Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:14):
What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Wednesday
morning episode of the Daily Juice podcast.
Speaker 2 (00:18):
My name is Matt Perrelt.
Speaker 1 (00:19):
You guys can follow make us all of my socials
at sports Chalk Matt, and we are live or recorded
in Kentucky, where it's late. It's funny when you're in
Central time and you're on West Coast time. Still it's
what twelve forty five in the morning, and it feels
like it's six pm. But that's what happens when. This
is when I normally tape round ten ten thirty Pacific times.
(00:42):
So overnight is interesting and it's fun to watch the
lines here move overnight. It's also fun to be in
a state with Bet three sixty five, which if you're
in a state with Bet three sixty five, I know
we've been doing reads for them, but like, this is
actually a pretty cool deal. I used it tonight. We'll
see if I wind up getting that bonus, the one
(01:02):
hundred and fifty dollars in bonus bets. I'm guessing that's
going to happen for me because their prop bet markets
are pretty good overnight. Just FYI, some pretty good numbers
I got here for the prop up markets to bet
overnight on player prompts, which where we went one in
two yesterday and unfortunately the pick of.
Speaker 2 (01:17):
The day did go down.
Speaker 1 (01:19):
Harden goes over forty two and a half. He wound
up with forty five. Basketball continues to be brutal. Maine
in Vermont dead wrong. But Kansas State should have covered.
I mean, if you watched the end of that game,
how that game didn't cover was truly embarrassing. Arizona State
just gave up. I mean, I'm stunned missed the front
end of a one and one, just brutal. Damian Lillard
(01:42):
did not shoot the ball well early, so he goes under.
Trey Murphy did hit for us, which was good. We
only bet we got right then the Saint Mary's plays
a little bit funny. Okay, I'm going to count as
a loss. But I was on the Discord channel and
I was telling you about different bets you could make
and plays you could make if you want. I ejected
and laid three and a half, but I was afraid
to tell you guys to do that officially. I was
(02:03):
telling you that it was four and a half, three
and a half, and then got down to two and
a half. Even Gonzego won the game and covered easily,
but I didn't do a full unit. I still lost
on it, but I lost about a half a unit personally.
I'll take the full unit play officially, just because it
wasn't there was no right time to get out of that.
Gonzago went up by ten. You could have taken by
(02:25):
ten plus ten on Saint Mary's if you wanted to,
but we had the plunts the plus one fifty five,
so I was looking for a number to take in Zaga,
not to add more money onto Saint Mary's. So there
wasn't like a natural time to get out of that.
So overall a one in six day down you know,
three and a half nearly four units. So it was
a crushing day. It's been a bad couple of weeks.
College basketball really has been a detriment. But hopefully you've
(02:47):
been fading those plays. So you've been fading those plays.
You've been doing well and then following the NBA place
because we're now eighteen and three on the pick of
the day, you know, we have a very strong mark.
I think it's now what we're like thirty seven and
fifty sixteen fourteen, and I'll go and look in the
market later as to what we've done. But we're well over,
(03:09):
you know, plus twenty picks in the positive for NBA
player props. So I've got three NBA player props. I've
got two college basketball bets. But what I've done with this?
So I'm in Kentucky for my other show at the
Bostonian Versus of the Book. So I was sitting with
Dave Sheripan, my co host, and we have probably I
don't know fifteen guys that have kind of come in
for this. So we're all sitting around. One guy brought
(03:32):
like five bottles of bourbon. So we're all sitting around,
and we crowdsource these bets, okay, because everyone does how
bad I am on betting college basketball, So we went
ahead and crowdsourced these plays for us. Coming up here
for the two college basketball bets doesn't mean they're going
to hit, but this was a collaborative effort to try
to get me off the snide with how bad I
have been with college basketball. But before we give you
(03:53):
those plays, and I also have one future for the
ACC Tournament, I'll give you here in just one second.
Speaker 2 (03:58):
But before we do that.
Speaker 1 (03:59):
Let's talk talk about the Allen Iverson jersey that is
still available.
Speaker 2 (04:02):
Right now for you guys.
Speaker 1 (04:04):
If you do want to win it, the signed Allan
ives and jersey will be given away for free cursey
of our friends at Pristine Auction dot com. All you
have to do is subscribe to the Betting Pros YouTube
channel right now, drop a comment below on any of
these Daily Juice videos, and you are in. We will
announce the winner right here on the Daily Juice on
March the eighteenth, So make sure you have those notifications
(04:24):
turned on when new videos drop so you know the
winner of the signed Allan iverson Philadelphia seventy six ers jersey.
Subscribe to the Betting Pros YouTube channel and comment on
this video and you will be entered in to win
that video. Okay, let's talk about the two bets in
college basketball. Let's start with Texas and Vandy. I will
either go to the SEC Tournament tomorrow night or tonight,
(04:46):
Wednesday night or Thursday night. I'm not sure which one
I'm gonna go to. It will be Thursday morning, I guess,
and then Wednesday night I may go to both.
Speaker 2 (04:52):
I don't know.
Speaker 1 (04:52):
We're trying to we' get looking for tickets and we're
trying to get ourselves situated to get in and go
watch that. We're doing the show tomorrow afternoon. We can't
go to the morning session on Wednesday, but maybe get
down to Nashville. We're only about twenty minutes thirty minutes
outside of Nashville here in Franklin, Kentucky. We're right over
the border, so get down there to watch the SEC
tournament for those games Georgia. We'll talk about that game
(05:14):
here in just one second. But Texas and Vanderbilt. So
Vandy obviously is in Nashville, so they're gonna have a
lot of fans there. You guys know, I can't stand Texas, Okay,
But looking at the number, it's one forty eight and
a half. From a total perspective, Vandity is favored by
one and a half points, so it's pretty much a
coin flip game. The first time these two teams played,
the total was one forty nine and it went over
(05:36):
by fifteen points. So the books put the same number
up at one forty eight and a half. Kempom has
this as a one to fifty five total, So kempom
numbers when it comes to tournaments are a little bit wonky.
Speaker 2 (05:49):
They can't really be trusted, to be quite honest.
Speaker 1 (05:51):
They're a little bit all over the place just because
it doesn't take into account the neutral court or who
is going to bring fans, or how far they're traveling.
So it's just like the basketball nuts and bolts. So
neutral is tough for ken Palm when it comes to
conference tournament. So I don't look at it a ton,
but just the fact that number didn't move one nine
the first matchup over by fifteen.
Speaker 2 (06:12):
Now we're right one forty eight.
Speaker 1 (06:14):
Okay, So Bridge Stone Arene is not the best of
shooting backgrounds. And you could say, well, a lot of
games are going to go under because it's the first
game of the tournaments. There's gonna be some nerves. Okay,
all those things finding good. But I think if you
look at the overall way these teams are going to
play and have played, it's hard to see this not
going over. It's hard to see this not being more
of an uptempo game. And I know we bet the
(06:36):
over in the main game yesterday and it was absolutely
dead wrong. But we think the number just isn't right
here for this number. Texas on the road this year,
they were six and seven. Sorry, no hold. On the road,
Texas was seven and six to the over, but they
were twelve and six to the over in SEC play.
Vanderbilt was nine and nine and on the road. They
(06:59):
were eight and six away from home going over. So
you just look at the way these teams played later
in the year. Yeah, the Georgia game went on the
route was under for Vandy, but the three previous games
all went over again against Texas was one forty nine
eighty six seventy eight was the final over by fifteen
points and Texas. The Oklahoma game went under, but that
snapped a streak of one, two, three, four, five, six, seven,
(07:22):
eight nine straight games that went over. So nine to one,
that's what Texas is to the over at the moment.
Over one forty eight and a half. Texas and Vandy
to three thirty Eastern time, tip two thirty local time
in Nashville, first game of the SEC tournament for Texas
and Vanderbilt. Bet number two. Let's talk about North Carolina.
(07:45):
Do we think North Carolina is going to lose to
Notre Dame in their opening game where they have to win,
they have no choice but to make a run to
the maybe even to the final of the ACC tournament
to get into the NCAA tournam North Carolina has a
one in eleven record.
Speaker 2 (08:02):
In Quad one games this year.
Speaker 1 (08:04):
Okay, they've gotten blown out by Duke in both games
that they've played. Carolina has been hot down the stretch.
But do we want to lay eight and a half points?
That has a lot of points to lay in a
tournament game. Not comfortable laying it, But I'll be stunned
if Notre Dame were to beat North Carolina in Charlotte
here today. I mean they should kill them, to be
(08:27):
quite honest. Did they in their first matchup? No, which
is sort of the weird like uh oh moment here
they went on the road laying three and a half
and they won by one. Now, that was back in
early January. Since then, they've won games by thirty two
against VA Tech, nineteen against Miami, eleven by Florida State,
(08:47):
fifteen versus Virginia, and twenty four against nca State Syracuse
by six. I can't see them losing this game, but
I'm not laying eight and a half points. So we
need to dance partner, who do we go with and
go get a dance partner. Well, I want somebody who's
gonna play at night. So in case we got a
hedge off of it. If Carolina wins, we then could
(09:09):
potentially hedge out of it and get out of it.
If we think we're gonna lose, we can potentially hedge
out of it. Or maybe even you add on and
bet both sides and maybe you get both bets.
Speaker 2 (09:18):
Right.
Speaker 1 (09:19):
Oklahoma and Georgia in the SEC tournament the late game,
I might be in the building for this, So another
reason why I want to bet this Georgia is laying
two and a half or three points. Georgia coming down
the stretch was red hot. They won their last four
games outright on the flip side, Oklahoma won their last
two games, but the beat Texas and Missouri Missouri is
(09:41):
a good win. They lost to Mississippi, They lost to
Kentucky by three and by one. They beat Missippi State
by six. They covered their last five games. The last
five games also got covered here by Georgia, So you know,
five straight covers of both these teams ten and eight
versus nine and nine. To come in here and bet
(10:02):
either side in my opinion on the point spread. From
a total perspective, we know what Georgia on the road
this year was an under machine. They were eleven and
two to the under away from home. But this is neutral.
It's a little scary or on a neutral last two
games against Vandy in South Carolina both went under, but
that snapped a streak where four straight went over and
six of seven went over. On the other side of
(10:24):
the corn, Oklahoma went over four of five and five
of seven to end the year. Again, a little scary
to go ahead and bet the under, although I probably
would lean towards the under.
Speaker 2 (10:36):
If the under hits.
Speaker 1 (10:36):
Georgia wins Georgia money lined, you take North Carolina money line,
you take Georgia money line.
Speaker 2 (10:43):
You pare them together.
Speaker 1 (10:44):
It's a plus one oh two parlay one unit Georgia
North Carolina money line parlay Carolina gets there early, we
can work off of it. With Georgia and Oklahoma late.
You can have some fun with that and potentially bet
the other side. Take Oklahoma plus points by US six seven,
eight points. Maybe try to middle it knowing you have
Georgia money line coming in, so chance to work off
(11:06):
of that, or just let it ride for one unit
Oklahoma and Georgia. So we all got together and we
all think that that's gonna happen. What George is gonna
win the game here today against Oklahoma and just the
way they're playing much better. But not wanting to lay
the two and a half or three points on this,
let's just take moneyline Georgia. Pair it up with North
Carolina moneyline parlay a plus one two. Okay, let's go
(11:29):
to the NBA player. Oh sorry, no one more. Clemson.
Clemson's plus six fifty to win the a SEC tournaments. Okay,
so they're the three seed, right, can they beat Louisville.
That's the whole question. Because they beat Louisville, they're in
the final, and we have a plus six to fifty
bet on them, we will bet on the other side.
Now again, we may make a second play on this,
depending on how it goes to take Duke to win it.
(11:52):
If we can find a number we'd like for Duke
at some point during this tournament. Okay, but the top
of the bracket would be stunning if Duke doesn't make
it to the final. The bottom of the bracket is Clemson, Louisville,
Clemson the three seed. Louisville is a two seed plus
six fifty. Clemson is the third option, Louisville is a
second option, and number one option is Duke. Obviously, North
(12:12):
Carolina is not really part of this conversation, but you
can go crazy long shot if you want, if you
like the way that Hubert Davis has some coaching has
him playing. Right now, Clemson plus six fifty one unit
why they make the final. We're bet on the other side,
and we're guaranteeing ourselves a proper I'll win flat out. Okay,
can they beat Louisville. I think that they can. I've
been hiring Clemson all year. It's one. It's basically one
(12:34):
game in one bet, and knowing we have that number,
we very well might bet against it. We very well
might take Louisville in that game, or to take Louisville
to win the ACC tournaments as well.
Speaker 2 (12:45):
But let's just take a flag.
Speaker 1 (12:46):
Let's put a flag down on this on Clemson to
win the Nation, to win the AC Tournament at plus
six to fifty. Try to make up the money we
lost with the Saint Mary's play yesterday. Let's see if
we can make some money up with it, So Clemson
plus six fifty for one year.
Speaker 2 (13:00):
Okay, NBA player props.
Speaker 1 (13:02):
Right back to the Well, you guys are going to
love this because you've been talking about this in betting
this and now I'm going to join you because it's
one of the top plays on the prop bet cheat sheet.
Back to Max Christy. Points, rebounds and assists under twenty
two and a half for Max Christy.
Speaker 2 (13:16):
Why well right now? Sorry, twenty three and a half.
Speaker 1 (13:19):
Excuse me, twenty three and a half for Max Christy Again,
a bet three sixty five number. Really good numbers in
bet three sixty five if you have it available. Bet
three seas five is a really good book right now.
When it comes to NBA player props, This bet at
this number of twenty three and a half hasn't hit
since the thirteenth of February for Max Christy. The books
(13:43):
keep on putting this number up at twenty three and
a half. It's only minus one point fifteen. This has
been an under machine one two, three, four, five, six, seven,
eight nine straight unders from a prop at nineteen and
a half all the way to twenty three and a
half twenty four and a half last time out against
San Antonio all unders for Max Christy.
Speaker 2 (14:04):
You guys have been betting it. I'm betting it with you.
Speaker 1 (14:07):
We're betting it in miss one point fifteen a little
over a half a unit on Max Christy points, rebounds
and assists under twenty three and a half. Bet number
two one over to give you can bet the Celtics
first half team total against OKC should be somewhere around
fifty eight and a half fifty nine.
Speaker 2 (14:24):
If it is, you bet the over, but we're gonna
bet over.
Speaker 1 (14:27):
On Drew Holliday points, rebounds and assists for Drew Holiday.
Drew Holliday I think has a big game here. Sixteen
and a half. Again, this is a number at bet
three sixty five. Projection is for twenty point eight to
five star play with a thirty percent positive ev on
Drew Holliday, who's coming back off of the finger injury.
He played against the Lakers, he went under, but then
(14:49):
against Utah he went over with twenty points, rebounds and assists,
so he looked much better after the finger injury. And frankly, okay,
see this is it's a great game for Drew Holliday
to come back with his hand injury and really play well.
He's totally off of the injury report, so it looks
like he's fully healed and fully recovered. Expected him to have
(15:10):
a big game here tonight. Points, rebounds, and assists over
seventeen and a half, So are over sixteen and a half
excuse me, over sixteen and a half for Drew Holiday
at bet three six'. Five the number is obviously he's
coming back off an, injury so he missed some. Time
so what he did but head to head wise For
Drew holiday up against THE Okc thunder on the fifth Of,
(15:30):
january he went under the number of sixteen and a.
Half he had sixteen in that, game so HOPEFULLY i
have the same number with.
Speaker 2 (15:37):
That and then.
Speaker 1 (15:38):
Finally Russell westbrook, points rebounds and assists twenty six and
a half For Russell. Westbrook we're going to go ahead
and play the under on that. Again this is a
bet three sixty five. Number you guys can go and
grab twenty five percent positive ev play on this five
star play with the projection of twenty two and a
half For Russell westbrook Against. Minnesota for him back on
(16:01):
the twenty fifth Of, january under he had twenty three
Against minnesota on the on the first Of. November this,
season he had. Sixteen he's zero to two this year
Against minnesota on this looking at his, props he's hit
five in a. Row so if you're wondering about is he, hot,
yeah he's. Hot hit five times in a. Row but
(16:23):
the books keep on rising it up to twenty six
and a. Half and that's why this is the highest
number it's been in quite some time For Russell westbrook for, points,
rebounds and. Assists he had twenty eight AGAINST, okac twenty AGAINST,
okac twenty one Against, phoenix thirty three Against, sacramento twenty
one Against boston five and oh there to the. Over
(16:44):
but head to head Against, minnesota things are different For Russell.
Westbrook the projection coming in at about twenty two and
a half For Russell, westbrook and we're going to play
the under For Russell westbrook, points rebounds and assists at
twenty six and. Half okay plays for Today Texas vandy
over one forty eight and a. Half, again you can
(17:05):
fade the college basketball plays all you want you in
C georgia moneyline parlay at plus one oh two for
one Unit Max christy points rebounds and assists under twenty
three and a, Half Drew holliday points rebounds and assists
over sixteen and a, Half Russell westbrook points rebounds and
assists under twenty six and a, half And clemson too
in the acc at plus six fifty for one unit
(17:26):
again bet three sixty. Five if you guys haven't jumped on,
that you can betting pros dot com slash three six.
Five you deposit ten, bucks you bet five, bucks and
they're going to give you one hundred and fifty bucks
in bonus. Plays bet three sixty five or night numbers
are really. Good there's some good numbers there to jump.
On all three bets were made and found at bet
three sixty. Five And i'm in a state In kentucky
where bet three six fives, Legal so benefits to be
(17:50):
for me to be In kentucky here because they're not
legal In Las, vegas but they are legal. Here mine
Is Matt, parolitz you guys and following me because all
of my socials At Sports Talk matt every single.
Speaker 2 (17:58):
Morning it is The Daily Juice PODCAST da