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March 20, 2025 19 mins

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March Madness is here, and just like filling out a bracket, picking individual stocks can feel like a thrilling gamble. But the odds of winning big are slim. In fact, history shows that most stock picks, like most brackets, end up busted.

Many investors can’t resist chasing big wins, even though diversification is a smarter play. One economist, Hendrik Bessembinder, analyzed the returns of nearly a century of stock performance. Let’s compare what he found to March Madness history and uncover what March Madness can teach us about investing! 

Here’s some of what we discuss in this episode:

0:00 – Intro

4:19 – A perfect bracket has never happened

6:19 – The odds of sustainable success are slim

11:45 – The most familiar choice doesn’t mean victory 

13:19 – Financial lessons and takeaways 

Get your copy of Power Up Your 401K in our toolkit: https://keap.page/ngt919/toolkit.html

Follow along on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCEE5ZkDedYTsKzkh2UxQ9Sg

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