Best Bets for Monday | College Football Week 1 Picks (9.1)

Happy Labor Day! Host Matt Perrault is looking for a good start to the month and the week with 3 bets today. Matt has a play for the last game of week 1 of college football and 2 MLB plays on the Monday episode of the Daily Juice. 

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Episode Transcript

Speaker 1 (00:14):
What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Monday
Labor Day episode of the Daily Juice podcast. My name
is Matt Peretz. You guys can follow me across all
of my socials at Sports Talk Matt, and we are
back after unfortunately a flat week. We went nine and
nine because we went one in two yesterday. We just
watched the end of the Notre Dame game, and you know,

(00:36):
I had a couple of games where I flipped. The
Irish game was one of them. I was going to
take Miami plus three. I took the Irish minus two
and a half because of the offensive line, and that
was a major mistake. That was a bad handicap by me.
But we get the first half under that came in
thanks to the botched field goal, so that came in
for us with the under first half. Vo Tech had

(00:56):
a shot late but then gave up a late touchdown
so they didn't cover. They got beat by South Carolina.
You know, Miami was a team I bet on a
lot last year, and the thing that I thought the
difference in that game was going to be the Miami
offensive defensive line against the Nordame offensive line. That's an
overrated offensive line. Okay, like that's an overrated offensive line.
The Irish are going to have to fix that. And

(01:18):
the going into Miami is not going to be easy
at all. And with the way that Clemson played in
their game against LSU, Miami looks like the best team
in the ACC. And I know no one likes Mario
crystal Ball. I know people think that he's a bad coach,
but I mean, you have a veteran quarterback in Carson Beck,
you got a couple of really good wide receivers, You've

(01:39):
got a couple of really good running backs. I mean
that catch that should have been intercepted, that ridiculous. That
was the game. I mean that won the game for
Miami because if that kid doesn't make that catch, that's
a pick, and that's a pick, the Irish win and
we probably win the bet. So like sometimes, you know,
you gotta have guys make plays. Kid made a play,

(02:00):
will play that's gambling. So we wind up going one
and two in the day, down one point two units
for the day. I think we're slightly down for the week,
like I don't know, like point five or something, so
nothing significant, but nine and nine for the week, so
not how we would like it, but you know it's
you we've had much worse weeks than that for us.
College football not off to a great start for us,

(02:21):
but that can be expected because of all Excuse me,
I think that's going to be the case for a
little bit here with college football because we have to see,
you know, how these teams are built. Who is with
what I mean? It's one of those. It's one of
the weirder weeks, weirder starts to college football just because
of all the transfers and all the different movement we

(02:41):
have seen with quarterbacks and coordinators, head coaches and whatnot.
So not a great start to college football for me.
But it's okay. So it's a Monday, it's a Labor day.
We'll get to a couple of baseball plays here today
in one college football bet with TCU and North Carolina
playing tonight to wrap up Week one of college football,
and then we are off to the races for Thursday

(03:03):
in the NFL, and we start with Week one of
the NFL. So good stuff. Last Sunday was the last
Sunday without an NFL football game until February. So we
get rolling with the NFL starting this coming weekend. But
before we get to the picks for today, let's talk
a bit about what you guys can check out with

(03:23):
the Betting Pros betting system. The Betting Pros betting system
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(03:45):
the Betting Pros app today or go to Bettingpros dot
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making better bets. Be on the lookout this week for
the new and improved Betting Pros app and update coming
to your App store and your Google Store for the
new look the Betting Pros app, which will include a

(04:06):
lot from the Daily Juice. So we're excited to roll
that out here before Week one of the NFL. Okay,
let's start with college football, and let's start with North
Carolina and TCU. Okay, I think TCU wins the game.
I'm not going to trust Bill Belichick, but because of it,
because it's Belichick, and because it's such an unknown. I mean,

(04:29):
this guy's taking over an entirely new program and knew
everything at North Carolina. I think TCU wins. I don't
think Bill has a good year. But I'm not going
to do or make a bet on this because I'm gonna.
I'm gonna. I'm gonna listen to myself a little bit
here because I've been wishy washy. I flip flopped on
a couple of games. You know, it's gonna take LSU.

(04:50):
It took Clemson. That was wrong. I was gonna take Miami.
I took Notre Dame. That was wrong. So like I
initially thought I would take Carolina, now I'm thinking I'm
taking TCU. So now I'm I'm not going to play
it at all. I'm going to back off of it.
What I am going to look at is the fact
that FanDuel has the best number for the first half
under We just bet it last night, Okay, Ohio State, Texas,

(05:11):
LSU and Clemson, Miami and Notre Dame. And now here
comes another major primetime big game, North Carolina and Tech
and TCU, where I think offenses are going to be
at a premium. Why the defenses are going to be
ahead of the offenses, And frankly, I don't know what
to make of Carolina's offense. I'm not sure how many
points Carolina's going to score up against TCU. FanDuel has

(05:34):
a twenty eight and a half first half team total, sorry,
first half game total. First half. We bet the under yesterday,
Let's bet the under again, same bet yesterday. Let's jump
in with the first half under twenty eight and a
half at FanDuel for minus one twenty eight North Carolina
and TCU under twenty eight and a half for one

(05:55):
point two eight units. That should say, sorry, not one
point one. That should be one point two eight units
for North Carolina and TCU. I just think the defenses
are going to be way ahead of the offenses, and
I think we've got way too many, way too many
variables in questions. I do think TCU wins. I do
think TCU wins and covers, but I'm not going to
bet it just because I want to watch it and

(06:16):
see what these teams really look like. Let's do some
research here on Chapel Bill in North Carolina can he
coach college football, because if he can, I would expect
him to run the ball, play defense, and be very
formidable and play some lower scoring type football games. So
if that's the case, first half under is a good
play and maybe Carolina wins, So I don't want to

(06:38):
get involved with that. So the only bet on that
game I'm going to make is North Carolina and TCU
under twenty eight and a half in the first half
for minus one twenty eight. Okay, two games in Major
League Baseball, let's go back betting baseball. Baseball has been
good to us, and you know, baseball really has helped
us a lot so far to build the bank roll
up and to make us be successful. So why not

(06:58):
keep on getting back into Major League baseball? They haven't updated.
We're four days behind on the units for us, so
I can't tell you exactly. Well, we haven't really bet baseball, right, Well, yeah,
we bet one baseball game that got right. So the
baseball record now is ninety two and seventy six. That

(07:20):
is fifty five percent. That's up twelve point seven units
on the year. So baseball has been very good for
us here so far, and that's without the futures that
are all set to come in here with the Rockies
team total under which is still rolling for us, that
the over for the Cardinals should HiT's a that's a should.

(07:41):
I don't believe the Rangers are going to is going
to get there for us. As we start the month
of September, we need for Saint Louis, they have sixty
eight wins, so we need eight wins out of they
We're seventy five and a half for wins right for
the Cardinals, so we need seven wins or eight wins. Sorry,

(08:02):
we need eight wins out of the Cardinals. So eight
wins in the month and we go over on the Cardinals.
So that should get there. The under will hit for
the Rockies. They've already been eliminated from the playoffs and
they're eliminated in April. But they're eliminated in the playoffs
with thirty nine wins. They're not going to win twenty
games here in the month of our twenty one games
in the month of a month of September. That's not happening.

(08:23):
So the question really comes down to do we go
two and one or do you go three and oh?
And that would be the Rangers, who are seventy one
and sixty seven. Okay, so let's see what they have
to go. Seventy one and sixty seven. So it's late
at night, so excuse me for doing math in my computer.
So we have twenty four games remaining for the Rangers. Wow,

(08:46):
that's it seems like there needs to be more games
than that. No, that's really surprising. Wow. Yeah, there's twenty
four games left. Okay, So we need the Rangers to
get to eighty five where our eighty six wins, so fifteen,
so they gotta go fifteen and nine. Yeah, they have

(09:10):
to go fifteen and nine the rest of the way.
That's possible. They've won five games in a row. They're
eight and two over our last ten. So you know
how many off days do the Rangers have? Wow? So
the Rangers schedule for our over eighty five and a
half wins, it's oh my gosh. Yeah. Uh oh. They
play Arizona for three, then they have an off day,

(09:33):
then they play home for Houston and home for Milwaukee. Ouch.
Then they have an off day. Then they play New
York for three, the Mets on the road, then the
Astros on the road, but they end with Miami Minnesota
in at Cleveland. So their end is not bad. I mean,
but the beginning in the middle part of the month

(09:56):
of Houston Milwaukee the Mets Houston is not good. For
that's that's not great. But again, they're hot at the moment.
They went five games in a row and they've won
eight of nine. I won, actually nine of eleven. So
let's see if they can keep rolling here and maybe
we can win all three. He can get all three,
but they're gonna have to win eighty six games, and
I'm not sure they're gonna win eighty six games. Maybe

(10:17):
a little bit too much to ask for the Rangers
with that, But let's talk about the Red Sox today
against the Guardians. Parker Missic is going lefty. I've told
you before about the Red Sox with left handed pitching.
Red Sox are fifth in Major League Baseball against lefties
from a batting average perspective, they are sixth in home
runs against lefties, and they are number one in RBIs
against lefties with two hundred and five. That is more

(10:39):
than the Brewers, who have one hundred and ninety seven.
The Red Sox are facing a lefty in Parker Missic
here and they're throwing Brian Beao. But here's the thing,
it's one sixty. I don't really want to lay one
sixty in the Red Sox against the Guardians. But Missic's
been very good two starts. He went seven innings in
a three to nothing shut out against Tampa Bay. In
his last start, seven innings, no earned runs. It's twenty

(11:02):
four year old left handed pitcher the major league first
start this season at Arizona three to two in extra loss,
but he went six and two thirds and gave up
just one earned run, So he's pretty darn talented. Brian
Beyo is going for the Red Sox now. Boston has
won four of the five games that Bos started so

(11:23):
far this month in August. He has a two point
two to seven ERA in the month of August. He's
been tremendous at home this year. A little bit of
an elevated ERA for BO three point zero seven, but
a seven and three record, posing batting average of two
forty five and has thirty earned in eighty eight innings
worth of work for pitch for Brian Bao three to two,
one nothing, seven to five in the last three games,

(11:47):
but he went six and a third gave up two
earned runs seven innings, gave up no earn runs and
six and two thirds and gave up only one earned run.
So he's been tremendous. So rather than bet the Red
Sox to win, which I think that they do, but
again it's a little pricey to go ahead and lay it,
I think the better plays the unders jump on the
under for eight and a half for the Red Sox

(12:08):
and the Guardians under eight and a half at one
point one units. I think that's a better way of
approaching that game here. I don't expect a lot of
offense from either team here, and hopefully the bullpens will
play well today. Finally, we go to Spencer Streyder and
the Braves against the Cubs. Spencer Stryder has lost. The
team has lost every game that Spencer Streyder has pitched

(12:30):
this month, and he personally has lost every game that
he has pitched in the month of August. He has
an array of ten ten point one three, eighteen and
two thirds innings worth of work. He's given up twenty
one earned runs in seven home runs in the month
of August. He's been horrible. Strider on the road this year.
Has an earray over five, a two in six record.

(12:53):
He's given up twenty seven earned runs in forty innings
worth of work just bat. The Cubs are seventy eight
and fifty nine. But at home the Cubs are a
very good team. They're forty one and twenty five. Colin
Ray is going for the Cubs now. Colin Ray at
home five and three with a four point zero six ERA,

(13:16):
thirty five earned in seventy seven and two third innings
worth of work. He's lost. The team has lost two
of his last three starts. But I don't really understand
the price here on this. This is kind of this
is being priced like a pick em, which I don't
fully understand this to be quite honest. I mean, the
Cubs at home are really good. The Braves on the

(13:38):
road are absolute trash. I don't get why this price
is what it is at Mis one point fifteen for
the Cubs. This seems to be a little bit too
cheap in my mind. And I can't believe this is
the first time the Cubs and the Braves are playing
this year, but it is. The Braves are twenty nine
and forty two. Okay, give me the Cubs money line.

(14:00):
Cubs here at mine one point fifteen for one point
one five units. So are plays for today TCU and
North Carolina under in let's just say the first half
by the way, Okay, sorry, under twenty eight and a
half in the first half for North Carolina, TCU, Red
Sox and the Guardians under eight and a half for
the game, and the Cubs on the money line up

(14:20):
against the Braves here today at home at Wrigley Field.
My name is Matt Parol. You guys can follow me
because all my socials at Sports Doc Matt every morning
wherever you guys get your podcasts. It is the Daily
Juice