Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:14):
What's up, guys?
Speaker 2 (00:15):
How are you welcome into a Friday morning episode of
the Daily Juice podcast. My name is Matt Peralta. You
guys can follow me across all of my socials at
Sports Talk Matt, and boy was yesterday a roller coaster?
So we should not have hit the golf bet. That
was just Roy McElroy falling apart on his back nine,
(00:38):
which was the front of Oakmont. He just blew up,
and so we were lucky to get the Xander Shoffley
win that probably should not have hit. The Giants were
up seven to three, the best bullpen eer a wise
in baseball on the Rockies, and they blew it and
they got walked off in the bottom of the night.
(01:00):
That bet should have cashed, so the gods kind of
made up for it there. So one good win that
was fortuitous, one bad loss that was bad breaks. I mean,
the Tigers won easily like we thought that they would,
and then it all came down to Bebrovski and I
bet it in regulation game goes to overtime, twenty seven
(01:22):
saves in regulation we bet over twenty six and a half.
We just got there, so it is a winning day
for us.
Speaker 1 (01:31):
Oops.
Speaker 2 (01:31):
I forgot to do that again. Sorry, I apologize for that.
I keep on forgetting to set this thing up properly.
Speaker 1 (01:36):
That's my bad.
Speaker 2 (01:37):
Sorry. So that is our record for Thursday, two and one,
up one point zero five units on the week. So
that means we are down two point five units for
the week. Not impossible to make that up here, and
I'm gonna try to do it with one shot on
(01:58):
one parlay. I'm gonna try to do it. I got
three to one parlay that I actually like, a lot
that I think has a good shot of hitting that
could make it up for us if it hits. I'm
not even calling it that don't bet a parlay parlay.
I'm just calling it a bet. Okay, it's a one
unit play. This is not even like I didn't go
in like like let's find at parlay that we can bet, No, Like,
(02:19):
I actually I like these plays. I think we have
a really good shot of cashing this. So so three
to one. There two NBA player props that we're gonna
get into as well. As we continue to be red
hot with the prop bit cheat sheet on this, I
am going to try to do more Major League Baseball
prop bet cheat sheet stuff as we roll into July
and we get away from the NBA Finals, because at maximum,
(02:41):
we're gonna have four games including tonight, left in basketball,
and then we're pretty much gonna be left just with baseball.
The hockey is gonna go probably seven after what happened
last night with an incredible I mean thirty seven to
oh teams up three to nothing in the Stanley Cup Finals,
in a game no team ever blown it until last night.
(03:02):
Edmonton wins five to four. I told you under was
a crazy bet. You can't bet under, You just can't.
You just cannot bet under. And well we're four and
oh betting on the overs for saves for Bbrovski. That
game is tomorrow. It's not a lot of you know,
lag time here. They're right back at it for tomorrow night.
And so we got a lot going on here with
uh right, we have both games on Friday and on Saturday.
(03:25):
I mean two games on Friday, right, No, that game's
on Saturday, Okay, sorry, not Friday games on Saturday, so
one day off and then Saturday, so Friday Saturday, okay, sorry,
but still that would be today today's Friday, Matt. But
still mean quick turnaround and we're going to be almost
done here with Major League Baseball, I mean with with
(03:46):
hockey and basketball, so we're gonna be left with Major
League Baseball. So I want to do more prop bit
cheat sheets stuff with Major League Baseball, but I got
to learn it. Still there's some wonkiness. It doesn't update
as fast as I want it to. So I need
to talk to the development team for Pros a little
bit about, like, hey, what can we do to get
this stuff up quicker? And so I have access to
it for the Juice overnight, and I know the numbers
(04:07):
move and whatnot, but if we're I mean, the game's
got to get populated. So it's what happened kind of
with the NHL prop bet cheat sheet if you were
paying attention, if you have betting Pros premium and you
were paying attention to that, we had to make some
manual adjustments during the year for the NHL's prop bet
cheat sheet. Same thing has to be done for Major
League Baseball. But we're on it, so we'll get it
correct and we'll get it right and I'll put it
(04:29):
on there for the daily Juice for us coming up.
So I tried to go and look at it and
I'm not fully there yet to bring it to the podcast.
Still need to learn a little bit more about what
to bring to the podcast. So we've got two NBA
player props from the prop bet cheat sheet and one
parlay that I'm gonna give you guys here for today
on a Friday.
Speaker 1 (04:49):
But before we.
Speaker 2 (04:50):
Do anything, a reminder about the Paul Pierce jersey that
is currently up for grabs. It's very easy thanks to
our friends at Pristine Auction dot com. All you have
to do is subscribe to the Betting Pros YouTube channel
right now and drop a comment on this Daily Juice
video and we will announce the winner coming up in
the month of July. So make sure you have those
notifications turned on so you know when new videos are
(05:14):
up to go and claim your prize. I am going
through the recommendations. You guys went and did it earlier
this week, said different things that you want for the podcast.
Speaker 1 (05:24):
I am.
Speaker 2 (05:24):
I need to go through all of them, and you
know it's about one hundred and fifty of them, so
I got to go and read them all and write
them down to what you guys are looking for as
we go forward here into the fall. So thank you
keep that going. If you didn't comment the last time,
do it now. Tell me what you think, tell me
what you want, tell me what you're looking for out
of the podcast, and tell me how you think the
podcast can grow. What can we do to grow the podcast?
(05:46):
Like again, I still think it would be fun at
some point to do a live version of the Daily Juice.
I still think that could be a neat twist to
do a live version.
Speaker 1 (05:55):
I don't know when we would do it.
Speaker 2 (05:57):
It would have to be on a day in which,
like there was all day baseball and all the games
are already done until like we're coming on when we
know that there's nothing going on and we have all
of our bets that are settled, and then bet the
next day. So there might be something like that. I
would love to do a meet and greet at some
point with all of you, either in Vegas or somewhere else.
(06:19):
I'm gonna be in New Hampshire for the month of July,
so if any of you guys are in the New
England area, I thought about maybe we do a Daily
Juice meetup in the city of Boston or maybe somewhere
else in New England, you know, in Portsmouth, New Hampshire,
or Portland, Maine or I don't know, so I thought
about doing that. So just ideas, I mean literally, there
(06:39):
are no dumb things you can write in there.
Speaker 1 (06:41):
Just give me ideas.
Speaker 2 (06:42):
What do you want to see from the Daily Juice
podcast As we roll through the month of June, heading
into the month of.
Speaker 1 (06:48):
July, play of the Day hits with the Brabrovski over.
Speaker 2 (06:52):
So we we're now nine to three in the month
of June for the play of the Day. Reminder about
the Playoff prop contest. We're running out of games. The
Yannis jersey is going to be awarded. The Allen Iverson
Signed Grand Prize jersey also is going to be awarded.
Make picks and compete for prizes. Enter for free at
bettingpros dot com slash Playoffs or go play for free
(07:15):
on the Betting Pros app for the NBA Playoff Prop
contest going on right now for a Yannis jersey signed
and a grand prize of an Allen Iverson signed jersey
as well. All right, let's get into the props here today. Obviously,
we're heavily committed to the game tonight. It's a massive,
massive game. We know what the Thunder do after they lose.
(07:36):
They don't lose two games in a row. I don't
think they're going to lose. Thunder win tonight. Okay, just
like we saw last night with the Oilers tying up
the series at two, same things happening here tonight with
the Thunder.
Speaker 1 (07:47):
So loud Dort got there fast for us, and I
mean quick for us.
Speaker 2 (07:53):
In game number three, going back to the well, points,
rebounds and assists for lou Dort over thirteen and a half,
prop bet cheat sheet is projecting nearly seventeen for points,
rebounds and assists. This is a thirty five percent expected
value play, a five star play, and a cover excuse me,
(08:13):
a cover probability of sixty nine percent.
Speaker 1 (08:16):
We got this easily.
Speaker 2 (08:18):
Last game he had sixteen for points, rebounds and assists.
We played what eight and a half for points and
assists for lou Dort. He got there easily. That points
and assists is set at ten, so they do. They
jacked that up a little bit a point and a half,
so it's set at ten. But I like lou Doort
to be heavily involved. Three of the last four games
(08:40):
he has gone over it was twelve and a half,
fourteen and a half, and thirteen and a half. Over
in those three games, when it was fifteen and a half,
it went under and he only had six. We bet
it to bounce back and it did. I thought he
was great in game three. I think he'll be great
here in game four. Lou Dort over points, rebounds, and
(09:00):
assists over thirteen and a half at minus one ten,
not even juiced heavily for lou Dort. Multiple books have
this at thirteen. At the time of taping, it looks
like bettmgm's the only book that's gone to fourteen. Offshore
is gone to fourteen and a half as well, but
it's heavily juiced to the under. You can find thirteen
(09:21):
and a half in the marketplace. Let's go over thirteen
and a half lou Dort of the thunder here tonight
for one point one unit.
Speaker 1 (09:29):
Bet two.
Speaker 2 (09:30):
Benedict matherin career game, and I mean career game, he
was unbelievable points, rebounds and assists. He had thirty two.
He was everywhere. He had twenty seven points, four rebounds
in one assist. This is not typical. Now, he had
a couple of big games against the Knicks. He scored
twenty and twenty three points against the Knicks, so he
(09:52):
has at times, but far more often it's been like
how he was in the three games before that, where
he scored nine, zero and two points. We know what
the Thunder will do here against guys who are hot
off the bench. They're going to lock down. They did
not game plan for Benic's Matharin. They didn't game plan
(10:14):
for him, and he torched them. I think they'll be ready.
Prop bet cheat sheet thinks they'll be ready, and the
projection is thirteen and a half for a points, rebounds
and assist prop for Matharin it's set at fifteen and
a half, so we're going under fifteen and a half
for Benedic matherin points, rebounds and assists again. The two games,
(10:39):
the last two games seventeen and thirty two, he's been
very good. I think the Thunder will be ready. I
think they look to take him out. The first game
of the series he had ten, so this is a
guy who's playing above his head at the moment. I
don't think he does it again. I think the team
focusing the Thunder will focus on him and make sure
he's not burning them get into the lane and getting
(11:01):
his shots up. I think there will be defensive attention
played to him. Prop at cheat sheet degrees under fifteen
and a half points rebounds and assists for Matharn here
tonight for the Indiana Pacers. So that brings us to
the parlay. I told you the thunder. Okay, thunder. We're
doing the thunder game one or game four rather to
(11:24):
win this game, we're jumping in here on the thunder.
Now the other bets for this? Oh wait, did I
not do that? Hold on a second, wait, wait, wait, wait, wait,
wait wait, sorry, you guys have to have to have
me do this actually live on the air.
Speaker 1 (11:37):
I thought I did that.
Speaker 2 (11:39):
I guess I didn't do that. That happens sometimes where
I don't put the thing where it's supposed to go,
and that's just on me. Hold on a second, wait, wait, wait,
I apologize. We're not done. We're not done by any means.
We have to go there it is, and there it is, okay.
Lou Dort over thirteen and a half points, rebounds and assists.
Matharin under fifteen and a half points, rebounds and assists
(12:01):
Thunder money line.
Speaker 1 (12:02):
What are the two other legs? Well, the Royals.
Speaker 2 (12:07):
Let's talk about the Royals here for just one second.
Aren't they glad to get away from the New York Yankees?
Was at nine straight losses six to oh New York
this year up against the Royals. Royals are just like,
get us away from the stupid Yankees?
Speaker 1 (12:21):
And who do they get?
Speaker 2 (12:22):
The horrific Oakland A's who are fourteen and twenty one
and Luis Severino, who, by the way, has it been
horrible on the road. He's actually been way better on
the road point eight seven ERA. He was great in
his last start, but the A's don't score. And he's
facing Michael Waka, who has been tremendous, just tremendous.
Speaker 1 (12:45):
For the Royals. Now.
Speaker 2 (12:46):
He lost his last start four to one on the road.
That snapped a streak where he had won four of
the previous five games, and he's pitched great three zero
four one two zero in three earned runs. Michael Walker
at home this year has been great, a one point
eight ERA two and two record, a two one opposing
(13:09):
batting average is eight earned runs in forty innings pitched.
Royals need to snap a losing streak, and boy, what
isn't it great to have it when the Oakland A's
come to town. Royal's money line here, and we're gonna
cap it off with our favorite fade, because well, they
burned us yesterday. I'm going back. I'm a glutton for punishment.
(13:31):
I'm gonna keep on fading them. The Rockies are on
the road, where they are six and twenty eight against
the Atlanta Braves. Bryce Elder is pitching for Atlanta. Now
I don't love this, I'll give you this. Bryce Elder
is three point six to two ERA not awesome, one
in one, posing batting average of two fifty five eleven
earned runs in twenty seven and one third innings worth
(13:53):
of work. He's lost four consecutive starts. The team has
lost four straight starts, but not really. His fault one
earned run, three earned runs, one earned run, three earned runs,
A three two five four three one and three two
loss mostly one run losses, three of them one run
losses for Bryce Elder and the Braves. Perfect medicine to
(14:13):
get the Rockies to come to Atlanta. Why it's Herman Marquez.
Hermar Marquez on the road has an eight point eight
two ERA a one in four record, opposing batting average
of three point fifty three. He's given up thirty three
earned runs in thirty three and two thirds innings.
Speaker 1 (14:31):
Worth of work. He lost his last start to the
Mets eight to one.
Speaker 2 (14:35):
They did beat Miami, lost to Chicago for to three,
lost to the Phillies to nothing. They somehow beat Arizona
and they beat San Diego fourteen twelve and nine to three.
But before that, every single start he had, he lost,
and he lost on the run line nine three eight
two seven four. I guess eight seven so one gave
(14:56):
me us the Dodgers wasn't on the run line eight
nothing seven four to six one. Let's keep this losing
streak going and let's go Braves on the run line
up against the Rockies. Rockies got a miracle yesterday, not
getting it two days in a row, having to go
and fly cross country to take on the Atlanta Braves
who are absolutely desperate.
Speaker 1 (15:16):
So plays for today. Lou Dort over.
Speaker 2 (15:19):
Thirteen and a half points, rebounds and assists, Betedic Matherin
under fifteen and a half points, rebounds and assists parlay
of thunder money Line Royal's money Line Braves run line
three to one for one unit for us here on
a Friday. My name is Matt Parolt. You guys can
follow Miracles all my socials at Sports Talk Matt every
(15:39):
morning wherever you guys get your podcasts.
Speaker 1 (15:42):
It is the Daily Juice