March 8, 2025 • 26 mins
A rough Friday night for host Matt Perrault but the good news was the the Pick of the Day cashed again. That's 15 of the last 16 making it to the window. Matt has more college basketball bets and 2 NBA player props on the Saturday episode of the Daily Juice.
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Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:14):
Once up, guys, how are you welcome into a Saturday
morning episode of the Daily Juice Podcast. My name is
Matt Perolt. You guys can follow me across all of
my socials at Sports Talk Matt. And we are back
after not a good day. So the Betting Pros Daily
Juice Pick of the Day was the only bet that
cashed again, So we move to a ridiculous twenty one
(00:38):
to five and one mark for the Daily Juice Pick
of the Day. Just bet that, Like, don't bet anything
else that I am giving you. Just bet that. Okay,
that thing is an absolute cash cow, so much so
that people aren't believing it. And that's fine. You don't
have to believe what we're doing. What happens when you're hot,
and what happens when you shine a light on what
(01:00):
you're doing in the betting space, It brings out the trolls,
you know, in the true sense of the word, people
from underneath rocks and bridges and people that don't come
out to see sunlight. Right, These people that just have
nothing better to do but to come in question. Because
what happens when you get hot in these situations is
(01:22):
people start to pay attention and the people who pay
attention the newbies who are coming in, I would say
about ten to fifteen percent will stick around. The vast
majority will not stick around because they're not here for
the right reasons, right, they're just here for the streak
and when the streak doesn't hit, or they play other things.
Like my college basketball bets, which have been awful, like awful.
(01:45):
Both bets yesterday were completely garbage. I mean way wrong,
Illinois State, way wrong. Belmont crushed them first half for Southern.
They were in the game for the pretty much the
first twelve minutes, and then their offense. I was watching
it at the gym on the steermaster going like I'm
in trouble, Like this is flat out. SIU's offense was
not holding up, and then Drake just went ahead and
(02:08):
crushed him. You can bet Drake today if you want.
By the way, Drake should win and cover today. But
it's a frustration because the people that are coming in
who aren't here for the community are the ones that
are going to run their mouth. That are the ones
who are going to talk right now. And so it
doesn't matter how many winners I've given out this year,
(02:30):
it doesn't matter how successful our MBA prop bets have
been it doesn't matter. All that matters is that college
basketball has been cold to people are going to talk
trash instead of just fading the picks, which you should
fade all three of my bets today, I would fade them.
And I'm going to have the live stream or the
live chat on the Discord channel today. You're going to
(02:51):
get that coming up at eight o'clock in the morning Pacific,
eleven a m. Eastern, and we're going to talk about
the Valley Tournament. We've talked about other tournaments beginning beginner
on the country. And then obviously we have a gigantic,
huge slate of college basketball games, most of which I'm
not touching. I'm not betting North Carolina Duke. I'm not
betting Saint John's today, I'm not betting all the Marquee games.
(03:14):
Why the numbers are razors sharp. You see how many
ten point lines. Creighton plays today at home whiteout game.
Funny fact about that game, it's against Butler. Both teams
do not foul. But the white out game is something
that I helped to spearhead in Omaha when I was there,
and it's been one of the highlights of my career,
(03:35):
so much so that I had a framed picture of
the first ever whiteout game because I basically was on
the radio for two years imploring the university to do something,
to do a whiteout because it was the hot rage
thing going on in two thousand and four, mind you,
but in five they did it and it became a
big thing. And now it's twenty five and twenty years later,
(03:58):
they're still doing the whiteouts. So I generally bet the
game just for the hell of it, because I'll always
it's kind of like my baby at Creighton, so like,
I'm incredibly proud of what I was helped. I wasn't
the only one who did it, but I was the
loudest voice in the room in the market, yelling and
screaming about getting it done. It's on the radio every
(04:18):
day in the afternoon saying do it, do it, and
then they did it. It was awesome. Twenty years Okay,
every year, So I normally bet that ten point line.
Can't touch that. It's a good number. Creighton minus ten,
Duke at North Carolina minus ten and a half, you
want that, It's a hard number to bet, So anyways,
I'll give you three bets in college basketball. But if
(04:40):
you are new, just understand you're gonna get what you give.
A lot of people say, don't answer the trolls, like
don't don't feed the trolls as they say. No, I'm
gonna smack you, silly, just what I do, Okay. I
don't play this game where you get to hide behind
an anonymous name and an anonymous handle and run your
(05:00):
mouth and say things. I'm not built like that. Like
I'm here, I'm public, my name, my face, easy to find,
easy to find me. I'm an easy target. I get it.
But I'm gonna give as much as I get, and
I'm gonna put you on blast real quick, real quick.
And if you don't like it, not my problem. Okay,
(05:22):
Like I'm the wrong guy to mess with. I don't
play around. Okay, some other people just like turn the
other cheek and just move on. I ain't built like that,
Not how I was raised, not how I'm forty seven
years old. Okay. Best thing I ever did was put
boxing gloves on. There's a reason I did that. So, okay,
(05:44):
here's what we got today. I got three player. I
got three college basketball bets. Again, fatam all I got
two NBA Player props. We got the player the prop
bet of the Day yesterday right that came in. So
we're fifteen and one over the last sixteen days. We're
twenty one five and one on our Player of the
Day since February fifth. All documented do your research and
(06:06):
go and figure out whatever you got to figure out. Okay,
so I got two NBA player props for you as well,
one over and one under. I have no idea what
will we picked. Mike Mayer picks it out of the
five plays he scrolls to and picks it. But again,
we will do the live stream at eleven a m.
Eastern Time on the Discord channel bettingpros dot com slash
chat to jump in now if you guys want a
(06:28):
free trial of the Betting Pros app so you can
get into Betting Pros Premium on your screen. Is how
you can do it. Seven days for free of Betting
Pros Premium when you download the Betting Pros app and
use the code juice to get a seven day free trial. Okay,
it's going to prompt you when you download it. You're
gonna have a chance to go ahead and jump in here.
(06:50):
Seven day free trial download the Betting pros app, use
the code juice, and then you can use it on
both desktop and on your app on your phone to
go and research the prop bet cheat sheet and the
prop bet analyzer and everything I do to go ahead
and get myself the prop bets. Okay, you can come
up with your own criteria. You can use your own information.
(07:11):
Do me a favor, Go and do this, it's free.
Before you ask me questions like Matt, why did you
like that bet? Okay, people were asking me, like, I
don't understand. You're throwing data at me. Well, how come
he's hit this on this? Ask the math? Okay, Like,
(07:32):
don't ask me, it's the math. This is just I'm
using certain criteria to siphon through the data to come
up with a bet that I like. All right, And
if you're curious why so many unders are what the
prop bit cheat sheet likes, think about that for a second.
Why would the prop bet cheat sheet like so many unders?
(07:54):
Is because you donkeys are betting overs on everything. This
is what the books love you for. There's a reason
why the books are in love with player prop overs
and parlays. Okay, they juice them all up. They look
at the overs I have missed, like last night with
dearon Fox. Look how often of an over bet has
missed and how often an under bet has cashed. Think
(08:18):
about that. There's a reason why the prop bet cheat
sheet likes unders. Don't question it. Bet it okay, bet it.
Don't be like that. It's pretty simple. I mean it's
really at the end of the day, it's it's it's
pretty simple. But after you find the plays, if you
need a place to make a bet, bet three six five.
(08:40):
We've got an offer for the bet the Daily Juice audience.
You can turn five dollars into one hundred and fifty
dollars of bonus bets when you join bet three six five.
To claim the offer, just go to betting pros dot
com slash three six five and deposit at least ten dollars.
If you place a bet of at least five dollars,
you earn one hundred and fifty dollars in bonus bets. Again,
that's betting pros dot Com Slash three six five. You
(09:01):
must be twenty one plus over only must be actually
physically present in the states of Arizona, Colorado, Indiana, Iowa, Kentucky, Louisiana,
North Carolina, New Jersey, Ohio, or Virginia. Gambling problem called
one hundred gambler or one hundred bets off if you
live in Iowa, terms and conditions do ply. Speaking of Kentucky,
(09:22):
I'll be headed to Kentucky and Nashville coming up this week,
so I'll be actually traveling on Tuesday. You'll see Tuesday
and Wednesday nights, we won't be in the Home Studio
here in Vegas. We will be in Kentucky out We'll
be at the Mint for a live show for my
other show on Tuesday and Wednesday. So if you're in
the area, come on by and say hi at the Mint,
(09:45):
at the Circus Sports Book at the Mint, we'll be
there for Tuesday and Wednesday nights watching SEC Tournament basketball
and just hanging out and having a good time. So
I'm going to the Elijah Craig Brewery by the way,
in case you are an Elijah Craig fan like me,
going to the Elijah Craig Distillery. Cannot wait, not Berebra Distillery.
I cannot wait. I'm so excited to go. I've got
five bottles of Elijah Craig and my liquor cabinet and
(10:07):
it's by far my number one favorite whiskey, so I
cannot or bourbon both raye Bourbon. I just have a
big Elijah Craig fan, so excited to go and check
that out. Coming up this actually on Tuesday afternoon, after
I land, I'm going straight to the Elijah Craig Distillery
in Kentucky. So it should be a fun week for
me here on this. Let's talk about the bets here today.
(10:28):
Enough for ranting and raving. Let's get to and you
guys are gonna hate these bets like you are gonna
hate these plays. Do you guys know who the number
one team in college basketball is against the spread in
twenty twenty five this season? The number one ATS team?
That would be you see San Diego. The Big West
(10:48):
Tournament happens here in Nevada in Henderson, Nevada. I've been
to this tournament two times. I'm going again. It is
gonna be an absolute great tournament. There's some really interesting teams.
With the top two teams here, you see San Diego
and you see Irvine. San Diego is twenty seven and four.
(11:09):
Irvine is twenty six and five. Both these teams need
to win because at seventeen and two in conference, San
Diego cannot let up the gas to win the regular
season in the one seed in this tournament, and then
Irvine at sixteen and thirteen. If San Diego were to
lose and Irvine wins, they would then tie. I'm not
sure what the tiebreaker is between these two, but the
(11:31):
way the bracket is set up, these two teams are
going to advance all the way to Friday. The one
seed in the two seed. This begins on Wednesday here
in Vegas. The five seed plays the eight seed, the
sixth seed plays the seventh seed, and then the four
and the three get it one by they get a
single buye the one in two seeds they get a
double by all the way to Friday, and the championship
(11:53):
game is Saturday here in Henderson, Nevada. Which this tournament's fun.
It's a fun tournament and a lot of folks come
over from the California area. Long Beach brings people, you see,
Davis has brought people in the past, so this is
going to be a fun tournament. You see San Diego
has been great this year against the number they play.
(12:15):
You see, Davis This is, according to Kempalm, a seventy
four to fifty nine win. Again, this is the number
one team in college basketball against the number No. One's
really been talking about them. Why, I don't know, but
you see, Davis is one in four ats over their
last five. They haven't covered in their last two games,
(12:37):
and they've lost five games in a row. They just
played you see Irvine. More on them here in a second,
and they lost by twenty nine points at home. Here
comes you see San Diego. They just beat Long Beach
State at home only by seven. They were laying twenty three.
So a little bit of a bounce back spot here
because style points matter. Here you see San Diego. Even
(13:00):
though they probably won't be getting an at large bid,
their net rating is actually not horrible. Their net rating
is actually kind of in the conversation. They're thirty eight
in the net rating. That's not horrible. Okay, they are
thirty eighth in ken Palm. Like they'll have a legitimate
conversation if they lose in the Big West Tournament to
(13:23):
maybe and I had to a big old maybe getting
a large bid most likely, No, most likely they gotta
win the tournament to get in. But We'll see how
it all plays out. You see San Diego, this is
a big number. Not gonna lie twelve and a half.
It's a big number. I'm gonna lay it. You see
San Diego on the road, they're fourteen and two this year,
ats nine and one over their last ten, and they're
(13:45):
sixteen and three ats in conference play. You see Davis
is ten, eight and one in conference play. Need to
send a message here on the road, get a big
w send a message and do exactly what Irvine just
did to you see Davis. They beat them by twenty nine.
Similar type of game here for San Diego. Lay the
(14:07):
twelve and a half. You see San Diego minus twelve
and a half for one point one units. Second game,
let's talk about you see Irvine and their game here today. Look,
you see Irvine is going to be without one of
their best players. Their starting guard who leads them in assists,
(14:27):
is questionable. And it looks like by the line move
which was six and a half at one point, it
was pulled down and put back up at three and
a half. Okay, so according to KEMPOM, this is a
five point win for Irvine. But you gotta be a
little concerned here obviously when it comes to injuries and
(14:48):
what exactly is gonna happen here. For you see Irvine
up against you see Santa Barbara. So it's a five
point win. You see Santa Barbara is a seven and
eight in conference play at the moment. But you see Irvine,
even without a really good guard, should be able to
(15:08):
win this game. They have been playing extremely well and
I mean killing people on the road. And it's one
of those teams that I think the gambling community has
been talking about quietly because of what they've been doing
on the road. Thirteen and six ats on the road,
twelve and seven in conference, nineteen and eleven overall. For
(15:31):
you see Irvine and a team that has won four
games in a row. They've won six of seven and
they've covered in four of those seven games. They won
by twenty nine on the road against Davis. In their
last game, they beat Long Beach by ten, didn't cover,
but they beat Fulgetin by twenty five. They beat Bakersfield
by nine on the road. They've been killing people on
(15:54):
the road. They haven't been as great at home, but
on the road against Davis, won by twenty nine. Against
filochin won by twenty five. Against Hawaii won by seventeen.
Those are their last three road games. This is a
road game Irvine again, trying to get style points, trying
to show out a little bit. The number is three
(16:14):
and a half. I'm gonna buy the half a point
and I'm gonna lay the three with Irvine against Santa Barbara.
We're gonna go ahead, Irvine the ant Eaters minus three
for one point twenty five at minus one twenty five.
I don't think we'll need it. I just don't want
to lose it. I just don't want to lose a
number and get burned like I have before. You can
(16:36):
bet money line if you want, but it's just gonna
get pretty expensive to go ahead and do that. I'm
gonna take Irvine on the road against Santa Barbara here.
Santa Barbara is seven and seven ats at home this year,
not that great, and like I mentioned, they're coming off
of a loss to Cal State Northridge, were lost by
twenty six points. There are five point dogs. Their last
home game against Cal Poly, they played pretty well, lay
(16:57):
in seven, they won by nineteen, and they covered beat
Cal Fullerton by thirty. But this is a different team
when they're taking on the higher end teams here in
this conference. They've been eh, not great, and they played
Irvine on the road. They caught eight and a half,
they lost by two. Irvine's gonna come in here knowing
they've got to get a w after what's going on,
trying to guarantee themselves a one or a two seed,
(17:20):
and you can't have a bad loss in your resume.
At this point, I'll lay the three with UC Irvine
on the road against UC Centa Barbara, even without one
of their better players, I think they'll be able to
overcome that Irvine miles three for one point one units.
And finally let's go to the America East Tournament. You
heard me U mass Lowell at Maine. Like, if you
(17:43):
guys have watched this podcast before, you understand what I
do here. I tend to bet teams. I know when
U mass Lowell went D one, the first radio station
that they were on was the station I was running
in Nashville. In Hampshire, Pat Duqutt is still the head
coach of U mass Lowell. I love watching you mass
low I love bet you mass low U mass Lowell
is at Maine and they're catching three points here on
(18:05):
the road in orin O, Maine. These two teams just
played like five days ago. They just played. It was
a one point win for U mass Lowell. They were
laying two and a half points and sorry, so they
were catching two a half point. Excuse me, they were
catching two and a half and they lost by they
lost by one. Sorry, Maine won the game. U mess
(18:25):
Lowell lost the game, but they covered. They're catching two
and a half. They lost by one. U mass Lowell
has had a very good run here in the America
East Tournament. This team under Pat Duqutt, they've been eligible
eight times for the postseason at a D one level.
They've qualified for the America East Playoffs every single season.
(18:46):
So the second time they faced Maine in the playoffs,
they faced them back in twenty three. They beat him
eighty five fifty four different teams of players. But U
mass Lowell has now appeared in the championship game three
of the last four years. They lost it last year
to Vermont. This is a different Vermont team. UMass Lowell
can win this tournament. They absolutely can can win this tournament.
(19:07):
They have been very good in certain departments and certain
things this year with Pat Duquette having an athletic team
that can shoot the rock. They can shoot the three,
and this is one thing that a lot of people
who have been watching UMass Lowell this year go okay.
This is a little bit of a different type of
team for UMass Lowell with the way that they've been playing.
(19:29):
Effective field goal percentage fiftieth in the country. They are
in the top one fifty for three point shooting. They're
in the top thirty five for two point shooting in
college basketball. They hit their free throws, which is huge
for tournament games when it gets tight late, hit your
free throws. They're twenty eighth in the country in free
throw shooting. This UMass Lowell team has a chance, even
(19:52):
though they're six and ten in conference this year. They
got a chance. They've had some bad luck, some close losses,
some unfortunate breaks. Lost to Albany in overtime. They lost
to Maine in overtime eighty six, eighty five. They've played
Maine two times. They've lost by one point two points
in total, separate two losses in this game for these
(20:12):
two teams. I'm gonna take the three points here, giving
you mass Low plus three on the road up against Maine.
I'm not going to be surprised at all if you
mass Low wins this game here outright and wins in
the America East Tournament and advances here. I'm taking to
you mass Low plus three on the road at Maine
here today in the America East Tournament. Okay, here comes
(20:33):
your player props on the prop bet cheat sheet. All
right again, these are the numbers at the time of taping.
As players get ruled in and ruled out. As numbers move,
value changes. That's why the numbers move. You may see
it differently than I may see it right now, just FYI,
But I bet overnight, so I bet at what I see.
We're going back to Dyson Daniels points and rebounds. It's set.
(20:57):
The prop is set at twenty one and a half.
The per ject is for seventeen. It's a difference of
four here. It's a five star play with a plus
forty EV positive EV. That's the best number you can have.
This is up against a team in which he is
hitting it at about fifty percent up against for Dyson Daniels.
(21:17):
He did not hit twenty one and a half last
time out up against Indiana, but he did hit it
on the first of February. So we've seen these two
teams here with this. Okay, where you have at Indiana,
he did not. He did get it at home. He
did not get it. This game is at home. Over
(21:39):
his last fifteen games, if you look at this new overall,
eight of fifteen to the under. Three of the last
four have gone under twenty one and a half, but
the numbers have been normally set at twenty and a half.
He's gone over the last two games. He hit twenty
one in the last game out against Indiana on the sixth.
In the last game against Indiana, twenty one p twenty
(22:00):
undred points in rebounds seventeen points four rebounds. Prop was
twenty and a half. Now the prop is twenty one
and a half as the books move it up. Against
Milwaukee he was twenty and a half. He went over
twenty five, but the two previous game before that under
got seventeen, under got fourteen, so two and two over
the last four games when the number has been set
(22:21):
here at twenty and a half. However, the prop is
now twenty one and a half as the books have
moved it up. And that's why the prop bet cheat
she says, Okay, we're finally at a number that's too high.
We're gonna bet the under on Dyson Daniels under twenty
one and a half. Points and rebounds for Dyson Daniels
at minus one twenty final bet for the day Cole Anthony.
(22:43):
Now he is day to day, okay, but he should
be playing in this game. Hopefully he doesn't get scratched
here in this game, points, rebounds and assists sixteen and
a half is this number for Cole Anthony taking on
the Milwaukee Bucks. Now. Last time out for him against
the Bulls, this prop was nineteen and a half. He
(23:04):
got twenty seven flew over, however, and the three actually
four previous games he went under nineteen and a half
against Toronto, nineteen and a half against Cleveland, twenty three
and a half against Washington. There wasn't a line for
him because he wasn't expected to play, but he had
(23:25):
twenty two, so it depending on He probably would have
gone over against Golden State, but there wasn't a number
for this for him, so it didn't really matter. But
when there has been a number, he's three and one
to the under over the last four games in which
there's been a number here for Cole Anthony. It's sixteen
and a half. The prop bet cheat sheet likes over
(23:47):
here for this. We don't always see a lot of
these overs, but we're going over for Cole Anthony here
for him to get some action offensively, and look, he's
a guy that Look at what he's done. His last
time out, had twenty seven against Chicago. Against Toronto, Leoh
(24:08):
had nine against Golden Zid. Like I mentioned, he had
twenty two. So two of the last three games he's
gone over sixteen and a half, and his usage has
been going up minutes wise twenty three, twenty three, twenty six,
twenty one, twenty one, thirty four. As long as he's
in the game for over twenty minutes, you gotta feel
pretty good about the opportunity for Cole Anthony here to
come in and go points, rebounds and assists over sixteen
(24:29):
and half. Okay, so here's our card for today. Fade away.
You see Irvine minus three on the road. You see
San Diego minus twelve and a half on the road.
You masked Lowell plus three on the road. Dyson Daniels
points and rebounds under twenty one and a half. Cole
(24:52):
Anthony points, rebounds, and assists over sixteen and half. One
of those plays will be the pick of the day.
I will talk to you for more. I probably am
not going to add anything to the college basketball card,
highly and likely, but I will tell you what my
personal plays are and I will tell you what I
like on the live chat will be our last regular
(25:12):
season live chat for us because we'll start taking over
some actual YouTube videos. We're going to go live on
Saturday morning on YouTube during the NSAA tournament, so we
won't do in moon live chats on the Discord channel.
Trel Furman and I will be live actually on the
Betting Pros YouTube channel at eleven o'clock Eastern on Saturdays
for the tournament, but for today, we'll be on eleven
(25:35):
am Eastern time bettingpros dot com slash chat. Come join
me to talk college basketball here this morning. My name
is Matt Parolt. Join me across all my social at
sports Doc Matt. Every single morning wherever you guys get
your podcasts, it is the Daily Juice
Once up, guys, how are you welcome into a Saturday
morning episode of the Daily Juice Podcast. My name is
Matt Perolt. You guys can follow me across all of
my socials at Sports Talk Matt. And we are back
after not a good day. So the Betting Pros Daily
Juice Pick of the Day was the only bet that
cashed again, So we move to a ridiculous twenty one
(00:38):
to five and one mark for the Daily Juice Pick
of the Day. Just bet that, Like, don't bet anything
else that I am giving you. Just bet that. Okay,
that thing is an absolute cash cow, so much so
that people aren't believing it. And that's fine. You don't
have to believe what we're doing. What happens when you're hot,
and what happens when you shine a light on what
(01:00):
you're doing in the betting space, It brings out the trolls,
you know, in the true sense of the word, people
from underneath rocks and bridges and people that don't come
out to see sunlight. Right, These people that just have
nothing better to do but to come in question. Because
what happens when you get hot in these situations is
(01:22):
people start to pay attention and the people who pay
attention the newbies who are coming in, I would say
about ten to fifteen percent will stick around. The vast
majority will not stick around because they're not here for
the right reasons, right, they're just here for the streak
and when the streak doesn't hit, or they play other things.
Like my college basketball bets, which have been awful, like awful.
(01:45):
Both bets yesterday were completely garbage. I mean way wrong,
Illinois State, way wrong. Belmont crushed them first half for Southern.
They were in the game for the pretty much the
first twelve minutes, and then their offense. I was watching
it at the gym on the steermaster going like I'm
in trouble, Like this is flat out. SIU's offense was
not holding up, and then Drake just went ahead and
(02:08):
crushed him. You can bet Drake today if you want.
By the way, Drake should win and cover today. But
it's a frustration because the people that are coming in
who aren't here for the community are the ones that
are going to run their mouth. That are the ones
who are going to talk right now. And so it
doesn't matter how many winners I've given out this year,
(02:30):
it doesn't matter how successful our MBA prop bets have
been it doesn't matter. All that matters is that college
basketball has been cold to people are going to talk
trash instead of just fading the picks, which you should
fade all three of my bets today, I would fade them.
And I'm going to have the live stream or the
live chat on the Discord channel today. You're going to
(02:51):
get that coming up at eight o'clock in the morning Pacific,
eleven a m. Eastern, and we're going to talk about
the Valley Tournament. We've talked about other tournaments beginning beginner
on the country. And then obviously we have a gigantic,
huge slate of college basketball games, most of which I'm
not touching. I'm not betting North Carolina Duke. I'm not
betting Saint John's today, I'm not betting all the Marquee games.
(03:14):
Why the numbers are razors sharp. You see how many
ten point lines. Creighton plays today at home whiteout game.
Funny fact about that game, it's against Butler. Both teams
do not foul. But the white out game is something
that I helped to spearhead in Omaha when I was there,
and it's been one of the highlights of my career,
(03:35):
so much so that I had a framed picture of
the first ever whiteout game because I basically was on
the radio for two years imploring the university to do something,
to do a whiteout because it was the hot rage
thing going on in two thousand and four, mind you,
but in five they did it and it became a
big thing. And now it's twenty five and twenty years later,
(03:58):
they're still doing the whiteouts. So I generally bet the
game just for the hell of it, because I'll always
it's kind of like my baby at Creighton, so like,
I'm incredibly proud of what I was helped. I wasn't
the only one who did it, but I was the
loudest voice in the room in the market, yelling and
screaming about getting it done. It's on the radio every
(04:18):
day in the afternoon saying do it, do it, and
then they did it. It was awesome. Twenty years Okay,
every year, So I normally bet that ten point line.
Can't touch that. It's a good number. Creighton minus ten,
Duke at North Carolina minus ten and a half, you
want that, It's a hard number to bet, So anyways,
I'll give you three bets in college basketball. But if
(04:40):
you are new, just understand you're gonna get what you give.
A lot of people say, don't answer the trolls, like
don't don't feed the trolls as they say. No, I'm
gonna smack you, silly, just what I do, Okay. I
don't play this game where you get to hide behind
an anonymous name and an anonymous handle and run your
(05:00):
mouth and say things. I'm not built like that. Like
I'm here, I'm public, my name, my face, easy to find,
easy to find me. I'm an easy target. I get it.
But I'm gonna give as much as I get, and
I'm gonna put you on blast real quick, real quick.
And if you don't like it, not my problem. Okay,
(05:22):
Like I'm the wrong guy to mess with. I don't
play around. Okay, some other people just like turn the
other cheek and just move on. I ain't built like that,
Not how I was raised, not how I'm forty seven
years old. Okay. Best thing I ever did was put
boxing gloves on. There's a reason I did that. So, okay,
(05:44):
here's what we got today. I got three player. I
got three college basketball bets. Again, fatam all I got
two NBA Player props. We got the player the prop
bet of the Day yesterday right that came in. So
we're fifteen and one over the last sixteen days. We're
twenty one five and one on our Player of the
Day since February fifth. All documented do your research and
(06:06):
go and figure out whatever you got to figure out. Okay,
so I got two NBA player props for you as well,
one over and one under. I have no idea what
will we picked. Mike Mayer picks it out of the
five plays he scrolls to and picks it. But again,
we will do the live stream at eleven a m.
Eastern Time on the Discord channel bettingpros dot com slash
chat to jump in now if you guys want a
(06:28):
free trial of the Betting Pros app so you can
get into Betting Pros Premium on your screen. Is how
you can do it. Seven days for free of Betting
Pros Premium when you download the Betting Pros app and
use the code juice to get a seven day free trial. Okay,
it's going to prompt you when you download it. You're
gonna have a chance to go ahead and jump in here.
(06:50):
Seven day free trial download the Betting pros app, use
the code juice, and then you can use it on
both desktop and on your app on your phone to
go and research the prop bet cheat sheet and the
prop bet analyzer and everything I do to go ahead
and get myself the prop bets. Okay, you can come
up with your own criteria. You can use your own information.
(07:11):
Do me a favor, Go and do this, it's free.
Before you ask me questions like Matt, why did you
like that bet? Okay, people were asking me, like, I
don't understand. You're throwing data at me. Well, how come
he's hit this on this? Ask the math? Okay, Like,
(07:32):
don't ask me, it's the math. This is just I'm
using certain criteria to siphon through the data to come
up with a bet that I like. All right, And
if you're curious why so many unders are what the
prop bit cheat sheet likes, think about that for a second.
Why would the prop bet cheat sheet like so many unders?
(07:54):
Is because you donkeys are betting overs on everything. This
is what the books love you for. There's a reason
why the books are in love with player prop overs
and parlays. Okay, they juice them all up. They look
at the overs I have missed, like last night with
dearon Fox. Look how often of an over bet has
missed and how often an under bet has cashed. Think
(08:18):
about that. There's a reason why the prop bet cheat
sheet likes unders. Don't question it. Bet it okay, bet it.
Don't be like that. It's pretty simple. I mean it's
really at the end of the day, it's it's it's
pretty simple. But after you find the plays, if you
need a place to make a bet, bet three six five.
(08:40):
We've got an offer for the bet the Daily Juice audience.
You can turn five dollars into one hundred and fifty
dollars of bonus bets when you join bet three six five.
To claim the offer, just go to betting pros dot
com slash three six five and deposit at least ten dollars.
If you place a bet of at least five dollars,
you earn one hundred and fifty dollars in bonus bets. Again,
that's betting pros dot Com Slash three six five. You
(09:01):
must be twenty one plus over only must be actually
physically present in the states of Arizona, Colorado, Indiana, Iowa, Kentucky, Louisiana,
North Carolina, New Jersey, Ohio, or Virginia. Gambling problem called
one hundred gambler or one hundred bets off if you
live in Iowa, terms and conditions do ply. Speaking of Kentucky,
(09:22):
I'll be headed to Kentucky and Nashville coming up this week,
so I'll be actually traveling on Tuesday. You'll see Tuesday
and Wednesday nights, we won't be in the Home Studio
here in Vegas. We will be in Kentucky out We'll
be at the Mint for a live show for my
other show on Tuesday and Wednesday. So if you're in
the area, come on by and say hi at the Mint,
(09:45):
at the Circus Sports Book at the Mint, we'll be
there for Tuesday and Wednesday nights watching SEC Tournament basketball
and just hanging out and having a good time. So
I'm going to the Elijah Craig Brewery by the way,
in case you are an Elijah Craig fan like me,
going to the Elijah Craig Distillery. Cannot wait, not Berebra Distillery.
I cannot wait. I'm so excited to go. I've got
five bottles of Elijah Craig and my liquor cabinet and
(10:07):
it's by far my number one favorite whiskey, so I
cannot or bourbon both raye Bourbon. I just have a
big Elijah Craig fan, so excited to go and check
that out. Coming up this actually on Tuesday afternoon, after
I land, I'm going straight to the Elijah Craig Distillery
in Kentucky. So it should be a fun week for
me here on this. Let's talk about the bets here today.
(10:28):
Enough for ranting and raving. Let's get to and you
guys are gonna hate these bets like you are gonna
hate these plays. Do you guys know who the number
one team in college basketball is against the spread in
twenty twenty five this season? The number one ATS team?
That would be you see San Diego. The Big West
(10:48):
Tournament happens here in Nevada in Henderson, Nevada. I've been
to this tournament two times. I'm going again. It is
gonna be an absolute great tournament. There's some really interesting teams.
With the top two teams here, you see San Diego
and you see Irvine. San Diego is twenty seven and four.
(11:09):
Irvine is twenty six and five. Both these teams need
to win because at seventeen and two in conference, San
Diego cannot let up the gas to win the regular
season in the one seed in this tournament, and then
Irvine at sixteen and thirteen. If San Diego were to
lose and Irvine wins, they would then tie. I'm not
sure what the tiebreaker is between these two, but the
(11:31):
way the bracket is set up, these two teams are
going to advance all the way to Friday. The one
seed in the two seed. This begins on Wednesday here
in Vegas. The five seed plays the eight seed, the
sixth seed plays the seventh seed, and then the four
and the three get it one by they get a
single buye the one in two seeds they get a
double by all the way to Friday, and the championship
(11:53):
game is Saturday here in Henderson, Nevada. Which this tournament's fun.
It's a fun tournament and a lot of folks come
over from the California area. Long Beach brings people, you see,
Davis has brought people in the past, so this is
going to be a fun tournament. You see San Diego
has been great this year against the number they play.
(12:15):
You see, Davis This is, according to Kempalm, a seventy
four to fifty nine win. Again, this is the number
one team in college basketball against the number No. One's
really been talking about them. Why, I don't know, but
you see, Davis is one in four ats over their
last five. They haven't covered in their last two games,
(12:37):
and they've lost five games in a row. They just
played you see Irvine. More on them here in a second,
and they lost by twenty nine points at home. Here
comes you see San Diego. They just beat Long Beach
State at home only by seven. They were laying twenty three.
So a little bit of a bounce back spot here
because style points matter. Here you see San Diego. Even
(13:00):
though they probably won't be getting an at large bid,
their net rating is actually not horrible. Their net rating
is actually kind of in the conversation. They're thirty eight
in the net rating. That's not horrible. Okay, they are
thirty eighth in ken Palm. Like they'll have a legitimate
conversation if they lose in the Big West Tournament to
(13:23):
maybe and I had to a big old maybe getting
a large bid most likely, No, most likely they gotta
win the tournament to get in. But We'll see how
it all plays out. You see San Diego, this is
a big number. Not gonna lie twelve and a half.
It's a big number. I'm gonna lay it. You see
San Diego on the road, they're fourteen and two this year,
ats nine and one over their last ten, and they're
(13:45):
sixteen and three ats in conference play. You see Davis
is ten, eight and one in conference play. Need to
send a message here on the road, get a big
w send a message and do exactly what Irvine just
did to you see Davis. They beat them by twenty nine.
Similar type of game here for San Diego. Lay the
(14:07):
twelve and a half. You see San Diego minus twelve
and a half for one point one units. Second game,
let's talk about you see Irvine and their game here today. Look,
you see Irvine is going to be without one of
their best players. Their starting guard who leads them in assists,
(14:27):
is questionable. And it looks like by the line move
which was six and a half at one point, it
was pulled down and put back up at three and
a half. Okay, so according to KEMPOM, this is a
five point win for Irvine. But you gotta be a
little concerned here obviously when it comes to injuries and
(14:48):
what exactly is gonna happen here. For you see Irvine
up against you see Santa Barbara. So it's a five
point win. You see Santa Barbara is a seven and
eight in conference play at the moment. But you see Irvine,
even without a really good guard, should be able to
(15:08):
win this game. They have been playing extremely well and
I mean killing people on the road. And it's one
of those teams that I think the gambling community has
been talking about quietly because of what they've been doing
on the road. Thirteen and six ats on the road,
twelve and seven in conference, nineteen and eleven overall. For
(15:31):
you see Irvine and a team that has won four
games in a row. They've won six of seven and
they've covered in four of those seven games. They won
by twenty nine on the road against Davis. In their
last game, they beat Long Beach by ten, didn't cover,
but they beat Fulgetin by twenty five. They beat Bakersfield
by nine on the road. They've been killing people on
(15:54):
the road. They haven't been as great at home, but
on the road against Davis, won by twenty nine. Against
filochin won by twenty five. Against Hawaii won by seventeen.
Those are their last three road games. This is a
road game Irvine again, trying to get style points, trying
to show out a little bit. The number is three
(16:14):
and a half. I'm gonna buy the half a point
and I'm gonna lay the three with Irvine against Santa Barbara.
We're gonna go ahead, Irvine the ant Eaters minus three
for one point twenty five at minus one twenty five.
I don't think we'll need it. I just don't want
to lose it. I just don't want to lose a
number and get burned like I have before. You can
(16:36):
bet money line if you want, but it's just gonna
get pretty expensive to go ahead and do that. I'm
gonna take Irvine on the road against Santa Barbara here.
Santa Barbara is seven and seven ats at home this year,
not that great, and like I mentioned, they're coming off
of a loss to Cal State Northridge, were lost by
twenty six points. There are five point dogs. Their last
home game against Cal Poly, they played pretty well, lay
(16:57):
in seven, they won by nineteen, and they covered beat
Cal Fullerton by thirty. But this is a different team
when they're taking on the higher end teams here in
this conference. They've been eh, not great, and they played
Irvine on the road. They caught eight and a half,
they lost by two. Irvine's gonna come in here knowing
they've got to get a w after what's going on,
trying to guarantee themselves a one or a two seed,
(17:20):
and you can't have a bad loss in your resume.
At this point, I'll lay the three with UC Irvine
on the road against UC Centa Barbara, even without one
of their better players, I think they'll be able to
overcome that Irvine miles three for one point one units.
And finally let's go to the America East Tournament. You
heard me U mass Lowell at Maine. Like, if you
(17:43):
guys have watched this podcast before, you understand what I
do here. I tend to bet teams. I know when
U mass Lowell went D one, the first radio station
that they were on was the station I was running
in Nashville. In Hampshire, Pat Duqutt is still the head
coach of U mass Lowell. I love watching you mass
low I love bet you mass low U mass Lowell
is at Maine and they're catching three points here on
(18:05):
the road in orin O, Maine. These two teams just
played like five days ago. They just played. It was
a one point win for U mass Lowell. They were
laying two and a half points and sorry, so they
were catching two a half point. Excuse me, they were
catching two and a half and they lost by they
lost by one. Sorry, Maine won the game. U mess
(18:25):
Lowell lost the game, but they covered. They're catching two
and a half. They lost by one. U mass Lowell
has had a very good run here in the America
East Tournament. This team under Pat Duqutt, they've been eligible
eight times for the postseason at a D one level.
They've qualified for the America East Playoffs every single season.
(18:46):
So the second time they faced Maine in the playoffs,
they faced them back in twenty three. They beat him
eighty five fifty four different teams of players. But U
mass Lowell has now appeared in the championship game three
of the last four years. They lost it last year
to Vermont. This is a different Vermont team. UMass Lowell
can win this tournament. They absolutely can can win this tournament.
(19:07):
They have been very good in certain departments and certain
things this year with Pat Duquette having an athletic team
that can shoot the rock. They can shoot the three,
and this is one thing that a lot of people
who have been watching UMass Lowell this year go okay.
This is a little bit of a different type of
team for UMass Lowell with the way that they've been playing.
(19:29):
Effective field goal percentage fiftieth in the country. They are
in the top one fifty for three point shooting. They're
in the top thirty five for two point shooting in
college basketball. They hit their free throws, which is huge
for tournament games when it gets tight late, hit your
free throws. They're twenty eighth in the country in free
throw shooting. This UMass Lowell team has a chance, even
(19:52):
though they're six and ten in conference this year. They
got a chance. They've had some bad luck, some close losses,
some unfortunate breaks. Lost to Albany in overtime. They lost
to Maine in overtime eighty six, eighty five. They've played
Maine two times. They've lost by one point two points
in total, separate two losses in this game for these
(20:12):
two teams. I'm gonna take the three points here, giving
you mass Low plus three on the road up against Maine.
I'm not going to be surprised at all if you
mass Low wins this game here outright and wins in
the America East Tournament and advances here. I'm taking to
you mass Low plus three on the road at Maine
here today in the America East Tournament. Okay, here comes
(20:33):
your player props on the prop bet cheat sheet. All
right again, these are the numbers at the time of taping.
As players get ruled in and ruled out. As numbers move,
value changes. That's why the numbers move. You may see
it differently than I may see it right now, just FYI,
But I bet overnight, so I bet at what I see.
We're going back to Dyson Daniels points and rebounds. It's set.
(20:57):
The prop is set at twenty one and a half.
The per ject is for seventeen. It's a difference of
four here. It's a five star play with a plus
forty EV positive EV. That's the best number you can have.
This is up against a team in which he is
hitting it at about fifty percent up against for Dyson Daniels.
(21:17):
He did not hit twenty one and a half last
time out up against Indiana, but he did hit it
on the first of February. So we've seen these two
teams here with this. Okay, where you have at Indiana,
he did not. He did get it at home. He
did not get it. This game is at home. Over
(21:39):
his last fifteen games, if you look at this new overall,
eight of fifteen to the under. Three of the last
four have gone under twenty one and a half, but
the numbers have been normally set at twenty and a half.
He's gone over the last two games. He hit twenty
one in the last game out against Indiana on the sixth.
In the last game against Indiana, twenty one p twenty
(22:00):
undred points in rebounds seventeen points four rebounds. Prop was
twenty and a half. Now the prop is twenty one
and a half as the books move it up. Against
Milwaukee he was twenty and a half. He went over
twenty five, but the two previous game before that under
got seventeen, under got fourteen, so two and two over
the last four games when the number has been set
(22:21):
here at twenty and a half. However, the prop is
now twenty one and a half as the books have
moved it up. And that's why the prop bet cheat
she says, Okay, we're finally at a number that's too high.
We're gonna bet the under on Dyson Daniels under twenty
one and a half. Points and rebounds for Dyson Daniels
at minus one twenty final bet for the day Cole Anthony.
(22:43):
Now he is day to day, okay, but he should
be playing in this game. Hopefully he doesn't get scratched
here in this game, points, rebounds and assists sixteen and
a half is this number for Cole Anthony taking on
the Milwaukee Bucks. Now. Last time out for him against
the Bulls, this prop was nineteen and a half. He
(23:04):
got twenty seven flew over, however, and the three actually
four previous games he went under nineteen and a half
against Toronto, nineteen and a half against Cleveland, twenty three
and a half against Washington. There wasn't a line for
him because he wasn't expected to play, but he had
(23:25):
twenty two, so it depending on He probably would have
gone over against Golden State, but there wasn't a number
for this for him, so it didn't really matter. But
when there has been a number, he's three and one
to the under over the last four games in which
there's been a number here for Cole Anthony. It's sixteen
and a half. The prop bet cheat sheet likes over
(23:47):
here for this. We don't always see a lot of
these overs, but we're going over for Cole Anthony here
for him to get some action offensively, and look, he's
a guy that Look at what he's done. His last
time out, had twenty seven against Chicago. Against Toronto, Leoh
(24:08):
had nine against Golden Zid. Like I mentioned, he had
twenty two. So two of the last three games he's
gone over sixteen and a half, and his usage has
been going up minutes wise twenty three, twenty three, twenty six,
twenty one, twenty one, thirty four. As long as he's
in the game for over twenty minutes, you gotta feel
pretty good about the opportunity for Cole Anthony here to
come in and go points, rebounds and assists over sixteen
(24:29):
and half. Okay, so here's our card for today. Fade away.
You see Irvine minus three on the road. You see
San Diego minus twelve and a half on the road.
You masked Lowell plus three on the road. Dyson Daniels
points and rebounds under twenty one and a half. Cole
(24:52):
Anthony points, rebounds, and assists over sixteen and half. One
of those plays will be the pick of the day.
I will talk to you for more. I probably am
not going to add anything to the college basketball card,
highly and likely, but I will tell you what my
personal plays are and I will tell you what I
like on the live chat will be our last regular
(25:12):
season live chat for us because we'll start taking over
some actual YouTube videos. We're going to go live on
Saturday morning on YouTube during the NSAA tournament, so we
won't do in moon live chats on the Discord channel.
Trel Furman and I will be live actually on the
Betting Pros YouTube channel at eleven o'clock Eastern on Saturdays
for the tournament, but for today, we'll be on eleven
(25:35):
am Eastern time bettingpros dot com slash chat. Come join
me to talk college basketball here this morning. My name
is Matt Parolt. Join me across all my social at
sports Doc Matt. Every single morning wherever you guys get
your podcasts, it is the Daily Juice
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