Best Bets for Saturday | Stanley Cup Final Game 5 + US Open RD 3 + MLB Picks + Predictions (6.14)

A frustrating 1-2 mark for host Matt Perrault who just missed hitting his parlay for Friday. Matt is back with 4 best in 3 sports for the Saturday episode of the Daily Juice. 

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Episode Transcript

Speaker 1 (00:14):
What's up, guys? How are you happy? Saturday? Welcome into
another episode of the Daily Juice podcast. My name is
Matt Perrault. You guys can follow me across all of
my socials at Sports Talk Matt, and we're back after
another losing day. The Royals man the Royals. We had it.
We had the parlay fourteen game losing streak for the

(00:35):
Sacramento Ace on the road. They had lost fourteen straight
and they didn't lose. Last night Thunder money line, braves,
run line both cash. Royals lose six to four to
the A's. We are now putting a line through the
Royals for until further notice, we are not betting on
the Royals. The play of the day was lou Dort

(00:57):
over thirteen and a half. He did not come near
that unfortunately, so he misses, but Matherin stays under. So
we win that bet one and two. Down one point
one units on the ninth. That means we are down
about three point six three point five for the week.
So that's not great. So we need a big Saturday

(01:19):
and a big Sunday if we're gonna have a winning week.
Most likely it's not going to be a winning week.
But we've had a couple of winning weeks here in June,
so for the most part, still a winning month. But
let's see if we can close out the weekend Saturday
and Sunday. I have got a golf bet for Round three.
I have two plays on Game five of the Stanley
Cup Final tonight, and I have one Major League Baseball

(01:39):
play to give you guys here today on the podcast.
But before I give you those four plays, let me
remind you about the offer going on right now with
our friends at No Big. This is legal in most states.
It's a peer to peer platform. You compete against other users.
Sometimes you get better lines, no commissions or hidden fees.
It uses a coin depoto system, but they do use

(02:01):
real money. You can use the code daily Juice for
fifty percent off your first coin purchase up to twenty
five dollars. You can check it out now at Bettingpros
dot com slash juice. That's Bettingpros dot com slash juice. Also,
do not forget that we are still having the player

(02:24):
prop contest. We're gonna have seven games. It'd be surprising
and sea thing end in six, but it could end
in six. But we're getting at least two more games,
so there is time to enter into the finals version
of the Player Prop NBA Playoff Contest and then the
grand prize being the Allen Iverson jersey. The Finals prize
is the Yannis signed jersey. It's all free. You can

(02:46):
play it on the Betting Pros app or by going
to bettingpros dot com slash Playoffs. That's Bettingpros dot com
Slash Playoffs. All right, let's start talking golf here with
Round three of the US Open. Okay, so the cut
line it got pretty high, it got to seven. The
thought was it was going to be eight over par.

(03:07):
It wound up being seven over par. That was good
news for golfers like Rory McElroy who made the cut
at six over, Tony Fenow who made the cut at
six over, and Soun Jim who made the cut at
five over, who shot sixty eight on Thursday and then
blew up yesterday seventy seven. He shot seven over par.

(03:32):
This guy's a really good golfer. So I went looking
for a head to head for the third round for sunjaym,
who plays really well on hard golf courses, for him
to have a bounce back here in the third round,
he was awful on the front. He shot four over
on the front, he shot three over on the back.

(03:53):
He had two birdies, three bogies and a double. Yesterday
no good. But in round one he shot a sixty eight.
He went out on the back. He shot a thirty
two on the back, thirty six on the front, but
a thirty two in the back, shot two under on Thursday.
I think he bounces back. Now. I went hunting and

(04:16):
I found a head to head at Circus Sports, and
hopefully you guys can go find this. But this is
that Circus Sports. They're in Nevada, They're in Iowa, They're
in Kentucky. They are in one of the other states
that I'm blanking on that the Circus Sports is in Iowa, Kentucky, Nevada.

(04:37):
There's other ones that I'm forgetting, and I apologize, but
Circus Sports, Oh, Illinois, they're in Illinois. Ah, look for
this and hopefully other books will have it. But Ryan Fox,
Ryan Fox has had I don't know what he's had
to be quite honest. Seventy two seventy three that's what
he has shot. I think he's shoot seventy three or
higher today. He made the cut at five over, but

(05:00):
I think Sun GM's got around in the sixties in
his bag for today. I think there's going to be
scoring at the US Open today. I think they want scoring.
I think they want it to be exciting. They want
to see some drama tomorrow. They don't want to see
someone run away with the golf tournaments. It's not happening
at the moment. Three under par from Sam Burns, two
under par for JJ Spawn and one under par for

(05:22):
Victor Hovelin. That is it for players under par at
the cut line at the turn, if you will on Saturday.
So I think we're gonna see some scoring, and I
think we're gonna see our guy, Ryan Fox, who had
a kind of an up and down rocky round yesterday.
Three over on the front, even par on the back.

(05:45):
He went Bertie bogie, par Bertie bogie, Bertie par par bogie.
On this golf course. When you start doing that, I'm
gonna start to fade you. At Oakmont, you've got to
be more consistent than that, because you can get in
trouble really quick and really easily. There are double boge's
all over the place. And I know Ryan Fox has
played well recently, but I didn't really buy it too much,

(06:06):
to be quite honest, when he was playing and he
won the Canadian Open, Okay, I kind of came out
of nowhere. He's had two wins in five weeks. This
is the US Open, Okay, I mean, this is the
US Open and he's five over. I think it ends
here for the New Zealander. I think he comes back

(06:26):
down to earth a little bit here today, and I
think Sunjay m gets him head to head m over Fox.
It's my one to twenty three at Circus Sports, one
point two to three units down. We're going to jump
in on that. Now to hockey game five. You know,
we're betting over on Bobrovski saves. Right, So the books
put it at twenty four and a half in game one,

(06:49):
twenty five and a half in game two, twenty six
and a half in game three, and yes, twenty seven
and a half in game four. Okay, that's what it was.
Now we're right back to twenty seven and a half.
Some books have gone to twenty eight and a half already.
I guess it was twenty six a half. It's like, sorry,
it was twenty four and a half. Twenty four and
a half, twenty five and a half, twenty six and
a half. For the first four games, it's four and oh.

(07:12):
It's gone over every game. We bet it in regulation,
and it hit in regulation by the skin of our teeth.
In game four, we bet over twenty six and a
half in regulation, he got twenty seven. I'm gonna lay
the Jews tonight, okay, And I'm gonna come in and say,
all right, I will lay this. But if you want
to go a bit less juicy DraftKings does have this
at twenty eight and a half. They've already gone to

(07:33):
twenty eight and a half. I played mis one forty five.
I've seen mice one fifty. The Oilers were the number
one team in the NHL for shots on goal. The
Panthers were number three in the regular season for shots
on goal. I don't think either one of these teams
really know how to play any other way. And frankly,
Brabrovski's four and oh. But if you look at the

(07:56):
way the goalies have played for the Oilers, whether it
be skinner or hard or pickard, excuse me, I mean
basically they're three and one. So I mean even when
Pickard came in in relief and played the second third
periods in overtime. He wound up with twenty three saves.
With a whole period missing, he wound up with twenty
three saves, played half of overtime, obviously ten minutes in overtime,

(08:19):
so he still wound up with a ton of shots
on net. Because the Panthers put a ton of pressure,
and you don't think the Panthers are going to come
out flying here in Game five, I mean it's two
to two. They blew a three to nothing lead. That
became the first team in the history of the Cup
Final to go up three nothing in the first period
and lose. It was zero to thirty seven before Game four,

(08:40):
and now it's one in thirty seven. There was a
time in which the four to Panthers were thirty one
to zero over three years with a two goal lead
in the playoffs. They've blown two two goal leads in
this series against the Oilers. I expect an incredible effort
tonight out of the Panthers. I expect a ton of
shots on goal for both the Oilers and the Panthers,

(09:04):
So I'm betting both. I think Calvin Pickard is going
to have a good game today. And his number is
only twenty five and a half, all right for saves,
so and that's only minus one ten. So while everybody
is looking at Brabroski, I think we can pivot for
a second and we can look at Pickard and bet
them both. Now, both goaltenders play really well. Game can

(09:27):
go under. Both goaltenders can see a ton of shots.
The game can go over. I think you're an idiot
to bet an under in this series. It's four and
out of the over. Three of the four games have
gone to overtime. I just I don't think that we're
you were in any spot to have a I don't
want to sweat this out money line total, I don't
want to sweat this out. I think it's more fun
to go to the prop market and just look at

(09:48):
the saves. And I think Pickard is going to see
a ton of shots from Florida. Over twenty five and
a half saves for Calvin Pickard and over twenty seven
and a half saves, it's juicy. Min one forty five mins,
one fifty first Surgey Bbrovski, but again four and oh
three and one. I don't think these teams play any differently. Okay,
we sweated it all the way to the end, but

(10:09):
four and oh is four and oh and again not.
I'm gonna include overtime in both these bets. Okay, you
need to include overtime, So not doing the regulation play
at FanDuel. I'm doing it with overtime because these games
are going to overtime so consistently. We've seen two of
the latest goals in the history of the Cup Final
being scored here in this very series, with under thirty

(10:31):
seconds to play in two games, we've seen two goals
in Game two in game four, ridiculous. This is in
the conversation for one of the best Cup Finals ever ever.
Bobrovski over his saves at twenty seven and a half,
Pickered over his saves at twenty five and a half.
I don't think it matters whether it's be high scoring

(10:52):
or low scoring. I think both goaltenders will be tested
a lot here tonight. In game number five. And finally,
we're going to the Red Sox and the Yankees. It's
run Don against Hunter Dobbins. Rendon and Dobbins jawsed faced
off and the Red Sox racked run Dome, five innings,

(11:13):
five eurned runs, two home runs, and it wasn't that
much better for Hunter Dobbins. Hunter Dobbins got lit up
by the Yankees. He went five innings, three earned runs,
two home runs himself in an eleven to seven win.
Now in this series, last night was the first time
the game went under. Game was at Yankee Stadium, but

(11:36):
it was nine to six, ten to seven, eleven to seven.
Red Sox were up three games to one after a
two to one walk off because Garrett Crochet was unbelievable
and then gave up a top of the ninth game
tying home run to Aaron Judge, which I'm not sure
that ball has landed yet, and then they walked it
off in the tenth so Red Tucks are up three

(11:58):
to one. That was the game that went under. Have
you been following and they're going to talk about it
a ton on the broadcast? Okay, it's the Fox Game
of the week. Hunter Dobbins claiming his dad played for
the Yankees and they mistreated him, and it's been all
over the back pages. I don't need to get into it,
but there's a lot of extracurricular stuff going on. New
York media has been like, they need to show this

(12:19):
guy up, they need to embarrass him for what he's done,
trying to embarrass the Yankees and embarrass the organization for
doing something that they never did. Blah blah blah. That
doesn't fact you're into the handicap all that much, except
that there's going to be a lot of eyeballs in
New York and Boston on Hunter Dobbins here tonight. And
I think he gets hit. I think he gives up
quite a few runs here today. He's a young guy,
twenty five years old and not used to being in

(12:40):
the middle of all this spotlight. And I think he
gives up three to four runs to the Yankees. I
think Boston will get two or three runs off front down,
and then the bullpens come in, and I think both
offenses will go to work. Here today on a Saturday,
over eight and a half Red Sox Yankees for one
point zero five units on this again, we're three and

(13:00):
one to the over over four days or four games.
Red Sox are three and one straight up. I would
lean towards the Yankees winning today, to be quite honest,
but I'm not laying one seventy five with the Yankees
on the road. No thank you coming up on that.
I have no interest in doing that. So our plays
for today Round three US Open head to head m

(13:22):
over Fox at minus one twenty three, Bob over twenty
seven and a half saves with overtime at minus one,
forty five, Pickered over twenty five and a half saves
with overtime at minus one ten, and the Red Sox
and the Yankees over eight and a half runs at
minus one oh five for one point zero five units.
My name is Matt Perolt. You guys can follow me
across all of my socials at Sports Talk Matt every

(13:43):
morning wherever you guys get your podcasts. It is the
Deally Juice.