March 15, 2025 • 19 mins
A 5-2 Friday for host Matt Perrault has him feeling good as we hit the weekend. Matt is back with college basketball and NBA Prop Bets for you on the Saturday episode of the Daily Juice.
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Speaker 1 (00:14):
What's up, guys?
Speaker 2 (00:15):
How are you welcome into a Saturday morning episode of
the Daily Juice podcast. My name is Matt PEARLTZ. You
guys can follow me across all of my socials at
Sports Talk Matt. We had a big day yesterday, a
lot of bets coming through, So let's start with the
recap here. We did get the Creighton Blue Jays again.
Coach McDermott owning Dan Hurley. I had no problem with
the dunk by Jeremiah Neil at the end. Remember the
(00:38):
coach Hurley wants threatened to Creighton students, so no problem
with the running rubbing it in Hurley is a complete dink.
No problem there. Oregon loses, Louisville wins, but that knocks
out the Clemson acc bets, so that's flat there. Parlay
hits with San Diego and Saint John's win a unit there,
and again both NBA player props come in under on
(01:01):
his points. DeAndre Hunter over points and rebounds win a
unit there, five and two day up one point nine
units on.
Speaker 1 (01:09):
The day overall for us.
Speaker 2 (01:11):
Now, a couple things first, we are ending or getting
near the end of the NBA season. Okay, it kind
of stinks, to be quite honest, given what we've done
in the NBA player prop market, we are hitting at
nearly seventy five percent this season. Since the start of
the year on January first, in NBA player prop markets,
(01:34):
we are now thirty eight and thirteen thirty eight and
thirteen NBA player props. That's seventy four point five percent
if you want to do the math. That's unbelievable. That's
really rare and has completely saved me from what has
been a very bad college basketball season. So that's been
kind of the benefit there. Hopefully we'll end strong here.
(01:58):
More on college basketball here and one second, but the
NBA future bets that we had placed on win totals
the Bulls at twenty seven and a half that went
over yesterday. The Bucks are not going to get there.
We played over forty nine and a half. That's not
going to get there. They would have to go a
ridiculous I think what thirteen and three, I believe the
(02:19):
rest of the way or thirteen and four, I think
the rest of the way for them to get it.
Speaker 1 (02:24):
They're not getting that, so that's not going to happen.
Speaker 2 (02:26):
But the third bet was Indiana Pacers over forty six
and a half wins. They need to go ten and
seven the rest of the way for us to get there.
That's possible, Okay, that's not impossible. Ten and seven may happen,
so we might get the Pacers. We may go two
and one for NBA future bets for win totals. So
it's all riding on the Indiana Pacers over forty six
(02:49):
and a half wins for Indiana. So we will watch
that closely as we head towards the down the stretch
here for us, now, I've got a bunch of college
basketball plays. I have two NBA player props for you
here tonight. I put those on the app yesterday. Hopefully
you guys went and downloaded the app and you followed
that you found them, and hopefully you played Max Christie
(03:11):
under points, rebounds and assists again, because that's hit I
believe nine straight games. Now, just keep on betting that
the books are getting wise to it. They're dropping it
down and they're holding it back to like right before
tip off. But Max Christie has been I mean he
was zero for eleven at one point from behind from
the field. So keep on riding the under there with
Max Christie. So if you bet that you went three
(03:33):
and oh yesterday on NBA player props like I did,
so hopefully you guys took that advice again, continue to
hammer the Max Christie train with points, rebounds and assists
going under. It was eighteen and a half or seventeen
and a half depending on your book. Both went under.
So we've got NBA player props for you, guys. I
will give it to you here on the Daily Juice.
I got a couple of college basketball bets to give you,
(03:54):
one parlay to give you and maybe more. I will
do the live stream, but it's going to be pretty fast,
probably going to be somewhere around twenty minutes this morning,
eight o'clock Pacific, eleven am Eastern. I'm doing a four
hour TV stretch on sports Grid today, so I have
(04:15):
to set up for sports Grid, so I don't have
a lot of time in the morning. So sports Grid
is a TV station, a fast channel. Go look it
up and you probably have it on your television. Say
if you want to watch me, you can do that.
I'm doing four hours. So Tom Vechio and I are
doing it for four hours. He's my cost on that show.
So we're doing a lot of college basketball, will take
you and preview all the big games, talk about all
(04:35):
the line movement, everything else that's going on for college basketball.
So we'll do all of that on Sports Grid television.
So that does not give me a lot of time
for the Discord channel chat. Okay, so we'll come in,
I'll hit some of the bigger thoughts, some of the
bigger line moves, bigger games, and then we'll just have
to wrap it after about twenty minutes or so. So
I might add, I might not, I don't know, but
(04:55):
just no eleven am Eastern on the Discord Channel. We
will be live twenty minutes or so talking college basketball
here tonight. Before we get to the picks in the
plays for tonight, let's talk about our friends at bet
three six five.
Speaker 1 (05:10):
That offer is still available.
Speaker 2 (05:12):
Turn five dollars into one hundred and fifty dollars of
bonus bets when you join bet three six five. To
claim the offer, just go to bettingpros dot com slash
three six five and deposit at least ten dollars. If
you place a bet of at least five dollars, you'll
earn one hundred and fifty dollars in bonus bets. Again,
that's Bettingpros dot Com Slash three six five twenty one
plus only must be present in Arizona, Colorado, Indiana, Iowa, Kentucky, Luisiana,
(05:36):
North Carolina, New Jersey, Ohio, or Virginia. Gambling problem called
one hundred gambler or one hundred bets off if you
live in Iowa. Terms and conditions do apply. I used
it when I was in Kentucky, so I know it
works for bet three six five Betting pros dot Com
Slash three six five. Okay, let's start with what you
(05:57):
guys care about, and we'll get to college basketball in
a second. Yes, I know it's kind of strange, but
we'll talk about NBA player props two of them to
give you guys here today. Let's start with Moses Moody
of the Golden State Warriors. They have the Knicks coming
to their place here today. It is a five point
thirty Pacific time eight thirty Eastern time tip for this game.
(06:19):
Moody points and rebounds is set at fifteen and half
for him. Now, this number is moving, Okay, it might
go up. Okay, but fourteen and a half or fifteen
and a half. If you can find a fifteen and
a half in the market, one hundred percent, grab onto it.
(06:42):
I played fourteen and a half on this for Moses Moody,
points and rebounds to go under. This is a thirty
eight percent positive ev play. It's a five star play.
Head to head. The one time that he played Golden State,
this number did not come in. He has hit this
sixty percent of the time over the last five games. However,
(07:04):
looking at how he put against the Knicks, it came
in at thirteen and that number was fifteen and a half.
This number opened at fifteen and a half and it
was bet down to fourteen and a half. Hopefully it
goes back up. Moody has hit this in four straight games. However,
in the five games before this stretch where he was hot,
(07:24):
he went under, including a game against the Knicks, which
was the last game of that cold streak for him.
So the number has been fourteen and a half, fourteen
and a half, sixteen and a half in fourteen and
a half. The one that went over at sixteen and
a half was against Portland, a really bad defensive team.
Knicks are a pretty good defensive team. Here fifteen and
(07:45):
a half was the number against the Knicks. As I said,
he came in with thirteen points and rebounds, nine points
and four rebounds. Let's get something similar here today. We'll
go with Moses Moody under fourteen and a half points
and rebounds at minus one ten. Bet number two. Let's
stay with the same game, different player. Josh Hart for
(08:09):
the Knicks points and rebounds last two games did not
get this for Josh Hart. Josh Hart consensus is twenty
four and a half here. The juice may be moving around.
You may get right now. It's heavily juiced to the over.
I came in at minus one ten. The number the
juice has moved. It's not minus one h two. So
(08:30):
you guys, after I've bet this, you guys are gonna
either it might go up to twenty five and a half.
That's possible. That's what it was against Portland's last game out.
It came in with twenty two. It was twenty five
and a half. Against Sacramento, it came in at twenty four.
So we're here at twenty four and a half. It
might rise up to the number that it was, because
when it was twenty three and a half, the previous
(08:51):
two games against the Clippers and the Lakers, this number
went over thirty four and twenty eight, but the previous
four game before that twenty six and a half, twenty
two and a half, twenty three and a half, and
twenty six and a half all under for points and
rebounds for Josh Hart.
Speaker 1 (09:06):
Prop bet cheat sheet likes this to go under.
Speaker 2 (09:09):
We're gonna ride with the prop bet cheat sheet here
and there projection of going under twenty four and a half.
They've got a production of twenty two, thirty four percent
positive ev and a five star play again coming in
with the under twenty four and a half points and
rebounds for Josh Hart. Okay, so our two NBA player
props Moses Moody points and rebounds under fourteen and a half,
(09:31):
Josh Hart points and rebounds under twenty four and a half.
Both those at Miss one ten where I played it.
But you may get different juice point five to five
units down to win a half of unit coming back.
All right, let's talk about the biggest championship create and
Blue Jays up against the Saint John's Red Storm. Johnny's.
It's a home game. It's a home game. The Jays
(09:55):
are exhausted. Okay, they are straight exhausted. I want them
to win this game so bad. They're in the tournament.
But if they beat Saint John's they might get away
from an eight to nine matchup. I don't understand the committee,
Like if they give Kansas a seventh seed on Sunday,
I'm gonna freak out. Ku lost to Creighton. Creyton has
a better resume and a head to head win. Why
(10:17):
aren't they the seven? Why is in Kansas? The nine?
Eight is what Yukon is? The Jays beat Yukon two
games out of three. Why is Yukon eight? No, it
doesn't eight, nine doesn't matter, but it does in terms
of like who are being sent in who you play.
So I want Creighton to win this game to get
away from the number one seed if they can to
(10:37):
get to a seven seed. But maybe if they lose
this game, if there are a nine, maybe the committee
will drop them to a ten seed and they'll play
a seven seed. I would much rather play a seven
seed than an eight seed. I wish it was Kansas.
I mean, if the committee wanted to really do a favor,
have Creighton play against Kansas and then the Jays can
beat Kansas again and stay away from a one seed,
(11:00):
it might have a shot at making the second weekend.
Right now, it's gonna be really hard for the Jays
to make a second weekend. But they put a double
overtime game and then a really physical game against Yukon,
and now they must play Saint John's, the team that
they beat by one point. And then when they went
to Saint John's they were never in the game. They
lost the game by six, but they were never in
(11:21):
the game. This has late game blowout written all over it. Okay,
I don't like it, but I laid six points. It's
six and a half at most books. It's rising it
might be seven. Chop around and find the best price.
Call it an emotional hedge, but this is just I
hope I'm dead wrong. Okay, it'll stink if the Jays
(11:43):
lose in Saint John's or the Jay's cover in Saint
John's wins, that's possible, But look for an in game number.
If Saint John's gets off to a fast start, you know,
try to middle Creighton you can take. If you don't
like the bet, take the Jay's plus six and a
half and then try to get the Johnny's Lower So
what I'm just I'm gonna be an emotional wreck out
of this game. I just Saint John's is the better
(12:05):
basketball team. Saint John's has Rick Patino the Great, and
Blue Jays are zero to four under coach McDermott in
the Big East Final. They've never won this thing. I
was there for the first one up against Providence when
Ed Cooley and Providence beat the js at MSG. Coach
Mack wants this thing desperately. This would be gigantic to
be able to hang a Big East Championship tournament banner.
(12:28):
After coming in second place this year in the Big East,
to come in second place again would stink. But I
think that's what's gonna happen here. I just I think
you're asking too much of this team that doesn't go
that deep already to play three physical games in three
days and basically have two of those games be road games.
I mean, last night was a road game against Yukon
and they still were able to win the game because
(12:48):
they shut the lights out. I mean, you shoot seventy
five percent in the first half, you're gonna beat most
teams you play in college basketball.
Speaker 1 (12:55):
Don't see that happening again here for the Jays.
Speaker 2 (12:57):
Maybe I want to be wrong, but I'm glad they
eat the unit and be wrong. If the Jays win
this game but Saint John's minus six, I'm gonna lay
it here. I don't want to lay more than that.
Don't lay six and a half. Buy it down if
you have to, don't leave seven.
Speaker 1 (13:11):
But St.
Speaker 2 (13:11):
John's minus six, I mean it might get away from
the Jays. Let me say that I could see this
being a double digit win for Saint John's. It wouldn't
shock me in the least if Saint John's won the
game by double digits. Let's go to a two leg
money line parlay Houston and Maryland. Houston is playing in
the Big Twelve Championship game. Houston is arguably the best
(13:36):
team in college basketball. According to Kempom, Houston will win
this game over Arizona.
Speaker 1 (13:42):
By about seven points. Number seven.
Speaker 2 (13:46):
Right there, I'm just gonna go money line, Houston's winning
the Big twelve Championship. Houston's going. I mean, they beat Colorado.
They destroyed BYU seventy four fifty four, a BYU team
that scored ninety nine up against the Iowa State Cyclones,
and they scored half of that against Houston. Defensively, I
don't think Arizona's going to have the guns here, even
(14:08):
with them jacking threes and trying to go more up tempo.
They're fifty sixth than tempo. Houston is in the three
hundreds for tempo. I like Caleb Love at times, but
only a you know, two hundred and fortieth thirty two
point five percent from behind the arc.
Speaker 1 (14:23):
For Arizona.
Speaker 2 (14:24):
They're forty third in two point shooting, but that's because
they get to the rim a lot. You don't get
to the rim against Houston. In the one game these
two teams played at home in Arizona, it was a
sixty two to fifty eight win for Arizona in that game.
I was on Arizona at home.
Speaker 1 (14:41):
They lost.
Speaker 2 (14:42):
Houston covered money line Houston. Now it's too expensive just
to lay that. So I'm gonna go with a dance
partner like we did yesterday, and I'm gonna go to
Maryland in the semi finals of the Big Ten up
against Michigan. Maryland is a sneaky team. They're really good.
They lost to Michigan State, they lost to Ohio State,
(15:03):
they lost Northwestern, they lost to Oregon, they lost to Washington,
and they lost to Purdue.
Speaker 1 (15:07):
Okay, but.
Speaker 2 (15:09):
They worked Illinois yesterday. Eighty eight sixty five. They worked them.
Three and a half is the number. I don't want
to lay it. I just think Maryland wins. I don't
like Michigan, to be straight. I don't like the way
Michigan plays. Michigan entered the Big Ten Tournament losing three
straight games to Illinois, to this Maryland team by six
in the Michigan State by seventeen. They did be Purdue
(15:32):
handily eighty six sixty eight yesterday and looked pretty good
doing it. But I think Maryland and Michigan State on
a collision course to play tomorrow in the Big Ten Championship.
Maryland parlayed with Houston money line for both. Here it
is a plus one oh four play for Houston Maryland
money line, and finally, Florida up against Alabama numbers three
(15:56):
and a half. I bought it down to three. You
might need to do that, you may need to lay it,
but I can't stand losing when they win by three
and I get hooked. This game has a total of
one to seventy five at the moment, which is ridiculous.
Kempom has this thing falling one seventy three, eighty eight,
eighty five.
Speaker 1 (16:16):
So they have as a three point win for Florida.
Speaker 2 (16:19):
Alabama's defense when they played up against Florida the first time,
I mean, Alabama couldn't stop anybody. They gave up ninety
nine points in this game to Florida, lost ninety nine
to ninety four. I mean, that's just insane. We could
see a similar situation here, but that game was in
(16:40):
Tuscaloosa and it was a five point win for Florida
on the road against the Tide. Now this is in Nashville. Well,
I mean, it's gonna be a lot of I mean
Kentucky fans are gone, so I'll be curious who scoffs
those up. A lot of Alabama fans, be a bunch
of Florida fans too, but more Bama and Auburn obviously
for the semi final day today, just the proximity that
(17:00):
they have. But Tennessee will bring quite a bit of
people too. It's their homes to hometown, so I'll be
curious to see who Tennessee wants to make it to
the final Alabama or Florida. They hate both teams with passions.
They let the Florida cave in with both those teams,
but I like Florida. I bought it down to three
minus one twenty five, pay little extra juice on it
to lay the three for the Gators up against Alabama again,
(17:23):
it's a three point win. According to KEMPOM, Bama's offense
is fourth and efficiency in eleventh in effective field goal percentage.
Florida's offense is third in efficiency in thirty eighth in
effective field goal percentage, but Florida's defense is ninth in
efficiency in fifth effective field goal percentage. Bama's defense is
twenty sixth in efficiency in thirty seventh in effective field
goal percentage. They do guard the three really well, but
(17:45):
they don't guard the two as well as they should.
They give up a lot of points in the paint,
a lot of dribble penetrations. And look Alabama's offense, I
mean shooting free throws. They're one hundred and ninety seventh
in free throw shooting. Florida's not my much better, by
the way, they're two hundred and sixteenth. They're worse, which
is gonna scary. Both these teams have a tough time
hitting their free throws. But I like this offense more
(18:08):
for Alabama, sorry for Florida. Bama does not turn you
over at all. They're three hundred and forty seventh in
turnover percentage. Florida's one hundred and seventy third. Well that's
not great. It's half. It's better double what Alabama's is.
Give me the Gators. I think Florida's more talented here.
I mean, Alabama looked good yesterday, but Kentucky was short
(18:29):
handed and didn't look like Kentucky.
Speaker 1 (18:30):
I mean, just not a good time. Caught them at
the right time.
Speaker 2 (18:33):
Maybe too easy for Alabama because this Florida game is
going to be a war. I'll lay the three points
Florida minus three for one point one units. Okay, so
plays for today, Saint John's minus six, Houston Maryland moneyline.
Parlay Florida minus three. Moses Moody points and rebounds under
fourteen and a half, Josh Hart points and rebounds under
twenty four and a half, and maybe one or two
(18:55):
extra plays. Coming on the live stream, coming at you sorry,
Coming on the discord chat. Coming at eight o'clock Pacific,
eleven a m. Eastern time on our Discord channel to
join that. It's Bettingpros dot Com slash chat. It's going
to be quick, about twenty minutes, but I'll talk to
you later this morning here on the Betting Pros Discord
channel again, Betting Pros dot Com slash Chat.
Speaker 1 (19:15):
My min is Matt Parol.
Speaker 2 (19:16):
Do you guys following Micross all my socials at sports
dot Matt every morning wherever you get your podcasts.
Speaker 1 (19:21):
It is the Daily Juice
What's up, guys?
Speaker 2 (00:15):
How are you welcome into a Saturday morning episode of
the Daily Juice podcast. My name is Matt PEARLTZ. You
guys can follow me across all of my socials at
Sports Talk Matt. We had a big day yesterday, a
lot of bets coming through, So let's start with the
recap here. We did get the Creighton Blue Jays again.
Coach McDermott owning Dan Hurley. I had no problem with
the dunk by Jeremiah Neil at the end. Remember the
(00:38):
coach Hurley wants threatened to Creighton students, so no problem
with the running rubbing it in Hurley is a complete dink.
No problem there. Oregon loses, Louisville wins, but that knocks
out the Clemson acc bets, so that's flat there. Parlay
hits with San Diego and Saint John's win a unit there,
and again both NBA player props come in under on
(01:01):
his points. DeAndre Hunter over points and rebounds win a
unit there, five and two day up one point nine
units on.
Speaker 1 (01:09):
The day overall for us.
Speaker 2 (01:11):
Now, a couple things first, we are ending or getting
near the end of the NBA season. Okay, it kind
of stinks, to be quite honest, given what we've done
in the NBA player prop market, we are hitting at
nearly seventy five percent this season. Since the start of
the year on January first, in NBA player prop markets,
(01:34):
we are now thirty eight and thirteen thirty eight and
thirteen NBA player props. That's seventy four point five percent
if you want to do the math. That's unbelievable. That's
really rare and has completely saved me from what has
been a very bad college basketball season. So that's been
kind of the benefit there. Hopefully we'll end strong here.
(01:58):
More on college basketball here and one second, but the
NBA future bets that we had placed on win totals
the Bulls at twenty seven and a half that went
over yesterday. The Bucks are not going to get there.
We played over forty nine and a half. That's not
going to get there. They would have to go a
ridiculous I think what thirteen and three, I believe the
(02:19):
rest of the way or thirteen and four, I think
the rest of the way for them to get it.
Speaker 1 (02:24):
They're not getting that, so that's not going to happen.
Speaker 2 (02:26):
But the third bet was Indiana Pacers over forty six
and a half wins. They need to go ten and
seven the rest of the way for us to get there.
That's possible, Okay, that's not impossible. Ten and seven may happen,
so we might get the Pacers. We may go two
and one for NBA future bets for win totals. So
it's all riding on the Indiana Pacers over forty six
(02:49):
and a half wins for Indiana. So we will watch
that closely as we head towards the down the stretch
here for us, now, I've got a bunch of college
basketball plays. I have two NBA player props for you
here tonight. I put those on the app yesterday. Hopefully
you guys went and downloaded the app and you followed
that you found them, and hopefully you played Max Christie
(03:11):
under points, rebounds and assists again, because that's hit I
believe nine straight games. Now, just keep on betting that
the books are getting wise to it. They're dropping it
down and they're holding it back to like right before
tip off. But Max Christie has been I mean he
was zero for eleven at one point from behind from
the field. So keep on riding the under there with
Max Christie. So if you bet that you went three
(03:33):
and oh yesterday on NBA player props like I did,
so hopefully you guys took that advice again, continue to
hammer the Max Christie train with points, rebounds and assists
going under. It was eighteen and a half or seventeen
and a half depending on your book. Both went under.
So we've got NBA player props for you, guys. I
will give it to you here on the Daily Juice.
I got a couple of college basketball bets to give you,
(03:54):
one parlay to give you and maybe more. I will
do the live stream, but it's going to be pretty fast,
probably going to be somewhere around twenty minutes this morning,
eight o'clock Pacific, eleven am Eastern. I'm doing a four
hour TV stretch on sports Grid today, so I have
(04:15):
to set up for sports Grid, so I don't have
a lot of time in the morning. So sports Grid
is a TV station, a fast channel. Go look it
up and you probably have it on your television. Say
if you want to watch me, you can do that.
I'm doing four hours. So Tom Vechio and I are
doing it for four hours. He's my cost on that show.
So we're doing a lot of college basketball, will take
you and preview all the big games, talk about all
(04:35):
the line movement, everything else that's going on for college basketball.
So we'll do all of that on Sports Grid television.
So that does not give me a lot of time
for the Discord channel chat. Okay, so we'll come in,
I'll hit some of the bigger thoughts, some of the
bigger line moves, bigger games, and then we'll just have
to wrap it after about twenty minutes or so. So
I might add, I might not, I don't know, but
(04:55):
just no eleven am Eastern on the Discord Channel. We
will be live twenty minutes or so talking college basketball
here tonight. Before we get to the picks in the
plays for tonight, let's talk about our friends at bet
three six five.
Speaker 1 (05:10):
That offer is still available.
Speaker 2 (05:12):
Turn five dollars into one hundred and fifty dollars of
bonus bets when you join bet three six five. To
claim the offer, just go to bettingpros dot com slash
three six five and deposit at least ten dollars. If
you place a bet of at least five dollars, you'll
earn one hundred and fifty dollars in bonus bets. Again,
that's Bettingpros dot Com Slash three six five twenty one
plus only must be present in Arizona, Colorado, Indiana, Iowa, Kentucky, Luisiana,
(05:36):
North Carolina, New Jersey, Ohio, or Virginia. Gambling problem called
one hundred gambler or one hundred bets off if you
live in Iowa. Terms and conditions do apply. I used
it when I was in Kentucky, so I know it
works for bet three six five Betting pros dot Com
Slash three six five. Okay, let's start with what you
(05:57):
guys care about, and we'll get to college basketball in
a second. Yes, I know it's kind of strange, but
we'll talk about NBA player props two of them to
give you guys here today. Let's start with Moses Moody
of the Golden State Warriors. They have the Knicks coming
to their place here today. It is a five point
thirty Pacific time eight thirty Eastern time tip for this game.
(06:19):
Moody points and rebounds is set at fifteen and half
for him. Now, this number is moving, Okay, it might
go up. Okay, but fourteen and a half or fifteen
and a half. If you can find a fifteen and
a half in the market, one hundred percent, grab onto it.
(06:42):
I played fourteen and a half on this for Moses Moody,
points and rebounds to go under. This is a thirty
eight percent positive ev play. It's a five star play.
Head to head. The one time that he played Golden State,
this number did not come in. He has hit this
sixty percent of the time over the last five games. However,
(07:04):
looking at how he put against the Knicks, it came
in at thirteen and that number was fifteen and a half.
This number opened at fifteen and a half and it
was bet down to fourteen and a half. Hopefully it
goes back up. Moody has hit this in four straight games. However,
in the five games before this stretch where he was hot,
(07:24):
he went under, including a game against the Knicks, which
was the last game of that cold streak for him.
So the number has been fourteen and a half, fourteen
and a half, sixteen and a half in fourteen and
a half. The one that went over at sixteen and
a half was against Portland, a really bad defensive team.
Knicks are a pretty good defensive team. Here fifteen and
(07:45):
a half was the number against the Knicks. As I said,
he came in with thirteen points and rebounds, nine points
and four rebounds. Let's get something similar here today. We'll
go with Moses Moody under fourteen and a half points
and rebounds at minus one ten. Bet number two. Let's
stay with the same game, different player. Josh Hart for
(08:09):
the Knicks points and rebounds last two games did not
get this for Josh Hart. Josh Hart consensus is twenty
four and a half here. The juice may be moving around.
You may get right now. It's heavily juiced to the over.
I came in at minus one ten. The number the
juice has moved. It's not minus one h two. So
(08:30):
you guys, after I've bet this, you guys are gonna
either it might go up to twenty five and a half.
That's possible. That's what it was against Portland's last game out.
It came in with twenty two. It was twenty five
and a half. Against Sacramento, it came in at twenty four.
So we're here at twenty four and a half. It
might rise up to the number that it was, because
when it was twenty three and a half, the previous
(08:51):
two games against the Clippers and the Lakers, this number
went over thirty four and twenty eight, but the previous
four game before that twenty six and a half, twenty
two and a half, twenty three and a half, and
twenty six and a half all under for points and
rebounds for Josh Hart.
Speaker 1 (09:06):
Prop bet cheat sheet likes this to go under.
Speaker 2 (09:09):
We're gonna ride with the prop bet cheat sheet here
and there projection of going under twenty four and a half.
They've got a production of twenty two, thirty four percent
positive ev and a five star play again coming in
with the under twenty four and a half points and
rebounds for Josh Hart. Okay, so our two NBA player
props Moses Moody points and rebounds under fourteen and a half,
(09:31):
Josh Hart points and rebounds under twenty four and a half.
Both those at Miss one ten where I played it.
But you may get different juice point five to five
units down to win a half of unit coming back.
All right, let's talk about the biggest championship create and
Blue Jays up against the Saint John's Red Storm. Johnny's.
It's a home game. It's a home game. The Jays
(09:55):
are exhausted. Okay, they are straight exhausted. I want them
to win this game so bad. They're in the tournament.
But if they beat Saint John's they might get away
from an eight to nine matchup. I don't understand the committee,
Like if they give Kansas a seventh seed on Sunday,
I'm gonna freak out. Ku lost to Creighton. Creyton has
a better resume and a head to head win. Why
(10:17):
aren't they the seven? Why is in Kansas? The nine?
Eight is what Yukon is? The Jays beat Yukon two
games out of three. Why is Yukon eight? No, it
doesn't eight, nine doesn't matter, but it does in terms
of like who are being sent in who you play.
So I want Creighton to win this game to get
away from the number one seed if they can to
(10:37):
get to a seven seed. But maybe if they lose
this game, if there are a nine, maybe the committee
will drop them to a ten seed and they'll play
a seven seed. I would much rather play a seven
seed than an eight seed. I wish it was Kansas.
I mean, if the committee wanted to really do a favor,
have Creighton play against Kansas and then the Jays can
beat Kansas again and stay away from a one seed,
(11:00):
it might have a shot at making the second weekend.
Right now, it's gonna be really hard for the Jays
to make a second weekend. But they put a double
overtime game and then a really physical game against Yukon,
and now they must play Saint John's, the team that
they beat by one point. And then when they went
to Saint John's they were never in the game. They
lost the game by six, but they were never in
(11:21):
the game. This has late game blowout written all over it. Okay,
I don't like it, but I laid six points. It's
six and a half at most books. It's rising it
might be seven. Chop around and find the best price.
Call it an emotional hedge, but this is just I
hope I'm dead wrong. Okay, it'll stink if the Jays
(11:43):
lose in Saint John's or the Jay's cover in Saint
John's wins, that's possible, But look for an in game number.
If Saint John's gets off to a fast start, you know,
try to middle Creighton you can take. If you don't
like the bet, take the Jay's plus six and a
half and then try to get the Johnny's Lower So
what I'm just I'm gonna be an emotional wreck out
of this game. I just Saint John's is the better
(12:05):
basketball team. Saint John's has Rick Patino the Great, and
Blue Jays are zero to four under coach McDermott in
the Big East Final. They've never won this thing. I
was there for the first one up against Providence when
Ed Cooley and Providence beat the js at MSG. Coach
Mack wants this thing desperately. This would be gigantic to
be able to hang a Big East Championship tournament banner.
(12:28):
After coming in second place this year in the Big East,
to come in second place again would stink. But I
think that's what's gonna happen here. I just I think
you're asking too much of this team that doesn't go
that deep already to play three physical games in three
days and basically have two of those games be road games.
I mean, last night was a road game against Yukon
and they still were able to win the game because
(12:48):
they shut the lights out. I mean, you shoot seventy
five percent in the first half, you're gonna beat most
teams you play in college basketball.
Speaker 1 (12:55):
Don't see that happening again here for the Jays.
Speaker 2 (12:57):
Maybe I want to be wrong, but I'm glad they
eat the unit and be wrong. If the Jays win
this game but Saint John's minus six, I'm gonna lay
it here. I don't want to lay more than that.
Don't lay six and a half. Buy it down if
you have to, don't leave seven.
Speaker 1 (13:11):
But St.
Speaker 2 (13:11):
John's minus six, I mean it might get away from
the Jays. Let me say that I could see this
being a double digit win for Saint John's. It wouldn't
shock me in the least if Saint John's won the
game by double digits. Let's go to a two leg
money line parlay Houston and Maryland. Houston is playing in
the Big Twelve Championship game. Houston is arguably the best
(13:36):
team in college basketball. According to Kempom, Houston will win
this game over Arizona.
Speaker 1 (13:42):
By about seven points. Number seven.
Speaker 2 (13:46):
Right there, I'm just gonna go money line, Houston's winning
the Big twelve Championship. Houston's going. I mean, they beat Colorado.
They destroyed BYU seventy four fifty four, a BYU team
that scored ninety nine up against the Iowa State Cyclones,
and they scored half of that against Houston. Defensively, I
don't think Arizona's going to have the guns here, even
(14:08):
with them jacking threes and trying to go more up tempo.
They're fifty sixth than tempo. Houston is in the three
hundreds for tempo. I like Caleb Love at times, but
only a you know, two hundred and fortieth thirty two
point five percent from behind the arc.
Speaker 1 (14:23):
For Arizona.
Speaker 2 (14:24):
They're forty third in two point shooting, but that's because
they get to the rim a lot. You don't get
to the rim against Houston. In the one game these
two teams played at home in Arizona, it was a
sixty two to fifty eight win for Arizona in that game.
I was on Arizona at home.
Speaker 1 (14:41):
They lost.
Speaker 2 (14:42):
Houston covered money line Houston. Now it's too expensive just
to lay that. So I'm gonna go with a dance
partner like we did yesterday, and I'm gonna go to
Maryland in the semi finals of the Big Ten up
against Michigan. Maryland is a sneaky team. They're really good.
They lost to Michigan State, they lost to Ohio State,
(15:03):
they lost Northwestern, they lost to Oregon, they lost to Washington,
and they lost to Purdue.
Speaker 1 (15:07):
Okay, but.
Speaker 2 (15:09):
They worked Illinois yesterday. Eighty eight sixty five. They worked them.
Three and a half is the number. I don't want
to lay it. I just think Maryland wins. I don't
like Michigan, to be straight. I don't like the way
Michigan plays. Michigan entered the Big Ten Tournament losing three
straight games to Illinois, to this Maryland team by six
in the Michigan State by seventeen. They did be Purdue
(15:32):
handily eighty six sixty eight yesterday and looked pretty good
doing it. But I think Maryland and Michigan State on
a collision course to play tomorrow in the Big Ten Championship.
Maryland parlayed with Houston money line for both. Here it
is a plus one oh four play for Houston Maryland
money line, and finally, Florida up against Alabama numbers three
(15:56):
and a half. I bought it down to three. You
might need to do that, you may need to lay it,
but I can't stand losing when they win by three
and I get hooked. This game has a total of
one to seventy five at the moment, which is ridiculous.
Kempom has this thing falling one seventy three, eighty eight,
eighty five.
Speaker 1 (16:16):
So they have as a three point win for Florida.
Speaker 2 (16:19):
Alabama's defense when they played up against Florida the first time,
I mean, Alabama couldn't stop anybody. They gave up ninety
nine points in this game to Florida, lost ninety nine
to ninety four. I mean, that's just insane. We could
see a similar situation here, but that game was in
(16:40):
Tuscaloosa and it was a five point win for Florida
on the road against the Tide. Now this is in Nashville. Well,
I mean, it's gonna be a lot of I mean
Kentucky fans are gone, so I'll be curious who scoffs
those up. A lot of Alabama fans, be a bunch
of Florida fans too, but more Bama and Auburn obviously
for the semi final day today, just the proximity that
(17:00):
they have. But Tennessee will bring quite a bit of
people too. It's their homes to hometown, so I'll be
curious to see who Tennessee wants to make it to
the final Alabama or Florida. They hate both teams with passions.
They let the Florida cave in with both those teams,
but I like Florida. I bought it down to three
minus one twenty five, pay little extra juice on it
to lay the three for the Gators up against Alabama again,
(17:23):
it's a three point win. According to KEMPOM, Bama's offense
is fourth and efficiency in eleventh in effective field goal percentage.
Florida's offense is third in efficiency in thirty eighth in
effective field goal percentage, but Florida's defense is ninth in
efficiency in fifth effective field goal percentage. Bama's defense is
twenty sixth in efficiency in thirty seventh in effective field
goal percentage. They do guard the three really well, but
(17:45):
they don't guard the two as well as they should.
They give up a lot of points in the paint,
a lot of dribble penetrations. And look Alabama's offense, I
mean shooting free throws. They're one hundred and ninety seventh
in free throw shooting. Florida's not my much better, by
the way, they're two hundred and sixteenth. They're worse, which
is gonna scary. Both these teams have a tough time
hitting their free throws. But I like this offense more
(18:08):
for Alabama, sorry for Florida. Bama does not turn you
over at all. They're three hundred and forty seventh in
turnover percentage. Florida's one hundred and seventy third. Well that's
not great. It's half. It's better double what Alabama's is.
Give me the Gators. I think Florida's more talented here.
I mean, Alabama looked good yesterday, but Kentucky was short
(18:29):
handed and didn't look like Kentucky.
Speaker 1 (18:30):
I mean, just not a good time. Caught them at
the right time.
Speaker 2 (18:33):
Maybe too easy for Alabama because this Florida game is
going to be a war. I'll lay the three points
Florida minus three for one point one units. Okay, so
plays for today, Saint John's minus six, Houston Maryland moneyline.
Parlay Florida minus three. Moses Moody points and rebounds under
fourteen and a half, Josh Hart points and rebounds under
twenty four and a half, and maybe one or two
(18:55):
extra plays. Coming on the live stream, coming at you sorry,
Coming on the discord chat. Coming at eight o'clock Pacific,
eleven a m. Eastern time on our Discord channel to
join that. It's Bettingpros dot Com slash chat. It's going
to be quick, about twenty minutes, but I'll talk to
you later this morning here on the Betting Pros Discord
channel again, Betting Pros dot Com slash Chat.
Speaker 1 (19:15):
My min is Matt Parol.
Speaker 2 (19:16):
Do you guys following Micross all my socials at sports
dot Matt every morning wherever you get your podcasts.
Speaker 1 (19:21):
It is the Daily Juice
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