Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:14):
One up. Guys, how are you happy Friday? Welcome in
to another episode of the Deal Juice Podcast with me
Matt Perrault. You guys can follow me across all my
socials at Sports Talk Matt, and we are back after
a winning day. Always nice two and one prop bets
come in for us nicely. In the NBA game, kat
over topping over Halliburton, No bueno. Unfortunately he had only
(00:38):
six assists, didn't play well, didn't score, and the Knicks
routed the Pacers. We get a game six, kind of
like I thought, though, I thought it could be looking
like the Celtics series a little bit. We're Boston one
Game five at home in impressive fashion and then lost
the series in six. Same thing I'm thinking here, as
we're going to get a win for the Pacers in
Game six and we'll catch that plus one twenty five
(00:59):
ticket the Piecers to go and win that. So we'll see.
But that's how I think the series is going to
wind up going. But for last night, up point seven
to five units, which puts us pretty much flat for
the week. So flat for the week, we've had two
winning days, two losing days, and now we head towards Friday, Saturday, Sunday,
a chance for us to have a winning week. Not horrible. Okay,
(01:23):
here's what I'm gonna do today. Look, the unfortunate part
of the playoffs for US is that the final four
three to one, three to one, three one, three one.
Edmonton wins in five, Panthers win in five, Thunder win
in five. We have one series that we'll see a
(01:46):
game six and I think it ends in six. So
that means we don't have NHL Stanley Cup playoff hockey
until Wednesday, an NBA Championship NBA Finals games until Thursday. Yikes,
So get comfortable betting some other things. Welcome to the
(02:09):
first WNBA bet of the twenty twenty five season. Tonight.
I'm going back to old school rules on this Friday.
It is the return of the original don't bet parlay's
parlay for you ogs. You know what that means. It
(02:29):
means it must be three legs or more, and it
has to be a greater than a six to one
return to bet it. Okay, I'm gonna put a half
a unit on it. Okay, let's have some fun. It's
most I hit like one out of every eight times
doing this, But you should one hundred percent bet this
(02:50):
another way too, I'll explain here in just one second,
and then I've got a baseball play for us on
the biggest game of the night in the NBA, which
is sorry, in the in Major League Baseball, sorry, which
is the Yankees on the road at the Dodgers. But
before we do anything, a reminder on the akeem Elijah
onon jersey. If you want to win that, we're giving
(03:11):
it away here in the first week of June. Next week,
must subscribe to the Bettan Pros YouTube channel and comment
on this daily Juice video and that's all you got
to do to be entered to win this Achem Elijah
won jersey autographed Rockets jersey from our friends at Pristine
Auction dot com. Additionally, don't forget about the playoff prop contest.
We are about to award a winner the Stefan Marbury
(03:33):
signed basketball for the conference finals. Once that series with
the Pacers and the Knicks gets wrapped up, we will
award this and then we're on to the championship round
and the grand prize of assigned Alan iverson Jersey. To
enter this, it's simple Bettingpros dot com slash playoffs. That's
bettingpros dot Com slash Playoffs for our NBA player prop
(03:55):
contest going on right now in the NBA Finals or
the NBA Playoffs for free. Okay, let's start with the
rules again. Three or more legs, it must be six
to one. So what ends up happening is we got
to get a little bit creative. I'm going right back
to our baseball phase. But you can't fade the White
Sox today. They're at the Orioles. The Orioles stink, and
(04:22):
I mean they stink. So you can't trust the Orioles.
You just can't. So they got to get replaced. So
who are we going to replace the Orioles with. Well,
it's the A's. The A's have won a grand total
of one game going all the way back to the
fourteenth of May. It's May twenty, What May thirtieth, Yeah,
(04:47):
it's May thirtieth. So we've got a ways here with
the A's. Here are your final scores for the A's
on this current losing streak where they have lost. I
believe it's fourteen to fifteen, nine to three, nineteen, two
nine to one, one nothing, three two four, three, seven, five, ten,
five ten, five four three nine six. They beat the
(05:09):
Phillies five to four, eleven one five three, twelve nothing.
Do you sense a theme there? That would be a
lot of run line losses for the Sacramento as home
or on the road. They lost twelve nothing yesterday to
the Toronto Blue Jays twelve nothing, and they're gonna roll
(05:31):
out today and go and throw Jeffrey Springs. Who hasn't
been awful. Okay, I'll give you that. He hasn't been awful.
On the road, he has a two point four to
five ERA and a four to one record, okay, posting
batting average of one seventy nine. Not awful. However, in
games in which this guy is pitched, last time out
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nine to six loser. Time before that, lost three to
two on the road to the Giants. He beat the
Dodgers eleven to one somehow, five to three, loss to Seattle,
ten to three loss to the White Sox, fourteen to
one loss to the Milwaukee Brewers, and a ten to
two loss to the Chicago Cups. When he loses, he's
(06:15):
lost on the run line every game except one. Do
I think the A's are going to lose today? I do?
Now The pitcher for going up against Jeffrey Springs is
Chris Bassett for the Toronto Blue Jays. I'm not gonna
jump up and down at Chris Bassett's record. But Chris
Bassett lost on the road to Tampa bay last time out,
(06:36):
thirteen to nothing. He had five hour runs. He wasn't good.
But his road starts at the Angels eight five win
one on the run line. Okay, he had won that
loss to the Tampa Bay Rays snapped a four game
winning streak five three eight five three one three nothing,
four to oh on the run line. We're gonna push
(06:57):
the envelope here, keep fading the AA. But we're gonna
go run line Blue Jays on the run line. So
what are we gonna do this? We're gonna pair this
up with a whole lot of run line bets. Who
do we fade? We're replacing the White Sox, putting the
a's in there. So then we're going to the Pirates
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and we're going to the Rockies, the Rockies. It's Kyle
Friedland Day. The Rockies are three and twenty five on
the road. David Peterson going for the Mets. David Peterson
at home this year is a two point nine to
one ERA, a two to zero record, pussing betting average
of two fifty two at home, beat the Dodgers five
to two, beat the Pirates four to three, but beat
(07:41):
Arizona eight to three, beat the Phillies four to three,
beat the Cardinals four to three in Toronto two to one.
So he's won games. His last win at home against
Dodgers was on the run line. But he's been winning
just he's been winning, not winning on the run line.
Hopefully today he goes and wins on the run line,
and the Mets score a bunch of runs today and
(08:03):
they beat Kyle freelan who is a lefty, and the
Mets don't strike out a lot. But on the road
Kyle Freeland four point two five ERA zero and three
with a two to seventy one opposing batting average on
the road for to one loss run line four to
three win good there, six to nothing loss run line,
five to one loss run line three to two loss.
(08:24):
Not on the run line, but so far run line
losses in his last four starts Kyle Freeland in the
Rockies have lost all four of those starts, thirteen to
one to the Yankees nine to three to the Phillies,
four to one to the Texas Rangers, and ten to
two to the Detroit Tigers. Let's stay with this run
line bet for the Mets. And finally, and you know,
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this might be one of those. This might be even
the most difficult because the Pirates have scored a bunch
of runs. We faded the Pirates, and the Pirates have
been red hot. So here comes Nick Pivetta. Eighteen and
nine San Diego at home. Pirates eight and twenty on
the road, but they've won their last two games because
the Diamondbacks pitching stinks. Mitch Keller to the mound for
(09:09):
this faery Pirates team on the road, he's been good.
Two point eight eight one and two record two thirty
two opposing batting average hasn't been his fault. One of the
lost games, but two to one loss to the Mets,
five nothing loss to the Cardinals for him, eight to
four loss to the Dodgers. Three road games pitched last
three two and one to the run line or one
(09:30):
and two to the run line for Mitch Keller. He's
going up against Nick Pivetta, and Nick Pivetta has been
absolutely nails. It's been nails for a while now at
home one point four to four ERA, four to zero record,
one forty three opposing betting average. Exactly what we want
here out of a guy who is trying at home.
Lost to the Seattle Mariners four to one, but before
(09:53):
that seven to four to win, four to two win,
eight nothing win, five nothing win. So that lost. Seattle
snapped a four game winning streak at home for Nick
Paveta and a four and oh start four and oh mark.
On the run line, we are going to jump in
here with the OG rules three leg run line parlay
(10:14):
that's going to come in at a plus six sixty
eight wrecker or number Toronto run line, Mets run line,
San Diego run line. Half a unit down on that,
a plus six sixty eight parlay for the don't bet
parlay's parlay for Friday. We hit this last week, let's
see if we'd hit it this week here for a
(10:36):
half a unit. Now, one more baseball bet for us.
Dodgers are at home and the Dodgers are dogs. I
don't care that it's consoling. I don't care that it's
Max Freed, don't care about any of that. I care
that the Dodgers are home dogs. Huh, what are we doing?
The Dodgers are nineteen and eight at home. The Yankees
(10:57):
are seventeen and eleven on the road. I'll give it
to you, but nineteen and eight at home and Otani
is playing. Max Freed has been awesome. Not gonna lie.
He's been awesome. Eight point eight three era on the road,
four and zero record on the road, posing batting average
of two hundred. He's been absolutely nails. Thirteen to one
(11:18):
win against Colorado in his last start, two to one
loss to Seattle in eleven innings in the start on
the road before that, four to nothing win over Tampa Bay,
four to three win over the Tigers, in a nine
to four win over the Pirates. For Nick For Max
Freed on the road, he's been awesome. Just three earned
runs in thirty two and a third innings worth of work.
(11:40):
But Max Freed used to pitch four braves. Dodgers saw
a lot of the braves over the last couple of years.
They've seen Max Freed. Tony Gonsolin's a little bit of
an issue. I'll give that to you. Against this Yankees lineup,
it's a little scary. At home. He's got six point
three e er. That's not good, but just ten innings pitched,
seven are and runs for him there but a one
(12:01):
to er record in an opposing batting average of two fifty.
Lost to the Angels at home six to four, and
beat the Miami Marlins twelve seven at home in the
only two home starts for Tony Goslin. I'm taking the
home dog and taking the plus points. I get the
Dodgers in that lineup, and I get Shohey or Tani.
I don't care that it's Max Freed. I get plus
(12:22):
money on show Hey and the Dodgers. I'm gonna take that.
Nearly every single time. Gave me the money line plus
one point fifteen Dodgers to win Game one of this series.
I'll take LA for one unit now to the w
So the Vegas Aces are nine point home favorites, and
they're gonna welcome in Casey Plum and the La Sparks tonight.
(12:46):
Two championships won by Kelsey Plum and that amazing lineup
that the Vegas Aces had in back to back seasons.
She's now with the La Sparks. You know she's gonna
come in here and try it a ball tonight and
you know Vegas is gonna be ready. But Vegas lost
by twenty in their last game on the road to Seattle.
(13:10):
I can't see Vegas winning the game, but I'm not
laying nine points or losing the game. Brother, I can't see.
I can't lay the nine points. I just can't do it.
I cannot. They're two and two on the year one
oh two eighty two. On the road, they were fifteen
point favorites against Washington and they won by three. At home,
they lost to the New York Liberty, and in the
(13:32):
opener ninety two to seventy eight, they beat Yukon. In
the second game of the year, eighty seven to sixty two,
they were fourteen point favorites. They barely covered. They won
by fifteen. This number's too heavy, but given the added emotion,
I don't like it. So I could see Vegas covering,
but I don't want to bet it. It's too heavy,
But I think Vegas wins. So I got to pair
this up with something I can't just take it. I'm
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taking Vegas to win and beat the La Sparks, who
are two and four on the year. LA is not awful,
but they're coming off an eighty eight eighty two loss
at home to Atlanta. They beat Chicago, who is probably
the worst team in the WNBA this year, ninety one
seventy eight Golden State. They lost to them at home.
They were ten and a half point favorites and they
lost by ten. So LA is not very good. But
(14:15):
I missed not comfortable laying nine points here with the
odded emotion of Plumb coming back to Vegas, so I
need a dance partner and arguably the game of the
night in the WNBA, And I don't know he's really
arguing Minnesota on the road at Phoenix five to zero,
Minnesota at four and one Phoenix. Both teams are two
(14:36):
and three ats on the year. Both teams are three
and two to the under this year. But you look
at Minnesota so far, Minnesota hasn't been great against the number.
They've won every game favored by six. They covered an
opening night against LA, but then they beat Dallas, Connecticut
in Seattle, all at home, all laying eleven, six teen,
(15:00):
and seven, and they didn't cover any of them. They're
laying basically four points tonight here in this game, though,
three and a half to bringing the book. You're looking
at here. I just want the Sparks to win the game.
I don't want to play around with the point spread.
I don't know how many points they went by. I
just think the best team in the league right now
out to the Liberty is Minnesota. They're five and zero.
(15:23):
They know Phoenix is a big threat in the Western Conference.
Big game tonight out West. I'm taking Minnesota on the
money line, parlaying that up with the Vegas Aces on
the money line for a minus one ten play. So
not just one parlay for you guys, You're getting two.
We're we're getting two Vegas and Minnesota. So here are
(15:45):
your plays for today. Toronto run line, Mets run line,
San Diego run line. That there is your plus six
sixty eight for don't bet parlay's parlay for a half
a unit. Dodgers money line at plus one fifteen for
one unit in Vegas. In Minnesota two leg money line
parlay at minus one ten for one point one units.
(16:05):
My name is Matt Parolt. You guys follow American sul
by socials at Sports Talk Matt every single morning. Wherever
you guys get your podcasts. It is the Daily Juice