Best Bets for Friday | MLB Picks + Predictions (7.11)

A nice 2-1 night for his full unit plays for host Matt Perrault has set up the chance for another winning week. Matt is back with 3 full unit plays for the Friday episode of the Daily Juice. 

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Episode Transcript

Speaker 1 (00:14):
What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Friday
morning episode of the Daily Juice podcast. My name is
Matt Perult. You guys can follow me across all my
socials at Sports Talk Matt and we are back. We
look a little different on YouTube. Why because I'm an idiot.
So I told you guys about a week ago that
I had purchased these lights to be sent in New Hampshire,

(00:37):
and that my daughter, not looking where she was going,
ran into one of the light stands, knocking it over,
breaking one of the lights. So I had to order
another light bulb. Those light bulbs are about fifteen bucks apiece.
They're not cheap. Well, after going to my daughter, you're
not watching where you're going. You're not paying attention. This

(00:58):
is not good. What do I do tonight? Right before taping?
I walk down here and I do the exact same thing.
I knock it over. At least I've got one, but
I broke it. So we're going to be on the
lower end of the light spectrum here for a day
until we get to Saturday, when the replacement bulb will
be sent via the internet. And thank goodness, we can

(01:19):
order things online quickly. But yeah, So I wear the
Dunce cap for tonight, and I owe my daughter an
apology because it's a little bit easier than I thought
to knock these things over and not pay attention. So yeah,
inconclusive night. Here's where we are at the moment. The
Red Sox team total, they got to four, didn't go over.

(01:40):
They won four to three. The Washington in Saint Louis game.
That's the play of the day. It's eight to nothing
Saint Louis in the seventh inning. At the moment, I
don't know what happened. The whole night's riding on that
Red's run line comes in so plus one twenty five there,
so Red Sox and the reds That crosses everything out,
so we're flat. We don't know about the first prop

(02:03):
because it's still going on right now, but we had
a rain out with the second prop, so we could
go zero in one or one in ohero on the prop.
I don't know. It won't matter if we get the
over for Washington in Saint Louis and that happens while
we're on the air. It's top of the eighth inning.
Washington has two on first and third, no outs, So

(02:24):
if we get one run here out of Washington, we
cash the over, and it's a winning day for us.
So by the time we end this podcast, we should
know whether we had a winning day or not. The
other prop won't really matter because well it's either are
we up one point five or are we up point five,
so we'll see or I guess one unit one point

(02:45):
five or one unit or so, so we we can
see what's going to happen with that. But eight one
there we go hit the over. Okay, so winning day,
top two outs, double play ball the run scores, they
get two outs, but we get what we need. So
it's eight one, saint look, so us play the day caches,
that's good play. The day goes to seven and three, right,

(03:08):
I think that are six and four. I think six
and four. I think that's right, six and four for
the play of the day, but it might be seven
and three, don't know. I can't remember. But we're up
in July. We're up for the week and a winning day,
so we'll take that as well. We've had small, small,
small kind of a run here. We've been on for
a winning day, but we are up for the month

(03:28):
of July, and we've done pretty well betting this baseball thing.
So let's keep going here with baseball. We're gonna met
three plays in two Major League Baseball player props, which
will be on the app like we've been doing. If
you weren't following me on the Betting Pros app, you
should go ahead and do that. And while you're there,
why not go ahead and subscribe to Betting Pros Premium
for the seven day free trial. Use the code Juice,

(03:50):
download the Betting Pros app. Search at Sports Talk Matt,
follow me on there and you'll get the two Major
League Baseball player prop alerts when I post them. But
you also look into your own research with the prop
bet cheat sheet and the prop bet analyzer and all
the cool tools that we have on the Betting Pros app.
With the code Juice for a free seven day trial. Now,

(04:10):
do you guys want an autographed Jim Palmer Baseball? If
you do, we have one that you can win Pristine
Auction dot Com, the Hall of Famer they are setting
us up with this. To win this, all you have
to do is subscribe to the Betting Pros YouTube channel
and comment on this video and you will be entered
simple easy for free to win a Jim Palmer signed

(04:33):
baseball for this Hall of Fame pitcher. Subscribe to the
Betting Pro YouTube channel and comment on any Daily Juice
video and you are in. We'll make the announcement on
the winner coming up on August the first. All right,
let's get into today here, a little bit as to
what we're expecting out of this day here. Okay, I'm

(04:53):
gonna go a little bit sideways on a play that
I normally don't make. Now, numbers aren't awful here, but
the numbers aren't great either. Let's talk about the Tigers
in Schooble. So the Tigers throwing Schooble up against the
Seattle Mariners. Now, the Mariners hit left handed pitching pretty well.

(05:19):
In fact, in terms of RBIs, they are top ten
in the majors driving in runners off of left handed hitting.
They are eleventh in overall batting average in Major League
Baseball against lefties? Can they score one run, maybe even
two runs off of Schooble in the first five innings,

(05:44):
because if that happens, we're gonna go over three and
a half. Because I do think Castillo is going to
give up a couple of runs minimum here in his
start against the Tigers. Now it's currently five five, going
to extra inn so Seattle's going to get off a
little bit late here to get on over to continue

(06:05):
this road trip that they are on when they got
to go to Detroit to end the first half of
the season. So you never really love that when that happens,
when teams are going to get in late here. But
maybe that's you know, that they show up and they're
able to hit, or maybe Castillo he's already there in Detroit,

(06:25):
they would have sent him ahead. But Castillo hasn't been
great on the Road's got a four point sixty seven
e er. He's two and two a three to ZHO
two opposing batting average. That's not good obviously, five home
runs given up, twenty three earned runs in forty four
and a third innings worth of work. He basically goes five,
six or seven innings. He was great against Pittsburgh last

(06:47):
time out, shutout seven, seven innings, no earned runs, the
team blank. The Pirates won nothing. That was with with
Paul Skian's pitching. But before that one earned run to Texas,
five earned runs to Minnesota, two earned runs to Boston,
three earned runs sorry, three earn runs to Boston, two

(07:08):
earned runs to Cleveland, and four earned runs to the
La Angels. If he gives up two or three runs,
we're gonna be good here. We need like a three
to one lead for Detroit after five, but the Mariners
hit lefties. Now, it's schoolbul He's one of the best
lefties in the game. But we just need him to

(07:28):
give up one home run or get hit just a
little bit harder than what they are expecting out of Terry'
schoolbl And it's not like he hasn't been hitable Okay,
at home, he's a two six ERA with an eight
to OERO record, posting betting average at one ninety seven,
fifteen earned runs and sixty five and two thirds innings
worth of work against Cleveland, no earn runs in seven,

(07:50):
against Minnesota, no earned runs in seven, but against the
A's at home six innings, four earned runs against Pittsburgh
five and two thirds two earned runs. We just need
somewhere in between, just two or three runs given up
by Schooble and we're gonna go over. I'm gonna take
a shot here. I think the Mariners can hit lefties

(08:13):
and they can score against Schooble, just need one swing
in the bat, maybe a Kyle Roley home run, just
walk into it for this, and we go ahead and
jump in Seattle. In Detroit first five over three and
a half is minus one thirteen. Let's take a shot
on that here in the first five. Go a little
bit against the grain here, everyone's gonna say bet the under.
Let's see if the Mariners can score some runs on Schooble,

(08:35):
they win the game. But I think there's a chance
with the way they hit lefties, it's a chance for
them to get a couple of runs driven in. And
then I do think Castillo gives up some runs here
to the Tigers. Let's go over three and a half
in the first five for Detroit and Seattle. All right,
let's go to bet number two here on the day,
and let's talk about the Milwaukee Brewers. So the Brewers

(08:57):
have won four in a row, they've won five of
six coming off that sweep of the Dodgers, and they
continue this homestand now against the Nationals before they hit
the All Star Break. They're gonna throw Quinn Priester he
six and two, three point five to nine ERA at
home priest with a three to zero three eras four

(09:17):
and one at home, a one eighty three opposing batting average,
thirteen earned runs and thirty eight and two thirds innings
worth of work. Priester has won get this one, two, three, four, five, six,
Seven games in a row, the team has won game
started by Quinn Priester. On top of that, the Brewers

(09:37):
are going to face a lefty in Michael Parker. The
Brewers are one of the best hitting teams against lefties
this season. They are seventh in batting average against left
handed pitching also RBIs. They are sixth in RBIs driven
in off of left handed pitching. They're seeing a lefty
in Michael Parker, who on the road is a five

(09:59):
point six to six, a one in four record and
a two forty two opposing batting average, twenty six earned
runs in forty one in one third innings worth of work.
And you look at the log. Last time out lost
ten to three. He did win back to back games
before that, but that snapped a five game losing streak
three to one, eleven, nine, five to nothing, three to one,

(10:21):
and nine to one. The team has lost eight of
ten games started by Mitchell Parker and all those losses
have been on the run line ten three, three, one,
eleven done five nothing, three to one, nine to one,
coming back with the Brewers on the run line. We
hit the Reds last night. Sit the Brewers on the

(10:43):
run line at plus one fifteen for one unit. Let's
jump in with that Brewers on the run line, and
finally let's go to Paul Skiings and the Pirates. This
is basically just a principal play ski on the road
against the Twins. Paul Skeins is a plus one zh

(11:04):
five dog. He's a dog, all right? What are we doing?
I know the Pirates are brutal. Pirates have lost six
consecutive games. They are thirty eight and fifty six. But
the Twins at home are twenty six and nineteen, and
it's not like they are unbeatable. Yes, Joe Ryan is pitching.

(11:25):
Understand who Joe Ryan is. He might be making his
last start for the Twins. Who knows He's on the
trading block. Everyone's watching to see if Joe Ryan will
be traded. Two eighty six home ERA four and two record,
posting batting average of one to eighty eight sixteen earned
in fifty in one third innings worth of work. The team, however,
has lost back to back starts in four of five games.

(11:48):
They have lost in games started by Joe Ryan. Seven
to five loss to Tampa, two nothing lost to Miami,
a two nothing win over Seattle, a seventeen to six
loss to the Brewers, and a three to two loss
to the Houston Astros. I'm getting plus one zh five
on Paul Skeans. I don't care who's on the other side.
I don't care if it's Nolan Ryan going here. Forget

(12:09):
Joe Ryan. I'm going to bet on Paul Skeens and
the Pirates to win this game. I fully understand that
could be a one nothing game that we could lose.
There's not gonna be a lot of offense here. Obviously.
Paul Skeens has been victimized. One nothing lost to Seattle,
one nothing win over Saint Louis, four to two loss
to Milwaukee, eight to four win over Detroit in extras,

(12:31):
two to one win over the Cubs in extra, two
to one win over the Phillies, three nothing lost to Houston.
I mean, those are the games that's going back to
the third of June. They don't score and they don't
give up runs when he is under machine except for
two or one game, so good getting back for June July,
every game has gone under. I don't mind an under bet.

(12:54):
Bet under. Okay, it's six and a half. Bet the
under if you want. It's a good play. I'm gonna
take Paul Skeans at plus money and take a shot
at plus one oh five, simply because I get Paul
Skins at plus money. Period. Get the best young arm
in baseball, right handed power pitcher on the road. I
don't care he's plus money. Give me the Pirates plus

(13:14):
one oh five. All right, So for the plays for today,
Seattle and Detroit first five over three and a half,
the Pirates on the money line at plus one oh five,
the Brewers on the run line at plus one fifteen
plus two me major League Baseball playerprops coming on the
Betting Pros app by searching at sportsto Matt or going
to bettingpros dot com slash Matt to go ahead and

(13:35):
find those plays. Rain out yesterday only a one to
oh day, So either up one and a half units
yesterday or up one unit yesterday, depending upon what happened
with the prop bet that's currently underway. But let's keep
this rolling. Baseball has been good. I can't believe it.
We've been doing well here in the month of July.
Another day more Major League baseball. My name is Matt Parrel.

(13:56):
The following mery across all of my socials at Sports
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