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September 12, 2025 โ€ข 58 mins
Ready to cash in on NFL Week 2? ๐Ÿˆ In this episode of Operation Domination, we bring you expert NFL betting picks, player prop insights, and second-half strategies to help you win big! Host Dan Mader teams up with Chaz Filardi from Sports Betting Weekly to break down the hottest bets, share live-action tips, and uncover winning plays for the week. Whether you're eyeing spreads, player props, or second-half action, we've got you covered.

Tune in as we dive into key matchups like Browns vs. Ravens, Bengals vs. Jaguars, and the highly anticipated Eagles vs. Chiefs Super Bowl rematch. Plus, find out why live betting can maximize your profits and which underdogs are worth the risk this week. Don't miss exclusive insights on players like Christian McCaffrey, Joe Burrow, and CeeDee Lamb, and get the inside scoop on props and trends that could make the difference in your betting strategy.

๐Ÿ’ก Want more winning advice? Make sure to subscribe, hit that notification bell, and join our ever-growing community of savvy bettors and fantasy football enthusiasts. Letโ€™s navigate the ups and downs of the NFL season together! Share your favorite picks in the comments and let us know how you're betting this week.

๐ŸŽฏ Stay ahead with Operation Domination and check out more expert insights at Fantasy Football Advice Network on YouTube!ย 

#Week2NFLBets #NFLBetting #FantasyFootball #NFLfootball #FantasyAdvice #SportsBetting #ChazVelarde #PlayerProps #BrownsVsRavens #EaglesVsChiefs #WinBigNFL #FootballPicks #NFLPredictions
#nfl #fantasyfootballdraftstrategy #fantasyfootball #nflweek2props #week2waiverwirepickups

CHAPTERS:
00:00 - Intro
02:54 - Week 1 Learnings
05:48 - Browns vs Ravens Analysis
08:44 - Jaguars vs Bengals Recap
13:31 - Bears vs Lions Highlights
16:39 - Giants vs Cowboys Overview
19:28 - Cowboys vs Giants Matchup
22:00 - Bills vs Jets Breakdown
25:48 - Patriots vs Dolphins Review
28:10 - 49ers vs Seahawks Preview
31:10 - Steelers vs Seahawks Insights
34:21 - Rams vs Titans Review
37:14 - Cardinals vs Panthers Analysis
40:00 - Broncos vs Colts Discussion
42:50 - Eagles vs Chiefs Preview
45:18 - Falcons vs Vikings Recap
47:51 - Buccaneers vs Texans Highlights
52:40 - Chargers vs Raiders Review
55:10 - Sign Off


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Transcript

Episode Transcript

Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:00):
Operation Domination is underway. The ultimate game club to dominate
your with your hosts, you gotta be confident about your achilles.

Speaker 2 (00:14):
I got.

Speaker 1 (00:19):
Hope be great on dominated all right, all right, all right,
welcome back into another edition of the Operation Domination Podcast.
As always, I'm your host, Dan Mader. Today's episode is
the Week two Bets. Because on this show we do

(00:42):
not just give you league winning fantasy football advice. We
also try to line your pocket screen too. And to
help me do that, I got the special guest mister
Chaz Fallardi of Sports Betting Weekly and Championship Footballs dot com.
And if you're watching this on the YouTube streamer, I
should say you're listening to this. If you're on the
YouTube stream, by the way, go to Fantasy Football Advice

(01:03):
Network at Ethics Advice Net to get to that. But
you can see those beautiful footballs in the background there
of Chaz FLHARDI.

Speaker 2 (01:09):
There, Yeah, you know what we've got. Here's the thank
you Jesus.

Speaker 3 (01:14):
I'll tell you you know, I got the little video
I played when when you know something goes well, and
I thank you Jesus because I you know, I know
this isn't me.

Speaker 2 (01:22):
So seven days every seven days.

Speaker 3 (01:25):
Now we're in the middle of selling a football, so
that means we're creating an auction.

Speaker 2 (01:29):
We're liquidating. We're done.

Speaker 3 (01:31):
We're out of the industry for autographs. We're not gonna
wait in line anymore. We're not gonna do any wholesale,
We're not going any more shows. It's just it's not
where my future is. So I'm liquidating my inventory. But
I got seven football so every single day of football
is being auctioned off, and in seven seven days, every
single day an auction is being sold, and then the

(01:52):
next seven days, then those third seven days. I'm doing
four states, every single sports book that I can get
a bonus from in seven days.

Speaker 2 (02:01):
I'm going to Rhode Island it's legal. I'm going to
Massachusetts it's legal. I'm going to Connecticut it's legal. And
I'm going to New York it's legal. And I'm gonna
mark Floni is gonna be the top.

Speaker 1 (02:14):
City, man, I love it. You gonna be hitting the
East Coast back in my old territory here, yeah, and.

Speaker 3 (02:20):
I'm gonna be doing some uh, I'm gonna be doing
some social media stuff because you know there's people in
Rhode Island that know the best bonuses, you know.

Speaker 1 (02:29):
Yeah, one percent, So I'm glad to hear that's gonna happen.
Make sure you guys go to check out Championship Footballs
dot com. So again, today is the betting episode. My
article for the Huddle is going to be coming out
on Saturday morning. I got fifteen player props. I'm gonna
talk about some of them here with you guys tonight,
but make sure you check that out too when that drops.

(02:51):
All right, so let's just dive into this thing, Chaz,
because as always, we usually have a ton of data
we'd like to throw at people and get them ready
for the week. And it was. It was a crazy
Week one.

Speaker 3 (03:01):
It was a crazy That's the thing. I want to
ask you one thing? Did you learn anything week one?
Because really the sports betting lessons aspect of sports Betting
weekly is crucial. I see guys do the same stupid
stuff season after season after season.

Speaker 2 (03:18):
So what did you learn? What was the top.

Speaker 3 (03:20):
Takeaway you got for heading into the NFL season after
Week one?

Speaker 1 (03:24):
Dan, Well, so that's a twofold question. The top thing
I took away from the game Slate is Mike mcdone
needs to be fired immediately from the Miami Dolphins. That
was the number one football thing. I took away the
number one betting thing. And what's crazy about this is
that we actually kind of beat the drum on this
in last week's episode. If there's not value to be had,
don't bet it. If there's too many questions, don't do it.

(03:46):
And like that, that's really what it boils down to.
Sometimes the best best you make with the ones you
don't make at all. And we pushed that emphasis last
week and it couldn't have been more true because it
was wild variance in week one, and we stuck to
our guns. We did pretty well.

Speaker 2 (04:01):
No. No, the thing that I learned the most is
live action is always going to be the best way
to win.

Speaker 3 (04:08):
I cash tickets, so many tickets on teams where if
you gave it out as a winner for the game,
you lost and I go, well, we go through. I'll
mentioned the ones that I remember from last week. There
was at least five second halfs that I cashed on
games where the team that was favored did not cover.

Speaker 1 (04:27):
Love it beautiful, Yeah, I mean, and that's what we're
here for. There's so many ways to bet, right, we
can't cover all those ways on the show. But that's
why we have a nice little little balance here talking
about some player props. You had the quarters and the halves,
and don't be afraid to keep that phone out to
make sure you get those values while the game is
going on. So many people just want to put the
bet in when the game starts and then forget about it.

(04:51):
But the biggest edges you can have is while you're
watching the action. That's when you had the most information.

Speaker 2 (04:57):
Yeah, you can get your money back with one.

Speaker 1 (04:59):
Play, absolutely get it.

Speaker 2 (05:01):
Yeah. Listen, if I go to golf and I have
a good shot, we're a good shot out of eighteen o's,
I'm a happy.

Speaker 3 (05:09):
Man, you know, the closest that three or whatever. But
in betting sports, I bet all day. Remember I start Thursday,
then Friday, then all day Saturday, Saturday. It's like sixteen
hours all day Sunday and I win fifty bucks.

Speaker 2 (05:22):
That's it. Yeah, I'm making a dollar an hour, but
I'll get paid.

Speaker 1 (05:29):
And that's the other thing. Have fun with it. I mean,
some guys, yet, if you're looking to cash big money, okay,
it's all about how many units you want to put
into it. But at the same time, you just want
to have some fun. That's okay too, don't get don't
get lost in the in the madness. Speaking of madness,
and we're gonna start to show off with an underdog

(05:50):
special right off the red because I got the Browns
and the Ravens now. When this line opened on Monday, Chaz,
it was twelve and a half. Ravens were favored by
I don't know what people who are watching on Sunday.
I get that Cleveland has been a punchline for a
really long time. Understandable. That defense is legit. Miles Garrett

(06:11):
looks like he's in mid season form already, I mean terrorizes.
Since any Bengals, if they're a kicker, could actually make
a field goal, not just just one of the two
that he missed. The Browns will win that game. And
what's crazy to me is, after all the kickers have
got cut week one, somehow that guy still has a job.
I don't understand it. But anyway, that's besides the point.
The Browns defense is legitimate. Joe Flacco not awesome, but

(06:36):
because of what he can give them in the passing game,
he gives them a chance offensively. I don't I think
this is too big of a spread for the Ravens.
I am on the Browns covering this game right now.
It sits at eleven a half. Like I said, I
got at twelve and a half earlier in the week,
but even at eleven and a half, I'm going with
the Browns this week, baby. I mean, I know the
Ravens are going back to last year eleven to seven

(06:58):
and one against the spread, and of course the cover
last week against the Buffalo Bills, and the Browns are
just over five hundred against the spread as well. But
here's something for you. The Ravens last season were one
in three against the spread when they were double digit favorites,
and they really they split the spread series against Cleveland. Yes,

(07:19):
they've won five of two five and two straight up
in the last seven, but they've split the series as
far as covering and spread. So I really think the
Cleveland Browns cover here at minus at plus eleven and
a half. What do you got in this game?

Speaker 2 (07:29):
Though? Yeah?

Speaker 3 (07:31):
When I look at this game, here's what I got.
In twenty twenty three in Baltimore, they scored thirty one
and the Ravens scored thirty five. Last year and it is.
It's a crazy amount of plush. You're up by nineteen, No,
you're up by eighteen. You're a bight tea. So the
other night we saw a team up by fifteen, right
with four minutes up.

Speaker 2 (07:48):
These are the words that came out of my wife mouth.

Speaker 3 (07:51):
Out of my mouth to my wife, who's wearing a
Ravens jersey at the time, Oh sweetie, they're down, they're up,
They're up by fifteen.

Speaker 2 (07:58):
There's no way they're losing this game. Those ones came
out of my mouth.

Speaker 3 (08:02):
So I got I got Baltimore team total over here,
and in the second half, I like Baltimore. So this
is what I'm looking at. Oh my god, if it
goes at halftime and it's tied, I'm loving life because
in the second half, I'm gonna be laying seven instead
of twelve.

Speaker 1 (08:17):
No, and uh, were you riding the couch after that comment?
And then the Ravens blue No, no, no, no.

Speaker 2 (08:23):
I mean the worst part is I loaded up in
the second half on Detroit's team total over. That was
my only play and it was twenty five and a
half and they kept going for two and miss it
and I needed half a point and I said, I
can't believe I'm gonna lose this game by half a point,
and then yeah, you know what, then it really got
the ear got tense, and the ear got tense. That's

(08:45):
that's how I'm gonna describe it.

Speaker 1 (08:49):
Well, the air is gonna be tense with the Bengals.
Even though they won the game, they just barely survived
in their September woes continue here. They're gonna be taking
on the Jacksonville Jaguars. Now, the Bengals are favored in
this game at three and a half. The total actually
has gone up to forty nine and a half. And
I get why. You got two teams that have, you know,

(09:11):
good competitive offenses and defenses that we suspect are not
going to be awesome by the time this season is over.
Both these teams coming into this or nine and eight
against the spread dating back to last year. Jacksonville did
cover last week. However, here's what's interesting. Cincinnati's three and
six against the spread in the last nine as home favorites,
and Jacksonville is six and three against the spread the

(09:34):
last nine as road dogs. This would tell me that
Jacksonville plus three and a half might be a really
interesting play here. When you mix in the fact that
the Bengals record with Zach Taylor and Joe Burrow in September,
it's just abysmal. I might be taking another upset here
with the Jacksonville Jaguar. Another underdog, I should say here
with the Jacksonville Jaguars. Not gonna take them outright, but

(09:54):
I will take them plus three and a half in
this game. What do you see?

Speaker 3 (09:58):
Yeah, you may remember last week I said I Cincinnati
in the first half, and when I see it in
my notes, what that means is, I'm betting for the
game too, but I'm gonna load up on them in
the first half. And last week it was sweet because
you know they kind of didn't cover, but I would
already cash the ticket I got. This week, that's the
same thing Jacksonville in the first half. Is they are

(10:20):
one and eleven against the spread since November twenty fifth,
twenty twenty.

Speaker 2 (10:25):
Three on the road, one is eleven.

Speaker 3 (10:29):
So but that's you know, you're not getting You're not
getting a lot of You're not going on ESPN, somebody
tell you about a first half of one and eleven number.

Speaker 2 (10:36):
It's not happening. Those words aren't coming out of their mouths,
you know. But here's another one.

Speaker 3 (10:41):
I agree with you that the Cincinnati is struggling in
the beginning, but I'm gonna take their team total over
again and hopefully I get the point. If you can
get the points, then all of a sudden, when it
comes down, you say the points for twenty six and
a half and it's twenty seven twenty four. Cincinnati, it's
got the ball they're going for if they kick a
little your cover and I already cash.

Speaker 2 (11:01):
So you know, whatever it is is.

Speaker 3 (11:03):
I mean, I had a got a loser in the
Atlanta game where the cool guy hit the pricking up
rag all I need hit the go forty three yard
field goal right for them, and I got a winner.

Speaker 1 (11:11):
Oh and that game was driving me crazy because from
a fantasy standpoint, I was begging, begging for it to
go into overtime because I had beat Robinson, I had
Drake London, I had so many things in that game.
I was like, just go to overtime, get all.

Speaker 2 (11:24):
Those extra snaps on your roster.

Speaker 1 (11:27):
Oh so close, so close. And the matchups were just
you know, there wasn't a lot of scoring fantasy wise
in Week once it was I needed every little bit
of a guy. I do have props in this game
that we could talk about though, So I do have
Joe Burrow. I'm projecting him to go under the two
hundred and seventy six and a half passing yard mark
this week. This is something I do talk about and
break down in my article a bit. But Jacksonville decent

(11:51):
against the deep ball, and again I'm going off of
Cincinnati's offense just struggles a lot in September. But I
also have more. I actually have four player props in
this game, so Trever Lawrence over two hundred and thirty
nine and a half passing yards. I do suspect that
it will be higher scoring in this game than it
was Week one for both of these teams. He's gonna
have to push the ball. Brian Thomas. I think they'll

(12:13):
be able to do a better job of linking up
and that should be able to propel his passing yard
mark over that one. T Higgins. I have him under
the sixty six and a half receiving yards mark. So
I think this is, if anything, this is going to
be a Jamar Chase game here against Jacksonville. Again, I
kind of talked about how Jacksonville is decent against perimeter
deep balls, that is te Higgins bread and butter. So

(12:35):
maybe the red zone he's going to get targeted. But
I think Jamar Chase is going to be the main
man between the twenties and that's going to leave t
Higgins under that you receiving yards mark at sixty six
and a half, Brian Thomas, I have the over. I
think this is a bounce back week. There was a
lot of air yards, a lot of opportunities left on
the table in last week's game that I think they
clean up and hit this week. He's got sixty seven

(12:58):
and a half receiving yards. I got him over against
the poorest Cincinnati secondary. So four player props for you
guys in that game to make up for the fact
that it have won in the Browns and the Browns
and Ravens game.

Speaker 3 (13:11):
You know what, though, that's that's so brilliant to me.
If you like a guy's passing yards, then.

Speaker 2 (13:17):
You who's he throwing to? You gotta like the receivers.

Speaker 1 (13:22):
Yards in the complete right. I don't like Joe Burrows
passing yards. I don't like to Higgins's receiving yards. And
that's it kind of goes hand in hand the correlations there,
and that's what makes it makes sense essentially. Bears and Lions.
So Lions both teams really looking for a bounce back.
At least the Bears case they showed a little bit
more life. The Lions really just got pumbled last week.

(13:42):
So we got another divisional rivalry game here. It is
in Detroit. The Lions are favored at minus five and
a half with a total of forty five and a half.
Now we go to last year and the Lions are dominated.
They were twelve and six against the spread. I get it,
and then of course they didn't cover last week and
the Bears are under five hundred. It's a different story
here the Bears. I don't want to take too much
out of this, but the Lions are six and two

(14:04):
against the spread and the last eight against the NFC North,
and the Bears are two and five against the spread,
the last seven at Ford Field. So this does feel
to me like the Lions should be able to come out,
bounce back and cover. But it will be interesting as
we get a revenge game of sorts between Ben Johnson
and Dan Campbell in this matchup. So I think ultimately,

(14:24):
I'm actually gonna stay away from the line. Chaz, I'm
gonna let you go. I do have player props for
you guys afterwards, though, so I'm not totally abandoning this game.
But Chas, what are you seeing in this one?

Speaker 2 (14:32):
Yeah?

Speaker 3 (14:32):
No, I used the same exact words. I like them
to bounce back. But remember you lose both your coordinators.
Until you're playing real football games, you won't find your footing.

Speaker 2 (14:44):
It's gonna take them over.

Speaker 1 (14:45):
Yeah, there's gonna be growing pains. There's gonna be growing pains.
And plus, as we saw on Thursday night, I mean
the Packers are just they're legitimate team this year, playing
and simple.

Speaker 2 (14:55):
Yeah.

Speaker 3 (14:56):
Time number one was everywhere. I mean he made one
play where he was here and he ta guy over here.
He just through everybody and got it.

Speaker 1 (15:03):
It was fantastic when the fans are out there cheer
and thank you Jerry, thank you Jay. And of course
Jerry Jones took the bait and he had to come
on his podcast and talk about it again today. I
was like, I know I might regret it, but Jerry, yeah,
it's just time to hang it up. Did you have
anything in this game? No, no, okay. So my props
that I have for you guys in this one, Jared

(15:24):
Goff over two hundred and fifty and a half passing yards.
Remember he threw the ball thirty nine times last week.
Chicago is coming into this game. Jalen Johnson's gonna play,
but Kyler Gordon, still banged up, the secondary is going
to be able to be taking advantage of over the
middle of the field. Because remember Kyler Gordon is the
slot corner for the Chicago Bears. He won't be there
and that's Jared Goff's bread and butter. Plus he always

(15:46):
plays better in Detroit. So the pair with that, I
have aman Ross Saint Brown, who's only sitting at sixty
three and a half points a sixty three and a
half receiving yard. Excuse me, that's a steal, that's a
bargain bin deal. They're basing it too much off of
what happened last week. So give me the over on
aman Ross Say and Brown at sixty three and a
half receiving yards. But then the guy who was the

(16:06):
number one target who did show up on the box
score a week ago, I'm going under on him. That's
Sam Laporta under forty eight and a half receiving yards.
I think those middle targets are going to favor Aman Ross,
Say and Brown. I think Jamison Williams, who is kind
of left out a little bit, is going to get
more involved in this game. When that happens, somebody has
to get left out in this offense. There's just too

(16:28):
many miles to feed. So it's either Laporta has a
good game, Jamison Williams gets left out, or Jameson Williams
has a good game, Sam Laporta gets left out. I'm
betting on Jameson Williams having the good game here, Laporta
going under the forty eight and a half receiving yard mark.
So now Giants Cowboys NFC East Cowboys got a bounce back.

(16:49):
The Giants completely lost on offense. I just gotta say this, Chazz,
because we love to talk football here and it gives
us the opportunity to do that when we're talking about
betting lines. Russell will is as stiff as a board
and can't see the field. What are we doing? Like,
you know you're not a playoff team. You know you're
gonna have to go to Jackson Dark and Look, if
you want to get through the hard part of your

(17:11):
schedule before you go to the rookie, fine, go to
Jenis Winston. Go to somebody who gives you a chance
to throw the ball down the field with some action.
I could not tell you how many times I'm was
sitting there watching and Russell Wilson's just standing back there
for ten seconds, holding onto the ball and not pulling
the trigger. It was absolutely crazy. And the Giants defense
is legit, but they had to stay on the field

(17:31):
the whole time against Jane Daniels and the Commanders. Oh,
It's just it was crazy. This line right now, So
it's in Dallas. It's minus four and a half of
the Dallas Cowboys. It's a total of forty four. So
the Cowboys have been decent against the spread. They're seven
and one from last year obviously didn't cover. Well, no,
they did cover. Sorry, last week they did cover because
I was a eight and a half spread and then

(17:53):
the Giants were five and twelve. Bad teams don't usually cover. However,
Dallas now one against the spread the last eight versus
the Giants. And just a little side note, I wouldn't
I don't know if I would bet this necessarily. Maybe
I would the total the under total under five the
last six meetings between these two teams, and given what
the woes are for the Giants offense and Russell Wilson

(18:14):
starting again, I wouldn't necessarily roll that out in this
matchup either, going under on this one. But I do
like the Cowboys to cover the minus four and a half.
I just don't think the Giants have enough pop. I really,
I really really don't. I have some prop bets. I'll
get you that, Chaz. You're seeing anything in this matchup?

Speaker 2 (18:31):
Yeah? Well, last season on the road, the Giants scored
twelve points or less in the first half eight out
of nine games. It continued this year in Week one
and their own five, running a current run of zero
to five against the spread, the last two in Dallas.

Speaker 3 (18:49):
Dallas scored a total seventy six points. But yeah, you
know it's funny. You gotta admit, when Russell Wilson was young,
it was incredible. One hundred and he should have two rings, right,
should From what I remember, his wife's fairly attractive lady. Right,
he seems a nice kid. He's gonna give it up,

(19:12):
take somebody and run man.

Speaker 1 (19:14):
He's gotta he's got it made, go away because you're
killing the rest of the bus, all right, So I
love that. Let's look at and that matches up I
think with the bets of possibly going with the under
end taking Dallas to cover two, I think that lines
up with your quarter place the props. So Ceedee Lamb.
Everybody made a big deal about the drops. Don't forget

(19:35):
the guy still head over one hundred yards receiving. And
while I do think the Giants defense is legitimate, especially
in the front seven, especially in the pass rush, it
is a secondary that you can still take advantage of.
And for some reason, Ceedee Lamb, his his over underprop
for his receiving yards is only sitting at seventy six
and a half. That's a steal in this game. So

(19:55):
I like the over here on Ceedee Lamb. And then
this one my so my heart is not necessarily in
the place of my model, but my model is screaming
at me that Melik neighbors over on the seventy six
and a half receiving yards is a bet to make
this week. Like I said, I don't if you don't
trust Russell Wilson, I get it because in my heart

(20:15):
of hearts, I don't know how much I love it.
But my model is screaming at me to take this
bet here and that he's gonna bounce back in this week.
The volume's gonna be there. He had twelve plus targets
a week ago. Doran Bland, the corner across from Trayvon
Diggs on the Dallas Cowboys is going to be out
in this game. Matchups are gonna be had, like he's
gonna be able to take advantage of some things. I
think it's going to take a yards after catch play

(20:36):
from Elak Neighbors to make this happen. But we know
he's capable of that. So, like I said, models screaming
at me, take the over Milak Neighbors seventy six and
a half yards, I mean chants. How do you approach
that when your model telling you one thing, but your
heart is like, I don't know.

Speaker 3 (20:51):
Well, no, there's so many times when you're looking at
especially when you're data, where the data just doesn't help,
it makes it worse. Got go with your heart and
and you gotta you gotta peel down. So like with me,
I watched the games, I see what I see. I
watch the teams. But then I go to the data
because sometimes you know, what you see is not really

(21:13):
what you're you're seeing, you know, you know it all
it takes this, you know, the ball bunce is funny,
you know, fubble here, drop there, Like you said, you know,
I'll never forget. Oregon was about to win the National
championship and I'm like, the second play the game, the
number one receiver got hurt and I never even came back.

Speaker 2 (21:29):
It was done. And that was with the Was that
with Herbert?

Speaker 3 (21:32):
No, that was the running back they at the great
running I remember he had it was he was up
for the Heisman because he had his picture in New
York City.

Speaker 2 (21:41):
So yeah, that's what I look at it. I look
at okay, if if that's not if that's confusing me,
how do I get clear on it? And then if
I can't, I.

Speaker 1 (21:51):
Move on sure sure, no, I hear you. And it
could be a move on point. But yep, like I said,
I'm gonna go ahead and stick with it for this one.
Bills and Jets. So we got some bad news actually,
and this came down today, you know, and I want
to mention it because it's a big time player at Oliver,
the defensive tackle the Bills, the guy who's really making
all the plays on Sunday for them. He's gonna be

(22:15):
out this week. He heard his ankle on Wednesday, so
that's a big time penetrator in the middle of the
Bills are not going to have Uh. They are still
favored in this game minus six and a half total
over under a forty six and a half. The under
has been has four to the last five, and in
these matchups it's been under, it's been under, and the
Jets have covered three of the last four while at home.

(22:38):
So uh, it's an interesting line. This is a game
I don't know if I'm betting too strongly one way
or another. The under is a little bit interesting to me, though, Chaz,
you have two teams here, Okay, well, so hear me out.
And this is why it's interesting to me. You have
two teams who have very talented defenses who got showed

(22:59):
up in Week one, and it was we weren't expecting
those two games we shoot out, especially not the Steelers
and the Jets. So I'm expecting some bounds back there,
a correctiveness because of the talent these two teams do
have on defense. That's my that's my line of thinking.
But what do you got?

Speaker 2 (23:15):
Well, No, here's what it says, seven of the last
eight and for the Jets have gone over four of
the last five at home, and Pittsburgh put thirty four
on them. Now, don't get me wrong, what did my
notes say? I forget something about you know, if Pittsburgh
put thirty four on you? Right?

Speaker 1 (23:32):
No, absolutely, But I'm not.

Speaker 2 (23:34):
I'm not. I don't have my notes here. I make
because I under said, I do this sometimes late at
night and the house is quiet.

Speaker 3 (23:42):
To myself, I laugh, I say stupid things up. My
wife says, why who.

Speaker 2 (23:46):
Are you talking? I'm not talking to anybody. I'm having
a good time out here. But what did I say?
One game does not make a narrow logical leeronomy, That's
what I said.

Speaker 1 (23:57):
No, and one game shouldn't make you think the Jets
defense thinks either, or even the Bills defense for that matter.
That's kind of what I'm looking at here. But I
think this is ultimate game. I'm saying a way, I
don't even have any props in this game either.

Speaker 2 (24:07):
Yeah, but that doesn't that line up? Bro? Well, like
we talked about it, it's one way. If you have
props and you like the reason why you like the props,
kind of well, if that happens, this is gonna happen.
I have no clue on what's going to happen in
the game. It's kind of hard to have a prop
unless you're betting the You know what I'm doing Thursdays,
Sundays and Mondays every single game.

Speaker 3 (24:28):
I'm betting the two quarterbacks will score a touchdown and
it and it hit, and then I didn't come back
on it because I had a crazy day.

Speaker 2 (24:38):
And one of them was who was the guy that Sunday? No,
not Sunday, because Sunday night was the big game, wasn't
it with Baltimore?

Speaker 1 (24:47):
Yeah, that was Baltimore Buffalo Monday. If you're thinking that
that was the vikings in the Chicago Bears.

Speaker 2 (24:53):
No, then it was Thursday.

Speaker 1 (24:54):
It was Thursday night, this past Thursday, or last Thursday,
this past Thursday. So commanders in past yes, right.

Speaker 2 (25:02):
And so so there was one guy that was like
eight to one, and you put him in a parlot
with the other guy who's four to one, and you
can get eighty to one, you know, So that's gonna
be it's a it's a.

Speaker 3 (25:15):
It's like, there's six bets. I bet quarterback one, quarterback two.
They'll both have one parlay that's three bets quarterback one,
quarterback two, and the parley they'll.

Speaker 2 (25:24):
Both have two and I bet like two dollars. It
was one of them was fifty nine hundred to one
or something dollars. I was winning like seventeen hundred dollars.

Speaker 1 (25:35):
You know, it's fun to make those bests sometimes, Like
you said, you're throwing a couple bucks in Hey, if
you hit the lottery, it goes off like Donkey Kong.
You know, what's what's wrong with having a little bit
of fun when you're bet this Game's not fun to
me that we're about to talk about the Patriots and
the Dolphins. So I want to first I want to
start with saying this because I didn't get to say
this my other two shows because I'm so focused on

(25:55):
the fantasy football side of things. I was really sick
and tired Chaz this entire offseason of being told that
the Patriots somehow We're going to suddenly be a playoff team.
It just it was driving me up a wall because
all they really did to improve the worst roster in
the NFL was overpay a Milton Williams, bringing a new

(26:15):
coaching staff and off as the corner who's been run
out of town there multiple times already veryble. I like them,
but I'm not a fan of Josh McDaniels and Stefan
Diggs at an aging thirty two year old coming off
in ACL And that's what you did to improve the
worst talent roster in football. And yet somehow that means
you're making the playoffs. So when they sat there and
laid an egg against the Raiders that no one expects

(26:38):
to make the playoffs this year, I had to say
it felt good for me because it was just like
it was driving It was driving me crazy. But as
far as this game goes against the Dolphin, and the
Dolphins look dreadful in their own right, so this is
going to be a game of like which dreadful team
could be less dreadful? Maybe Dolphins are favorite at minus
one and a half. The total is forty three and
a half in this matchup. The Dolphins are seven and

(27:01):
two against the spread over the last nine versus New
England in Miami, and the Patriots are one and six
against the spread on the road, so it's telling you
to go Miami. Miami is the more talented roster, but man,
they look like a broken team. So this is the game.
I had no props in. This is the game. I'm
I'm not betting. I don't know if you have anything, Yeah,

(27:23):
well I do.

Speaker 2 (27:24):
But again, here's what I got New England. On the road.

Speaker 3 (27:28):
They scored twenty one or less than nine straight games,
all right, So most football games aren't won if you
only have twenty one points, right, and at home in
the last five Miami scored twenty seven plus and five
of five and they've been over in six or six.
But I watched some of them play and I can't
bet them. They were terrible, or as, that's what we need.

(27:50):
We need a little button where you could push and
it's a basketball player truck.

Speaker 2 (27:56):
Barbara Barkley's going terrible, terrible, that's terrible. That was Miami,
thank you. That's how I would describe Miami.

Speaker 1 (28:07):
I was like, it's funny you say that chest because
I do have that button, all right. So forty nine
Ers and Saints, this is the line's been jumping around.
So brock Perty's out. George Kittle's on ir They think
Trent Williams is gonna play, but he only practicalymic capacity
on Friday and practice the week before the previous two practices,
we'll see they're expecting him to go. Juwan Jettings after

(28:28):
practicing today is expected to go. And the good news
Christian McCaffrey is healthy. On the same side, it's just
Penser Spencer Ratlers the quarterback and there's no Chase Young
for a second week. Like, I don't know what you're
really expecting here. So I think even with Mac Jones
for the forty nine ers, who again, I will repeat
this as many times as people will listen, they should
have drafted him, not Trey Lance. And I know Mac

(28:49):
Jones has not been great outside of his rookie year
in his own right. But my point of saying this
is that the reason I wanted him back then is
because I thought he'd actually fit this system. I don't
think Mac owns he's a downgrade. I don't think he's
a huge downgrade for this offensive system. In this matchup
against the Saints, I'm taking the forty nine ers to

(29:10):
cover at minus three. I'm not touching the over under
because I could see the Saints not scoring anything. I
could see the four nitres signing they want to score
seventeen points and just you know, win the game that
way very easily could wind up happening. But I am
going to take the forty nine ers to win this
game covering three. Chazz, is anything stick out to.

Speaker 2 (29:27):
You in this MATCHT No, I know they're your team.

Speaker 3 (29:30):
And I laughed because I'm looking at the data over
the last year or so, they've struggled to score on
the road when they were healthy.

Speaker 2 (29:38):
Yeah, I'm on the other in this game.

Speaker 1 (29:40):
All right, Well that's perfectly fair. I mean, look, they
won the gaming of Seattle last week on the road
seventeen thirteen. I mean, and that's a much better team
in Seattle too, and four more healthy for that game.
I do have a prop for you, though, Christian McCaffrey
over eighty one and a half rushing yards. I just
mentioned how Brock's hurt, George Kittle's hurt, some of the

(30:01):
guys in the offensive lines banged up. Juwan Jennings is
banged up this whole offense. And I've been singing this
on fantasy football terms because if you guys were asking
me like, Oh, do I definitely start Ricky Pearsall. Yes,
this whole offense is going to be predicated around Christian
McCaffrey and Ricky Pearsall this week. And McCaffrey's number eighty
one and a half rushing yards. Seattle's run defense is legit, guys,

(30:24):
and that's why he wasn't overly efficient in that last
week's scheme. McCaffrey's not going to have it nearly as
hard of a time efficiency wise or running on Seattle.
And he got thirty one touches a week ago. Clearly
he's healthy. So I'm taking him over eighty one and
a half rushing yards in this week's matchup. So that's
your prop for that matchup, I.

Speaker 3 (30:43):
Will tell you because I'm now betting your props. My
wife was totally confused why he didn't get the quarterback
that I had bet over completions. Didn't get credit for
that past because it looked like it was forwardy, honey.
I appreciate you. Sometimes when they flip it up in
the air in front of him, it counts as a pass.

(31:04):
So we got it. We got a balance.

Speaker 2 (31:06):
You can't have it all.

Speaker 1 (31:07):
You can't have all, oh Man, So the Steelers and
Seahawks in this game.

Speaker 2 (31:15):
Oh here it is, okay, No, that was that was it.
That was it. That was it because remember he played
for the Jets. They asked him, who's gonna be tough
go home playing against the Jets, because I played for
the Jets for four days literally, but I wrote one
game does not an Aaron Rodgers. Believe me.

Speaker 1 (31:34):
That's whether there you go, there you found it out,
all right.

Speaker 2 (31:39):
I met the other guys.

Speaker 1 (31:41):
It's all good. Steelers Seahawks. So this game right now
is lining up as minus three in favor of the
Steelers and a forty two total, so we're expecting kind
of more of a defensive matchup. Keep in mind, they
had the Steelers Jets game at a thirty eight over
under last week and people were still betting the under,

(32:02):
and boy were they wrong. But after watching Seatle's offense,
knowing the Steelers defense is better than what we saw
week ago, I do tend to lean a little bit
towards the under. The other thing I would say is
I tend to lean towards the Steelers covering. There are
six and three against the spread in the last nine
games in September. Last nine and September. They're six and

(32:23):
three against the spread. Seattle's two and six against the
spread versus the AFC in twenty twenty four, and it
didn't look like they're gonna putting up a bunch of
points off based on what we saw a week go either,
Sam Donald may not be remixing the magic he had
in Minnesota early. So I am taking the Steelers to
cover in this game. I'm leaning towards the under on
the total. I don't have any props though, So Chaz,

(32:44):
what are you looking for in this matchup?

Speaker 2 (32:46):
Well, in Pittsburgh last year, Kansas City scored twenty nine points.
They had eight home games, the other seventeen, so twenty
nine with Kansas City. The other seventeens average sixteen points
a game. So I got Seattle's team total under and
I got Pittsburgh in the second half.

Speaker 1 (33:08):
All right, Well, I think that on the ill tell you.

Speaker 2 (33:10):
The second half since probably June.

Speaker 3 (33:13):
Because of Canadian football, I do the second half round robins,
and no way you can do it is you got
to have open plays. And so Max back last week,
you remember my phone died. I missed one. I missed
one because I and.

Speaker 2 (33:27):
I totally forgot. I missed until like an hour and
a half after the game ended, and I didn't, And
of course it was an over and they scored like
thirty one points. It was a winner.

Speaker 3 (33:35):
But my run now was like sixteen and three or
something in the second half. And it's well, here's the thing,
this is what this team's do. They do week in
and week out, week in and week out. And I
always would say that when I was raising my kids.
You know, your kid, you got to tell the kid
to take.

Speaker 2 (33:52):
Out the trash every week, eight weeks in a row,
and you sit around in the ninth week and he
doesn't take it out and you're confused, You're an eddiot.
I'm sorry. That's That's where I'm at with this one.

Speaker 3 (34:03):
Is you know, I'm consistently gonna look for those teams,
whatever it is.

Speaker 2 (34:09):
And actually I think we got another one.

Speaker 1 (34:10):
Coming in the next game, okay. And the definition of
insanity is doing the same thing over and over again,
right and inspect the different result. I mean, that's you
can do the same thing as sports betting too. The
next time I have on my list is the Rams
and the Titans. So the Rams are at minus five
and a half total at forty four, and I'm taking

(34:31):
I'm taking the Rams all day to cover that. I
think that's actually a forgiving line, quite frankly, given what
Tennessee is looking like offensively. Rookie woes. Cam Ward wasn't
even the problem last week. That's what was crazy. Denver's
defense is excellent. Yeah, they might be the number one
defense in the NFL, but the Rams defense is not
gonna be that far behind them either, and they're gonna
be able to put the pressure on with their offense

(34:52):
as well. Because Stafford looked good, Adams looked good, Pukinakoa
had a big game. So I'm expecting that Tovandre sweat
one of the big defensive tack for the Tennessee Titans.
He's going to be out, so Kyron Williams might have
a little bit more running room than he typically would
against the Tennessee Titan defense. Everything about this to me
is looking at the Rams covering at minus five and
a half. They're five and one against the spread their

(35:13):
last six versus the AFC, and Tennessee is two and
seven against the spread their last nine home games. Chaz,
what do you got? I do some props but what
do you got first in this month?

Speaker 3 (35:23):
Yeahha, without a doubt. So this was one of the
other teams the Rams. They covered in the second half
for me last week. Last season on the road, they
were on a five and zero against the spread run.
They allowed twenty nine total points in their last three games,
so less than ten Tennessee at home in their last
eight games, have scored twenty or less points in seven

(35:43):
of eight, and they are zero and eight against the spread.

Speaker 1 (35:46):
So woof wolf wolf woolf. So yeah, all over the
Rams there. So here's the props for you. And this
kind of lines up with what I was telling you
to bet anyway on the game. So Matthew Stafford, I
got him over toured thirty five and a half passing yards.
Keep this in mind, guys. He went over this mark
in a fourteen to nine matchup because of Houston Texans

(36:07):
last week. This is the past first team when it's
neutral gamescript the Rams passed the ball, so over two
and thirty five and a half passing yards and pukin
Nakua coming off of one hundred and thirty yard performance,
his over under for his receiving yards is seventy eight
and a half Courtland's I mean, Denver Broncs didn't get
a tone going on the passing game that had more
to do with bow Nicks than anything else. But the

(36:27):
guy who did play well is Courtland something the number
one wide receiver, PUK's number one wide receiver on this
team too, So I expect both these guys hit over
on their props. Little same game parlay you could do
as they correlate with each other. Anyway. Now we got
the Cardinals and the paper.

Speaker 3 (36:44):
I mean, you know, that's it, that really is, and
we will not when I first might you guys, I
never did player props.

Speaker 2 (36:51):
I didn't really care. I didn't know the name and
a tight end that the team I was betting. But
it really it breaks out the game at that next level.
And it really does. If you don't get me wrong.
You could be wrong at all of them. You lose
of the props. But then maybe you should stop betting and
do something else for Ivy, you know, Caul, whatever you

(37:12):
want to do.

Speaker 1 (37:14):
Oh man, So Cardinals and Panthers, this is another game
that I don't know how much you're gonna want to watch,
but I think we can still find something for you.
So the Cardinals are favored at six and a half.
Total is forty four and a half heading into this matchup.
This is how you know a team is bad. Carolina
is one and seven against the spread in their last

(37:37):
eight home games, and Arizona is seven and three against
the spread in their last ten versus the NFC South.
In general, I am taking the Cardinals cover this in
a minus six and a half spread. Here it might
sound like a big spread for a team that doesn't
always necessarily score a bunch of points like they should,
but Carolina, who is running out nearly the same starting
defense that was historically bad at season ago, is doing

(38:00):
that again this year. Brayce Young, who I kept morening
everybody about from the fantasy football standpoint of do not
do not oversell yourself on the recency bias of how
he ended the season last year. He's had thirty career
starts going into Week one last week, and twenty of
them were awful, ten of them are competent, twenty of

(38:23):
them are awful. It's like, be careful. And then Braysong
comes out last week and he looked like the Brayce
Young who got benched for Andy Dalton in the first
place a year ago, so I'm not banking on him
getting that much better in this matchup. I do think
the Cardinals will handle their business and cover this game
at minus six and a half, and if anything, I

(38:44):
probably lean towards the under in this matchup. Two, what
have you seen in this jazz.

Speaker 2 (38:49):
So I understand? These are spreadsheets with every single points
spread and every single outcome from every single game for
every single quarter. And you see this line, it's all
used for under. And then you see this one line,
it's all os for over. Well, if the user in
the first quarter and the ohser first half, where the

(39:10):
hell you think they're scoring those points? This is the
second quarter over special bet your doghouse.

Speaker 1 (39:17):
I love it. I love it because you're absolutely right.
The Arizona Cardinals and even the Panthers themselves typically score
points in the second quarter. They really don't ever score
in the first and a half. It's it's in the
second quarter with you.

Speaker 3 (39:28):
A sports betting Standpoint two, If you look at the
amount of teams to score on the very first play
of the second quarter, it's because you got a free
time out. Yeah, if they're down there anywhere near the
goal line and there's less than thirty seconds.

Speaker 2 (39:47):
I'm going like this, maybe love that clock. That's my
first what I've seen this year, but I'll see them
throughout the year, and you guys will be the second ones.

Speaker 1 (39:59):
Ton I love it, love it. How about the Broncos
and the Colts? The horses are coming to town. So
we got the Broncos are favored in this game at
minus two and a half with a total of forty three.
It is in Indianapolis right now. If you just look
at the spread wise Denver seven and three last ten

(40:19):
road games, Colts three and seven last ten home games.
So it's screaming Denver, it's screaming Dever to cover. When
it's a two and a half mark like this, I
tend to like to bet the game line myself, especially
if I think the team that is favored by two
and a half is truly better than the team they're playing,

(40:40):
and I do think Denver is truly better than the
team they're playing with the Colts. Daniel Jones had a
great time. You're literally going to go in one week
from what's probably going to go down is the worst
defense in the NFL. That is the Miami Dolphins to
playing the literal best defense in the NFL, which is
the Denver Broncos. I think Daniel Jones comes back down

(41:01):
to earth this week. I'm just saying now to be
fair here, I have been because I've been saying this,
and I want to make sure I'm staying consistent. The
Colts defense is legit this year, and bo Nicks is
not as good as everybody thinks. So I actually like
the under in this game. I think it's gonna be
a heavily defensive game with the total f forty three,
but I'm going to lean towards the Broncos covering at
that minus two and a half. I do have a prop.

(41:22):
We'll get to though, after Chatz can tell me what
he thinks.

Speaker 3 (41:25):
Yeah, these Broncos another half two cash for us. Last
week they were given six they won by seven. But
then that was the game with the lad the weird.
He didn't kick the field goal. He threw a ball
up in the air like it was thing that costs
people money. That was one of them.

Speaker 2 (41:44):
That was me. But and this course a lot at home.
Otherwise I'm not touching this game.

Speaker 3 (41:48):
But if Indy's winning at halftime, yeah, I'll be all
over I'll be overright, So.

Speaker 1 (41:54):
I wanted to keep you on from a live betting.
Here's my prop, And this might go against your idea
of me telling you the pick Denver betting, but I
think they're gonna be able to do this without necessarily
throwing a ton on the ball. So Courtland Sutton I
have under sixty two and a half receiving yards in
this game. Now, Cherry Varius Ward is not going to
play for the Colts, so this gets a little more

(42:15):
interesting from that standpoint. But being that you have a
team in the Broncos that when it's neutral gamescript tends
to run more, so they tend to pass. You already
have low volume. Yes, Sutton is clearly the number one
target on that team, but this is a defense with
the Colts, especially with lou and A Rumo as a
defensive coordinator, much better on the perimeter, and Courtland Sutton

(42:38):
doesn't get in the slot that's usually where you attack
a low defense. He don't do that. So I think
Cortland Sutton goes under sixty two and a half receiving
yards for this matchup. We have a Super Bowl rematch
on Sunday, Chaz Eagles and Chiefs already Week two Super
Bowl rematch right off the rip. Eagles face at one

(43:00):
and a half on the road in arrowhead total forty
six and a half heading into this one. Now we
can talk about the spreads, but I think they're nonchalant.
I mean the casey is seven and three against the
spread last ten against the NFC. Eagles are foreign eight
against the spread on the road, and we're foreign eight
against the spread on the road in twenty four even
when they won the Super Bowl. I throw that out.

(43:22):
The Eagles are the better team, the better roster. The
Chiefs are not going to have Xavier Worthy, Rahie Rice
is still suspended. Their running game looks completely non existent.
I just don't know how the Chiefs have enough firepower
to win this game. And the Eagles, who didn't have
Galen Carter because he got himself ejected in the first week.
He'll be back playing in this one. And the Chiefs

(43:43):
offensive line, well, I do think it'll improve by the
time we get to December this season, because they had
the rookie left tackle and Josh Simmons. Jwan Taylor is
still awful. The interior of that offensive line is still awful.
The Eagles can still get pressure without blitzing, and that
is the Achilles Heal of past for Holmes. If you
can get pressure on him without blitzing, that's how you

(44:05):
beat the Chiefs. The Eagles are suited to do that.
I'm taking the Eagles minus one and a half. I
am on the road to cover. I'm doing it. What
do you got in this game?

Speaker 3 (44:13):
Well, there was always, for many many years, the belief
that in the first four games of the new season,
you bet against the defending Super Bowl champion against the spread,
and the logic was sound. You know, teams break up
and you know.

Speaker 2 (44:28):
They kind of fall flat for a little bit.

Speaker 3 (44:31):
But last year, actually Kansas City was that team and
they went to and two and the Eagles so they're one.

Speaker 1 (44:40):
Oh right, So on one they didn't cover the spread
against Dallas.

Speaker 2 (44:45):
That's right, that's right. Oh yeah, But that was my
point was even so this is we're going to the
week two and I'm still talking to people about that beat.
If you went to bed at halftime because there was
an hour delay, and you had a job, and you
will and they didn't get that six points that you
needed in the second half, and I get you had
to be sick all week. That's got to ruin you.

(45:08):
I mean, because that was That's not like you were
asking for a miracle. It's an NFL football game. Six
points that's all you needed.

Speaker 1 (45:17):
Woof. All right, So we got the Falcons and the Vikings.
Vikings are at home favorite at minus three and a
half total at forty five. So a couple of updates
here for you guys, because we talked about this, uh
yesterday when I had doctor Brian Scott on for some
injury updates because the Falcons wide receiver room was looking
kind of iffy. Good news on that front. So Drake

(45:39):
London and Darnell Mooney are both going to be back
playing in that game, so they get their weaponry back.
That's good news for the Atlanta Falcons. Michael Pennix looked great.
I know I mentioned earlier in the show, but man,
if you just had a kicker, he would have won
against Tampa Bay. He did everything he could to win
that game. He looked absolutely fantastic. To me, this matchup's

(46:01):
gonna be close. I all I have to say is
this matchup is going to be close. So the Vikings
at minus three and a half, I think I actually
like the Falcons as the underdogs to cover at plus
three and a half. I think it's gonna be a
tight game. I think it is gonna come down to
the field goal, and that half a point hook is
enough for me to go with Atlanta. Everyone wanted to
sing the praises of JJ McCarthy because they came back

(46:22):
in the fourth quarter and look, yes, at the end
of the day, they found a way to win that game,
and he does deserve credit for that, but largely he
was awful that game. He did not play well. This
Falcons defense is not the same defense it was a
season to go. They have pass rushers now and I
think you got to see that a little bit in
Week one. So give me the Falcons plus three and

(46:43):
a half in this matchup. As his team becomes a
different team than what you're used to seeing over the
past couple of years, I don't know if something sticks
out to you.

Speaker 2 (46:51):
Yes, Actually, in the first half last year at home,
Detroit scored twenty one points in Minnesota. The other eight games,
they allowed an average of five point three seven five
points in the first half. So I like Minnesota in
the first half, in Minnesota in the second half, well,

(47:15):
I like Minnesota for the game.

Speaker 1 (47:18):
So I'll see how this one all breaks down. I
do have a prop free in this one, though, so
Drake London because he was injured going into this one,
you're getting a discount line. So it's sixty three and
a half receiving yards over under. I have the over
in this matchup. The Vikings secondary their corners or what
typically you can attack in a blind Flores system. And
while he didn't do great, he had fifteen targets last week,

(47:42):
I expect to get him hit a little bit more
down the field than he did a week ago. So
I like Drake London here over sixty three and a
half receiving yards. Speaking of Tampa Bay, they're taking on Houston.
The Texans surprisingly a little shocked by this. I gotta
see this line moved it all because I was I
thought this this is one of those lines I thought
would move. So right now I have my notes. The

(48:04):
Texans are favored at two and a half with the
total at forty three heading into this matchup, and it
just I know it's in Houston, but it just surprises
me a little bit because Houston looked like they were
picking up right where they left off a season ago.
No offensive lineman C J. Stroud trying to run for
his life and make something happen, and that's all they're
They're holding their hats on and that line really hasn't

(48:26):
moved it. It is still two and a half. So
my notes are right on that one. This is a
game I do have a prop to this game, but
as far as betting any lines go, I got nothing
in this game. This is two teams that I think
we are still trying to figure out exactly what they
are like. The Tampa Bay came back and won that game,
but they didn't look particularly sharp either. And I think

(48:47):
if I was a Tampa Bay Bucks fan, I'd be
a little bit worried about what that offense looked like
post Liam Cohen after Week one, it'd be a little
bit concerned. So this is a game I'm not touching
as far as the total lines go, but I don't
know if you maybe have something.

Speaker 3 (49:00):
Yeah, I've got a big second half lions here. So
Tampa Bay in the second half is nine to one
and one against the spread. Okay, on the road, ninety
two and one against the spread. They just don't allow
any points and their last nine in the second half
using to scored forty five points five points average five points.
Now you can beat a lot of teams in Major

(49:22):
League Baseball in the playoffs with five points.

Speaker 2 (49:26):
You can't. You can't win many football games or half.

Speaker 3 (49:31):
So yeah, So as a matter of fact, I got
I got one, two, three in a row to end
the week where I'm gonna be doing a second half
round robin then looking forward to it because there's two
games mound, there's another game after that.

Speaker 1 (49:45):
There is we're about We're about to talk about it
in a second. But I like, I let you brought
that up, Chess, because that actually makes you think if
you like Tampa Bay in the second half, then you
probably like them, especially since they're an underdog in this game.
Probably maybe you like them at plus two and a
half two, So I'm I change my mind on that.

Speaker 3 (50:02):
No, I mean, honestly, when when do you win a game?
How many games are won in the first half? Ask
Baltimore Ravens that question.

Speaker 2 (50:10):
Am I right? And I think you know hence the initials.
But the bottom line is I've been saying it's forever.
Championships are won in the second half. Games are one
in the second half. Yeah, so if I was to
make a play here, and because remember I say, yef,
in my world, Monday is like three saber tooth tiger
light years awake all day. So but a money line,

(50:35):
for sure, you have to plus one twenty one thirty.

Speaker 1 (50:37):
Whatever it is, all right, I like that went to
Buccaneers outright. I don't mind that at all. I got
to see j strout for you though. So over two
hundred and twenty seven and a half passing yards heading
into this matchup, Tampa Bay is a team that you
can hit in the secondary. Nico Collins is going to
have a bounce back game in this one after being
a dud in the first week's matchup. And kind of

(50:59):
to your point, chat, I mean, if Tampa Bay starts
to pull away in the second half, I think we'll
see a larger volume of passing. Maybe they don't win
this game, may will score a lot of points, but
shot becaus they'll get over two hundred twenty seven and
a half passing yards.

Speaker 2 (51:09):
I used I did.

Speaker 3 (51:11):
I did all these bets with your plays last week,
and I threw in with touchdowns and everybody I had
scored a touchdown.

Speaker 2 (51:19):
Everybody I had did everything they needed. I needed eleven yards.
I don't A white was a white for Buffalo? Uh?

Speaker 1 (51:28):
Cook, cook cook?

Speaker 2 (51:31):
I needed eleven yards. And because they were so far behind,
I kept yelling that. I yelled at the screen every
single play for the whole second half. Handed the cook handed.
It wasn't in the backfield. I didn't do it.

Speaker 3 (51:48):
And uh and and and that because everything else you
gave me was a winner. And the combined with the
parlay with the touchdowns, it was like a hundred and no,
it was like fifty five one or something.

Speaker 1 (52:00):
Parlay, Yeah it was, it was like three.

Speaker 2 (52:05):
So I got like five dollars, you know.

Speaker 1 (52:07):
Yeah, that was that was one of the few that
I didn't hit. And then I had that wrapped up
in a parlay too, and I was just like too far,
too late.

Speaker 2 (52:16):
It was forty four and it was a lot of
time left, you know. Yeah, I was so so much
I was screaming. Besides, that was my wife. She has
no idea what the perfect time it was.

Speaker 1 (52:32):
First drum, Oh man, the things we do in the
China win our bets. All right, So last game we're
going to talk about here and then wrap up the show.
So we have Chargers and the Raiders. Uh, I'm looking
forward to this game. I don't know when we will
stay up for this game because I am on the
East Coast. This is the one thing I kind of

(52:52):
hate about the double Monday night games because this one's
going to be at ten o'clock at night here on
the East Coast, and I'm like, yeah, like me and others,
I have work at like, you know, six o'clock in
the morning next day. It's a little rough, but the
Chargers favored in this one at minus three and a
half on the road. Forty six and a half total
is what I have here. So the Chargers are actually

(53:12):
eleven to six against the spread. And want to know
this season thus far, obviously being the Kansasity Chiefs, and
they're six and two against the spread on the last
eight road games. All the Raiders are two and six
against the spread in the last eight divisional matchups. I
like that data because I think the Chargers are on
a whole other tier as far as a team is
concerned over the Raiders. So when you're giving me the

(53:35):
Chargers at minus three and a half, I don't care
if they're on the road. I am betting that all day,
every day. And that's one of my locks of the
week that the Chargers cover in this matchup.

Speaker 2 (53:45):
Yeah, I love it, could agree more.

Speaker 3 (53:47):
So here's what I got comm The Brazil game is
a road game, right, because neutral game is a rod.

Speaker 2 (53:52):
They've allowed twenty one or less.

Speaker 3 (53:54):
Remember we just talked about that number, twenty one in
eleven straight road games. No one in their own home
can score more than twenty one points on this team. Now,
do you know when the Raiders scored twenty one points
at Hope the last time Week one last year? They
at six? You got one team who don't give up.

(54:16):
So this is where you know. It's no different than
the Props. If you like them over, if you like
the quarterback over and a receiver over and a running
back over, you bet the team total over right in
this one.

Speaker 2 (54:30):
If you like the Chargers, then you bet the Chargers
team total over and the Raiders team total under. You
can't parlay those very often, but if you can find
a place, that's just a great way to win. Well.

Speaker 1 (54:43):
And I'll add this in too, brought Bowers is out
for the Raiders. They're going to be down a big
weapon on top of all of it, so there's more
more fuel for the fire on that one.

Speaker 3 (54:55):
That's the that's the last team. So Sunday Night and
the two Monday night games. Because I don't make up
half two bucks, the Lord brings them down.

Speaker 2 (55:04):
Thank you, ge G.

Speaker 1 (55:07):
It's gonna be a fun prime time matchups. Well, Jazz
as always. I love having you on, man. I want
you to plug away what you're trying to sell there
and where to find you and check you out.

Speaker 3 (55:17):
At we Actually we're right in the process. As soon
as we're done with the show, I go back to work,
we're creating the video. So again we're seven auctions and
seven days. We're creating seven auctions every single day, a
seven day auction, seven days later they'll start selling. So
on the seventeenth is one, we'll start selling, and then
after that the next seven days, I'm going to Rhode Island, Massachusetts, Connecticut,

(55:41):
and New York and I am going to take every
single bonus I can, and I'm going to write about it.

Speaker 1 (55:48):
Love it, love it, love it, love it. Guys. I
hope you're going to have a good weekend this weekend.
Make sure you go back and check out Operation Domination
and your favorite podcast apps, so you can listen to
those episodes that we had for you this week on
the go we had the week.

Speaker 3 (56:00):
You know what I wanted to ask I forgot to
ask us? Still bartending this year?

Speaker 1 (56:05):
Yeah, yeah, the have this cocktail hour that that's.

Speaker 2 (56:08):
Those are some great Now, don't get me a couple
of you need too many ingredients that my bar is
not going to have, but some of them.

Speaker 1 (56:16):
Are made what you got, yeah, and chas you were
checking it out. And this this past year we actually
mixed it up a little bit where they are going
to be signature Operation Domination drinks. So we're literally putting
in different ingredients depending upon the players that were picking
for dfs, and we're making up a brand new cocktail
on the fly. I'm hoping to make t shirts out

(56:36):
of it with the recipe on the back. It's gonna
be it's gonna be a whole thing. But so he made.

Speaker 2 (56:43):
One of those.

Speaker 1 (56:44):
It was. It was a lot of fun. And this
past week he made a drink called the Operation Depth
Charge was actually like a big shot like kind of
you know, kind of like an Irish you know, they
used to call them a certain name. I'm not going
to use the name, but kind of one of those
things kind of deal. So, uh, it's it really came
out great. That was the week two episode we talked
about start since Sleepers and the DFS Cocktail Hour. I

(57:06):
had the episode with doctor Brian Scott yesterday.

Speaker 2 (57:10):
Uh.

Speaker 1 (57:10):
We talked about the injuries and what his expectations are
for a lot of key guys, not just for this
upcoming Sunday, but for weeks following, and how their performances
might be capped de peg upon them.

Speaker 2 (57:21):
What's so valuable about that? You know, it's not an
injury report, It's a guy that's telling you how someone
who has that injury can handle it. You can only
shoot somebody up and take somebody up so much. If
it ain't gonna work, it ain't gonna work, you know, no.

Speaker 1 (57:39):
And then we do this show with you Jazz, so
with three episodes. Again, make sure you're downloading Operation Domination
Football on your favorite podcast app or if you want
to watch the video content, which I strongly suggest you do,
I'll have to go to the Fantasy Football Advice Network
YouTube channel at ff advice Net. And there's a lot
of shows on the network that have a lot of
video content, and we produce video content every single day

(58:00):
of the week, so make sure you check that out.
Get ready for your Week two matchups. Chazz is you
always like to say, We'll see you guys next week.
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