June 9, 2025 • 20 mins
A solid 3-1 mark on Sunday for host Matt Perrault moved the POD to 7-1 for the month of June and the podcast up over 6 units. Matt is looking to start another winning week with 3 bets in 2 sports for the Monday episode of the Daily Juice.
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Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:14):
Hey guys, how are you welcome into a Monday morning
episode of the Daily Juice Podcast. My name is Matt Perolt.
You guys can follow me across all my socials at
Sports Talk Matt. That handle is also my handle on
the Betting pros app. Going download that today for free
iOS and Android. And we are back after a winning day.
How about that three and one for us on a Sunday,
(00:37):
So the Pacers bet. I hope you guys got out
of that. I almost middled myself because I laid thirteen
and they won by what sixteen? I was getting nervous
there for a second. So I was able to get
out of that bet with plus eleven SGA play of
the Day after missing on Saturday, we come right back
and hit that. So now we are ten and one
(00:59):
over the last eleven plays of the day, and in
the month of June we are seven and one for
our play of the day that you guys can get
on the Betting pros app each and every morning. TJ
McConnell flies over his points, rebounds and assists nearly got
that in the first half. Yankees team total well over
that Red Sox Yankees first five, first three, all of
(01:20):
that comes in team total red Sox over game over
red Sox win. I thought the Yankees would win. I
didn't bet it, but pretty good day there with a
three to one mark, up one point nine units on
the day, So that means we're up two units for
last week, the first full week of June, and it
means we are up six units for the month of June.
So good start to the month of June here for
(01:43):
us as we start a new week here on a Monday.
NBA Player Props. By the way, after those two hits,
we are now sixty and thirty on NBA Player Props.
Sixty and thirty. We've done. I mean, that's the prop
bet cheat sheet. You guys don't believe in the prop
bet cheat sheet now, I mean, I don't want to
(02:05):
tell you. I mean again, you have the Betting Pros
Premium offer. You can go check it out if you
want seven days for free, so it costs you nothing
for the rest of the NBA Finals. It's not a
bad idea to take a look at it and see
if you can make some money. Here on the final
download the app, use the code Juice seven day free
trial and you guys can go pull player props yourself
(02:25):
and what Just do what I do and look at
the prop bet cheat sheet and pull it and bet
what you think is the best plays. It tells you
five star positive EV projection versus the bet differentiator, it's all.
It's all in there. So sixty and thirty for the
prop bet cheat sheet and we are now up. It's incredible.
(02:47):
We're only up thirteen and a half units. I only
say only thirteen and a half units because if I'd
been betting full units, if I had just not been
a chicken and I bet fully units on the prop
bit cheat sheet during this NBA basketball season, and I'm
willom been betting full units here since the playoffs and
(03:07):
really since the Eastern Conference in Western Conference finals, we'd
be up thirty units or so or close to it. Instead,
we're up about half that, a little less than half that.
So just because of what we've done here with now
going full units for the prop bit cheat sheet. By
the way, baseball now is twenty six and nineteen, we're
up three and a half units in Major League Baseball.
(03:29):
That's pretty cool. I have kind of a strategy that
I'm going to tell you guys about here in just
one second as to what the week's going to look like,
and as has I'm going to bet baseball, but we
got hockey on the brain today. Two bets in the NHL,
one bet in Major League Baseball to give you guys
here on a Monday, But first, let me remind you
about the offer from FanDuel for new customers that you
(03:50):
guys can take advantage of right now. They want to
boost your bets. You bet five dollars, you can win
two hundred and fifty dollars in bonus bets. If that
first bet hits, just head on over to Bettingpros dot
com slash fandel to get started. That's Bettingpros dot com
slash FanDuel and make your place at fandel. Today we
are switching venues to Game three, perfect time for you
(04:11):
guys to jump in on the NBA Playoff prop contest
going on right now for the Yannis jersey. Grand prize
will be a A I signed jersey, but we're giving
away for the finals a Janis Antetokoupo signed bucks jersey.
Join now at bettingpros dot com slash Playoffs or play
(04:32):
for free on the Betting Pros app Okay let's start
talking about tonight, with Florida hosting the Stanley Cup again
up against Edmonton, it's one one, Florida going back home.
I was always going to bet Florida to win Game three,
regardless of what happened to Game one or Game two.
I was gonna get gonna bet Florida in Game three.
(04:53):
Why hole ice? Okay, last change home mice. And frankly,
it's a pretty far trip from Edmonton to Sunrise, Florida
is just about as far as you're going to go
in the NHL. And you want to talk about a
completely different environment for Edmonton. So the one game they
(05:14):
played in Florida, the game went over in the regular
season Florida one. They won both games in the regular
season two nothing the Panthers were against the Oilers. But
this is about Brabrovski, Okay, this is about the better goaltender.
This is about last change. And I do believe the
referees are going to stop calling penalties. We have seen
(05:36):
so many man advantages. And as I talked about before,
I thought when I bet over in game one, I
bet over in Game two. What I thought was gonna
happen was the referees were going to call a bunch
of penalties, establish what is and what is not a penalty,
and then put the whistle away. And we're getting to
that point of the series where I think they're going
(05:57):
to start to put the whistle the whistle away and
not give Edmonton as many power plays, and frankly the
same thing, not give the Panthers as many power plays. Thus,
I do think the under is a potential here, Okay,
under six and a half. But I'm not gonna bet
unders in this series. I'm not gonna bet totals except
(06:17):
for overs. I just can't bring myself to bet unders.
So the way I'm gonna bet an under is by
Brabrovsky under save sorry over saves again over in game one,
over in Game two, the numbers twenty five and a half. Again,
it was twenty four and a half. In Game one,
it was twenty five and a half in game two.
(06:38):
Both went flying over. Now you could say, well, Matt,
the games went to overtime, he went over in regulation. Okay,
both saves. Both props cashed for US in regulation, so
it didn't matter. Overtime was just butter, it was just extra.
It was just we just were you know, sitting back
and just watching the number climb Okay had over forty
(06:59):
saves in the first two games. Now does that mean
he has forty saves again, I don't know. Probably not.
Game probably is not going to overtime, so we're probably
not getting as many power plays, so that's gonna limit
how many goal how many shots on goal will come
from Edmonton. But I don't believe the Oilers know how
to play any other way except up tempo and back
and forth, up and down the ice, so that means
(07:21):
Bob's gonna get tested. I think Barbrovski over twenty five
and a half saves tonight is a good play. The
books are being stubborn the number. I've seen it anywhere
from minus one forty where I bet it all the
way to minus one sixty all at twenty five and
a half. My cost on BVB has coined the phrase,
(07:41):
just move the damn number. My thing to the books.
Is it that big of a difference to move the
damn number to twenty six and a half and give
us decent juice At minus one ten I would still
bet over even at twenty six and a half. Just
move the darn thing. So over twenty five and a half.
Barbrovski saves tonight against Edmonton. Also Florida to win. Florida
(08:03):
money line again, little juicy minus one thirty, chop around.
I bet minus one thirty at the super book here
in Las Vegas. It's going anywhere from minus one thirty
up to MIAs one fifty on the money line here overnight.
It could climb. I just think we're switching, we're switching venues.
I think Florida is going to ride the whole atmosphere.
(08:24):
I don't hate over in the first period. I don't
hate that if we go one to one. But here's
a bet to make in the second period. The Florida
Panthers have dominated the second period all playoffs, and they've
dominated in this series in the second period. So watch
the first period, watch how it goes, and then look
and see if you can bet Florida money line in
(08:46):
the second period or over one and a half goals
in the second period. If it is a low scoring
first period, over in the second period. I think it's
gonna be a very good bet. And I think having
Florida to score, it's a bet on how many and
over under total goals for Florida in the second period.
Even if they hang one and a half, they very
well might score two goals in the second period. They
(09:08):
really have dominated Edmonton in the second period for whatever reason.
So let's see. Maybe it's the change, you know, the
switching in terms of long change so short change, or
you know, I don't know, so let's see what happens.
But second period. Watch the second period in this game.
If you want to get involved with an in game
(09:28):
bet for Game three of the Cup Final over second
period Florida to money line to win the second period
or Florida Stork score a goal in the second period
all prop bets to look after. But officially we're going
Florida money line here tonight. Ooh, sorry, that's that didn't
change Florida. That's not the right slide. Let's hotly get
(09:49):
the right slide on there for you guys. There's the
right slide. Florida money line mas one thirty for one
point three units and Bobrovsky over twenty and a half
saves at minus one forty for one point four units there,
So obviously we're pretty well committed there. You could bet
the under if you want. You want extra. I do
(10:10):
think the owners a decent play, but again, I'm not
betting that. I can't bet that just given the offenses
and given what we have seen, Bobrovski's played great and
giving up a bunch of goals, okay, So like he
gave up three goals in the first period and then
didn't give up another goal in game number two. He
gave up a bunch of goals in game numbers one.
(10:30):
But like so, I'm not betting the total here because
open net and whatnot could get very dicey to bet
the under, So I'm not interested in losing a bet
in the third period. But I do think Bobrovski, if
he goes over twenty five and a half decent shot,
the game goes under, okay, and Florida wins. So they're
in my mind they're correlated. So those two bets official. Now,
(10:52):
let's talk about baseball this week for a little bit.
Two plays that I think you should make every day. Now,
Colorado is off at the moment, okay, so the Red
Sox are playing more on the Rockies here in just
one second. The Red Sox are playing this week at
home against Tampa and at home against the Yankees. The
(11:13):
Red Sox just wrapped up a road trip, a quick
one to New York nine to six, ten, seven eleven seven.
All three games went over all three team totals went
over all three games for both teams and first five
went over in all three games. Red Sox are playing
Tampa today. They are facing Shane Baz and they're throwing
(11:39):
Brian Bayo. Bayo hasn't been great, but Shane Baz on
the road. His last three road starts five and two thirds,
three earned runs, six innings, five earned runs and four
and two thirds three earned runs. You look at the
games in which the games were played, he's getting run support.
(12:01):
Tampa bay scored four runs for him in the first five.
They gave up three. It was a seven in that
game up against Toronto, where the Blue Jays tend to hit.
Against Miami, it was one run for Tampa three runs
for the Miami Marlins. That game closed at eight and
(12:22):
a half, so depending on the book, it was four
or four and a half, so it either pushed or
it missed. Same thing with Houston, it was thirteen to three.
He went five and two thirds, gave up three earned runs.
There were five runs scored in the first five of
that game four and a half. Total was eight and
(12:42):
a half four and a half for four went over
both numbers in the first five. That's just Tampa. Okay,
we know what the Red Sox to. The Red Sox
first three one of the best offenses in baseball, Red
Sox first five, one of the best offenses in baseball.
They did nothing to slow that down against the Yankees
over the last three game series. It's ridiculous. What the
(13:04):
Red Sox did. You know, they scored four runs themselves
against the Yankees in the first six innings, but it
didn't matter because they gave up eight to the Yankees
in the first five, so that flew over again. Red
Sox pitching not great. In the second game of the series,
the Red Sox scored ten, the Yankees scored seven, but
(13:25):
in the first five the Red Sox scored eight runs themselves. Yankees,
they scored five runs themselves. It flew over the first
five and then last night on Sunday Night baseball equally,
Red Sox scored two runs in the first inning, I'm sorry,
in the fifth inning. The Yankees scored two runs in
(13:45):
the first one run in the fifth game five over
five and a half, it was four most books went
over there. Red Sox turned run and found and scored
five runs in the sixth. The Yankees scored two runs
in the six then two more in two more in
the eighth, two of the ninth of the Red Sox
two for the Yankees, eleven to seven. Final game flew over.
(14:06):
So if you're just watching how the Red Sox are playing,
their bullpen is awful, their starting rotation is awful, but
all of a sudden, they're scoring a lot of runs.
Now it might just because of who they're playing, but
Tampa's in the division, and these games against the Rays
are just as important for the Red Sox as the
(14:27):
games against the Yankees are in terms of you have
to take care of business as to what you're doing
against your division. The Red Sox now from a over
perspective at home this year, Boston is now, it's amazing.
They're an under team at home. I don't know how
because first five they're way over in the first five,
(14:49):
but they're fourteen, seventeen and two, So fifty forty five
percent of the time going over at home for the
Red Sox, which is kind of nuts given what they've
done from a pitching staff perspective and how they and
how they've played. But I mean, I think when you're
looking at this team and who they throw pitching wise,
first five over four and a half for the Red
Sox every game this week, every game this week, okay,
(15:14):
bet at every game. We're gonna have it. Just it's
gonna be kind of an experiment to see what we
do with the Red Sox here. But the pitching matchups
are not good, Okay, like not good Byo Basz Giolito
for the Red Sox, Walker Buehler for the Red Sox.
That's your one two three here facing Peapot, Lattel and
(15:36):
Bass not great pitchers. Not horrible pitchers either for the Rays,
but not great guys. Red Sox should be able to hit.
Then the Yankees come to town for three Friday, Saturday
and Sunday. Crochet against Yarborough again. Well, that game was
a ten to seven final. Then we go again with
(15:57):
Dobbins in Rondon. We just saw that last night. That
was an eleven seven final and Bayo against Freed in
the ultimate matchup. Nightmare for the Red Sox Yankees team
total in that game for sure, coming in. We'll bet that,
like we bet this Sunday, we'll bet at next Sunday,
so you can kind of telegraph the week as to
what I'm gonna have as part of the part of
(16:19):
the podcast. I have a bunch of other bets obviously
with NBA player, but I'm gonna experiment with two bets
in the the in Major League Baseball and just kind
of go for a week with it that right there,
Red Sox first five over for the Tampa Bay Rays
and the New York Yankees at home for the Red Sox,
will start it with here today. They've a Monday, Tuesday,
Wednesday off, Thursday, Friday, Saturday, and Sunday. So that's the
(16:43):
first bet of the week. The Rockies aren't playing today.
But the Rockies, I mean, they are absolutely horrible and
we get to look at them and it's other than
the three game series in which they won against the
Miami Marlins against the Mets thirteen to five, eight one,
(17:06):
four to two, five three eight two, four to two.
They lost six straight games on the run line against
the New York Mets. Now against Chicago it was two
to one, four to three and three one only lost,
I mean none of those games or one game on
the run line against the Yankees it was three to one,
five to four, and thirteen to one two in one
(17:29):
on the run line. If you're looking for teams on
the run line and their records at the moment, it
is unbelievable how bad some of these teams are on
the run line. But Colorado, I think, is a team
that we have to look this week to fade because
they're playing the Giants and then they're at the Braves,
(17:51):
who are absolutely desperate to win games. I mean completely
and totally desperate. But given how this team has played,
given no San Francisco their offense, you're on the road,
I don't think Colorado's gonna win all that much if
the if the price isn't horrible, and it's going to be,
but it isn't up I might bet money line on this,
(18:12):
but I just I can't look at this and go
Colorado is forty two and twenty or twenty three and
forty two on the run line. They're covering just thirty
five percent of the time on the road. It's even
more embarrassing for Colorado. They are thirteen and twenty one.
They're covering just thirty eight percent of the time, and
(18:35):
as the home team for Colorado, it's not nearly as bad.
It's bad, but it's not nearly as bad. Like Baltimore
at home is eight and twenty one, but they're ten
and twenty one Colorado on the run line ten and
twenty one. That's covering just thirty two percent of the time.
So I'm gonna I'm gonna take a run at this
and just see if we bet it for uh, there's
(18:58):
they're pay They're off to they play Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday,
and then they're on the road at Atlanta for Friday,
Saturday and Sunday. So San Francisco in Atlanta, two teams
that need to win. Atlanta really needs to win. But
let's bet it every day. Let's bet the run line
every day, no matter what the price is. Okay, the
price yesterday for the Mets was one to eighty. Was
(19:20):
minus one eighty on the run line, so and they
won thirteen to five. To give you an idea, So
that's for tomorrow. So just an idea, just give you
a kind of heads up as let's have some fun.
Let's experiment here with baseball. So our plays again today
Florida Monday line, Mine one thirty one point three units
down will take the Bob Barbrovski over twenty five and
a half saves at Mine one forty and Red Sox
(19:42):
first five over four and a half up against the
Tampa Bay Rays for today. We're gonna bet that all
week to see how that winds up playing up for
this homestand for the Red Sox minus Matt Parolt. Follow
me because all my socials at Sports Talk Matt every morning.
Wherever you guys get your podcasts, it is the Daily
Juice
Hey guys, how are you welcome into a Monday morning
episode of the Daily Juice Podcast. My name is Matt Perolt.
You guys can follow me across all my socials at
Sports Talk Matt. That handle is also my handle on
the Betting pros app. Going download that today for free
iOS and Android. And we are back after a winning day.
How about that three and one for us on a Sunday,
(00:37):
So the Pacers bet. I hope you guys got out
of that. I almost middled myself because I laid thirteen
and they won by what sixteen? I was getting nervous
there for a second. So I was able to get
out of that bet with plus eleven SGA play of
the Day after missing on Saturday, we come right back
and hit that. So now we are ten and one
(00:59):
over the last eleven plays of the day, and in
the month of June we are seven and one for
our play of the day that you guys can get
on the Betting pros app each and every morning. TJ
McConnell flies over his points, rebounds and assists nearly got
that in the first half. Yankees team total well over
that Red Sox Yankees first five, first three, all of
(01:20):
that comes in team total red Sox over game over
red Sox win. I thought the Yankees would win. I
didn't bet it, but pretty good day there with a
three to one mark, up one point nine units on
the day, So that means we're up two units for
last week, the first full week of June, and it
means we are up six units for the month of June.
So good start to the month of June here for
(01:43):
us as we start a new week here on a Monday.
NBA Player Props. By the way, after those two hits,
we are now sixty and thirty on NBA Player Props.
Sixty and thirty. We've done. I mean, that's the prop
bet cheat sheet. You guys don't believe in the prop
bet cheat sheet now, I mean, I don't want to
(02:05):
tell you. I mean again, you have the Betting Pros
Premium offer. You can go check it out if you
want seven days for free, so it costs you nothing
for the rest of the NBA Finals. It's not a
bad idea to take a look at it and see
if you can make some money. Here on the final
download the app, use the code Juice seven day free
trial and you guys can go pull player props yourself
(02:25):
and what Just do what I do and look at
the prop bet cheat sheet and pull it and bet
what you think is the best plays. It tells you
five star positive EV projection versus the bet differentiator, it's all.
It's all in there. So sixty and thirty for the
prop bet cheat sheet and we are now up. It's incredible.
(02:47):
We're only up thirteen and a half units. I only
say only thirteen and a half units because if I'd
been betting full units, if I had just not been
a chicken and I bet fully units on the prop
bit cheat sheet during this NBA basketball season, and I'm
willom been betting full units here since the playoffs and
(03:07):
really since the Eastern Conference in Western Conference finals, we'd
be up thirty units or so or close to it. Instead,
we're up about half that, a little less than half that.
So just because of what we've done here with now
going full units for the prop bit cheat sheet. By
the way, baseball now is twenty six and nineteen, we're
up three and a half units in Major League Baseball.
(03:29):
That's pretty cool. I have kind of a strategy that
I'm going to tell you guys about here in just
one second as to what the week's going to look like,
and as has I'm going to bet baseball, but we
got hockey on the brain today. Two bets in the NHL,
one bet in Major League Baseball to give you guys
here on a Monday, But first, let me remind you
about the offer from FanDuel for new customers that you
(03:50):
guys can take advantage of right now. They want to
boost your bets. You bet five dollars, you can win
two hundred and fifty dollars in bonus bets. If that
first bet hits, just head on over to Bettingpros dot
com slash fandel to get started. That's Bettingpros dot com
slash FanDuel and make your place at fandel. Today we
are switching venues to Game three, perfect time for you
(04:11):
guys to jump in on the NBA Playoff prop contest
going on right now for the Yannis jersey. Grand prize
will be a A I signed jersey, but we're giving
away for the finals a Janis Antetokoupo signed bucks jersey.
Join now at bettingpros dot com slash Playoffs or play
(04:32):
for free on the Betting Pros app Okay let's start
talking about tonight, with Florida hosting the Stanley Cup again
up against Edmonton, it's one one, Florida going back home.
I was always going to bet Florida to win Game three,
regardless of what happened to Game one or Game two.
I was gonna get gonna bet Florida in Game three.
(04:53):
Why hole ice? Okay, last change home mice. And frankly,
it's a pretty far trip from Edmonton to Sunrise, Florida
is just about as far as you're going to go
in the NHL. And you want to talk about a
completely different environment for Edmonton. So the one game they
(05:14):
played in Florida, the game went over in the regular
season Florida one. They won both games in the regular
season two nothing the Panthers were against the Oilers. But
this is about Brabrovski, Okay, this is about the better goaltender.
This is about last change. And I do believe the
referees are going to stop calling penalties. We have seen
(05:36):
so many man advantages. And as I talked about before,
I thought when I bet over in game one, I
bet over in Game two. What I thought was gonna
happen was the referees were going to call a bunch
of penalties, establish what is and what is not a penalty,
and then put the whistle away. And we're getting to
that point of the series where I think they're going
(05:57):
to start to put the whistle the whistle away and
not give Edmonton as many power plays, and frankly the
same thing, not give the Panthers as many power plays. Thus,
I do think the under is a potential here, Okay,
under six and a half. But I'm not gonna bet
unders in this series. I'm not gonna bet totals except
(06:17):
for overs. I just can't bring myself to bet unders.
So the way I'm gonna bet an under is by
Brabrovsky under save sorry over saves again over in game one,
over in Game two, the numbers twenty five and a half. Again,
it was twenty four and a half. In Game one,
it was twenty five and a half in game two.
(06:38):
Both went flying over. Now you could say, well, Matt,
the games went to overtime, he went over in regulation. Okay,
both saves. Both props cashed for US in regulation, so
it didn't matter. Overtime was just butter, it was just extra.
It was just we just were you know, sitting back
and just watching the number climb Okay had over forty
(06:59):
saves in the first two games. Now does that mean
he has forty saves again, I don't know. Probably not.
Game probably is not going to overtime, so we're probably
not getting as many power plays, so that's gonna limit
how many goal how many shots on goal will come
from Edmonton. But I don't believe the Oilers know how
to play any other way except up tempo and back
and forth, up and down the ice, so that means
(07:21):
Bob's gonna get tested. I think Barbrovski over twenty five
and a half saves tonight is a good play. The
books are being stubborn the number. I've seen it anywhere
from minus one forty where I bet it all the
way to minus one sixty all at twenty five and
a half. My cost on BVB has coined the phrase,
(07:41):
just move the damn number. My thing to the books.
Is it that big of a difference to move the
damn number to twenty six and a half and give
us decent juice At minus one ten I would still
bet over even at twenty six and a half. Just
move the darn thing. So over twenty five and a half.
Barbrovski saves tonight against Edmonton. Also Florida to win. Florida
(08:03):
money line again, little juicy minus one thirty, chop around.
I bet minus one thirty at the super book here
in Las Vegas. It's going anywhere from minus one thirty
up to MIAs one fifty on the money line here overnight.
It could climb. I just think we're switching, we're switching venues.
I think Florida is going to ride the whole atmosphere.
(08:24):
I don't hate over in the first period. I don't
hate that if we go one to one. But here's
a bet to make in the second period. The Florida
Panthers have dominated the second period all playoffs, and they've
dominated in this series in the second period. So watch
the first period, watch how it goes, and then look
and see if you can bet Florida money line in
(08:46):
the second period or over one and a half goals
in the second period. If it is a low scoring
first period, over in the second period. I think it's
gonna be a very good bet. And I think having
Florida to score, it's a bet on how many and
over under total goals for Florida in the second period.
Even if they hang one and a half, they very
well might score two goals in the second period. They
(09:08):
really have dominated Edmonton in the second period for whatever reason.
So let's see. Maybe it's the change, you know, the
switching in terms of long change so short change, or
you know, I don't know, so let's see what happens.
But second period. Watch the second period in this game.
If you want to get involved with an in game
(09:28):
bet for Game three of the Cup Final over second
period Florida to money line to win the second period
or Florida Stork score a goal in the second period
all prop bets to look after. But officially we're going
Florida money line here tonight. Ooh, sorry, that's that didn't
change Florida. That's not the right slide. Let's hotly get
(09:49):
the right slide on there for you guys. There's the
right slide. Florida money line mas one thirty for one
point three units and Bobrovsky over twenty and a half
saves at minus one forty for one point four units there,
So obviously we're pretty well committed there. You could bet
the under if you want. You want extra. I do
(10:10):
think the owners a decent play, but again, I'm not
betting that. I can't bet that just given the offenses
and given what we have seen, Bobrovski's played great and
giving up a bunch of goals, okay, So like he
gave up three goals in the first period and then
didn't give up another goal in game number two. He
gave up a bunch of goals in game numbers one.
(10:30):
But like so, I'm not betting the total here because
open net and whatnot could get very dicey to bet
the under, So I'm not interested in losing a bet
in the third period. But I do think Bobrovski, if
he goes over twenty five and a half decent shot,
the game goes under, okay, and Florida wins. So they're
in my mind they're correlated. So those two bets official. Now,
(10:52):
let's talk about baseball this week for a little bit.
Two plays that I think you should make every day. Now,
Colorado is off at the moment, okay, so the Red
Sox are playing more on the Rockies here in just
one second. The Red Sox are playing this week at
home against Tampa and at home against the Yankees. The
(11:13):
Red Sox just wrapped up a road trip, a quick
one to New York nine to six, ten, seven eleven seven.
All three games went over all three team totals went
over all three games for both teams and first five
went over in all three games. Red Sox are playing
Tampa today. They are facing Shane Baz and they're throwing
(11:39):
Brian Bayo. Bayo hasn't been great, but Shane Baz on
the road. His last three road starts five and two thirds,
three earned runs, six innings, five earned runs and four
and two thirds three earned runs. You look at the
games in which the games were played, he's getting run support.
(12:01):
Tampa bay scored four runs for him in the first five.
They gave up three. It was a seven in that
game up against Toronto, where the Blue Jays tend to hit.
Against Miami, it was one run for Tampa three runs
for the Miami Marlins. That game closed at eight and
(12:22):
a half, so depending on the book, it was four
or four and a half, so it either pushed or
it missed. Same thing with Houston, it was thirteen to three.
He went five and two thirds, gave up three earned runs.
There were five runs scored in the first five of
that game four and a half. Total was eight and
(12:42):
a half four and a half for four went over
both numbers in the first five. That's just Tampa. Okay,
we know what the Red Sox to. The Red Sox
first three one of the best offenses in baseball, Red
Sox first five, one of the best offenses in baseball.
They did nothing to slow that down against the Yankees
over the last three game series. It's ridiculous. What the
(13:04):
Red Sox did. You know, they scored four runs themselves
against the Yankees in the first six innings, but it
didn't matter because they gave up eight to the Yankees
in the first five, so that flew over again. Red
Sox pitching not great. In the second game of the series,
the Red Sox scored ten, the Yankees scored seven, but
(13:25):
in the first five the Red Sox scored eight runs themselves. Yankees,
they scored five runs themselves. It flew over the first
five and then last night on Sunday Night baseball equally,
Red Sox scored two runs in the first inning, I'm sorry,
in the fifth inning. The Yankees scored two runs in
(13:45):
the first one run in the fifth game five over
five and a half, it was four most books went
over there. Red Sox turned run and found and scored
five runs in the sixth. The Yankees scored two runs
in the six then two more in two more in
the eighth, two of the ninth of the Red Sox
two for the Yankees, eleven to seven. Final game flew over.
(14:06):
So if you're just watching how the Red Sox are playing,
their bullpen is awful, their starting rotation is awful, but
all of a sudden, they're scoring a lot of runs.
Now it might just because of who they're playing, but
Tampa's in the division, and these games against the Rays
are just as important for the Red Sox as the
(14:27):
games against the Yankees are in terms of you have
to take care of business as to what you're doing
against your division. The Red Sox now from a over
perspective at home this year, Boston is now, it's amazing.
They're an under team at home. I don't know how
because first five they're way over in the first five,
(14:49):
but they're fourteen, seventeen and two, So fifty forty five
percent of the time going over at home for the
Red Sox, which is kind of nuts given what they've
done from a pitching staff perspective and how they and
how they've played. But I mean, I think when you're
looking at this team and who they throw pitching wise,
first five over four and a half for the Red
Sox every game this week, every game this week, okay,
(15:14):
bet at every game. We're gonna have it. Just it's
gonna be kind of an experiment to see what we
do with the Red Sox here. But the pitching matchups
are not good, Okay, like not good Byo Basz Giolito
for the Red Sox, Walker Buehler for the Red Sox.
That's your one two three here facing Peapot, Lattel and
(15:36):
Bass not great pitchers. Not horrible pitchers either for the Rays,
but not great guys. Red Sox should be able to hit.
Then the Yankees come to town for three Friday, Saturday
and Sunday. Crochet against Yarborough again. Well, that game was
a ten to seven final. Then we go again with
(15:57):
Dobbins in Rondon. We just saw that last night. That
was an eleven seven final and Bayo against Freed in
the ultimate matchup. Nightmare for the Red Sox Yankees team
total in that game for sure, coming in. We'll bet that,
like we bet this Sunday, we'll bet at next Sunday,
so you can kind of telegraph the week as to
what I'm gonna have as part of the part of
(16:19):
the podcast. I have a bunch of other bets obviously
with NBA player, but I'm gonna experiment with two bets
in the the in Major League Baseball and just kind
of go for a week with it that right there,
Red Sox first five over for the Tampa Bay Rays
and the New York Yankees at home for the Red Sox,
will start it with here today. They've a Monday, Tuesday,
Wednesday off, Thursday, Friday, Saturday, and Sunday. So that's the
(16:43):
first bet of the week. The Rockies aren't playing today.
But the Rockies, I mean, they are absolutely horrible and
we get to look at them and it's other than
the three game series in which they won against the
Miami Marlins against the Mets thirteen to five, eight one,
(17:06):
four to two, five three eight two, four to two.
They lost six straight games on the run line against
the New York Mets. Now against Chicago it was two
to one, four to three and three one only lost,
I mean none of those games or one game on
the run line against the Yankees it was three to one,
five to four, and thirteen to one two in one
(17:29):
on the run line. If you're looking for teams on
the run line and their records at the moment, it
is unbelievable how bad some of these teams are on
the run line. But Colorado, I think, is a team
that we have to look this week to fade because
they're playing the Giants and then they're at the Braves,
(17:51):
who are absolutely desperate to win games. I mean completely
and totally desperate. But given how this team has played,
given no San Francisco their offense, you're on the road,
I don't think Colorado's gonna win all that much if
the if the price isn't horrible, and it's going to be,
but it isn't up I might bet money line on this,
(18:12):
but I just I can't look at this and go
Colorado is forty two and twenty or twenty three and
forty two on the run line. They're covering just thirty
five percent of the time on the road. It's even
more embarrassing for Colorado. They are thirteen and twenty one.
They're covering just thirty eight percent of the time, and
(18:35):
as the home team for Colorado, it's not nearly as bad.
It's bad, but it's not nearly as bad. Like Baltimore
at home is eight and twenty one, but they're ten
and twenty one Colorado on the run line ten and
twenty one. That's covering just thirty two percent of the time.
So I'm gonna I'm gonna take a run at this
and just see if we bet it for uh, there's
(18:58):
they're pay They're off to they play Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday,
and then they're on the road at Atlanta for Friday,
Saturday and Sunday. So San Francisco in Atlanta, two teams
that need to win. Atlanta really needs to win. But
let's bet it every day. Let's bet the run line
every day, no matter what the price is. Okay, the
price yesterday for the Mets was one to eighty. Was
(19:20):
minus one eighty on the run line, so and they
won thirteen to five. To give you an idea, So
that's for tomorrow. So just an idea, just give you
a kind of heads up as let's have some fun.
Let's experiment here with baseball. So our plays again today
Florida Monday line, Mine one thirty one point three units
down will take the Bob Barbrovski over twenty five and
a half saves at Mine one forty and Red Sox
(19:42):
first five over four and a half up against the
Tampa Bay Rays for today. We're gonna bet that all
week to see how that winds up playing up for
this homestand for the Red Sox minus Matt Parolt. Follow
me because all my socials at Sports Talk Matt every morning.
Wherever you guys get your podcasts, it is the Daily
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