Best Bets for Monday Night Football NFL Week 17 Lions at 49ers Picks & Predictions (12/30)

A rough Sunday for host Matt Perrault as he ended the week on a sour note. However, Matt is back with 3 bets in 3 sports for the Monday episode of the Daily Juice presented by Draftkings. DRAFTKINGS PICK6: Download the NEW DraftKings Pick6 app NOW and use code JUICE. That’s code JUICE for new Pick6 customers to play $5, get $50 in Pick6  guaranteed 

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Episode Transcript

Speaker 1 (00:14):
What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Monday
morning episode of the Daily Juice podcast. My name is
Matt Perrault. You guys can follow me across all of
my socials ad sports talk. Matt to this podcast being
brought to you by our friends at DraftKings. All right,
we are rapidly approaching the end of the twenty twenty
four year. Second to last day of the year. Our
final NFL Sunday, it's our didn't go very well. Our

(00:37):
final NFL Monday is tonight. Stinks because I had a
really good week going and we were up over three units,
and then Sunday happened. And you know, that's betting. You
get hot for four or five days and then you
go flat and you fall on your face and you
lose everything. Panthers got killed, the Cults lost, the Packers covered,

(00:59):
the Bolt lost outright, and more on that here. In
just one second, the props went zero to two. Looking
at Sunday Night Football. At the moment we're trending, the
current live number I believe is forty nine, so we're
trending in the wrong direction for that game tonight, but
it's fourteen to seven. Late second quarter there, so we
might get there, but most likely I'm going to say
that's going to be an o for on a Sunday.

(01:21):
It's going to cause a losing week. If we win
the under on the Sunday Night football bet, I think
that puts us pretty much flat for the week, which
isn't great, but it's better than a losing week, which
is kind of what we're looking at right now. If
the over comes in on Sunday Night football, which has
been a dead under bet for the better part of
the entire year. But given the quarterbacks and given the offenses,

(01:43):
it was a risky bet. But we'll see how it goes.
I don't know. It's about nine point thirty on the
East Coast at the moment when I'm taping this, so
game is still very much in doubt and we'll see
what happens with the under there for Falcons and the
Commanders coming up here tonight. So what are we doing today?
I have one NFL bet, I have one college football bet,
and I have one college basketball bet for us here

(02:04):
on a Monday. As I leave in the morning on
Monday morning, I'll be in d C. So I'll be
taping the Tuesday morning podcast in DC for New Year's Eve,
as we'll get heavily involved, obviously with the college football
playoffs for the thirty first and the first, so bets
on that. Just a heads up. The card is going

(02:25):
to be thin this week. This is not going to
be a big card. Okay. I'm gonna have one or
two plays a day, probably two a day, probably not
three a day's I just have the time to sit
there and really do the work. And the lines in
d C are supposedly horrific. I haven't bet there, but
when I'm in Virginia, I'll make some plays, but not

(02:46):
great from a line perspective. There's only one book in
the whole district of Columbia and I've heard kind of
negative things about it. So when I get over to Virginia,
it'll be a wider opportunity to bet and be able
to put some wagers down either on the thirty first
up either on the first. So just a quick little
heads up as to what's happening with the week. It's
not going to be nearly as big of a betting

(03:07):
week for me, just given the fact that I'm not
going to be in Vegas and I'm not going to
be home, So just a heads up on that. So
this podcast being brought to you by the DraftKings Pick
six new Pick six players play five dollars, get fifty
dollars instantly in Pick six credits. Gambling problem called one
hundred Gambler help was available for problem gambling called eight
eight seven eight nine seven seven seven seven visit CCPG

(03:29):
dot org in Connecticut eighteen plus in most eligible jurisdictions
with other age and eligibility restrictions may apply. That would
only in jurisdictions for DraftKings Pick six operates. Pick six
not available everywhere, including not limited to New York and Canada,
void where prohibited. For more terms, go to Pick six
dot dot DraftKings dot com slash promos. Okay, so let's

(03:49):
start with tonight's game with the Lions and the forty
nine Ers. It's been not good for the Lions up
against the forty nine Ers. They are two and seventeen
straight right up, eight and eleven ats again San Francisco.
Over their last nineteen meetings that's dating back to nineteen
eighty eight. The Lions haven't won in San Francisco for

(04:09):
fourteen consecutive games. That's nineteen seventy five. Okay, long time. However,
the NFC North has been dominant. They're now thirty two
and ten going into yesterday, so up the check and
see the Vikings and the Packers played each other. Bears lost,
so it's thirty two and ten. They're twenty eight and
fourteen against any other division ATS wise this year. That's

(04:31):
the second best straight up and ATS mark for a
full season by any division since nineteen ninety, when the
twenty and thirteen MC West were this good. But the
first half over the last three years have been so
dominant for the Lions. They're thirty eight thirteen and one
against the spread in the first half. When the Lions
play outside the Eastern time zone, they're fourteen to three

(04:54):
and one ATS in the first half. They're three to
oher in the Mountain Pacific time zones ats Dan Campbell
in the first half of night games ten to four
and one in the first half, including four and oh
on Monday Night Football. That four and oh mark is
tied with Mike Singletary, is the best mark over the
last twenty years for a head coach in the first half.

(05:17):
And we made this bet last week. We're making this
bet again. I don't want to lay the three and
a half. Okay, I'm not interested in losing this game.
On the hook, I play the phone. I play the
first half. Lions minus two and a half in the
first half for one point one units. Look, Brock Purdy
has been awful dating back to Christmas of last year.
Party's one in eight ats for teams five hundred are

(05:39):
better on the year. He's been awful. Okay, the Niners
have just been bad period with all the injuries and
everything else that's been going on. Rock Purty as an underdog.
He started two games as a dog. None of them
been at home, by the way, he's a dog here.
Oh and two straight up? Oh and two ats. No,

(06:00):
I don't want to play around with it thinking the
Niners might rise up in the second half. I'll take
Jared Golf and the Lions offense to come out hot
here and get a w early. We'll go and jump
on it. Lions minus two and a half in the
first half for one point one units. Okay, bet number
three or two. Rather, let's talk about college football. Iowa

(06:24):
in the Music City Bowl up against Missouri. The total
was forty. Iowa was nine and three to the over
this year. This is not a big handicap. Okay, there's
been quarterback movement with Iowa. There's been transfer movement with Missouri.
It's all I'm betting over. Okay, Why because Iowa needs
to show something offensively for their fans. Okay. They played

(06:46):
Nebraska thirteen to ten. They won, but thirteen to ten.
In their last game, they played Maryland on the road.
They scored twenty nine points. They won twenty nine to thirteen.
Against Ucla on the road, they lost twenty to seventeen.
This were just teen points in that game. They beat
with Wisconsin forty two to ten. They beat Northwestern forty
to fourteen. I think Missouri can score. This is by

(07:09):
far the lowest total for i guess not by far.
This is the lowest total for a game involving Missouri.
Forty two was the previous low. Thirty twenty three was
the final. Game went over by eleven points. South Carolina
was forty two and a half for Missouri. Thirty four
to thirty was the final. It went over by twenty
one and a half points. This is a forty point total.

(07:30):
We're playing the over in the Music City Bowl for Iowa.
And Missouri. Don't care about opt outs, don't care about
who's playing quarterback for Iowa, don't care about any of
that stuff. We're going offense because I think Iowa needs
to score. I think Missouri will give it up. But
I also think Missouri will have a chance to score
and potentially win this game outright here in Nashville. Be
curious to see whose fan base shows up more though

(07:51):
Iowa or Missouri's. But we're going over over forty for
one point one units. And finally to college basketball go.
This is Houston's first true road game of the year,
which is stunning. Is December the thirtieth, they played a
semi home game against Auburn and they lost that game. Outright.

(08:13):
They played Alabama on a neutral and lost that game.
They played San Diego State on a neutral and they
lost that game. First true road game. You know what
we're doing here. We're fading the team on a first
true road team, and I don't care how good. Houston
is the fourth best team according to kempom Okie State
one hundred and fourth. Okie State hasn't covered at home

(08:34):
yet this year. They're zero to five at home. Bought
Houston's oh to four on the road. Ats. Like I mentioned,
they're coming off of a big win over Texas A
and M Corpus Christy, which is the former team coached
by Steve Lutz. Steve Lutz is currently the head coach
of Oklahoma State. Texa A and M went to the
NHAA Tournament under Steve Lutz. He is now the head

(08:55):
coach of Okie State. They beat Oral Roberts by twelve.
They beat Charlington State by five. They've won two games
in a row. They lost to Oklahoma as a four
point dog by fifteen on our neutral but they beat
Seaton Hall away from home. They beat Tulsa away from home.
They've had games like against Miami where they beat Miami.
Now Jim Lahernega retired and whatnot. But look, it's twelve.

(09:19):
I think Oak Houston wins the game. But I'm going
to bank on the home crowd, the post holiday hangover
for Houston here, and I'm gonna bank on Okie State
to hopefully come and play a little bit better defensively
than what they've had this year, because defensively they've been bad.
Three hundred and third effective field goal percentage one hundred
and seventh in efficiency two hundred and eighty fourth and

(09:40):
three point defense two hundred and seventy sixth in two
point defense. Houston the exact opposite. They're third in defense,
their first and effective field goal percentage, their first and
two point percentage, their thirty ninth and three point percentage.
They're second in block percentage. I mean, Houston is unbelievable.
But they got to go to Stillwater, they got to

(10:00):
go to Hoki Land, they got to go take on
the Pokes. This is going to be an awesome environment.
I can't wait to watch this game. But Houston at
Oki State, I'm taking the twelve points. Give me the
Cowboys plus twelve for one point one units. All right,
So three bets for us here today on a Monday.
Lions lay in two and a half in the first

(10:21):
half for them for one point one units against the Niners.
On Monday night football Iowa Missouri and the Music City
Bowl over forty for one point one units. In Oklahoma
State at home up against Houston, plus twelve for the
Cowboys for one point one units. Those are the plays
for us on a Monday. My name is Matt Parol.
You guys can follow me across all socials at Sports

(10:43):
Talk Matt. Every morning it's the Dale Juice podcast, presented
by DraftKings