March 30, 2025 • 16 mins
Australia is heading to the polls on the 3rd of May.
The election to decide who will lead the country is now officially underway, after Prime Minister Anthony Albanese officially kicked off the campaign on Friday.
Will Albanese return to Canberra as the next PM, or will Peter Dutton lead the Coalition to become the first party to replace a one-term Government in nearly 100 years?
Today we’ll tell you everything you need to know about the upcoming vote, the campaign, and what to expect over the next four and a half weeks.
Hosts: Harry Sekulich and Zara Seidler
Producer: Orla Maher
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Transcript
Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:00):
Already and this is the Daily This is the Daily OS. Oh,
now it makes sense. Good morning and welcome to the
Daily Ours. It's Monday, the thirty first of March. I'm
Harry Sekulic.
Speaker 2 (00:20):
I'm Zara Seidler.
Speaker 1 (00:21):
Australia is heading to the polls on the third of May.
The election is now officially underway to decide who will
lead the country. Will Anthony Albanezi return to Canberra as
the next PM, or will Peter Dutton become the first
leader to replace a one term prime minister in nearly
one hundred years. Today we'll tell you everything you need
to know about the upcoming vote and what the election
(00:43):
means for you.
Speaker 3 (00:48):
Harry, I'm mostly excited about the fact that we don't
have to mention in every podcast that an election is
due by a certain date.
Speaker 1 (00:56):
Oh my gosh, I'm so happy say that I have
a application.
Speaker 2 (01:00):
I know.
Speaker 3 (01:00):
It does truly feel like much of the political world
has kind of been on hold as we wait for
this day to be announced, and now that it has,
we are in campaign mode officially.
Speaker 1 (01:12):
And May three will be nerd Christmas.
Speaker 3 (01:15):
It will be It's usually budget but hey, now it
is election. Harry, I think a really good place to
start this podcast is just by walking people through what
the announcement of a date actually means. So last Friday,
Anthony Alberanezi traveled to the Governor General's house. He then
announced that an election would be held on May third.
(01:36):
For someone that's listening to this podcast and doesn't really
know why that matters to them what happens from now, So.
Speaker 1 (01:42):
I'm calling out to you all first time voters, this
is the info that you need to hear, and I
wish I had heard when I vote for the first
time when I was eighteen. So if you are over
the age of eighteen and you are an Australian citizen,
you need to register to vote, and that means firing
up the Australian Elector Commission website and just plugging in
your details. You might just need your driver's license or passport,
(02:06):
some official documentation and then go through the registration form
two enroll.
Speaker 3 (02:11):
And I mean that's such an important point to start
with because so many people think that the minute you
turn eighteen, you're magically added to this list.
Speaker 1 (02:18):
Ideas that yeah, I absolutely did.
Speaker 3 (02:20):
Because no one's really ever told otherwise, and so it's
really important to know that you have to make a
conscious effort to enroll yourself. It doesn't just happen by itself.
Speaker 1 (02:30):
And even if you have voted before, if you are
on the electoral role, you might have changed a dress
or you might have changed your details since then in
some capacity, and it's best to let the AEC know
that that is what's happened, because otherwise you might end
up voting for a district that you no longer live in.
I don't know if you remember, Zara, but I actually
moved at the end of last year, so I decided
(02:52):
to just check my details on the AEC and it
was my old address. So you can be absorbed in
this day and day out like you and I are,
to still not have the right details on the AEC.
So this is for everyone.
Speaker 3 (03:04):
Yeah, very important. So if you've moved at all, you
do need to update that information with the AEC, like
Harry did on Friday. Now, Harry, obviously there are the
mechanics of the election, and then there's kind of the
substance of the election of what we are doing, which
is choosing what we want the future of this country.
Speaker 2 (03:23):
To look like.
Speaker 3 (03:25):
Can you just give us a bit of a kind
of elevator pitch, I guess for both of the two
leaders of the major parties here in Australia.
Speaker 1 (03:33):
All right, well, let's start with the person who's actually
called the election, the Prime Minister Anthony Albanezi. He's been
the leader of the Labor Party since twenty nineteen. He's
been in Parliament quite a long time. He was first
elected in nineteen ninety six, so he's spent a very
big chunk of his adult life in the halls of Parliament.
Speaker 2 (03:51):
Our whole lifetimes, our entire lifetime.
Speaker 1 (03:54):
Actually, yeah, just realize that now. That a time wild
bit about his backstory. He grew up in social housing
in inner West Sydney with a mother who suffered a
quite severe form of arthritis, and he was raised by
a single mother on a disability pension. Over the past
three years as Prime Minister, he's focused on some key
(04:15):
issues like wages and industrial relations reforms, which are probably
some of his more comfortable areas. He's also, like any
prime minister, wanted to make some big national reforms and
I think the most obvious example of that was the
Voice to Parliament referendum that we had in October twenty
twenty three, and as you might remember Zara, it was
(04:37):
decisively unsuccessful. Now, if we look on to the other
side of the ledge, there's the Coalition leader Peter Dutton.
For his backstory, he's a former police officer and he
was born and raised in Queensland and what he says
was a pretty typical working class family and now he
represents a seat in northern Brisbane. Much like Anthony Alberizi.
(04:57):
He's been in parliament a long time as well, since
two thousand and one, so also dedicating a great amount
of his time in parliament. He ran for the Liberal
Party at a state election when he was nineteen years old.
He wasn't successful at that one, but he was later
successful for federal parliament. He rose through the ranks over
time and he took over the leadership after Scott Morrison
(05:20):
lost the twenty twenty two election.
Speaker 2 (05:22):
Yeah.
Speaker 3 (05:23):
So here we have two leaders who, as you've made clear,
have been in Parliament, have been kind of around the
traps for a really really long time and are by
no means new faces for many people. But I think
something that we do need to really hone in on
is that for the majority of our listeners, unless you
are in the two seats that Peter Dudden and Anthony
(05:45):
Alberizi represent. You're not actually voting for those two leaders.
You're voting for your local MP. Talk me through what
that actually means.
Speaker 1 (05:53):
Yeah, it's remarkable the number of people who think that
we do vote for the prime minister. Like over in
the US, you vote for the president. It's not the
same system here. And the way that I like to
explain is is think of the election as one hundred
and fifty mini races happening. Those are your local contests
known as Lower House seats. So that's your local representative
(06:14):
that you're going to vote for. So on election day
you will have two pieces of paper. First one is
for the House of Reps. That's a local contest, and
then you'll also have a piece of paper for the Senate.
That's the really big one. Yeah, for whatever state and
territory you live in. At each state, there will be
six senators up for reelection, and the territories automatically go
(06:35):
to a re election for their two senators each. Now,
when we look at how you actually form government, that
all depends on the Lower House and how the numbers
fall there. So the magic number is seventy six seats.
You need to win at least seventy six of those
one hundred and fifty races that I spoke about.
Speaker 3 (06:52):
I just want to interrupt here because some listeners, if
they've been playing close to attention, might be confused why
it's one hundred and fifty and not one hundred and
fifty one, because we did see one seat abolished.
Speaker 1 (07:03):
That's right, yeah, and very very good mats Sara.
Speaker 2 (07:06):
Honestly I had to check it myself. Am I remembering wrong?
Speaker 1 (07:10):
No, it is changing a little bit at this election,
and that's because of what's known as redistribution. So the AAC,
which controls all things based on the election, have abolished
two seats on the East Coast, so that's in New
South Wales and Victoria, and they've created one new seat
over in Western Australia, the seat of Bullwinkle, which I'm
going to vote as my family believable name, love the
(07:32):
name Bullwinkle. So with all the population dynamics and the
different movements of the seats and distributions, we now have
one hundred and fifty seats in the parliament instead of
one hundred and fifty one, So you still need seventy
six seats to win. That's because you want at least
half of the Lower House plus at least one person
who will become the speaker. It's very technical, but basically
(07:55):
you get half plus one, yeah.
Speaker 2 (07:57):
And that gives you majority.
Speaker 1 (07:58):
That's right.
Speaker 3 (07:59):
So what's the then for both parties to get to their.
Speaker 1 (08:03):
So the government at the moment has seventy eight seats
in the lower House. It basically just needs to hold
on to all its ground that it currently holds. And
then the coalition has fifty five seats going into this election.
It's very likely they're going to win back two seats
from defections in this term of parliament, and then on
top of that they need to win a further nineteen
(08:24):
seats to get to a majority. We also have a
massive cross bench Sarah.
Speaker 3 (08:29):
Yeah.
Speaker 1 (08:29):
It was historically a record vote for third parties and independence.
Speaker 3 (08:34):
So you're talking there about the Greens, you're talking about Teals,
you're talking about other independents that don't fall into those
kind of groupings, and they sit really in the middle.
Speaker 1 (08:43):
The literal medal yep, that's why we call them the
cross bend.
Speaker 2 (08:46):
And fading is very literal in our Parliament.
Speaker 1 (08:48):
I think so as well, but I think my mind
works well with that literalness.
Speaker 3 (08:53):
It's not about abstract So, Harry, you said that the
government basically needs to hold on and not lose seats,
whereas the Coalition needs to add to the number of
seats that they currently have in the House in order
to form government. What are a key battleground states. I
know that's quite an American way of putting it, but
where are both leaders focusing on to try get those seats?
Speaker 1 (09:14):
Well, that comes back to the campaign trail that is
now well and truly underway. We're going to see both
leaders jumping around the country, jetting off to different parts
of Australia where they feel like they need to either
defend some of their seats or they feel they have
a chance of winning some seats off the opposition. So
Labor performed strongly in Western Australia at the twenty twenty
(09:37):
two election, if won a swag of seats off the
Coalition there, so it's very likely we're going to see
Anthony Alberanesi visiting Western Australia to defend those seats. It's
also very likely we're going to see Labor campaigning hard
in northern Tasmania in Queensland where they haven't been as
successful as other states in securing some seats. In terms
(09:59):
of some of the battlegrounds, we're going to see Peter
Dutton in the Coalition really targeting out of Melbourne, out
of Sydney, those outer suburban realms which Peter Dutton has
been talking about for quite some time now, that very
specific voter, someone who's in a peri urban area, who
might be under mortgage stress, struggling with cost of living,
(10:20):
and it's shaping up as a key battleground because some
of these areas are actually labor strongholds, traditionally constantly voting labor,
but are very much in play. There have been some
swings at previous elections against the Labor Party in these
parts of Sydney and Melbourne, and Peter Dutton is wanting
to capitalize on that as much as possible. So I think,
(10:42):
you know there's going to be tight races right around
the country, but I would say we're going to be
zeroing in a lot on Melbourne and Sydney and those
outer urban areas.
Speaker 3 (10:51):
Yeah, And I mean you're actually going to be at
the forefront of that because you're joining the campaign trail
for both the Prime Minister and the opposition. That basically
means when they wake up and decide that they want
to go to Victoria and wa in one day, a
whole bunch of journalists go with them and are able
to kind of map this journey.
Speaker 2 (11:11):
It talked me through that a bit.
Speaker 1 (11:13):
Yeah, that's right, and it's very exciting. The Daily Os
gets to join the campaign trail for both the government
and the opposition and it's basically a day by day thing,
this campaign trail. We don't know what the schedule looks like,
but that's because both leaders are wanting to be as
flexible as possible of where they feel they need to go,
where their scrutinies are telling them there is vulnerability in
(11:34):
this area, or there might be an event that comes
up in let's just say Darwin, and both leaders want
to fly in and deal with whatever is happening up
in that part of the world. So it's a very unpredictable,
very malleable four weeks ahead of us, but it's going
to be very exciting and that's just part of the
(11:55):
campaign trail fun You just never know.
Speaker 2 (11:57):
Wake up and which state. Will you visit to tam exactly?
Speaker 1 (12:00):
So, Zara, I might have to just tell you I'm
heading on a plane to Perth tomorrow.
Speaker 2 (12:04):
I'm quite remarkable, especially in the country.
Speaker 3 (12:06):
Is bigcause Australia, that they'd have to cover so much
ground in such a short period of time.
Speaker 1 (12:11):
It makes me appreciate the role of journalists in the
US just a little bit more because they were darting
back and forth from Nevada to North Carolina. That's just
that is just something else. It's mind boggling, it truly is.
Speaker 3 (12:24):
Now, Harry, I do just want to end with what
I'm sure a lot of our listeners are wanting to ask,
which is who's going to win this election? What are
the polls telling us right now about who's in front?
Speaker 1 (12:35):
It's really anyone's game at this stage. The Poles are
telling us it's going to be tight.
Speaker 2 (12:39):
Yeah.
Speaker 1 (12:40):
At the start of this year it was looking like
the Coalition and Peter Dutton were in the hot seat
to win. They were performing quite strongly on a two
party preferred basis against the Labor Party. The government's polling
was showing that it's primary votes, so the number of
people voting one Labor looked like it was declining, was
(13:00):
on that slope going downwards. It looks like things have
even doubt a little bit, and as with a lot
of campaigns we've seen in Australian history, it does tighten
up as we get closer to polling day. Many commentators
are also predicting we're going to enter a minority government.
So neither Labor or the Coalition are going to get
enough seats, So that's the seventy six seats it needs
(13:21):
to form a majority government, so they will need to
negotiate with a crossbench, with the Greens, with other minor
parties and that way they can get over that line
of seventy six seats. So May the third is the
date that Australia will decide. And no matter what the
polling tells us, what's going to matter is what people
actually choose on the day or in the lead up
(13:43):
to the day, because you can vote early.
Speaker 2 (13:45):
And pre polling is growing in popularity very much.
Speaker 1 (13:48):
So, and mail in voting, all forms of voting. One
thing that I can say is that this election is
going to be historic for a number of reasons. If
Anthony Albanezi is re elected as the prime minister. He
will be the first prime minister to win a back
to back election since John Howard. We've spoken about our
age here a little bit, Smer. We were quite young
(14:08):
when John Howard was still a prime minister, so we
think about how many times we've changed leaders since then.
Albanzi will be the first one to win a back
to back election. If Peter Dutton wins, it'll be the
first time a one term government has been booted since
nineteen thirty one. Just think about that. That's nearly one
hundred years that a government has not won two consecutive terms.
(14:33):
So that's quite a mountain to climb for any opposition leader.
But as I said, the polls are looking quite tight.
There's every chance that Peter Dutton and the Coalition could
win this election, and there's every chance that Anthony Albanesi
and Labor could win as well. And there's every chance
that we could be waiting for days and days and
(14:53):
days to see what the major parties and the leaders
negotiate with a crossbench and form a minority government. It's
all part of democracy manifest Sarah, Yeah, sure is. And
this is a little bit of a flag to anyone
listening today or watching us on YouTube. TDA is going
to be here every step of the way. We're going
along on the campaign trial and we want to hear
(15:13):
your questions. We want to hear what you want to
know from the leaders. And you know what, I just
can't wait to get started Zarape. This is so exciting,
it really is.
Speaker 3 (15:23):
Harry, thank you for taking us through that today and
thank you for listening to this very exciting election podcast today.
If you do want to help TDA grow during a
time that's as important as a federal election, the best
way you can do that is by hitting subscribe or
follow on whatever platform you are listening to us on.
(15:43):
Your support means so much to us, so thank you
so much and we'll be back later today.
Speaker 2 (15:47):
Bye.
Speaker 1 (15:52):
My name is Lily Madden and I'm a proud Arunda
Bungelung Kalkotin woman from Gadigal Country. The Daily oz acknowledges
that this podcast is recorded on the lands of the
Gadigal people and pays respect to all Aboriginal and torrest
Rate island and nations. We pay our respects to the
first peoples of these countries, both past and present,
Already and this is the Daily This is the Daily OS. Oh,
now it makes sense. Good morning and welcome to the
Daily Ours. It's Monday, the thirty first of March. I'm
Harry Sekulic.
Speaker 2 (00:20):
I'm Zara Seidler.
Speaker 1 (00:21):
Australia is heading to the polls on the third of May.
The election is now officially underway to decide who will
lead the country. Will Anthony Albanezi return to Canberra as
the next PM, or will Peter Dutton become the first
leader to replace a one term prime minister in nearly
one hundred years. Today we'll tell you everything you need
to know about the upcoming vote and what the election
(00:43):
means for you.
Speaker 3 (00:48):
Harry, I'm mostly excited about the fact that we don't
have to mention in every podcast that an election is
due by a certain date.
Speaker 1 (00:56):
Oh my gosh, I'm so happy say that I have
a application.
Speaker 2 (01:00):
I know.
Speaker 3 (01:00):
It does truly feel like much of the political world
has kind of been on hold as we wait for
this day to be announced, and now that it has,
we are in campaign mode officially.
Speaker 1 (01:12):
And May three will be nerd Christmas.
Speaker 3 (01:15):
It will be It's usually budget but hey, now it
is election. Harry, I think a really good place to
start this podcast is just by walking people through what
the announcement of a date actually means. So last Friday,
Anthony Alberanezi traveled to the Governor General's house. He then
announced that an election would be held on May third.
(01:36):
For someone that's listening to this podcast and doesn't really
know why that matters to them what happens from now, So.
Speaker 1 (01:42):
I'm calling out to you all first time voters, this
is the info that you need to hear, and I
wish I had heard when I vote for the first
time when I was eighteen. So if you are over
the age of eighteen and you are an Australian citizen,
you need to register to vote, and that means firing
up the Australian Elector Commission website and just plugging in
your details. You might just need your driver's license or passport,
(02:06):
some official documentation and then go through the registration form
two enroll.
Speaker 3 (02:11):
And I mean that's such an important point to start
with because so many people think that the minute you
turn eighteen, you're magically added to this list.
Speaker 1 (02:18):
Ideas that yeah, I absolutely did.
Speaker 3 (02:20):
Because no one's really ever told otherwise, and so it's
really important to know that you have to make a
conscious effort to enroll yourself. It doesn't just happen by itself.
Speaker 1 (02:30):
And even if you have voted before, if you are
on the electoral role, you might have changed a dress
or you might have changed your details since then in
some capacity, and it's best to let the AEC know
that that is what's happened, because otherwise you might end
up voting for a district that you no longer live in.
I don't know if you remember, Zara, but I actually
moved at the end of last year, so I decided
(02:52):
to just check my details on the AEC and it
was my old address. So you can be absorbed in
this day and day out like you and I are,
to still not have the right details on the AEC.
So this is for everyone.
Speaker 3 (03:04):
Yeah, very important. So if you've moved at all, you
do need to update that information with the AEC, like
Harry did on Friday. Now, Harry, obviously there are the
mechanics of the election, and then there's kind of the
substance of the election of what we are doing, which
is choosing what we want the future of this country.
Speaker 2 (03:23):
To look like.
Speaker 3 (03:25):
Can you just give us a bit of a kind
of elevator pitch, I guess for both of the two
leaders of the major parties here in Australia.
Speaker 1 (03:33):
All right, well, let's start with the person who's actually
called the election, the Prime Minister Anthony Albanezi. He's been
the leader of the Labor Party since twenty nineteen. He's
been in Parliament quite a long time. He was first
elected in nineteen ninety six, so he's spent a very
big chunk of his adult life in the halls of Parliament.
Speaker 2 (03:51):
Our whole lifetimes, our entire lifetime.
Speaker 1 (03:54):
Actually, yeah, just realize that now. That a time wild
bit about his backstory. He grew up in social housing
in inner West Sydney with a mother who suffered a
quite severe form of arthritis, and he was raised by
a single mother on a disability pension. Over the past
three years as Prime Minister, he's focused on some key
(04:15):
issues like wages and industrial relations reforms, which are probably
some of his more comfortable areas. He's also, like any
prime minister, wanted to make some big national reforms and
I think the most obvious example of that was the
Voice to Parliament referendum that we had in October twenty
twenty three, and as you might remember Zara, it was
(04:37):
decisively unsuccessful. Now, if we look on to the other
side of the ledge, there's the Coalition leader Peter Dutton.
For his backstory, he's a former police officer and he
was born and raised in Queensland and what he says
was a pretty typical working class family and now he
represents a seat in northern Brisbane. Much like Anthony Alberizi.
(04:57):
He's been in parliament a long time as well, since
two thousand and one, so also dedicating a great amount
of his time in parliament. He ran for the Liberal
Party at a state election when he was nineteen years old.
He wasn't successful at that one, but he was later
successful for federal parliament. He rose through the ranks over
time and he took over the leadership after Scott Morrison
(05:20):
lost the twenty twenty two election.
Speaker 2 (05:22):
Yeah.
Speaker 3 (05:23):
So here we have two leaders who, as you've made clear,
have been in Parliament, have been kind of around the
traps for a really really long time and are by
no means new faces for many people. But I think
something that we do need to really hone in on
is that for the majority of our listeners, unless you
are in the two seats that Peter Dudden and Anthony
(05:45):
Alberizi represent. You're not actually voting for those two leaders.
You're voting for your local MP. Talk me through what
that actually means.
Speaker 1 (05:53):
Yeah, it's remarkable the number of people who think that
we do vote for the prime minister. Like over in
the US, you vote for the president. It's not the
same system here. And the way that I like to
explain is is think of the election as one hundred
and fifty mini races happening. Those are your local contests
known as Lower House seats. So that's your local representative
(06:14):
that you're going to vote for. So on election day
you will have two pieces of paper. First one is
for the House of Reps. That's a local contest, and
then you'll also have a piece of paper for the Senate.
That's the really big one. Yeah, for whatever state and
territory you live in. At each state, there will be
six senators up for reelection, and the territories automatically go
(06:35):
to a re election for their two senators each. Now,
when we look at how you actually form government, that
all depends on the Lower House and how the numbers
fall there. So the magic number is seventy six seats.
You need to win at least seventy six of those
one hundred and fifty races that I spoke about.
Speaker 3 (06:52):
I just want to interrupt here because some listeners, if
they've been playing close to attention, might be confused why
it's one hundred and fifty and not one hundred and
fifty one, because we did see one seat abolished.
Speaker 1 (07:03):
That's right, yeah, and very very good mats Sara.
Speaker 2 (07:06):
Honestly I had to check it myself. Am I remembering wrong?
Speaker 1 (07:10):
No, it is changing a little bit at this election,
and that's because of what's known as redistribution. So the AAC,
which controls all things based on the election, have abolished
two seats on the East Coast, so that's in New
South Wales and Victoria, and they've created one new seat
over in Western Australia, the seat of Bullwinkle, which I'm
going to vote as my family believable name, love the
(07:32):
name Bullwinkle. So with all the population dynamics and the
different movements of the seats and distributions, we now have
one hundred and fifty seats in the parliament instead of
one hundred and fifty one, So you still need seventy
six seats to win. That's because you want at least
half of the Lower House plus at least one person
who will become the speaker. It's very technical, but basically
(07:55):
you get half plus one, yeah.
Speaker 2 (07:57):
And that gives you majority.
Speaker 1 (07:58):
That's right.
Speaker 3 (07:59):
So what's the then for both parties to get to their.
Speaker 1 (08:03):
So the government at the moment has seventy eight seats
in the lower House. It basically just needs to hold
on to all its ground that it currently holds. And
then the coalition has fifty five seats going into this election.
It's very likely they're going to win back two seats
from defections in this term of parliament, and then on
top of that they need to win a further nineteen
(08:24):
seats to get to a majority. We also have a
massive cross bench Sarah.
Speaker 3 (08:29):
Yeah.
Speaker 1 (08:29):
It was historically a record vote for third parties and independence.
Speaker 3 (08:34):
So you're talking there about the Greens, you're talking about Teals,
you're talking about other independents that don't fall into those
kind of groupings, and they sit really in the middle.
Speaker 1 (08:43):
The literal medal yep, that's why we call them the
cross bend.
Speaker 2 (08:46):
And fading is very literal in our Parliament.
Speaker 1 (08:48):
I think so as well, but I think my mind
works well with that literalness.
Speaker 3 (08:53):
It's not about abstract So, Harry, you said that the
government basically needs to hold on and not lose seats,
whereas the Coalition needs to add to the number of
seats that they currently have in the House in order
to form government. What are a key battleground states. I
know that's quite an American way of putting it, but
where are both leaders focusing on to try get those seats?
Speaker 1 (09:14):
Well, that comes back to the campaign trail that is
now well and truly underway. We're going to see both
leaders jumping around the country, jetting off to different parts
of Australia where they feel like they need to either
defend some of their seats or they feel they have
a chance of winning some seats off the opposition. So
Labor performed strongly in Western Australia at the twenty twenty
(09:37):
two election, if won a swag of seats off the
Coalition there, so it's very likely we're going to see
Anthony Alberanesi visiting Western Australia to defend those seats. It's
also very likely we're going to see Labor campaigning hard
in northern Tasmania in Queensland where they haven't been as
successful as other states in securing some seats. In terms
(09:59):
of some of the battlegrounds, we're going to see Peter
Dutton in the Coalition really targeting out of Melbourne, out
of Sydney, those outer suburban realms which Peter Dutton has
been talking about for quite some time now, that very
specific voter, someone who's in a peri urban area, who
might be under mortgage stress, struggling with cost of living,
(10:20):
and it's shaping up as a key battleground because some
of these areas are actually labor strongholds, traditionally constantly voting labor,
but are very much in play. There have been some
swings at previous elections against the Labor Party in these
parts of Sydney and Melbourne, and Peter Dutton is wanting
to capitalize on that as much as possible. So I think,
(10:42):
you know there's going to be tight races right around
the country, but I would say we're going to be
zeroing in a lot on Melbourne and Sydney and those
outer urban areas.
Speaker 3 (10:51):
Yeah, And I mean you're actually going to be at
the forefront of that because you're joining the campaign trail
for both the Prime Minister and the opposition. That basically
means when they wake up and decide that they want
to go to Victoria and wa in one day, a
whole bunch of journalists go with them and are able
to kind of map this journey.
Speaker 2 (11:11):
It talked me through that a bit.
Speaker 1 (11:13):
Yeah, that's right, and it's very exciting. The Daily Os
gets to join the campaign trail for both the government
and the opposition and it's basically a day by day thing,
this campaign trail. We don't know what the schedule looks like,
but that's because both leaders are wanting to be as
flexible as possible of where they feel they need to go,
where their scrutinies are telling them there is vulnerability in
(11:34):
this area, or there might be an event that comes
up in let's just say Darwin, and both leaders want
to fly in and deal with whatever is happening up
in that part of the world. So it's a very unpredictable,
very malleable four weeks ahead of us, but it's going
to be very exciting and that's just part of the
(11:55):
campaign trail fun You just never know.
Speaker 2 (11:57):
Wake up and which state. Will you visit to tam exactly?
Speaker 1 (12:00):
So, Zara, I might have to just tell you I'm
heading on a plane to Perth tomorrow.
Speaker 2 (12:04):
I'm quite remarkable, especially in the country.
Speaker 3 (12:06):
Is bigcause Australia, that they'd have to cover so much
ground in such a short period of time.
Speaker 1 (12:11):
It makes me appreciate the role of journalists in the
US just a little bit more because they were darting
back and forth from Nevada to North Carolina. That's just
that is just something else. It's mind boggling, it truly is.
Speaker 3 (12:24):
Now, Harry, I do just want to end with what
I'm sure a lot of our listeners are wanting to ask,
which is who's going to win this election? What are
the polls telling us right now about who's in front?
Speaker 1 (12:35):
It's really anyone's game at this stage. The Poles are
telling us it's going to be tight.
Speaker 2 (12:39):
Yeah.
Speaker 1 (12:40):
At the start of this year it was looking like
the Coalition and Peter Dutton were in the hot seat
to win. They were performing quite strongly on a two
party preferred basis against the Labor Party. The government's polling
was showing that it's primary votes, so the number of
people voting one Labor looked like it was declining, was
(13:00):
on that slope going downwards. It looks like things have
even doubt a little bit, and as with a lot
of campaigns we've seen in Australian history, it does tighten
up as we get closer to polling day. Many commentators
are also predicting we're going to enter a minority government.
So neither Labor or the Coalition are going to get
enough seats, So that's the seventy six seats it needs
(13:21):
to form a majority government, so they will need to
negotiate with a crossbench, with the Greens, with other minor
parties and that way they can get over that line
of seventy six seats. So May the third is the
date that Australia will decide. And no matter what the
polling tells us, what's going to matter is what people
actually choose on the day or in the lead up
(13:43):
to the day, because you can vote early.
Speaker 2 (13:45):
And pre polling is growing in popularity very much.
Speaker 1 (13:48):
So, and mail in voting, all forms of voting. One
thing that I can say is that this election is
going to be historic for a number of reasons. If
Anthony Albanezi is re elected as the prime minister. He
will be the first prime minister to win a back
to back election since John Howard. We've spoken about our
age here a little bit, Smer. We were quite young
(14:08):
when John Howard was still a prime minister, so we
think about how many times we've changed leaders since then.
Albanzi will be the first one to win a back
to back election. If Peter Dutton wins, it'll be the
first time a one term government has been booted since
nineteen thirty one. Just think about that. That's nearly one
hundred years that a government has not won two consecutive terms.
(14:33):
So that's quite a mountain to climb for any opposition leader.
But as I said, the polls are looking quite tight.
There's every chance that Peter Dutton and the Coalition could
win this election, and there's every chance that Anthony Albanesi
and Labor could win as well. And there's every chance
that we could be waiting for days and days and
(14:53):
days to see what the major parties and the leaders
negotiate with a crossbench and form a minority government. It's
all part of democracy manifest Sarah, Yeah, sure is. And
this is a little bit of a flag to anyone
listening today or watching us on YouTube. TDA is going
to be here every step of the way. We're going
along on the campaign trial and we want to hear
(15:13):
your questions. We want to hear what you want to
know from the leaders. And you know what, I just
can't wait to get started Zarape. This is so exciting,
it really is.
Speaker 3 (15:23):
Harry, thank you for taking us through that today and
thank you for listening to this very exciting election podcast today.
If you do want to help TDA grow during a
time that's as important as a federal election, the best
way you can do that is by hitting subscribe or
follow on whatever platform you are listening to us on.
(15:43):
Your support means so much to us, so thank you
so much and we'll be back later today.
Speaker 2 (15:47):
Bye.
Speaker 1 (15:52):
My name is Lily Madden and I'm a proud Arunda
Bungelung Kalkotin woman from Gadigal Country. The Daily oz acknowledges
that this podcast is recorded on the lands of the
Gadigal people and pays respect to all Aboriginal and torrest
Rate island and nations. We pay our respects to the
first peoples of these countries, both past and present,
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