Swan Signal Live - A Bitcoin Show

Bitcoin at All-Time Highs: The crew celebrates Bitcoin’s new all-time highs around $118K and discusses whether we’re due for a 10% pullback. Predictions ranged from a short-term dip at $119K to price discovery pushing beyond $130K.

Institutional Adoption & Bitcoin Treasuries:

Discussion on the rise of Bitcoin treasury companies like Sequans (guided by Swan) and how they differ in execution, strategy, and impact.

The panel emphasizes t...

Bitcoin Price Action: Hovering near $110K, with all-time highs above $112K recently. Discussed global liquidity spikes and the M2 money supply’s correlation with Bitcoin price trends.

Macroeconomics:

U.S. deficits, debt concerns, and the “Big Beautiful Bill” passing.

Ray Dalio’s remarks on the political impossibility of balancing the U.S. budget, echoing the “nothing stops this train” meme.

The impact of AI as a deflationary force and ...

In this special episode of Swan Signal Live, the team bids a heartfelt farewell to longtime host Steven Lubka as he steps away from his regular role. Steven reflects on nearly five transformative years at Swan, building Swan Private and helping onboard thousands of high-net-worth individuals into Bitcoin. Emotions run high as the crew reminisces on shared experiences and growth.

The discussion then dives into major Bitcoin developme...

Bitcoin continues its historic streak—43 consecutive days closing above $100,000. The Swan Signal crew dives into what this milestone means, including comparisons to Joe DiMaggio’s legendary hitting streak and the waning attention from normies, despite Bitcoin reaching all-time highs.

Steven shares insight on why emerging markets and Bitcoin have outperformed, citing Lynn Alden’s early calls. Meanwhile, John highlights how the broad...

Trump–Elon “Breakup”: The show kicks off with the high-profile political and cultural split between Donald Trump and Elon Musk. The hosts speculate whether the split was coordinated to help Elon politically, and explore what it says about naive techno-optimism in politics versus the hard constraints of monetary and fiscal reality.

“Nothing Stops This Train” Theme: Echoing Lynn Alden and Luke Gromen, the crew reaffirms that the U.S. ...

Swan Signal Live – Episode Recap (May 17, 2025)
Title: “All-Time High Week: Bitcoin Blasts to $111K, LBE Stocks Surge, and the Debt Train Rolls On”
Guests: Brady Swenson, Alex Stanczyk, Steven Lubka, John Haar (Swan Private)

🚀 Bitcoin Hits $111K – “We Are So Back”

After a five-month wait since January, Bitcoin breaks through to a new all-time high of $111K.

Optimism surges among the Swan Private team as they reflect on the mar...

1. 500K Bitcoin Predictions & Market Sentiment
The crew discussed the recent wave of bullish sentiment led by industry voices like Adam Back, Bitfinex analysts, and Vibes Capital. Adam Back predicts $500K–$1M this cycle, while Vibes Capital cites $100B in anticipated corporate treasury demand plus potential U.S. government Bitcoin buys. With consistent ETF inflows, particularly BlackRock’s IBIT, and support levels holding near $100K...

In this high-energy episode, Steven Lubka joins Swan Signal Live to discuss the resurgence of Bitcoin, macroeconomic shifts, and the rise of vibes-driven investing. Bitcoin surged over 30% in the past month, breaking above $103K amid easing U.S.-China trade tensions and a “wait and see” stance from the Federal Reserve. Lubka and the hosts break down how Bitcoin is thriving as both a risk-on asset and a safe haven in a volatile econ...

MicroStrategy’s Vision: A landmark two-hour earnings call revealed MSTR’s intensified strategy, expanding the “21/21 Plan” to a 42/42 Plan, doubling their equity and fixed income issuance goal to $42B each.

Bitcoin Outperforming Tech: BTC has outpaced major tech stocks, decoupling from Nasdaq and S&P 500. The team discusses why Bitcoin is now seen as digital gold, not a speculative tech asset.

The Rise of Bitcoin Treasuries: MSTR's c...

Main Topics:
This week’s episode of Swan Signal Live delivers a powerful mix of Bitcoin analysis, macroeconomic insights, and a dose of Swan-inspired creatine meme lore. The team dives into the ongoing “creatine craze” sparked by Brandon Quittem, which made waves even at institutional events like the Bitwise conference. Then it's all business—Bitcoin’s 10K+ weekly price rally is dissected, especially in contrast to traditional marke...

Macro Markets Update: John Haar notes markets have stabilized this week after recent volatility, driven largely by significant global trade and monetary reforms initiated by the Trump administration. Haar emphasizes the complexity and potential hurdles these reforms face, including public perception and economic disruptions.

Global Trade and Tariff Impacts: Discussion on the administration's rapid tariff policy adjustments, the pote...

In this episode, the Swan team dives into the week’s tumultuous markets, triggered by escalating tariff tensions between the US and China. With sweeping tariff announcements initially roiling equities, a sudden pivot by the administration briefly stabilized stock prices—yet concerns remain about stress in market “plumbing,” particularly negative swap spreads and rising bond yields. The discussion highlights how quickly financial co...

This week’s Swan Signal Live unpacks a major market anomaly: on a day when the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and gold all dropped sharply, Bitcoin stayed strong—even ticking up. The team explores whether we’re witnessing the early stages of a true decoupling, as more voices from TradFi, including Joe Weisenthal and Larry Fink, acknowledge Bitcoin’s resilience.

They also dive into Trump’s new tariff strategy, branded “Liberation Day,” raising que...

In this power-packed Swan Signal Live episode, the team unpacks one of the most explosive corporate Bitcoin developments since MicroStrategy: GameStop’s $1.3 billion raise—possibly growing to $1.5B—for “general corporate purposes”… and potentially Bitcoin.

Ben Workman breaks down why this move makes strategic sense and how GameStop could become the second-largest public holder of BTC, right behind MicroStrategy. The crew explores wh...

In this high-energy episode of Swan Signal Live, the team dives into an action-packed week of Bitcoin and macro news. Steven kicks things off celebrating a hard-fought victory in Bitcoin Bugle’s “March Maxi Madness,” but the real meat of the show comes with analysis of the Fed’s dovish tone, Trump’s tariff plans, and growing signals of U.S. Bitcoin accumulation.

Key Topics Covered:

• Fed Meeting Recap: John Haar lays out the Fed’s ...

In a historic moment for Bitcoin, Swan Signal Live brought together Lynn Alden, Ben Workman, and the Swan team to break down the U.S. government's newly established Strategic Bitcoin Reserve (SBR). The conversation highlighted the White House executive order, which cements Bitcoin—not crypto—as a strategic asset.

Key Takeaways:

• Bitcoin Stockpile: The U.S. government will stop selling confiscated Bitcoin and maintain its holdings,...

The crew tackled Bitcoin’s recent dip to 78k. They opened with a cheerful nod to the dip as a “soul-cleansing” buying opportunity, reflecting their seasoned perspective after years of volatility, including the 2020 COVID crash that birthed the show. They emphasized that Bitcoin’s long-term thesis remains unshaken despite the 20-25% drop from its 108k peak, aligning it with broader market pullbacks in stocks like Nvidia and Tesla. V...

The crew kicks off with playful jabs about a recent game, musing if Canada could become the 51st U.S. state for its hockey flair and tariff-free maple syrup. The conversation swiftly pivots to Bitcoin, where the crew dives into market trends, spotlighting a chart from analyst Tur Demeester showing Bitcoin’s four-year holding pattern against gold, primed for an "epic" rally. They debate gold’s role as Bitcoin’s closest cousin, its p...

Swan Signal Live covered major Bitcoin developments, headlined by Abu Dhabi's sovereign wealth fund disclosing a $437M Bitcoin ETF position and Wisconsin's pension fund investing $321M in Bitcoin ETFs. State Street and Citibank announced plans to launch crypto custody services, marking another step in Bitcoin's institutional integration. The hosts discussed the mempool clearing for the first time in two years, suggesting Bitcoin's ...