The PredictIt Podcast

Jacob and Garth discuss the SCOTUS tariff ruling from Friday, what this means for the Presidency and Alito's expected retirement, Texas Early voting reporting, Trade Talk on the State of the Union and Noem's next job? We end with a new segment on the California Governor's Race: Campaign, Elect, Sign, Reject, Recall (our spin on FMK) - Trade now with us: https://bit.ly/predictit2026

Ethan Rosen from PredictIt's Markets team joins the pod to discuss the process behind creating markets, writing rules, limiting settlement ambiguity and his thoughts on the SAVE Act headlines. We also discuss the most likely to flip Senate races, Texas' Primaries in 3 weeks and Ethan's best buys (and sells).

Trade Now - https://bit.ly/predictit2026

Garth and Jacob are back to discuss another impending government shutdown, Garth's $1500 loss, new Texas polling, and maybe the Superbowl? But really just Trump's tweet about the halftime show.

https://bit.ly/predictit2026

Bradley Tusk joins Jacob for an interview ranging from his pitch for Mobile Voting to advice for AOC, predicting NY House races, and whether or not Gavin Newsom is the eventual Democratic Nominee in 2028.

Trade Bradley's picks here: https://bit.ly/predictit2026

Jacob interviews Anthony Vinci, author of 'The Fourth Intelligence Revolution.' They discuss the implications of AI in intelligence, the chaos of information in the digital age, parenting in a world of misinformation, and the future of social media regulations. Vinci shares insights on his AI model, Vico, and its applications in predictive markets and political forecasting and makes a bunch of predictions of his own.

Jacob and Garth provide a guide to the March Primaries reviewing the Texas Senate races, most interesting House races, and the Illinois Democratic Primary for Dick Durbin's seat in the Senate.

Jacob and Garth discuss Jacob's trade on the Senate War Powers Resolution last week, Steve Bannon potential run in 2028, the DOJ's recent action with the Fed, and the main topic today: Will Trump leave office early for any reason?

Jacob and Garth review the basics on www.predictit.org:

• What are Prediction Markets?
• How do you use PredictIt?
• What moves markets?

They also kickoff their 2025 trading challenge with a bang!

Jacob rounds up the news solo this week from Venezuela to the New York Gubernatorial Race and over to the fallout from TPUSA's America fest and the extremely early 2028 posturing on all sides.

Garth and Jacob get eclectic in this episode from Trump's proposed rescheduling of marijuana to the Maine Senate Primary to Candace Owens, Erika Kirk, and Turning Point USA all the way to Texas' Senate Primaries on both the Democratic and Republican sides - tune in for the best look at the Prediction Markets! https://bit.ly/predictit2025

Jacob and Garth discuss what Nostradamus has on tap for us in 2026 and make some predictions of their own. They also talk redistricting, Texas races, and the current odds of JD Vance to become the Republican Presidential Nominee in 2028.

Jacob and Garth discuss Andy Beshear's endorsement of Janet Mills, Kash Patel and Pete Hegseth's likelihood to leave their positions, Bowser not running for DC Mayor again, potential for ANOTHER government shutdown in February and a deep dive on the Tennessee 7th District's Special Election.

Victoria Worley joins Jacob and Garth to discuss redistricting effects across the country and then sticks around for a way-too-early draft of 2028 Democratic Nominees...and the draft gets wonky quick!

Jacob and Garth discuss Trump's Epstein Files vote flip, the Cabinet's latest news, SCOTUS Tarriff market, the economy's affect on 2026 midterm markets and the fallout from Chile's first round Presidential Election

Jacob and Garth discuss the Election Day 2025 fallout, Prediction Markets in context, and the Government Shutdown featuring the following markets:

• Which party will win the House in the 2026 election?
• When will Trump sign a bill to end the shutdown?
• Will the House pass a bill or resolution by Nov. 21 asking for Epstein files?
• Will Mike Johnson remain Speaker of the House through the 119th Congress?