Stock Talk
Chris Perras, CFA®, Capital Markets Strategist of Oak Harvest Financial Group shares his insight into the markets based on 25 years experience. Advisory services are provided through Oak Harvest Investment Services, LLC, a registered investment adviser. Insurance services are provided through Oak Harvest Insurance Services, LLC, a licensed insurance agency.
Episodes
August 14, 2026 • 16 mins
Is the AI boom beginning to rhyme with the late 1990s? Strong earnings, record market highs, massive semiconductor investment, and an unusual shift in global currency conditions are creating a market setup investors should be watching closely.
In this video, we examine the growing comparison between today’s AI-driven market and the final stages of the dot-com boom.
The comparison became even more interesting after the United ...
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August 7, 2026 • 20 mins
An investor can be completely right about the future—and still lose money in the present.
That happened during the dot-com boom. The internet really did change the world, but concentrated portfolios, extreme valuations, leverage, and tighter financial conditions still caused enormous investment losses.
Now, a similar lesson is emerging from the AI investment cycle.
In this video, we compare the dot-com bubble of 1998–20...
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August 5, 2026 • 7 mins
Inflation, interest rates, and energy prices may look like three separate financial risks—but they are deeply connected.
In this episode, Chris Perras of Oak Harvest Financial Group explains how rising energy costs can contribute to inflation, how inflation influences Federal Reserve policy, and how higher interest rates can affect stocks, bonds, cash, and the long-term purchasing power of retirees.
For retirees...
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August 5, 2026 • 10 mins
What if one of the greatest companies ever built turns out to be a disappointing investment? In this video, I explain why this isn’t really a story about SpaceX—it’s a story about investor expectations, IPO hype, and the price you pay for even the most extraordinary businesses. Drawing on more than 35 years of investment experience, I compare today’s excitement around SpaceX to past market favorites like Ama...
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July 17, 2026 • 7 mins
Why are so many Wall Street firms raising their S&P 500 targets, yet the market isn't surging higher? In this week's Stock Talk, I break down the two forces that are keeping the S&P 500 from making a much bigger move despite outstanding corporate earnings. We'll look at why accelerating earnings alone aren't enough when AI-driven capital spending is pressuring free cash flow, and how higher Treasury yields are limiting valu...
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July 10, 2026 • 8 mins
Is every jobs report, inflation update, or GDP release really telling investors what they need to know? In this week's Stock Talk, Chris Perras explains why successful investing is not about reacting to every economic headline or trying to predict the next government report. Using the latest employment data as an example, he shows how economic statistics are often revised months later and why headline numbers can paint an incomplet...
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July 3, 2026 • 7 mins
Think you can outsmart the market? Every geopolitical crisis makes investors wonder if it's time to sell, but history tells a different story. In this week's Stock Talk, I explore why headlines surrounding Russia, Ukraine, Iran, Israel, China, and Taiwan often create short-term fear while long-term market performance has historically been driven by corporate earnings and interest rates. Using recent market examples, I explain why s...
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June 26, 2026 • 22 mins
The biggest risk in a volatile market may not be the pullback itself, it may be the decisions investors make because of it. In this Stock Talk episode, Chris Perras and Charles Scavone of Oak Harvest Financial Group break down the major forces shaping the second half of 2026, including corporate earnings, peak earnings growth, interest rates, the U.S. dollar, a new Federal Reserve chairman, AI-related capital spending, and the exci...
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June 19, 2026 • 10 mins
Is the 2026 bull market still intact, or is the harder part of the ride just beginning? In this Stock Talk preview, I walk through Oak Harvest’s Second Half 2026 Market Outlook livestream and explain what investors may want to watch as we move into the back half of the year, including S&P 500 earnings growth, interest rates, inflation expectations, energy prices, AI-driven capital spending, potential Federal Reserve polic...
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June 12, 2026 • 12 mins
Can strong earnings still disappoint investors? In this week’s Stock Talk, I explain why “good” results are not always good enough in today’s stock market.
Earnings season has been outstanding, with S&P 500 profit growth accelerating, margins remaining strong, and analysts raising expectations for the rest of 2026. But several high-quality companies still sold off after reporting strong results because ...
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Is the AI boom becoming the next dot-com bubble? In this video, I compare today’s AI-driven stock market with the 1999–2000 dot-com era, including the S&P 500, Nasdaq, semiconductor stocks, Fed policy, inflation, GDP growth, oil prices, and investor psychology. While today’s market has clear dot-com similarities, AI leaders are more profitable and better established than many internet stocks of the late 1990s....
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What does stagflation really mean? Not just the textbook definition of high inflation combined with weak or slowing economic growth, but what it feels like for consumers and investors when essentials like food, energy, and insurance keep rising while wages and job opportunities fail to keep up.
I’ll walk through where stagflation pressures are showing up around the world, including Europe, China, emerging markets, and the Un...
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May 8, 2026 • 7 mins
I’m breaking down the latest Q1 2026 earnings season update and why the AI capex boom may still have room to run. I cover accelerating S&P 500 earnings, record profit margins, rising EPS estimates, and how today’s cycle compares to the late-1990s Dotcom capex run. I also explain why higher oil prices and interest rates remain headwinds, but not roadblocks, when earnings growth is this strong.
In this Stock Talk, I ...
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May 1, 2026 • 5 mins
In this Stock Talk, I bring the focus back to what has historically mattered most for stock prices over time: earnings. While headlines, geopolitics, oil prices, and Federal Reserve policy can create short-term volatility, I walk through current FactSet earnings data showing that many S&P 500 companies are reporting positive earnings and revenue surprises, profit margins remain strong, and leadership is concentrated in areas li...
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Join me as I ask whether today’s AI investment cycle is truly an “obvious bubble” like the Dot-Com era, or whether the real story is more nuanced. I compare the stall-and-surge period of 1999–2000 with today’s AI acceleration into 2026, focusing on capex spending, the rise of agentic AI, market returns, valuations, and where risk is showing up. While today’s market has echoes of 1999, I explain w...
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April 17, 2026 • 5 mins
In today’s Stock Talk, I take a step back from the headlines and ask a question investors hear in every market cycle: is this time really different, or does it just feel that way? I walk through historical market data from major conflicts like World War II, Korea, Vietnam, and Iraq to show how markets have often recovered faster than emotions would suggest, even during periods of extreme uncertainty. I also explain why today&...
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April 2, 2026 • 10 mins
What if the AI boom isn’t another dot-com bubble at all, but the next great re-acceleration in markets? In this video, I break down the striking similarities and crucial differences between the 1999 dot-com capex cycle and today’s AI investment surge, including exploding data center demand, the rise of agentic AI, Nvidia’s role, private vs. public market risk, interest rates, and what all of it could mean for stoc...
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March 27, 2026 • 8 mins
What if the reason stocks aren’t falling harder in 2026 has less to do with headlines and more to do with what most investors are missing? In this video, I break down why the market has remained surprisingly resilient despite war-driven inflation, geopolitical tension, and elevated volatility, and I show you the three forces I believe are keeping stocks supported: lower consumer sensitivity to energy shocks, strengthening cor...
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March 20, 2026 • 7 mins
This week, I break down why the market feels stuck and what’s really driving it. Stocks have now declined for three straight weeks, but this isn’t a typical selloff. Instead, we’re seeing a grinding, sideways market as inflation pressures quietly build again, led by rising oil prices and escalating tensions in the Middle East. I’ll explain why the bond market is signaling “higher for longer” inte...
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March 13, 2026 • 8 mins
I walk through what’s really happening in the market right now after months of volatility, geopolitical headlines, and sideways movement in the S&P 500. In this update, I revisit the two headwinds and two tailwinds we outlined in our 2026 outlook and explain how rising inflation expectations, volatility tied to the presidential cycle, and a six-month market pause may be setting the stage for the next phase of the bull mar...
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