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March 10, 2025 • 15 mins

The NBA Player Props were due to have some bad luck and it hit on Sunday for host Matt Perrault. Matt is back on the horse today and adding a NHL play for the Monday episode of the Daily Juice.

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Speaker 1 (00:14):
One of the guys. How are you happy Monday? Welcome
into a new episode of the Daily Juice podcast. My
name is Matt Peroult. You guys can follow me across
all of my socials at Sports Talk Matt. And we're
back after a lousy Sunday. This is why betting props
can be difficult, and it's why I only bet to
win a half a unit. And I told you I

(00:37):
was about to go to full units. Well, I'm glad
that I didn't. I'm gonna stick with my current strategy
of bank roll management because the DeMar DeRozan prop, our
prop of the day should have hit.

Speaker 2 (00:50):
I mean, we did everything right.

Speaker 1 (00:53):
With that handicap, even with overtime kind of we had
a you know, an outside shit, but Zach Levine's shot
that missed at the buzzer killed it. He hits that
fade away, the Kings win, and we're way under for
DeMar DeRozan. Instead, DeMar de Rosen gets going in overtime.

(01:13):
I knew we were dead the second we went in there.
And then look, sometimes coaches just decide not to play guys,
and Peyton Watson sat the entire second half, didn't play
played six minutes in the first half and they didn't play.
Sometimes coaches just do odd things when it comes to rotations.
The Bradley Beal prop goes over. I should have gone

(01:35):
with Michigan State and Drake. I swapped out Nebraska at
the last second because I thought Michigan might have something
for Michigan State not even close. Nebraska is a downright
embarrassment and they have no business and I mean no
business in the NCAA Tournament. They didn't belong anyway, even
in the conversation. I don't know what the hell the

(01:55):
bracketologers are looking at. That team stinks like stinks State,
Iowa stinks. And Iowa was made to look like a
decent basketball team against Nebraska on the road because they
couldn't do anything. I mean, Nebraska, have you ever heard
of defending the rim?

Speaker 2 (02:13):
Like?

Speaker 1 (02:13):
How many layups did Iowa get in that game? That
was crazy? They had so many uncontested layups. It's like Hoiberg,
what do you I mean are you coaching defense? Are
you paying attention? Like? What is whoa? That was horrible?
Great win from Michigan State. Bad on me, bad Sunday,
bad week, losing week on to Monday.

Speaker 2 (02:33):
It happens.

Speaker 1 (02:34):
You know, it happens, but we're not changing I'd mentioned
like if we'd done well and changed the strategy. We
are not changing the strategy. Three NBA player props for
you guys.

Speaker 2 (02:43):
I will if we go cold, just fyi.

Speaker 1 (02:46):
Okay, if we go cold, our record right now is
thirty one and twelve.

Speaker 2 (02:51):
I believe that's right.

Speaker 1 (02:52):
We're thirty one and twelve in twenty twenty five betting
NBA player props. But if we go cold, like if
all of a sudden and we just stop hitting, then
we will swap out and go to other things.

Speaker 2 (03:03):
Just fyi.

Speaker 1 (03:05):
I can move around. There's plenty of things we can
bet on. It's the springtime, so we have NASCAR, we
have the PGA Tour, we've got the NHL, we've got
the NBA full game and totals, and we've got the
NSAA tournaments. Okay, so like, I don't have to keep
betting NBA player props if we go cold. But that
was our first one in two day, you know, I mean,

(03:25):
I don't know when the last time we went one
and two. We've gone one in one. I don't know
when the last time. It's easily three weeks ago where
we went one and two on NBA player props, at
least by my memory. So I've got three plays in
one hockey bet for you guys coming up here for today.
Before we get to the picks, let me tell you
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(03:49):
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(04:12):
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you live in Iowa. Terms and conditions will ply Okay,

(04:33):
let's start with the hockey bet, and then we'll get
to the three NBA player props. The Edmonton Oilers are
facing off against the Buffalo Sabers on the road. The
Buffalo Sabers haven't won a hockey game since February twenty fifth.
I haven't won a hockey game in the month of
March yet. They've lost to Florida, Tampa, San Jose, Montreal twice.

(04:54):
In Carolina, they've lost five two, four to two, four, three,
six two, six, five and four or nothing. That is
six losses and a four and two mark on the
puck line. Now, if you want to bet on Edmonton
on the puck line, you can do that if you
would like. That is a plus one point thirty play.
But I'd rather bet it in regulation. I'd rather just

(05:15):
have it be a three to two win, which is
the score of the first meeting between these two teams,
a three to two win. That was a three to
two win by the Oilers in Edmonton.

Speaker 2 (05:25):
I'd rather have it. If it falls three to two,
so be it.

Speaker 1 (05:28):
We just get a win in regulation Edmonton in sixty
it's only minus one. Fifteen goes to overtime, we lose, okay,
But as long as the game is decided in regulation
and Edmonton wins, they are seventeen eleven and two on
the road. Edmonton's coming off of a big five to
four win over Dallas. They've beat Montreal three to two

(05:48):
in overtime. They lost to Anaheim six to two, but
they beat Carolina three to one, so they are now
three and one over their last four games. Buffalo lost
four nine thing last night to the Buffalo Saber. Sorry,
sorry to the Florida Panthers. So they're coming in here
on a back to back, and it was a five

(06:08):
to four win for Edmonton last night, so the both
teams run back to backs rather But to.

Speaker 2 (06:13):
Me, oh no, no, no, they will fit on Saturday in
place today. Sorry so sorry.

Speaker 1 (06:17):
They played Saturday SD eighth, not the ninth, so both
these teams will have a chance to play with one
day's worth of rest. But goaltending wise, I don't care
if it's skinnered or Picard.

Speaker 2 (06:28):
I don't care if it's luking In or Rhymer.

Speaker 1 (06:29):
Doesn't make a big difference to me in terms of
that Edmonton's the better hockey team. Bet the streak six
consecutive losses for Buffalo Edmonton is playing good hockey at
the moment, getting a big win over Dallas in her
last game. I think they continue on here they start
this road trip for them. Edmonton plays. This is the
first game of the road trip for Edmonton. They will

(06:52):
play at Buffalo, at New Jersey, at New York Islanders,
at New York Rangers on this four game Okay, all
in the New York, New Jersey region. Get off to
a good start here. You get a win at home
against Dallas. Go on the road here. Skinner played decent
in that game, five to four win for Edmonton. Let's
go in sixty minus one point fifteen the Edmonton Oilers

(07:15):
winning on the road at the Buffalo Sabers again. You
can bet puckline if you want. And by the way,
these are the two top two of the top three
teams for goals for over first periods. Edmonton hits it
at sixty three point four percent and number two in
the NHL. Buffalo hits it at sixty one point two.
But the only problem is is five and five for

(07:37):
Buffalo over the last ten games, Edmonton's eight and two
to the over. These two teams won one after one
in Edmonton first period gifts goal in the first ten minutes.
Buffalo is in the top five U seventy percent of
the time over seven and three over your last ten

(07:57):
sixty six percent of the time they are in. Edmonton
is sixty three point four percent. They're six and four
to a gift if you want. But it's both really expensive,
like one's sixty one seventy, Like it's super expensive to
play the first period over and it's super expensive to
play the goal in the first ten minutes. So that's

(08:18):
why I'm just gonna play Edmonton to win the game
in regulation. But if you want to get involved with
some other markets, I don't hate to get hate getting
involved with those bets either for Edmonton in the first
sixty but also gift goal in the first ten minutes
and over one and a half goals in the first period.
That's just one sixty for over one and a half
goals like that play, but rather just take Edmonton to

(08:41):
win the game in regulation. Okay to our NBA player props,
Let's take a look at Carlton Carrington aka Bob Carrington.
Bob Carrington points, rebounds and assists, five star play plus
thirty five percent positive ev This has not hit every

(09:01):
time he has played up against the Toronto Raptors. These
are plays that we'd like to identify players we'd like
to look at head to head wise. He has played
two times this year against Toronto, the eighth of March
and the twenty ninth of January. Way Under had thirteen

(09:22):
in that game in March, and he had six in
that game back in January. Last time out for Carrington
against Toronto on the road at he had thirteen. Like
we mentioned, so the two previous games before that he
did go over this number. He had twelve points, five assists,
five rebounds and nine assists, and then he had fourteen points,

(09:44):
five rebounds and seven assists. But against Toronto he had
eight two and three. Here his number is twenty two
and a half for bub Carrington. This is a player
that I think, you know, just defensively and looking at
the way he has gone this number. You know, he
did go over twenty two and a half against Utah,
but the number was fifteen and a half against Toronto

(10:06):
back on the eighth of March. Now here we're back
again and the numbers ballooned all the way up to
twenty two and a half.

Speaker 2 (10:13):
I mean, that's a little.

Speaker 1 (10:14):
It's a little surprising, to be quite honest about where
we are numbers wise. On this I'm not sure I
completely agree with where we are, but you know, twenty
two and a half. I bet that number comes down, which,
by the way, look I'm talking to about numbers overnight.
If these numbers jump, I mean, you can't get you
can't get angry at.

Speaker 2 (10:30):
These numbers and they move.

Speaker 1 (10:31):
It's a fluid market, okay, But I'm gonna be at
the under under twenty two and a half points, rebounds
and assist for Carlton Bubb Carrington of the Washington Wizards
here today on the road against the Toronto Raptors. Bet
number two. Let's talk about the Rockets hosting the Orlando Magic.
Jalen Green points and assists For Jalen Green, you can

(10:56):
play around with. I mean, Jalen Green is a player
that you can jump around with that you can actually
see a couple different angles. The prop bet chee sheet likes, points,
rebounds and assists the best here for him with under
thirty and a half.

Speaker 2 (11:13):
For Jalen Green.

Speaker 1 (11:15):
I think I wrote that wrong on the on the
slide right, points and assists under twenty six and a half. Okay,
I bet points and assists. Sorry, you can. It likes
points and rebounds, and it likes points, assists and rebounds
as well.

Speaker 2 (11:28):
Thirty and a half. You can play that as well.

Speaker 1 (11:31):
I just played points and assists twenty six and a half.
The project projection there is twenty two and a half points,
rebounds and assists projection is twenty six and a half.
So they're basically both a projection of going four under.
They're both five star plays. They're both up against the
number one defense in Orlando here against these props for
Jalen Green, so you can play kind of either one

(11:52):
of you'd like. I played points and assists at MIS
one twenty five. He has gone way under. The last
time he went over over twenty six and a half
points in assists was back on the twenty fifth of
February against Milwaukee. He's gone under on his points and
assists prop one, two, three, four or five six straight
games seventeen, seventeen, fourteen, twenty two, twenty six and twenty five,

(12:17):
so he's been going way under. The rebound number is
the reason why I get a little worried. He had
seven rebounds against the Pelicans in his last game. He's
had seven two four and six two and seven during
the losing streak. So I get a little concern with points,
rebounds and assists that maybe he grabs a bunch of
boards and that's what could cause him to go over

(12:39):
his points, rebounds and assists. I'd rather just leave it
with points and assists, and we're going to go under
for points and assists at twenty six and a half
for Jalen Green. So Carrington points, rebounds and assists under
twenty two and a half, Jalen Green points and assists
under twenty six.

Speaker 2 (12:56):
And a half.

Speaker 1 (12:56):
And you guys know, I like to give you one over,
and let's take a look at Kevin Durant, who's been
playing really well. Kevin Durant's on Twitter fighting with Skip
Bayless because Skip Bayles told him he's washed and he's
kind of like, you know, tongue in cheek. Wise his
points prop here for tonight. I think this is gonna
be a game. I think for the rest of the year.

(13:19):
I think Kevin Durant could be a really interesting bet.
I'm gonna play the over on Kevin Durant points over
twenty four and a half points for Kevin Durant at
minus one point fifteen, and I think he's got the
opportunity to do some big things here. His point prop
was twenty five and a half against Denver. He scored
twenty nine against the Clippers. He was twenty three and

(13:40):
a half. He scored thirty four against Minnesota. It was
twenty four and a half. He scored twenty six against Dallas.
He had twenty one points. There wasn't there's not a
proper line here on the prop bet analyzers, so I'm
not sure what the number was for that. But he
scored twenty one and nine. He had twenty one, nine
and eight. He looked completely locked in and the Suns
aren't totally dead, Like they're not totally dead here against Dallas.

(14:05):
He scored twenty one points in the last game out
against Dallas on the road. He scored thirty five against
Dallas on the twenty seventh of December. He scored twenty
six against Dallas on the eighth of November. Now, obviously
that's with Luca in different situations, you know, on the court,
so like the lineup for Dallas is different. But I

(14:26):
think Kevin Durant is gonna have a little late season
magic here. I'm gonna bet the over on Kevin Durant
over twenty four and a half points for Kevin Durant
here tonight for UH minus one would be minus one
twenty five. We paid on that, so our three NBA
player props. Carrington points, rebounds and assists under twenty two

(14:46):
and a half, Jalen Green points and assists under twenty
six and a half, Kevin Durant over twenty four and
a half points on the night against Dallas and Edmonton
in sixty to win their game against the Buffalo Sabers
over time, we're dead. Must win in regulation at minus
one fifteen minus.

Speaker 2 (15:05):
Matt Paroli.

Speaker 1 (15:05):
You guys can follow me because all my socials at
Sports Talk Matt every single morning wherever you guys get
your podcasts, it is the Daily Juice
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