The PredictIt Podcast
We're analyzing prediction markets on PredictIt every week - discussing the news, what's on the horizon, market dynamics and value in every opportunity. Hosted by Jacob Studwell and Garth Juckem, two prediction market veterans and politics enthusiasts, we'll provide a non-partisan, strictly business perspective on PredictIt's available markets, contracts, prices and traders. Listen to the PredictIt Podcast for the best prediction market analysis available in podcast form!
Episodes
The Supreme Court's Callais decision just reshaped the path to a 2026 House majority. Democrats fell from 87¢ to 79¢ on PredictIt — but the underlying fundamentals (Trump approval, generic ballot, cost-of-living concerns) suggest traders may be overcorrecting.
In this episode of The PredictIt Podcast, Jacob Studwell and Garth Juckem cover:
SCOTUS Callais decision: cracking vs. packing and what's about to change
Democrats at 79¢ to tak...
PredictIt's $3,500 individual position cap is its single biggest differentiator and the recent Polymarket insider trading charge, bouts of political violence, and questions over what place prediction markets place in society proves why caps matter for the integrity of the market.
In this episode of The PredictIt Podcast, Jacob Studwell and Garth Juckem cover:
White House Correspondents Dinner attempted attack: condemning all politica...
Virginia's April 21 redistricting referendum could flip up to 4 House seats and reshape the 2026 midterms. We break down where PredictIthave it priced and whether the data should scare traders holding Yes at 85 cents.
In this episode of PredictIt Official, Jacob Studwell and Garth Juckem cover:
00:00 — The national popular vote compact hits 222 electoral votes
04:30 — Senate 2026 market vs. S&P 500: why traders are pricing in a De...
Jacob and Garth cover the potential expulsion of Tony Gonzalez and Eric Swalwell, the California governor's race. We also delve into the Maine Senate race and the potential impact of a major hurricane on the election.
* 00:00 Swalwell's Dropout Fallout
* 11:50 JD's Tough Week
* 19:15 Impact of Hurricane Season
* 24:40 Maine Senate Race Dynamics
Trade now: https://bit.ly/predictit2026
Chad Peace of the Independent Voter Project joins Jacob to break down why 45% of registered voters are independent — and why both parties are structurally built to ignore them. They dig into California's nonpartisan primary, the Texas open primary fight, why independents aren't moderates, and what all of it means for 2026.
Trade now on PredictIt: https://bit.ly/predictit2026
Legendary pollster John Zogby joins Jacob to break down his latest generic ballot showing the two parties at a dead heat — directly contradicting polls giving Democrats a clear 2026 advantage. They dig into Trump's approval, public support for the Iran conflict, and what independent voters are thinking ahead of 2026.
Plus: John plays PredictIt's Buy, Sell, Hold weighing in on Pete Buttigieg, Cory Booker, AOC's Senate vs. President d...
Trump's poll numbers are moving in the wrong direction and this week, Jacob and Garth break down exactly what the latest data is telling us. Also this week:
- Recent Iran updates and what this may mean for the Republicans in the midterms
- Independent Senate candidates making noise in Nebraska and Montana — and whether they have a real shot
- Trump's Truth Social posts about Robert Mueller...
Whether you trade on PredictIt or just w...
Jacob and Garth recap Garth's recent trip, where we're at in the war in Iran and how that's affecting the House, Senate, and any individual races during primary season. The team also dives deep into new Ohio Governor and Senate polling and then it's last call for the Democratic Senate Primary race to name a Dick Durbin successor!
Trade Now on PredictIt: https://bit.ly/predictit2026
Garth, Ethan, and Jacob give a comprehensive recap of the Noem firing, how to keep her out of South Dakota through March, Texas recaps including grading traders performances on both sides of the aisle, and an update to the Iran War timeline put everything in play for the Democrats come November: Trade Now - https://bit.ly/predictit2026
Garth and Jacob discuss all the different ways the strikes and ongoing conflict in Iran could affect Trump's approval ratings, gas prices, midterms turnout, Congress War Powers resolutions, and also the Texas Primaries tomorrow!
Jacob and Garth discuss the SCOTUS tariff ruling from Friday, what this means for the Presidency and Alito's expected retirement, Texas Early voting reporting, Trade Talk on the State of the Union and Noem's next job? We end with a new segment on the California Governor's Race: Campaign, Elect, Sign, Reject, Recall (our spin on FMK) - Trade now with us: https://bit.ly/predictit2026
Ethan Rosen from PredictIt's Markets team joins the pod to discuss the process behind creating markets, writing rules, limiting settlement ambiguity and his thoughts on the SAVE Act headlines. We also discuss the most likely to flip Senate races, Texas' Primaries in 3 weeks and Ethan's best buys (and sells).
Trade Now - https://bit.ly/predictit2026
Garth and Jacob are back to discuss another impending government shutdown, Garth's $1500 loss, new Texas polling, and maybe the Superbowl? But really just Trump's tweet about the halftime show.
Bradley Tusk joins Jacob for an interview ranging from his pitch for Mobile Voting to advice for AOC, predicting NY House races, and whether or not Gavin Newsom is the eventual Democratic Nominee in 2028.
Trade Bradley's picks here: https://bit.ly/predictit2026
Jacob interviews Anthony Vinci, author of 'The Fourth Intelligence Revolution.' They discuss the implications of AI in intelligence, the chaos of information in the digital age, parenting in a world of misinformation, and the future of social media regulations. Vinci shares insights on his AI model, Vico, and its applications in predictive markets and political forecasting and makes a bunch of predictions of his own.
Jacob and Garth provide a guide to the March Primaries reviewing the Texas Senate races, most interesting House races, and the Illinois Democratic Primary for Dick Durbin's seat in the Senate.
Jacob and Garth discuss Jacob's trade on the Senate War Powers Resolution last week, Steve Bannon potential run in 2028, the DOJ's recent action with the Fed, and the main topic today: Will Trump leave office early for any reason?
Jacob and Garth review the basics on www.predictit.org:
- What are Prediction Markets?
- How do you use PredictIt?
- What moves markets?
They also kickoff their 2025 trading challenge with a bang!
Jacob rounds up the news solo this week from Venezuela to the New York Gubernatorial Race and over to the fallout from TPUSA's America fest and the extremely early 2028 posturing on all sides.
Garth and Jacob get eclectic in this episode from Trump's proposed rescheduling of marijuana to the Maine Senate Primary to Candace Owens, Erika Kirk, and Turning Point USA all the way to Texas' Senate Primaries on both the Democratic and Republican sides - tune in for the best look at the Prediction Markets! https://bit.ly/predictit2025
Popular Podcasts
If you've ever wanted to know about champagne, satanism, the Stonewall Uprising, chaos theory, LSD, El Nino, true crime and Rosa Parks, then look no further. Josh and Chuck have you covered.
Current and classic episodes, featuring compelling true-crime mysteries, powerful documentaries and in-depth investigations. Follow now to get the latest episodes of Dateline NBC completely free, or subscribe to Dateline Premium for ad-free listening and exclusive bonus content: DatelinePremium.com
The World's Most Dangerous Morning Show, The Breakfast Club, With DJ Envy, Jess Hilarious, And Charlamagne Tha God!
Buck Sexton breaks down the latest headlines with a fresh and honest perspective! He speaks truth to power, and cuts through the liberal nonsense coming from the mainstream media. Interact with Buck by emailing him at teambuck@iheartmedia.com
The latest news in 4 minutes updated every hour, every day.