranks 23rd.
So you know overall once again Igive Miami a pretty decent sized
rushing Advantage, but with Daniel's being out, Maybe not as

(06:57):
significant. And I give my Amy a slight third
down, conversion Advantage, Miami slight RedZone attempts
per game advantage. And then for Washington, I give
them a slight red zone, conversion, advantage.
And when I say red zone conversion Advantage, I mean
that when they enter into the red zone, They are converting

(07:22):
touchdowns. More than my Amy.
And sometimes it's not just more.
Sometimes that the defense is just allowing it more often.
But you know overall Washington ranks second best and NFL and
red zone conversion rate. The problem with them is that

(07:43):
they they don't get a lot of RedZone opportunities, they ranked
29th, and Red Zone attempts per game.
But I also give Washington a slight sax on the quarterback
Advantage then a slight turnoveractually.
Let me double check that. I got my notes Here.
Slight turnover, differential Advantage, but it may be A big

(08:07):
turnover, differential Advantage.
I mean double check that the football database.com.
Washington, Miami. Okay, a slight.
Yeah, slight. I've got a negative there.
Okay. So who am I leaning with in this
game? Seeing that Miami's favorite by

(08:29):
two and a half. They have a good size passing
Advantage. I think Miami's passing
advantage. Is bigger than Washington's,
rushing advantage today. I like Miami's record against
the spread once again. Washington three and seven
against the spread. I like how Miami leads the

(08:51):
all-time series 10 to 6 two. It has a 1-0 career record
against Washington Mariota quarterback for For Washington,
has a one and two career record against Miami. so, I'm leaning
towards Miami in this one. My two and a half.

(09:16):
But let's go see if we can find some player props.
If you guys have any questions, feel free to let me know.
I will do my best to address those questions.
Once again, I had a lot of information wrote down on my
notes here and then the power went off, it flickered and took
out some of my information here.So do the best I can to navigate
through that storm. so, You know, I mentioned that Miami

(09:40):
really likes to pass the ball relative to other teams in the
league in regards to play calling percentage and how Miami
has our, how Washington has a week pass defense in regards to
guards allowed for game. They've allowed the second most
Washington before the week started.
They've allowed the most passingyards, to quarterbacks.
I said I'd checked two quarterback for Miami is passing

(10:04):
yards were over under 232 and a half.
He's only gone over that three out of 10 games this season.
If you want to toggle that down to 200 plus passing yards, he's
gone over that in five out of 10games this season.
He has played one career game against Washington and through
for 280 yards and two passing touchdowns.

(10:25):
He did not have a rushing touchdown in that game.
So if you were thinking about maybe a to a quarterback sneak
for a touchdown, I mean yeah anything can happen Any Given
Sunday, right? But, you know, he did not get
one in that one. Career game against Washington.
Washington. I mean, it really it makes sense

(10:48):
that they are weak at defending receiving yard allowed to Either
a running back. Wide receiver tied in or maybe
all of them, but it makes sense.You know, that they allow the
most receiving yards to wide receivers this season.
Um and then they allow the 5th, most receptions, a lot of wide

(11:10):
receivers. So obviously I looked into, you
know, waddle a little bit here. Akina and Malik Washington.
So waddle over under 78 and a half receiving yards.
I saw he's gone over that in half of his games this season
and he did not go over that in his only career game against

(11:32):
Washington. He also did not score a
touchdown in that game. And then the receptions.
He's gone over the five and a half receptions and only three
out of 10 games this season. But if if you, you know, instead
of over five and a half, if you took that at five plus you know,
he has gone over that in seven out of 10 games this season. so

(11:54):
sometimes, you know, just in those Those lines can make a big
difference. And then, he did not go over
that in his only career game against Washington.
So, you know, I'm someone concerned here with waddle I
think, you know, I would I like that five plus reception's, you

(12:16):
know seven out of 10 games this season seems pretty decent
there. so, but if we had to keepthe line's the same, I would
lean more towards waddle going over, the 78 and a half
receiving yards since he's gone over that in five, out of 10
games this season, compared to going over the five and a half

(12:37):
receptions in only three out of 10 games this season.
Think somebody who I'm really looking at.
And this one is Nick Westbrook. A Keene.
Over under 14 and a half, receiving yards, lasted, I
checked, he's gone over that in half of his games this season in
the games that he was targeted. And then he's gone over that

(12:57):
line and two out of two career games against Washington.
He had 61 receiving yards and one game 72, receiving yards in
another game, and he actually scored a touchdown and one of
those games, it was actually a two touchdown game for him.
So I think this is a player. To keep an eye on and this one.

(13:19):
Now obviously his role has changed a little bit, probably,
since since he's played Washington.
I mean, if I remember correctly,Houston played for the Colts.
but, Let's go. Maybe look at at Target.
Share here for Miami. So he's playing eight games this

(13:46):
season. So really, with Tyreek Hill
being out. I mean, he ranks fourth in
Target, share on the Miami team.So he's not getting a ton of
targets. but, You know if I'm Miami I'm maybe looking for him
a little bit more today. Jalen waddle does lead this team

(14:08):
in Target share. And then it's Well, he's tied
with a Chance. So, H is a real.
Heavily targeted. Past catching running back and
NFL. So, Last that I checked his over
under was 37 and a half receiving yards.

(14:29):
Now, Washington. Washington has allowed the 8th,
most receiving yards to running backs to the season and the
they've limited the reception's pretty well to running backs.
They ranked fifth best before the week started.
But a chance gone over the 37 and a half receiving yards and
three out of 10 games this season.

(14:50):
If you talk about that down to 30 plus receiving yards, he's
gone over that in four out of 10games this season.
So not the greatest, you know, And then he's only gone over, he
did not go over that line that 37 and a half.
Receiving our line and his only career game against Washington.
He did have 30 receiving yards and he did score, two rushing,

(15:13):
touchdowns in that one. so, if you're looking for, you know, I
would feel more comfortable toggling that down to 30 plus
receiving yards, since he's goneover that more time.
This season 4 out of 10 games and then he did hit that Mark
and it's only career game against Washington.

(15:36):
And you know, if you're thinkingabout dulcich tied in for
Miami's receiving yards today, Ididn't have time to look that up
or it got deleted whenever the power went off.
But you know, Washington has allowed the 9th most receiving
yards to tie it in this season. So, you know, if you're thinking

(15:59):
about taking him for a prop, yougot that working for you.
And then, you know, hn. I do want to mention his rushing
attack here just briefly you know Miami they could be better
at Rushing the ball. They ranked 23rd and rushing
yards per game this season, but Washington doesn't have the best

(16:20):
Rush defense. They ranked 23rd and rushing
yards allowed per game. Oh, You know, Washington ranks
23rd and opponent rush yards perattempt.
So teams are picking up some pretty good-sized gains against
Washington when they are runningthe poll and a Chan ranks, third

(16:40):
best and the NFL in rushing yards per Attempt.
So I can see him having some biggains in this one, and we can
look at that explosive. Play data real quick too.

(17:02):
I don't think I mentioned the explosive Place stuff with the
receiving court, but I'll get back to that.
Okay, so rushing defense, I'm looking at nfl.com going to
rushing defense. And I want to know how many. 20

(17:24):
plus yard rushing games, Washington has allowed to
opposing teams Four. So they're about middle of the
pack. Not terrible.
What about the 40 plus yard games, two?
they've allowed to 40 plus rushing yard gains this season

(17:47):
and then I'm gonna go over here to rotowire.com, click on a Chan
And see how many times he's had,a 20 plus yard gain 40 plus yard
gain on the ground. 20 plus he'shad one, two, three, four, five.

(18:10):
Six eight, he's had eight 20 plus rushing gains this season
three 40, plus rushing games this season.
So you know I think there is a decent chance that he breaks out
for a 20 plus yard game, maybe even a 40 plus yard game here.
but in regards to the over under83 and a half rushing yards, The

(18:35):
reason why I looked into this isnot just the reasons why I
mentioned but because Washingtonhas a loud, the fourth most
rushing yards to running backs before the week started now,
he's only gone over the 83 and ahalf, rushing yard line and
three out of 10 games this season.
But if we get that down to 65 plus I know that's a big kind of

(18:56):
a big dip there, but 65 plus he's gone over that in six, out
of 10 games this season. He had 73 rushing yards in his
only career game against Washington and then once again,
he he scored exactly two touchdowns in that career game
against Washington. Now, Miami I already kind of

(19:20):
mentioned their Red Zone attempts per game and the red
zone conversion rate, but let meget a little bit more specific
here. They're not doing great at
getting into the Red Zone this season, but Washington's not
doing great at preventing teams from getting into the red zones.
So I do think there will be someopportunities for Miami to Some

(19:43):
decent opportunities, some good opportunities for them to get
into the Red Zone and when they do get into the red zone, They
ranked 15th best in the NFL and red zone, conversion rate,
Washington, ranks 25th and opponent red zone conversion
rate. So basically what that's telling
me is that if my Amy does get into the Red Zone, I think
there's a pretty good chance that they that they capitalize

(20:04):
on those Red Zone trips specifically specifically.
Because Washington's defense hasn't been great in that red
zone. At preventing teams from scoring
touchdowns. So, I want to go look at.
You know, maybe a couple of things here. and then I'll see

(20:28):
if We have. Okay cool.
Um, I want to look to see. Where Washington is most
vulnerable and allowing touchdowns this season.
What position are they allowing the most touchdowns to relative

(20:50):
to other teams in the league. So they've only allowed one
rushing touchdown to a quarterback this season.
And there's not a big differencebetween them and the Chiefs, the
chiefs of allowed the most Roshan quarter touchdowns to
quarterbacks this season. They've allowed five okay, but
you know, I think I'd rather look somewhere else for a

(21:11):
touchdown here against Washington.
They're about middle of the packin rushing.
Touchdowns allowed to running backs.
They've allowed the second most Receiving touchdowns to run
back. So I think that's, you know,
advantageous for agent Let's go see how many receiving
touchdowns each and has had thisyear?

(21:32):
One, two, three, four, yes. So, you know, he can get it done
on the ground, or through the air. and then wide receiver
touchdowns Washington's allowed the third most I already
mentioned, you know, A Keene. How he has scored a touchdown

(21:56):
and one out of two games againstWashington.
Now I'm sure his Red Zone Targetshare isn't the greatest but you
know we'll check that out here in a second.
So I'm interested in the in the running back.
And the wide receiver. and really, really tied in to So,
let's just go take a look here at the red zone.

(22:20):
Target share. in the Takes me toprofile Dash football, Dash
reference.com. Okay, so that's what I'm looking
at here. And I'm going to filter this by
Target. It's not necessarily Target
percentage, although, that couldbe beneficial, it is beneficial.

(22:41):
But let's go see who on this dolphin team leads.
That leads the Dolphins and Red Zone.
Target sheriff is 9, total, Red Zone Targets this season and
then it's washing Washington with eight.
And how fitting would that be for Washington to score a
touchdown against Washington, right?
And then a Chan seven, total redzones targets and honestly, you

(23:11):
know, A Keene hasn't. He's only had two Red Zone, Red
Zone targets. So Maybe.
Here's another good thing about Jalen waddle.
Okay guys, um, you know, I don'tnecessarily like his history

(23:32):
against Washington but he only played one game against them,
you know? So, So I don't I don't think
that that has it. Now let's say he's played ten
games against them and never scored a touchdown against them
then I'm concerned. But you know he's only played
one game against them. He does lead the team in Red

(23:52):
Zone Target share. But here's here's a good thing,
about waddled, too, in regards to the, to the yardage and or
possible touchdown. Washington has a lot of the most
yards per completion, this season two opposing teams and
waddle is the best on the Dolphin's in yards per catch.

(24:17):
And he's, he writes 20 second best in the NFL in yards per
catch. so, I think there could be, you know, some big gains
from wattle and that leads me back to what we were looking at
earlier, the What was it? The defense, right?

(24:41):
The receiving the 20 plus receiving yard?
Gains Allowed by Washington, the40 plus let's go check that out.
They've allowed the most 20 plusyard receiving games this season
and the most 40 plus yard receiving games so, I want to

(25:04):
look at You know waddle how manytimes does he has?
He had a 20 or 40, plus yard receiving game.
In Westbrook a key named. I think he played maybe for like
Tennessee or something. Look, let me just double check.
I remember him catching some. Some long touchdown passes.

(25:29):
In the recent. History.
I think he did play with Tennessee.
Yeah. So, maybe he doesn't have a lot
this season, but I think he is capable of that.
You may want to double check me on that. but, I want to see you

(25:50):
know, how many you know he doesn't have any. 20 plus.
Or 40 plus yard gains this season but let's go.
Check out waddle. He's had one, two, three, four,
five, six, seven, eight, nine, ten, which is a lot of 20 plus
yard receptions this season. Waddles also had three 40, plus

(26:14):
yard receptions. So you know I think there is
real good chance that waddle. Picks up a 20 plus yard game,
you might even see a 40 plus yard game.
So not only do I think waddle has you know that red zone
Target, share advantage. For Miami, but I think he could

(26:37):
get a deep touchdown in this oneas well.
All right, so um, and then let'sgo.
Look at Washington's offense. A little bit here. um,

(26:57):
Washington. You know, Miami wasn't too
vulnerable. Anything specifically through
the passing game. Except what I will say is that
they were vulnerable to receiving yards allowed to run
backs and receptions allowed to run backs.

(27:18):
They ranked fifth worse before the week started in receiving
yards. A lot of running backs.
Third worst in receptions. A lot of running backs. but
Washington doesn't really seem like they have a You know.
Dominant past catching back right now.
Jeremy McNichols, I think could be the primary beneficiary of

(27:43):
that Miami vulnerability. But he only has 18 Targets this
season. And you know if echler were in
for Washington, man. I think this would be a great
spot for him, but A unfortunately, he is out. so if

(28:03):
you do see any running back receiving and or reception props
that you're interested and for, Washington, you got that working
for you. I didn't see anyone.
I was looking yesterday. My Amy has allowed the third
most receiving yards to tie ins and the second most receptions

(28:26):
to tie it in. so that you know, makes me someone interested here
in Zach ertz and or John Bates tied in for Washington I would
have to lean more towards, or it's going over the 40 and a
half, receiving yards and stuff of the four and a half
receptions, simply because he's gone over that and three out of

(28:48):
10 games this season, compared to the receptions where he's
only gone over that, in two, outof 10 games this season.
But if we talked with those, those receiving yards from 44.5
down to 35, Plus he's going overthat in six out of 10 games this
season. And then he's going over the 44
and a half for receiving line and one out of two career games
against Miami. He did not score a touchdown in

(29:11):
his only two career games against Miami.
And then you know, the receptions, if we take that from
four and a half down to four plus receptions, he's gone over
that in five out of 10 games this season and he went over the
four and a half reception line and one out of two career games
against Miami. I didn't have much time to look
at John Bates, but if you're interested in him, thank you.

(29:32):
Got that working with you. And then, you know, Miami.
I think that their biggest, you know, vulnerability, their past
defense, really? Isn't that bad?
They ranked 13th, and passing yards.
A lot of game. It's the, it's the rushing
defense. Where Miami has been vulnerable
this season. They ranked 26th and rushing

(29:54):
yards allowed per game. I think, you know, Cross Keys
could see a nice, a nice gain and this one or two Miami ranks
28th and opponent rushing yards per attempt.
So they're Allowing. A good amount of yardage per
Russia's, two opposing teams. and, You know, crosskey Merit

(30:18):
ranks 22nd best in the NFL. In rushing yards per attempt.
These guys, you know, Chris Rodriguez and croskey mayor.
If you have them on on your radar I can see them doing doing
decently and this one. Miami ranks, third, worst in the
NFL and rushing yards allowed torunning backs.

(30:39):
So you had either of those guys on your radar.
I can see them. You know, doing something good
here. Now let's go.
Look at. Explosive, rushing plays Allowed
by Miami. They've allowed the second most

(31:00):
20 plus rushing yard gains and the second most 40 plus rushing
yard games. Once again, crosskey Merit ranks
22nd best in the NFL. In.
Rushing yards per attempt. So you know explosive plays are

(31:21):
a little bit different than opponent rushing yards per
attempts, right? Because teams could pick up
let's say on my Amy an average of 60 yards per game.
Let's just say Six yards per game, but they're not getting
the 20 plus 40, plus yard pickups.
So that's why you know I look into both. and, We look at Cross

(31:47):
Key Merit. He's had two. 20 plus rushing
games this season and then only one 40 plus rushing yard gain.
So that's not necessarily too impressive there.
But I think he does have a chance, you know a better chance
than normal to pick those up today.

(32:11):
And then I mean on the flip sideJeremy or excuse me, Chris
Rodriguez has had one 20 plus rushing game this season and
then one 40 plus rushing game. so, You know I'd probably have
to lean more towards crosskey Merrick getting that explosive
Place simply because he breaks 22nd best in the NFL in rushing

(32:33):
yards per attempts. Now, I think, Mariota is
somebody here. That we should keep an eye out
on as well. For the rushing yards.
Miami has allowed the six most rushing yards to quarterbacks
this season mariota's over underrushing.
Our total was 26 and a half lasted.
I checked, he's gone over that in three, out of five games this

(32:55):
season, he's had 20 plus rushingyards and all five games this
season. So if you can adjust mariota's,
rushing total from that 26 and ahalf down to 20 plus Once again,
he's gone over that and all fivegames is season and then he's
going over the 26 and a half. Rushing yards in one out of

(33:15):
three career, games against Miami, the rushed for a
touchdown in that game against Miami.
So, let's go take a look. At where Miami has been allowing
touchdowns this season. They've allowed the second, most
rushing touchdowns quarterbacks this season.
And, you know, I just said that Mary Yoda did Rush for a

(33:39):
touchdown in one out of three career games against Miami.
So I think that is another viable option here today.
Washington has allowed the thirdmost receiving touchdowns.
To. Running bags.

(34:03):
But it doesn't look like any of these Washington running backs.
Has caught a touchdown pass thisseason. so that's the, you know,
the downside to that rushing touchdowns allowed By.

(34:24):
By my Amy two, running back SaveA Lot 6 which is about middle of
the pack. Wide receiver touchdowns Allowed
by Miami about middle of the pack again, they've allowed
nine. And then what about the The
tight end. So they've allowed seven to the
tight end. um, kind of makes me just want to look up.

(34:47):
Zach, ertz real quick. Zach, urges versus Dolphins
statistics. Once again, I usually have this
information available, you know how many times that hurts has
gone over? How to touch down against the
Dolphins throughout his career? But I had some of the
information that I looked up deleted.

(35:07):
So, Okay, well I don't want to, you know, spend too much time
trying to find out how many times.
I mean, he has a long history, you know, I'll just see if he's
played against Miami anytime recently.
And see because I'm having to gothrough each individual box

(35:29):
score. each individual year thathe's played in the NFL here on
espn.com But, you know, I'm backin 2019 right now and he did not
get a touchdown in that game against my Amy.
So, we just owe for one. So far in career games against

(35:51):
Miami. And getting a touchdown.
But I think, you know, today he could, you could Possibly
possibly get one. Well, we'll go look at
Washington's Red Zone Target. Share here in just a second as
well. But that's seems like where my
Amy has been most vulnerable. He didn't get one in that second

(36:13):
career game against Miami. So it looks like he's played two
career games against Miami. Which is what I have in my notes
here. Yeah, one of two games against
Miami. I need to score touchdown and
either of those games but you know, let's go look at the red
zone. Receiving.
Target. Share here.
For. Washington.

(36:39):
You know, Deebo Samuel does leadthe the red zones Target share
for this team. I can see him getting getting a
touchdown here but you know, Miami is more vulnerable and
allowing touchdowns to other positions relative to the other
teams in the league and then it's exact or Okay.
It's Zach ertz with five Red Zone targets.

(37:04):
So those are really the two guysthat Washington is looking for.
Whenever they're entering the Red Zone and you know Deebo,
Samuel has double the amount of Target shares in the Red Zone,
then then urge does. Depot has 10 or has five
something else, you know that Depot's capable of?

(37:26):
Now, I didn't look into Debo props, a whole lot.
Maybe she should have looked into his rushing prop.
Simply because well let's go take a look real quick.
Rushing yards allowed to wide receivers is what I'm going to
look at and see if Miami, you know, has is really vulnerable

(37:46):
against that this year. Looks like they're below average
in that count of category. Now, they haven't allowed a
rushing touchdown to a wide receiver this year.
And not a lot of teams have But,you know, I think that's, that's
always a possibility with Debo. And you know, when Miami does
get into the Red Zone, guys. Or excuse me, when Washington

(38:08):
gets into the red zone. They are the second best team in
the NFL at converting touchdowns.
My Amy's. Got a pretty good red zone
defense. They ranked 8th best.
The problem with Washington. Much like Miami is they have
difficulties getting into the red zone?
and, You know, Miami's not that great at defending against teams

(38:33):
from entering the Red Zone on them.
So I think Washington does have a decent chance About the same
chance I do give Miami a slider.A slightly better chance of
getting into the Red Zone and Washington.
But I do give Washington a better chance of converting,

(38:56):
those into touchdowns. oh, so yeah, you know.
I would probably have to lean towards Depot.
Here, even though Washington's been more vulnerable.
I think all three of those are possibility, right?
Mariota Debo and hurts. I just, you know, I wish had

(39:18):
better history. What about?
Let me see if I can just look upDebo versus Dolphins real quick
to see how many times he's had atouchdown.
Against the Dolphins, he's had atouchdown in one out of three
career games, according to statnews.com.
So, About the same as Mariota. So that's where I would be

(39:38):
leaning towards Deebo or Mary Oda getting in.
Good morning, Ivan. Good morning, good morning, good
morning. Hope you're having a great day
so far. Thank you for joining.
Yeah, we just covered this Washington game.
Once again, I'm gonna have to lean towards my Amy minus that

(40:00):
two and a half here. and let's move on to the next game unless
you, unless you guys have any other questions about this game,
okay, let's talk about talk about whether Okay, yeah, yeah,

(40:22):
I know. You like that too.
A rushing prop sometimes. Um, So I didn't see that
Washington was extremely vulnerable, to rushing yards,
allowed to quarterbacks, but I didn't see that they were
specifically great either. When I'm looking at
fantasy.nfl.com. I'm seeing that Washington has

(40:44):
allowed the ninth 12 about 15th month, so they're about average
in excuse me. Sorry, they're about average.
In. Quarterback.
Rushing yards allowed this season.
This is not on a pregame basis. This is by how many rushing

(41:07):
yards teams have accumulated. Against.
Again, it's Washington. Okay.
Over the course of the entire season.
So and then let's just go look at two verses.
Commanders statistics. to see how many times she Has you know

(41:30):
reached that he's played? One career game against
Washington? And 2023.
Two of verses. 2 game log. So when I look up here goes to
espn.com, I'll go to year 2023. All right.

(41:54):
He played Washington, he didn't have a rush attempt against
Washington and is only career game against them.
I think. Something else that we have to
look at for two of us. How many times has he gone over
that in his last few games you know?

(42:19):
His most recent game negative ones so he hasn't he hasn't had
two or three rushing yards in his last three games.
I guess, drink water here. Yeah, he doesn't go over that in

(42:40):
his last three games and then hedid not go over that line and
his only career game against Washington.
So, I have concerns about it, you know?
Yes, two for at least two passing touchdowns.
I see, you know, he had exactly two passing touchdowns in in his

(43:06):
only career gaming against Washington, he threw for 2008
yards and when we look at passing touchdowns Allowed by
Washington, to opposing quarterbacks, they've allowed
the most this season. So, I think, you know, you're
onto something there. I've been, I I like it too. too

(43:31):
plus, passing touchdowns for two, Also. you know, something
else that is an added benefit here is that Miami, coals a
higher percentage of passing plays than League average, So
they do like to focus on passingthe ball and yeah I think this
is a good spot for two to get those two plus touchdowns

(43:53):
passes. Two has been letting you down.
Well, I'm looking here on his game, log Ivan and You know, I
mentioned that he hasn't gone over the rushing yards and his
last three games. But before that, I mean, he was
doing great for you six, four, five, six, ten, zero seven.
So um maybe he gets back on track today but I'm not, you

(44:18):
know, not something that I'm specifically trying to Target
here. I think it's, you know, kind of
50/50 chance there. So yeah, let's get into some
some injury updates and weather updates, okay?
Seemed like there were a good amount of games here today that

(44:39):
could be impacted by some, whether I'm looking at, Roto,
grinders.com. All right guys, are Oto
grinder.com. And what they're saying here is
that in the Green Bay Packer in New York, Jets game.
When should be at about 20 milesper hour early in the game?

(44:59):
And then maybe dropping a littlebit later in that game.
But gusts, when Gus Can be anywhere between 30 to 40 miles
per hour in that one. So, that is significant when And
that can make things more difficult for the longer passes.
The longer kicks in that Green Bay Packer and New York Giants

(45:23):
game. Since Cincinnati at Pittsburgh.
I'm seeing wins or going to be sustained around 15 to 20 miles
per hour gusts likely around 30 to 35 miles per hour.
And the wind looks like it's going to be the strongest
earlier in the game and they're saying that should be more

(45:47):
manageable later in the game butI think that's a big hit to
Cincinnati. You know, just off the top of my
head, I know Pittsburgh's past defense has been bad this
season. and, You know, flacko has shown that he can sling the
ball a little bit this year. So, I think that is a downgrade

(46:09):
for Cincinnati today. Specifically.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Buffalo wins should be sustained at
around 20 miles per hour. With wind gusts of around, 35

(46:31):
miles per hour. They're saying, you know that
it's, it's likely that there's abigger wind impacts earlier in
the game than the later stages of the game.
There's still a chance of some rain or snow.
So when and or slick conditions could be problematic in that

(46:51):
Tampa Bay and Buffalo game, and then, You know, Baltimore
Cleveland. Wins.
So that's seems to be the main main factor here in some of
these games, today is the winds.Just sustained winds and the
Baltimore Cleveland game around.25 miles per hour.

(47:12):
Wind gusts around the 30 to 35 mile per hour, Wayne range, that
could be more impactful on the Deep throws and kicks a chance
for a few. A few raindrops is what they're
saying. So, you know, just back to that
Tampa Bay and Buffalo game. I was looking up how Baker may

(47:35):
feel, tries to attack, you know,those bad weather games.
I was just interested in my buddy asked me a question about
what I thought about tez Johnsonthis week.
He's trying to start up, you know, fantasy player.
Trying to pick somebody up on the waivers, I told them about
these gusts and how Baker Mayfield has openly stated that,

(47:57):
you know, in bad weather games. He doesn't necessarily try to
air the ball out, pick up, big doesn't try to rack up the
statistics, really try to managethe game and take care of the
ball. So, you know, that just alone
has been a little concerned here.

(48:18):
For the stat sheet of. Baker, Mayfield.
And in The past catchers for Tampa Bay.
No Baltimore Cleveland's. Same thing, man, Jerry jeudy.
I think he's in a great spot today going up against
Baltimore's, wheat, past defense, but the winds Have me a

(48:42):
little little concern there. And then we'll go over the
injury updates. Once again, thanks for joining
today, guys. Really appreciate you.
And thanks to the sponsors once again.
All right, so let's go take a look here at injury updates.

(49:02):
and, Then we'll look into these games individually.
Again, Drake London receiver forAtlanta for the Atlanta Falcons
questionable with an illness, but he plans to suit up is what
I'm seeing here. On the FanDuel daily fantasy
app. Plans to suit up.

(49:28):
Devonte Adams. Questionable with an oblique
injury. But is likely to suit up, is
what I'm saying here. Bucky Irving remains out here
for Tampa Bay due to a foot slash shoulder injury.
Jaxson dart out. Quarterback for the Giant's.

(49:51):
He is out today with concussion issues.
And looks like Winston will be the starting quarterback.
Brian Thomas, Jr. Questionable with an ankle issue
for Jackson Bill. He is the wide receiver.
Um, it's not expected to play today.

(50:14):
Is what I'm seeing Brian Thomas Jr.
Wide receiver for Jacksonville is not expected to play.
CJ, Stroud out with a concussionissue.
And looks like Davis Mills will be in line to draw that start.
Here today JK Dobbins. Bad news for Denver.

(50:37):
Running back for Denver out on the IR.
I'm hearing that, you know, maybe he it's like that who
missed the rest of the regular season.
Had to have surgery, bad news for Denver there.
Clinton Johnston. Why did receiver for the
Chargers questionable with a shin issue?

(51:03):
And appears that he is likely toplay as what they're saying
after participating in a full Friday practice.
Marvin Harrison Jr. Out with an appendix issue?

(51:26):
Just go see some other notable injuries here.
You know, Kyler Murray remains out.
I say a Pacheco out, running back for the Chiefs with a knee
issue. Darius Slayton wide receiver for
the Giants out with a hamstring issue.
Dalton Kincaid out for the Buffalo Bills today with a

(51:47):
hamstring issue. So Jackson Hawes and maybe some
Dawson Knox if you like Buffalo tied, ins should should see an
increase of Playing time, snaps Matthew Goldin wide receiver for

(52:07):
the Green Bay, Packers questionable with a shoulder
issue questionable to play. So we just don't know if he's
going to play or not yet. Calvin Ridley wide receiver for
Tennessee questionable with a hamstring issue.
But I'm seeing that he is likelyto play rashod.
Bateman why'd receiver for the Baltimore, Ravens out with ankle

(52:32):
issue. You know, McMillan and Godwin
wide receivers for Tampa Bay Rays out.
Tory. Horton out.
For Seattle today, wide receiver.

(52:56):
Justice Hill out for the Ravens today.
Running back up. Running back for the Ravens.
Out today with a toe issue. Savion Williams wide receiver
for the Green Bay, Packers questionable with a foot issue.

(53:19):
That seems like about it. For the notable injuries today.
I mean yes, there are some otherones. but, Not.
To. Any of the like, you know, star

(53:41):
players. Or players that have a pretty
big impact. Typically in game.
All right, let's get started here on some other games.
A game. Do I want to cover first?
You know, I really Want to. I'm sure you guys have heard

(54:10):
about Chiefs Broncos, a lot. Already.
You know, breakdowns Chiefs Broncos.
You know, personally, what game I'm looking forward to.
I mean, yeah, I have Minnesota for my Survivor pick, right?
But The game. I think I'm looking the most
forward to here is the Green Bayat New York Giants game.

(54:34):
Mention that Winston is the projected starting quarterback
for the Giants today. and this is, the first game where The
Giants have their new head coach.

(54:56):
New starting quarterback today. I think this Giant's team can
rally around. Those two guys and get a win
against the Packers today. Now statistically it probably
doesn't look like the greatest situation. but, I mean, I think

(55:18):
I think it makes sense. And you know, the Giants are
five and five against the spreadthis season in the Packers are
three and six. All right.
The Giants have won two games ina row against Green Bay.
Jordan love lost. His only career game that he's
played against the Giants in AndI'm gonna see real quick Jamie's

(55:40):
Winston. Record against against Packers.
Let's see if I can find some information on that looks like
he has a one and two career record against the Packers.
So nothing great there, but yeah, you know, I see Green Bay
does have a big passing advantage in this game.
Statistically I got to give the Giants a slight rushing

(56:03):
Advantage. Although now that, that Dart
isn't in It's probably closer than than what the statistics
are telling me. Green Bay, big third down,
conversion Advantage, big conversion, Advantage, Big Red
Zone, and Tim's for game Advantage.

(56:23):
Big sacks on the quarterback advantage.
Slight turnover. Differential advantage.
So. I mean, statistically Green Bay
seems like seems like the the pig here.
At least to win. The spread once again, Giants

(56:44):
are five and five against the spread this season.
Green Bay's, three and six. So I think maybe, you know,
Giants could cover But if I had to pick a winner in this one, I
would go Green Bay but man. a good statistic would be, you
know, How many what's the recordof first time coaches?

(57:08):
I think it's kind of good if I if I'm not mistaken but that's
something that I would look up, you know, Career record.
Of. First time head coaches. or

(57:29):
coaches that replace another head coach in the coach that
replaces. Another head coach mid-season.
That would be an interesting statistic to know.
But I just like Jamie's Winston,you know, I like I like his
vibes. and, Just not somebody who I'm trying to go against

(57:56):
today. The Giants that was a big reason
why I didn't pick the Packers for my Survivor pick.
I was definitely thinking about that, definitely thinking about
New England and I know Minnesota.
You know, the line is closer in that Minnesota game and these
other two games and it may come back to bite me.
But, you know, I gotta go with What?

(58:17):
I got to go with and I just couldn't go against the Giants
today. Jordan love.
Let's see the Giants. Ranked 23rd, and passing yards
allowed for game. And they ranked 31st in rushing
yards, allowed for game. Oh, okay, I even says Jordan

(58:40):
love for rushing yards. Yeah.
You know, I have him here over under 8 and a half.
The Giants have allowed the mostrushing yards per game or not,
for game, but maybe for game, but the most rushing yards to
quarterbacks this season, the Giants have a lot.
And Green Bay really likes to call a high percentage of
rushing plays relative to the other teams in the league.

(59:04):
And with that line being at minus seven.
You know, I think there is a pretty decent chance that Green
Bay gets ahead in this game and stays ahead in this game and
continues to just feed Jacobs and or run with with their
backups. Even Jordan, love take off a
little bit but yeah, you know, it's tough not to like Rushing

(59:28):
props here today for Green Bay. Another, another big factor in
this is that the Giants allow the most rushing yards per
attempt to opposing teams. I think that also works in
Jordan, Love's favor here today.now, once again, guys, I had so

(59:48):
much data wrote down and It didn't save power flickered on
and off real quick. So I'm gonna do the best I can
to navigate through that storm today.
Not going to just not show up here on the air because of it.
But Jordan love over under eightand a half.
Rushing yards is the last that Isaw.

(01:00:09):
He's gone over that and and six out of nine games this season.
you know, so that's that's good.He went over that in his last
game. I'm kind of interested here on.

(01:00:31):
You know, Jordan love. How many times has he gone over
that? And in that are, did he go over
that in his only career game against the Giants?
Is the questionnaire. Did he go over that in his only
career game against the Giants? He did not.

(01:00:52):
He only had two rushing yards against the Giants.
Now, this game is being played on turf.
Okay, this game is being played on turf.
So I want I want to see if Jordan love is averaging more
rushing yards per attempt on grass or turf this year.

(01:01:14):
It's Turf 9.3 average. She's only had three carries on
Turf but he's averaging 9.3. Rushing yards per attempt here
on Turf versus the three point. Nine on grass.
That's just this season. I want to see if.
You know, we see a trend, he didthe same thing last year.
He averaged more rushing yards per carry on turf.

(01:01:38):
Which is good. Same with the year before that.
So the last three seasons The last four seasons.
So, four out of five career years that Jordan love has
played in He's averaged more rushing yards on turf.

(01:02:00):
Then grass, which is beneficial if you like, Jordan loves over
the Russian total today. Mostly looking at the Home in a
waste splits. Home and Away splits, I'm seeing
that he averages more rushing yards per attempt and every
season that he's had on the roadvan at home.

(01:02:23):
So this is a perfect situation. I feel like for Jordan love to
go over those those rushing yards, Ivan over nine and a
half. Yes.
So Let's you know what I was looking at was over under eight

(01:02:47):
and a half, right? But let's say we, you know, we
took that over nine and a half He has gone over the nine and a
half the same amount of times that he has gone over eight and
a half this season. So he I would, you know, I would
maybe even play it up to 11 and a half because the 12 plus he's

(01:03:11):
gone over and six out of nine times this season.
And I love the fact that the Giants have a lot of the most
rushing yards. Quarterbacks, they've allowed
the most rushing yards this season.
Now, you think this is going to be a blowout.

(01:03:34):
That's another. That's another thing here.
As you can, you can look at the splits a based on the margin of
victory. I'm not going to get into all
that. but it seems like The closer the game is which is what
I'm expecting today. well, Jameis Winston It seems like the

(01:03:56):
closer the game is. And there's not much history on
it. It seems like the closer the
game is, The better likelihood. It is for Jordan, love to go
over rushing yards. or to get rushing yards or maybe not to
get rushing yards, but Per attempt per Russia attempts.

(01:04:18):
You know, I think those are three good statistics to look
at, you know, the home versus a waste splits but margin of
Victory. Splits I know the margin of
Victory. Splits help me with a proper
earlier this year. Thank you.
It was it was David Montgomery when he played against

(01:04:39):
Cincinnati, you know, I noticed the year before that and games
were Detroit won by 15 plus points, he had a lot of
touchdowns. So I think that that's been
official there and then I mean you can even dive into the the
month splits, you know, is this player good enough in a

(01:05:00):
particular month Grass vs, Turf splits. so, Those are good
splits to look at. And once again, you can find
that information on espn.com andfilter. you know, if you go to
Jordan loves. Statistics here.

(01:05:22):
You can filter that by splits. Romeo Dobbs is good to go today.
I believe he left last game withan injury.
I can see him over 50 yards. Yeah so Romeo's I didn't see him
on the injury report. Seems like he's good to go.
He was a full participant at Wednesday's walkthroughs.

(01:05:46):
The last thing that I'm seeing FanDuel daily fantasy app.
No here. I'm seeing that he should be
good to go. And you know, we were talking
about the 50 plus receiving yards.
Now something else that we got to keep in mind here guys is the

(01:06:07):
wins, right? The gust can be coming in at 30,
40 miles per hour. So, I think that can make things
difficult. So, I would feel more
comfortable with somebody who isgood at yards after the catch

(01:06:27):
with the receiving yards in thisgame.
Not necessarily somebody who, you know, you can air the ball
out to, you know, Randy Moss. I mean, he can do it all but you
know, are it out, 60 yards, justbecause that wind, you know, so,
I'd be looking for somebody who's good at yards after the

(01:06:51):
catch specifically because of these winds.
Which is different than yards per catch, right yards after
catch. leaders 2025, let's let'sgo take a look to see if you
know, I can I can find anything on that.
That's a top of my top of my head here.

(01:07:15):
NFL leaders. And yeah.
Not yards per catch. I want to know yards after.
The catch. Okay, here we go.
Green Bay. Tucker Kraft.
He's out. Josh Jacobs is the second leader

(01:07:37):
in yards. After catch on this Packers
team. And the Giants have allowed the
10th, most receiving yards to running backs.
This was before the week startedthe 10th, most receiving yards
to running backs and the six most receptions to running
backs. So I it's not giving me a big

(01:08:03):
list of players here. that in this isn't by yards after the
catch per catch bases. This is just yards after the
caching accumulated. so, I think, you know, Josh Jacobs is
a pretty decent look here, 20 and a half receiving yards has,

(01:08:24):
he's gone over that in four out of nine games this season.
But here's the thing about Dobbsis is he does rank first.
Now that craft is out. He does ranked first on the
Packers team in yards per catch.And the Giants are slightly
below average and opponents yards per completion.
They ranked 19th Now Dobbs has gone over the 48 and a half.

(01:08:50):
Receiving yard line. I know you mentioned 50 plus
Ivan, he's going over the 48 anda half line and five out of nine
games this season. He said, 40 plus receiving yards
and six out of nine games this season.
Romeo Dobbs versus Giants stats.Again I usually have this

(01:09:11):
information ready to go but had some stuff deleted but yeah, he
He hasn't, he's only got 29 and 32 receiving yards against the
Giants, and his two game history, unless he's played in
the playoffs. because, whenever I looked at up on, Stat news.

(01:09:36):
Usually it's it's just you know,regular season.
So I'm looking just to see if hehe played the Giants on the
playoffs for some reason and he hasn't.
So I'm concerned about that. I think my main there's a few
concerns that I have, all right?It's the it's the it's the big
win. It's the fact that Green Bay
like to, you know, call the highpercentage of rushing plays.

(01:09:59):
Mrs. History, against the Giantsthat I'm concerned about.
But I would really look at yardsafter the catch, right?
I'm not saying, let's throw thatprop away.
I was, I would just try to find out, you know.

(01:10:19):
George after catch NFL leaders and see if he is good.
At getting that. For some reason, I'm having
difficulties finding yards afterthe catch.
But yeah, that's a that's a definitely.
Definitely a big time statistics.

(01:10:41):
A statistic. Especially in a game like this.
and yeah, I'm just I'm just having me, see if I can, I don't
want to spend too much time trying to find something that

(01:11:02):
I'm not prepared for. But I'll definitely try to do a
better job next week of doing that.
Okay. Here we go yards after the
catch. This isn't by a per game basis.
Craft Jacobs. Aurelius is Jacob's, man.

(01:11:31):
And I'm just, I'm looking down this list here.
And I don't see a lot of yards actually.
For. Earns 128 and NFL in yards after
catch. So he's there with Jordan

(01:11:52):
Addison. I mean, he doesn't seem like he
gets a whole lot of yards after the catch, so I'm concerned
about it, man. I would feel, I feel much better
about it if, if the winds were not This this impactful. so, I

(01:12:19):
think my favorite receiving prop, You know.
Now, I was looking at Christian Watson, right?
He has gone over the 42 and a half, receiving yard line, and
all three games this season thathe's played in three out of
three games. So I would lean more towards him

(01:12:39):
going, over the receiving yards,but I think awesome.
My favorite one here is going tobe the Jacobs because I like the
Yards after the catch type of deal that they got going on
there. With Jacobs.
In a game like this. But here's something about Dobbs

(01:13:00):
man is is he could see a heavy workload day especially if the
Giants. Get up.
And in the later stage of the game and in Green Bay's forced
to pass you know, Dobbs with Tucker Kraft being out and In
Jayden, Reed being out. Matthew Goldin being

(01:13:24):
questionable. You know, there's not a whole
lot to work with here. and regards to, you know, The past
catchers for Green Bay. so, I think you got the workload.

(01:13:44):
In your favor, if you're thinking about jobs or any of
these past, catchers for for Green Bay, but I think you know,
Jacobs going over that seems fair.
The 20 and a half. Receiving yard line.
Josh Jacobs game log. I just want to see if Josh
Jacobs has played any games against, you know, the Giants

(01:14:08):
and see how many times. He's gone over that line
against. The Giant's, you know?
He played a game here back in 2023 and didn't go over that.
He did score two touchdowns. Which we can talk about here in
a minute. New York, Giants trying to find

(01:14:36):
these career games. Almost done here.
All right, so yeah, one career game against the Giants.
Didn't go over the receiving yard line.
But You know, had two two touchdowns.
So if you're thinking about JoshJacobs anytime touchdown today,
you have that working for you. And, you know, I haven't, I

(01:14:59):
haven't covered the Josh Jacobs rushing attack, right?
But I think, you know, that's definitely something to
consider. 82 and a half rushing yards.
Last that I checked was his overunder The Giants have allowed
the second most rushing yards torunning backs this season.

(01:15:23):
The Giants have allowed the mostrushing yards per attempt this
season out of any team in the league.
Josh Jacobs before the week started ranked 38th.
In. Rush yards per attempt. so I
think just based on that, there's a good chance that

(01:15:44):
Jacobs picks up good gains per Russian Temps, Now, the question
is, is he going to break out forone, you know, and we can go
take a look. Rushing yards.
How many? How many?
20 plus rushing Gaines. Have the Giants allowed to
opposing teams this year. They've allowed the most They've

(01:16:07):
allowed the most. So, if I'm Green Bay, I'm gonna,
I'm Green Bay. I like to focus on running the
ball. Yes.
I'm gonna, I'm gonna be handing the ball off to my, my running
backs in this game. Unless I'm down late in the game
and I'm forced to, you know, move the ball quickly.
They've allowed a good amount the third most 40 plus yard

(01:16:29):
rushing games. Now the question is is Jacob's
capable. Of consistently picking up 20
plus 40, plus yard games. and, You know, I'm not seeing that he
is he I'm seeing that he doesn'thave a 20 plus or 40 plus

(01:16:52):
rushing yard game this season. So I think this comes down to
more of just Jacobs just grind you know just just pounding his
way for a 4 yard pick up here. A six yard pick up there just
gonna be beaten this this giant Rush defense up.
Now, somebody who else? Who else?

(01:17:13):
I would maybe be looking for in this one. instead of Jacobs to
have a big rushing game is MaybeMaybe a manual Wilson. you know,
we can go look to see if he has any Any.

(01:17:39):
Okay. 20 plus. 40 plus yard carries this season.
And I don't see that he does. but, Yeah, you know, I think,
you know, with the guy like Jonathan Taylor or something
going up against a giant, that would be a great situation for

(01:18:02):
him to break out for huge gains.And I'm not I'm not putting it
off to the side saying Jacobs doesn't get a 20 or 40.
Post yard game here, but think you're going to see him more
just picking up those four, five, six yard games
consistently This one. Jacobs 19 and half receiving

(01:18:24):
yards. That's where I would lean
towards, man, the Jacobs over the 19th, receiving yards.
I am a little concerned about here.
I like it. I like it.
Even more of Matthew gold in hisout.

(01:18:45):
Right. I mean even if Matthew Golden's
in, I can see Jacobs getting there with Tucker Kraft being
out. Josh Jacobs is the second leader
on the Packers team in Target. Share.
And I already mentioned how I think yards after the catch are
going to play a big factor with these winds today.

(01:19:06):
And Josh Jacobs is good at picking up yards after the
catch. you know, he had, he's gone over the 20 and a half
receiving yards, and And four out of nine games this season.
What about the over? What would you say 19 and a
half? So how many times has he had 20?
Plus receiving yards this year for out of nine?

(01:19:30):
You know, Josh Jacobs didn't go over that and his only career
game against the Giants. But if there was a time that I
go against these these these Trends, this is it. especially
if If? That wide receivers out.

(01:19:52):
For Golden these questionable. But if he's out and I like, I
like the Jacobs going over that even more.
Because he's the second leader in Target share.
Even with golden in. but with him out, I mean And then we can

(01:20:24):
talk about Red Zone as well for the Packers.
So, I see the Packers have a real good opportunity of not
just getting into the Red Zone, the scoring touchdowns, all
right? They're really good at getting
into the Red Zone. They rank six best in the NFL at
Tim's per game. The Giants are below average
slightly below average. And allowing their opponents to

(01:20:46):
enter the Red Zone. And the, when the Packers are in
the red zone, They ranked 11th best in the NFL, I converting
those into touchdowns the Giants, allow their opponents,
to score touchdowns. The second most out of any team
of the league when teams do enter the Red Zone against them.
So I think there are ample opportunities statistically.

(01:21:11):
For Green Bay. To score touchdowns in this
game. and, Obviously, Josh Jacobs is is somebody who I'm
interested in but we're gonna we're gonna take a look at a
couple of things here. How many rushing touchdowns have
the Giants allowed to a running back this season?

(01:21:31):
They have allowed the second most they are nine.
So that makes me like that. They've allowed the second most
receiving touchdowns to running backs to season as well.
Josh Jacobs doesn't have a receiving touchdown this season,
but You know, I think that is ana slightly added benefit.

(01:21:56):
We already mentioned Jacobs had two plus touchdowns against the
Giants. In that.
Loan career game against them. the Giants haven't been too
vulnerable and allowing receiving touchdowns to wide
receivers, they haven't been to vulnerable allowing receiving
touchdowns to Tied INS, What about to Jordan love?

(01:22:20):
They've, I think I mentioned this at the start.
They've allowed the second most rushing touchdowns to to
quarterback. So I think, you know, Jordan
love and Josh Jacobs, not just rushing yards, but anytime
touchdowns could be be real. Beneficial here.
I think I already mentioned, youknow, Jordan love, I'm not sure

(01:22:42):
if he has any history against the Giants.
I think I already looked and he didn't let me just double check
to see. If you know, he did play the
Giants throughout his history here.
And if he got a rushing touchdown in that game, he did
and play the Giants, but he didn't get a rushing touchdown

(01:23:03):
in that game. I think that was the only career
game where he had the two rushing yards back in 2023.
Yeah. So what I'm saying here, so Josh
Jacobs not just not just maybe an anytime so I think there's a
pretty decent chance he gets. He gets too close to touch Downs
today. Josh Jacobs and I could see
Jordan Love's, you know, sneaking in for one.

(01:23:24):
I think something else that we got to look into as well with
Josh Jacobs is You know, I couldreally look into one player prop
all day all day long, right? But and we're kind of moving
along slowly here, but you know,something else you could do is
look at The. The splits for Josh Jacobs, does

(01:23:50):
he score a lot of touchdowns on Turf versus grass?
Compared to the amount of carries that he receives.
You know, this game is being played on turf.
Yeah, he has a ton, more grass, rushing touchdowns as a season,
but he has a ton more of a brushattempts on grass as well.
Last season. I mean this is a good here.

(01:24:14):
I mean, here's a good statistic,right here last season, right?
He had double the amount of carries on grass over double.
And he had three less touchdown rushing touchdowns on Turf and
grass. So that's telling me that, you
know, just based on last year, that's good for him.
And then he had. Over quadruple.

(01:24:39):
The amount of carries the year before that on grass.
Um, and he had, you know, two touchdowns rushing touchdowns on
Turf vs graph. So I think this is a good spot
for Jacobs man. do plus, touchdowns and then let's just
kind of, you know, Breeze through here, the rest, Of this

(01:25:02):
game. So Tyrone Tracy, I think
receptions you could be beneficial here.
Green Basil out the six most receptions to running backs.
Also, if you think if you see receiving yards, I can see Tracy
getting some receiving yards. Green Bay is allowed or no, not

(01:25:24):
receiving yards, just receptionist. everybody's done a
good job at preventing receivingyards for running backs, but the
receptions last checked, you know, Tyrone Tracy over on a two
and a half for receptions, whichshe's only gone over in 25 of
his games this season. But if we toggle that down to
two plus receptions, he's going to that in five out of eight
games this season. I think that's a decent.

(01:25:46):
Look against the Green Bay. Past defense.
Who's allowed the six most receptions to running backs this
season. Now Green Bay's defense is just
good and you know, they ranked 11th best and passing yards
allowed for game, two opposing teams, they ranked Six best in
rushing yards allowed per game and with the winds and
everything and the injuries at the Giants are going up against

(01:26:10):
today. To Neighbors in.
What not man. I think this is a real tough
game for them. But if anybody can do it, man is
Winston. And I really want to see the
Giants. Come Away with this win, man.
I really do. Statistically, I just don't see
it. But if I think, if there's ever

(01:26:31):
a time to go against statistics,this is it.
Oh, Theo Johnson over under fourand a half.
Receptions. He's, you know, the reason why I
looked in that a little bit is because the Packers have allowed
the seventh most receptions tiedin this season.
You know, Johnson's gone over that only two out of 10 games

(01:26:52):
this season, the four and a halfreception line.
And if we even took that to four, it's only three out of 10.
but, you know, I would really belooking at You know, Jamie's
Winston what are his Tendencies?You know, those he liked to
throw I don't have the time to look at that right now and

(01:27:13):
normally I would it's just been a busy week but You know what
are James? Winston's Tennessee's our
Tendencies. Does he like to Target his tight
ends? Does he more so go for the wide
receivers? You know.

(01:27:34):
Does he does, he throw to his running backs?
I mean, I can look at his most recent game for you guys.
All right, this was against Kansas City in 2024 on 12 15 And
this is just a random game whereWinston it didn't even look like
he started. But he threw to Jerry jeudy. 14

(01:27:58):
times in that game, now he was with Cleveland and much
different team. But then he targeted his tight
end. Jordan Atkins the second most or
no it was Elijah Moore he targeted six times.
So it looks like just in that game he was really targeting
wide receivers. And then, let's just go to one
other game. Log the game before that, his

(01:28:20):
second, most recent game, this one he started in, targeted
David and Joe who 13 times in the one, so Um, I'm thinking
with the wind and everything that could cause him to to
Target the O Johnson a little bit more. but I'll let you be
the decider and that But you know what I'm saying is that, I

(01:28:45):
like that he has shown that he can Target his tight end in
this. In this second, most recent game
that he's played in and I also just want to check the third
most against the Broncos. Once again, it was it was Judy
Moore, no joker. 17 targets to the joke and that game 14 to

(01:29:10):
Elijah Moore 13 to Jerry jeudy. He threw 508 times.
I don't necessarily see him throwing 58 times in this one
but You know does seem like he likes to Target his Titan?
So, yeah, you know, give me the Packers and this one.

(01:29:37):
To win. To cover.
You know it's tough to go against it even though the
Giants have a better ATS record a better against the spread
record Green Bay's three and sixagainst the spread Giants for
five and five. I mean if you want to go based
on that you know the Giants cover I mean, the statistics

(01:30:00):
just see lots seem lopsided here.
For the Packers to win to win this game.
To cover. Probably two.
But I'll go ahead and say, you know, Packers win, Giants cover
but I'd love to see the Giants win.
And the main reason, another bigreason why I want to see the

(01:30:22):
Giants win. Is because I could have picked
the Packers or the Patriots in My Survivor, and the fact that I
didn't pick the Patriots. It's like, okay, I can live with
that. But if the path, if the Packers
win and the Vikings lost today, You know, I would be that would
be a very bad decision that I made. but, That leads me in to

(01:30:45):
that game, Chicago at Minnesota.And if there's any game that you
guys want me to Target here or any specific player, prop, feel
free to let me know. But other than that, we'll just
continue moving on here. I just want to talk about this
game a little bit. I mean,

(01:31:11):
Chicago at Minnesota. Yes, it hit that like, subscribe
share button, really appreciate that.
I appreciate you guys being here.
Regardless, if you scan that QR code up, the top left-hand
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deals that we have for you guys.And if you use promo code better

(01:31:38):
all caps. B e t t e r s get 10% off of
your purchase. All right so Chicago at
Minnesota. Minnesota does lead the all-time
series Minnesota's won the last eight out of 10 games against
Chicago. Minnesota's won three in a row
against Chicago. Caleb Williams has a 0 and 3

(01:31:58):
career record against Minnesota in.
Justin Jefferson has an eight and one career record against
Minnesota. All right, excuse me against
Chicago. Last night, I checked
Minnesota's favorite by three. and I'm still seeing that, they
are favored by three and the book that I'm looking at, Now,

(01:32:21):
this is a divisional game. Oh, Chicago's five and four
against the spread, Minnesota's four and five.
So Minnesota wins by a last second field goal or something
like that. Won't be surprised.
If the same thing happens, I won't be surprised either with
Chicago, but I think this can bea pretty close game.
I don't like how Chicago is fiveand four against the spread.

(01:32:44):
Compared to Minnesota's four andfive.
But that's not a huge difference, you know?
But a small, a small Advantage like that can mean the world of
difference. Feel like Minnesota really needs
this game, you know, to stay competitive in that Division,
Chicago holds that six and threerecord, Minnesota's four and

(01:33:06):
five. I do give Chicago a slight
passing advantage in this game. I give Chicago a pretty good
size, rushing and manage, and this game, and give Chicago
really a lot of advantageous, tobe honest with you, a good size,
third down, conversion Advantage, a slight Red Sox per
game. Advantage of big sacks on the
quarterback advantage of big turnover, differential

(01:33:27):
advantage. So really, you know?
See some some good advantages here today for Chicago and then
Minnesota, really? I just give them a slight red
zone. Conversion Advantage, if
Minnesota gets into the Red Zone, I give them a better
chance at converting a touchdownin Chicago.

(01:33:48):
I think something that That that, that Minnesota, you know,
Minnesota. So.
The Bears. The Bears ranked 11th best in
passing yards per game, but Minnesota ranks ninth best, and
passing yards allowed per game. Okay.

(01:34:10):
Now Minnesota is allowing some decent yardage per completion to
opposing teams, they ranked their slightly below average so
I think Odom's a burden LovelandDJ Moore or you know they could
have some some pretty decent sized pickups in this one.

(01:34:32):
But I think the key for Minnesota in this one, is going
to be limiting. Who looks like we might have JB
Sports Talk on the way too. But yeah, I think the best thing
here is is limiting. Limiting the the rushing attack
here. Bye bye.

(01:34:53):
Bye Chicago. I mean Chicago ranks second best
in the NFL and rushing yards pergame.
Minnesota ranks, 22nd and rushing yards allowed per game.
So, you know, I think limiting DeAndre Swift and menunggu Guy.
Rushing yards is going to be critical for Minnesota in this
game. Minnesota has allowed the 12th.

(01:35:15):
Most rushing yards to running backs before the week started,
Tiandra Swift over under 58 and a half, rushing yards.
Last that I checked, he's gone over that in half of his games
this season. If we talk about that down to 45
plus he's gone over that in 75% of his games, this season, it
didn't get a chance to see, you know, DeAndre Swift versus Bears

(01:35:37):
history. Or excuse me against Vikings
history. But, you know, it looks like I'm
at least looking at regular season statistics here and he
scored a touchdown and three outof nine, three out of nine,
career games against Minnesota. I just want to say, I didn't

(01:35:59):
look into Caleb Williams rushingprops, because I didn't see
Minnesota was extremely vulnerable to rushing yards,
allowed to quarterbacks. But Caleb Williams has scored a
rushing touchdown in one out of three career, games against
Minnesota, Um, and then Minong guy, 32 and a half rushing
yards. He's only gone over that in two

(01:36:19):
out of nine games this season but he's had 20.
Plus rushing yards in five out of nine games this season.
He's actually had 20 plus rushing yards in four straight
games. So You know, if you like my none
guy, rushing yards. Today, you got that working for
you actually. Yeah.

(01:36:43):
And yeah, if you talk, if you can talk all of that down to 20,
plus once again, he's gone over that.
And in the last four games, so, you know, I think this is a
dangerous spot to put a Survivorpick on, to be honest with you,

(01:37:03):
Statistically, maybe not the best, not the best situation
here but you know, let's hope, let's hope.
Oh, I'm probably feeling the least confident about this
Survivor, pick than any other picnic this year, but I am
hopeful that it pans out. Um, with all that being said, we

(01:37:26):
can go look at the, you know, where, where Minnesota is
allowing touchdowns to opposing teams, all right.
They've only allowed one rushingtouchdown to a quarterback this
season. A Minnesota rushing touchdown to
running backs about middle of the pack.

(01:37:46):
So not extremely vulnerable to that.
Receiving touchdowns for runningbacks.
They haven't allowed any, I know.
I know that DeAndre Swift is capable of receiving touchdowns.
And the fact that Minnesota hasn't allowed one this year,
makes me feel a little bit better.

(01:38:12):
Receiving touchdowns a lot of wide receivers Minnesota, hasn't
been extremely vulnerable to that.
It looks like maybe their biggest vulnerability relative
to the other teams in the leagueis going to be the the
touchdowns allowed to tight ends. and, you know, when we

(01:38:33):
look at the Bears Red Zone, Target share.
Not Target share but just Red Zone targets.
Or Doomsday leads the team with 10.
Oz with a after that. A Coke met with four, loved one

(01:38:55):
with four. So if you had You know, commit.
Or Loveland on your radar here. That's probably the way I'm
leaning with for a bear to get atouchdown.
That would be my first look. Is commit.
Or loved ones, the tight ends for for Chicago.

(01:39:25):
And then, let's talk about. Minnesota a little bit here.
Yo, what's up JB? I'm sorry.
Sorry, I'm just reading these comments now.
I'm Caleb Williams over under four and a half.
Rushing its or two passing touchdowns So let's go look at

(01:39:46):
the passing touchdowns real quick.
Minnesota. Seems like they've been pretty
good at the limiting passing touchdowns.
To quarterbacks this year. Well, let's do together teams in
the league. They've done, they're above
average at preventing those passing touchdowns um, Vikings,

(01:40:15):
I was looking at Caleb Williams.First thing versus Vikings
statistics. You know, he's thrown two plus
touchdowns in one out of three career games.
Against Minnesota. Caleb Williams.

(01:40:38):
Caleb Williams game log is what.I want.
Caleb Williams game log. And I just want to see, you
know, I'm sure he hasn't played Minnesota on the playoffs.
He hasn't made the playoffs. Okay.
So, how many times has he had five plus rushing attempts in

(01:40:59):
career games against Minnesota? Didn't get one in his first
career game win over had six andhis second career game.
And then his most recent game, he had six.
So, I would be leaning more towards Caleb Williams, over the
four and a half. Rushing attempts, then more so
than two plus passing touchdowns.

(01:41:20):
Also mentioned, you know, Minnesota is like middle of the
pack and allowing rushing yards to quarterbacks.
I believe us said Yeah. Um and then you know we could
look at attempts too by Minnesota how many times our
teams attempting. How many times are quarterbacks
attempting to run against Minnesota.

(01:41:41):
I mean they've only ran Minnesota's only allowed the six
most rushing attempts to quarterbacks this season.
But you know I think something that that goes with that is who
has Minnesota played, you know what type of mobile
quarterbacks? Have they played?
They've played Jalen hurts Herbert.

(01:42:05):
Was it Lamar Jackson in this game?
The most recent game. so, teams are not really trying to Run
against them. Now, I'm looking at Hertz.
And these were in the three of the four most recent games,
okay? I'm looking at the game against

(01:42:27):
Minnesota's gaming is Baltimore the Chargers in the Eagles
because I feel like those are three pretty good mobile
quarterbacks specifically hurts and March accident.
Maybe. A reason why.
These quarterbacks didn't rush, let me just go see how many

(01:42:48):
times Lamar Jackson carried the ball nine.
Herbert. Seven.
Jalen hurts. For.
But I'm thinking maybe a reason why I mean those are decent
numbers but I'm thinking maybe areason why those numbers are not

(01:43:09):
higher is because the Vikings lost all of those games.
They got rolled by the Chargers.Against the Eagles.
They were down 14 to 6 at half time.
Against the Ravens they lost by eight.

(01:43:30):
So I mean Yeah, I mean I would just I don't like the history
there and I like how how? Chicago Or excuse me.
I like how Minnesota has prevented the passing touchdowns
against quarterbacks this season.
I do not like Caleb Williams. History necessarily, I mean it's

(01:43:58):
only he's only had the two plus touchdowns in one out of three
career games. So it's not like huge history
there, but I think I would need some good history to go with
that. Something else that we can look
at too is is is Caleb Williams. Russia temps in his last few
games versus and his passing touchdowns in this last few
games, he's only had two plus passing touchdowns Ivan and his

(01:44:23):
one out of his last six games. Won out of his last six games,
compared to his rushing attempts, where he's had five
plus and three out of his last six games.
He's also had two plus rushing attempts.
Me five, plus rushing attempts and his last two games.

(01:44:45):
So, And then and then he had sixrushing attempts against
Minnesota in that season opener this year.
I don't see Jefferson going overhis receiving yards today.
What do you think now? Jefferson.

(01:45:08):
I know he I think he's been struggling a little bit lately,
if I'm not mistaken, let me justgo check this game log.
You know, 30 set his last couplegames only 37, receiving yards,
47, receiving yards. And honestly, that's against
teams that he may have. He should have probably done
that again, you know. Baltimore vulnerable to wide

(01:45:33):
receiver. Receiving yards.
Detroit looks like they're aboutaverage, maybe he's a little
slightly below average and receiving yards, a lot of wide
receivers. And the, but the Bears, I mean,
he's in another good spot here, today against the Bears, you
know, the Bears have allowed the9th, most receiving yards, two
wide receivers the Bears. Passed defense is bad.

(01:45:54):
They were in 26th, in passing yards allowed per game.
I think, you know, Jefferson Is.Probably a little frustrated
after the last two performances and he may be, you know, asking
for the ball a little bit more on this game.
Minnesota loves to call a high percentage of passing plays

(01:46:18):
relative to the other teams in the league.
They ranked fourth best in that category.
I know Minnesota's not the most elusive passing team in regards
to passing yards gain but um, you know McCarthy.
They're going up against a bad past defense in regards to

(01:46:38):
yardage allowed per game. So I think that's beneficial
here today for Minnesota. Passing yards.
Let me just look at a couple other things here. you know, I

(01:47:00):
think I think that's where Minnesota, you know, has to I
wouldn't say that's where they have to get it done at right.
I think they can find success running the ball and everything.
You know, they got Aaron Jones back.

(01:47:22):
But just because they like to pass the ball.
In regards to passing play call percentage in in regards to play
calling percentage. I think that's this is the place
where Minnesota has to take advantage of the day.
Just in Jefferson over 73 and a half receiving yards.
She's got he has gone over that in six out of nine games this
season. Let's go check out Jefferson

(01:47:46):
versus bear. Statistic.
Jefferson versus Bears stats. Oh hey.
What's up JB? Jefferson versus the Bears.
How many times has Jefferson had74?
Plus receiving yards against theBears?

(01:48:08):
He's gone under in his last fourgames against the Bears, but a
total of four out of nine, career games against the Bears.
He's gone over that line. Received down, he said four, he
said he's got a touchdown in four out of nine, career games
against the Bears. And you know the Bears have
allowed the third most receivingtouchdowns.

(01:48:30):
So why receivers this year? so, I do lean towards Jefferson
going over those receiving yards.
What are you thinking about Jefferson today?
JB. I have seen today and well, hold
on, I say well, who are they playing?
Chicago, she got. Oh, yeah.

(01:48:51):
Yeah. I like I like the nine or the I
like Minnesota today. Um, I like Jefferson against the
Bears. I don't know about the
quarterbacks situation but, you know, yeah, the quarterback
situation McCarthy, you know, he's young man and I'm I'm

(01:49:15):
really counting on this Minnesota, offensive line to
step up. They have been allowing a lot of
sacks to the quarterback this season.
And with these young quarterbacks, it's tough to
navigate Against the team. It's tough.
It's tough to play good. Whenever you're getting sacked a

(01:49:35):
lot, especially for the young quarterbacks.
It seems like a guy, like, Peyton Manning or something in
his later years, or, you know, just just good veteran.
Quarterbacks even flacko can canmanage because I don't think
Cincinnati is. You know, Cincinnati was

(01:49:56):
protecting their quarterback great this season or last
season, but he seems to be managing, you know, and I think
it's just it's, it's better if you're a veteran and you have a
bad offensive line, then a rookie or a second year
quarterback. So, I'm just, I'm a little
worried about that. That's my biggest concern here.
Now, Chicago is not a great teamat sacking the quarterback, but

(01:50:17):
they do rank 16. So they're average getting sac
in the quarterback. So I think that's a big part of
it protecting protecting macarthy today. but, You know, I
saw Jalen Naylor's gone over the21 and a half, receiving our
line and six out of nine games this season.

(01:50:38):
Here's something that's interesting.
Ivan. I know Jordan Addison is at 48
and a half receiving yards. If we talk about that down to
40, he's gone over that in four out of 6 games this season but
he said 25 plus receiving yards in all six games this season.
So I think there's a pretty goodchance that Addison goes over

(01:51:01):
those receiving yards today. And I mean you know hockenson I
think he's in here, Chicago is allowed the 11th, most receiving
yards to tight ends and the seventh most receptions to tight
ends, hockenson has gone over the 2 5. 5.

(01:51:25):
He's had two plus receptions. I mentioned Hawkins.
And is that two and a half receptions?
Last night? I check.
He said two plus receptions in eight out of nine games this
season and he said two plus receptions and seven straight
games. So that just tells you how much
a little toggle down. Can can benefit you, you know,
two and a half? Would you rather take over two

(01:51:48):
and a half with hockenson at five?
You know, going over that in five out of nine games this
season which isn't bad or togglethat down to two plus
receptions. But she's gone over an eight out
of nine games this season and seven straight games.
So yeah hit that toggle button. Yeah.
Yeah I think that's all button. Maybe maybe crucial, especially

(01:52:09):
with these player props man. There's a lot of times and I'm
going to start you know doing this more often giving you guys
the the toggle option you know because I can't tell you how
many times I see you know I'm just looking randomly here, Nico
Collins over under 68 and a half.
He's going over that in four outof eight games.
The reception three out of eightgames.

(01:52:31):
It's seems like the lions are usually pretty Sharp. with the,
with the You know it's right about like like Josh Allen
rushing yards he's gone over that in four out of nine games
this season but if you talk withthat down a little bit you get a
much higher percentage you know seven out of nine games out of,
right? so, You know.

(01:52:54):
But yeah, JB glad to have you onboard, man.
What do you thinking about this Chiefs Broncos game, dude?
Oh man. he really is she's Broncos game, so Man, dude.
I'm gonna say straight up. So we're gonna back up a little
bit, going into the offseason. I'm gonna be honest with you and

(01:53:17):
everybody in America that's watching and outside of the
states, too. Um, I oh, didn't get out.
I am very, very, very questionable about this team
this year. Um, Maybe not.
Like, I don't know, like questioning about like What if

(01:53:41):
like? Cuz I don't, all right.
We wanted to, oh, when two, I predicted that weeks, four, two,
and two. I predict that he's fine.
Facing the Jaguars. I had to leave on.
I couldn't tell you, I, I couldn't even come up.
Like, I don't know. This never Broncos game, I don't

(01:54:01):
know. Because at the end of the day,
Yes, Denver. Once they're they're getting
back. What, what how Kansas City came
at them. You know, last year, with that,
that that blocked field goal, right?
You know, I oh well later in TheBroncos.

(01:54:22):
John Payton. Bo Knicks did not get their get
back because they did not play the starters.
They played the bench right? Eight of our starters so I don't
think that's good. I think they want to get back
but then you also gotten the same realm of things.
He is the city's back is up against the wall.
And it's not. They have to win.

(01:54:43):
But it is a and needed win. Like they need to win.
It's at the point right now, youknow, they could they could miss
out, they could miss the playoffs, they could okay.
They could lose the division, wehave 80% chance of winning.
The division are not winning thedivision, but going back to the

(01:55:04):
playoffs and only a 28% chance. Of.
Okay of um, winning the division.
Man. He's like got a ball out.
Today. the keys to the Chiefs winning, this game is gonna be

(01:55:28):
protecting the homes, and this offensive line is not have
cohesion, and, and mesh and, and, and, and get back on track
with everything. Um, we're gonna be looking at a
long day out there in Empower field.
But if they they Coheed, they put, they're not gonna stop

(01:55:50):
that. That Rush, that Rush is getting
what? Four sacks games?
What is average right now? I mean they're about it breaks
and 85 Bears record. I, Get.
Going to have two. Slow down on that secondary

(01:56:14):
without he is too. Yes, he's out there because
she's like, well, I think and um, That's his game man is
putting pressure on not not pressure.
I want to get home and rock bone.

(01:56:37):
Knicks is fitted, it is the trenches is what is the keys to
the game for the Chiefs and the Broncos to win the game today.
I see machine rice going off taking advantage him and Xavier
worthy. You might even see a little bit
of Taiwan Thornton coming in andtaking advantage of a secondary

(01:56:59):
without PS2, but also be lookingfor that secondary without PS2
to be all. So, Still trying to have him
making a name for themselves without having the All-Pro
corner. Um, Man, this we're in for a
good matchup. We're actually.
You know, heard you mentioned the trenches man.

(01:57:20):
I mean the Broncos, they ranked first in sacks per game and they
ranked first in sacks allowed per game.
So that's where this team reallythrives.
So, you know I'm concerned a little bit here but you know
Pache goes out for the Chiefs, on the flip side, you mentioned

(01:57:41):
yeah. Or Tans out for the Broncos and
see the thing with with check will be out though is is like
everybody. A lot of people have heard to
the chatter is that that is a big thing.
Okay, here is the deal guys. Um we haven't really had to
check. Go.
Since like what we ate of last year when he got hurt.

(01:58:05):
So really what are we missing? I'm confused here.
I really I really am kind of confused that I like Russian.
I think I think JK Dobbins beingout is much worse for the
Broncos then Pacheco being out for the Chiefs.
I like yeah. I like Broussard Smith in Hunt,

(01:58:25):
you know what I mean. So well maybe not over to layer
but here's the thing man, is, isthe home team.
Here's what I'm concerned about the Chiefs, the home teams, won
the past five meetings between these teams.
However, the Chiefs are coming off of a bye week, and from my
understanding, Andy Reid has thebest record of all time out of

(01:58:49):
any head coach after a bye week.He's 20 years for Mahomes has a
13 and one career record againstDenver.
I don't see statistics like thatoften, if I had the chief still
available for my Survivor pick, I would probably, I would
probably pick them today. Not saying that I absolutely
dislike Minnesota. I just I think the Chiefs get

(01:59:12):
this this win here. Oh so guys Travis Kelce needs 31
receiving yards to move in a 24th Place on the all-time
receiving yards leaders list he would pass art monk if he had 31
plus today and I don't see that Denver is specifically great or
terrible at defending against tight end receiving yards.

(01:59:34):
So I think that's very doable. I have even said go back to your
question about the someone was out in the Bears game.
I didn't see anybody. That was out. uh, but You know.
Um, Kansas City against the spread their favorite by four
and a half lasted, I checked against the spread they're five
and four Denver's four five and one against the spread.
So the Chiefs are have a better against the spread record, you

(01:59:57):
know, the Chiefs I see that theyhave a big passing advantage in
this game. I see that Denver has a pretty
good size, rushing Advantage. But with Dobbins now being out,
I don't give them as big of an advantage there.
And, you know, overall I give Kansas City a bunch of other
slight advantages, third, down conversion in advance red zone.

(02:00:18):
Conversion, Advantage RedZone Tim's for game Advantage.
They have a big turnover, differential Advantage.
But Denver does have a once again that they're good at
protecting bone Knicks and they're good at sacking
opposing, quarterbacks Bo Nicks at 47 rushing yards.
Last game versus the Chiefs asked Ivan.

(02:00:38):
So let's go take a look here. Oh, Nick's game log.
What I will mention is that, that is one of the Chiefs
vulnerabilities, as rushing yards allowed to quarterbacks
lasted, I checked phone nix's over on rushing yards was 23 and
a half, the Chiefs ranked fourthworst, In rushing yards allowed
the quarterbacks. Boatniks.

(02:01:00):
Did get 47 rushing yards. in that 38 to 0 game against the
Chiefs last season, where my Holmes didn't start, all right,
and then Earlier that year, he had negative five, rushing yards
against the Chiefs and that was at Kansas City.
So the one that he went over, was the one that it was in

(02:01:22):
Denver. Now he's gone over the 23 and a
half rushing yards and four out of 10 games this season.
He's had 20 plus rushing yards and six out of 10 games this
season. And he has not scored a rushing
touchdown against Kansas City and two career games against
them. You know, I didn't look at many
props in this game because both of these defenses are pretty
good. You know, Denver ranked six best

(02:01:45):
and passing yards allowed for game, Kansas City 7th, best in
passing yards allowed for game, you know, rushing rushing
defense, you know Denver ranks fourth, best in rushing yards
allowed per game, Kansas City ranks 12, best in rushing yards,
a lot of game. So yeah of course players are
going to pick up yards and and guys are most likely going to be
scoring touchdowns in this game.But You know, um, I was really

(02:02:09):
looking at the bow Nicks prop, just because that's where I see
where the Chiefs are vulnerable.And then with the Denver props,
excuse me, with the Chiefs props, I would really be looking
at wide receiver receptions. I know JB mentioned, Rasheed
rice and how he thinks he's going to have a big game in this
one. Yeah.
Now his reception line is that seven and a half, you know, but

(02:02:32):
she's only gone over in one out of three games this season.
But if we take that down to seven plus, he's gonna go over
that two out of three games thisseason.
You think where she rise? I mean catches, I would probably
think that you do JB. Do you think he gets, you know,
seven eight plus receptions in the game?
I'm pretty sure he's averaged right around that, um, since
he's been back. So yeah, I don't I really don't

(02:02:55):
and not Yeah yeah, I'm thinking so too.
But here's here's a guy that I like JB and I don't know if you
mentioned him but for the reception's Hollywood Brown over
one and a half receptions. He's got over that in eight out
of nine games this season and he's had exactly four receptions
and both career games that he's played against Denver.

(02:03:17):
He's also scored a touchdown in one out of two career games
against Denver, So you know whatare your thoughts on Hollywood
Brown today? Item.
Um, he's really And I like that unsung hero, you know, like that
forgotten guy. Um, because I didn't even think

(02:03:40):
of him and he's I think been like the leading receiver honest
with you. So um, I like Hollywood Brown,
um, him and I'm I gotta I go my guy Juju as well.
Um, I think, you know, he's goodfor, you know, some small props,
you know, I not big, there's notthat big guy but, you know, you

(02:04:03):
guys find something small with him reception, or, you know,
1215 yards or something, 20 yards or something like that.
Definitely I think he'll go get over.
But yeah, I like Hollywood Brownthis week as well.
You know, I would really be looking at.
I'm just looking at work Denver's vulnerable, at, in

(02:04:28):
regards to touchdowns allowed this season.
Looks like you know really relative to other teams in the
league. It seems like receiving
touchdowns running backs so I'm thinking maybe cream hunting
season, touchdown catch here. Yeah, the inflated in the

(02:04:50):
season. I think we're really starting to
see a lot more burchard this this week.
I think this is Like I don't necessarily see more of him, but
see him get more positivity in his um go.
You know? I mean, I'm just a little
concerned about Chiefs wide receivers getting touched on

(02:05:13):
this game. The Broncos, Believe It or Not.
They've only allowed two touchdowns to wide receivers
this year, man. Yeah.
They don't first and the NFL butyeah Ballers are going to ball,
right. I think the cheese out.
I think the Chiefs can you? Yeah, ps2's out and I think that
she's really can impose their will on any defense.

(02:05:33):
Any, you know there's a bigger likelihood for the Chiefs to to
you know put up good numbers against a good defense and let's
say the Tennessee Titans, you know what I mean?
So I think the Chiefs are those teams where it doesn't matter
how good your defense is, they're going to impose their
will on you however they seem fit right.
I do think that like the biggestweakness in this Broncos team is

(02:05:57):
the I'll just browsing. This is receiving, touchdowns
allowed to running back. So yeah, I'm thinking Kareem
hunt for Sean Smith. It touched down is probably the
way to go on that one. and then for the bra or for the Chiefs, I
mean. It's I was, I would say probably

(02:06:19):
Bo Nix getting in. I don't believe he has a
touchdown in his two career games against the Chiefs.
I don't think he has a touchdownrun, let me just double check
that 0 out of ones. Yeah, doesn't have a touchdown
rush in zero out of two, but I think this would be the game to
get it. Simply because the Chiefs have
allowed the most rushing touchdowns two quarterbacks this

(02:06:42):
season. But other than that, you know,
Chiefs defense just doesn't seemvery vulnerable and allowing
touchdowns to Many other positions here.
I mean they're much like Denver both of these teams, just having
a lot of touchdowns this season,but so You know.

(02:07:04):
So I yeah, I'd say bonex. And it was my favorite touchdown
scorer for the Denver. And then, for the Chiefs, Check?
Or I mean hunt or burchard Smith, who would you lean with
getting an end zone. More JB burchard Smith or Kareem
hunt. I'd probably go with cream,

(02:07:26):
Hans. I don't think that she's gonna
try to necessarily. I mean, don't get me wrong.
I think you're you're right. I mean, and you, you probably
know better than I do since, youknow, you're, you're Chiefs fan,
you keep up to date more than with their, their stuff and I do
but You know, I'm if I'm the Chiefs man, I'm not playing

(02:07:46):
around in this game. I'm I know what cream Hunt's
capable of. Yeah, I know what Bernard Smith
is capable of two but he's, you know, What is this is his first
year for starts Smith? So maybe in a game again you
know, the Titan's I'm looking for Bouchard's Smith to score

(02:08:09):
touchdown, but against this big game against Denver, man, I'm
going to my number one free home. so, For sharks Smith.
Hasn't found the end zone. Yet this year.
So if I'm the Chiefs I'm not necessarily looking to try to
get him his first touchdown against the Broncos.

(02:08:30):
I mean it'd be nice if it just fell into their lap, but It's
not something that I'm looking to Target from Kansas City.
I'm looking for Kareem hunt. And anything else that you
wanted to say on this game, JB? I I don't really um I'm just
ready for ya. Nice.
I really am I just I put all talking aside and I'm letting

(02:08:54):
the game do it and the game. Do all the talking.
So, If you guys want to look at the Turf vs Grass Blitz, this
game is being played on grass. oh, hey JB.
Do you? You got a moment you want to
talk about the promotions and Deals and stuff.

(02:09:15):
I need to go take a small break,I can be back in just a couple
minutes. Cool man.
Oh Missouri. I'll be back within you.
Give me five minutes tops. Yes, we are not new podcast, you
know, you guys know. Um, he's going to that left
hand. Um, Lifting Corner up there in

(02:09:38):
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It will take you guys to our nmpor not moved.
Dash shop.com. It is our merchandise shop.
We got Everything there, you canalso enter into the Jersey

(02:10:01):
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(02:10:25):
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(02:10:46):
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You can go to the website and not moved Dash.
Shop.org wall.com use promo code, not moved to receive. 10%
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(02:11:14):
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jersey Gateway. We just did one last week. the
man got his jersey, he ordered aend up winning a um, they put in
like 16 tickets. He won to know there's a piece.
He ended up winning a woman's kelly green.

(02:11:37):
AJ Brown cut off the Eagles jersey.
Boom. Got it, good golden.
Um we're doing more ten dollars a ticket.
Get in there, man. Up to you, man.
You don't promos on on ticket byduring the streams of the game.

(02:11:57):
We're all so live right now on tiktok Streaming.
The games, right? We have.
The overseas games going on right now.

(02:12:18):
So what is it? Miami and Washington. for sure,
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seen probably horribly wrong right now.
And not move. Got a lot going on.

(02:12:38):
Guys, if you guys interested, sowe've been doing those new shows
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Night. Not Move podcast, will be coming

(02:12:59):
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(02:13:26):
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(02:13:49):
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Honestly, I think he probably get it.
He's fine next. That's check out on us on
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Hit some parlays. What's up, better?

(02:14:54):
What's up, man? What's up?
Thanks for holding it down there.
Um, so yeah, Baltimore at Cleveland.
Derek Henry needs 117 rushing yards to move into 14th Place on
the all-time rushing yards, leaders list he would pass
Marcus Allen. DeAndre Hopkins needs five

(02:15:15):
receptions to pass Hines Ward onthe all-time receptions leaders
list. Hopkins needs 26 receiving yards
to moving to 18th Place on the all-time receiving yards.
Leaders Liz hewed pass on AndreaReed.
And he needs one receiving touchdown to move into 19th.
Place on the all-time receiving touchdowns leaders list.

(02:15:39):
He would pass. Lance allworth.
Last time I checked. Baltimore's favored by seven and
a half over under 38 and a half.I already mentioned that this
wet this weather could be very impactful in this game early and
this episode I'm seeing that there could be wind gusts in the

(02:16:01):
30-35 mile per hour range which could be impactful on deep
throws and kicks. There's also a few chance for
some rain drops. Games in Cleveland, we know.
I do give Cleaveland a slight passing Advantage.
Now I think some of that may have to do with Lamar Jackson
being out this year, you know. So they're passing yards per

(02:16:23):
game, is that, that number is probably skewed, they were in 28
right now, in passing yards per game, Baltimore does Well with
LJ back I think that could be you know that number could be up
but Cleveland's passed defense, it's the real deal.
They ranked second best and passing yards allowed per game.

(02:16:44):
Oh, Baltimore really likes to focus on the Run.
They ranked 29th and passing play percentage, so there's not
many teams that call a high percentage of a higher
percentage of Russian plays thanBaltimore does.
Um And in regards to passing yards or in regards to yards
allowed per game, that's where Cleveland is more vulnerable.

(02:17:06):
Is rushing yards allowed for game.
I mentioned they ranked second best in passing yards allowed
per game. They ranked 10th best in rushing
yards allowed per game. and, youknow, so if I am Baltimore, I am
trying to run with With Henry. And or LJ a little bit more on

(02:17:34):
this one. Then trying to attack the
Cleveland pass defense in bad weather conditions you know.
So I didn't look up player propsfor those guys, but if you are
interested in Derek Henry rushing yards, he once again he
needs 117 rushing yards to moving to 14th, Place on that
all-time rushing, rushing leaders list.

(02:17:58):
And Cleveland's basically the opposite.
They call a high percentage of passing plays.
They ranked third in the NFL in passing play percentage. so, I
think You know, with Cleveland the wind is going to, you know,
just not be. I think the wind is a big
downgrade to the Cleveland offense.

(02:18:20):
If you know if it were optimal passing conditions, I think this
would be a pretty competitive game. but I'm concerned that,
you know, Cleveland gets rolled in this game because of these
weather conditions, you know, Now Baltimore.

(02:18:42):
They're not great at defending against the run.
The Cleveland is not good at running the ball.
Really Cleveland's not very goodat accumulating passing yards
through the air, either they just, you know, they're, they're
down in these games and in our forced to pass a lot. but, You
know, Baltimore. If I'm Cleveland man, I'm trying

(02:19:05):
to keep the ball out of out of the office for Baltimore trying
to keep the ball out of their hands and feed Judkins.
Baltimore hasn't been Great or terrible at defending, rushing
yards allowed to running backs this season.
Um, Jenkins ranks, 33rd best in the NFL in rushing yards per

(02:19:29):
attempt per carry and Baltimore ranks. 22nd in rushing yards
allowed per attempt. So You know, I think that's
where Cleveland really has to establish themselves.
Is that that ground game? But I think it's I think they
got their hands full. Now.
Jerry, Judy is somebody who I dohave my eye on this one. you

(02:19:55):
know, Baltimore does have a bad pass defense, but Not optimal
weather conditions, right over under 40 and a half.
Receiving yards is the last I saw for Judy.
He's gone over that in five out of nine games this season and
he's had 51 plus, receiving yards and all four career games
against Baltimore. So that would probably be my

(02:20:19):
favorite. Receiving prop here for
Cleveland is Judy over the 40 and a half receiving yard line,
I would love it. If it were optimal weather
conditions, but yet, you know, Ido give Baltimore a big, rushing
Advantage, a good third down. A good size, third down,

(02:20:40):
conversion Advantage, a good size Red Zone at Tim's per game
advantage. Um, but you know, Cleveland.
I give him a slight red zone, conversion, Advantage, when they
do get into the Red Zone, I think they might have a better
chance of scoring those touchdowns than Baltimore does
based on the statistics. But once again, I think these

(02:21:01):
Baltimore Ravens statistics are just a little bit skewed on the
offensive side of the ball. So, Lamar, Jack, Lamar,
Jackson's missed some time this year. so, What do you thinking
in this one JB? Cleveland Baltimore.
Do you think Baltimore just runswith this one?

(02:21:26):
No. Actually I don't I actually have
To have. What do you call it?
Um, the Browns winning. um, and that game um, I don't ask me

(02:21:50):
why. I hear you.
Yep. Oh, yeah, I could see the
Browns, giving them a run for their money once again.
I think they just really have toestablish that run with Judkins
and that's what this comes down to.
Ivan says, King Henry two plus rushing touchdowns, we can go

(02:22:13):
look Derrick Henry Versus brown statistics and go see how many
times he's had a touchdown against the Browns, in his
career. How many times has he had two
plus touchdowns? He said, two plus touchdowns.
In two. Out of eight, career games
against. Cleveland.

(02:22:34):
So, I think that just based on that alone, what the true odds
25% would be like four to one. On King Henry.
Four to one on King Henry. Getting two plus touchdowns in
this one. I'm not and you I'm seeing plus
475. So I think just on that alone,

(02:22:56):
you got some pretty decent valuethere.
Just based off his history. Now, how many rushing touchdowns
has Cleveland allowed to runningback this season?
Not very many, only three Receiving touchdowns Allowed by
Cleveland to running backs, they've only allowed one.

(02:23:17):
I mean, I think And then what about rushing?
Touchdowns to quarterbacks, Cleveland hasn't allowed any so
yeah, I mean I would I would lean more towards King Henry,
getting those touchdowns to Ivanthen Lamar Jackson And yeah I
like Baltimore in this one at least to win.

(02:23:38):
I think they do you know win by eight plus points as well.
They're four and five against the spread Cleveland's three and
six against the spread. so, Yeah, I like balls more hair man
and I think I think if Baltimoredoes win they're going to need

(02:24:01):
to get it done with with King Henry. so, were there any other
questions about that one? No, no.
I think you know, I even not sought, he mentioned Evan
engram, the specs of the Chiefs game, Evan engram, Over.

(02:24:28):
What was it? 25 receiving yards and three and
a half receptions exclamation points.
Now, the Chiefs have allowed, they write 12 best and receiving
yards, allowed to tie ins and eight best and receptions a lot
of tight ends. I have kept.
I've kept trying to pick on thisChiefs tight end defense all

(02:24:49):
year and just really hasn't panned out because they were
terrible at defending against the Titan position last year,
but they've really turned it around now, I don't think they
have been truly tested a whole lot this season, but You know
what I'm looking at the Chiefs schedule.
Chiefs. You know, they were tested.

(02:25:11):
I think last game that they played, let me just look at
their schedule against the bills.
You know, I think the bills withKincaid and knocks and they're
tight in. Weapons.
I think I mean they're they're pretty solid there that tied in
and Kincaid, did pick up six receiving yards for 101 yards

(02:25:34):
and a touchdown. Nox.
One reception for 30 yards, Jackson Halls one reception for
18 yards. So I mean I could see it Ivan.
I have an engram. Versus.
Chiefs. Let's see here.

(02:25:54):
He scored a touchdown against the Chiefs and one out of four
career games. He's had Nine receiving yards,
15 14, and 57. so, what about? Evan engram.
Lately, what is he done for us lately?

(02:26:17):
I mean, he just, he hasn't been much of a factor in the last
couple games. But he did, he did pick up some
decent amount of receiving yardsin the game before that.
Some some some decent amount of targets.
Receptions, he's gone over the three and a half and five out of

(02:26:39):
nine games this season. So, Yeah, I could.
I could see that. I feel more comfortable, about
Ingram, getting those receiving yards. and, Then Broncos wide

(02:27:02):
receivers getting receiving yards.
All right, let's go. Look at some of the smaller game
here. Oh, I do want to mention this

(02:27:24):
Seattle and Rams game. This game is being played on
Turf Stafford. Since he has been with the Los
Angeles. Rams from my understanding, he
has a perfect 5-0 career record against Seattle.
And that is who I'm leaning within this game, the Rams.

(02:27:45):
Not just to win but Rams, minus 3.
Yeah, I'd probably take it to two and a half.
In this big, big divisional game.
Defonte Adams needs two receptions to move into 16th
Place on the all-time reception's leaders list, he

(02:28:05):
would pass Hines Ward. he needs two touchdowns to move into 17th
Place on the all-time touchdownsleaders list, he would pass a
Lenny Moore Also this is Cooper kupp's first game against the
Rams since being with Seattle. And I know Tori Horton's out
this game the wide receiver for for Seattle.

(02:28:27):
So I think that opens up a little bit more room here for
Cooper kupp. and, You know, Rashid Shaheed.
I just, you know, I don't think he has the The chemistry here
yet. I think I believe this is his
second game with Seattle. Is.

(02:28:50):
Tyler Lockett back with. Oh he's with the Raiders know,
okay? Anyways.
Yeah, I think this is a good decent spot for Cooper cup, man.
But we'll talk about that here in just a second.
I give them Rams a slight passing and this game.
I give the Seahawks a slight rushing advantage.

(02:29:15):
Give the Rams a good size, thirddown, conversion Advantage, a
good sized Red Zone attempts pergame Advantage.
Nobody's better at getting into the Red Zone and the Rams this
season. Um, and they're doing pretty
good job at capitalizing that those Red Zone opportunities.
They rank 12 best and red zone, conversion rate.

(02:29:37):
And they have a big turnover, differential Advantage.
I actually I actually I actuallykind of I like it's a little bit
more than a lean here. I think I like the Rams in this
one. I know Seattle's a day.
Very dangerous team. I get it.

(02:29:59):
But I just see a few more advantages here for the Rams,
and I really like how Stafford's, 5-0, against
Seattle. So, since he's been with the
Rams, Right before the season started fire.
Right now, though, before the season started This game is also
in Los Angeles, but before the season started, I projected that

(02:30:20):
the Rams would win this division. and this is, this is a
big game, you know, in order forthem to do that.
And so I'm gonna stick stick with my guns here and and do
that. But here's the, here's a good
thing about Seattle, man. So something that's really,
really impressive with Seattle this season.
I think they're a great team. Yeah, but something that's very

(02:30:43):
impressive is that they call thethe highest percentage of
rushing plays out of any team inthe league yet they still rank
six best in passing yards per game.
So look, man. I just I just trust Stafford
more than Donald plain. And simple.
How are you feeling about this game JB?

(02:31:13):
Well, here's the thing about Cooper cup, guys.
Is the Rams have allowed the 12th, most receiving yards to
wide receivers this season. So of course, jsn is a
possibility in any game. But once again, this is Cooper
cups first game against the Ramssince he's since he's been out
of there, he's going over the 37and a half receiving yards and

(02:31:35):
half of his games this season and he's had 30 plus receiving
yards and six out of eight gamesthis season.
If we wanted to bring that down to 30 plus Right.
Oh, what do you think in JB about this game?
About Cooper Cup? Who do you thinks gonna be a big
time player in this one? Man.
Dude, that game is gonna be so crazy because like dude, the

(02:32:01):
Rams are just playing out of mind with Stafford like he's
just playing out of his mind right now and um, what do you
call it? But then on the other side of
the ball, The. Seahawks are just playing great
football, all right. Defense offense teams, these

(02:32:25):
guys are like the misfit crew, they're dangerous.
That's one of the most dangerousthings out there.
I believe is Seattle Seahawks. I think Seattle takes his game
and it's gonna be a hard fit battle, but I think I think
Seattle comes out on top. Yeah, I mean, I get that man.

(02:32:46):
See, I was really good this year.
You are You're you're right, they're good all around the
ball. All around the ball right now.
And it's that's that's what scary.
Is because I think, I think that's the strongest team NFC.

(02:33:07):
um, you know, I think for some props guys, I see Seattle is
very vulnerable to receiving yards, a lot of the running
backs and receptions, a lot of running backs.
Kyron Williams, receiving yards and or receptions I think is
worth looking into I haven't hadtime to do so and then same on

(02:33:28):
the other side of the ball, receptions Kenneth Walker or
charbonnet, receptions the the Rams have a lot of the ninth
most receptions to running backsthis season, the Rams have
allowed the 10th most receptionsto wide receivers.
It was looking at Cooper cup over the two and a half
receptions, which he only went over three out of game.

(02:33:50):
Three out of eight games this season. but if we take that down
to two plus, he's gone over thatand seven out of eight games
this season. So and then and then if you guys
like higbee and or Parkinson, the tight ends for the Rams, I
can see them having good solid games as well.
Seattle's allowed the 5th most receptions or excuse me, the 5th

(02:34:13):
most receiving yards to tight ends this year.
The most receptions to Titan's this season. so I think, you
know, both of those guys are definitely worth looking into
Yeah, give me. Give me the Rams in this one.
But yeah, I don't I mean I get it JB going with Seattle, it'll

(02:34:37):
be. It should be a really good
divisional matchup here. The Chargers and Jacksonville.
Chargers and Jacksonville. The Chargers lead, the all-time
series 9 to 5 against Jacksonville.
You know what? I, you know, what remind what I
instantly think of when I think of chargers and Jackson bill is
that playoff game? That I think the Chargers it

(02:35:01):
wasn't too long ago, the Chargers were up.
A ton against Jackson bill. If I'm not mistaken, let me go
back and look at that. You know what I'm talking about
JB? I think it was last year in the
playoffs or maybe like the year before, Yeah, maybe it was 2023.

(02:35:23):
When what? Oh, here was 2022.
The Chargers in the playoffs versus Jackson Field.
The Chargers were winning that game.
By 27 to zero. Yeah and Jack in the wild card
game in Jacksonville ended up storming back with Trevor

(02:35:45):
Lawrence and and winning that game.
It was Lawrence versus Herbert. Same.
Same situation here today. Now.
The Chargers do lead, the all-time series 9 to 5 against
Jacksonville, but Jackson bill is the three and two against the

(02:36:07):
Los Angeles. Chargers.
Jackson, Bills won two games in a row against the Chargers and
Tina and Alan needs six receptions to move into 13th,
Place on the all-time receptionsleaders list, he would pass, he
would pass, Steve Smith Senior In, you know, that's where
Jackson bill. Is, is someone vulnerable?

(02:36:31):
They've allowed the 12th most receptions to wide receivers.
This season, Keenan, Allen. Last that I checked over under
four and a half. Receptions, I have to lean over
for him to get this. Not just because he needs six
receptions to get to reach that milestone.
To pass Steve Smith. Senior on the all-time
receptions leaders list, but he's gone over the four and a

(02:36:54):
half, receptions and 6 out of 10games this season.
He's had four plus receptions in8 out of 10 games this season.
He's gone over the four and a half reception line and five out
of seven career games against Jacksonville.
Although he only scored a touchdown in one out of seven of
those games. So touchdown, I don't know about
Keenan Allen but receptions I like Herbert passing yards over

(02:37:20):
under 253 and a half Jacksonville has allowed the 9th
most passing yards, two quarterbacks this season all so
just Jacksonville as a whole their past defense has been poor
this season. In regards to guards allowed for
game, they ranked 28th in that category.
Herbert has gone over the 253 and a half passing yards in only

(02:37:42):
four out of 10 games this season.
But if we get that down to 220, he's gone over the 220, passing
yards, and eight out of 10 gamesthis season.
But let's say you don't want to talk about that down or you
don't have that option. Herbert's gone over the 250 and
a half passing yards and all three career games against
Jacksonville. He also had a rushing touchdown
against Jackson bill, so I thinkYou know, he's somebody worth

(02:38:05):
considering here. All just basically any anything
and everything for the Chargers passing attack is open.
I feel like here the Chargers they do, call a high percentage
of passing plays, they ranked seventh in passing play
percentage. Gadsden.
I mean Jacksonville allows the seventh most receiving yards a

(02:38:28):
tight ends, fourth most receptions to tight ends.
I don't think that's a bad. Look at all their and then, You
know the Trevor Lawrence rushingyards.
For Jacksonville is something that I kind of had on my radar
here. Maybe each year in receptions

(02:38:49):
but You know, Chargers of a lot of the 9th, most rushing yards
to quarterbacks this season Chevrolet orange is gone over
that in four out of nine games this season but he has never
gone over that against against the Chargers.
So in that regard, I'm a little bit concerned.
But yeah, you know I see a lot of advantages here for the
Chargers, the only true advantage that I see for Jackson

(02:39:13):
bill out of all the advantages that I usually look at is the
turnover, differential advantage. but, Yeah, I got to
lean towards the Chargers. In this one, minus the three.
What do you thinking on this oneJB?
and here's another thing though,guys, it's like, you know, the

(02:39:36):
Chiefs I mean, if we go take a look at these standings, right?
You got the Broncos up there. hey, in first for first place in
the AFC West so, I mean, if the Chargers had the same the

(02:40:01):
Chargers had the same record as as the Broncos, maybe I would
think Jackson Field could Could maybe win this one, but I think
the Chargers gained some ground here.
I think the Chiefs gained some ground here.
On the Broncos today. and, you know, Jackson Bill Jackson's

(02:40:23):
competing for the division but Ijust don't think it's it's I
don't think Jackson will win thedivision in the AFC South is as
obtainable as the Chargers, winning the more attainable.
It's more attainable. It's taking obtain winning the

(02:40:45):
division more. I think an easier, I don't think
Jacksonville needs is when as much but um, yeah, I totally
think that um, The what you callit?
They got a, the Chargers, got a win, this more, they need this.
Stay alive and relevant and keepit a close competition and AFC

(02:41:10):
West because it's a Broncos win this They went pretty sure they
went. This is for the vision, I think.
because, I don't know about the bed.
They would take the lead in the division.
For sure, we can lose the division right here.
I think, you know, I think I'm looking at Jackson's defense

(02:41:36):
here guys, and they're not allowing or hold up.
Stop fighting. The Jaguars are allowing a good
amount of 20 plus yard receivinggains.
They allow a good chunk of yardsper catch and this Chargers team

(02:41:59):
is good at passing the ball. So I think there's going to be
plenty of opportunity today for the Chargers to have Success
Through the air. Quentin Johnston, ranks, 31st
best and NFL and yards per catchGadsden 38th McConkey, 49th
Keenan, Allen 86 and the Jaguarshave allowed the fourth, most 20

(02:42:20):
plus yard receiving games to opposing teams.
So if you're looking for a, you know, a receiving yards guys, In
this one. Jackson bill hasn't been
specifically vulnerable. To receiving yards allowed per
game. So wide receivers.

(02:42:40):
But I'm going to, I'm just goingto look at the main four guys
here and see how who has had. A lot of 20 plus yard catchers.
Keenan Allen has had five this season.
All right, McConkey. He has had.
Six this season. Quentin Johnston whose

(02:43:03):
questionable lasted I checked. Seven eight, he's had nine. and
then Gadsden, Has had. Seven.
So all these guys are really capable of it.
It's just who's the ball going to go to write.

(02:43:25):
What's going on with Clinton? Johnston, let me just go.
Look at that real quick. I thought I saw that he was
expected to suit up today. I think he is Shin issue
appears. He's likely to play today is
what I'm saying here. so, I think I got plenty of guys that
can attack this Jackson Bill defense.

(02:43:47):
So I was just maybe go with which one I don't know.
Has the better history. I just didn't have time to look
into it and once again, I did a lot of work that didn't get
saved. So yeah.
I actually um, When I started, when I went and jumped on

(02:44:10):
YouTube and started from the beginning and I heard it, I was
like, oh no. Yeah I mean that's just you
know, that happens man. It happens.
But the goal is is to come back next week stronger than ever.
You know, I haven't been, including alternate lines for
people but I'm gonna start doingthat now, you know, For

(02:44:32):
instance, McConkey over under five and a half receptions.
He's gone over that in four out of 10 games this season, but
he's had five plus receptions and six out of 10 games this
season. Almost start talking about those
alternate lines more throughout the upcoming weeks on the show.
and, you know, I think I think. Some good things will come, come

(02:45:00):
from. Because whenever I look back and
I didn't hit save, I was just thinking, Why didn't it say, why
would this happen to me? And I was just kind of thinking,
oh, you know what, I need to include Ultra line, so maybe
that's what it was, maybe, you know. the the football above

(02:45:22):
were like, hey man, Rethink, I'msure. ah, yeah, so yeah
specifically it was this AtlantaCarolina game where, you know, I
just had the whole game mapped out and It didn't save anything,
but you know, Atlanta leaves. The all-time series 37 to 24

(02:45:45):
against Carolina. Michael Phoenix.
Junior has a zero and two careerrecord against Carolina
Atlanta's favored by three and ahalf Carolina is better against
the spread van at Atlanta this season.
Who are you leaning with in thisone JB I think this is a tricky
game Caroline. Yeah I got here.

(02:46:07):
Absolutely. Where is this one playing at
Atlanta? I mean, we saw Carolina.
Beat breaks off of Atlanta earlier this year, you know.
Yeah, it was like 30 this year, or something like that.
I think a lot of people have that in the back of their mind
but you know what? I'm looking at the statistics
here. That I do have see that Atlanta

(02:46:29):
has a big passing Advantage. Carolina's got a decent rushing
advantage. and then, you know, Carolina slight, third down
conversion, Advantage, Carolina,a good size, red zone,
conversion advantage, Atlanta, big sacks on the quarterback
advantage and big turnover, differential Advantage.

(02:46:49):
I think that's where Atlanta really has to try to win this
game is getting pressure on the young young. you guys see what I
did there, the young young get pressure on the young Bryce
young, you know, it, but if he has time in the pocket, You.

(02:47:12):
You know, Atlanta does rank first best, and passing yards
allowed for game, Caroline is not picking up a big chunky
yardage, but I think, you know, if if Bryce young does have
success to the air, that's just gonna make things worse for
Atlanta. In this one. but, You know, I am
going to I'm Gonna Roll with that land on this one.

(02:47:33):
I think they really, really needthis win.
Not saying that Carolina, doesn't they?
Both of these teams do? But, you know, this is this
one's in Atlanta. And Atlantic cannot fall to
three and seven. So I think Bajan, Robinson
receptions over four and a half.I think looks solid.

(02:47:58):
I think Kyle pits receiving yards and or receptions is worth
looking at. That's where I see where
Carolina is vulnerable. And then, you know, Robinson and
alligator as Ivan and I like to call it.
And I'll get back to that Herbert question too, I haven't.
But yeah, Robinson and alligatorrushing yards I think or worth

(02:48:21):
looking into Bryce young, Rico dowdle, Sheba, Hubbard.
All of their rushing yards are worth looking into.
Bryce, young passing yards. I even says that he likes Yeah,
I mean Atlanta has a loud. The second few is passing yards
to opposing teams this year and Atlanta ranks first in passing

(02:48:43):
yards allowed per game, two opposing teams this year but if
you're getting a good line on OnBryce young, sure.
You know what, if his passing yards are, you know, 10 passing
yards, I love it, you know? So let's go take a look.
At what that line is here. Ivan passing yards.

(02:49:08):
For. For.
Price. Young, 169 and a half. 169 and a
half. How many times is Bryce, young
gone over that this season? So take a look Bryce young 170

(02:49:32):
plus touchdown Washington 12-6. I kind of thought, so because I
saw some video about how Jon Gruden was talking about, how
Who are they playing again? Miami.

(02:49:54):
Jon Gruden was talking about howMiami is going to win five games
in a row. And the head coach is going to
keep his job and everything, andI was leaning towards my Amy
going into this game and I heardhim say that he likes.
Miami, I promise you every time this year that I have heard
Gruden say that he likes the same team that I do the other

(02:50:14):
team wins and I know the guy knows his stuff.
I know the guy knows his stuff and everything but look and
every time that I think it's probably been about three times
this season, every time I had the same pick as Gruden, it
loses So that's so crazy. Mmm. so, Yeah, Bryce young.

(02:50:38):
How many times has he had 170 plus passing yards this season?
he's going over that in one, two, three, only three out of
Nine games this season, he didn't go over that.
There's only game against Atlanta this year.
I don't. Necessarily know how much I like

(02:51:02):
that one Ivan. A debut touchdown?
Yeah, we were talking about Depot.
Possibly getting a touchdown, you know.
And how he led the team in Red Zone.
Target share. I don't know if they were in the
red zone or not. But looks like they actually may
have been. but yeah, I mean, he had double the amount of targets

(02:51:23):
Zach ertz had So I think that's who I was leaning with four
Washington to get a touchdown. I'll have to go back and rewash
the film, but Yeah, alligator man. alligator, I think, is
somebody Worth looking at. And this one's Tyler out here

(02:51:44):
running back. For Atlanta. 32 and a half
rushing yards. Lasted I'd checked.
He's gone over that in three outof Nine games this season,
didn't go over that in that gameagainst Carolina, but he only
had one rushing attempt. That came was just very awkward

(02:52:05):
for Atlanta. How?
I'll cheer stats versus Panthersis something that we can look
at. And he's gone over the 32 and a
half rushing yards. And one, two, three, four, five
out of seven career games. Against Caroline, up Carolina

(02:52:26):
has a loud. The 10th most rushing yards to
running backs this season. and, You know, this game is being
played on Turf so we can go takea look.
Tyler allgier game log and go see if He is averaging more
yards per carry on Turf, then grass this season.

(02:52:48):
He is not. But he hasn't played a full
season last year. Averaged more yards per carry on
turf. The year before that more yards
per carry on turf. Year before that more yards per
carry on Turf. So maybe this is a game where he
gets back on track. I would have to lean towards him

(02:53:09):
getting over that. I Alligator.
Alligator getting over that. So you did you say you like
Carolina in this game JB? Yeah, I like Carolina.
Um you know Caroline has six andfour against the spread

(02:53:31):
Atlanta's 44 and 1 against the spread.
So You know, I'm thinking maybe Atlanta wins by a point. let's
see, what else could but I just,I like Caroline and March Oh, we

(02:53:54):
haven't talked about the Tampa Bay, Buffalo game.
Houston Tennessee. I think those are like the main
ones that we haven't talked about since Natty pit.
Are some other guys trying to get on the air JB?

(02:54:15):
Um, in about, In a little bit, we got it.
We're gonna do the the main pie but I mean we got we got time
cool. Um, yeah, once again, if you
guys have any player prop questions or anything like that,
feel free to let me know. Better chewable for 15.

(02:54:37):
Rushing yards, what you think? Yeah, let's go take a look at
that, man. Shuba.
Shuba, 15 plus rushing yards. I like that.
At Landa. has a bad Rush defense.

(02:54:57):
They've allowed the third most The fourth, most rushing yards
per game to opposing teams. I like that.
Atlanta's allowing good size. Rushing games to opposing, Teams
when they do Rush the ball. And I like that Hubbard ranks
43rd best in the NFL in rushing yards.

(02:55:24):
Hubbard versus Falcons. I feel like we're going to find
very favorable history on this because Hubbard hasn't
necessarily been, you know, The second.
The second string running back and a lot of his his games from
my understanding he's kind of been that main guy now that God

(02:55:45):
will has emerged. He's kind of taking it back seat
a little bit so I mean yeah he'sgone over.
He's got 15 plus rushing yards and seven out of our excuse me,
six out of seven, career games against So, that's not really
surprising, but what's he done for us lately?
Is it as another good question here?

(02:56:07):
How many times has he had 15 plus this season?
Every game except one it's hard for me to not like it here, you
know. I think that's where really
Caroline has to attack at Atlanta.
If they want to continue in thisgame is Atlanta's bad Rush
defense, not their thing. Why would you attack you know,

(02:56:29):
if I'm Carolina All right, 30th and passing yards per game, why
would I try to, you know, come out here and sling, the ball
against the number one team in regards to passing yards,
allowed per game against Atlanta, just not what I'm
looking for. If I'm Caroline from Caroline,

(02:56:49):
I'm coming out, trying to run the ball, drain the clock.
And keep the ball out of Atlanta's hands. and, In not
just keep the ball out of Atlanta hands but just exploit
that at Atlanta Rush defense, itseems like the most logical
thing to do. Now obviously if Atlantic gets

(02:57:10):
up early, that changes things you're going to be forced to
pass the ball probably but You know, early on man.
Yeah, I think it's important forCaroline and to establish that
run. Dowdy is just on another level
this year, 85 and a half rushingyards I'm sure the history would

(02:57:32):
be going against us with him going over that But when did he
do against Atlanta or this year?Doubtful, didn't he have?
30 and decent game. Yeah, 30 rushing yards in a
touchdown. But I think Hubbard was still in

(02:57:53):
that game. Yeah, Hubbard was still, the
guy, you know, that was in week.Three Hubbard had the bulk of
the carries, 17 carries 73 yards, dowdle 10 carries 30
yards. But now dowdle I mean just in
their last game against New Orleans dowdle had 18 rushing
attempts compared to chuba Hubbard's three, you know?

(02:58:17):
So that's the thing about Hubbard is like, is he going to
get the caries? You know, even if he does get
three here today, I think he could get hovered, I think he
could still get that 15 plus youcan use this week.
Atlanta Rush defense at the top of my head.

(02:58:38):
I think New Orleans has a much better rush defense than that
Atlanta does and Hubbard almost got there again.
New Orleans with three carries. So Oh, what else do we have

(02:59:00):
here? Tampa Bay and buffalo.
I mentioned that this this game could have some pretty bad
weather. Let me update the system here
when I'm seeing could be close to 20 miles per hour throughout
the entire game with gusts around 35 miles per hour.
Still a chance of some rain or snow. so, I think, you know,

(02:59:24):
this could be a downgrade to Bigpassing plays specifically with
Baker, Mayfield. I already mentioned this earlier
in the show. One of my buddies asked me what
I thought about. Taking Tess Johnson for one of
his fantasy picks this week. She was trying to see who he

(02:59:44):
should get off the waivers. I think Tess Johnson looks
pretty decent here. If it was a better whether game,
it got me looking into Baker, Mayfield, and how he plays and
bad weather. And I don't know anything
statistically, but I saw that Baker, Mayfield has openly come
out and said that in bad weathergames.

(03:00:07):
He tries to manage the game, take care of the football, more
than put up big statistics. And I think again, you know, the
Buffalo past defense, which ranks third best and passing
yards allowed for game in a bad weather game, this is a bad
situation for for Baker, Mayfield, and this in this

(03:00:27):
passing offense of Tampa Bay. But Buffalo is extremely
vulnerable in their Rush defense, they ranked 30th.
So, third worst in rushing yards, allowed per game to
opposing teams. I think they gotta, you know,
get it, get it done on the ground with, with shawdy, maybe
a little Sean Tucker, heck, eveneven maybe some Baker, Mayfield

(03:00:50):
in this one, you know, Buffalo has allowed fifth.
Most rushing yards to running backs.
Charlotte white over under 44 and a half.
He's only gone over the 44 and ahalf rushing line and two out of
nine games this season, but he'shad 35 Plus in six out of nine
games this season. So you know, I think.

(03:01:12):
I think Tampa Bay's. Going to look to run the ball a
little bit more than what they're used to.
They do rank 8 passing play percentage so they do like to
pass the ball. but I just, you know, I think they're going to
be calling a higher percentage of Rushing plays and they
normally do in this one. And then Buffalo you know they

(03:01:35):
ranked second best or not excuseme they call the second most
rushing plays. Out of play calling percentage.
Tampa Bay, they're Rush defense isn't bad man.
They break 11th. Best in rushing yards, allowed
for game. But we know like the Chiefs

(03:01:57):
right? Whenever they're going up
against a good defense. If, you know, when the when The
time comes, the Chiefs can pretty much move the ball
against whatever defense. I mean, that wasn't this the
story in the last year's Super Bowl, but For the most part.
Yeah, I mean good offenses. Seemed to be able to.

(03:02:24):
You know, and post their will ona posing teams when they when
they need to. So although Tampa Bay does have
a good Rush defense in regards to yards live for game Buffalo
ranks, first in rushing yards per game.
So I think Not only could James Cook, have have a decent game

(03:02:44):
here, but Josh Allen his rushingattack.
I think is definitely worth consideration here.
Tampa Bay has allowed the 11th most rushing yards to
quarterbacks this season Josh Allen over under 33 and a half
rushing yards he's gone over that in four out of nine games
this season but if we get that down to 25 plus rushing yards,

(03:03:06):
he's gone over that in seven outof nine games this season.
But he has gone over the 33 and a half, rushing yards and two
out of two career games against Tampa Bay.
He had 41 plus rushing yards, inboth in both of those games
against Tampa, Bay career games that he's played and he's scored
a rushing touchdown and both career games against Tampa Bay.

(03:03:27):
So if you're thinking about JoshAllen, you know, rushing attack
today, whether it be rushing yards or anytime touchdown?
I think this is a pretty decent spot for him. and you know,
Tampa Bay's, only allowed one rushing touchdown To

(03:03:49):
quarterbacks this season. But you know I think this is a
decent spot for them to to allowanother one.
You know, I mean um, Buffalo, when they do get into the Red
Zone. They're converting touchdowns at
a good rate, Tampa Bay is allowing touchdowns.
I think Buffalo is going to be run focused in this game

(03:04:10):
especially with the bad weather.Um, I think this is a pretty
tricky game, to be honest with you, I mentioned Dalton Kincaid
is out for buffalo. Who's going to be able to run

(03:04:30):
the ball? Better is the question, you
know. Who's gonna be able to run the
ball better? I, I have to lean towards
Buffalo. But I don't think Tampa Bay
matches up terribly. What is the line in this Buffalo
by six, Buffalo minus six? I don't know, Buffalo covers.

(03:04:54):
This one. I have to lean towards Tampa Bay
covering that six. but, Yeah, Mayfield's not running the ball.
Like he used to. Is he Ivan?
I was I saw that the other day, man.
Or yesterday, when I was looking.

(03:05:15):
He hasn't, he hasn't. Even ran the ball in the last
three games. So yeah man.
I just got to give the lean towards Buffalo here.
I think if there, if, if he doesbreak that, that streak of not
rushing the ball in the last three games, today is a good day
to do it. For Baker.

(03:05:43):
You know, buffaloes allowed the 8th, most rushing yards to
quarterbacks bad weather game. But you're right, he hasn't ran
the ball. He's he hasn't even had a
rushing attempts. and his last three games, which is concerning

(03:06:08):
I love cook for receiving ours, better and receptions.
Yeah, I have that on my radar here too Ivan simply because
Tampa Bay Has allowed the most receptions to running backs are
excuse me, the most receiving yards to running backs and the
12th most receptions. A cook has gone over the 11 and
a half, receiving our line in three out of nine games this

(03:06:30):
season. We bump that down to 10.
Plus receiving yards, he's gone over that in five out of nine
games this season, then he's gone over the one and a half
receptions and four out of nine games this season and then had
one plus reception six out of nine games this season. so,
James Cook. Versus Buccaneers.

(03:06:55):
Statistics is something that we could look up here.
James Cook has played one careergame against them back in 2023.
Excluding any playoff games this.
If he's ever played against him in the playoffs, only had six.
Receiving yards, one reception, But you know, with Kincaid being

(03:07:15):
out today. I think that opens up some more
room for James Cook to see an extra Target or two.
And with Kincaid being out, James Cook is tied with Joshua
Palmer. For the third, highest Target
share on this team. So and I think in a bad weather

(03:07:41):
game, you know, keeping it closeto the line of scrimmage could
be important here instead of trying to air it out.
So yeah, I I'm with you on the the James Cook.
Receiving yards and or receptions.
If I had to lean towards one, I'd probably go with the

(03:08:05):
Receptions over one and a half but I think they both very well
could hit. Touchdowns in this one.
What about for the Tampa Bay? Bucs Where has Buffalo?

(03:08:29):
Allowed some touchdowns. Look real quick.
You know. Receiving touchdowns Allowed by

(03:08:50):
Buffalo. They haven't allowed any
receiving touchdowns to running backs.
Rushing touchdowns. They've allowed the most rushing
touchdowns to running backs. So that's where I would look for
if I were going for a Tampa Bay Buccaneer.
To score touchdown today. I'd be looking probably for
Rashad white, right? Sean Whyte.

(03:09:15):
You know, look at one other thing here.
You know, Sean Tucker did get a rushing touchdown against New
Orleans. Or shot White.
Did not. You know, I'll check to see who

(03:09:40):
that goal line. Dude, is for Tampa Bay.
You know, we're shot by Sean Tucker.
One of those guys as well, the way I would be leaning towards
and, you know, Tampa Bay. They haven't been doing a great
job at getting into the Red Zonethis season.
And they haven't been doing goodat converting touchdowns when
they enter the red zone. So in that regard, you know, I

(03:10:03):
am leaning more towards Buffalo,having a better chance of
scoring touchdowns. but, Yeah, I'd be laying down.
Look at those two guys, first and foremost.
JB, did you get a prediction on this game?
Who do you like in this one JB, if you're if you're around.

(03:10:26):
I'm what? Tampa Bay at Buffalo.
All right. Yeah.
Yeah. We have another one.
I think I have. I think.
I want you know, after talking about it, I was saying that I

(03:10:49):
think Tampa Bay covers and buffalo wins but after kind of
talking about it You know, I think Tampa, I think Buffalo
might just rolls him here in this one.
I got um, I got a baby on it, Tampa.
Yeah. Hey man.
If they can, if they can really exploit that Buffalo Rush

(03:11:12):
defense, which is been bad this season if Tampa Bay can get on
top of that, I think they have agreat chance.
I just you know I don't know about it and you know I trust I
trust Josh Allen and He kind of bad weather games.
More than Baker. so, I got tampon this man.

(03:11:41):
I won't be surprised to see Tampa cover.
I mean, Yeah, I did. I did like Josh Allen for the
rushing yards man. Something else that we can look
at to Ivan is you know this gameis being played on grass, right?
Something that I like to look atJosh Allen game log, right?

(03:12:03):
Let's just go see if he's averaging more yards, per carry
on grass. The answer.
This season. Yes, he is averaging more yards.
Per carry. On grass dancer.
And then he's at home as well, right?

(03:12:25):
Okay. What about last season more
yards per carry on Turf and grass?
Year before that more grass thanturf.
Here, before that more Turf thangrass.
So I don't see anything that like It's not like Josh Allen

(03:12:46):
has averaged more yards per carry on grass than Turf than
every season that he's played invice versa, just kind of seems
back and forth. So Yeah, today I got to lean
towards him, you know, getting that.
What about? In margin of victories.

(03:13:12):
Yeah. I just gotta lean towards him
getting that, man. Personally I'd rather get that
down to 25 plus rushing yards since he's gone over that in
7909 games this season. But you know, over 33 and a
half, he's gone over that and both of his career games against
Tampa Bay. He's had at least 41, rushing

(03:13:34):
yards in both career games that he's played against Tampa Bay.
And Tampa Bay is allowed the 11th most rushing yards to
quarterbacks this season. I think in a bad weather game
too, you know, quarterbacks maybe a little bit more like
Lively and the back of their head, they're thinking I'm gonna
drop back for this past, but if I don't like it, I'm gonna go

(03:13:56):
ahead and take off and see. These winds are a little crazy
today. instead of throwing and these winds are becoming really,
really Like needy, you know whatI mean?
Like they you, you gotta You gotta win the games that you're
supposed to win now. And not only are you supposed

(03:14:18):
you got to do that when the games are supposed to, but you
gotta put up a fight and win them games that you're not
supposed to or that it should bea throw-up.
You know what I mean? the, the way that everything is
changed. I mean, it's it's week 11. it's

(03:14:38):
time to nut up or shut up, you know, put up or or you know, Go
to go to go to Cancun. you know,it's these are it's like this
this game right here with Kings City, and In Denver, man.
This is more than just playoff implications.

(03:15:05):
Yeah. For sure, for sure.
A Houston, Tennessee, ugly game.Very ugly, you know, we got a
backup quarterback for Houston. Davis Mills Tennessee hasn't
been Great this season. In fact they've been far from
it. I don't really want to talk

(03:15:31):
about this game too much, but I kind of weird feeling Tennessee
comes out on top. What do you think, JB?
Yeah, you know, coach being fired kind of played together,
you know, rally around. You know the youngster and
intern, I could see it, you know, um, mess up their draft.

(03:16:00):
Yeah. I even wants us to talk about
this Bangles and Steelers game. Yeah, let's oh boy I see hot.
I am interested in this game as well.
And I mean, Book Pittsburgh leads the all-time series 71 to
41 against Cincinnati. These teams played on this exact

(03:16:22):
date back in 1997 and Pittsburghwon by a final score of 20 to 3
that game was in Pittsburgh. But that was back in 1997.
Here we are in 2025. So what's going on now?
First off, I'd like to talk about this, this weather I'm

(03:16:43):
seeing sustained, winds 15 to 20miles per hour.
Gusts likely between 30 and 35 miles per hour.
So, I think that I think that definitely is a downgrade for
the Cincinnati team. More than Pittsburgh, both of
these teams have bad pass defenses but since an ADI does

(03:17:07):
accumulate more passing yards per game van Pitchfork.
Also since Cincinnati calls, a higher percentage of passing
plays in Pittsburgh, both of them do call a high percentage
of passing plays. But since in Cincinnati ranks
first, and the entire NFL in passing play percentage
Pittsburgh ranks 10th So I thinkwhat this game is going to come
down to is who is going to run the ball better and I have to

(03:17:31):
lean towards Pittsburgh in that category simply because of the
Russian defenses Pittsburgh ranks, 14th best in rushing
yards, allowed per game and thenCincinnati.
There's no other team that allows more rushing yards per
game than Cincinnati. Neither of these teams are great
at, running the ball. But Pittsburgh is better in

(03:17:53):
regards to rushing yards per game.
So Cincinnati's the worst rushing team on both sides of
the ball in regards to yards yards, accumulated per game or
yards allowed for game. So, you know, Jalen Warren
Somebody definitely who I got myeyes on. since a lot of the most

(03:18:17):
rushing yards to running backs this season, And it might not
just be. Necessarily Jalen Warren, right?
It could be, it could be gain. Well.
Not sure if you know, they're trying to get Caleb Johnson in
the mix, but maybe him a little bits. um, now gain, well, didn't

(03:18:40):
have a rushing attempt against the Chargers in their last game?
And Warren had 14. So, Warren is really that go to
guy in the rushing attacks. So, I think that line is awfully
high for him, 79 and a half. Rushing hard over under.
He's only gone over that in one out of eight games this season.

(03:19:02):
But if I think if he if he, you know, there's a game that he
goes over that this could be another, you know, this could be
a good spot for him to go over that. and, you know, Receiving
yards and or receptions for running backs.
For Pittsburgh, I think, is, is doable here.

(03:19:22):
Since Daddy is allowed the fourth most receiving yards to
running backs, the six, most receptionist to running backs, I
just happened to look at Jalen Warren because they didn't have
any Kenneth gain. Well receiving props up.
Yeah, I would like to look into that a little bit.
But Jalen Warren has gone. Over the 16.5, receiving yard
line and five out of eight gamesthis season.

(03:19:44):
And he's had 10 plus receiving yards and seven out of eight
games this season. But it gets better with the
reception's not necessarily haveto True line, which I saw that
two and a half, which Jalen Warren's, only gone over that in
three out of eight games this season.
But Jalen Warren has had two or more receptions and every game

(03:20:05):
this season, so, you know, I think, I think that can be, can
be good here. Cincinnati's defense is just
terrible. You know, they ranked 30th and
passing yards per game, excuse me, passing yards allowed per
game. So, you know if If Aaron Rodgers

(03:20:25):
is able to manage the weather, whether the storm if you will.
Um, I think you know, he's he's in a good spot.
I think everything four Pittsburgh everybody in
Pittsburgh is in a good spot. Just it's just the weather
that's concerning here. Aaron Rodgers.
Over on her 20032 and a half passing yards.

(03:20:47):
He's only gone over that in three out of nine games this
season. But if we get that down to 200
plus, he's going over that in seven out of nine games this
season. I didn't have time to look at
the history or it got deleted. I don't want to talk about that
anymore, but since anati Has a lot of the seventh most passing
yards to quarterbacks this year.So, you know, they've allowed

(03:21:12):
the second most yards per completion. so I would be maybe
looking for more towards a A yards per catch kind of guy in
this game. just because of The. Weather.
So I think yards per catch as we're getting into the bad

(03:21:36):
weather games. And how players do the grass and
turf splits? I think all of that is going to
start playing a much bigger Factor as we get into the later
stages of the season. You know, everything starts on
the ground, your balance starts on the ground. the tracktion if

(03:22:00):
you are playing in some snow, And those those surfaces are
going to start meaning up a lot more.
Oh yeah. Yeah, no.
I I've been asking them a question and a lot of lives and
stuff about this whole predicament with Flacco and and

(03:22:23):
burrow. And man, I to me, to me the same
Cincinnati, team plays better for pearls and better for lack
of than they do burrow, you know?
Um, I think, I think Cincinnati,you know, comes out with this
one. Um, I just like Joe, bro.

(03:22:46):
I just like, the, the old man. Joe.
It's like, it's like they say, you know the the more gray hairs
the wiser you are Well, there, he's gotten the better.
He's got, he's aged like fine, wine in the NFL, it's crazy.
I'm even says forget about the wins in this game.

(03:23:06):
He likes all blackout, two passing touchdowns 250 yards
Higgins, touchdowns receiving yards.
Receptions she says, forget about the wins, and sometimes
I've mentioned that on other shows, you know, sometimes we
play weatherman too much. I mean, these are still
professional football players, right who've been playing in bad

(03:23:27):
weather since you know, they were two years old.
So I like that when he said forget about the wins.
This isn't really a good game toprobably pick a win.
It's probably better to just pick some good odds.
You know, I do know. There is one thing I knew you
want to say one thing. I'm There's this really

(03:23:49):
interesting. Or lay that Southgate is just
now like really been bringing toa lot of people's attention.
I don't want to speak too much on it because I will be totally
Incorrect and watch it but it's something like this crazy 20
lager. And it's an almost guaranteed

(03:24:10):
hitter like it's all basic BS. Like Is mom's gonna get 10 plus
yards for Rush, you know what I'm saying?
Like, just real simple. Okay.
And I'm gonna tell you this, it's hit every time for, it's
like a plus 1200. I think it's what they call it.
And it's the most simplest things I've seen.

(03:24:33):
I can't tell you how many peopleI've seen hit the thing in the
last three weeks. Yeah, it's like instead taking
Rodgers over 250 plus passing yards we're gonna take him to
get a hundred plus It's like allbasic small stuff like, yeah, 35
yards for, you know, Rasheed rice, you know, but he said the

(03:24:56):
seven receptions, it's the four,you know, it's all like negative
thousand or plus 1,000 or whatever.
However, it comes out to, it's like he said, it was like the
1200 or 2100 Plus or something like that, they call it the 2100
to 1200 plus club or something. Some some weird shit.
But it hits, so, I don't know, y'all might, you know, Want to

(03:25:19):
bend an ear later on and in the lives and and you know, I'll
bring it up and have him you know say something about it.
But yeah, it's It's a good one you guys.
I'm just saying 99.99 49.99 per week. and, You know, Miami

(03:25:40):
touchdown. Miami touchdown.
It's a 1213 now. Who was that?
That running back. Nice and Gordon Gordon.
Oh all the Gordon. Yeah, I think.
Bye. Bye Gordon.

(03:26:04):
What were we talking about the winds?
Right? So I know.
Yes. Oh, I'm just, I'm going to, you
know, play it on the safe for side here.
I'm gonna say the winds are a bigger Factor. and then I, you
know, that I want to say the what I want to do so I'm looking

(03:26:29):
at yards per catch so instead ofseeing who can, you know, have a
big A big 40 plus yard 50, plus yard, touchdown pass.
I'm looking to see who can accumulate yards after the catch
DK, Metcalf ranks 10th best and the NFL at yards per catch and
then it's Jalen Warren at 23rd best in the NFL.

(03:26:52):
So those are the two guys that I'm you know, looking to Target
here for Pittsburgh. and, you know, I mentioned this game is
being played on grass, so DK, Metcalf game log is what I'm
going to look up here. I'm going to see Who.

(03:27:13):
You know is DK Metcalf better ataccumulating receiving yards?
On turf or grass this season. He's averaged more receiving
yards on grass than Turf. Once again this game is being
played on grass. Last season, it was turned.
The year before that grass. But he didn't have many games on

(03:27:36):
grass year before that Turf, so I don't really see anything, you
know, to Or whatever. But those would be the guys, I'd
be looking at but, um, you know,to T Higgins.
That's usually the question right here.
Look at DK real quick. Read DK reason why.
As you went back last year and look at her on, really fast like

(03:27:58):
about his grass and turf like tendencies.
He played it, um, Seattle and they're Turf, so he's had
majority of turf turf head gamesthroughout his career more.
So then, then grass, yeah. Oh, I'm looking at T.
Higgins. So this season more yards per

(03:28:19):
catch on Turf than grass. And that but and he's been
better in yards per catch at home than on the road, he's on
the road, this game. Last year better on the road.
And better on grass. Year before that better on the

(03:28:40):
road. Better on grass.
Year before that. Better on the road.
Better on grass. So, looks like, you know, it

(03:29:02):
looks like and I'm looking back in 2021, it looks kind of even
even there, I don't see enough to make me be like, okay, yeah.
He's? he's just an absolute, you know,
grass monster or Road Monsters Just it's kind of back and forth
there and then with with jamarr Chase more Turf this season.

(03:29:26):
This game is later on too, isn'tit?
Um, I think it's I think it's inthe early slate.
This is noon. Let me see.
Oh yeah, early slate, 1:00 games.
Oh, Tomorrow Chase. Looking at the turf, grass

(03:29:48):
Blitz. Where was a?
Last season grass. and, Grass and road for jamaar.
Chase us season. Um, home.
And turf. So it was just kind of back and
forth between these guys, to be honest with you, I'm not seeing

(03:30:10):
anything that's It's really sticking out.
I think I think last week and I don't know if I mentioned this
or not but just and jeffersson but his Turf splits, I mean,
He's so much better on Turf in regards to at least touchdowns.
So, I think that's beneficial for Justin Jefferson today, but

(03:30:32):
I said the same thing last week and he just, he didn't, he
didn't produce a very well. So I think part of that, maybe
have to do with this quarterback.
Anyways. oh, Yeah, I think his history between the, you know,
the who has better history, Chase or Higgins against the

(03:30:53):
Steelers is is a big part of it.A really wish I had more time to
look into this game. I think it's a great I think
it's a great game too Ivan. You know since there's a special
for player props I mean both of these defenses are just Or weak.
But I can say the Pittsburgh rushed defense is respectable.

(03:31:15):
But yeah. Both these defenses are weak.
And Pittsburgh, I saw that you liked flacko, passing yards.
Yeah, I mean, Flaco has shown that he passed the ball still,
and Pittsburgh's allowed the second most, Second most passing
yards. This season Pittsburgh's a lot

(03:31:39):
of the second most passing our quarterbacks I think some other
guys, you know, fire me with this this whole tied in Corp for
Pittsburgh is worth looking at. But even even since nanny.
The cool thing that I saw about?No, no, a fan is.

(03:32:01):
Is that he's going over the 23 and a half receiving yard line
and all seven games this season.And he's going over the two and
a half receptions and six out ofseven games, this season Pitch.
Perfect has allowed the eighth most receiving yards, to tie it
in 10th most receptions to Titan's.
So in that regard, I think no offense in a great spot here
today. Um, I really see some good

(03:32:24):
numbers here with the PittsburghTitan Corp as well.
I think the thing that's really sticking out to me Is Joe Smith,
two and a half receptions and fryer youth two and a half
receptions. Heck even Darnell Washington
over one and a half receptions but what really sticks out to me

(03:32:47):
is Joe Smith Over or Jonas Smithto get two plus receptions.
If you guys have that option available, he's gone over that
in eight out of nine games this season.
So, If you can move Jonas, Smith's wine to two plus

(03:33:07):
reception. So over one and a half over
eight out of nine games this season. but, Give me pitch for
her here JB. Give me Pittsburgh.
What are your thoughts, man? Who do you got in this one JB?
My. ah, Was Pittsburgh as well. Like Pittsburgh and this one.

(03:33:47):
Yeah. And I think it's a good I think
it's a good spot for Flaco, you know?
I mean besides the wind, which you don't seem to be concerned
about I understand. Nobody calls, a higher
percentage of passing plays. Then Cincinnati.

(03:34:10):
And Pittsburgh allows the most passing yards per game. so, if
you're looking for yards per catch, guys in this game, if you
are concerned about the wind leading up to game time, the guy
who are good at errors per catch, So let's take a look
yards per after the catch. Excuse me.

(03:34:34):
Two different two, completely different categories.
Yards after the catch guys for Pittsburgh DK, Metcalf rights.
First on the team 10th best in the NFL, Jalen Warren 23rd and
the NFL second best on the team.And then, for Cincinnati.

(03:34:55):
It is jamarr Chase. He ranks third best in the NFL
in yards. After the catch.
And then, Chase Brown. 36 best in the NFL and yards after the
catch. So I got to go with yards after
the catch, guys, in this one. so, Jamarr Chase and DK Metcalf.

(03:35:23):
Now. Yeah, I think Higgins could
could do good too and I haven't looked at the history with
Higgins versus you know Pittsburgh Higgins versus
Steelers game law. His last five games, he's had a
touchdown in three out of his last five games against
Pittsburgh. You know, career, he's had a

(03:35:48):
touchdown in one, two, three, four, five out of nine, career
games against them, smart Chase.Touchdowns, he's had a
touchdown. And one, two, three, four, five
out of seven career games. He also had a multi-touchdown
game and his first career game against them.
Chase. Has had 90 foot 95, plus,

(03:36:13):
receiving yards, and three out of seven, career games against
them. If you toggle that down to 880
plus you get looking at five outof seven career games.
And then T Higgins. If we're looking at, Receiving
yards last night checked, I saw them at 56 and a half.
He's had 57 or more receiving yards in six out of nine, career

(03:36:37):
games. And if you get that 50 plus,
you're looking at seven out of nine career games.
And I just I don't know if I'm mentioned this but Aaron Rodgers
has had 200 plus passing yards and seven out of nine games this

(03:36:58):
season. I think I did mention that, but
Yeah, didn't know that. As always, it's good stuff.
Yeah, I'm gonna start giving youguys.
Those alternate lines a lot morein the upcoming shows I think

(03:37:18):
I've done a poor job and doing that for you guys.
So like I said, man I'm always looking for ways to improve the
show for you guys. I know a lot of you do like to,
you know, do those 10, 20 leg parlays with high percentage
plays. So I'll try to make sure to do a
better job and including that for you guys.
And if there's anything specifically You know that you

(03:37:43):
guys want me to do more of, feelfree to let us know. you know,
feel free to contact me myself or JB or, you know, however you
want to go about that. Is good with me.

(03:38:03):
And, you know, I just don't think we've really talked about
the San Francisco, Arizona game.Ugly game.
Thank you. San Francisco's.
Got Ricky Pearsall back. Yeah.
So I think I got her computer. So all back this week I would

(03:38:27):
see if he's Limited in any fashion, typically, I wouldn't
think he would be, but um, I'm seeing here that Kyle Shanahan's
track record is what they're saying here.
You know, I wrote a roto grinders.com rotowire.com, Kyle,

(03:38:47):
Shanahan the head coach for San Francisco is track record
suggests that Ricky Pearsall? Could jump right back into a
significant workload. so, I was just check on his, his
Limitations, if he has any before, making any any moves
there? We already mentioned Marvin.

(03:39:10):
Harrison Jr. Is out.
So who on the Arizona Cardinals?Is the next man up.
Target share. I mean McBride can see even more
Targets and you know, San Francisco hasn't been
particularly good or bad at defending against tight end,
receiving yards and or receptions, or not and or but

(03:39:34):
receiving yards or reception. So A Michael Wilson.
Looks like he's he's gonna be the next man up with with with
Marvin Harrison out. I think Zay Jones is still out
so Elijah Higgins. Maybe even a little bit of

(03:39:55):
Dortch. George Kittle.
Yeah, I mean, Arizona has a lot of the 10th most receiving yards
to tight ends this season. George Kittle has gone over 49

(03:40:17):
and a half, receiving yards, andone out of five games this
season 8 out of 14, career gamesagainst Arizona, George Kittle
has had a touchdown in five out of 14, career games against
Arizona and two plus touchdowns and two out of 14, career games
against Arizona. So just based on that alone, if
you're getting seven to one on George Kittle anytime touchdown.

(03:40:38):
seems like, Seems fair. Just based on his history
against Arizona. Obviously there's some other
factors there but mom sent 10 to1 here, so What do you think
about this one JB? San Francisco, Arizona.

(03:41:02):
I'm going to San Francisco. Um, they got pieces back.
I mean, Arizona has been playingbetter with Kobe percent but I
think Niners are better team. You know, I mean, it also
depends on CMC CMC has a good big day.

(03:41:26):
You know Niners win wins cmcs having a good production day.
They don't win. Out of the game.
So it just goes on his songs. Oh, I mean they have been
competing in some of these gamesthis year.

(03:41:47):
I see that they do have a big turnover, differential
Advantage. They have a slight RedZone
attempts per game Advantage but you know they're better against
the spread this season San Francisco's favorite by three
and a half and a game. This game is being played in
Arizona. Um, I really like San

(03:42:09):
Francisco's passing Advantage. They ranked first, and passing
yards per game Arizona's below, average, and passing yards
allowed per game. And I'm just gonna weird feeling
about this one, the Arizona keeps it close.
If San Francisco wins, I don't think it'll be by by more than I
don't think it'll be by four plus points.
Just at the top of my head, maybe you guys have done, you

(03:42:32):
know. More in depth research and I
have about this game, this is more of like a, you know, a
general research show. Now sometimes I do get in depth
with it just didn't have the time this week but hopefully,
you know, next week that changesstill still talking about some
good information here today. but, Give me give me San

(03:42:57):
Francisco to win this. You know what, man?
You just forget about San Francisco and losing.
I'm like in Arizona. Who are I have to lean towards
Arizona plus three and a half. So Arizona win the game or lose
by no more than three points. And then I don't think we talked

(03:43:18):
about the I mean last game on the, on the list here.
JB, and I didn't do a lot of research for this one guys.
Sunday Night, Football game, Detroit Philadelphia.
I do think. Oh, that's all good.
I do think that there could be some some touchdowns in this
game. Um, You know, Philadelphia.

(03:43:39):
No other team. Converts touchdowns more than
Philadelphia when they're in thered zone.
They ranked first and red zone. Conversion percentage, Detroit
Allows a lot of Red Zone touchdowns.
I wish I had more player props available for you guys in this

(03:44:01):
game. I think it's a very, you know,
important game between both of these teams.
Detroit gets to the Red Zone offin, they convert touchdowns
often. I give Detroit a good sacks on

(03:44:22):
the quarterback advantage in this one.
Vulnerability, both of these teams like to focus on, running
the ball in regards to play calling percentage.
Detroit is better at, passing the ball, much better at,
passing the ball and regards to yards per game.
Both of the past defenses are about the same regards to

(03:44:42):
passing yards allowed for game. Philadelphia seems like they're
vulnerable to the receiving yards to running backs.
So I would be looking for Jamir Gibbs and or Montgomery to get
those receiving yards. You I mean it seems like we've
been we've been talking about those guys, receiving yards a
lot this season. I think this is another spot

(03:45:05):
that that if you're interested in this game it's worth looking
into for player props and then Detroit Lions wide receiver.
Receptions Philadelphia seems somewhat vulnerable to the
receptions, a lot of the wide receivers Detroit's defense is
pretty pretty pretty, pretty good.
I didn't see like a huge vulnerability in the in this

(03:45:28):
Detroit defense. Also if you're thinking about
golf rushing yards for some reason he's gone over that or
not over that but the Philadelphia has allowed the
third most rushing ours to quarterbacks this season.
I think I'm gonna lean towards. Detroit and this one but I'm

(03:45:53):
really not sure about this. I didn't just didn't have time
to do my thorough research on this one on this one.
Detroit. Um yeah I got the trade Lookers
out for four weeks. Um, he just entered the IR
yesterday. Oh, I don't know.
Maybe it was. I know he's out for four weeks.

(03:46:15):
So you guys got my fantasy or whatever.
Didn't know. Now, you know, Hey yeah.
Thanks, thanks for the comment there, Ivan.
We appreciate that, man. and, you know, this necessarily isn't
about us just giving you giving you guys picks, right?

(03:46:35):
It's about giving you guys some statistics that you may have not
had time to do research on I know, I don't do the research at
all and you just You know, you literally, you got comments
right there like I haven't you know, what do you think?
And then better is literally puther and then I'm just giving

(03:46:56):
you, you know, when I'm up, you know what, I just give you just
what I see, what I, you know, what I've seen what I've watched
and you know, in in better either backs it or surges it or
goes you know gives his with hisyou know, statistics analysis,
you know I'm saying, you know and it's not like he's just
giving you, he gives you the data where he's getting in, so

(03:47:20):
like, you know, that it's it's prepared and it's it's you know,
you get both sides and aspects of it.
Plus you know, you guys drop your notes and there's some
things that man, a lot of things.
We don't know everything but we don't know everything when you
drop it there. You're not you know, whether we
know it or not, there might be somebody else's watching this
that don't know that because we might not even touch that.

(03:47:42):
You know, so, and and, you know,maybe you don't have time to
even wash a show, Junior. JB is, you know, stated multiple
times that there is that, that South Gate subscription
available with those parlays. So that's always available for
you guys. I mean, just the list goes on,
and I know Ivan specifically likes to look at trends that

(03:48:08):
have happened not just with NFL but NBA and other sports trends
that have happened over a courseof games.
For instance, you know, let's say he likes looking at props
where let's say, a player has gone over this line, seven games
in a row and then I come in and historical data that either goes

(03:48:31):
against it or with it. And, you know, if it's with it,
just adds to his his like, like lightness for that for that
specific prop. Or or team or whatever the case
is, but I'm gonna be I'm gonna include that more on future
shows Ivan once you get those alternate lines, not just not

(03:48:53):
just the regular ones but I don't know if you have the
options to do all alternate lines or not.
But I know a lot of people do and So, I'm gonna start doing
that some more. But that's about like got JB who

(03:49:15):
is your favorite upset of the week?
Look, this is not statistically speaking guys, but give me give
me the New York football Giants today to pull off that upset
against Green Bay with the new coach Winston at quarterback.
I would love to see it happen. The Giants over here.

(03:49:37):
Giants over the Packers today. Now, statistically speaking, I
mean, an upset that I think is, I mean, the Titans, the Titans,
Would be my, my upset of the weeks, I mean, but that's not

(03:49:58):
even statistics. I mean, statistically, I don't
know what I saw. but, Yes, the top one called, oh God is
telling me giant. All the all the statistics go
against that. I'm gonna.

(03:50:24):
I'm gonna Cardinals. Yeah, I think that's a pretty
decent sneaky team. Divisional game in Arizona, I
like that looked there JB. yeah,I got the Cardinals and um,

(03:50:46):
player of the week. Player of the week, JB.
Mmm. Um, I'm gonna say Patrick
Mahomes. Patrick Mahomes.

(03:51:12):
Give me. And said, Devin's back against
the wall. Not only is the division and
contests, but so is playoff parents were at this moment out
of the playoffs looking to be inthe hunt.
Wild card. You know, so we got we got we

(03:51:38):
got some things to do and and you know, with my homes being on
the road that Denver defense everything I just said I think
you know he comes out plays goodgame, they slow down that number
rush. I think that you know he puts up
the numbers and and takes the team on his shoulders and You

(03:52:02):
maybe not on his shoulders but you know what I'm saying, he
makes that X Factor moment wherehe's on ESPN tomorrow morning.
And they're talking like, yo, And I felt some truck.
You know what I'm saying? Like this is, this is what's the
flies. Like, you know, that the chiefs
were back, like the Chiefs are in there.
We're here, you know, it's not like, you know that we're back,

(03:52:23):
like, we've been anywhere, it's just You know, man, we played.
We played a couple hundred gamesin the last few years. like a,
like a Carbureted diesel truck. Game of the week to Chiefs and
Broncos. Yeah.

(03:52:44):
That and Seattle Rams. Well, those games, all of the
later, slate. I mean, on tiktok you guys Yeah.
So you guys gonna be having the game's on there.

(03:53:05):
Yes, over on your tiktok right JB.
Yup. Yup.
It's not moved Dash. A JB.
Um, we're not on the usual one. We're on the original one.
Though. But um yeah, you guys go tap in

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three, deposits, with my bookie.ag and up to 100% on your
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Shop MLB Shop NFL Shop. Man, get on in there.

(03:55:04):
Get all your gear cards. Anything everything.
As well as do all your shopping,whether you get it delivered, or
you go, pick it up, let them handle that.
Just go from your phone man, walmart.com.
You can get all these links on our website, which is not moved

(03:55:24):
Dash fourth wall. And dash shop.com.
Fourth wall JB, how do you, how do you spell that?
Did you put it down in the comments or if you if you could
Or you. Yeah, it's not.

(03:55:46):
Worth War. Calm. you know, and you just
entering that that guy Right over there.
You know, and and and you can use all the links you gotta
scroll down. Now, we also are still doing The
NFL jersey, not Move podcast, raffle, ten dollars an entry

(03:56:10):
guys. Come straight from NFL.
Pro Shop. Thank shut up towards sponsors.
This is, this is, this is been big.
We had a big turnout last week major Shockwave.
He's actually in the live right now, watching the watching

(03:56:31):
Redskins and Washington commanders, and the Dolphins, go
back to back with it. Two minute warning, he won a
jersey last week and and got it for his wife, dude, great gift
right there, cheap man. Hey Armada Jersey.

(03:56:51):
He ended up getting himself one of the AJ Brown Kelly Green,
female jerseys men. Opportunity to swim and you just
enter. You can enter in at the donation
box, on our website, you pretty much scroll down all the way to
the bottom and it's it's in between the YouTube page videos
and the support area. It says, thank you for your

(03:57:14):
support. You look right to the right of
it, and it has an area where youcan enter in your name, your,
your your handle name, or how weget a hold of you.
When we put you in for to win, or for on the wheel and then
entering it has a section, five dollars, ten dollars, twenty
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(03:57:35):
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We see that you entered in, we put you on a list.
Once we hit 10 entries, we need 10 entries, minimum to make this
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happen that that drawing goes, And you can't buy a 10 inches

(03:57:56):
yourself. I mean I guess that point you
just but yeah, hey JB, I just want to mention one thing man
before we get out of here, a couple of injury updates wide.
Receiver on Coleman out today, Buffalo.
Oh, and then, There was one other one that I saw that just

(03:58:20):
came across. It was Brian Thomas Jr.
Which we were expecting that he's an active today.
Wide receiver for Jacksonville. So Devonte Adams still
questionable, but it's likely tosuit up for the Rams, just keep

(03:58:45):
up to date with that closer to game time that once at 4:05 p.m.
eastern time and then Drake London, he was questionable, but
I'm seeing that he's listed as active today.
Wide receiver for the Atlanta Falcons.
Yeah, that's big. That's big for them. but other

(03:59:06):
than that, anything else JB Know, I think that's it.
All right, thanks again. Everybody for your support.
We really appreciate you guys. Good luck today.
JB, I think tomorrow will probably what do a breakdown of
that. Monday night football Cowboys.
Raiders game like we usually do.Yes sir.
Cool sounds good man. Um not even just that but I also

(03:59:29):
want to say um Wednesday we wantto get back on that first look
um as well on Tuesdays. Um, I don't know if you guys
seen I know if you guys rememberthe show was, was 23 years in
the making, and it was a wonderful show, ESPN, produced,

(03:59:50):
and put out, and it was recentlyjust canceled but um, around the
room or around the horn. We now have access and we now
play as not Move podcast around the room.
Um, and MP Style. You guys can drop your your,

(04:00:10):
your, your, um, if you guys got some ideas, trivia, anything
like that, stuff to be if you want to be on the show.
It's broadcasted on all platforms.
It gets clipped, we produce it, we put it on tiktok, we put the
everywhere. It's everywhere.
Simon Says broadcasted twitch kick.

(04:00:34):
You Tube played back. You can find us on multiple
accounts on tiktok. Doing it.
Well, we played this man, and itis so fun.
It is awesome. We are going to do, um, two days
a week as of right now, Tuesdaysand Fridays Tuesday night's

(04:00:56):
Friday nights. Will have different hosts,
different questions, stuff like that, but not only just that,
but once we were gonna open it up on this on a special day.
And we might do it, we're probably gonna do it on a
Wednesday. But we're gonna open it up to
the public and have special guests that can come on up.

(04:01:18):
Play the games they want. Post it, whatever. um, join the
fun man tap in We're playing around the room, man.
Some good shit. Hosting some good shows right
now. Sounds good, man.

(04:01:40):
All right, well, I'll see you over there on ttj become hang
out. You guys here in little bit.
All right, Marshall games with the guys.
Yep. Yep, we're actually Gonna Be
Live on. Multiple platforms, we're going
to be live. And in the crews gonna head on
over to the playback side. Right?

(04:02:05):
And then it's gonna be streamed to tiktok.
Okay, while it's being streamed to take talk um We are gonna
have some people, um, probably over their kind of running that
side, but a lot, you know, we'regonna have some people come up.
It's gonna be, it's gonna be different.
We're gonna run it a little bit differently.
We're, we're gonna some trial runs and seeing how some things

(04:02:27):
run we've done it before and it's worked out really well.
So we're gonna See how Sunday works out for us.
But yeah, guys. We will see you guys there
though, for real. All right, so it sounds good
man. Well, thanks again, everybody
and good luck today. yo, hey, goChiefs And always.

(04:02:53):
Stay not moved. So Viking's.
Okay, let's go Cardinals. This non casual podcast, may not
be reproduced retransmitted or reused without the authorized,
written consent of the not Move podcast Network, thank you and
we hope you enjoyed today's broadcast.